, .

,
,
.
, :

34.76198 0.26082 X

1%,
0,26%.

* 1, 2, ,

B1

B2 X =34,08571+0,2608202*2,592857=34,08571+0,6762,7=34,76198

Xi

B 2

Xi

=-23,60144/90,48929=-0,26082

var B 2

X Yi Y

xi2

=5,0451/90,48929=0,0556

=60,5414/12=5,0451

var B1

se B 2

X2
n

xi2

xi2

=(184,61/14*90,48929)*5,0451=0,7352

= 2,2461/9,5126=0,2361

X i2

se B1

cov B1 , B 2

xi2

0,7352=0,8574

xi2

=--2,592857*0,0556=-0,1442

* 10
. insheet using d:\inflacija_nev.txt
(3 vars, 15 obs)
. list
godina

nevrab~t

inflac~a

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

.
1996
1997
1998
1999

.
31.9
36
34.5
32.4

.
3
4.4
.8
-1.1

6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

32.2
30.5
31.9
36.7
37.2

5.8
5.5
1.8
1.2
-.4

11.
12.
13.
14.
15.

2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

37.3
36
34.9
33.8
31.9

.5
3.2
2.3
8.3
1

Variable

Obs

Mean

godina
nevraboten~t
inflacija

14
14
14

2002.5
34.08571
2.592857

. summarize
Std. Dev.

Min

Max

4.1833
2.298781
2.638317

1996
30.5
-1.1

2009
37.3
8.3

. regress

nevrabotenost inflacija

Source

SS

df

MS

Model
Residual

6.15573239
62.5414142

1
12

6.15573239
5.21178452

Total

68.6971466

13

5.28439589

nevraboten~t

Coef.

inflacija
_cons

-.2608202
34.76198

Std. Err.
.2399908
.8714816

t
-1.09
39.89

Number of obs
F( 1,
12)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE

=
=
=
=
=
=

14
1.18
0.2985
0.0896
0.0137
2.2829

P>|t|

[95% Conf. Interval]

0.298
0.000

-.7837153
32.86319

.2620749
36.66078

0,0896,
. -(-1,07,39,89)
.