Feb 11, 2015

4. Dynamic Reliability Evaluation Models

4.1. General Reliability Function
t

( t ) dt

R ( t ) =e
where t is time and
0

( t )=

(t )

is the items hazard rate

f (t )
f (t)
=
R (t ) 1F(t )
t

R ( t ) =1 F ( t ) ; F ( t )= f ( x ) dx
0

dR(t)
=f (t)
dt
1 dR ( t )
> ( t )=
R ( t ) dt
t

R (t)

( t ) dt=
0

dR(t )
R (t)

(t ) dt=ln R(t )
0

( t) dt

R ( t )=e

Mean Time to Failure (MTTF)

MTTF=lim R (s)
s 0

lim f (t)=lim sf ( s)
t

s 0

MTTF= R ( t ) dt
0

lim R ( x ) dx
t 0

[
t

lim L
t

R ( x ) dx =lim s
t

R (s )
=lim R( s)
s
s 0

Feb 11, 2015

Example:
( t )=( k t k1 )/
where , t is the time
k is the shape parameter
is the scale parameter
t

( t ) dt

R ( t ) =e

( )= e 1 et dt

0
t

(k t

R ( t ) =e
et /

k1

)/dt

> 1;=( 1 ) !

R ( t ) = ( x ) dx

0
t

MTTF= et / dt

R ( t ) = e0.007 x dx

1
(
k)

1
k( )

1 /k

1
failures
= =0.007
; t =50 hrs

hour
R ( t ) =e0.00750 =0.7047
t

i dt

Series Network

Ri (t)=e
Ri (t )=e t
0

i t

Rs = Ri (t )=e

i=1

i=1

where
Ri (t ) is the ith unit time dependent reliability
k is the number of units
k

Rs = e e t
i=1

Rs ( t ) dt=
0

( )

e e t dt=

i=1

1
k

i
i=1

MTTFSeries=
0

For

i , t 0.05

Feb 11, 2015

Rs (t ) 1 i t
i=1

Series System Hazard Rate

Taylor Series:
et 1t

f (t )
1 d R s (t)
s= s =
R s (t) Rs ( t) dt
s=

()

i e

Rs (t )=1F s (t )
f (t )
( t )=
R (t )
d R s (t )
=f s (t)
dt

i=1

i=1

i=1

s= i
i=1

Series System Non-consistent Failure Rate:

t

f (t )= f + f t
t is the time
f , f ,

[
R ( t )=e

f t +

{ f t + 1}
+1

f dt

Rf (t )=e
are the constants

[(

Rs ( t )= exp f
i=1

[(

exp

f t +

tot = f t ;
i=1

[(

Rs ( t )=exp +
k ->

( tot ) t

Rs ( t )=e =e

( +1 )

+1

f
i=1

( +1 )

i=1

Let

+1
f t }
{
t+

})

)]

tot = f

and

i=1

tot
+1
( +1 ) tot tot

)]

=t tot =t=

tot