Students Doe Exhibit 69‘Scenarios October 2,2008 Technical Brief ‘This document provides the data for four scenarios currently under consideration. The first scenario is a revision of the scenario which was presented to the public on ‘September 11, 2008. The second scenario presented in this documents is Scenario 4A, ‘which was developed during the summer. Scenarios 7A and 7B are new scenarios developed since September 11, 2008. ‘A map for each scenario is attached to this document. Please note that the projections for the 2009-10 through 2013-14 school years arc linear projections based upon the ‘current enrollment, it does not include projections, However, in viewing the enrollment projections it does not appear thatthe high schools or the middle schools will exceed capacity moving forward, 3 Table I shows the enrollment data forthe high schools based upon the revised Scenario 3 Plan, Table 1: Scenario 3 2009-10 2010-11 2041-12 2012-13 2013-14 Total Hamibn 1,123 1,083 4096 1,001 1,051, lower Merion 1151 1,103 1029 1,073 1086 2009-10 2010-44 2041-42 2012-13 2013-14 Diversity Harciton ‘Asian 7% 7% 8 8G Ot Black Nes, ti | 1401 00) | 80) Hispanic 261. AmingPl 5 6S u o 0 9 4 4 White 905 87D wB2_T Sociofconomic 85 77 = GB. ‘Special Needs 256 20 59781289 Lower Merion ‘Asian 4 9 1% 8 8 Black we 2 BD Hispanic 29 HOT AmingPl 9-4 43 Mw oe oo White 925 BOT 2B HBS Socio Economic 89 «75 STS ‘Special Needs 243 282 «5999300 LusD 02852 P30Scenarios October 2, 2008 Si Feeder Patterns High School Harriton HS Lower Merion HS Gladwyne Merion Penn Wynne Cynwyd Belmont Hills (except Narberth Borough) Penn Valley—Haverford and Penn Valley Area thange in Middle School Feeder Patters for ‘Welsh Valley Bala Cynwyd Gladwyne Penn Valley ~(Ardmore Peon Wynne and LMHS Walk Zone) Belmont Hills (except Narberth Borough) Belmont Hills (Narberth Penn Valley (Haverford and expanded Penn Borough) Valley Area) Merion Cynwyd LMSD 02853Soenaras October 2, 2008 Scenario 4A ‘Table 2 provides the data for Scenario 4a, Table 2: Scenario 44 2009-40 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Total Haniton 4,081 1,074 1057 4055 1,045 Lowertterion 1,193 1.112 1,068 1,109 1,052 2009-40 2010-41 2014-12 2012-13 2013-14 Diversity Harrkon ‘Asion so 9 2 7 ‘Black ca el igen | el a ie ei anathe 106) | 16 Oe 6 2 ™ o 0 o 4 1 White 4 BOT m5, SocioEconomc 25 «29 «23 19 SpeciatNecds 241 241262282271 Lower Merion ‘Asin 988105, Black a Hispanic = 0026 angie Ge ™ 1 fel White 6 29783 BIG 703, SocoEconomc 19 97 845 ‘Special Needs 258-251-268 «208257 In Scenario 4A the feeder pattems to the Middle Schools remain the same; Scenario 4A High School Feeder Pattems Harriton 1S Lower Merion HS Cynwyd Penn Wynne Belmont Hills (except Narberth Borough) Merion Penn Valley-(Haverford/Penn Valley) Penn Valley-(Ardmore! Gladwyne LMHS walk zone) Belmont Hills-(Narberth Borough) LmspD 02854Table 3: Scenario 7A Octaber 2,208 2009-10 2010-11 2014-12 2012-13 2013-14 1949 19076 1085, 1,108, 1038 1,069 2009-40 2010-41 2014-12 2012-15 2013-14 Total Harton 4089 1,052 LowerMerion 1205 1,134 Oiorsity Harriton ‘Asian ST Black 14 109 Hispanic = 2819) AmbdPl 67 u o 0 White 62060 Socio Economic 9% 92 ‘Special Neds 287 261 Lower Merion ‘sion 97 Black m4 ot Hispanic = B32 AmbdPt 38 u 2 4 White 68907 SocioEconomic 73 Gt SpecialNeods 242-231 60 BaF-o282 8 60 286 13 7 a 8 2M 2 4 fe 10) 843d a2 st 2 773 ‘Scenario 7A assumes no change in the middle school feeder patterns. Scenario 7A Feeder Pattems Harriton HS. Gladywne Belmont Hills Pean Wynne and Penn Valley-(Ardmore, North ‘of Simpson) Penn Valley-Haverford and Penn Valley Merion-North of Rockland between the railroad ‘racks and E Montgomery Ave) ‘Cynwyd-(North of Meeting House Lane to ‘Manayunk Rd). Lower Merion HS, ean Wynne-Wynnewood Merion-(all except North of Rockland from railroad tracks to E Montgomery Ave) Cynwyd-ll except South of Meeting House Lane to Manayunk Rd.) Pean Valley-(Ardmore below ‘Simpson and the LMHS Luisp 02860Sexnacie October 22068 walk zone. Scenario 7B ‘Table 7B-Scenario 7B 2000-40 2010-14 2014-12 2012-13 2013-14 Total Hamiton 1,109 1,083 11080 10841050 LowerMeion 1165 1.103 1045 1,080 1,018 2009-40 2010414 2011-42 2012-43 2013-14 Owversity Harton ‘sion @ 6 6 7m Back == 15-9 Hopic = Bk 19S ia WOE cee ee st 2 “ o 6 o oO 4 White 983588] SocoEcommc 101 9 8 @ 69 SpecalNeeds 271-2268 283276 Lower Merion ‘Asin 9393 103 Bock = 13RD Hisanc = 2329 G_—“i‘iaw eae eae oe ot ” aol fol ok 0 White 9328822085830 Socotconome 73 59 5389S ‘SpacalNeeds 228 230260287283. Scenario 7B assumes no change in the middle school feeder patterns. Scenario 7B Feeder Patterns Harriton HS Lower Merion HS. Gladwyne Cynwyd-(Below Meeting Belmont Hilsl-(except for a section of Narberth House Lane/E Levering, Borough in the LMHS walk zone) Rd) Cymwyd-(North of Meeting House Lane/E Levering Merion(except for area Mill Rd) north of Rockland Ave Merion-(North of Rockland Ave from tracks to from tracks to E E Montgomery Ave) Montgomery Ave Penn Valley-(Penn Valley, Haverford, Ardmore north Penn Wynne-Wynnewood LmspD 02858Seenarioe October 2, 2008 a ae ae cet Haverford/Penn Valley @ LMSD 03856‘Scenaries ‘October 2, 2008 Scenario 3 ‘The area inside the solid black line is the Harriton HS and Welsh Valley MS attendance area. The area outside the black line is the Lower Merion HS and Bala Cynwyd MS attendance area, LMspD 02857Seana October 2, 2008 ‘Scenario 4A The area inside the black line is the Harriton HS attendance area, the area outside the line is the Lower Merion HS attendance area, e " LMsD 02859Scenarios October 22008: Scenario 7A LmsD 02855October 2, 2008 os [lows ~ adhe haan A * wll ated ? Covre re Oe Splidks Andis Ty 4. 4" Catz LMSD 03845Seenacins Octber 2, 2008 Scenario 7B ‘The area inside the black line isthe Harriton HS attendance area, the area outside the black line is the Lower Merion HS attendance area Lmsp 02856