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Understanding Interest Rates: Current Bond Prices and Interest Rates Are Negatively Related
Understanding Interest Rates: Current Bond Prices and Interest Rates Are Negatively Related
(1+i) Ct = Ct+i
Ct + i(Ct) = Ct+i
Ct =
C(t+1 )
(1+i)
Ct
Cannot directly compare payments scheduled in different points in timeline
Four types of Credit Market Instruments
Simple Loan
To be paid at the maturity date with corresponding interest
Coupon Bond
Interest paid every period with the principal paid at the maturity date
YTM = CR; Face value = Purchase Price
Coupon rate and YTM is negatively related
YTM> CR; Face Value > Purchase Price
Fixed Payment
To be paid every period with some part of the principal and interest
Consol or Perpetuity a bond with no maturity date that does not repay principal but
pats fixed coupon payments forever
*Yield to maturity the interest rate that equates the present value of cash flows payments
with its value today
Current Bond prices and interest rates are negatively related
Interest Rates and Returns
RET =
C Pt 1Pt
+
Pt
Pt
More distant maturity = the lower the rate of return occurs assoc with interest rate
change
Interest-rate risk
Prices and returns for long-term bonds are more volatile than short term bonds
No interest-risk for bonds MAT=HOLDING
1+
108
With inflation (9%):
( )
( 1+0.08 ) (100)
<100 -> investing in this rate is
(1+0.09)
unprofitable
Fisher Equation
F
(1+i r )( 1+ ) F = YTM
Future
Present RET
i=i r + e
Real interest rate is low, there is greater incentives to borrow and fewer
incentives to lend
Real interest rate is a better indicator of the incentives to borrow and lend and
of tightness of credit market conditions