All American Breakfast Task

Name:_____________________________

Date:_____________

You work at the local breakfast diner and they have a menu item called the All American
Breakfast. This item consists of two eggs (cooked to order), a type of meat, and a type of bread
item. The following tree diagram was given to you by your boss in order for you to predict what
items sell the most. First find all the final probabilities that would go at the ends of your tree
diagram.

1. How many combinations of the American Breakfast are possible? Explain your reasoning.

2. What should be the sum of the probabilities from each level? Why?

3. What is the probability that the next order of the American Breakfast is fried eggs, bacon,
and Italian toast? Where on the tree diagram is this outcome indicated? Explain your
reasoning.

4. What is the probability that the next order of the American Breakfast is not scrambled
eggs, bacon, and Italian toast? Explain your reasoning.

5. What is the probability that the next customer to get the American Breakfast orders either
Italian toast or white toast? Explain your reasoning.

6. What is the probability that the next order involves sausage? How do you know?

7. What is the probability that the next order has both wheat toast and scrambled eggs?

8. What if your work decides to add pancakes or waffles as a choice to the American
Breakfast, how does this addition affect your probabilities? Where on the tree diagram
would you place this new selection? Why?

9. What happens if hard-boiled eggs are added to the egg choices of the American Breakfast?
How does this addition affect your probabilities? Explain your reasoning.

10. Your boss tells you that you need to cut down on the product that you are ordering. What
type of meat would you tell him to eliminate and why?

11. What type of bread could be considered your best seller? How do you know?

12. How would eliminating a type of eggs affect the amount of product that you need to order?

13. Come up with your own scenario that you could organize in a tree diagram. You need to
have at least 2 levels and each level needs at least 2 choices. The best scenario (as voted by
the teacher) with correct probability numbers will receive a treat for their efforts.