Runoff 2

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Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
March 31, 2015

2nd Ward: Hopkins +9


New ward has many different demographics
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Tuesday, March 31, 2015 for
2nd Ward Alderman with 318 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
Brian Hopkins
Alyx Pattison

176
142

55.3%
44.7%

Margin of Error +/- 5.61% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
Politically connected Brian Hopkins has a slight lead over politically connected Alyx Pattison. The newly
drawn lobster shaped ward has many different communities with varied interests making campaigning
tricky.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

165
153

51.9%
48.1%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

24
84
81
129

7.5%
26.4%
25.5%
40.6%

Respondents by Zipcode
60610 Count
60611 Count
60614 Count
60622 Count
60642 Count
60647 Count
60654 Count

116
75
38
67
11
3
8

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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