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Jelena Fedurko - How Is CCPM Differnt - 10 TOCPA - Feb 2013 - India - 22 Feb 2014 - FIN
Jelena Fedurko - How Is CCPM Differnt - 10 TOCPA - Feb 2013 - India - 22 Feb 2014 - FIN
com
Jelena Fedurko
TOC Strategic Solutions, Estonia
22 February, 2014
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
Jelena Fedurko
Jelena has 14 years of TOC experience as a
trainer and consultant providing support in TOC
implementations in the areas of people
management, production, supply chain, project
management.
Jelena has worked in Japan, Poland, Turkey, Italy,
Russia, Ukraine, India, China, Chile, Colombia,
Mexico and other countries throughout the world.
Jelena is the author of the books Behind the
Cloud Enhancing logical thinking and Through
Clouds to Solutions. The books present new
developments in the area of working with
assumptions, UDEs and UDE Clouds.
Together with Oded Cohen Jelena has coauthored the book TOC Fundamentals, recently
published in Russian.
She has authored numerous articles on TOC
concepts
and
implementation,
and
has
contributed to and edited several TOC books.
jelenafedurko.gs@gmail.com
www.toc-strategicsolutions.com
www.tocpractice.com
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TOC Rule not more than 300-400 tasks even in a very big project.
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
www.tocpractice.com
Why?
The project brings benefits only AFTER completion.
Having fixed start date and project completion due date is also a technical
requirement for the CCPM mechanics to work.
This raises a frequent question WHAT IS THE END OF MY PROJECT?
Especially if the project is treated by a company as an Investment project
- New equipment
- New production facility
- New technology
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
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6. The project plan is built ONLY with the relationship Finish to Start.
G10
B10
M16
Letter and
Colour = Resource
C20
W16
Finish
M12
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28d
BUFFER IS NOT A
CUSHION
BUT MANAGEMENT
MECHANISM!
Task 1 started and in Day 3 the resource reports that the task faces a difficulty and it will
take not 7 days to complete, but 14.
T1-17d
T2-10d T3-16d
T6-20d
28d
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T1-17d
T2-10d T3-16d
T6-20d
28d
28d
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Construction 6 months
Increase in Task Supply is 2 weeks. So
what? How does this increase in
duration reflect on the START of Task
Construction?
Construction 6 months
And how often is it discovered that there is delay in supply only WHEN Construction
actually cannot start because the materials are LATE?
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
Construction 6 months
We may hear an argument: it is enough if the supplier ships us of the materials
that we may start the Task Construction. Then the relationship is like that:
Supply
first 1/4 mater.
- 1 month
Supply
the rest - 3 months
Construction 6 months
If the 1/4 of
materials come
with the 2 week
delay:
Supply
first 1/4 mater.
- 1 month
Supply
the rest - 3 months
Construction 6 months
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
Probability of
completion
7. For every task in the project plan we put the estimation of task
duration that has ONLY 50% probability to be completed within the
estimated time or earlier.
Tasks contain a lot of safety!
50%
80%
Time
Students syndrome
Parkinsons Law
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Numbers Project
Shapes Project
10
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Duration of
Project
Shapes
Duration of Project
Numbers
Duration of Project
Letters
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Letter and
Colour = Resource
B10
M16
W16
C20
Finish
M12
Critical Chain
W16
G10
B10
M12
M16
C20
Finish
64 days
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The projected completion date of the longest chain moved to 17.09.2013 REALISTIC!
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
The projected completion date of the longest chain did not change 17.09.2013
New dependencies RESOURCE dependencies are inserted.
Copyright 2014 by Oded Cohen & Jelena Fedurko
www.tocpractice.com
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With 50% durations and buffers the projected completion date for the project is 02.12.2013.
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10. CCPM does NOT work on the principle of TASK DUE DATE!
CCPM works on the principle of Roadrunner- every resource
finishes the task as soon as possible and passes it to the next
resource that will be informed in time and will be waiting.
www.tocpractice.com
11. Tasks performers report NOT How Much They Have Completed
(this is looking backwards) but HOW MANY MORE DAYS IS LEFT
FOR THEM TO COMPLETE THE TASK according to their fresh
estimation. This is looking forward!
TOC
THE PAST
TODAY
THE FUTURE
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% Buffer Consumed
100%
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Each dot is
a project.