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Benchmark#4:ProbabilityandAnalysis

Grade10MathHannaNopar,NatalieNovella

ProbabilityAnalysis:
Inthisbenchmark,youwilluseandbuildonyourknowledgeofprobabilityto
mathematicallyanalyzevariousoutcomesofyourgame.Writeaproposalforthe
probabilityanalysisyouwoulddoandthenconductsomeanalysis.Donotforgetto
useP(....)=notation.

Inourgame,wehavethreehousesandbehindoneofthosehousesthereisapig.
Theobjectiveofthegameistochoosewhichhousethepigisbehind.Sonormally,the
P(findingthepigbehindahouse)=

.Butsincetherewasanerrorinourcodethatwe
couldnotfix,thepigwillonlyshowupbehindhouses2and3.Sotheactualprobabilityis
P(findingthepigbehindahouse)=
.

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