Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Virginia, February 2016
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Virginia, February 2016
Virginia
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
5.3%
1. Overall, how would you describe the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Very interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Somewhat interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not too interesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Virginia?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Virginia Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters
7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
9. On which of these topics MUST a candidate agree with you to earn your vote, and on which
is it okay if there are some differences between you?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Immigration
Matters of faith and
religion
Handling ISIS
Economic Issues
Guns
Obamacare
31%
69%
63%
66%
77%
69%
31%
37%
34%
23%
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Too
conservative
6%
37%
7%
9%
About right
42%
48%
57%
50%
Not
conservative
enough
52%
15%
36%
41%
Donald
Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco
Rubio
John Kasich
48%
15%
24%
13%
11%
70%
14%
5%
32%
22%
9%
36%
53%
13%
30%
4%
13. If you heard a candidate described as an "establishment Republican" would it make you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
14. These days, do you feel the Republican party represents you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not well, but at least more than the Democrats do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
None of them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
16. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
74%
83%
Doesnt understand
26%
17%
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Improving race
relations in America
Gun policy
Being Commander in
Chief
Health care
Standing up to a
Republican Congress
Fixing income
inequality
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
62%
65%
38%
35%
70%
56%
30%
44%
60%
40%
45%
55%
19. Do you feel each candidate is...? Check all that apply.
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Principled
59%
80%
Qualified
87%
54%
Honest
39%
66%
20. When you vote in the Virginia primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance
to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
23. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, how will you feel about voting
for [Other Candidate Name] in November?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in a previous
recruitment wave. Earlier responses were used where available.
29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
51%
36%
13%
55%
34%
11%
48%
37%
15%
40%
47%
13%
43%
42%
14%
54%
32%
14%
65%
26%
9%
52%
37%
11%
47%
30%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,192)
(560)
(632)
(199)
(267)
(511)
(214)
(947)
(202)
(23)
(20)
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Virginia?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
70%
10%
11%
3%
3%
2%
1%
69%
10%
17%
1%
2%
2%
1%
72%
10%
6%
4%
4%
2%
2%
39%
13%
27%
3%
12%
5%
0%
69%
12%
11%
2%
1%
1%
2%
75%
9%
8%
3%
2%
1%
2%
88%
6%
3%
1%
0%
1%
0%
69%
10%
12%
2%
4%
2%
1%
71%
9%
9%
7%
0%
2%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,193)
(560)
(633)
(199)
(267)
(512)
(214)
(948)
(202)
(23)
(20)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
29%
8%
22%
38%
33%
8%
21%
44%
25%
8%
22%
32%
19%
19%
30%
50%
20%
5%
25%
43%
30%
8%
19%
38%
44%
3%
15%
34%
33%
10%
23%
80%
4%
4%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,193)
(560)
(633)
(199)
(267)
(512)
(214)
(948)
(202)
(23)
(20)
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
4%
22%
6%
27%
40%
1%
3%
26%
3%
30%
36%
2%
4%
17%
8%
23%
45%
2%
3%
15%
0%
66%
16%
0%
4%
22%
4%
19%
46%
5%
4%
27%
7%
19%
41%
2%
3%
15%
7%
26%
47%
2%
4%
21%
6%
28%
40%
1%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(256)
(225)
(62)
(81)
(219)
(120)
(455)
(9)
(17)
(0)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
59%
39%
1%
54%
46%
0%
64%
35%
2%
34%
66%
0%
56%
43%
2%
67%
32%
1%
68%
32%
0%
52%
47%
1%
74%
25%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(306)
(159)
(4)
(2)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
39%
19%
2%
39%
41%
17%
3%
40%
35%
22%
3%
47%
44%
9%
0%
45%
32%
18%
5%
32%
45%
20%
3%
47%
28%
23%
2%
40%
39%
18%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(250)
(219)
(60)
(77)
(215)
(117)
(447)
(8)
(13)
(0)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
29%
11%
2%
59%
30%
7%
4%
55%
29%
15%
1%
62%
27%
10%
0%
57%
29%
12%
1%
55%
32%
10%
4%
58%
25%
16%
1%
63%
25%
8%
3%
46%
37%
17%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(195)
(269)
(63)
(132)
(195)
(74)
(302)
(157)
(4)
(2)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
22%
78%
28%
72%
16%
84%
39%
61%
30%
70%
21%
79%
11%
89%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(225)
(221)
(60)
(62)
(208)
(115)
(424)
(9)
(13)
(0)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
64%
37%
63%
34%
66%
23%
77%
42%
58%
33%
67%
45%
55%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(439)
(228)
(212)
(60)
(67)
(205)
(108)
(417)
(9)
(13)
(0)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
52%
48%
56%
44%
47%
53%
19%
81%
53%
47%
56%
44%
61%
39%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(451)
(240)
(212)
(60)
(65)
(211)
(116)
(425)
(9)
(17)
(0)
10
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
39%
61%
37%
63%
24%
76%
32%
68%
41%
59%
43%
57%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(240)
(210)
(60)
(68)
(208)
(114)
(428)
(9)
(13)
(0)
11
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
33%
70%
30%
63%
37%
48%
52%
72%
28%
66%
34%
73%
27%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(250)
(225)
(62)
(80)
(215)
(118)
(449)
(9)
(17)
(0)
12
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
69%
30%
70%
33%
67%
20%
80%
34%
66%
34%
66%
31%
69%
30%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(252)
(223)
(62)
(81)
(216)
(118)
(450)
(9)
(17)
(0)
13
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
69%
31%
68%
32%
71%
29%
75%
25%
62%
38%
67%
33%
76%
24%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(252)
(221)
(62)
(80)
(212)
(120)
(447)
(9)
(17)
(0)
14
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
37%
69%
31%
56%
44%
72%
28%
61%
39%
65%
35%
54%
46%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(253)
(220)
(62)
(80)
(212)
(120)
(448)
(9)
(17)
(0)
15
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
66%
34%
72%
28%
58%
42%
40%
60%
67%
33%
65%
35%
78%
22%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(252)
(219)
(62)
(79)
(212)
(119)
(446)
(9)
(17)
(0)
16
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
77%
23%
72%
28%
82%
18%
62%
38%
77%
23%
76%
24%
85%
15%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(472)
(253)
(219)
(62)
(81)
(211)
(118)
(446)
(9)
(17)
(0)
17
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
42%
52%
6%
42%
52%
5%
43%
52%
9%
18%
73%
13%
45%
42%
4%
41%
55%
1%
55%
44%
4%
43%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(255)
(225)
(62)
(81)
(219)
(119)
(454)
(9)
(17)
(0)
18
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
48%
15%
40%
46%
14%
35%
50%
15%
68%
20%
13%
48%
49%
3%
30%
54%
16%
27%
51%
21%
37%
50%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(478)
(255)
(223)
(62)
(81)
(218)
(118)
(452)
(9)
(17)
(0)
19
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
57%
36%
6%
58%
36%
9%
56%
35%
5%
88%
7%
15%
58%
27%
5%
51%
44%
9%
51%
40%
6%
58%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(250)
(223)
(62)
(76)
(218)
(118)
(448)
(9)
(16)
(0)
20
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
9%
50%
41%
7%
54%
39%
10%
47%
43%
4%
56%
40%
24%
42%
34%
9%
50%
41%
2%
55%
44%
8%
50%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(251)
(219)
(62)
(76)
(215)
(118)
(444)
(9)
(17)
(0)
21
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
33%
12%
14%
7%
36%
8%
14%
6%
30%
15%
13%
5%
51%
14%
1%
17%
27%
12%
5%
4%
28%
14%
12%
5%
38%
5%
29%
7%
33%
12%
14%
35%
35%
35%
29%
39%
42%
23%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(255)
(224)
(60)
(81)
(218)
(120)
(453)
(9)
(17)
(0)
22
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
48%
15%
24%
13%
41%
18%
26%
16%
57%
12%
21%
10%
8%
17%
65%
10%
49%
14%
18%
19%
49%
20%
16%
15%
66%
6%
20%
7%
49%
15%
24%
11%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(247)
(220)
(60)
(72)
(215)
(120)
(441)
(9)
(17)
(0)
23
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
11%
70%
14%
5%
11%
75%
9%
4%
11%
64%
20%
5%
8%
89%
4%
0%
14%
63%
18%
5%
10%
72%
12%
6%
13%
62%
21%
4%
12%
71%
13%
4%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(253)
(216)
(60)
(80)
(214)
(116)
(443)
(9)
(17)
(0)
24
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
32%
22%
9%
36%
29%
20%
11%
41%
37%
25%
7%
31%
12%
15%
4%
70%
37%
19%
22%
22%
35%
26%
5%
34%
35%
19%
11%
34%
32%
22%
9%
37%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(256)
(219)
(60)
(81)
(215)
(120)
(449)
(9)
(17)
(0)
25
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
53%
13%
30%
4%
49%
12%
33%
6%
58%
13%
27%
2%
36%
16%
48%
0%
67%
2%
21%
10%
50%
19%
29%
2%
58%
7%
29%
5%
54%
12%
31%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(255)
(221)
(60)
(80)
(217)
(120)
(451)
(9)
(16)
(0)
26
Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
11%
49%
33%
7%
6%
56%
37%
2%
17%
41%
28%
13%
46%
1%
47%
6%
15%
46%
28%
12%
6%
54%
33%
7%
2%
66%
29%
3%
12%
50%
32%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(256)
(223)
(60)
(81)
(219)
(120)
(453)
(9)
(17)
(0)
27
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
35%
17%
42%
5%
28%
20%
46%
6%
42%
14%
38%
15%
72%
1%
11%
15%
40%
14%
32%
1%
30%
21%
48%
4%
22%
21%
53%
6%
35%
16%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(474)
(251)
(223)
(60)
(77)
(218)
(120)
(448)
(9)
(17)
(0)
28
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
8%
24%
22%
21%
13%
12%
9%
24%
26%
18%
12%
12%
7%
24%
17%
24%
14%
14%
9%
25%
42%
7%
7%
11%
7%
33%
27%
21%
3%
10%
9%
23%
20%
27%
10%
11%
7%
20%
12%
15%
28%
19%
8%
25%
21%
20%
13%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(250)
(217)
(60)
(77)
(213)
(117)
(445)
(8)
(13)
(0)
29
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
74%
26%
68%
32%
78%
22%
68%
32%
73%
27%
73%
27%
86%
14%
70%
30%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(187)
(274)
(60)
(134)
(199)
(68)
(301)
(153)
(4)
(2)
30
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
83%
17%
91%
9%
78%
22%
99%
1%
83%
17%
80%
20%
80%
20%
87%
13%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(187)
(273)
(60)
(134)
(198)
(68)
(301)
(153)
(3)
(2)
31
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
46%
54%
58%
42%
37%
63%
71%
29%
52%
48%
39%
61%
33%
67%
59%
41%
22%
78%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(192)
(273)
(60)
(133)
(198)
(73)
(301)
(157)
(4)
(2)
32
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
22%
78%
22%
78%
22%
78%
30%
70%
18%
82%
23%
77%
17%
83%
17%
83%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(454)
(189)
(266)
(63)
(134)
(192)
(66)
(303)
(146)
(3)
(2)
33
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
38%
55%
45%
66%
34%
36%
64%
54%
46%
68%
32%
80%
20%
54%
46%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(190)
(269)
(62)
(129)
(199)
(69)
(302)
(151)
(4)
(2)
34
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
35%
65%
35%
66%
34%
56%
44%
58%
42%
72%
28%
69%
31%
63%
37%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(188)
(271)
(59)
(131)
(199)
(70)
(300)
(153)
(4)
(2)
35
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
70%
30%
64%
36%
74%
26%
58%
42%
69%
31%
73%
27%
76%
24%
66%
34%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(188)
(275)
(60)
(134)
(199)
(70)
(302)
(154)
(4)
(2)
36
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
44%
46%
54%
63%
37%
44%
56%
53%
47%
56%
44%
74%
26%
47%
53%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(191)
(272)
(63)
(132)
(199)
(70)
(303)
(154)
(4)
(2)
37
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
40%
57%
43%
61%
39%
51%
49%
59%
41%
62%
38%
62%
38%
57%
43%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(188)
(271)
(60)
(131)
(198)
(70)
(299)
(154)
(4)
(2)
38
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
55%
32%
68%
54%
46%
35%
65%
40%
60%
49%
51%
52%
48%
35%
65%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(191)
(270)
(63)
(129)
(199)
(70)
(302)
(152)
(4)
(2)
39
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
59%
87%
39%
49%
83%
34%
66%
90%
42%
29%
77%
19%
66%
83%
33%
64%
91%
44%
55%
94%
50%
56%
90%
36%
63%
82%
43%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(306)
(159)
(4)
(2)
40
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
80%
54%
66%
79%
64%
75%
81%
47%
59%
70%
79%
67%
91%
52%
72%
79%
51%
60%
74%
44%
70%
87%
66%
79%
68%
30%
40%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(306)
(159)
(4)
(2)
41
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
9%
12%
29%
12%
12%
34%
6%
12%
25%
31%
13%
29%
9%
13%
40%
3%
11%
22%
6%
9%
28%
12%
12%
31%
3%
12%
26%
50%
42%
57%
28%
37%
64%
58%
46%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(196)
(265)
(63)
(134)
(190)
(74)
(306)
(149)
(4)
(2)
42
Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
51%
8%
35%
57%
8%
45%
47%
8%
35%
55%
10%
44%
54%
2%
34%
53%
13%
59%
40%
1%
33%
62%
5%
54%
32%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(306)
(159)
(4)
(2)
43
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
51%
5%
24%
57%
6%
34%
46%
5%
45%
37%
5%
23%
56%
3%
26%
56%
5%
40%
38%
9%
28%
52%
5%
33%
50%
7%
14%
13%
15%
14%
18%
13%
13%
16%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(306)
(159)
(4)
(2)
44
Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
21%
22%
28%
23%
15%
22%
53%
6%
13%
20%
20%
22%
10%
41%
28%
22%
6%
24%
43%
14%
36%
13%
47%
16%
25%
16%
46%
21%
49%
9%
33%
16%
35%
16%
58%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(195)
(270)
(63)
(132)
(196)
(74)
(302)
(157)
(4)
(2)
45
8.6%
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
76%
20%
4%
77%
18%
6%
82%
16%
2%
68%
26%
6%
79%
18%
4%
74%
22%
4%
72%
24%
4%
82%
14%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(156)
(206)
(91)
(228)
(251)
(187)
(257)
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
76%
20%
4%
77%
20%
3%
75%
19%
5%
78%
17%
5%
58%
36%
6%
80%
16%
4%
80%
16%
4%
74%
20%
5%
79%
19%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(256)
(225)
(62)
(81)
(219)
(120)
(366)
(83)
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
4%
22%
6%
27%
40%
1%
6%
35%
1%
19%
37%
2%
1%
11%
6%
38%
43%
1%
4%
25%
10%
22%
37%
2%
5%
27%
1%
20%
45%
2%
2%
17%
10%
33%
36%
2%
6%
23%
1%
14%
55%
1%
1%
20%
6%
39%
31%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(156)
(206)
(91)
(228)
(251)
(187)
(257)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference
4%
22%
6%
27%
40%
1%
3%
26%
3%
30%
36%
2%
4%
17%
8%
23%
45%
2%
3%
15%
0%
66%
16%
0%
4%
22%
4%
19%
46%
5%
4%
27%
7%
19%
41%
2%
3%
15%
7%
26%
47%
2%
4%
23%
5%
29%
38%
2%
2%
17%
6%
21%
52%
1%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(481)
(256)
(225)
(62)
(81)
(219)
(120)
(366)
(83)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
39%
19%
2%
43%
41%
15%
2%
37%
40%
22%
2%
38%
34%
24%
4%
40%
37%
22%
1%
39%
40%
16%
5%
40%
38%
20%
2%
40%
37%
19%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(152)
(204)
(90)
(223)
(245)
(186)
(249)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
40%
39%
19%
2%
39%
41%
17%
3%
40%
35%
22%
3%
47%
44%
9%
0%
45%
32%
18%
5%
32%
45%
20%
3%
47%
28%
23%
2%
38%
41%
19%
2%
47%
34%
18%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(250)
(219)
(60)
(77)
(215)
(117)
(358)
(82)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
22%
78%
30%
70%
10%
90%
32%
68%
22%
78%
22%
78%
19%
81%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(151)
(195)
(77)
(225)
(221)
(179)
(232)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
22%
78%
28%
72%
16%
84%
39%
61%
30%
70%
21%
79%
11%
89%
23%
77%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(225)
(221)
(60)
(62)
(208)
(115)
(341)
(76)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
64%
25%
75%
28%
72%
65%
35%
31%
69%
40%
60%
30%
70%
41%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(439)
(149)
(187)
(84)
(211)
(229)
(168)
(241)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
36%
64%
37%
63%
34%
66%
23%
77%
42%
58%
33%
67%
45%
55%
33%
67%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(439)
(228)
(212)
(60)
(67)
(205)
(108)
(334)
(76)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
52%
48%
53%
47%
49%
51%
48%
52%
60%
40%
45%
55%
48%
52%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(451)
(154)
(194)
(77)
(216)
(235)
(179)
(241)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
52%
48%
56%
44%
47%
53%
19%
81%
53%
47%
56%
44%
61%
39%
46%
54%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(451)
(240)
(212)
(60)
(65)
(211)
(116)
(337)
(81)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
62%
49%
51%
32%
68%
25%
75%
51%
49%
26%
74%
42%
58%
33%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(148)
(194)
(86)
(212)
(239)
(174)
(245)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
38%
62%
39%
61%
37%
63%
24%
76%
32%
68%
41%
59%
43%
57%
35%
65%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(450)
(240)
(210)
(60)
(68)
(208)
(114)
(340)
(81)
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
33%
78%
22%
64%
36%
56%
44%
82%
18%
53%
47%
74%
26%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(154)
(202)
(90)
(226)
(247)
(185)
(253)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
33%
70%
30%
63%
37%
48%
52%
72%
28%
66%
34%
73%
27%
67%
33%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(250)
(225)
(62)
(80)
(215)
(118)
(359)
(83)
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
69%
41%
59%
28%
72%
20%
80%
30%
70%
32%
68%
59%
41%
12%
88%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(153)
(203)
(91)
(227)
(247)
(187)
(252)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
31%
69%
30%
70%
33%
67%
20%
80%
34%
66%
34%
66%
31%
69%
34%
66%
27%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(252)
(223)
(62)
(81)
(216)
(118)
(360)
(83)
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
69%
31%
76%
24%
75%
25%
54%
46%
78%
22%
62%
38%
73%
27%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(155)
(198)
(91)
(223)
(247)
(187)
(253)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
69%
31%
68%
32%
71%
29%
75%
25%
62%
38%
67%
33%
76%
24%
73%
27%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(252)
(221)
(62)
(80)
(212)
(120)
(357)
(83)
10
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
63%
37%
64%
36%
63%
37%
67%
33%
66%
34%
60%
40%
64%
36%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(155)
(200)
(91)
(223)
(248)
(187)
(254)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
63%
37%
69%
31%
56%
44%
72%
28%
61%
39%
65%
35%
54%
46%
64%
36%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(253)
(220)
(62)
(80)
(212)
(120)
(358)
(82)
11
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
66%
34%
83%
17%
60%
40%
54%
46%
85%
15%
48%
52%
71%
29%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(154)
(198)
(91)
(222)
(247)
(184)
(255)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
66%
34%
72%
28%
58%
42%
40%
60%
67%
33%
65%
35%
78%
22%
65%
35%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(252)
(219)
(62)
(79)
(212)
(119)
(356)
(83)
12
Ideology
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
77%
23%
88%
12%
79%
21%
57%
43%
86%
14%
69%
31%
76%
24%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(472)
(154)
(198)
(91)
(221)
(249)
(185)
(254)
Gender
Must agree with you
Okay with some differences
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
77%
23%
72%
28%
82%
18%
62%
38%
77%
23%
76%
24%
85%
15%
77%
23%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(472)
(253)
(219)
(62)
(81)
(211)
(118)
(357)
(83)
13
Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
6%
42%
52%
4%
35%
62%
2%
46%
52%
7%
43%
50%
3%
45%
52%
7%
40%
53%
4%
52%
44%
7%
36%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(155)
(206)
(91)
(227)
(251)
(187)
(256)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
6%
42%
52%
6%
42%
52%
5%
43%
52%
9%
18%
73%
13%
45%
42%
4%
41%
55%
1%
55%
44%
4%
40%
55%
2%
51%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(255)
(225)
(62)
(81)
(219)
(119)
(365)
(83)
14
Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
48%
15%
17%
64%
19%
41%
50%
9%
60%
24%
16%
16%
65%
19%
57%
32%
10%
17%
62%
21%
53%
36%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(478)
(154)
(205)
(91)
(227)
(249)
(187)
(254)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
48%
15%
40%
46%
14%
35%
50%
15%
68%
20%
13%
48%
49%
3%
30%
54%
16%
27%
51%
21%
34%
51%
15%
43%
42%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(478)
(255)
(223)
(62)
(81)
(218)
(118)
(363)
(83)
15
Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
7%
57%
36%
1%
50%
49%
5%
62%
34%
12%
68%
21%
1%
51%
49%
14%
63%
24%
1%
56%
44%
12%
61%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(152)
(202)
(91)
(227)
(245)
(183)
(254)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
7%
57%
36%
6%
58%
36%
9%
56%
35%
5%
88%
7%
15%
58%
27%
5%
51%
44%
9%
51%
40%
3%
63%
34%
13%
38%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(473)
(250)
(223)
(62)
(76)
(218)
(118)
(361)
(79)
16
Ideology
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
9%
50%
41%
2%
35%
63%
6%
59%
34%
17%
62%
21%
1%
45%
54%
16%
56%
29%
8%
43%
49%
9%
56%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(150)
(206)
(87)
(225)
(243)
(186)
(249)
Gender
Too conservative
About right
Not conservative enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
9%
50%
41%
7%
54%
39%
10%
47%
43%
4%
56%
40%
24%
42%
34%
9%
50%
41%
2%
55%
44%
8%
51%
42%
5%
58%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(470)
(251)
(219)
(62)
(76)
(215)
(118)
(359)
(78)
17
Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
6%
33%
12%
14%
8%
29%
9%
19%
1%
42%
14%
11%
11%
24%
8%
13%
6%
30%
10%
17%
7%
36%
13%
11%
11%
30%
10%
15%
4%
39%
8%
14%
35%
35%
33%
43%
37%
34%
34%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(155)
(205)
(91)
(228)
(251)
(187)
(256)
Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
6%
33%
12%
14%
7%
36%
8%
14%
6%
30%
15%
13%
5%
51%
14%
1%
17%
27%
12%
5%
4%
28%
14%
12%
5%
38%
5%
29%
8%
34%
13%
12%
4%
32%
8%
16%
35%
35%
35%
29%
39%
42%
23%
33%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(255)
(224)
(60)
(81)
(218)
(120)
(363)
(83)
18
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
48%
15%
24%
13%
46%
27%
24%
4%
51%
9%
28%
12%
50%
7%
17%
26%
56%
21%
16%
7%
41%
9%
30%
19%
63%
19%
15%
3%
40%
11%
32%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(152)
(206)
(82)
(225)
(242)
(187)
(245)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
48%
15%
24%
13%
41%
18%
26%
16%
57%
12%
21%
10%
8%
17%
65%
10%
49%
14%
18%
19%
49%
20%
16%
15%
66%
6%
20%
7%
46%
16%
26%
11%
57%
12%
18%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(247)
(220)
(60)
(72)
(215)
(120)
(354)
(83)
19
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
11%
70%
14%
5%
14%
63%
14%
8%
12%
73%
12%
3%
6%
73%
19%
2%
18%
68%
8%
6%
6%
72%
20%
3%
16%
64%
15%
6%
7%
79%
10%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(150)
(204)
(89)
(223)
(246)
(184)
(250)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
11%
70%
14%
5%
11%
75%
9%
4%
11%
64%
20%
5%
8%
89%
4%
0%
14%
63%
18%
5%
10%
72%
12%
6%
13%
62%
21%
4%
12%
68%
16%
5%
10%
74%
12%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(469)
(253)
(216)
(60)
(80)
(214)
(116)
(356)
(80)
20
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
32%
22%
9%
36%
31%
35%
10%
24%
37%
15%
5%
43%
22%
17%
19%
41%
41%
29%
6%
23%
25%
15%
12%
48%
44%
30%
9%
17%
26%
13%
10%
50%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(154)
(206)
(89)
(226)
(249)
(184)
(256)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
32%
22%
9%
36%
29%
20%
11%
41%
37%
25%
7%
31%
12%
15%
4%
70%
37%
19%
22%
22%
35%
26%
5%
34%
35%
19%
11%
34%
31%
24%
11%
34%
40%
17%
6%
38%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(475)
(256)
(219)
(60)
(81)
(215)
(120)
(362)
(81)
21
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
53%
13%
30%
4%
58%
18%
22%
2%
51%
8%
39%
2%
52%
11%
28%
9%
62%
15%
22%
1%
45%
11%
38%
7%
64%
18%
16%
1%
46%
6%
42%
6%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(154)
(206)
(91)
(226)
(250)
(185)
(256)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
53%
13%
30%
4%
49%
12%
33%
6%
58%
13%
27%
2%
36%
16%
48%
0%
67%
2%
21%
10%
50%
19%
29%
2%
58%
7%
29%
5%
54%
14%
29%
3%
52%
10%
34%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(476)
(255)
(221)
(60)
(80)
(217)
(120)
(361)
(82)
22
Ideology
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
11%
49%
33%
7%
8%
51%
34%
7%
16%
51%
27%
6%
9%
50%
30%
11%
2%
67%
24%
7%
20%
32%
41%
7%
11%
50%
29%
10%
12%
47%
38%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(156)
(206)
(91)
(228)
(251)
(187)
(257)
Gender
More likely to vote for them
Less likely to vote for them
It doesnt affect my vote
Never heard the term
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
11%
49%
33%
7%
6%
56%
37%
2%
17%
41%
28%
13%
46%
1%
47%
6%
15%
46%
28%
12%
6%
54%
33%
7%
2%
66%
29%
3%
15%
45%
32%
9%
0%
74%
26%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(479)
(256)
(223)
(60)
(81)
(219)
(120)
(364)
(83)
23
Ideology
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
6%
35%
17%
42%
11%
26%
22%
41%
4%
42%
10%
43%
1%
35%
15%
49%
4%
25%
17%
54%
8%
44%
18%
31%
9%
32%
19%
40%
3%
34%
17%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(474)
(155)
(206)
(87)
(227)
(247)
(187)
(253)
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
6%
35%
17%
42%
5%
28%
20%
46%
6%
42%
14%
38%
15%
72%
1%
11%
15%
40%
14%
32%
1%
30%
21%
48%
4%
22%
21%
53%
7%
43%
13%
38%
1%
10%
27%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(474)
(251)
(223)
(60)
(77)
(218)
(120)
(363)
(78)
24
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
8%
24%
22%
21%
13%
12%
7%
31%
9%
27%
14%
12%
6%
28%
29%
16%
15%
6%
9%
8%
33%
25%
7%
18%
8%
33%
12%
20%
17%
10%
8%
16%
31%
21%
9%
15%
10%
37%
12%
22%
10%
10%
7%
17%
32%
14%
16%
14%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(151)
(204)
(90)
(222)
(245)
(184)
(249)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them
8%
24%
22%
21%
13%
12%
9%
24%
26%
18%
12%
12%
7%
24%
17%
24%
14%
14%
9%
25%
42%
7%
7%
11%
7%
33%
27%
21%
3%
10%
9%
23%
20%
27%
10%
11%
7%
20%
12%
15%
28%
19%
9%
24%
21%
24%
13%
10%
8%
27%
23%
8%
14%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(467)
(250)
(217)
(60)
(77)
(213)
(117)
(356)
(82)
25
9.2%
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
59%
26%
14%
73%
24%
3%
47%
46%
7%
59%
21%
20%
67%
27%
6%
45%
26%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(305)
(159)
Gender
Very interesting
Somewhat interesting
Not too interesting
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
59%
26%
14%
72%
20%
8%
51%
31%
19%
87%
10%
3%
46%
43%
11%
61%
22%
16%
54%
22%
24%
56%
29%
15%
64%
21%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
59%
39%
1%
41%
59%
0%
65%
34%
1%
74%
24%
2%
52%
47%
1%
74%
25%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(159)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
59%
39%
1%
54%
46%
0%
64%
35%
2%
34%
66%
0%
56%
43%
2%
67%
32%
1%
68%
32%
0%
59%
40%
1%
61%
39%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
57%
29%
11%
2%
77%
19%
3%
0%
60%
29%
11%
0%
43%
36%
19%
2%
63%
25%
8%
3%
46%
37%
17%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(171)
(94)
(150)
(302)
(157)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
29%
11%
2%
59%
30%
7%
4%
55%
29%
15%
1%
62%
27%
10%
0%
57%
29%
12%
1%
55%
32%
10%
4%
58%
25%
16%
1%
63%
27%
10%
1%
34%
46%
20%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(195)
(269)
(63)
(132)
(195)
(74)
(360)
(65)
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
74%
26%
63%
37%
75%
25%
87%
13%
70%
30%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(169)
(95)
(151)
(301)
(153)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
74%
26%
68%
32%
78%
22%
68%
32%
73%
27%
73%
27%
86%
14%
75%
25%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(187)
(274)
(60)
(134)
(199)
(68)
(359)
(62)
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
83%
17%
89%
11%
84%
16%
80%
20%
87%
13%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(169)
(95)
(150)
(301)
(153)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
83%
17%
91%
9%
78%
22%
99%
1%
83%
17%
80%
20%
80%
20%
80%
20%
94%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(187)
(273)
(60)
(134)
(198)
(68)
(358)
(62)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
46%
54%
62%
38%
44%
56%
34%
66%
59%
41%
22%
78%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(168)
(95)
(152)
(301)
(157)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
54%
58%
42%
37%
63%
71%
29%
52%
48%
39%
61%
33%
67%
47%
53%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(192)
(273)
(60)
(133)
(198)
(73)
(362)
(62)
Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
22%
78%
15%
85%
15%
85%
26%
74%
17%
83%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(454)
(172)
(95)
(143)
(303)
(146)
Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
78%
22%
78%
22%
78%
30%
70%
18%
82%
23%
77%
17%
83%
25%
75%
4%
96%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(454)
(189)
(266)
(63)
(134)
(192)
(66)
(349)
(65)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
62%
38%
39%
61%
73%
27%
79%
21%
54%
46%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(173)
(92)
(151)
(302)
(151)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
62%
38%
55%
45%
66%
34%
36%
64%
54%
46%
68%
32%
80%
20%
63%
37%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(190)
(269)
(62)
(129)
(199)
(69)
(355)
(64)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
65%
35%
63%
37%
62%
38%
71%
29%
63%
37%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(169)
(94)
(152)
(300)
(153)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
65%
35%
65%
35%
66%
34%
56%
44%
58%
42%
72%
28%
69%
31%
68%
32%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(188)
(271)
(59)
(131)
(199)
(70)
(357)
(62)
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
70%
30%
60%
40%
80%
20%
76%
24%
66%
34%
79%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(169)
(95)
(152)
(302)
(154)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
70%
30%
64%
36%
74%
26%
58%
42%
69%
31%
73%
27%
76%
24%
74%
26%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(188)
(275)
(60)
(134)
(199)
(70)
(361)
(62)
10
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
56%
44%
38%
62%
61%
39%
72%
28%
47%
53%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(172)
(95)
(153)
(303)
(154)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
56%
44%
46%
54%
63%
37%
44%
56%
53%
47%
56%
44%
74%
26%
58%
42%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(463)
(191)
(272)
(63)
(132)
(199)
(70)
(358)
(65)
11
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
60%
40%
39%
61%
68%
32%
76%
24%
57%
43%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(169)
(95)
(152)
(299)
(154)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
60%
40%
57%
43%
61%
39%
51%
49%
59%
41%
62%
38%
62%
38%
58%
42%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(459)
(188)
(271)
(60)
(131)
(198)
(70)
(357)
(62)
12
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
45%
55%
27%
73%
49%
51%
56%
44%
35%
65%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(172)
(95)
(150)
(302)
(152)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
45%
55%
32%
68%
54%
46%
35%
65%
40%
60%
49%
51%
52%
48%
46%
54%
22%
78%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(461)
(191)
(270)
(63)
(129)
(199)
(70)
(356)
(65)
13
Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
59%
87%
39%
47%
88%
31%
73%
95%
43%
64%
84%
52%
56%
90%
36%
63%
82%
43%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(159)
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
59%
87%
39%
49%
83%
34%
66%
90%
42%
29%
77%
19%
66%
83%
33%
64%
91%
44%
55%
94%
50%
60%
90%
39%
64%
90%
36%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
14
Ideology
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
80%
54%
66%
88%
72%
80%
95%
46%
79%
66%
44%
50%
87%
66%
79%
68%
30%
40%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(159)
Gender
Principled
Qualified
Honest
Totals
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
80%
54%
66%
79%
64%
75%
81%
47%
59%
70%
79%
67%
91%
52%
72%
79%
51%
60%
74%
44%
70%
82%
54%
66%
92%
59%
85%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
15
Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
9%
12%
29%
8%
3%
42%
13%
14%
12%
9%
14%
27%
12%
12%
31%
3%
12%
26%
50%
46%
61%
50%
46%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(163)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(149)
Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
9%
12%
29%
12%
12%
34%
6%
12%
25%
31%
13%
29%
9%
13%
40%
3%
11%
22%
6%
9%
28%
8%
9%
29%
3%
18%
43%
50%
42%
57%
28%
37%
64%
58%
54%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(462)
(196)
(265)
(63)
(134)
(190)
(74)
(356)
(65)
16
Ideology
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
41%
51%
8%
31%
67%
2%
40%
60%
0%
55%
40%
6%
33%
62%
5%
54%
32%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(159)
Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
41%
51%
8%
35%
57%
8%
45%
47%
8%
35%
55%
10%
44%
54%
2%
34%
53%
13%
59%
40%
1%
43%
52%
5%
32%
56%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
17
Ideology
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
30%
51%
5%
34%
51%
1%
30%
53%
2%
27%
49%
7%
28%
52%
5%
33%
50%
7%
14%
13%
14%
17%
16%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(173)
(95)
(153)
(306)
(159)
Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not well, but more than the
Republicans
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
30%
51%
5%
24%
57%
6%
34%
46%
5%
45%
37%
5%
23%
56%
3%
26%
56%
5%
40%
38%
9%
32%
53%
3%
15%
49%
3%
14%
13%
15%
14%
18%
13%
13%
12%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(471)
(196)
(275)
(63)
(134)
(199)
(74)
(365)
(65)
18
Ideology
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
21%
22%
29%
20%
9%
23%
21%
29%
28%
22%
6%
24%
43%
14%
46%
6%
50%
18%
36%
13%
35%
16%
58%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(172)
(94)
(150)
(302)
(157)
Gender
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic, but probably will vote
for them
Probably wont vote for them
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
21%
22%
28%
23%
15%
22%
53%
6%
13%
20%
20%
22%
10%
41%
19%
24%
24%
26%
43%
14%
36%
13%
47%
16%
25%
16%
46%
21%
49%
9%
33%
16%
45%
12%
31%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(465)
(195)
(270)
(63)
(132)
(196)
(74)
(360)
(65)
19