Hypothesis Testing: The Probability That The Difference Between The Mean Scores of The

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Hypothesis Testing

How certain do we have to be before we will


say that the obtained difference between groups
is real? The most common practice is to state a
significance level that must be reached. A
significance level is a statement of the probability
Significance
level that an observed difference is a chance
The probability that the difference difference. The most commonly used significance
between the mean scores of the levels are .05 and .01. If you decide, before
calculating your statistical tests, that the .05
significance level is to be used, this means that
you will accept as a real difference only one that
is so large that it could have occurred by chance
only 5 times in 100. If the .01 significance level is
selected, then the difference can be expected
to occur onl y 1 time in 100 by chance.

The foregoing should give some appreciation


of the necessity of performing statistical tests on
the data. If the statistical tests reveal that a
significant difference (one that has reach.. ed
the specified significance level) exists between
the scores of the various groups, then the
scientific hypothesis is accepted as real. If the
obtained difference does not reach the specified
significance level, then the experimenter fails to
reject the null hypothesis. The expression fails
to reject is used because it is very difficult to
obtain evidence supportive of a null or nodifference conclusion. At first glance, it seems
that if the null hypothesis cannot be rejected, it
should logically be accepted. To see why the
null hypothesis cannot be accepted if the
significance level is not attained, consider the
following experiment. Nation, Bourgeois, Clark,
and Hare (1983) studied the effects of chronic
cobalt exposure on the behavior of adult rats. The
experimental group of rats was fed laboratory
chow laced with cobalt chloride, and their leverpressing speed was compared with that of a
control group cf rats who were fed standard
laboratory chow. The results of cne component of
this study revealed that there was not A
significant difference between lever-pressing
responses of the control and experimental

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