Activity Expected Time Activity Variance: A+4 M+B B A

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1.

Activity

Expected Time

Activity Variance

a+4 m+ b
6

ba
6

( )

4
9

1
9

1
9

1
9

1
9

4
9

1
4

3
a.

A(3)

3
3

C(2)

D(3)

3
0
0

B(2)

2
2

2
2

6
6

E(5)

7
9

5
5

7
7

10
11

7
7

F(4)

G(4)

11
11

11

11

H(4)

15
15

b. B-E-G-H
c. 15 days
d. Total variance is 3,61
the equation is

Z=

1615
=0.8
3.61

using appendix G and by using interpolation, the probability to complete in 16


days is 78,8%
2. a.
2
2
0

A(2)

6
10

B(4)

C(8)

E(7)

13
13

13

Normal
time
(weeks)

Normal
cost

Crash
time
(weeks)

Crash
cost

2
4
8
6
7
4
5

$50
$80
$70
$60
$100
$40
$100

1
2
4
5
6
3
4

$70
$160
$110
$80
$130
$100
$150

b. A-B-E-G

13

D(6)

F(4)

12

13

G(5)

18
18

13

c.
Activi
ty

A
B
C
D
E
F
G

Cost per
week

CC NC
NT CT
$20
$40
$10
$20
$30
$60
$50

Number
of days
activity
maybe
shortene
d
1
2
4
1
1
1
1

4
,B
2
,A

$
5

$
8
8
,
$
7

7
,
5
,

$
1

6
,
$
Critical path A-B-E-G = 18 days 6
D

4
,
F

$
1

$
4
Total for 13 weeks = $510, the reduce is A,B,E,G
Total for 14 weeks = $460, the reduce is A,B,E
Total for 15 weeks = $430, the reduce is A,B
Total for 16 weeks = $410, the reduce is B
Total for 17 weeks = $350, the reduce is A
Total for 18 weeks = $330, because it is a normal days for complete

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