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SCOTT*
The segmentationtargetingpositioning conceptual framework has
been the traditional foundation and genesis of marketing strategy
formulation. The authors propose a general clusterwise bilinear spatial
model that simultaneously estimates market segments, their composition, a brand space, and preference/utility vectors per market segment;
that is, the model performs segmentation and positioning simultaneously.
After a review of related methodological research in the marketing,
psychometrics, and classification literature streams, the authors present
the technical details of the proposed two-way clusterwise bilinear spatial
model. They develop an efficient alternating least squares procedure that
estimates conditional globally optimum estimates of the model parameters within each iteration through analytic closed-form expressions.
The authors present various model options. They provide a conceptual
and empirical comparison with latent-class multidimensional scaling.
They use an illustration of the new bilinear multidimensional scaling
methodology with an actual commercial study sponsored by a large U.S.
automotive manufacturer to examine buying/consideration intentions for
small sport-utility vehicles. The authors conclude by summarizing the
contributions of this research, discussing the marketing implications for
managers, and providing several directions for further research.
*Wayne S. DeSarbo is Smeal Distinguished Research Professor of Marketing (e-mail: wsd6@psu.edu), and Rajdeep Grewal is Deans Faculty
Fellow and Professor of Marketing (e-mail: rug2@psu.edu), Smeal College of Business, Pennsylvania State University. Crystal J. Scott is Assistant Professor of Marketing, School of Management, University of
MichiganDearborn (e-mail: cjscott@umd.umich.edu). Michel Wedel
served as associate editor for this article.
280
281
282
ij =
(1)
P X
is
s =1
jr Ysr
+ b + ij ,
r =1
where
Xjr = the rth coordinate for brand j;
Ysr = the rth coordinate for segment s (vector);
0 if consumer i is not classified in segment s, and
Pis =
1 if otherwise;
such that
Pis {0, 1},
Ss = 1Pis = 1 for partitions, or
0 < Ss = 1Pis S for overlapping segments;
ij = error; and
b = an additive constant.
As in the ordinary restricted MDS of preference/choice
(see CANDELINC by Carroll, Pruzansky, and Kruskal
1980; GENFOLD2 by DeSarbo and Rao 1986), we allow
as an option the linear reparameterization of the brand coordinates (X) as functions of designated attributes, marketing
mix, features, as so forth, with the following:
X jr =
(2)
jk kr ,
where
k = 1, , K brand attributes or features (note that K <
J for use of this option);
283
Figure 1
ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE: S = 3 MARKET SEGMENTS, R = 2 DIMENSIONS, J = 10 BRANDS (I.E., BRAND A = BRAND J), AND K = 7
ATTRIBUTES
A: Brand Space
(3) Min P, X, Y, b =
ij
s
i = 1 j = 1
J
X jr Ysr b
=1
P
is
=1
.
2
ij
(4)
(5)
Letting I J = (( ij )), we can rewrite the model for this twoway data case as
* = PYX + ,
(6)
= tr * * * P YX XYP * + XY P PYX
284
(7)
=
2 tr ( AX) + tr ( XBX) ,
X X
where
(9)
A = * PY and
(10)
B = Y P PY.
Thus,
(11)
(16)
= 2 A + X( B + B),
X
2 A + 2 XB = 0.
Solving for X,
(13)
= AB1
X
= * P Y(Y P PY)1 ,
2 2 = 0, and
(15)
a = ()11,
=
tr 2 * P YX + XY P PYX
Y Y
(17)
tr (2 * P YX) + tr ( XY P PYX)
(18)
2 tr (CYX) + tr ( XY QYX) ,
Y
where
(19)
C = * P and
(20)
Q = P P.
Then,
(21)
2 X * P + (P P)Y( X X) + (P P) Y( X X) = 0,
(22)
3. Estimate P
Note that Pis {0, 1}; this represents the segment membership indicator binary variables such that
(23)
1, i , and
is
(24)
is
> R , s.
= tr ( ),
(26)
= tr (),
and
I
(27)
Hii ,
i =1
where H = ; thus,
I
(28)
i =1
*
i
P i YX)( i P i YX).
(29)
ij =
X
Pis
s =1
jr Ysr ,
r =1
and let
L = vec( ij ),
K = (1, M),
1 = (1, 1, ..., 1), and
M = vec( ij ).
Then, we can formulate this estimation problem as a simple
least squares one and calculate the following:
(30)
b
= (K K )1 K L.
a
b i
= (K i K i )1 K i L i ,
a
i
(32)
VAF = 1
ij
ij )2
i = 1j = 1
N
J
,
ij
.. )2
i = 1j = 1
where
(33)
.. =
1
NJ
.
ij
i = 1j = 1
If VAF(IT) VAF(IT 1) .0001, output all parameters estimated and stop; otherwise, increase IT = IT + 1 and return
to Step 1.
Note that Steps 14 of this alternating least squares algorithm provide a global optimum solution within iterate conditioned on holding fixed all the other parameter sets. In
addition, Steps 1, 2, and 4 are analytical closed-form
expressions that do not require much computational time.
However, these desirable properties do not guarantee a
global optimum solution after convergence. Similar to its
latent-class MDS counterparts, the proposed methodology
is also subject to locally optimum solutions, and thus the
procedure needs to be executed numerous times from different random starting points to check for globally optimum
solutions, as in the case of latent-class MDS. Model selection (selection of R and S) is determined by associated
scree plots of VAF in Equation 32 for sequential values of
R and S, as in traditional MDS and optimization-based
clustering. In addition, as with all multivariate procedures,
model selection is also guided by an inspection and interpretation of the results.
MARKETING COMMERCIAL APPLICATION: SMALL
SUVs
Study Background
285
286
Brand
2002 Sales
Jeep Liberty
Honda CR-V
Ford Escape
Toyota RAV4
Hyundai Santa Fe
Subaru Outback
Saturn VUE
Jeep Wrangler
Subaru Forrester
Mazda Tribute
Chevrolet Tracker
Suzuki XL-7
Land Rover Freelander
Suzuki Grand Vitara
Mitsubishi Outlander
Suzuki Vitara
Isuzu Rodeo Sport
Honda Element
171,212
146,266
145,471
86,601
78,279
77,917
75,477
64,351
53,992
44,989
42,212
27,295
15,021
11,529
11,346
6549
3745
957
1,063,209
Table 2 shows the various model selection heuristics values for determining R and S for the proposed methodology
without brand reparameterization since K > J. For sequential values of R and S, we performed five runs and selected
the best-fitting solution for values of S and R. We ran the
proposed procedure for S R (solutions for R > S cannot
be identified in either latent-class MDS or such clusterwise
procedures) for both overlapping and nonoverlapping cluster solutions on the row standardized input data, and Table
2 displays the results for the overlapping cluster solutions,
which dominated the corresponding nonoverlapping ones in
terms of VAF. On the basis of the goodness-of-fit values
(VAF) for the incremental search procedure across values
of R and S and subsequent interpretation, we selected the
R = 4 dimensions/S = 5 overlapping segments solution as
most parsimonious. Note that the overlapping solution rendered a 34.1% improvement in VAF compared with the
nonoverlapping solution for this same R and S. (The resultant VAF was .525 for the addition of individual-level additive and multiplicative constants/parameters versus .472 for
just the one additive constant parametera trivial improvement given the addition of 600 additional parameters.)
Table 2
CLUSTERWISE VECTOR MDS RESULTS
R = Number of Dimensions
S = Number of Clusters
Number of Iterations
SSE
VAF
1
2
3
4
5
2
3
4
5
3
4
5
4
5
5
3
9
13
20
23
16
15
9
22
11
12
16
16
10
17
2858.8
2719.8
2658.8
2643.8
2639.9
2590.9
2358.1
2291.4
2248.1
2214.8
2071.9
1988.4
1934.6
1740.8
1629.1
.133
.175
.194
.198
.200
.214
.285
.305
.318
.328
.372
.397
.413
.472
.506
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
4a
5
aSelected
287
Figure 2
CLUSTERWISE SOLUTION: DIMENSION 1 VERSUS DIMENSION 2
288
Mean consideration
Market
Not prestigious
Does not last a long time
Poor gas mileage
Poor value for the money
Poor cargo space
Difficult to enter/exit
Difficult to load/unload
looking
Fun GoodReasonably
priced
drive
Passenger room
Excellent acceleration
Good vehicle for family use
Not
sporty
Workmanship
Luxurious
Good looking
Technically advanced
High trade-in value
zeros in such off-diagonal elements). Note that the overlapping solution rendered a 34.1% improvement in VAF compared with the nonoverlapping solution for this same R and
S. Other calculations can also be explored to quantify
higher-order overlap (i.e., memberships in 3, 4, or all 5
segments).
Table 5 displays the calculated scalar product utility predictions for each of the five derived market segments for
each of the 11 calibration brands. Segment 1 prefers the
Chevy Tracker, Jeep Wrangler, and Hyundai Sante Fe (offroad); Segment 2 prefers the Toyota RAV4, Honda CR-V,
and Mazda Tribute (economical considerations); Segment 3
has overwhelming preference for the Jeep Liberty (popularity); Segment 4 prefers the Suburu Forrester and Saturn
VUE (size); and Segment 5 prefers the Hyundai Sante Fe,
Ford Escape, and Honda CR-V (practicality). Thus, there
are rather distinct preference sets among these five derived
segments. Note that predicted utilities for overlapping segments can also be formed by adding the appropriate
columns of this table to reflect the particular combination
of market segments desired.
.454
.125
.467
.290
.488
.280
.332
.965
.967
.382
.887
.856
.111
.942
.124
.486
.545
.825
.239
.562
.698
.397
.519
.340
.349
.712
.815
.881
.685
.460
.460
.568
.182
.214
.070
.339
.244
.283
.208
.238
.303
.834
.436
.323
.849
.615
.749
.851
.058
.176
.287
.535
.428
.779
.821
.911
.865
.184
.184
.535
.115
.514
.969
.204
.956
.931
.420
.608
.970
.351
.654
.679
.432
.295
.409
.106
.011
.215
.096
.112
.021
.135
.040
.066
.240
.132
.244
.029
.201
.196
.146
.146
.048
.069
.187
.115
.140
.197
.702
.424
Table 4
CLASSIFICATION PROBABILITIES FOR THE CLUSTERWISE
OVERLAPPING SOLUTION
Segment
Segment
1
2
3
4
5
.493
.210
.280
.323
.277
.210
.433
.250
.227
.273
.280
.250
.487
.267
.263
.323
.227
.267
.547
.350
.277
.273
.263
.350
.600
289
Table 5
PREDICTED UTILITY VALUES OF 11 SUVS BY DERIVED SEGMENT
Segment
Brand
Chevy Tracker
Jeep Wrangler
Hyundai Santa Fe
Subaru Outback
Toyota RAV4
Honda CR-V
Ford Escape
Subaru Forrester
Mazda Tribute
Saturn VUE
Jeep Liberty
1.058
.946
.746
.786
.102
.368
.219
.645
.418
.503
.147
.152
.490
.549
.055
.815
.613
.823
.348
.613
.066
.648
.695
.466
.614
.439
.287
.371
.151
.417
.346
.155
.994
.040
.871
.343
.306
.183
.267
.067
.691
.162
.650
.206
.798
.556
.835
.052
.266
.596
.726
.400
.432
.400
.221
290
rations derived for MULTICLUS and the proposed clusterwise procedure suggests that, at most, two of the four
dimensions from both analyses can be deemed to be somewhat similar because only the first two canonical correlations are statistically significant. Thus, the two procedures
render different results.
The mixing proportions denoting segment sizes for
MULTICLUS were .230, .262, .094, .300, and .114 for the
five segments, respectively. The MULTICLUS predicted
utility scores per derived segment suggest that Segment 1
prefers the Honda CR-V and Ford Escape, Segment 2
prefers the Mazda Tribute and Ford Escape, Segment 3
prefers the Hyundai Sante Fe, Segment 4 prefers the Jeep
Liberty and Jeep Wrangler, and Segment 5 prefers the
Hyundai Sante Fe and Jeep Liberty.
.556
.351
.563
.239
.601
.468
.566
.276
.633
.294
.256
.492
Table 7
Clusterwise
.458
.589
.736
.426
.780
.654
.708
.817
.814
.263
.824
.687
Rodeo Sport
Vitara
Grand Vitara
Freelander
Suzuki
Outlander
Element
Overall
MULTICLUS
Clusterwise
.447
.485
.423
.455
.395
.394
.280
.433
.507
.643
.646
.857
.413
.399
.472
.596
291
292