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NBA Fact or Fiction
NBA Fact or Fiction
about to be
crowned, our focus shifts to the NBA where teams are now engaged in the 2nd half the season.
With that, let’s check your handicapping prowess as we take a look at a handful of handicapping
theories that apply to teams playing from Game 42 out during the regular season in the NBA. All
results are ATS (Against The Spread) and are since 1990, prior to the start of the current 2009-10
season…
Fiction. The fact of the matter is these teams are just 52-59-1 ATS, including 23-32-1 ATS at home.
At home against .367 or greater opponents they dip to 6-14-1 ATS. Worse, at home with a win
percentage of less than .677 they are 1-12-1 ATS when facing a .367 or greater foe.
Fact. That’s confirmed by the fact that these teams are 32-18 ATS, including 15-6 ATS when facing an
opponent off a SU and ATS wins.
Better yet, put these guys up against an opponent off a SU and ATS win of six or more points and they
zoom to 10-1 ATS.
Fiction. Quite the opposite, considering the fact that they are 9-17 ATS, including 6-15 ATS away.
Home or away, they are virtual no-shows if the opponent lost Su as a favorite in its last game, going 1-
11 ATS.
4. FACT OR FICTION: ROAD WHO ARE 0-3 SU AND ATS THEIR LAST 3 GAMES CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE WHEN FACING AN OPPONENT THAT IS 3-0 SU AND ATS IN ITS LAST
THREE GAMES.
Fiction. The truth of the matter is while struggling these teams bring ‘value’ to the contest as they are
64-51-3 ATS, including 20-10-1 ATS when taking more than 10 points.
Better yet, when taking more than 10 points in same conference games they are an eye-opening 12-1-1
ATS.
Fact. Momentum goes a long way in the NBA. Teams off three consecutive upset wins in a row are 38-
28-1 ATS.
Put them up against division foes and they really turn things up, going 17-5 ATS, including 15-2 ATS
versus sub .550 opposition.
There you have it. Five Super Systems to follow the 2nd half of this season. Happy hunting.
Get all of Marc Lawrence's winning sports picks at Vegas Experts here
http://www.vegasexperts.com/handicapper/lawrence.asp/ . Remember, at VE, you pay only after you
win!