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Study About Freight Wagons
Study About Freight Wagons
Study About Freight Wagons
Analysis of major trends in freight transportation regarding operational, technical and regional
aspects; detailed description of the world market regions
Freight wagon fleets differentiated according to vehicle category and ownership trends
worldwide; separated into eight regions, including a detailed overview of the five most
relevant countries per region
List of the worlds most important manufacturers of freight wagons including their scope of
supply and product range as well as their market shares by region
Within the study, SCI Verkehr takes a close look on current trends in the market, important players
and developments and the resulting changes in freight wagon stock.
Detailed data is included in three extensive annexes:
List of freight wagon fleets worldwide detailed by world regions, countries, owners, operators
and wagon types - as much as possible additional information, like manufacturers and
delivery time, is included
The German version of the study is available from February 2009 and the English version from April
2009 at the price of EUR 2,800 + delivery costs and VAT.
Your contact
Christian Beler
Head of Marketing and Sales
Tel. +49-221-93178-20
Fax +49-221-93178-78
E-mail: c.bessler@sci.de
CONTENTS
1
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
3.1
Trinity ......................................................................................................................... 45
3.2
CNR ........................................................................................................................... 46
3.3
Uralvagonzavod......................................................................................................... 47
3.4
CSR............................................................................................................................ 48
3.5
3.6
3.7
Azovmash .................................................................................................................. 51
3.8
Greenbrier.................................................................................................................. 52
3.9
3.10
3.11
Transmashholding..................................................................................................... 55
3.12
Tatravagonka............................................................................................................. 56
3.13
10
11
Annex
Annex A: Contact Addresses of Freight Wagon Manufacturers........................ 147
Annex B: Contact Addresses of Freight Wagon Lessors .................................. 160
Annex C: Freight Wagon Stocks of the Railway Companies ............................ 188
TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Market development scenarios for freight wagons ................................................ 19
Figure 2: World: Market overview freight wagons ................................................................. 20
Figure 3: World: Transport development rail freight transport in the period 2004-2014 (in
tkm, forecast from 2009)........................................................................................................ 21
Figure 4: World: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by region ............................................ 23
Figure 5: World: Freight wagon categories ........................................................................... 23
Figure 6: World: Freight wagon owners ................................................................................ 25
Figure 7: World: Freight wagon market shares in the period 20042008 ............................. 26
Figure 8: Prices for freight wagons in 2009 ........................................................................... 27
Figure 9: Steel price development 20042008 ..................................................................... 28
Figure 10: World: Freight wagon procurements 20062014................................................. 29
Figure 11: World: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles and aftersales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) ...................... 31
Figure 12: Regional differentiation of the world market for railway technology .................... 33
Figure 13: Market forecast process and compilation of the study ........................................ 36
Figure 14: Forecast method for new vehicles ....................................................................... 39
Figure 15: Forecast diagram after-sales business ................................................................ 40
Figure 16: Overview of the drivers of the worldwide railway market ..................................... 42
Figure 17: Western Europe: Market overview freight wagons............................................... 59
Figure 18: Western Europe: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm, forecast from 2009) ................................................................................ 60
Figure 19: Western Europe: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country ........................ 62
Figure 20: Western Europe: Freight wagon categories......................................................... 63
Figure 21: Western Europe: Freight wagon owners.............................................................. 65
Figure 22: Western Europe: Freight wagon market shares in 2008...................................... 67
Figure 23: Western Europe: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 ................................ 69
Figure 24: Western Europe: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles
and after-sales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR)....... 70
Figure 25: Eastern Europe: Market overview freight wagons................................................ 71
Figure 26: Eastern Europe: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm) ................................................................................................................ 72
Figure 27: Eastern Europe: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country ........................ 73
Figure 28: Eastern Europe: Freight wagon categories.......................................................... 74
Figure 29: Eastern Europe: Freight wagon owners............................................................... 76
Figure 30: Eastern Europe: Freight wagon market shares in 2008....................................... 78
Figure 31: Eastern Europe: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 ................................. 79
Figure 32: Eastern Europe: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles
and after-sales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) .......80
Figure 33: CIS: Market overview freight wagons....................................................................82
Figure 34: CIS: Transport development rail freight transport in the period 20042014 (in
tkm, forecast from 2009).........................................................................................................83
Figure 35: CIS: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country .............................................86
Figure 36: CIS: Freight wagon categories..............................................................................87
Figure 37: CIS: Freight wagon owners...................................................................................88
Figure 38: CIS: Freight wagon manufacturers .......................................................................90
Figure 39: CIS: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 .....................................................92
Figure 40: CIS: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles and after-sales
service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) ................................93
Figure 41: North America: Market overview freight wagons ..................................................95
Figure 42: North America: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm, forecast from 2009).................................................................................96
Figure 43: North America: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country............................97
Figure 44: North America: Freight wagon categories ............................................................98
Figure 45: North America: Freight wagon owners .................................................................99
Figure 46: North America: Freight wagon market shares 2007 ...........................................102
Figure 47: North America: Freight wagon procurements 20062014..................................104
Figure 48: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles and after-sales
service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) ..............................105
Figure 49: South America: Market overview freight wagons................................................106
Figure 50: South America: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm, forecast from 2009)...............................................................................107
Figure 51: South America: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country .........................109
Figure 52: South America: Freight wagon categories..........................................................110
Figure 53: South America: Freight wagon owners...............................................................111
Figure 54: South America: Freight wagon market shares in the period 20052008 ...........113
Figure 55: South America: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 .................................114
Figure 56: South America: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles and
after-sales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) ............115
Figure 57: Asia: Market overview freight wagons.................................................................117
Figure 58: Asia: Transport development rail freight transport in the period 20042014 (in
tkm, forecast from 2009).......................................................................................................118
Figure 59: Asia: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country ..........................................120
Figure 60: Asia: Freight wagon categories ..........................................................................120
Figure 61: Asia: Freight wagon owners................................................................................122
Figure 62: Asia: Freight wagon market shares in the period 20052008.............................123
Figure 63: Asia: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 ..................................................125
Figure 64: Asia: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles and after-sales
service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR) ..............................126
Figure 65: Africa/Middle East: Market overview freight wagons ..........................................129
Figure 66: Africa/Middle East: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm, forecast from 2009) ...............................................................................130
Figure 67: Africa/Middle East: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country ....................132
Figure 68: Africa/Middle East: Freight wagon categories ....................................................132
Figure 69: Africa/Middle East: Freight wagon owners..........................................................133
Figure 70: Africa/Middle East: Freight wagon market shares in the period 20052008 ......135
Figure 71: Africa/Middle East: Freight wagon procurements 20062014 ............................136
Figure 72: Africa/Middle East: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles
and after-sales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR)......137
Figure 73: Australia/Pacific: Market overview freight wagons ..............................................138
Figure 74: Australia/Pacific: Transport development rail freight transport in the period
20042014 (in tkm, forecast from 2009) ...............................................................................139
Figure 75: Australia/Pacific: Freight wagon installed base 2008 by country........................140
Figure 76: Australia/Pacific: Freight wagon categories ........................................................141
Figure 77: Australia/Pacific: Freight wagon owners .............................................................142
Figure 78: Australia/Pacific Freight wagon market shares in the period 20052008 ..........143
Figure 79: Australia/Pacific: Freight wagon procurements 20062014................................144
Figure 80: Australia/Pacific: Analysis and forecast of market volume for new vehicles
and after-sales service for freight wagons in the period 2006 to 2014 (in million EUR)......145
Current Developments
The current global economic crisis is having a considerable impact on the market for freight
wagons. The assumptions on the global prospects for economic and transport growth
which were still certain in summer 2008 no longer apply. With the crisis faced by investment
banks in the USA and the subsequent worsening of the financial situation, the investment
conditions in the railway sector have also fundamentally changed. While deliveries in 2008
were hardly any lower than the figures in the current SCI World Market Study, the picture for
the future of the freight wagon segment has worsened drastically.
The economic crisis has a delayed effect in most segments of the railway industry, but
freight wagons are an exception. Changes in the economic and transport performance have
an immediate and very short-term influence on procurements.
As even the forecasts from renowned sources in terms of the further economic development
in this unusual situation are extremely uncertain and change within short spaces of time,
SCI Verkehr has decided to develop three global scenarios for the freight wagon market on
the basis of the information available. The most probable of these scenarios is then used to
carry out the detailed analyses of the regional markets.
Scenario 1 (Upside Case): Following a brief slump, the market regains its momentum
Following a clear, but brief downward slump, the economy stabilises again around mid2009, and a noticeable recovery sets in from 2010. The current main drivers for freight
wagon procurements (transport demand and investment conditions) only worsen a little in
the short term. In the medium term, strong growth returns to transport demand and the
investment conditions improve. Freight wagon procurements are therefore likely to increase
again from 2010. This scenario forecast by many economists even up to as late as the end
of 2008 is becoming more and more unlikely. However, in view of massive politicoeconomic measures by a number of governments, rapid recovery is still feasible at least.
Scenario 2 (Base Case): Sharp slump followed by recovery in the medium term
The economic crisis becomes tougher and lasts longer than previously thought. There is no
stabilisation or upward movement before 2010. Transport demand as the main driver for
freight wagon procurements continues to fall in the short term and only returns to a flatter
growth path in the medium term. Investment conditions also continue to worsen, before an
improvement becomes noticeable in the medium term. The economy develops positively
again after 2010; market volumes in the freight wagon segment move towards the
procurement figures achieved in 2008 again in the longer term. At the present time, SCI
Verkehr considers this the most likely scenario and uses this as a basis for the forecasts
presented in the regional chapters.
Scenario 3 (Downside Case): Severe drops followed by longer procurement slump
Despite extensive government rescue packages, a number of large economies enter a
deflationary situation. The fall in prices leads to an ever worsening economic crisis, from
which it takes several years to recover. Only in the long term will a (slow) revival begin.
Transport demand and investment conditions as the main drivers for freight wagon
procurements continue to worsen considerably; the situation stabilises in the medium term
at a much lower level. The market volumes for freight wagons are well below the figures
reached previously, even in the long term. This scenario is possible in the event that bank
lending cannot be revived, even with state funds.
Manufacturer Portraits
3.11 Transmashholding
Company portrait
Company headquarters:
Moscow (Russia)
Turnover (2007):
Profits (2007):
No data
Employees (2007):
55 000
Market position
Market share (2007)
1% (worldwide) *
Transmashholding (TMH), 100% owned by Breakers Investments BV in Amsterdam, is the most important rolling
stock manufacturer in the CIS. It controls up to 80% of the market for rail technology in Russia. TMH came about
in just 2002 from the merger of several previously independent Russian rolling stock manufacturers for the
purpose of strengthening the Russian rail industry. The corporate group today comprises around 14 plants in its
main market of Russia.
Alongside freight wagons, the company covers virtually all rolling stock segments, apart from high-speed trains.
Wagons are manufactured in the Brjiansk plant, which has existed since 1873. In 2007, Transmash produced
1 926 freight wagons. This puts the companys world market share for freight wagon production at around 1%.*
Freight wagon product information
Open freight wagons
Flat wagons
Tank wagons
Other freight wagons
Geographical distribution
The wagons are specially built for the Russian broad-gauge market; Transmashs market presence is therefore
limited to the CIS region.
Production sites
BMZ Brjianskij Maschzagvod (RU)
Market overview
Based on the most likely development (scenario 2), the current market volume for freight
wagons in South America is EUR 230 million per year for OEM business and
EUR 260 million per year in the after-sales sector. Compared to other world market regions,
the South American region has been of little importance before now, although large
procurement projects have been implemented in recent years. The annual growth expected
in the forecast period is clearly in the negative region at 2.1%. This is mainly due to the
high volumes in recent years which were an exception.
South America
GW
0.9%
28.0
230
Market for
new vehicles
Figure 1:
South America: Market
overview freight wagons
127 000
Market for
after-sales
Stock
Units 2009
260
3.1%
-2.1%
10.3%
Tendenz
stagnation
small decrease
0.4%
clear decline
Freight wagons are of very high importance for the rolling stock market in South America
and procurement volumes are strongly influenced by requirements in the raw material
industry.
Unlike in previous studies, in this study Mexico is classified within the North American
market region instead of Central and South America.
Market environment/transport market
The South American freight wagon market is dominated by the national market Brazil. Often
in South America there are only single-track railway lines for raw material transportation.
When these lines hit their capacity limits, quick transport expansions are rarely possible.
Infrastructure upgrades are thus a key basis for reviving the freight wagon market.
The variety of track gauges in South America is a problem because it makes it difficult to
operate freight wagons across different regions. The majority of lines are narrow-gauge
lines of 1 000 mm, broad-gauge lines at 1 676 mm and some standard-gauge lines. Only a
small number of companies are active across borders. One example is America Latina
Logistica (ALL), which operates around 30 000 freight wagons in Brazil and Argentina.
From 1996 to 1999, most freight railways in Brazil, the most important market in South
America, were privatised. With the rolling stock having been neglected and very few new
procurements made for many years, the privatisation sparked a market revival. This led to a
high number of freight wagon procurements in 2005 and 2006 and therefore a fleet
Drivers of
Procurements
Brief description
Importance
Trend
Short
term
Medium
term
Transport demand
and rail conditions
Investment funds
and conditions
Competition/deman
d structure
Rail infrastructure
The strong fluctuations in incoming orders in South America are due to the small number of
freight wagon owners. As soon as an important company suspends procurements, this
results in major drops in demand.
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
SCI Verkehr GmbH
The South American freight wagon market is dominated by open wagons as raw materials
(mainly iron ore, but also coal) play an important role in railway transport as bulk goods.
Grain is often transported in covered wagons; some companies specialise in these.
Container transport is still at the beginning of its development. Significant growth rates are
expected in Brazil, however, due to port hinterland transport. In some countries, such as
Peru, no container transport exists.
The reason for the small proportion of tank wagons is the low reliability of the railways.
Hazardous goods are mainly transported by road.
Figure
1:
South America: Freight
wagon installed base 2008
by country
units
60 000
40 000
20 000
Open freight
wagons
Figure 1:
South America: Freight
wagon categories
Covered freight
wagons
Brazil
Argentina
Flat wagons
Chile
Tank wagons
other
SCI Verkehr GmbH
other
Open freight
wagons
Covered freight
wagons
Flat wagons
Tank wagons
Other
Brazil
43 000
22 000
9 000
6 600
1 400
Argentina
10 300
5 600
3 200
1 600
300
Chile
800
1 500
1 800
2 200
100
Other
8 000
4 000
2 000
1 500
200
Total
62 100
33 100
16 000
11 900
2 000
In Brazil and Argentina, there are no longer any freight wagon owners in state ownership. In
most other countries, especially Cuba, Venezuela and Columbia, on the other hand, most of
the railways are state-owned.
The Peruvian railway is a 100% state-owned public company, which operates on three
independent partial networks. It is managed by a private administrator.
Only in Brazil are there a small number of freight wagons owned by shipping companies
and leasing companies. The company Mitsui Rail Capital (MRC) Leasing has leased freight
wagons in Brazil since November 2004 and now owns more than 2 000 wagons. There are
plans to expand the fleet. Ferrolease is active in the leasing sector on a smaller scale.
Around a third of the freight wagons owned by shipping companies belong to Companhia
Siderurgica Nacional, the largest Brazilian steelworks.
One of the most important operators is the company America Latina Logistica (ALL), which
is active in Brazil and Argentina and owns some 30 000 wagons (24% of the South
American fleet). Brasil Ferrovias also belongs to ALL.
wheels and sleepers. Production was due to start in July 2005; however, there is no
verifiable information available about the start of production.
South America: Freight wagon market shares in the period 20052008
6% 1%
7%
Amsted Maxion
Santa Fe Vagoes
SABB
Coomefer
Randon
Pars Nova / CNR
other local manufacturers
2%
4%
7%
73%
Total (4 years):
~19 000 freight wagons
Prices for freight wagons have increased considerably in recent years. In 2006 they
averaged EUR 52 500 per year. In 2007, EUR 65 400 was paid on average. Thus the price
increase over one year was more than 20%. This price was calculated on the basis of the
deliveries by manufacturer Amsted Maxion, which supplies the majority of wagons in South
America.
Market volume
The current market volume for new vehicles is around EUR 230 million per year; for
after-sales services around EUR 260 million per year.
The Brazilian Railway Concessionaires Association (ANTF) expects the transport volume of
445 million t in 2007 to increase to around 765 million t in 2015. This would be a 72% rise in
transport volume. Considerable investments in freight wagons were expected for this. The
current economic crisis, however, suggests a much slower development.
Procurements will primarily be made by Brazilian operators and shipping companies. The
most important customer is ALL. The company operates 11 000 km of railway line and is
planning to purchase 3 300 freight wagons in the period from 2007 to 2011.
Vale do Rio Doce has received 836 freight wagons from Amsted Maxion and has arranged
an option for 900 wagons. The wagons are being delivered in 2008 and 2009.
In 2008 Santa Fe Vagoes constructed around 300 wagons for Votorantim Celulose e Papel,
a paper producer, 52 for America Latina Logistica, 11 for Ternium Sidor from Venezuela and
a small number for Aceitera General Deheza from Argentina.
Figure
1:
South America: Freight
wagon market shares in
the period 20052008
The operators in Argentina have recently procured all types of rolling stock in large
quantities, although no freight wagon procurements have been disclosed so far. SCI
Verkehr expects investments to increase slightly in the medium term to maintain fleets.
Cuba has ordered large quantities of wagons from China and Iran in recent years and these
procurements will run until 2010. Fewer purchases can be expected once these orders have
been delivered.
Shipping companies from Venezuela procured a number of wagons in 2008.
AFE in Uruguay has received 180 used flat wagons and 300 closed wagons of the Gabs
type from Italy. In return for this delivery of used wagons at very reasonable prices, FS
group is said to have received a contract worth EUR 10 million to modernise the Uruguayan
railway system. The Uruguayan government has announced plans to procure and refurbish
freight wagons.
million EUR
600
400
200
2006
Figure 1:
South America: Freight
wagon procurements
20062014
2007
Brazil
2008
Argentina
2009
Chile
2010
Cuba
2011
2012
other
2013
2014
2 750
Argentina
300
Chile
100
Cuba
300
Other
100
Total
3 550
The after-sales sector is dominated by ongoing maintenance as well as the overhaul and
refurbishment of freight wagons which are no longer fit for operation.
Tylova 1/57
412003 Zhuzhou
31600 Pilsen
Phone:
Fax:
E-Mail: cb@csr-zrsw.com
E-Mail: transportation@skoda.cz
www.csr-zrsw.com
www.skoda.cz/transportation
Egypt
Phone:
Fer (SEMAF)
Fax:
E-Mail:
Cairo
Phone: +202 79 56 976
Croatia
www.micor.com.eg
Estonia
AS Skinest Rail
E-Mail: dd-inzenjering@sb.htnet.hr
Kadaka tee 1
www.duro-dakovic.com
10621 Tallinn
Phone: Tel +372 6788070
E-Mail: skinest@skinest.ee
www.skinest.ee
E-Mail: marketing@ddsv.hr
Tstuse 28A
www.ddsv.hr
10411 Tallinn
Phone: +372 6274090
Czech Republic
Lostr a.s.
www.avrts.com
Husova 402
CZ - 440 82 Louny
France
ABRF Industries
E-Mail: info@lostr.cz
B.P. 19
www.lostr.cz
OOS Ostrava
Na Vale 21
E-Mail: contact@abrfi.com
702 16 Ostrava 1
www.abrfi.com
E-Mail: sekretariat@oossro.cz
http://www.oossro.cz/
11101 Narbonne
Phone: +33 (0)4 68 42 50 50
Na Vale 21
70216 Moravsk Ostrava
Rte de l'Ombre
Fax:
E-Mail: sekretariat@oossro.cz
www.oossro.cz
Region
EE
EE
EE
EE
EE
EE
Operator
Country
RS
RS
RS
RS
RS
RS
Operator
ZS
ZS
ZS
ZS
ZS
ZS
Owner Owner
Country Type Owner
CS
N
ZS
CS
N
ZS
CS
N
ZS
CS
N
ZS
CS
N
ZS
CS
ZS
Kind of Vehicle
flat
flat
flat
tank
other
Type
Rils
Regs
covered
Habbillnss(-z)
No
Vehicles Supplier
50
100
150
50
300
200
EE
RS
ZS
CS
ZS
flat
Regnss(-z)
150
EE
RS
ZS
CS
ZS
open
Eanoss(-z)
200
EE
RS
ZS
CS
ZS
open
Eanoss
EE
EE
EE
EE
RS
CZ
CZ
CZ
ZS
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
CS
CZ
CZ
CZ
N
N
N
N
ZS
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
open
covered
covered
covered
EE
CZ
Ceske Drahy
CZ
Ceske Drahy
covered
EE
EE
EE
EE
CZ
CZ
CZ
CZ
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
CZ
CZ
CZ
CZ
N
N
N
N
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
Ceske Drahy
covered
covered
covered
covered
EE
CZ
Ceske Drahy
CZ
Ceske Drahy
open
EE
CZ
Ceske Drahy
CZ
Ceske Drahy
covered
EE
CZ
Ceske Drahy
CZ
Ceske Drahy
covered
EE
CZ
Ceske Drahy
CZ
Ceske Drahy
covered
Supply Supply
from
to
Remarks
old
2004
2004
2006
2006
old
old
2008
2009
2008
2009
IRS
2008
2009
300
IRS
2008
2009
Eanoss(-z)
250
4783
629
450
IRS
2008
1980
1990
1995
2009
1989
1995
2000
Tdns
150
1997
1997
1997
1998
2006
2005
2005
2005
2005
Hbbillnss
H
Habbilnss
Tadnss
Tams
Tadnss
Vagonka Ceska
Lipa /DWA
Vagonka Ceska
Lipa /DWA
200
100
200
100
OOS Ostroda
Lostr
1997
1998
2004
2005
300
CKD Vagonka
Ostroda
2005
313
300
OOS Ostroda
2006
2006
30
Lostr
2006
2006
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