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NBC - WSJ January Poll
NBC - WSJ January Poll
January 2016
GOP Primary Ballots
54 Male
46 Female
Study #16027
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is 4.90%
Q22
Next, Im going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president in
2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for
the Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE
FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Ted Cruz
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Marco Rubio
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Donald Trump
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................
Ben Carson
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
71
67
57
48
45
52
51
57
40
25
27
34
41
44
38
31
28
38
2
4
4
5
8
7
14
12
18
2
2
5
6
3
3
4
3
4
67
64
59
65
63
62
74
74
56
28
29
32
26
27
29
15
15
26
4
4
5
5
9
7
8
9
14
1
3
4
4
1
2
3
2
4
65
58
60
59
47
47
32
23
34
40
37
36
52
49
66
74
1
1
1
2
3
4
1
4
2
2
60
63
77
74
69
49
50
39
41
39
32
18
20
23
27
21
22
18
1
3
1
3
6
21
27
36
38
3
4
3
2
3
2
3
3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Chris Christie
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Carly Fiorina
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Jeb Bush
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Mike Huckabee
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Rand Paul
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
48
43
36
34
42
37
36
38
32
45
50
54
60
51
55
55
50
57
5
4
6
4
6
5
6
9
7
2
4
4
2
1
3
3
3
4
45
45
49
56
61
33
31
17
18
44
42
37
30
28
31
29
25
25
7
10
10
9
10
34
38
52
54
4
3
4
5
1
2
2
6
3
42
45
45
51
55
57
75
70
49
55
53
52
44
43
40
22
27
42
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
2
2
2
4
1
2
1
2
5
36
41
45
45
47
52
65
52
52
59
53
48
50
46
43
32
39
40
3
4
3
2
5
3
1
5
3
2
2
4
3
2
2
2
4
5
32
30
32
33
35
44
49
59
49
64
62
59
59
58
48
45
32
40
4
7
5
4
5
5
5
6
8
1
4
4
2
3
1
3
3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
28
22
28
26
34
30
25
52
53
46
45
44
31
30
18
22
22
23
20
36
42
2
3
4
6
2
3
3
26
27
28
33
37
49
40
63
59
60
56
46
40
40
9
9
7
10
11
10
16
2
5
5
1
6
1
4
John Kasich
January 2016^ ......................
December 2015^ ..................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
Rick Santorum
January 2016^ ......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ...........
October 15-18, 2015^ ...........
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q23
And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates
would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-10)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT
ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your
second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10)?
FIRST CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
1/16^
33
20
13
12
5
5
3
3
3
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
1
12/15^
27
22
15
11
3
7
5
2
2
3
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
10/2529/15^
23
10
11
29
3
8
3
3
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
3
10/1518/15^
25
9
13
22
1
8
7
3
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
5
9/15^
21
5
11
20
3
7
11
6
3
2
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
6
7/15^
19
9
5
10
3
14
3
6
6
1
1
15
3
1
4
6/15^
1
4
14
11
4
22
2
1
7
9
NA
1
17
5
1
1
4/15^
NA
11
18
7
5
23
1
NA
11
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
14
2
3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican
Primary
COMBINED CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
1/16^
47
47
30
19
12
12
8
7
6
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2
2
12/15^
40
39
33
28
9
12
5
11
5
7
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
4
10/2529/15^
23
35
24
50
6
15
6
14
6
8
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
5
10/1518/15^
17
39
26
44
3
17
7
18
6
7
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
7
9/15^
11
31
26
35
5
19
8
28
6
8
3
1
NA
NA
3
7
7/15^
17
30
16
21
9
30
4
2
11
11
2
4
24
7
2
5
6/15^
11
4
34
19
10
40
1
3
16
18
NA
1
24
10
1
4
4/15^
18
NA
41
11
14
37
NA
3
20
15
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27
7
4
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican
Primary
Q24a
Now if you had to choose between ONLY the following candidates running for the Republican primary for
president, which one would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-5)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you
lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
1/16^
36
25
19
12
7
1
-
12/15^
30
24
21
13
9
1
2
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they
would vote in the Republican Primary
8
6
5
81
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote
in the Republican Primary
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE AMONG GOP PRIMARY VOTERS
WITH BUSH AND CARSON VOTERS REASSIGNED ACCORDING TO THEIR SECOND CHOICE
40
31
26
2
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote
in the Republican Primary
43
51
5
1
Q26
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republican
primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)^
Donald Trump ................................................
Marco Rubio ..................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
52
45
2
1