YEAR

GASEXP POP

GASP

INCOME PNC

PUC

PPT

1953

7.4

159565

16.668

8883

47.2

26.7

16.8

1954

7.8

162391

17.029

8685

46.5

22.7

18

1955

8.6

165275

17.21

9137

44.8

21.5

18.5

1956

9.4

168221

17.729

9436

46.1

20.7

19.2

1957

10.2

171274

18.497

9534

48.5

23.2

19.9

1958

10.6

174141

18.316

9343

50

24

20.9

1959

11.3

177130

18.576

9738

52.2

26.8

21.5

1960

12
12
12.6
13
13.6
14.8
16
17.1
18.6
20.5
21.9
23.2
24.4
28.1
36.1
39.7
43
46.9
50.1
66.2
86.7
97.9
94.1
93.1
94.6
97.2
80.1
85.4
88.3
98.6
111.2
108.5
112.4
114.1
116.2

180760
183742
186590
189300
191927
194347
196599
198752
200745
202736
205089
207692
209924
211939
213898
215981
218086
220289
222629
225106
227726
230008
232218
234333
236394
238506
240683
242843
245061
247387
250181
253530
256922
260282
263455

19.112
18.924
19.043
18.997
18.873
19.587
20.038
20.7
21.005
21.696
21.89
22.05
22.336
24.473
33.059
35.278
36.777
38.907
40.597
54.406
75.509
84.018
79.768
77.16
76.005
76.619
60.175
62.488
63.017
68.837
78.385
77.338
77.04
76.257
76.614

9770
9843
10226
10398
11051
11430
11981
12418
12932
13060
13567
14008
14270
15309
15074
15555
15693
15991
16674
16843
16711
17046
17429
17659
18922
19622
19944
19802
20682
21048
21379
21129
21505
21515
21797

51.5
51.5
51.3
51
50.9
49.7
48.8
49.3
50.7
51.5
53
55.2
54.7
54.8
57.9
62.9
66.9
70.4
75.8
81.8
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9
119.2
121
125.3
128.4
131.5
136

25
26
28.4
28.7
30
29.8
29
29.9
30.7
30.9
31.2
33
33.1
35.2
36.7
43.8
50.3
54.7
55.8
60.2
62.3
76.9
88.8
98.7
112.5
113.7
108.8
113.1
118
120.4
117.6
118.1
123.2
133.9
141.7

22.2
23.2
24
24.3
24.7
25.2
26.1
27.4
28.7
30.9
35.2
37.8
39.3
39.7
40.6
43.5
47.8
50
51.5
54.9
69
85.6
94.9
99.5
105.7
110.5
117
121.1
123.3
129.5
142.6
148.9
151.4
167
172

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

120.2
130.4
134.4
122.4
137.9
175.7
171.6
163.4
191.3
224.5

266588
269714
272958
276154
279328
282429
285366
288217
291073
293951

77.826
82.596
82.579
71.874
78.207
100
96.289
90.405
105.154
123.901

22100
22506
22944
24079
24464
25380
25449
26352
26437
27113

139
141.4
141.7
140.7
139.6
139.6
138.9
137.3
134.7
133.9

156.5
157
151.1
150.6
152
155.8
158.7
152
142.9
133.3

175.9
181.9
186.7
190.3
197.7
209.6
210.6
207.4
209.3
209.1

PD

PN

PS

ln(GASEXP/POP)ln(GASP)

ln(INC/POP)

37.7

29.7

19.4

-9.979

2.813

-2.888

36.8

29.7

20

-9.944

2.835

-2.928

36.1

29.5

20.4

-9.864

2.845

-2.895

36.1

29.9

20.9

-9.792

2.875

-2.881

37.2

30.9

21.8

-9.729

2.918

-2.888

37.8

31.7

22.6

-9.707

2.908

-2.925

38.4

31.5

23.3

-9.660

2.922

-2.901

38.1
38.1
38.5
38.6
39
38.8
38.9
39.4
40.7
42.2
44.1
46
46.9
48.1
51.5
57.4
60.9
64.4
68.6
75.4
83
89.6
95.1
99.8
105.1
106.8
106.6
108.2
110.4
112.2
113.4
116
118.6
121.3
124.8

32
32.2
32.5
32.9
33.2
33.8
35.1
35.7
37.1
38.9
40.8
42.1
43.5
47.5
54
58.3
60.5
64
68.6
77.2
87.6
95.2
97.8
99.7
102.5
104.8
103.5
107.5
111.8
118.2
126
130.3
132.8
135.1
136.8

24.1
24.5
25
25.5
26
26.6
27.6
28.8
30.3
32.4
35
37
38.4
40.1
43.8
48
52
56
60.8
67.5
77.9
88.1
96
99.4
104.6
109.9
115.4
120.2
125.7
131.9
139.2
146.3
152
157.9
163.1

-9.620
-9.636
-9.603
-9.586
-9.555
-9.483
-9.416
-9.361
-9.287
-9.199
-9.145
-9.100
-9.060
-8.928
-8.687
-8.602
-8.531
-8.455
-8.399
-8.132
-7.873
-7.762
-7.811
-7.831
-7.824
-7.805
-8.008
-7.953
-7.929
-7.828
-7.719
-7.756
-7.734
-7.732
-7.726

2.950
2.940
2.947
2.944
2.938
2.975
2.998
3.030
3.045
3.077
3.086
3.093
3.106
3.198
3.498
3.563
3.605
3.661
3.704
3.996
4.324
4.431
4.379
4.346
4.331
4.339
4.097
4.135
4.143
4.232
4.362
4.348
4.344
4.334
4.339

-2.918
-2.927
-2.904
-2.902
-2.855
-2.833
-2.798
-2.773
-2.742
-2.742
-2.716
-2.696
-2.689
-2.628
-2.653
-2.631
-2.632
-2.623
-2.592
-2.593
-2.612
-2.602
-2.590
-2.585
-2.525
-2.498
-2.491
-2.507
-2.472
-2.464
-2.460
-2.485
-2.480
-2.493
-2.492

128
129.4
128.7
127.6
126
125.4
124.6
121.4
117.5
114.8

139.3
143.5
146.4
146.9
151.2
158.2
160.6
161.1
165.3
172.2

168.7
174.1
179.4
184.2
188.8
195.3
203.4
209.8
216.5
222.8

-7.704
-7.635
-7.616
-7.721
-7.614
-7.382
-7.416
-7.475
-7.327
-7.177

4.354
4.414
4.414
4.275
4.359
4.605
4.567
4.504
4.655
4.819

-2.490
-2.484
-2.476
-2.440
-2.435
-2.409
-2.417
-2.392
-2.399
-2.383

ln(PNC)

ln(PUC)

ln(PPT)

ln(PD)

ln(PN)

ln(PS)

3.854

3.285

2.821

3.630

3.391

2.965

1953

3.839

3.122

2.890

3.605

3.391

2.996

1954

3.802

3.068

2.918

3.586

3.384

3.016

1955

3.831

3.030

2.955

3.586

3.398

3.040

1956

3.882

3.144

2.991

3.616

3.431

3.082

1957

3.912

3.178

3.040

3.632

3.456

3.118

1958

3.955

3.288

3.068

3.648

3.450

3.148

1959

3.942
3.942
3.938
3.932
3.930
3.906
3.888
3.898
3.926
3.942
3.970
4.011
4.002
4.004
4.059
4.142
4.203
4.254
4.328
4.404
4.482
4.540
4.579
4.604
4.633
4.664
4.706
4.741
4.761
4.781
4.796
4.831
4.855
4.879
4.913

3.219
3.258
3.346
3.357
3.401
3.395
3.367
3.398
3.424
3.431
3.440
3.497
3.500
3.561
3.603
3.780
3.918
4.002
4.022
4.098
4.132
4.343
4.486
4.592
4.723
4.734
4.690
4.728
4.771
4.791
4.767
4.772
4.814
4.897
4.954

3.100
3.144
3.178
3.190
3.207
3.227
3.262
3.311
3.357
3.431
3.561
3.632
3.671
3.681
3.704
3.773
3.867
3.912
3.942
4.006
4.234
4.450
4.553
4.600
4.661
4.705
4.762
4.797
4.815
4.864
4.960
5.003
5.020
5.118
5.147

3.640
3.640
3.651
3.653
3.664
3.658
3.661
3.674
3.706
3.742
3.786
3.829
3.848
3.873
3.942
4.050
4.109
4.165
4.228
4.323
4.419
4.495
4.555
4.603
4.655
4.671
4.669
4.684
4.704
4.720
4.731
4.754
4.776
4.798
4.827

3.466
3.472
3.481
3.493
3.503
3.520
3.558
3.575
3.614
3.661
3.709
3.740
3.773
3.861
3.989
4.066
4.103
4.159
4.228
4.346
4.473
4.556
4.583
4.602
4.630
4.652
4.640
4.677
4.717
4.772
4.836
4.870
4.889
4.906
4.919

3.182
3.199
3.219
3.239
3.258
3.281
3.318
3.360
3.411
3.478
3.555
3.611
3.648
3.691
3.780
3.871
3.951
4.025
4.108
4.212
4.355
4.478
4.564
4.599
4.650
4.700
4.748
4.789
4.834
4.882
4.936
4.986
5.024
5.062
5.094

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

4.934
4.952
4.954
4.947
4.939
4.939
4.934
4.922
4.903
4.897

5.053
5.056
5.018
5.015
5.024
5.049
5.067
5.024
4.962
4.893

5.170
5.203
5.230
5.249
5.287
5.345
5.350
5.335
5.344
5.343

4.852
4.863
4.857
4.849
4.836
4.832
4.825
4.799
4.766
4.743

4.937
4.966
4.986
4.990
5.019
5.064
5.079
5.082
5.108
5.149

5.128
5.160
5.190
5.216
5.241
5.275
5.315
5.346
5.378
5.406

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

REG1
Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)
REG2
Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)+b2*ln(INC/POP)

REG3 (Full model)

Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)+b2*ln(INC/POP)+b3*ln(PNC)+b4*ln(PUC)+b6*ln(PPT)

(PUC)+b6*ln(PPT)+b7*ln(PD)+b8*ln(PN)+b9*ln(PS)+b10*t