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Industry Capital Spending

Cdn $billions
Oil & Gas Investment Spending:
2012: $67 billion
Northern Canada
2012 2013E 2014F
$0.1 $0.5
$0.7

2013: $67 billion (estimate)


2014: $68 billion (forecast)

Oil Sands
2012 2013E 2014F
$27
$25
$25

Western Canada
2012 2013E 2014F
$37
$39
$39

Note: Excludes spending on mergers & acquisitions

East Coast Offshore


2012 2013E 2014F
$2.4 $3.0
$3.5

Canadian Oil Sands (Bitumen and SCO) & Conventional


Production

Access to Markets Pipeline Expansions in Development

WCSB Takeaway vs Supply Forecast

Crude Oil Rail Exports

Western Canada vs. North Dakota


Opportunities:

Relatively quick
Flexibility
Less diluent
Use in both
directions

Challenges:

Recent safety
Higher costs
Limited loading and
tank car availability

Source: Peters & Co. Limited = Sept 2013

New Market Opportunities for W. Canadian Gas


Area of Oil Sands
Deposit
NGTL
Westcoast
PNG (Capacity approx: 110 MMcfd)
Pacific Trail: Proposed (Kitimat LNG)
Coastal GasLink: Proposed (LNG Canada)
Prince Rupert Gas Trans: Proposed
(Pacific Northwest LNG)

Growing
Oil Sands
Demand

Westcoast Connector:
Proposed (Prince Rupert LNG)

Potential
LNG
Export
Demand

Declining
Traditional
Market
Demand

Canadian West Coast LNG export projects in


development

Kitimat LNG (Chevron, Apache)

1.4 Bcf/d

Permits received (including Export License); awaiting investment decision


BC LNG Export Co-operative

0.125 Bcf/d

Permits received (including Export License)


LNG Canada (Shell, KOGAS, Mitsubishi, PetroChina)

2.0 3.2 Bcf/d

Feasibility stage; applied for some permits; Export License granted


Pacific Northwest LNG (Progress/Petronas, Japex)

2.0 Bcf/d (Merger approval granted)


Prince Rupert

Completed feasibility, Export License granted, progressing to pre-FEED


Aurora LNG (Nexen/Inpex)
Kitimat

Conducting feasibility
Prince Rupert LNG (BG Group)

3.0 Bcf/d

Advancing feasibility, Export License granted, applying for environmental permits


Triton LNG (AltaGas/Idemitsu Kosan)

0.3 Bcf/d

Conducting feasibility; applied for export license


ExxonMobil/Imperial Oil (WCC LNG Ltd)
Vancouver

4.0 Bcf/d

Granted Export license


Woodfibre LNG

0.3 Bcfd

Granted Export license


Woodside (Grassy Point LNG)
Note: Other announced projects include Kitsault LNG, Stewart LNG, Quicksilver

1.8 Bcfd

Conducting Feasibility

Total potential new demand ~ 15.0 Bcf/d

Natural Gas Pipelines Connecting LNG Projects

Fort Nelson

Prince Rupert Gas Transmission


Pipeline

Pacific Northwest LNG

Pacific Trail

Kitimat LNG

Coastal Gas Link


Summit Lake
Prince
Rupert

Kitimat

LNG Canada

Spectra/BG Group

BG/others

Existing Pacific Northern

BC LNG COOP
Altagas/Idemitsu

Existing Spectra Energy

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