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Jin Chen-Land Use Changes in NJ
Jin Chen-Land Use Changes in NJ
Jin Chen-Land Use Changes in NJ
Abstract
Land use changes of New Jersey and Cumberland County shown substantial increase of urban
development, and decreases of agriculture, water, and wetlands. Land use and land cover (LULC)
datasets of 2002-2007 and 1986-2007 were used in ArcGIS to analyze land use changes of NJ over the
last two decades. Six categories of land use type were analyzed and they were agriculture, barren land,
forest, urban, water, and wetlands. Across the state of NJ, urban land displayed a significant LULC
increase of 5.53% from 2002-2007. Counties with top increase of urban land use were Monmouth,
Ocean, Burlington, Gloucester, and Atlantic. Water had a minimal increase of 0.86% in land use, and the
increase could be associated with rising sea level. In Cumberland County, urban land use had increased
by 2626 acres or 6.54%. Land uses of agriculture, forest, and wetlands declined by -2.04%, -1.82%, and 0.08%, respectively. The decline of these land use types was likely associated with increasing urban
development. A closer look at land use change in Cumberland was done by looking at the digital
orthophoto quadrangles (DOQs) from 1995/97, 2002, 2007, and 2012 of Vineland City. Vineland had
increased on housing development and decrease of forest area as a result of urban land use. By
examining the land use changes of New Jersey over the last two decades, we are able to see a trend of
land use and land cover. This will be helpful to regulate land development and set up plans to prevent or
solve issues with land use changes.
Introduction
Impacts of Urban Sprawl: Rapid urban development influenced by mass production of affordable
vehicles, cheap mortgages, and population demography have changed the landscape of New Jersey and
other places throughout America. Urban sprawl has substantially contributed to loss of open space, and
decreased other land use types such as wetlands, forests, and agriculture in NJ (Hasse et al., 2010).
Based on the 2010 US Census, the population of NJ is nearly 9 million and the land area is 7,354.22
square miles (US Census, 2010). The state of NJ has a diversity of landscapes, natural resources, and
cultural values. Some of the distinctive geographic features and natural resources include the Valley and
Ridge region, highland forests, the Pinelands, Kirkwood-Cohansey Aquifer, and wetlands. However, the
unsustainable development of urban sprawl has resulted environmental issues and potential human
health impacts. For example, in the past two decades the rate of urbanism exceeded population growth,
while the land use of agriculture, wetlands, and forests declined (Hasse et al., 2010). Moreover, urban
development such as large single housing units, impervious surfaces, and highways often contributed to
deforestation, fragmentation, air and water pollution, loss of habitats, invasion of insects and diseases,
and loss of biodiversity (NJDEP, 2013). A disturbance to the environment such as groundwater
contamination will not only threaten the clean water supply to the people, but will also impose human
and environmental health issues.
Importance of Monitoring Land Use Changes: In order to manage the negative effects of urbanism, the
monitoring plans for land use changes are significant. In the study of (Hasse et al., 2010), the land
use/land cover datasets from 2007 was analyzed and reported an increase of 5.3% urban growth while
population growth was only 1.2% for years 2002-2007. Moreover, deforestation increased continuously
from 1986-2007 with maximum rate of 8490 acres per year for time period 2002-2007 (Hasse et al.,
2010). The loss of forests due to urban development could result a loss of habitat and biodiversity as
well as contaminating water quality on nearby streams, lakes, and groundwater. When land use changes
are being monitored, there will be data available to examine the causes of the changes. Some of the
changes could be resulted from population growth, climate change, or unsustainable development.
Moreover, a trend of the land use changes could be analyzed through monitoring, and used for land use
management.
Land Management Plans in New Jersey: In New Jersey, the Pinelands Comprehensive Management Plan
(PCMP) and the NJ State Development and Redevelopment Plan have regulations and standards set up
for land use and development. The PCMP is designed by the Pinelands Commission to regulate the
development of the Pinelands to protect and conserve natural, cultural, historical and other resources
valuable to the Pinelands. The Pinelands is divided into Preservation Areas (295,000 acres) and
Protection Areas (705,000 acres). The Preservation Area and its subareas are limited to development,
and the Protection Area and its subareas are designated for different development (NJ Pinelands
Commission, 2007). The PCMP is set up with the purpose of protecting the natural resources in the
Pinelands while allowing sustainable development. In comparison, the NJ Development and
Redevelopment Plan to ensure adequate and sustainable development through initiatives such as
implementing smart growth, providing housing for all income levels, and cross-acceptance between
state and local governments. These land management plans were established due to increases of
development and the negative effects of ineffective and unsustainable development. And, the plans are
significant in protecting the natural resources and also human welfare.
Objectives
The primary objective of this study was to understand the land use changes in New Jersey over times.
Land use and land cover datasets from 1986-2007 and 2002-2007 were downloaded from ArcGIS online
and NJDEP NJ GeoWeb Resource. Then, the datasets had to be transferred into ArcGIS to make maps
that would detail the land use changes in NJ. Afterward, New Jersey statewide land use changes and the
land use changes of my county, Cumberland County, were analyzed in the following section. Moreover,
digital orthophoto quadrangles from four different years for my town, Vineland, were downloaded and
compared to examine land use changes over time.
Results
Statewide Land Use Net Changes: Based on the overall result from 21 counties of New Jersey, the land
use types with positive land use net change in acres from 2002-2007 were water and urban land (Chart
1). Water was only accounted for a minimal of +0.86% in net change, but urban land was +5.53% in net
change (Table 1, Appendix A). The top five counties with the greatest net change in urban land were
Monmouth, Ocean, Burlington, Gloucester, and Atlantic (Chart 2). The remaining land use types
(agriculture, barren land, forest, and wetlands) had negative net changes in land use. Barren land had
the lowest net change of -12.61% (Table 1, Appendix A). Monmouth was the county with the lowest
barren land net change shown in Chart 2. Counties with the lowest net change for agriculture and forest
were Gloucester and Ocean Counties, respectively (Chart 2). The only county with no net change of
agriculture land use was Hudson (Table 3, Appendix A). Counties like Hudson, Passaic, Union, Bergen,
and Mercer in the central and northeast of NJ shown relatively larger proportional of forest net change
(Fig. 11, Appendix B). Then, northeast counties of NJ had the least net change in urban land use;
counties such as Burlington, Ocean, and Monmouth toward southern Jersey had a greater proportion in
urban land use (Fig. 12, Appendix B). The proportion of net changes for other four land use types can be
found in Appendix B.
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
2002
800,000
2007
600,000
Net Change
400,000
200,000
0
-200,000
Agriculture
Barren
Land
Forest
Urban Land
Water
Wetlands
10000
8000
4000
2000
Warren
Union
Sussex
Somerset
Salem
Passaic
Ocean
Morris
Monmouth
Middlesex
Mercer
Hunterdon
Hudson
Gloucester
Essex
Cumberland
Camden
Cape May
-4000
Bergen
-2000
Burlington
Atlantic
6000
Agriculture
Barren Land
Forest
Urban Land
Water
Wetland
-6000
-8000
NJ County
Chart 2: The highest net change of land use was urban land, and the lowest net changes of land use were
agriculture and forest
Land Use Change in Cumberland County: Barren land, urban land, and water were the three land use
types that had positive net changes in acres for years 2002-2007. Barren land accounted for the highest
net change in 315 acres or 9.31% (Table 2, Appendix A). The remaining land use types, agriculture,
forest, and wetlands, had negative net changes shown in Chart 3. In Figures 1 and 2, urban-land land use
shown increases in southeast and northwest regions. However, in Figures 3 and 4, some of the farm
lands were lost to urban development from 1986-2007. The land use changes for other land types from
1986-2007 can be examined in Appendix C. In Table 2 (Appendix A), Agriculture accounted for the
lowest net change of -1234 acres or -2.04% ; and Cumberland was one of the eleven counties to lose
over 1000acres of farm lands (Table 3, Appendix A). While the net gain of urban land from 2002-2007
was 2626 acres, forest land was lost by 1873 acres (Table 3, Appendix A). Moreover, Cumberland County
lost 77 acres of wetlands, but it is second to the first place for the least wetland loss among 21 counties
in NJ.
Chart 3: Cumberland County Land Use Change 2002-2007
100,000
80,000
2002
60,000
2007
40,000
Net Change
20,000
0
Agriculture
-20,000
Barren
Land
Forest
Urban Land
Water
Wetlands
Figure 3
7
Figure 2
Figure 4
Land Use Change in Vineland, Cumberland County: An increase of urban-land land use was observed
by using digital orthophoto quadrangles (DOQs) from 1995/97, 2002, 2007, and 2012. in Figures 5-8. The
southeast area of Vineland in Figures 5-8 was developed into a residential area starting in 2007 (Figure
7). No much changes of land use could be observed from 1995/97-2002 in Figures 5 and 6, respectively.
Figure 5
Figure 6
Discussion
Statewide Land Use Net Changes: New Jersey has 21 counties, and the land use/land cover datasets
from 2002-2007 were utilized to analyze the land use changes across NJ. Overall, urban land
development increased substantially while agriculture, wetlands, forests and barren land decreased in
land uses (Table 1, Appendix A). One of the possible reasons for urban land growth might be the
geographic location of New Jersey. New Jersey is near two largest metropolitan cities of New York and
Pennsylvania. Thus, many NJ counties would be susceptible to urban growth as people are moving in
from NY, PA and other places. In the land use change study done by Hasse et al (2010), counties with
critical urban growth and open space loss were Atlantic, Monmouth, Ocean, Burlington, Gloucester, and
Middlesex. For example, Ocean County is located in the Coastal Plain region of NJ, and its population has
grown by 1644% from 1930-2010 (Ocean County Planning Board, 2011). In the other hand, counties
examined as agriculture loss hotspots were Burlington, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Middlesex, and
Monmouth (Hasse et al., 2010). This exemplifies the trend of urban growth and decline of other land use
types such as agriculture. Hudson was the only county without any changes in agriculture; there was
zero land utilized for agriculture shown in Table 3 (Appendix A). Hudson is the most populated county in
NJ with 13,731.4 persons per square mile (Giarratana et al., 2012). The county is close to NY and its
economy is powered mostly by trade, transportation, finance, manufacturing, and other nonfarm
businesses (Giarratana et al., 2012). Both forest and wetland land uses declined overall, and could be
related to urban growth such as housing establishment. The land use of water had a total of positive net
change, and counties in the southern Jersey close to the east coast had larger proportions of increase of
water land use/land cover. This might be caused by climate change such as rising sea level; and Atlantic
County has an estimated rate of sea level rise of 3.98 0.11 mm/yr or 0.1592 0.0043in/yr (USEPA,
2014).
Cumberland County Land Use Changes: Land use and land cover datasets from 1986-2007 and 20022007 were used in ArcGIS to map out land use changes in Cumberland County, NJ. There were some
errors (a low percentage) generated when combing land use/land cover datasets. This is because 1986
data was based on county while 1995-2007 datasets were recorded based on watershed management
areas. The land use change of Cumberland County was similar to the trend of NJ with an increase of
urban land and water, and decrease of agriculture, forest, and wetlands. Barren land use in Cumberland
increased while the statewide barren land use decreased. One of the possible causes could be the
increase of urban land use in counties such as Monmouth and Ocean (Table 3, Appendix A).
Cumberland Urban Land and Agriculture Land Use Changes: Cumberland is known for its
agriculture, and is called the Golden Spot of the Garden City (Cumberland Country, 2015). But
there was a loss of 1234 acres of agriculture land from 2002-2007 (Table 2, Appendix A). In
Figures 3 and 4, farm lands are more concentrated at the north and northwest regions of
Cumberland for years 2002 and 2007. Fewer farms were scattered in south, southeast, and
southwest regions. A clear loss of farm land can be observed on the southeast area of
Cumberland from 1986-2007 (Fig. 3 & 4). The loss of farmlands is likely to be influenced by the
urban development which had an increase of 2626 acres of land use/land cover (Table 2,
Appendix A). From 1930-2010, Cumberland population growth has increased by 124% (Ocean
County Planning Board, 2011), and the overall change in population is 7.1% from 2000-2010
(Cumberland County, 2015). Based on the statewide trend of urban development exceeding
population growth (Hasse et al., 2001 & Hasse et al., 2010), the rate of urban development
might be exceeding population growth in Vineland. In Figures 1 and 2, X and Y, theres a clear
2002
2007
Net Change
% Change
Agriculture
594,599
566,045
-28,554
-4.802228056
Barren Land
59,138
51,678
-7,460
-12.61456255
Forest
1,568,809
1,526,367
-42,442
-2.705364388
Urban Land
1,452,077
1,532,364
80,287
5.529114503
803,611
810,541
6,930
0.862357534
Water
Wetlands
1,005,735
996,675
-8,760 -0.871004788
Table 1: Water and Urban land use across NJ were the only two land use types with positive net change
in acres; and urban land had an approximately 5.53% in net change from 2002-2007.
2002
2007
Net Change
% Change
Agriculture
60,402
59,168
-1,234
-2.04297871
Barren Land
3,384
3,699
315
9.308510638
102,663
100,790
-1,873
-1.82441581
Urban Land
40,161
42,787
2,626
6.538681806
Water
18,814
19,056
242
1.286276177
Forest
Wetlands
95,725
95,648
-77
-0.08043876
Table 2: Three land use types with positive net change in acres were barren land, urban land, and water.
Figure 10
Figure 13
Figure 14
Figure 15
Figure 17
Figure 16
Figure 18
Figure 21
Figure 20
Figure 22