TOPIC :

PRODUCTION
DECLINE
ANALYSIS

What Is Production Decline Curve

Analysis
Is a means of predicting futureoil wellor gas well
production based on past production history.
IT identify the production problems and predicting
well performance on measured oil well production.
Before the availability of computers, decline curve
analysis was performed by hand onsemi log
plotpaper.
Currently, decline curve analysis software on PC
computers is used to plot production decline curves
for petroleum economics analysis.

What are the factor that causes the

PRODUCTION DECLINE

Depletion (leading to a decrease in

reservoir pressure)
Compressibility of the rock/fluid system
Dissolution of the gas phase into the
liquid
Additional energy provided from aquifer
or gas cap.
External fluid injection
Thermal, similar operation of fluid
properties.

Oil Production Modeling

The production of oil or gas field tend to pass
through a number of stages.
This can be describe by and idealized
production curve.
After the discovery well appraisal well is drilled to
determine the development potential of the
reservoir.
Later the field is enter into the plateau phase,
where the full installed extraction capacity is
used.
Before finally arriving the at the onset of decline,
which ends in abundant once the economical limit
is reached.

Empirical Decline Models Uses in

Production Decline Analysis

Exponential decline.
Harmonic decline.
Hyperbolic decline.
Once a decline model is identified, the
model parameters a and can be
determined by fitting the data to the
selected model.

Exponential Decline
A straight-line relationship will result
when the flow rate versus time is plotted on a semilog scale.

Harmonic Decline
Rate versus cumulative production is a straight line
on a semi-log scale.
There are several shifting techniques that are
designed to straighten out the curve that results from
plotting flow
rate versus time on a log-log scale.

Hyperbolic Decline
straight-line relationship for a hyperbolic decline.
However; if the flow rate is plotted versus time on log-log
paper, the resulting curve can be straightened out with
shifting techniques.