2002

2005

2008

2010

2012


2002

2005

2008

2010

2012

2050

The Developing World: Rapid Urbanization

Source: ADB,2012

Chinese cities near top of world carbon emissions

list

Source: World Bank,2012


Which kind of city is more livable?

Moving Cars

Moving People

el Behaviors: New Trend

Emerging trend for the younger generations

Driving is not as cool as it used to be

U.S. and U.K.: Proportion of licensed drivers by age (1998-2008)

19982008

Sivak and Schoettle, 2011Sivak Schoettle, 2011

http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/86680/102764.pdf

U.S.: Young People are driving less

Social media
replaces the travel
needs.

Unemployment rate
is high.

Too busy to get a

drivers license.

Its a matter of
choice.

Passenger Car Travel (1990=100)

1990100

Source: International Transport Forum 2012

2012

Cycling on the Rise USA

70

http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acsbike-commuting-continues-rise


Cycling on the Rise in the United States

tainable Transport Policies: Global Trend

Trends for different policy innovations

Google


London 1863;
189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day;

189
10,500
112

BRT
168
4,424
31

World: Changes in Infrastructure expenditures

USD 20 Trillion Savings 20

Total infrastructure additions and cumulative capital, reconstruction and O&M expenditures

(in real and undiscounted USD)

- $15 Trillion
-20% BAU
-15
- 20% BAU
+ $350 billion
+1000% BAU
+ 3500
+ 1000% BAU

Source: IEA, 2013

2013

from 1.6 tri/y in 2010 to 2 tril/y in 2050

20101.620502

+ $2.5 Trillion
+15% BAU
+ 2.5
+ 15% BAU
Savings: $10 Tri
-35% BAU
10
- 35% BAU


360

35
4.5
11%

1.

2.

(/)

18%
13%

63%
49%

20002013

Citibike

20135

20085

10875

9125

Velib

Barclays

20077

20107

223132

220

Vehicle demand management

Vehicle quota system on the rise in China

Year

Caps the number of new vehicle registrations 10

Formats
Beijing, Guiyang Lottery

Singapore, Shanghai Auction

Guangzhou and Tianjin Auction and Lottery

Congestion pricing emerging

Year

Low emission zones - tipping in European Union

Received wide implementation due to EUs health-based air

quality standard;

Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs 100

How do we accelerate the adoption?

Five Stages of Innovation Diffusion

5

2.5%

13.5%

34%

34%

16%

Importance of early adoption

BRT


Political Will Community Support +

Technical Capacity to Plan, Implement, Improve

:
Finance Infrastructure and Operations
Capturing the Trends :

Our Approach
| Avoid

| Shift

| Improve