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Tree Diagrams

19/11/2014

Learning Objectives: We are learning to


Understand a tree diagram and
How to draw a tree diagram.
Success Criteria: Accomplish
worksheets by
Completing the tree diagrams;
Calculating probabilities using a
tree diagram.

Tree Diagrams

A tree diagram is a way of finding all the


possible outcomes from a series of
events.
To calculate probabilities using a tree
diagram, you multiply along the
branches

Tree diagramsone event followed by a second event

one die followed by a second die


one coin followed by a second coin
one day followed by another day
one pick from a bag followed by a second
pick

Two coins

First coin

Second coin

H
H
T
H

T
T

PROBABILITIES
First coin

Second coin

1
2
1
2

1
2

1
2

H
1
2

T
H

T
1
2

PROBABILITIES
First coin

Second coin

1
2
1
2

1
2

1
2

1 1 1
H 22 4

1
2

T
1
2

1 1 1

T 2 2 4
H 11 1
2 2 4
1 1 1

T 2 2 4

PROBABILITIES

1 1 1
P( HH )
2 2 4
1 1 1
P( HT )
2 2 4
1 1 1
P(TH )
2 2 4
1 1 1
P(TT )
2 2 4

Probability of one of
each=

1 1 1

4 4 2

Two Dice

First die

Second die

Six
Six
Not six
Six

Not six
Not six

PROBABILITIES
First die

Second die

1
6
1
6

5
6

Six

Six

5
6

1
6

Not six
Six

Not
Six

5
6

Not six

PROBABILITIES
First die

Second die

1
6
1
6

5
6

Six

Six

5
1
6
6

Not six
Six

1 1 1

6 6 36
1 5 5

6 6 36
5 1 5

6 6 36

Not
Six

5
6

Not six

5 5 25

6 6 36

The probability that


Colin is late for
work, on any given
day = 0.2

First day

Second day
Late

Late
Not late
Late
Not late
Not late

PROBABILITIES
First day

Second day
0.2

0.2

0.8

Late

Late
0.8

Not late

0.2

Late

0.8

Not late

Not late

PROBABILITIES
First day

Second day
Late

0.2 x 0.2 = 0.04

0.8

Not late

0.2 x 0.8 = 0.16

0.2

Late

0.8 x 0.2 = 0.16

0.8

Not late

0.8 x 0.8 = 0.64

0.2
0.2

0.8

Late

Not late

Now I can:

Fill in boxes on the tree diagram;


List the sample space;
Work out probabilities by
multiplying along branches.

Next step
Independently (without prompts)
To be able to draw tree diagrams
and calculate probabilities to solve
problems.

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