16139 NBC_WSJ March Poll Release

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1200 Registered Voters, including 420 respondents with a cell phone only and
45 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Study #16139
Date: March 3-6, 2016

48 Male
52 Female
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1200 interviews among Registered Voters is 2.83%
The margin of error for 397 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is 4.92%
The margin of error for 410 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is 4.84%
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ................................................................
9
25-29 ................................................................
9
30-34 ................................................................
10
35-39 ................................................................
8
40-44 ................................................................
9
45-49 ................................................................
7
50-54 ................................................................
9
55-59 ................................................................
10
60-64 ................................................................
11
65-69 ................................................................
7
70-74 ................................................................
4
75 and over ..........................................................
7
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
89
Not sure/refused .............................................
1

voters.
Q2c
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................75
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 3
Other .............................................................. 4
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5
Not sure/refused ........................................... 1

voters.

March 2016
Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................-
+ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters.
Q4
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
3/16+
Approve.................49
Disapprove ............46
Not sure .............. 5
2/16+
49
47
4
1/16+
47
49
4
12/15
43
51
6
10/2529/15
45
49
6
High
Low
6/15
48
48
4
4/09
61
30
9
9/14+
40
54
6
10/812/14+
42
52
6
9/14+
40
54
6
8/14
40
54
6
6/14
41
53
6
10/1518/15
46
49
5
9/15
47
47
6
7/15
45
50
5
4/15
48
47
5
3/15
46
50
4
1/15
46
48
6
12/14
45
50
5
11/14
44
50
6
10/3011/1/14
+
42
52
6
4/14
44
50
6
3/14
41
54
5
1/14
43
51
6
12/13
43
54
3
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/79/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
8/13
44
48
8
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/2630/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/59/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/2325/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

March 2016
Q5

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT
BARACK OBAMA)
Barack Obama
March 2016+ ................................
February 2016+............................
January 2016+ .............................
December 2015............................
October 25-29, 2015 ....................
October 15-18, 2015 ....................
September 2015...........................
July 2015......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014............................
November 2014............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+ ........................
August 2014 .................................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013............................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012............................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+....................................
June 2012 ....................................
January 2012 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010............................
November 2010............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
December 2009............................
October 2009 ...............................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
High
February 2009 ..............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 .................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ..................
1
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
19
18
20
21
17
17
18
20
20
21
20
21
21
21
20
22
20
18
21
20
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
16
19
22
20
22
23
23
21
18
20
19
19
23
21
20
21
23
10
11
11
9
12
12
14
13
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
11
13
13
15
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
8
14
10
12
14
15
14
12
12
13
15
11
14
13
11
12
17
12
11
12
14
12
13
11
14
14
13
14
12
13
11
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
15
12
9
8
31
30
30
32
31
31
29
29
27
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
33
31
28
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
32
27
25
30
23
18
24
26
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
47
21
12
10
22
18
13
14
33
14
17
18
40
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
28
30
27
23
27
27
28
24
25
26
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
22
20
24
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
33
29
28
24
28
29
25
28
29
27
28
31
29
29
36
47
43

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

March 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Hillary Clinton
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
June 2014 .....................................
April 2014 ......................................
March 2014 ...................................
September 2013 ............................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012 .............................
November 2011 .............................
May 2011 ......................................
April 2011 ......................................
December 2010 .............................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
July 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 .............................
September 2008+..........................
August 2008+ ................................
June 2008+ ...................................
April 2008+ ....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ ......................
March 7-10, 2008+ ........................
January 2008 ................................
June 2007 .....................................
March 2007 ...................................
December 2006 .............................
April 2006 ......................................
December 2004 .............................
July 2003 .......................................
March 2001 ...................................
January 2001 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Low
March 2001 ...................................
1

Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
14
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
10
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
32
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
16
19
15
18
31
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
19
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

March 2016
Q5 (cont'd)

Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
23
22
20
18
19
22
17
14
8
18
17
20
19
22
19
23
20
22
13
12
12
13
9
11
9
10
6
23
23
19
18
19
16
13
9
7
3
6
11
14
16
16
23
37
49
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9
Marco Rubio
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
July 2013 .......................................
April 2013 ......................................
February 2013 ...............................
7
7
7
8
7
9
5
7
8
7
6
7
12
10
21
23
24
22
19
22
19
16
14
14
15
16
16
14
26
26
25
24
25
23
24
24
24
21
21
20
18
20
21
18
17
16
14
14
14
12
12
10
11
11
8
9
18
15
12
11
11
11
9
12
11
9
10
9
8
8
7
11
15
19
24
21
29
29
31
39
37
37
38
39
Ted Cruz
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
July 2015 .......................................
April 2015 ......................................
November 2014 .............................
October 25-28, 2013 .....................
October 7-9, 2013 .........................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................
10
8
11
9
8
7
7
5
5
9
7
4
17
20
20
16
15
14
12
12
11
10
7
6
23
20
22
24
22
23
24
24
18
16
13
13
17
15
14
12
13
12
12
13
8
8
8
4
28
28
21
23
20
22
19
19
18
22
20
8
5
9
12
16
22
22
26
27
40
35
44
65
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
20
20
18
18
15
16
15
10
8
Donald Trump
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
February 2011 ...............................
May 2004+ ....................................
December 1999 .............................
October 1999 ................................
July 1990 .......................................
Bernie Sanders
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................

March 2016
Q5 (cont'd)

Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
21
19
9
7
31
32
21
18
10
10
6
6
4
4
3
4
22
28
56
61
5
8
12
12
24
19
18
18
13
9
10
10
6
6
4
5
6
5
7
6
10
6
7
10
9
7
9
4
6
5
4
3
17
19
21
23
19
22
20
20
22
24
24
23
22
25
20
21
21
19
20
19
18
15
20
18
19
21
16
18
18
16
11
8
32
29
25
21
12
14
18
17
23
22
23
26
28
26
30
32
30
32
30
30
30
29
29
30
31
24
26
27
26
23
24
22
25
22
19
18
15
14
16
15
16
17
19
18
20
21
21
17
17
18
16
13
10
20
16
12
17
19
16
17
14
13
11
7
19
18
20
26
29
30
27
29
24
22
19
18
19
15
11
13
12
11
10
12
10
10
9
8
11
13
11
12
11
7
6
4
2
4
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
5
6
5
7
14
12
14
15
17
20
22
20
19
22
13
16
22
22
25
36
44
56
Apple
March 2016+ ................................
27
27
26
Google
March 2016+ ................................
38
29
24
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
12
7
5
4
Mitt Romney
March 2016+ ................................
January 2015 ...............................
September 2014+.........................
December 2012
October 2012+
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
September 12-16, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+ ....................................
June 2012 ....................................
May 2012 .....................................
April 2012 .....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012 ...............................
December 2011 ............................
November 2011 ............................
October 2011 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
June 2011 ....................................
February 2011 ..............................
December 9-13, 2010...................
September 2010 ...........................
March 2010 ..................................
July 2009 ......................................
April 2008+ ..................................
January 2008 ...............................
December 2007 ............................
November 2007 ............................
September 2007 ...........................
June 2007 ....................................
March 2007 ..................................
December 2006 ............................
John Kasich
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
July 2015 ......................................
November 2014 ............................

March 2016

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
D/S
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Google ...................................................
67
4
63
Apple ......................................................
54
14
40
John Kasich ...........................................
33
14
19
Bernie Sanders ......................................
43
36
7
Barack Obama .......................................
47
43
4
Marco Rubio ...........................................
28
39
-11
Hillary Clinton .........................................
38
51
-13
Ted Cruz ................................................
27
45
-18
Mitt Romney ...........................................
22
44
-22
Donald Trump ........................................
25
64
-39
Moving on
Q6
Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for
the outcome of the 2016 presidential electionthat a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican
be elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a
(Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?
2008 Election Trend
3/16+
Democrat
46
Strongly.......................
37
Not strongly .................
9
Republican
42
Not strongly .................
7
Strongly.......................
35
Other (VOL) ..............
4
Not sure ....................
8
2/16+
45
36
9
45
9
36
3
7
1/16+
46
33
13
43
10
33
5
6
12/15+
44
34
10
44
12
32
5
7
Q7
10/2529/15+
43
33
10
44
9
35
6
7
8/08+
46
36
10
37
13
24
6
11
7/08+
48
43
5
36
8
28
4
12
6/08+
51
44
7
35
8
27
4
10
3/710/08+
50
44
6
37
8
29
4
9
11/07+
49
41
8
39
8
31
2
11
9/07+
47
40
7
38
9
29
4
11
6/07
52
42
10
31
8
23
5
12
4/07
49
39
10
31
6
25
6
14
Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,
the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?
3/16+
Vote in Democratic Primary ................................ 33
Vote in Republican Primary................................ 32
Wait until the general election ................................30
Already voted in the DEM primary (VOL) ..............1
Already voted in the GOP primary (VOL) ..............2
Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .............................1
Not sure ................................................................1
2/16+
32
31
35
NA
NA
1
1
1/16+
28
33
37
NA
NA
2
12/15+
33
33
33
NA
NA
1
10/2529/15+
28
32
40
NA
NA
-
10/1518/15+
31
31
34
NA
NA
1
3
9/15+
31
28
38
NA
NA
3
7/15+
30
30
39
NA
NA
1
6/15+
30
28
38
NA
NA
1
3
4/15+
32
29
35
NA
NA
1
3
3/15+
30
25
40
NA
NA
2
3

March 2016
Q8

And, would this be your first time voting in a (Democratic/Republican) presidential primary or not?
Yes ..................................................................
No ....................................................................
Not sure ........................................................
All Primary
Voters
14
85
1
GOP
Primary
Voters^
15
84
1
DEM
Primary
Voters^^
14
85
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the
Republican Primary
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the
Democratic Primary
(ASKED OF PREVIOUS PRIMARY VOTERS)

Q8A
And, would you say you would be better described as an occasional (Democratic/Republican) primary voter
or a frequent (Democratic/Republican) primary voter?
Frequent Primary Voter ...................................

Occasional Primary Voter ................................
First Time Voter (Q8) ..................................
Not sure ........................................................
All Primary
Voters
70
14
14
2
GOP
Primary
Voters^
68
15
15
2
DEM
Primary
Voters^^
72
13
14
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the
Republican Primary
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the
Democratic Primary

March 2016
Q9

Next, Im going to mention a number of people running for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me,
yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the
name, please just say so.
DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS+
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Bernie Sanders
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
December 2014+ ...................
Hillary Clinton
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
December 2014+ ...................
John Kasich
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
Marco Rubio
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
December 2014+ ...................
Ted Cruz
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
December 2014+ ...................
Donald Trump
March 2016+ .........................
December 2015+ ...................
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
44
39
10
52
52
30
2
7
57
2
2
3
43
44
50
56
55
48
1
1
1
40
15
45
52
13
30
2
3
38
36
20
56
51
43
3
10
33
3
3
4
37
32
17
58
55
44
3
11
35
2
2
4
32
31
67
66
1
3
DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^
Hillary Clinton
March 2016^^ ....................
February 2016^^ ................
January 2016^^ ..................
December 2015^^ ..............
October 25-29, 2015^^.......
October 15-18, 2015^^.......
September 2015^^ .............
June 2015^^ .......................
March 2015^^ ....................
Bernie Sanders
March 2016^^ ....................
February 2016^^ ................
January 2016^^ ..................
December 2015^^ ..............
October 25-29, 2015^^.......
October 15-18, 2015^^.......
September 2015^^ .............
June 2015^^ .......................
March 2015^^ ....................
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
82
77
79
82
85
81
76
92
86
17
22
18
17
13
17
21
8
13
1
1
3
1
2
2
3
1
72
66
66
65
61
64
62
40
21
26
29
25
28
28
25
24
32
21
1
3
6
6
7
8
10
23
54
1
2
3
1
4
3
4
5
4
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 10

DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^
Yes, Could See

Self Supporting
No, Could Not See

Self Supporting
Dont Know
Name
Not
Sure
67
65
71
67
57
48
45
52
51
57
40
31
33
25
27
34
41
44
38
31
28
38
1
1
2
4
4
5
8
7
14
12
18
1
1
2
2
5
6
3
3
4
3
4
66
70
67
64
59
65
63
62
74
74
56
31
28
28
29
32
26
27
29
15
15
26
2
1
4
4
5
5
9
7
8
9
14
1
1
3
4
4
1
2
3
2
4
64
49
28
22
28
26
34
30
25
28
41
52
53
46
45
44
31
30
8
7
18
22
22
23
20
36
42
3
2
3
4
6
2
3
3
56
56
65
58
60
59
47
47
32
23
43
42
34
40
37
36
52
49
66
74
1
1
1
2
1
2
3
4
1
4
2
2
Ted Cruz
March 2016^ ..............................
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ ................................
June 2015^ ................................
April 2015^ ................................
March 2015^ ..............................
Marco Rubio
March 2016^ ..............................
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ ................................
June 2015^ ................................
April 2015^ ................................
March 2015^ ..............................
John Kasich
March 2016^ ..............................
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ ................................
June 2015^ ................................
Donald Trump
March 2016^ ..............................
February 2016^ .........................
January 2016^ ...........................
December 2015^ .......................
October 25-29, 2015^ ................
October 15-18, 2015^ ................
September 2015^ ......................
July 2015^ ................................
June 2015^ ................................
March 2015^ ..............................
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

March 2016
Q10
Study #16139 -- page 11

And, if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following
candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. ROTATE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
3/16^^
Hillary Clinton................................
53
Bernie Sanders ................................ 44
Martin OMalley ................................ NA
Jim Webb ..................................................
NA
Lincoln Chafee ................................ NA
Other (VOL) ................................
None (VOL) ................................
1
Not sure .................................................
2
2/16^^
53
42
NA
NA
NA
1
4
1/16^^
59
34
2
NA
NA
3
2
12/15^^
56
37
4
NA
NA
2
1
10/2529/15^^
62
31
3
NA
NA
1
1
2
10/1518/15^^
58
33
1
2
3
3
9/15^^
53
38
1
1
1
2
4
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
7/15^^
59
25
3
3
1
1
4
4
(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MADE A CHOICE IN Q10)

Q10A And would you definitely vote for (Hillary Clinton/Bernie Sanders), probably vote for (Hillary Clinton/Bernie
Sanders) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for (Hillary Clinton/Bernie
Sanders)?
Definitely vote for candidate ...........................................

Probably vote for candidate ...........................................
Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................
Not sure .......................................................................
Clinton
Voters^^
N=218
70
16
12
2
Sanders
Voters^^
N=181
68
16
15
1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have
voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
Q11
If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee for President will you be very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? ^^
Satisfied
78
Very Satisfied ................................
44
Somewhat Satisfied .........................
34
Dissatisfied
22
Somewhat Dissatisfied ....................
11
Very Dissatisfied ..............................
11
Not Sure ................................ -
^^ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters who say they have
voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
6/15^^
75
15
2
4
1
2
1

March 2016
Q12
Study #16139 -- page 12

And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates
would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-4)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT
ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your
second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-4)?
FIRST CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
3/16^
Donald Trump .........................
30
Ted Cruz ................................
27
John Kasich ............................
22
Marco Rubio ............................
20
Ben Carson .............................
NA
Jeb Bush ................................
NA
Chris Christie...........................
NA
Carly Fiorina ............................
NA
Rand Paul ...............................
NA
Mike Huckabee .......................
NA
Rick Santorum.........................
NA
Jim Gilmore .............................
NA
Bobby Jindal............................
NA
Lindsey Graham ......................
NA
George Pataki .........................
NA
Scott Walker ............................
NA
Rick Perry ...............................
NA
Other (VOL) ..........................
None (VOL) ..........................
Not sure ...............................
1
2/16^
26
28
11
17
10
4
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
3
1/16^
33
20
3
13
12
5
5
3
3
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
1
12/15^
27
22
2
15
11
7
3
5
2
3
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
10/2529/15^
23
10
3
11
29
8
3
3
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
3
10/1518/15^
25
9
3
13
22
8
1
7
2
3
NA
NA
1
1
5
9/15^
21
5
6
11
20
7
3
11
3
2
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
6
7/15^
19
9
3
5
10
14
3
6
6
1
1
15
3
1
4
6/15^
1
4
1
14
11
22
4
2
7
9
NA
1
17
5
1
1
4/15^
NA
11
NA
18
7
23
5
1
11
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
14
2
3
7/15^
17
4
16
30
21
30
9
2
11
11
2
4
24
7
2
5
6/15^
11
1
34
4
19
40
10
3
16
18
NA
1
24
10
1
4
4/15^
18
NA
41
NA
11
37
14
3
20
15
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27
7
4
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the Republican Primary
COMBINED CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
3/16^
Ted Cruz ................................
51
John Kasich ............................
49
Marco Rubio ...........................
49
Donald Trump .........................
42
Ben Carson .............................
NA
Jeb Bush ................................
NA
Chris Christie ..........................
NA
Carly Fiorina ...........................
NA
Rand Paul ...............................
NA
Mike Huckabee .......................
NA
Jim Gilmore.............................
NA
Rick Santorum ........................
NA
Bobby Jindal ...........................
NA
Lindsey Graham .....................
NA
George Pataki .........................
NA
Scott Walker ...........................
NA
Rick Perry ...............................
NA
Other (VOL) .........................
None (VOL) ..........................
4
Not sure ...............................
3
2/16^
45
24
40
38
26
16
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
4
1/16^
47
8
30
47
19
12
12
7
6
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2
2
12/15^
40
5
33
39
28
12
9
11
5
7
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
4
10/2529/15^
23
6
24
35
50
15
6
14
6
8
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
5
10/1518/15^
17
7
26
39
44
17
3
18
6
7
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
7
9/15^
11
8
26
31
35
19
5
28
6
8
3
1
NA
NA
3
7

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 13

(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MADE A CHOICE IN Q12)

Q12A And would you definitely vote for (Marco Rubio/John Kasich/Ted Cruz/Donald Trump), probably vote for
(Marco Rubio/John Kasich/Ted Cruz/Donald Trump) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning
toward voting for (Marco Rubio/John Kasich/Ted Cruz/Donald Trump)?
Definitely vote for candidate ..........................................

Probably vote for candidate ...........................................
Just leaning toward voting for candidate ........................
Not sure .......................................................................
Trump
Voters^
N=118
67
15
18
-
Cruz
Voters^
N=108
61
14
22
3
Kasich
Voters^1
N=87
NA
NA
NA
NA
Rubio
Voters^1
N=78
NA
NA
NA
NA
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the Republican
Primary
1
Results not shown due to small cell sizes.
(Q13-Q15 RANDOMIZED)
Q13
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the Republican
primary for president, which one would you favor? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?
Donald Trump ...............................................
Ted Cruz .......................................................
Neither (VOL) .............................................
Not sure ......................................................
3/16^
40
57
2
1
2/16^
40
56
3
1
1/16^
43
51
5
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have
voted/will vote in the Republican Primary
Q14
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Marco Rubio in the Republican
Donald Trump ...............................................
Marco Rubio ..................................................
Neither (VOL) .............................................
Not sure ......................................................
3/16^
43
56
1
2/16^
41
57
1
1
1/16^
52
45
5
1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have
Q15
Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and John Kasich in the Republican
Donald Trump ................................................
John Kasich ...................................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure ......................................................
3/16^
40
57
1
2
2/16^
52
44
2
2
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say

they have voted/will vote in the Republican Primary

March 2016
Q16
Study #16139 -- page 14

If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee for President will you be very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? ^
Satisfied
53
Very Satisfied ................................
24
Somewhat Satisfied .........................
29
Dissatisfied
46
Somewhat Dissatisfied ....................
15
Very Dissatisfied ..............................
31
Not Sure ................................ 1
^ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters who say they have
MARCH 2012 MITT ROMNEY SATISFACTION TREND
Satisfied ..............................................
Dissatisfied .........................................
Not Sure ...........................................
3/12^
72
24
4
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered

voters who say they would vote/have voted in the
Republican Primary

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 15

Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election

(Q17-20 RANDOMIZED)
Q17
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ...................
Hillary Clinton ....................
Depends (VOL) ..............
Neither/other (VOL) ........
Not sure .........................
10/253/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+

38
40
41
40
42
39
51
50
51
50
50
49
9
9
6
8
6
10
2
1
2
2
2
2
Q18
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate
and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
3/16+
Ted Cruz ................................
45
Hillary Clinton ...........................
47
Depends (VOL) .....................
Neither/other (VOL) ...............
6
Not sure ................................
2
2/16+
46
46
6
2
1/16+
45
49
1
4
1
10/1512/15+ 18/15+
45
41
48
49
6
6
1
4
Q19
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Marco Rubio were the Republican
candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
3/16+
Marco Rubio ........................................46
Hillary Clinton ......................................46
Depends (VOL) ................................ Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 6
Not sure ............................................ 2
10/25- 10/151/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 18/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+

46
48
44
45
40
43
47
45
47
46
50
49
1
4
5
5
5
8
5
2
2
4
4
4
3
Q20
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ..................
Bernie Sanders ................
Depends (VOL) .............
Neither/other (VOL) .......
Not sure ........................
3/16+
37
55
7
1
10/252/16+ 29/15+ 9/15+

37
41
36
53
50
52
8
6
8
2
3
4

March 2016
Q21
Study #16139 -- page 16

There has been some speculation about a third-party or independent candidate. Without naming the
specific candidate, if the major party candidates were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, would you
definitely consider, possibly consider, probably NOT consider, or definitely NOT consider voting for an
independent or third-party candidate? +
46
Consider
Definitely consider ............................................................ 20
Probably consider............................................................ 26
51
Not Consider
Probably not consider....................................................... 15
Definitely not consider ...................................................... 36
Not sure............................................................................ 3
2012 & 2008 TREND
4/12
Definitely consider .............................................................. 13

Probably consider .............................................................. 27
Probably not consider ......................................................... 20
Definitely not consider ........................................................ 38
Not sure ............................................................................ 2
In April 2012, the candidates were Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.
1/08
16
22
12
44
6
In January 2008, the candidates were Barack Obama and John McCain.
In 2012 & 2008, the question read: There has been a lot of talk about a thirdparty or independent candidate
Q22
Next, please tell me one word or short phrase that best describes how you feel about the 2016 presidential
election. ASKED OF ONE-HALF THE RESPONDENTS (FORM A), 596 RESPONDENTS, SEE
VERBATIM RESPONSES

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 17

Changing topics
(Q23A & Q23B ROTATED)
Q23A Do you think if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency she will mostly bring the right kind of change to the
country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way? +
Will bring right kind of change .......................................
Will bring wrong kind of change ....................................
Will not bring much change either way .........................
Not sure ......................................................................
BARACK OBAMA 2012 TREND

Not sure ......................................................................
25
29
45
1
8/12+
37
32
29
2
5/12
35
31
33
2

2012 Trend Language: Do you think if Barack Obama is re-elected as president
he will mostly bring the right kind of change to the country, mostly bring the wrong
kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way?
Q23B
Do you think if Donald Trump wins the presidency he will mostly bring the right kind of change to the
country, mostly bring the wrong kind of change, or will not really bring much change either way? +
Not sure ......................................................................
MITT ROMNEY 2012 TREND

Not sure ......................................................................
8/12+
38
34
26
2
27
52
18
3
5/12
32
25
37
6

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 18

Now thinking about just one of the candidates for President

Q24
Which of the following best describes your feelings about Donald Trump (ALWAYS READ PUNCH ONE
FIRST; ROTATE PUNCH TWO AND THREE) +
He represents the values and positions of the Republican Party .............................................................
8
He represents something different that is harmful for the Republican Party.............................................
61
He represents something different that is positive for the Republican Party ................................ 27
Not sure ..................................................................................................................................................
4
Q25
Which statement best describes your reaction to Donald Trumps campaign statements(PUNCHES 1-3: TOP
TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP. PUNCH 4 ALWAYS LAST)
3/16+ 12/15
Trump's comments are frequently insulting and he has the wrong approach on many issues .................
50
41
Trumps manner and language bother me, but he is raising important issues ................................ 21
24
Trump tells it like it is and he has the right approach on many issues ......................................................
18
22
Or none of these statements come close to describing what you think ....................................................
10
12
Not sure ..................................................................................................................................................
1
1
Changing topics
Q26
Recently, a Supreme Court Justice passed away leaving a vacancy on the court. President Obama will
nominate a new person to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court.
Would you prefer the U.S. Senate ... vote this year on the replacement nominated by President Obama or
leave the position vacant and wait to vote next year on the replacement nominated by the new president or
do you not have an opinion one way or the other?
Vote this year on replacement ...........................
Leave vacant and wait .......................................
No opinion .........................................................
Not sure ...........................................................
3/16+
48
37
14
1
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

Q27
2/16+
43
42
15
-
The U.S. Constitution requires the President to nominate a candidate to fill an opening on the Supreme
Court. The U.S. Senate has the responsibility to confirm or reject a nominee. Republicans who control the
Senate say they will not hold confirmation hearings and have no plans to consider a nominee put forward by
President Obama.
Do you approve or disapprove of this decision not to consider President Obamas nominee, or do you not
have an opinion one way or the other? (IF "APPROVE" OR "DISAPPROVE," ASK:) And do you strongly
(approve/disapprove) or just somewhat (approve/disapprove)? +**
28
Approve
Strongly approve .............................................................. 22
Somewhat approve ......................................................... 6
55
Disapprove
Somewhat disapprove ...................................................... 10
Strongly disapprove.......................................................... 45
No opinion ........................................................................ 16
Not sure .......................................................................... 1
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

March 2016
Q28
Study #16139 -- page 19

And, if this situation were reversed and there were a Republican president in office do you think that
Democrats in the Senate would do the same thing and refuse to consider a Supreme Court candidate
nominated by a Republican President? +**
Yes ..................................................................................... 62
No....................................................................................... 29
Not sure............................................................................ 9
Now, switching topics

Q29
Which worries you more (ROTATE) that the United States will not go far enough in monitoring the activities
and communications of potential terrorists living in the United States or that the United States will go too far
and violate the privacy rights of average citizens?
Will not go far enough.....................
Will go too far....................................
Both equally (VOL).........................
Not sure..........................................
3/16+
47
44
4
5
12/15
55
40
3
2
Q30
1/15
46
47
2
5
7/13
36
56
3
5
7/06
43
45
8
4
12/01
55
31
9
5
Recently, the U.S. Justice Department has demanded that Apple create software to unlock an encrypted
iPhone used by a terrorist in the San Bernardino shootings. Apple is resisting, saying that creating the
software would create a precedent that weakens the security of all of its phones.
Which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view about whether Apple should or should
not cooperate with the Justice Department, or does neither one describe what you think? (ROTATE)
Statement A: Apple should cooperate because this is an issue of national security and in cases like San
Bernardino, the government should have access to all information available to investigate any possible link
with international terrorists.
Statement B: Apple should not cooperate because if they develop this software the Justice Department will
want to use it for other cases not related to national security. This software also might make it easier for
hackers or foreign governments to steal data. +**
Statement A: Apple should cooperate ................................
Statement B: Apple should not cooperate ..........................
Neither one describes ........................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
42
47
9
2

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 20

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
44
33
7
1
13
2
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
QF2
64
32
4
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
31
19
15
3
5
23
3
1

voters.

March 2016
QF3
Study #16139 -- page 21

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL).....................................
Not sure...........................................

registered voters.
QF5
3
19
15
2
12
28
2
14
4
1
24
10
10
12
10
8
20
3
3
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
11
14
39
16
17
3

March 2016
Study #16139 -- page 22

QF5a-f And, on a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a
description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course,
use any number between one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To
what extent do you regard yourself as(RANDOMIZE)
DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE 8-10
8-10
4-7
A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being
between one man and one woman .........................................
67
15
1-3
Refused
17
A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement .............................
55
29
13
Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio .......
35
35
30
A supporter of the Tea Party Movement .................................
26
46
23
A Libertarian ...........................................................................
11
38
45
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
15
7
77
1
QF7
How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (READ
LIST.) +
Never .......................................
Once a year .............................
A few times a year ...................
Once a month ..........................
About twice a month ................
Once a week or more often .....
Not sure .................................
21
8
21
6
9
33
2

registered voters.
QF8
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
4
6
8
8
8
16
12
31
7

16139 NBC_WSJ March Poll Release

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 1

Date: March 3-6, 2016

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 7

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 8

(ASKED OF PREVIOUS PRIMARY VOTERS)

Frequent Primary Voter ...................................

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 9

Yes, Could See

No, Could Not See

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^

Yes, Could See

No, Could Not See

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 10

DATA SHOWN AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS^

Yes, Could See

No, Could Not See

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 11

(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MADE A CHOICE IN Q10)

Definitely vote for candidate ...........................................

^^ Results shown reflect responses among

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 12

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 13

(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MADE A CHOICE IN Q12)

Definitely vote for candidate ..........................................

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 14

MARCH 2012 MITT ROMNEY SATISFACTION TREND

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16139 -- page 15

Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election

10/253/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.