Ejemplo Plan de Negocios

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This document is solely for the use of NetLogistik.

No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or


reproduced for distribution without prior written approval from NetLogistiK.

Este plan de negocios fue donado por NetLogistik a Endeavor Mxico

CONFIDENTIAL

Business Plan- Draft

May 28, 2000

This report is confidential. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or


reproduced for distribution without prior written approval from Emerald
Internet Ventures.

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Implementation

Appendix

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

What is the Business Concept?


NETLogistiK is an electronic logistics marketplace
NETLogistiK will develop an Internet based B2B logistics marketplace in Latin America with the objective of allowing shippers t o
manage and contract their freight transportation needs more efficiently. NETLogistiK will focus on the medium/large cargo
market. The line of service will range from single to multiple truckload shipments.

What is the opportunity?


The market is attractive large, fragmented and inefficient
The Latin American for-hire transportation market is calculated at $50-60 billion
NETLogistiK will originally focus on trucking, which represents around 80% of the market
Preliminary estimates show that NETLogistiK could generate revenues in the range of $250 million by 2003/4
The industry is highly fragmented. Top 10 players have less than 2% market share
Shippers have to rely on several carriers to fulfill their shipping needs. The average medium/large-size company in Latin
America interacts with over 15 carriers
Currently there is no efficient way to contract and compare shipping services
The marketplace solution is attractive to both shippers and carriers
Shippers will benefit in terms of transportation cost and service by extending the choice of carriers and reducing purchasing
costs
Carriers will benefit from expanding their customer reach and the opportunity to optimize back haul loads (return trip)
The development of e-commerce will fuel the size of the market further
The surge of electronic commerce will add to the number of shipments by promoting trade across geographies
Additionally, the frequency of shipments will increase as a result of more coordination and communication across companies.

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (Cont.)

How will NETLogistiK business model work?


Main revenue will come as a percentage of transactions
NETLogistiK will derive most of its revenues from transaction commissions (e.g., 2.5
-3.5%1) and cargo insurance referral.
Additionally, it will generate reven
ues from other products/services such as customs advisory, warehousing
and cargo
management, and clearing services
Once NETLogistiK captures a critical mass of trucks in the system,
it will offer a vertical market of spare-parts for trucks (e.g. tire s
and purchasing aggregation servicesfor gas and lubricants
High-margin business
This web-enabled intermediary model willbenefit from lowcapital intensity andhigh operational leverage. Resulting in high
operating margins (50%) similar to those of other virtual marketplaces (e.g. Ebay, CommerceOne, etc)
Success will be based on early alliances and partnerships with key players
To begin operations NETLogistiK will develop alliances and partnerships with key forwarders, carriers
and shippers using stock
options
Shipper acquisition will be through joint marketing agreements with B2B verticals and through targeted sales efforts focused o
leading brick and mortar companies.
Operations will focus on main Latin American markets
Operations would first start in Mexico, Argentina and Brazil, to then expand to other attractive markets
We expect to achieve economies of scale by sharing the technology across several markets

Is this a proven model?


Similar models are working in the U.S- Latin America is still up for grabs!
Similar business models are already working in the U.S (e.g.,
CarrierPoint, Celarix, NTE,). Investors seem to have great
confidence in this business model. US players have received
over $50 million in funding. Successful IPOs may follow.
The European market has seen some sites coming to market. However, it is behind the U.S. and still in a very early stage.
Latin America is largely untapped. There is no competitor that has entered this region capable of rationalizing the transportatio
market yet.

1 in line with industry standards(e.g.,cargowerks charges 2.5%, carrierpoint charges4.0%, and an average forwarder marginsis 12%)

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (Cont.)

Strengths of the management team

Diverse top notch management expertise (consulting, operations,-commerce)


e
Combination of local business management with US
-work experience
Contacts with local players and governmental authorities
Network of professionals/MBAs throughout Latin America
Access to US business networks (e.g., McKinsey, Morgan Stanley, CSFB, etc)

What have we done so far?


Strategic alliance with CarrierPoint
Established alliance with leadingUS transportation marketplace. CarrierPoint will license its software solution and share its industry
know-how. Both companies will work together to solve inefficiencies of shipments between Mexico and the US (largest trading bo
in the world). This event was reported in newswires and in the cover page of Wall Street Journal Americas.
Partnerships with carriers
Established partnerships/ initial participation agreement with key carriers in Mexico and Argentina.
Partnerships with shippers
Established initial participation agreement with shippers in Mexico and Argentina
Launched main offices
Established presence in Mexico, Buenos Aires and Sao Paulo.
People
Structured initial phase teams for Mexico and Argentina. In the process of recruiting more
logistics/ transportation industry experts. In
conversation with key people in Brazil.
Advisory Board.
In the process of structuring an advisory board with industry experts and influential business people
e.g.( CEOs of leading
companies, Industry experts, etc.)

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

ESTIMATE

WORLWIDE COMMERCIAL FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION REVENUES- BY SEGMENT


$ Billions

Worldwide Transportation Revenues


Pipeline

Trucking revenue breakdown


Percentage

Air

100%

4% 4%

Rail
6%

Ship

Within this mode large size


shipments (LTL and TL) account
for 87% of the revenue

9%

73%

Trucking

Movement of cargo within


countries is dominated by trucking
(77%)

NETLogistiK will initially focus on


these two segments

77%

14%
13%

100%= $900 bn

Parcel/
Small
packages

Less Than
truckload
(LTL)

Full
Truckload
(TL)

Total

Source:S&P, Journal of Commerce, McKinsey & Company, SCT, GEIPOT, US Department of Commerce

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

ESTIMATE

WORLWIDE COMMERCIAL FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION REVENUES- BY REGION


$ Billions
Latin America
US

55

Asia

240

350

The U.S. and European markets account for


most of the transportation industry. However,
the size of the market is so big that even Latin
Americas 6% share represents a very
attractive market ($55 billion)

255

Europe
100%= $900 bn*
*Standard & Poors. Does not include shipping across regions
Source:S&P, Journal of Commerce, McKinsey & Company, SCT, GEIPOT, US Department of Commerce Source:

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WHAT IS THE OPPORTUNITY IN LATIN AMERICA?


Industry revenues
$ Billions

Its a large market,


Latin America spends 3-4% of its GDP in cargo transportation*
This $55 billion market represents a very attractive opportunity, even
relative to many other industries in the US

100
70

the industry is highly fragmented,...


Top 10 players have less than 2 % of market share
Shippers have to rely on several carriers to fulfill their shipping needs

55
26
12
U.S.
prescription
drugs

U.S.
Alcoholic
Beverages

Latin American
Transportation
market*

U.S. books

U.S. electronics

and the purchasing process is very inefficient.


No price transparency
Average medium/large-size company in Latin America interacts with
over 15 carriers by channels such as phone and fax
There is no efficient way to contract and compare shipping services

* Includes commercial transportation in all modes; does not include inter-regional transportation
Source: Standard & Poors; Med Ad News; Goldman Sachs; IMT; SCT; IBGE; GEIPOT

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

ESTIMATE

LATIN AMERICAN COMMERCIAL FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION REVENUES


$ Billions; 1999

50-60

The largest Latin American


transportation markets are Brazil,
Mexico, and Argentina

8-10
10-11

Freight transportation represents a


centerpiece of these countries
economic output (3-4% of GDP)

14-19

18-20

Brazil

Mexico

Argentina

Others*

Total

Additional transparency and


reduction of inefficiencies may have a
dramatic impact on these countries
productivity
Therefore, support from local
governments is expected

* Venezuela, Chile, Colombia


Source: Goldman Sachs, IMT,SCI, GEIPOT, Subsecretaria de Programacion Economica (Argentina)

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

NUMBER OFCOMMERCIAL TRUCKS* FOR THE MAIN LATIN AMERICAN MARKETS


ESTIMATE

Number of trucks
700,000

The market is highly


fragmented. Top10 carriers
own less than 2%of the trucks
350,000
300,000
200,000

This environment provides an


ideal opportunity for a solution
like NETlogistik, which
improves information and
provides liquidity to the system
The number of trucks in the
system was used to build a
bottom-up revenue model (see
financials)

% of the
trucks owned
by top 10
carriers

Brazil

Mexico

Argentina

Other

< 2.0%

1.5%

1.6%

TBD

Over time NETLogistiK


expects to have at least 5% of
the trucks registered and
operating in its electronic
marketplace

Source: Instituto Mexicano de Transporte, Comision Nacional del transporte terrestre (Argentina), GEIPOT(Brazil), Interviews

10

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

11

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

BUSINESS CONCEPT

Carriers/
Transportation
Companies

Shippers/
Senders

B2B Logistics Marketplace


NETLogistiK will develop a Latin Americas Internet B2B
marketplace that will allow shippers to compare shipping
options and contract transportation services online
Manufacturing
companies

Medium/Large Cargo Market


The line of service will range from single to multiple
truckload shipments

Warehouses

NETLogistiK
Freight intermediaries and
consolidators*

B2B Verticals

Services/Products
Spot contracts marketplace
Excess capacity auctions
Multiple/ complex shipment negotiation tools
Cargo insurance
Customs and tax advisory
Warehousing and cargo management
Infrastructure hosting
Clearing and payment options
Others (vertical market of spare parts)

Latin American
B2B Logistics
Marketplace

* Forwarders, Third Party Logistics (3PL), Others

12

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INTERNET WILL CHANGE THE BUSINESS DYNAMICS

Today

Future

Forwarders

Warehouses

Forwarders

Warehouses

Shippers

B2B Verticals

Carriers

From...
Many layers of intermediaries
Manual/ time-consuming purchasing process
Lack of price transparency
Sub-optimal truck utilization (e.g., trucks return
empty from destination)

Shippers

B2B Verticals

Carriers

To...
One-stop-shop option
Simpler /automated purchasing process
Liquidity reduces prices and costs
Wide access to network of shippers/carriers

13

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BENEFITS FOR SHIPPERS AND CARRIERS WILL DRIVE MODEL ADOPTION

Benefits

Forces against adoption

For Shippers

From shippers

Access to a larger base of carriers


Lower prices and more transparency
Simplified purchasing process
Access to standardized transaction information
Access state-of-the-art technology

Fear of changing current practices


Fear of doing transactions over the internet
Lack of internet access

For Carriers
Improve truck capacity utilization (return trips)
Access to a larger customer base
Low-cost sales channel
Simplified selling process
Access to state-of-the-art technology

Although it might
take some time,
benefits will clearly
outweigh the forces
against adoption

From Carriers
Fear of losing control
Fear of competition
Lack of trust in the system

14

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THIS BUSINESS MODEL IS ALREADY WORKING IN THE U.S. AND EUROPE

Players

Concept

Key partnerships

Funds raised

CarrierPoint*

Dynamic marketplace for trucking


services . It has a rating system
that enables shippers and
carriers to evaluate potential
partners

IXL, UPS,
Tiredex,com
ChemConnect.com,
etc

$20+ million in
second round

NTE

Real time exchange that focus on


using transportation capacity
efficiently. NTE acts as a broker ,
setting minimum prices

Ariba, HP,
Resource Link,
SAP, Manugistics

$50 million
in fourth round

Celarix

Web-based logistics solutions for


shippers. It includes a real time
neutral exchange

Retail.com, L.L.
Bean, RossetaNet

$59 million

(GF-X)

Global Freight Exchange is an


Internet-based market to buy and
sell air cargo capacity

American Airlines,
British Airways,
DHL, Circle
International,
Panalpina

$45 million
in first round

This is a proven business in


the US and Europe
Investors already bought-into
the concept, investing over
$50MM in some of these
companies

* Although it started in mid 1999, CarrierPoint seems to be the company that is developing at the fastest pace
Source: Webpages, press clippings, interviews

IPOs may follow, providing


more publicity for the model

15

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

16

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

NETLOGISTIK FUNCTIONALITY

Shipper
Post
requirements

Select
audience
Receive list of
quotes and select
best option

Carrier

Origin/Destination
Cargo specifications
Dates
Others

________
________
________
________

Settle
on-line

Track
shipment

________
________
________
________

FORMS

FORMS

Electronic scheduling
Intelligent search capabilities
Neutral one-stop-shop
Capacity, availability and pricing
Data, information and news

Define price discrimination


structure

Receive notification of
shipper's request for
service
Negotiate and close
transaction on-line

NETLogistiK

Upload rates
and availability

Preferred carriers
Highly rated carriers

Negotiate and close


transaction on-line

Complete
paperwork on-line

Rates
Routes
Services

Complete
paperwork on-line

Upload tracking status of


shipments

Settle
on-line

17

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PRODUCT OFFERING
Description

1. Spot contracts
marketplace
2. Excess capacity
auctions

3. Intra-carrier exchange
4. Multiple or complex
shipments negotiation
tools
5. Cargo Insurance

6. Customs & tax


advisory services
7. Warehousing and
cargo management

Revenue Source

One time contract for specific transportation needs. Shippers post their requirements and NETLogistiK
will electronically channel the RFQ to selected carriers and/or match their requests with carrier
s rates,
schedules and availability information. Giving

2.5-3.5% of transaction value

Allow carriers to auction their excess capacity in order to optimize truck utilization (return trips)

2.5-3.5% of transaction value

Real-time marketplace for spot contracts between a pre-selected network of carriers. The users will be
able to optimize their fleets and leverage their sales force

2.5-3.5% of transaction value

Longer term and/or special contracts that require price and conditions negotiation tools. Specially

2.5-3.5% of transaction value

targeted to large shippers (e.g. Coca Cola, Xerox, etc)

Offer the possibility of buying cargo insurance online. This product can contribute substantially to
revenues as insurance premiums are usually 1% of the cargo value and standard commissions for

15% of Insurance premium

insurance brokers are 10-15%


Offered through a referral network of experts that will have alliances with NETLogistiK. The company

TBD

will charge a flat fee for each referral to its partners

Offered through a network that will operate similarly to the one for Customs and tax services.

15% of referral value

18

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

19

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE INTERNET PLAYERS


U.S.

Europe

Latin America

Multimodal

NETLogistiK
Truck

The U.S. market is becoming highly


competitive; there is no dominant player
yet
Europe is emerging
Latin America is still largely untapped

Air/Ocean

20

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COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
USA
Manugistics
FreightGate

Multimodal

From 2

EUROPE
Celarix
Trade Matrix

FreightGate

LATIN AMERICA

LSXS
NETLogistiK***

Truck

Ocean or
rA
i

FreeCargo
Truckstop
Transplace

OpenShip
BidFreight

Freightonline
CargoNet
PriceContainer
Oceanwide
CargoWerks **

Ctransport
GoCargo
eraterequest
GF-X**

CarrierPoint
NTE

EuroTrans
FreeCargo

BidFreight
NETLogistiK

Low
High
Level of Development (*)

Although the competitive landscape is very


populated, there are not many players that
provide full service and end-to-end transaction
solution
We believe that the industry leaders at this point
are: Celarix, CarrierPoint, NTE andGo Cargo, in
their respective segments

Low
High
Level of Development (*)

Low
High
Level of Development (*)

The European market has seen some sites


coming to the market

Despite its attractiveness, the Latin American


market is not competitive yet

However, it is behind the U.S. and still in a very


early development stage

The opportunity is open to the first player that can


offer a robust solution

No player has taken a dominant position in the


market yet

* Low level of Development: Info Aggregators, Searchable bulletin boards. Limited amount of value added services.
High Level of Development: Dynamic, deep exchange .Value added services. High transaction capabilities
** Air
*** Future Development
Source: WebPages, NETLogistiK team analysis

21

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures


Low
Medium
High

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE SUMMARY TABLE*


Current

Range of

Transaction

Service

Player

Comment

Focus

services

capability

focus

Celarix.com

A more robust service; includes more than one mode; plus other logistic management software tools

U
S

Multimodal

Tradematrix.com

Part of a family of other web-enabled B2B services; sourcing, procurement, etc.

U
S

Multimodal

Manugistics.com

Not an exchange; provides logistics and supply chain mgmt. applications

U
S

Multimodal

from 2

Shipping solutions for online purchasing. Proprietary tax and customs calculators

U
S

Multimodal

lsxs.com

Basically a searchable database, with customizable pages and automatic messaging

EUR

Multimodal

Freightgate.com

Tracking, news, and some useful tools

E
U
U
R
S
/

Multimodal

CarrierPoint.com

A robust dynamic matching and pricing marketplace; has payment processing and on-line insurance

U
S

Truck

NTE

Focused on carriers; freight posted has a minimum price; robust tracking and payment processing services

U
S

Truck

OpenShip.com

A pure auction service for truck space; offers some tracking capabilities

U
S

Truck

BidFreight.com

A pure auction service for truck space; offers some tracking capabilities

E
U
U
R
S
/

Truck

FreeCargo.com

Searchable database for available equipment and loads

E
U
U
R
S
/

Truck

Truckstop.com

A load and truck availability posting service

U
S

Truck

Eurotrans.com

Searchable database by routes; for truckers; not many other services

EUR

Truck

NetEnvios.com

A website that focus on providing services for small package/parcel shipments in Latin America. Not Cargo

LAT

Truck

Transplace.com

A web-based supermarket for the transportation industry created by incumbents

U
S

Truck

GoCargo.com

A pure auction service for container shipping space

U
S

Ocean

Eraterequest.com

Carriers bid on shippers postings; limited to ocean shipping

U
S

Ocean

Freight-on-line.com

On-line quotation system

EUR

Ocean

Cargonet.com

Marine towing industry; a database to advertise shipping needs and space/equipment availability

U
S

Ocean

Pricecontainer.com

Acts as intermediary; only ocean containers

U
S

Ocean

Oceanwide.com

Offers information services; quotes, schedules; facilitates document exchange

U
S

Ocean

etransport.com

Exchange and tools for negotiating contracts and checking rates; software solutions for industrial transportation industry

U
S

Ocean

Cargowerks.com

RFQ service; arrangement all made outside the exchange

U
S

Air

Global Freight Exchange

Focused on transactional issues; for air carriers and forwarders

E
U
U
R
S
/

Air

* Note: This page contains information that may become outdated shortly due to the speed at which these companies are evolving.
Source: WebPages, NETLogistiK team analysis

22

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

23

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

KEY STATISTICS

Latin America
MEXICO

VENEZUELA

GDP*:
$475bn
GDP Per capita $4826
Transport. Rev: $14-19bn

GDP*:
$104bn
GDP Per capita $4394
Transport. Rev: TBD

COLOMBIA
GDP*:
$92bn
GDP Per capita $2438
Transport. Rev: TBD

BRAZIL
GDP*:
$509bn**
GDP Per capita $3105
Transport. Rev:
$18-20bn

CHILE

ARGENTINA

GDP*:
$69bn
GDP Per capita $4587
Transport. Rev: TBD

GDP*:
$287bn
GDP Per capita $7947
Transport, Rev. $10-11 bn

* 1999 US$ Nominal GDP


** Brazil 1999 GDP value in US$ is smaller than the 1997 figures due to the recent currency devaluation
Source: Goldman Sachs, Team Analysis

24

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PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES SHOW THAT NETLOGISTIK HAS A HIGH REVENUE POTENTIAL

Revenue Potential
$ Millions

400

PRELIMINARY

Preliminary estimates show that NETLogistiK could generate between


$150-$400 million in revenue after 3 years of operations (see details in
following pages)
These revenue numbers do not include other potential revenue sources
(option value) that could become available once NETLogistiK captures a
significant number of players on its network (Net effect).

250

These additional revenue sources could come from:

150

_Vertical market for truck-related products


_Partnerships with automotive/truck producers to provide fleet
renovation plans

Low-end
Scenario

Base Case

Penetration
3%

Penetration
5%

Upper-end
Scenario

_Purchasing aggregation services for small carriers to buy


products such as combustible and lubricants
_Extension of services to a multimodal solution (rail, ocean, air)

Penetration
8%

Source: NETLogistik Team Analysis

25

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

POTENTIAL REVENUE TREE- ALL COUNTRIES


$ Millions
Amount charged per trip by the carrier ($)
Value of transactions
per truck.year ($) *

325

65,000
# Trips per year***
Value of transactions
Processed ($Millions)
Revenue from
commissions ($Millions)

This bottom-up model


illustrates the revenue
potential after 3-4
years of operations.
(for detail on how
revenues drivers are
expected to evolve
over time see
financial statements
pages)

200

5,200
# trucks in the market

156
Commissions %

# of trucks captured by
NETLogistiK's system

3%

TRANSPORTATIONINDUSTRYDATA

1,600,000

Country
Brazil

80,000

Mexico
Argentina

Penetration
5%

Other
Total

# trucks by market
700,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
1,600,000

# of trucks captured by
NETLogistiK's system
80,000
No. of Transactions per year
# of transactions insured
on-line

Total Revenue ($ Millions)


253

Revenue from
2,400,000
insurance referral ($Millions)

16,000,000
# of Trips per year
200
% insured online

34

15%
Referral fee $ per transaction**
14
TOTAL REVENUE SENSITIVITY MATRIX
$ Millions
# of trucks captured by NETLogistiK's system
253

Other Revenues
($Millions)
63
25%
of Total Revenue

3.0%
48,000

4.0%
64,000

5.0%
80,000

6.0%
96,000

8.0% <-- Penetration


128,000

Warehousing services

Value of
Transactions

45,000
55,000

113
132

151
177

189
221

227
265

302
353

Custom Services

per truck ($)*

65,000
75,000

152
171

202
228

253
285

303
342

404
456

85,000

190

253

317

380

507

Infrastructure services, others

* Revenue generated by the carrier per truck. Consistent with range obtained during interviews with carriers ($65,000-100,000)
** Assuming that referral fee is 10% of the insurance premium. Insurance premium ($140) = Value of cargo ($14,000)*Insurance rate (1%)
*** We assumed that after 3-4 years NETLogistiK is able to capture 200 of the 250 trips that a truck makes per year
Source: Economy Ministry, Interviews, NETLogistiK Team Analysis.

26

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

PRELIMINARY REVENUE FORECAST- BY REGION


$ Millions; No. of Trucks

ESTIMATE
REVENUE-ARGENTINA

TRUCKSCAPTUREDARGENTINA

00051

4
7
.
00501

2
3
3
.
0
0
0
6
00
.
0
0
0
2

22
.
1
0
0
2

0
1
0
.

0
0
0
3
0
3

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

0
0
0
2

1
0
0
2

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

TRUCKSCAPTURED-BRAZIL

REVENUE-BRAZIL

00053

61
.
0
00542

4
7
7
.
00041

Total Revenues

4
2
3
.

82
.
5
01
.
01
.
3
7

0
0
0
2

01
.

1
0
0
2

0
7
2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

REVENUE-MEXIC0

4
9
.

0
0
0
2

0
0
0
7

52
.

0
0
0
2

1
0
0
2

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

TRUCKSCAPTURED-MEXC
IO

2
1
0
.
1
0
0
2

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

00571

3
5
5
.

4
0
0
2

05221

7
3
8
.
0
0
0
7
7
1
1
.
00
.
0
0
0
2

0
0
5
3

26
.
1
0
0
2

0
5
3
2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

REVENUE-OTHER

0
0
0
2

1
0
0
2

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

TRUCKSCAPTURED-OTHER

00521
5
3
9
.

0
0
5
7

7
2
3
.
00
.
0
0
0
2

02
.
1
0
0
2

42
.
2
0
0
2

0
3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

0
0
0
2

0
5
2
1
0
0
2

0
0
5
2

2
0
0
2

3
0
0
2

4
0
0
2

27

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Units; Percentages
OPERATING RATIOS & FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Transaction Revenue Assumptions


No of trucks in the market ( assumed fix for simplicity at this point of the analysis)
Argentina

300,000

300,000

300,000

300,000

300,000

Brazil

700,000

700,000

700,000

700,000

700,000

Mexico

350,000

350,000

350,000

350,000

350,000

Others

250,000

250,000

250,000

250,000

250,000

1,600,000

1,600,000

1,600,000

1,600,000

1,600,000

Total
Penetration
Argentina

0.1%

1.0%

2.0%

3.5%

5.0%

Brazil

0.1%

1.0%

2.0%

3.5%

5.0%

Mexico

0.1%

1.0%

2.0%

3.5%

5.0%

0.1%

1.0%

3.0%

5.0%

Others
No of trucks captured by NETlogistiK's system
Argentina

300

3,000

6,000

10,500

15,000

Brazil

700

7,000

14,000

24,500

35,000

Mexico
Others

350
-

3,500
250

7,000
2,500

12,250
7,500

17,500
12,500

1,350

13,750

29,500

54,750

80,000

Total
No of transactions per year per truck
Average value of a transaction ($)

10
325

60
325

120
325

200
325

200
325

Commission % charged by NETlogistiK

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%
14

10%
14

15%
14

15%
14

15%
14

5%

10%

15%

25%

25%

n.a.

-150.0%

90.0%

60.0%

50.0%

This page shows a conservative


scenario where the maximum
penetration is 5%, and the number of
transactions per truck per year, do not
reach their maximum until year 2003
For illustrative purposes we assumed
that over time (after major customer
acquisition expenses flattens)
operating margins increase until they
reach a 50% level. Similar to that
forecasted by analyst for other virtual
marketplaces (Ebay, CommerceOne,
etc)

Insurance Revenue Assumptions


%transactions processed that are insured online
Insurance referral fee ($)
Other Revenue Assumptions
Other revenues (*) as % of total revenues
Other Operating Assumptions
Operating Costs (w/o depreciation)

% Rev.

Depreciation

Years

Other Assumptions
FCF perpetuity growth

6%

28

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

NETLOGISTIK EXPECTS TO HAVE HIGH LONG-TERM OPERATING MARGINS SIMILAR TO THOSE


OF OTHER VIRTUAL MARKETPLACES
Percent

45%-50%

40%-50%
35%-45%

NETLogistiK web-enabled
intermediary model will benefit
from low capital intensity and
high operational leverage.
Resulting in high operating
margins similar to that of other
virtual marketplaces,

Ebay*

CommerceOne**

I2 Technologies

*Projected operating margins for stable stage (where customer acquisition cost flattens)
** Based on analyst reports (Morgan Stanley Dean Witter,BancBoston)
*** Operating margins excluding software margins
Source: Analyst reports

29

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONT)


$ Thousands
FINANCIAL STATEMENT FORECAST
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

TV

Revenue from transactions commissions($ 000's)

This page illustrates a scenario where


the $250 million potential is captured
by 2004

Argentina
Brazil

29
68

1,755
4,095

7,020
16,380

20,475
47,775

29,250
68,250

Mexico
Others

34
0

2,048
146

8,190
2,925

23,888
14,625

34,125
24,375

132

8,044

34,515

106,763

156,000

Argentina
Brazil

2
5

252
588

1,512
3,528

4,410
10,290

6,300
14,700

Mexico
Others

2
0

294
21

1,764
630

5,145
3,150

7,350
5,250

1,155

7,434

22,995

33,600

These revenue numbers do not


include other potential revenue
sources (option value) that could
become available once NETLogistiK
captures a significant number of
players on its network (Net effect).

Argentina
Brazil

2
4

223
520

1,506
3,513

8,295
19,355

11,850
27,650

These additional revenue sources


could come from:

Mexico
Others

2
0

260
19

1,757
627

9,678
5,925

13,825
9,875

1,022

7,403

43,253

63,200

Argentina
Brazil

33
77

2,230
5,203

10,038
23,421

33,180
77,420

47,400
110,600

Mexico
Others

39
0

2,602
186

11,711
4,182

38,710
23,700

55,300
39,500

Total
Revenue from insurance referal

Total
Other Revenues

Total
Total Revenues

Total Revenues
Operating Costs (w/o depreciation)
Depreciation
Operating profit

149
(1,800)

10,221

49,352

173,010

252,800

(15,331)

(44,417)

(103,806)

(126,400)

(100)

(700)

(1,652)

(5,210)

4,235

(1,652)

(5,210)

(1,652)

(5,210)

2,753

-1112.1%

-51.0%

(1,500)

_ Vertical market for truck-related


products
_ Partnerships with automotive/truck
producers to provide fleet renovation
plans
_ Purchasing aggregation services for
small carriers to buy products such
as combustible and lubricants

(2,500)

67,704

123,900

4,235

67,704

123,900

(1,482)

(23,696)

(43,365)

44,008

80,535

_ Extension of services to a
multimodal solution (rail, ocean, air)

Interest expense
Other income/expense
Income Before Taxes
Taxes
Net Income
% of Sales
Add back: Depreciation
Capital Expenditures

5.6%

25.4%

31.9%

100

700

1,500

2,500

-500

-3,000

-4,000

-5,000

-5,000

-36

444

1,565

4,946

3,192

Add back: Interests * (1-tax)


Change in WC
Terminal value
Free Cash Flow

717,502
(2,187)

(7,666)

1,018

45,454

81,227

717,502

30

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

CONTENT

Executive Summary
1. Industry overview

Business concept

NETLogistiK product offering

Business development

Competitive landscape

Financials

Appendix

31

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

TARGET MARKET- MEXICO

The Mexican commercial transportation industry amounted to US$13-14 billion in 19981.


Truck transport dominates the movement of goods. Of all modes of transport, trucks captured over 80% of the
value generated by the sector.
The market was deregulated in the early 90s and remains highly fragmented. The capacity of the Mexican market
is composed of 330,000 trucks. Of these, around 40,000 are owner-operated trucks and 290,000 are distributed
among the close to 6,000 registered firms2.
The top 50 carrier firms in Mexico amass a capacity of over 12,000 trucks, representing only 3.7% of the total.
These are firms with at least 120 units each and an average of 250 units for the group.
Because of this fragmentation, most medium to large firms deal with many carriers; 15-30 for the largest firms3.
Purchasing of local logistic and transportation is very inefficient, as shippers have to contact carriers individually,
usually by phone. Large logistics intermediaries (e.g. CH Robinson, Danzas) have limited penetration and have
focused on international movement of goods and not local distribution.
NetLogistiK estimates that in the Mexican market alone it can attain a capacity of close to 17,500 trucks
participating in the exchange. This implies getting 10-15 of the top 50 carrier firms to participate and 300 medium
sized firms out of the universe of 6,000 that exist today.

1/ Source: Instituto Mexicano del Transporte


2/ Source: Transportation Technical Services, SCT
3/ Source: McKinsey & Co.

32

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

POTENTIAL REVENUE TREE - MEXICO


$ Millions
Amount charged per trip by the carrier ($)
Value of transactions
per truck.year ($) *

325

65,000
# Trips per year***
Value of transactions
Processed ($Millions)
Revenue from
commissions ($Millions)

This bottom-up model


illustrates the revenue
potential after 3-4
years of operations.
(for detail on how
revenues drivers are
expected to evolve
over time see
financial statements
pages)

200

1,138
# trucks in the market

34
Commissions %

# of trucks captured by
NETLogistiK's system

3%

350,000

17,500
Penetration
5%
# of trucks captured by
NETLogistiK's system
17,500
No. of Transactions per year

# of transactions insured
on-line

Total Revenue ($ Millions)


55

Revenue from
insurance referral ($Millions)

3,500,000
# of Trips per year

525,000

200
% insured online

15%
Referral fee $ per transaction**
14
TOTAL REVENUE SENSITIVITY MATRIX
$ Millions
# of trucks captured by NETLogistiK's system
55

Other Revenues
($Millions)
14
25%
of Total Revenue

3.0%
10,500

4.0%
14,000

5.0%
17,500

6.0%
21,000

8.0% <-- Penetration


28,000

Warehousing services

Value of
Transactions

45,000
55,000

25
29

33
39

41
48

50
58

66
77

Custom Services

per truck ($)*

65,000
75,000

33
37

44
50

55
62

66
75

88
100

85,000

42

55

69

83

111

Infrastructure services, others

* Revenue generated by the carrier per truck. Consistent with range obtained during interviews with carriers ($65,000-100,000)
** Assuming that referral fee is 10% of the insurance premium. Insurance premium ($140) = Value of cargo ($14,000)*Insurance rate (1%)
*** We assumed that after 3-4 years NETLogistiK is able to capture 200 of the 250 trips that a truck makes per year
Source: Economy Ministry, Interviews, NETLogistiK Team Analysis.

33

Confidential - Emerald Internet Ventures

LARGEST CARRIERS- MEXICO

Capacity
Tractors
530

Trucks
270

Transportes Julian de Obregon


Auto Lineas Regiomontanas
Transportes Castores de Baja California
Transportes Cuahutemoc

250
450
450
450

300
30
15
0

550
480
465
450

250
550
450
550

MYM
Autotransportes de Carga Tres Guerras

0
400

450
20

450
420

0
400

Transportistas Unidos Mexicanos


Autolineas Mexicanas
Compania Fletera del Caribe
Fletes Mexico Chihuahua

348
156
250
300

69
200
75
20

417
356
325
320

420
240
150
600

Express Tres Fronteras


Trans. Esp. Antonio de la Torre e Hijos

285
290

6
0

291
290

545
396

Express Sinaloa Division Ensenada


Transportes de Nuevo Laredo

130
275

148
0

278
275

200
549

Bravo Logistics
Transportes COR
Autolineas America
Express Anahuac

267
176
250
250

0
80
0
0

267
256
250
250

500
445
800
450

Nafta Express
Transportadora Hercel

250
250

0
0

250
250

300
200

Transportadora Egoba
Cia de Transportes de Mar de Cortes
Fletes Sotelo
Transportes Aguila de Cd Juarez

240
205
200
175

0
8
12
36

240
213
212
211

320
0
1,200
120

Auto Express Perla


Transportes Quintanilla

204
200

0
0

204
200

296
514

Servicio de Transportes Jaguar


Comercial Intern de Transportes y Carga

200
200

0
0

200
200

400
200

Express Santa Fe
Fletes Maya del Sureste

200
100

0
100

200
200

200
100

Jose Antonio de Luna Diaz de Leon


Transportes Sotres

100
80

100
120

200
200

100
100

Autotransportes de Carga Fremo


Transervicios

80
186

120
10

200
196

80
450

Central de Fletes Monterrey


Transportes Monterrey
Transportes Pitic
Ryder Capital

192
130
160
150

0
60
22
20

192
190
182
170

345
80
315
300

Transportes Gonzalez
Integradora de Transportes Golfo Istmo

150
150

15
0

165
150

380
150

Transportes Unidos Tampiquenos


Fletes Pegaso
Transportes del Golfo y Noreste
Auto Express Mercurio

150
150
133
132

0
0
0
0

150
150
133
132

150
141
178
157

Servi Transporte Viga


Aguilas de Occidente

130
100

0
30

130
130

175
100

49

Transportes Mon-Ro
Transportes El Ola

125
125

0
0

125
125

450
170

50

Auto Fletes Regionales

120

120

150

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48

Carrier
Transportadora Nacional

Tractors+Trucks
800

Trailers
530

NetLogistiK will initially target larger carrier firms to


provide the exchange with greater liquidity
To acquire some of these initial key carriers
NetLogistiK will:
Offer preferential treatment (e.g. sorting
priority)
Offer stock options for early enrolment (as
UOL did)
Offer option to purchase stock in first
round of financing
Capture large shippers (e.g. Xerox, CocaCola, etc) as an incentive to bring large
carriers
Use non-cash incentives such as
advertising
Medium size-carrier firms are expected to be
attracted through participating shippers (i.e.
shippers will promote the use of NetLogistiK with
their traditional carrier firms).

34

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