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Basic Probability
Basic Probability
Basic Probability
Handout: Probability
Probability of an event:
n
N
P(E)
n
, where
N
In a deck of cards,
= ____________
P(1 or 4)
= ____________
P(even)
= ____________
P(greater than 2)
= ____________
= ____________
= ____________
P(H T)
= ____________
P()
= ____________
P(K)
= ____________
P(2 to 5)
= ____________
P(K of )
= ____________
P( or )
= ____________
P(not )
= ____________
P(not Q)
= ____________
P A 1 P A
means and
In a deck of cards,
P(K of )
= ____________
= ____________
means or
In a deck of cards,
P(2 or 3)
= ____________
P( or )
= _____________
P(1,3, or 6)
= ____________
P(2 or J of )
= _____________
= ____________
References: Hogg, Robert V. and Allen T. Craig (1995). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 5th ed. Prentice-Hall.New Jersey, USA.
Keller, Gerald and Brian Warrack (2004). Statistics for Management and Economics 6th ed. Thomson Learning Inc.,USA.
Kuzma, Jan W. and Stephen E. Bohnenblust (2005). Basic Statistics for Health Sciences 5th ed. McGraw-Hill. Philippines.
Larsen, Richard J. and Morris L. Marx (2004). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 3rd ed. Pearson Education Asia. Philippines.
Monzon-Ybaez, Lydia. Basic Statistics. Phoenix Publishing, Philippines.
= ____________
b) white
= ____________
c) not blue
= ____________
= ____________
= ____________
= ____________
= ____________
= ____________
*b) a sum of 10
= ____________
c) a sum of 7 or 11
= ____________
On a single toss of a pair of fair dice, what is the probability that a sum of 10 or an even number is observed?
A random experiment consists of drawing a card from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. If C1 denotes the collection of 13
hearts and C2 denotes the collection of four kings, find the following:
a) P(C1)
= __________
b) P(C2)
= __________
c) P(C1 C2)
= __________
d) P(C1 C2)
= __________
Suppose that in a large city, two health magazines are published, Health Today and Your Health. The circulation departments
report that 25% of the citys population are subscribed to Health Today and 41% to Your Health. A survey reveals that 8% of all
households are subscribed to both. What percentage of the population are subscribed to at least one health magazine?
Answer: _____________
References: Hogg, Robert V. and Allen T. Craig (1995). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 5th ed. Prentice-Hall.New Jersey, USA.
Keller, Gerald and Brian Warrack (2004). Statistics for Management and Economics 6th ed. Thomson Learning Inc.,USA.
Kuzma, Jan W. and Stephen E. Bohnenblust (2005). Basic Statistics for Health Sciences 5th ed. McGraw-Hill. Philippines.
Larsen, Richard J. and Morris L. Marx (2004). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 3rd ed. Pearson Education Asia. Philippines.
Monzon-Ybaez, Lydia. Basic Statistics. Phoenix Publishing, Philippines.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY
The probability of an event B, given that event A happened, is expressed as P(B|A).
P(B | A)
PB A
PA
Answer: __________
Answer: __________
A bowl contains 16 chips, of which 6 are red, 7 are white, and 3 are blue.
If two chips are taken at random and without replacement, find the probability of getting:
a) two red chips
Answer: ____________
Answer: ____________
If four chips are taken at random and without replacement, find the probability that
a) each of the 4 chips is red
Answer: ____________
A standard poker deck is shuffled and the card on top is removed. If B denotes that the second card is an ace, A1 denotes that
the top card was an ace, and A2 denotes that the top card was not an ace, find the following:
a) P(A1)
Answer: __________
b) P(A2)
Answer: __________
c) P(B|A1)
Answer: __________
d) P(B|A2)
Answer: __________
e) P(B A1)
Answer: __________
f) P(B A2)
Answer: __________
b) RWWW
C) WWWR
2. Suppose that two fair dice are tossed. What is the probability that the sum equals 10 given that it exceeds 8?
References: Hogg, Robert V. and Allen T. Craig (1995). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 5th ed. Prentice-Hall.New Jersey, USA.
Keller, Gerald and Brian Warrack (2004). Statistics for Management and Economics 6th ed. Thomson Learning Inc.,USA.
Kuzma, Jan W. and Stephen E. Bohnenblust (2005). Basic Statistics for Health Sciences 5th ed. McGraw-Hill. Philippines.
Larsen, Richard J. and Morris L. Marx (2004). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics 3rd ed. Pearson Education Asia. Philippines.
Monzon-Ybaez, Lydia. Basic Statistics. Phoenix Publishing, Philippines.