NBCNews_WSJ_February Poll

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 800 Registered Voters, including 280 respondents with a cell phone only and
21 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Date: February 14-16, 2016
48 Male
52 Female
Study #16091
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 800 interviews among Registered Voters is 3.46%
The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is 4.90%
The margin of error for 400 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is 4.90%
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ....................................................................
9
25-29 ....................................................................
9
30-34 ....................................................................
10
35-39 ....................................................................
7
40-44 ....................................................................
10
45-49 ....................................................................
7
50-54 ....................................................................
7
55-59 ....................................................................
10
60-64 ....................................................................
12
65-69 ....................................................................
7
70-74 ....................................................................
5
75 and over ..........................................................
7
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
89
Not sure/refused .............................................
1
voters.
Q2c
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................75
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 2
Other .............................................................. 3
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6
Not sure/refused ........................................... 2
voters.

February 2016
Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................... Not sure .......................................... + Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q4
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
7/15
45
50
5
6/15
48
48
4
4/15
48
47
5
4/09
61
30
9
9/14+
40
54
6
12/15
43
51
6
3/15
46
50
4
1/15
46
48
6
12/14
45
50
5
11/14
44
50
6
10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6
10/812/14+
42
52
6
9/14+
40
54
6
8/14
40
54
6
6/14
41
53
6
4/14
44
50
6
3/14
41
54
5
1/14
43
51
6
12/13
43
54
3
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/79/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
8/13
44
48
8
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/2630/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/59/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/2325/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
9/15
47
47
6
Low
1/16+
47
49
4
2/16+
Approve.................49
Disapprove ............47
Not sure .............. 4
10/1518/15
46
49
5
High
10/2529/15
45
49
6

February 2016
Q5

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT
BARACK OBAMA)
Barack Obama
February 2016+............................
January 2016+ .............................
December 2015............................
October 25-29, 2015 ....................
October 15-18, 2015 ....................
September 2015...........................
July 2015......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014............................
November 2014............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+ ........................
August 2014 .................................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013............................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012............................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+....................................
June 2012 ....................................
January 2012 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010............................
November 2010............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
December 2009............................
October 2009 ...............................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
High
February 2009 ..............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 .................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ..................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
18
20
21
17
17
18
20
20
21
20
21
21
21
20
22
20
18
21
20
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
16
19
22
20
22
23
23
21
18
20
19
19
23
21
20
21
23
11
11
9
12
12
14
13
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
11
13
13
15
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
8
14
10
12
14
15
14
12
12
13
15
11
14
13
11
12
17
11
12
14
12
13
11
14
14
13
14
12
13
11
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
15
12
9
8
30
30
32
31
31
29
29
27
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
33
31
28
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
32
27
25
30
23
18
24
26
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
47
21
12
10
22
18
13
14
33
14
17
18
40
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
30
27
23
27
27
28
24
25
26
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
22
20
24
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
33
29
28
24
28
29
25
28
29
27
28
31
29
29
36
47
43

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
1
Hillary Clinton
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
June 2014 .....................................
April 2014 ......................................
March 2014 ...................................
September 2013 ............................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012 .............................
November 2011 .............................
May 2011 ......................................
April 2011 ......................................
December 2010 .............................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
July 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 .............................
September 2008+..........................
August 2008+ ................................
June 2008+ ...................................
April 2008+ ....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ ......................
March 7-10, 2008+ ........................
January 2008 ................................
June 2007 .....................................
March 2007 ...................................
December 2006 .............................
April 2006 ......................................
December 2004 .............................
July 2003 .......................................
March 2001 ...................................
January 2001 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Low
March 2001 ...................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
14
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
10
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
32
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
16
19
15
18
31
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
19
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

1

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
22
20
18
19
22
17
14
8
17
20
19
22
19
23
20
22
12
12
13
9
11
9
10
6
23
19
18
19
16
13
9
7
6
11
14
16
16
23
37
49
3
3
3
3
5
4
3
6
5
4
5
6
5
4
9
19
16
18
16
19
20
23
21
18
19
14
20
17
17
17
32
31
31
33
31
31
26
29
32
34
36
27
32
32
33
24
28
24
24
21
19
22
16
19
20
16
18
18
18
11
18
18
19
19
19
20
18
20
17
14
16
15
12
14
12
4
4
5
5
5
6
8
8
9
9
13
14
16
15
18
Donald Trump
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
February 2011 ...............................
May 2004+ ....................................
December 1999 .............................
October 1999 ................................
July 1990 .......................................
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9
Marco Rubio
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
July 2013 .......................................
April 2013 ......................................
February 2013 ...............................
7
7
8
7
9
5
7
8
7
6
7
12
10
23
24
22
19
22
19
16
14
14
15
16
16
14
26
25
24
25
23
24
24
24
21
21
20
18
20
18
17
16
14
14
14
12
12
10
11
11
8
9
15
12
11
11
11
9
12
11
9
10
9
8
8
11
15
19
24
21
29
29
31
39
37
37
38
39
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Bernie Sanders
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
20
18
18
15
16
15
10
8
Jeb Bush
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
April 2014 ......................................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
20
20
16
15
14
12
12
11
10
7
6
20
22
24
22
23
24
24
18
16
13
13
15
14
12
13
12
12
13
8
8
8
4
28
21
23
20
22
19
19
18
22
20
8
9
12
16
22
22
26
27
40
35
44
65
7
5
4
19
9
7
32
21
18
10
6
6
4
3
4
28
56
61
4
5
7
4
4
3
5
5
12
13
17
15
10
11
15
16
32
28
31
33
34
30
35
30
13
13
10
12
11
13
9
7
14
13
10
9
7
10
4
3
26
28
25
27
34
33
32
39
22
23
27
29
27
31
39
34
32
29
25
23
20
16
20
24
25
27
27
20
17
18
32
25
22
29
27
28
23
21
23
25
26
27
26
25
24
22
23
23
21
23
22
19
21
24
20
19
18
22
20
17
16
18
21
21
16
21
16
17
15
14
13
16
16
16
13
15
11
14
15
15
12
14
14
16
13
11
13
14
12
19
17
18
11
14
14
12
14
13
15
12
18
21
11
9
10
12
8
10
11
10
17
17
20
25
25
27
25
21
21
27
36
31
21
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
-
33
31
15
17
17
13
14
38
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Ted Cruz
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
July 2015 .......................................
April 2015 ......................................
November 2014 .............................
October 25-28, 2013 .....................
October 7-9, 2013 .........................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................
8
11
9
8
7
7
5
5
9
7
4
John Kasich
February 2016+ .............................
July 2015 ......................................
November 2014 ............................
Michael Bloomberg
February 2016+ .............................
April 2014 .....................................
February 2013 ..............................
November 2011 ............................
January 2008 ...............................
December 2007 ............................
July 2007 ......................................
December 2006 ............................
1
Bill Clinton
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
March 2015 ...................................
September 2014+..........................
March 2014 ...................................
September 2013 ............................
December 2012 .............................
August 2012+ ................................
August 2011 ..................................
September 2010 ............................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 ............................
August 2008+ ................................
June 2008+ ...................................
March 24-25, 2008+ ......................
January 2008 ................................
November 2007 .............................
March 2007 ...................................
April 2006 ......................................
June 2004+ ...................................
January 2002 ................................
June 2001 .....................................
January 2001 ................................
High
January 1993 ................................
Low
March 2001 ...................................
1

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
1
George W. Bush
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
March 2015 ...................................
September 2014+..........................
July 2013 .......................................
April 2013 ......................................
June 2012 .....................................
August 2011 ..................................
May 2011 ......................................
October 28-30, 2010+ ...................
August 26-30, 2010+ .....................
June 2010 .....................................
January 2010 ................................
April 2009 ......................................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 .............................
October 17-20, 2008+ ...................
October 4-5, 2008+ .......................
September 19-22, 2008+ ..............
September 6-8, 2008+ ..................
August 2008+ ................................
July 2008+ .....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ ......................
March 7-10, 2008+ ........................
January 2008 ................................
June 2007 .....................................
January 2007 ................................
June 2006 .....................................
January 2006 ................................
July 2005 .......................................
January 2005 ................................
June 2004+ ...................................
January 2004 ................................
July 2003 .......................................
January 2003 ................................
June 2002 .....................................
January 2002 ................................
June 2001 .....................................
January 2001 ................................
High
December 2001 .............................
Low
April 2009 ......................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
23
23
23
23
25
21
23
20
24
20
22
22
20
17
18
20
18
18
17
18
19
18
17
18
18
20
18
21
17
20
19
15
17
21
20
27
26
23
25
20
19
25
24
22
21
18
20
22
16
22
21
18
15
11
10
11
12
11
12
11
10
12
10
10
11
12
9
12
10
9
8
8
9
12
11
10
16
18
17
20
16
16
14
16
19
20
16
17
15
19
17
16
17
16
15
13
13
14
15
16
13
12
17
15
17
15
13
15
15
14
13
14
16
10
7
15
13
25
23
23
22
25
28
26
24
24
34
32
31
34
41
41
43
45
45
46
41
40
42
41
43
40
42
35
37
33
28
25
30
24
17
16
9
4
15
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
54
26
17
15
16
41
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
14
14
12
14
13
14
13
15
13
12
8
7
10
9
13
11
11
12
13
15
15
14
16
16
14
12
17
18
24
27
32
33
38
38
36
43
53
30
25

1

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party

February 2016+ ............................
September 2015...........................
July 2015 ......................................
April 2015 .....................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014............................
November 2014............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+.........................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013............................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013...........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
February 2013 ..............................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012............................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+....................................
June 2012 ....................................
May 2012 .....................................
April 2012 .....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011............................
November 2011............................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
June 2011 ....................................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010............................
November 2010............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010...........................
August 26-30, 2010 ......................
August 5-9, 2010 ..........................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
May 6-11, 2010 ............................
March 2010 ..................................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
December 2009............................
High
January 2000 ...............................
Low
July 2006 ......................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
16
16
13
12
9
12
12
12
12
11
13
13
14
10
10
15
14
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
17
15
15
15
9
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
11
15
11
9
11
10
24
25
25
26
26
25
26
24
25
25
25
23
21
27
26
22
25
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
22
24
23
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
25
22
26
26
28
27
25
21
23
22
24
24
22
20
19
20
22
21
24
25
22
19
21
18
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
19
21
24
23
25
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
19
22
18
19
19
20
19
17
16
18
17
18
17
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
20
20
18
20
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
21
19
18
21
23
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
19
18
18
18
19
18
19
21
19
20
19
20
22
21
23
23
22
22
18
20
20
24
22
20
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
19
19
18
18
19
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
24
26
22
24
24
23
26
1
1
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
20
30
23
15
10
25
27
22
17

1

February 2016

Q5 (cont'd)
1
The Republican Party

February 2016+ ...........................
September 2015 ..........................
July 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ....................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014 ...........................
November 2014 ...........................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ...................
September 2014+ ........................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 ....................................
March 2014 .................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013 ...........................
October 25-28, 2013....................
October 7-9, 2013........................
September 2013 ..........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
February 2013 .............................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+.............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ..............................
July 2012+ ....................................
May 2012 ......................................
April 2012 .....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012 ................................
December 2011 ............................
November 2011 ............................
October 2011 ................................
August 2011 .................................
May 2011 ......................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ................................
December 2010 ..........................
November 2010 ..........................
October 28-30, 2010+...................
October 14-18, 2010+...................
September 2010 ...........................
August 26-30, 2010 ......................
August 5-9, 2010 ..........................
June 2010 .....................................
May 20-23, 2010...........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010.....................
January 10-14, 2010.....................
December 2009 ...........................
June 2009 ....................................
April 2009 ....................................
February 2009 ..............................
High
December 2001 ............................
Low
October 25-28, 2013....................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
23
21
21
22
19
23
23
22
21
22
23
19
20
19
20
16
17
21
24
21
20
21
21
24
24
23
23
22
24
23
21
21
22
24
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
23
18
24
23
25
25
23
23
19
22
19
21
24
26
26
27
24
23
23
21
26
24
29
27
28
22
24
21
27
26
24
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
23
24
23
23
21
21
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
25
28
26
26
24
27
27
27
29
25
24
23
21
22
20
23
22
18
23
25
20
22
22
21
22
26
23
24
23
18
20
24
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
19
23
18
18
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
22
24
23
21
20
18
24
24
23
22
25
23
24
22
23
23
23
25
24
25
21
23
22
24
25
25
30
29
21
23
26
25
27
25
25
29
25
24
24
24
25
25
26
26
23
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
21
22
19
19
23
20
18
19
21
22
22
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
21
36
18
13
16
24
23
30
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
10
8
7
8
6
7
9
7
6
9
6
6
7
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
6
9
15
14
12
11
9
11
8
8
6
9
11
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
7
6
6
10
6
7
7
5
6
7
7

1

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 10

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
D/S
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Bill Clinton ..............................................
47
32
15
John Kasich ...........................................
26
14
12
Barack Obama .......................................
48
41
7
Bernie Sanders ......................................
42
35
7
The Democratic Party ............................
40
38
2
Marco Rubio ...........................................
30
33
-3
George W. Bush.....................................
37
42
-5
Michael Bloomberg ................................
16
27
-11
The Republican Party.............................
33
46
-13
Hillary Clinton .........................................
37
50
-13
Ted Cruz ................................................
28
43
-15
Jeb Bush ................................................
22
42
-20
Donald Trump ........................................
28
59
-31

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 11

Id like to ask you a question about the November 2016 presidential election
Q6
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
2/16+
10, very interested .......................
61
9 ..................................................
9
8 ..................................................
13
7 ..................................................
6
6 ..................................................
3
5 ..................................................
4
4 ..................................................
1
3 ..................................................
1
2 ..................................................
1, not at all interested ..................
2
Cannot rate................................
-
9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-
10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-
9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-
9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-
8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-
7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-
6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-
5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-
4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-
3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-
10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-
9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-
9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-
8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-
7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-
6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-
3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-
12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-
9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-
8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-
11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 12

Moving on
Q7
Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for
the outcome of the 2016 presidential electionthat a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican
be elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a
(Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?
2/16+
Democrat
45
Strongly ......................
36
Not strongly.................
9
Republican
45
Not strongly.................
9
Strongly ......................
36
Other (VOL) ..............
3
Not sure ....................
7
1/16+
46
33
13
43
10
33
5
6
12/15+
44
34
10
44
12
32
5
7
10/2529/15+
43
33
10
44
9
35
6
7
8/08+
46
36
10
37
13
24
6
11
7/08+
48
43
5
36
8
28
4
12
2008 Election Trend

3/76/08+ 10/08+ 11/07+ 9/07+
51
50
49
47
44
44
41
40
7
6
8
7
35
37
39
38
8
8
8
9
27
29
31
29
4
4
2
4
10
9
11
11
6/07
52
42
10
31
8
23
5
12
4/07
49
39
10
31
6
25
6
14
Q8
Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,
the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?
2/16+
Vote in Democratic Primary .....................................
32
Vote in Republican Primary .....................................
31
Wait until the general election .................................
35
Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .............................
1
Not sure ..................................................................
1
1/16+
28
33
37
2
12/15+
33
33
33
1
10/2529/15+
28
32
40
-
10/1518/15+
31
31
34
1
3
9/15+
31
28
38
3
7/15+
30
30
39
1
6/15+
30
28
38
1
3
4/15+
32
29
35
1
3
Q9
Next, Im going to mention two people who are seeking the Democratic nomination for president. For each
one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic
nomination president. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
Hillary Clinton
February 2016^^ ................
January 2016^^ ..................
December 2015^^ ..............
October 25-29, 2015^^.......
October 15-18, 2015^^.......
September 2015^^ .............
June 2015^^ .......................
March 2015^^ ....................
77
79
82
85
81
76
92
86
22
18
17
13
17
21
8
13
1
3
1
2
2
3
1
Bernie Sanders
February 2016^^ ................
January 2016^^ ..................
December 2015^^ ..............
October 25-29, 2015^^.......
October 15-18, 2015^^.......
September 2015^^ .............
June 2015^^ .......................
March 2015^^ ....................
66
66
65
61
64
62
40
21
29
25
28
28
25
24
32
21
3
6
6
7
8
10
23
54
2
3
1
4
3
4
5
4
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
3/15+
30
25
40
2
3

February 2016
Q10
Study #16091 -- page 13

And, if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following
candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you
lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
2/16^^
Hillary Clinton ...........................................
53
Bernie Sanders .........................................
42
Martin OMalley.........................................
NA
Jim Webb..................................................
NA
Lincoln Chafee..........................................
NA
Other (VOL) ...........................................
None (VOL) ...........................................
1
Not sure .................................................
4
1/16^^
59
34
2
NA
NA
3
2
12/15^^
56
37
4
NA
NA
2
1
10/2529/15^^
62
31
3
NA
NA
1
1
2
10/1518/15^^
58
33
1
2
3
3
9/15^^
53
38
1
1
1
2
4
7/15^^
59
25
3
3
1
1
4
4
6/15^^
75
15
2
4
1
2
1
Q11
Which one of the following four candidate qualities matters most to you when it comes to your vote in the
Democratic primary? Would it be a candidate who(RANDOMIZE) ^^
Is honest and trustworthy ............................................................

Has the right experience .............................................................
Cares about people like you ........................................................
Can win in November ..................................................................
Some other quality (VOL DO NOT SPECIFY) .......................
Not sure ...................................................................................
32
27
26
13
1
1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote
in the Democratic Primary
Q12
Do you consider [READ ITEM] to be a progressive?

Yes, Is
Progressive
No, Is Not
Progressive
Dont Know
Name on Q9
Not
Sure
Yourself
February 2016^^ ................
73
19
Bernie Sanders
February 2016^^ ................
68
17
12
Hillary Clinton
February 2016^^ ................
65
25
10

February 2016
Q13
Study #16091 -- page 14

Next, Im going to mention a number of people who are seeking the Republican nomination for president.
For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the
Republican nomination president. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST)
No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
70
67
64
59
65
63
62
74
74
56
28
28
29
32
26
27
29
15
15
26
1
4
4
5
5
9
7
8
9
14
1
1
3
4
4
1
2
3
2
4
65
71
67
57
48
45
52
51
57
40
33
25
27
34
41
44
38
31
28
38
1
2
4
4
5
8
7
14
12
18
1
2
2
5
6
3
3
4
3
4
62
60
63
77
74
69
49
50
39
41
35
39
32
18
20
23
27
21
22
18
2
1
3
1
3
6
21
27
36
38
1
3
4
3
2
3
2
3
3
56
65
58
60
59
47
47
32
23
42
34
40
37
36
52
49
66
74
1
1
2
1
2
3
4
1
4
2
2
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
Marco Rubio
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ .................................
June 2015^ ................................
April 2015^.................................
March 2015^ ..............................
Ted Cruz
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ .................................
June 2015^ ................................
April 2015^.................................
March 2015^ ..............................
Ben Carson
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ .................................
June 2015^ ................................
April 2015^.................................
March 2015^ ..............................
Donald Trump
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ .................................
June 2015^ ................................
March 2015^ ..............................
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 15

No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
49
28
22
28
26
34
30
25
41
52
53
46
45
44
31
30
7
18
22
22
23
20
36
42
3
2
3
4
6
2
3
3
46
42
45
45
51
55
57
75
70
49
53
55
53
52
44
43
40
22
27
42
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1
2
2
2
4
1
2
1
2
5
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
John Kasich
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ .................................
June 2015^ ................................
Jeb Bush
February 2016^ ...................
January 2016^ ....................
December 2015^ ................
October 25-29, 2015^ .........
October 15-18, 2015^ .........
September 2015^ ...............
July 2015^ ..........................
June 2015^ .........................
April 2015^ ..........................
March 2015^ .......................
Q14
And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates
would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-6)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT
ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your
second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-6)?
FIRST CHOICE
2/16^
Ted Cruz ..................................
28
Donald Trump ..........................
26
Marco Rubio ............................
17
John Kasich .............................
11
Ben Carson..............................
10
Jeb Bush..................................
4
Chris Christie ...........................
NA
Carly Fiorina ............................
NA
Rand Paul ................................
NA
Mike Huckabee ........................
NA
Rick Santorum .........................
NA
Jim Gilmore .............................
NA
Bobby Jindal ............................
NA
Lindsey Graham ......................
NA
George Pataki ..........................
NA
Scott Walker ............................
NA
Rick Perry ................................
NA
Other (VOL) ..........................
None (VOL) ..........................
1
Not sure ................................
3
1/16^
20
33
13
3
12
5
5
3
3
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
1
12/15^
22
27
15
2
11
7
3
5
2
3
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
10/2529/15^
10
23
11
3
29
8
3
3
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
3
10/1518/15^
9
25
13
3
22
8
1
7
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
5
9/15^
5
21
11
6
20
7
3
11
3
2
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
6
7/15^
9
19
5
3
10
14
3
6
6
1
1
15
3
1
4
6/15^
4
1
14
1
11
22
4
2
7
9
NA
1
17
5
1
1
4/15^
11
NA
18
NA
7
23
5
1
11
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
14
2
3

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 16

COMBINED CHOICE
2/16^
Ted Cruz.................................
45
Marco Rubio ...........................
40
Donald Trump.........................
38
Ben Carson ............................
26
John Kasich ............................
24
Jeb Bush ................................
16
Chris Christie ..........................
NA
Carly Fiorina ...........................
NA
Rand Paul...............................
NA
Mike Huckabee.......................
NA
Jim Gilmore ............................
NA
Rick Santorum ........................
NA
Bobby Jindal ...........................
NA
Lindsey Graham .....................
NA
George Pataki ........................
NA
Scott Walker ...........................
NA
Rick Perry ...............................
NA
Other (VOL) .........................
None (VOL) .........................
3
Not sure ...............................
4
1/16^
47
30
47
19
8
12
12
7
6
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2
2
12/15^
40
33
39
28
5
12
9
11
5
7
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
4
10/2529/15^
23
24
35
50
6
15
6
14
6
8
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
5
10/1518/15^
17
26
39
44
7
17
3
18
6
7
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
7
9/15^
11
26
31
35
8
19
5
28
6
8
3
1
NA
NA
3
7
7/15^
17
16
30
21
4
30
9
2
11
11
2
4
24
7
2
5
6/15^
11
34
4
19
1
40
10
3
16
18
NA
1
24
10
1
4
4/15^
18
41
NA
11
NA
37
14
3
20
15
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27
7
4
RECALCULATED THREE-WAY BALLOTS BASED ON SECOND VOTE PREFERENCE

Scenario #1
Scenario #2
Scenario #3
Scenario #4
Cruz .....................
32
Cruz ....................... 38
Cruz .....................
37
Cruz ......................
Trump ..................
30
Trump .................... 32
Trump...................
31
Trump ...................
Rubio ...................
26
Bush ...................... 9
Kasich .................
18
Carson ..................
Other candidate ...
7
Other candidate ..... 15
Other candidate
8
Other candidate ....
36
29
12
17

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 17

(Q15-Q18 RANDOMIZED)
Q15
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the Republican
primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
Donald Trump ................................................

Ted Cruz ........................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
2/16^
40
56
3
1
1/16^
43
51
5
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say

they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q16
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republican
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
Donald Trump ................................................

Marco Rubio...................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
2/16^
41
57
1
1
1/16^
52
45
5
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say

they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q17
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Jeb Bush in the Republican
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^
Donald Trump ................................................
Jeb Bush ........................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
54
43
3
-
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q18
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and John Kasich in the Republican
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^
Donald Trump ................................................
John Kasich ...................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
52
44
2
2
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q19
Which one of the following four candidate qualities matters most to you when it comes to your vote in the
Republican primary? Would it be a candidate who(RANDOMIZE) ^
Shares your values ...................................................................

Can bring needed change ........................................................
Tells it like it is ..........................................................................
Can win in November ...............................................................
Some other quality (VOL DO NOT SPECIFY) .....................
Not sure .................................................................................
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they
would vote in the Republican Primary
35
26
22
16
1
-

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 18

Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election

(Q20-23 RANDOMIZED)
Q20
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ...................

Hillary Clinton....................
Depends (VOL) ..............
Neither/other (VOL) ........
Not sure .........................
10/252/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+

40
41
40
42
39
50
51
50
50
49
9
6
8
6
10
1
2
2
2
2
(ASKED OF CLINTON AND TRUMP VOTERS)

Q20A Are you voting for that person (ROTATE) more because you want that person to be presidentormore
because you do NOT want the other person to be president? +
Reg
Voters
Want that person to be president .......................... 34
Do not want other person to be president ............. 47
Both (VOL Do Not Read) ................................. 8
Not sure ............................................................. 1
Neither/Not Sure (Q20) ...................................... 10
Trump
Voters
35
56
8
1
-
Clinton
Voters
41
49
9
2
-
Q21
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate
and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
2/16+
Ted Cruz...................................
46
Hillary Clinton ...........................
46
Depends (VOL) .....................
Neither/other (VOL) ...............
6
Not sure .................................
2
1/16+
45
49
1
4
1
10/1512/15+ 18/15+
45
41
48
49
6
6
1
4
Q22
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ..................

Bernie Sanders ................
Depends (VOL) .............
Neither/other (VOL) .......
Not sure ........................
2/16+
37
53
8
2
10/2529/15+ 9/15+
41
36
50
52
6
8
3
4

February 2016
Q23
Study #16091 -- page 19

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate
and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Ted Cruz .......................................................

Bernie Sanders .............................................
Depends (VOL) ..........................................
Neither/other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure .....................................................
2/16+
40
50
6
4
10/1518/15+
38
50
6
6
(ALWAYS ASKED AFTER Q20-Q23)

Q24
And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were the
Independent candidate for whom would you vote? +
Donald Trump .........................................
Bernie Sanders .......................................
Michael Bloomberg .................................
Depends (VOL) ....................................
Neither/other (VOL) .............................
Not sure ...............................................
33
43
16
1
4
3

voters.

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 20

Moving on
Q25
Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if [READ ITEM, NAMES RANDOMIZED]
were elected president (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that
(he/she) would do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and
wondering whether (he/she) would do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad
job?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY
OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT OR SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL
Optimistic
And
Confident
Satisfied
And
Hopeful
Uncertain
And
Wondering
Pessimistic
And
Worried
Not
Sure
Bernie Sanders
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
20
20
27
23
17
22
33
28
3
7
Hillary Clinton
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
June 2015+ ...............................................
August 2011+............................................
March 2008+ .............................................
1
April 2006+ ..............................................
21
24
20
24
28
22
22
19
29
30
24
23
14
13
15
21
19
22
43
43
35
24
28
32
1
1
1
1
1
Marco Rubio
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
16
17
22
22
30
27
27
25
5
9
Ted Cruz
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
16
14
20
15
23
27
37
34
4
10
John Kasich
February 2016+ ........................................
13
21
35
15
16
Jeb Bush
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
June 2015+ ...............................................
11
13
10
22
23
27
35
30
31
31
32
30
1
2
2
Donald Trump
February 2016+ ........................................
October 2015+ ..........................................
14
17
19
15
15
17
52
50

1
In April 2006, the question read Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton would do as
president

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 21

And, thinking more about some of these candidates

(Q26 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS)
Q26
What concerns you more about Hillary Clinton? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST)
Her ties to Wall Street and millions in speaking fees ............................
Her honesty and judgment related to her use of a private email
server while she was Secretary of State ...............................................
Or is neither one a major concern to you? ............................................
Both are major concerns to you (VOL)
Not sure ..............................................................................................
22
7
66
5
-
(Q27 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS)

Q27
Which concerns you more about Bernie Sanders? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST)
His lack of foreign policy experience ....................................................
His proposals are too far out of the mainstream so he cannot beat
the Republican candidate .....................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................................
26
23
47
3
1
(Q28 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS)

Q28
What concerns you more about Donald Trump? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST)
His temperament and judgment are not fit to be president ...................
He is not a real Republican and does not stand for true
conservative principles .........................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................................
41
11
39
7
2
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote
in the Republican Primary

Q29
Which concerns you more about Ted Cruz? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST)
His personal style that makes him unable to work with other
Republicans ..........................................................................................
His proposals are too far out of the mainstream
so he cannot beat the Democratic candidate.....................................
Not sure ..............................................................................................
22
12
61
2
3

Q30
Which concerns you more about Marco Rubio? (ROTATE :1-2, READ :3 LAST)
He is running on scripted talking points and has accomplished little
in elected office.......................................................................................
He is not strong enough on immigration having supported a
pathway to citizenship for foreigners staying in the country illegally .......
Or is neither one a major concern to you? ..............................................
Not sure ................................................................................................
22
29
44
4
1

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 22

(READ TO ALL)
Now, switching topics
Q31
Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the
United States more than it helps it?
Helps more than it hurts ............

Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ..................................
2/16+
53
38
4
5
12/15
49
43
4
4
7/15
47
43
3
7
12/14
48
42
5
5
6/14
47
42
5
6
6/12
47
39
8
6
5/2023/10
43
45
NA
12
12/07
39
52
NA
9
6/07
46
44
NA
10
7/06
45
42
NA
10
6/06
44
45
NA
11
4/06
45
45
NA
10
12/05
37
53
NA
10
5/611/10
37
53
NA
10
Hispanic/Latino Oversample
Helps more than it hurts ............

Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ..................................
2/16+
71
20
4
5
7/15
66
24
3
7
12/14
67
25
5
3
6/14
62
30
4
4
6/12
63
26
7
5
5/2023/10
60
30
NA
10
5/611/10
58
32
NA
10
6/07
69
21
NA
10
4/06
62
28
NA
10
QX1
This weekend a Supreme Court Justice passed away leaving a vacancy on the court. President Obama will
nominate a new person to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court.
Would you prefer the U.S. Senate ... vote this year on the replacement nominated by President Obama or
leave the position vacant and wait to vote next year on the replacement nominated by the new president or
do you not have an opinion one way or the other? +
Vote this year on replacement ............................
Leave vacant and wait ........................................
No opinion .........................................................
Not sure ............................................................
43
42
15
-

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 23

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
44
33
7
2
11
3
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
62
35
3
QF2
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
28
19
16
3
4
25
3
1

voters.

February 2016
QF3
Study #16091 -- page 24

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
3
20
13
3
13
28
2
15
3
-
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL) .....................................
Not sure...........................................
24
10
10
10
13
9
18
4
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters.
QF5
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
11
15
35
19
17
3

February 2016
Study #16091 -- page 25

QF5a-f And, on a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a
description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course,
use any number between one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To
what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE)
DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE 8-10
8-10
4-7
1-3
Refused
A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being

between one man and one woman .........................................
76
11
11
A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement .............................
64
21
13
Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio .......
37
36
26
A supporter of the Tea Party Movement .................................
35
43
21
A Libertarian ...........................................................................
12
35
49
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
16
7
76
1
QF7
How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (READ
LIST.) +
Never .......................................
Once a year .............................
A few times a year ...................
Once a month ..........................
About twice a month ................
Once a week or more often .....
Not sure .................................
22
8
19
7
9
34
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters.
QF8
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
3
6
7
7
8
18
14
28
9

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 1

Date: February 14-16, 2016

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 6

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 8

The Democratic Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 9

The Republican Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 10

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 11

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 12

2008 Election Trend

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Yes, Could See

No, Could Not See

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 13

Is honest and trustworthy ............................................................

Do you consider [READ ITEM] to be a progressive?

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 14

No, Could Not See

Yes, Could See

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 15

No, Could Not See

Yes, Could See

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 16

RECALCULATED THREE-WAY BALLOTS BASED ON SECOND VOTE PREFERENCE

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16091 -- page 17

Donald Trump ................................................