Tourist Arrival Projection Calcu

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GROWTH RATE FORMULA (GENERAL FORMULA for Growth Rate)

Vpres

Vpast

110000

100000

0.1
10
10
10.00

TOURIST ARRIVAL TABLE (Computation for Average Growth Rate)


YEAR

TOURIST ARRIVAL

2010

100000

2011
2012
2013

110000
112000
117000
439000
109750

TOTAL
AVERAGE
5.43

CONTINUOUS PROJECTION FORMULA (TOURIST ARRIVAL)

Pb

rave (in PERCENT)

199263

5.43

1.7211626131
342964.02576616
342964

10 YEAR PROJECTION FORMULA (TOURIST ARRIVAL)

Pf = [Pb(rave)] + P
YEAR
BASE/PRESENT YEAR (2015)
1ST YEAR
2ND YEAR
3RD YEAR
4TH YEAR
5TH YEAR
6TH YEAR
7TH YEAR
8TH YEAR
9TH YEAR

Pb = Present Population
199263
210083
221490
233517
246197
259566
273660
288520
304187
320704

10TH YEAR

338118

RMULA for Growth Rate)

t
1

pwede rin ata to sa population growth ng residents (ganto din sa


physics e)

(Vpres-Vpast)/Vpast
[(Vpres-Vpast)/Vpast]100
{[(Vpres-Vpast)/Vpast]100}/t
Growth Rate Percentage

for Average Growth Rate)


GROWTH RATE %

NA
10
1.82
4.46
16.28
5.43
Average Growth Rate %

RMULA (TOURIST ARRIVAL)

10

e^[(rave/100)(t)]
(Pb){e^[(rave/100)(t)]}
PROJECTED TOURIST ARRIVAL

ULA (TOURIST ARRIVAL)

4 consecutive years sana para makuha average

)] + Pb
Pf = Projected Population after a year

210082.9809
221490.48676287
233517.420194094
246197.416110633
259565.935805441
273660.366119676
288520.123999974
304186.766733173
320704.108166784
338118.341240241
NA

rave
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
0.0543
NA

enter a value in cells w


meaning

wede rin ata to sa population growth ng residents (ganto din sa


physics e)

Vpres = Present Population(touris


Vpast = Past Population(tourist ar
t = no. of years
Pb = Base Population(tourist arriv
Pf = Future Population(tourist arri
t = no. of years to be projected
r

ave

= average growth rate


yung sagot, RED

4 consecutive years sana para makuha average

kung direct na sa year na gusto niyo

kung ipapakita isa-isa yung projection per year, mas


accurate ata kesa dun sa direct projection

r a value in cells w/ BLUE color


meaning

sent Population(tourist arrival)


t Population(tourist arrival)
ars
opulation(tourist arrival)
Population(tourist arrival)
ars to be projected

age growth rate


yung sagot, RED color

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