Case Problem 03

Hamilton County Judges

In partial fulfillment
of the course requirements
in DECSCI1
M72
Submitted by:
Group 4
Agregado
Chua
Pambid
Velayo
Wang
Abalos

MAY 27, 2015

1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three

different courts.
Common Pleas Court
Appealed cases
cases
0.04009557401
0.004528387757

Reversed

Domestic Relations Court

Appealed cases
cases
0.003475523788
0.0005573953244
Municipal Court
Appealed cases
cases
0.004609824458
0.0009588434872

Reversed

Reversed

2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge.

Common Pleas Court
Fred Cartolano
Thomas Crush
Patrick Dinkelacker
Timothy Hogan
Robert Kraft
William Mathews
William Morrissey
Norbert Nadel
Arthur Ney Jr.
Richard Nichaus
Thomas Nurte
John OConnor
Robert Ruehlman
J. Howard Sundermann
Ann Marie Tracey
Ralph Winkler
Domestic Relations Court
Penelope Cunningham
Patrick Dinkelacker
Deborah Gaines

Probability
0.04511030622
0.03529062871
0.03497615262
0.0307062436
0.04047163799
0.04019434629
0.03990765172
0.04427171342
0.03883193538
0.0408589323
0.0403333333
0.04344897272
0.04524180967
0.06282722513
0.04043298313
0.02848818388
Probability
0.00256504214
0.003166138977
0.00545516536

Ronald Panioto

Municipal Court
Mike Allen
Nadine Allen
Timothy Black
David Davis
Leslie Isaiah Gaines
Karla Grady
Deidra Hair
Dennis Helmick
Timothy Hogan
James Patrick Kenney
Joseph Luebbers
William Mallory
Melba Marsh
Beth Mattingly
Albert Mestemaker
Mark Painter
Jack Rosen
Mark Schweikert
David Stockdale
John A. West

0.002467232074

Probability
0.006993006993
0.004352278546
0.005154639175
0.005558428128
0.006626277925
0.001142204455
0.001974723539
0.003670886076
0.005632582322
0.002144388849
0.005321413367
0.004591035399
0.004136756296
0.004375631101
0.005628140704
0.003126395712
0.005263157895
0.006107717934
0.004096071495
0.001430103683

3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge.

Common Pleas Court
Fred Cartolano
Thomas Crush
Patrick Dinkelacker
Timothy Hogan
Robert Kraft
William Mathews
William Morrissey
Norbert Nadel
Arthur Ney Jr.
Richard Nichaus
Thomas Nurte
John OConnor
Robert Ruehlman
J. Howard Sundermann

Probability
0.003951
0.002966
0.006359
0.003582
0.002231
0.007951
0.007256
0.006759
0.004349
0.004772
0.002
0.004042
0.005616
0.01047

Ann Marie Tracey

Ralph Winkler

0.004139
0.001942

Domestic Relations Court

Penelope Cunningham
Patrick Dinkelacker
Deborah Gaines
Ronald Panioto

Probability
0.0003664
0.0006666
0.001023
0.0002313

Municipal Court
Mike Allen
Nadine Allen
Timothy Black
David Davis
Leslie Isaiah Gaines
Karla Grady
Deidra Hair
Dennis Helmick
Timothy Hogan
James Patrick Kenney
Joseph Luebbers
William Mallory
Melba Marsh
Beth Mattingly
Albert Mestemaker
Mark Painter
Jack Rosen
Mark Schweikert
David Stockdale
John A. West

Probability
0.0006505
0.0007680
0.0007543
0.0006463
0.002461
0
0
0.0006329
0.0008666
0.0003574
0.0001703
0.0001087
0.0008517
0.0003366
0.001809
0.001340
0.001669
0.001110
0.0007447
0.0007151

4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge.

Common Pleas Court
Fred Cartolano
Thomas Crush
Patrick Dinkelacker
Timothy Hogan
Robert Kraft
William Mathews
William Morrissey
Norbert Nadel

Probability
0.08759
0.08405
0.1818
0.1166
0.05513
0.1978
0.1818
0.1527

Arthur Ney Jr.

Richard Nichaus
Thomas Nurte
John OConnor
Robert Ruehlman
J. Howard Sundermann
Ann Marie Tracey
Ralph Winkler

0.112
0.1168
0.04963
0.09302
0.1241
0.1666
0.1024
0.06816

Domestic Relations Court

Penelope Cunningham
Patrick Dinkelacker
Deborah Gaines
Ronald Panioto

Probability
0.1428
0.2105
0.1875
0.09376

Municipal Court
Mike Allen
Nadine Allen
Timothy Black
David Davis
Leslie Isaiah Gaines
Karla Grady
Deidra Hair
Dennis Helmick
Timothy Hogan
James Patrick Kenney
Joseph Luebbers
William Mallory
Melba Marsh
Beth Mattingly
Albert Mestemaker
Mark Painter
Jack Rosen
Mark Schweikert
David Stockdale
John A. West

Probability
0.09302
0.1765
0.1463
0.1163
0.3714
0
0
0.1724
0.1538
0.1667
0.03201
0.02368
0.2059
0.07692
0.3214
0.4287
0.3171
0.1817
0.1818
0.5