ABSTRACT:

In recent years, increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases has been one of the basic
problems of human that causes Increase in global temperature and regional changes. The
problem of regional change, in many parts of the world, has affected and it is expected that
in future decades the effects of these changes will be aggravated. Iran has also been
affected by these Large-scale changes and its effects have been observed in many parts of
the country. Regional changes are also effective to the amount of rain. So considering the
limitation of water resources in Iran, Assessing the impact of climate change on rainfall can
be a Basis for policy In order to prevent disasters in the future management of water
resources. This research, according to this Subject, will also study the impacts of climate
change on the frequency and intensity of rainfall simultaneously in Mashhahad synoptic
station by using Lars-WG and HadCM3 model under the scenario A2 in A 30-year
period.(2005-1976) the results of researches show that in Near future (2039-2010), the
amount of rainfall days will be increased 5% than past , in intermediate future (2069-2040)
and in the distant future (2099-2070) will be decreased sequentially 5/4 and 14/3% than
before. Rainfall intensity will be increased 10% in near future and 8% in intermediate and far
future than past.