Tahun

2012
2013
2014
2015

permintaan konsentrat tembaga (ton)

1,800,000
1,950,000
2,400,000
2,550,000

Tahun
2012
2013
2014
2015
n=4

X
-3
-1
1
3
0

y= a + bx
a = sigma Y/ n
b= XY / X
y= 725000 + 45000 (13)

725000
45000
1310000
v

regresi korelasi
Tahun
2012
2013
2014
2015
n=4
(X)

18661500000000000000
8580000000000
25740000000000
8580000000000
y= 0 + 3 (1310000)

X
600,000
650,000
800,000
850,000
2,900,000
8,410,000,000,000
a = [(Y(X)-(X)(XY)]/[nX-(X)]
b = [nXY-(X)(Y)]/[nX-(X)]
Y = a + bX
18661500000000000000
8,410,000,000,000
25230000000000
8,410,000,000,000
3930000

Peluang = Permintaan - Penawaran

Asumsi penwaran = 0

Peluang pasar pada tahun 2020 = 3930000 - 0 = 393000

Perusahaan ingin menangkap 30% peluang pasar = 30% x 393

Productive time = 7920 jam per tahun

Kapasitas kerja pabrik = 45,960/7920 = 5.8 ton/jam (konsentr

Produksi katoda tembags (ton)

600,000
650,000
800,000
850,000

X
9
1
1
9
20

Y
600,000
650,000
800,000
850,000
2,900,000

XY
-1,800,000
-650,000
800,000
2,550,000
900,000

X
360,000,000,000
422,500,000,000
640,000,000,000
722,500,000,000
2,145,000,000,000

Y
1,800,000
1,950,000
2,400,000
2,550,000
8,700,000

XY
1,080,000,000,000
1,267,500,000,000
1,920,000,000,000
2,167,500,000,000
6,435,000,000,000

0
170,000,000,000

510000000000
170,000,000,000

a
b

/[nX-(X)]
X-(X)]

ng = Permintaan - Penawaran
Asumsi penwaran = 0

2020 = 3930000 - 0 = 3930000 ton

% peluang pasar = 30% x 3930000 ton =

Satuan Ton
45,960

e = 7920 jam per tahun

7920 = 5.8 ton/jam (konsentrat bijih Mn)

5.80

atuan Ton

Tahun
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

x
-3
-1
1
3
7
9
11
13