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    Decision Tree

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    Alwendi
    The document presents a decision tree and rules for predicting economic outcomes. The decision tree shows the relationships between various economic indicators and outcomes. It is then converted to a set of rules in a knowledge base. The rules predict stock market movement based on combinations of values for economic indicators like recovery, imports, exports, GDP, inflation and interest rates.

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    Decision Tree

    Uploaded by

    Alwendi
    1 views2 pages
    The document presents a decision tree and rules for predicting economic outcomes. The decision tree shows the relationships between various economic indicators and outcomes. It is then converted to a set of rules in a knowledge base. The rules predict stock market movement based on combinations of values for economic indicators like recovery, imports, exports, GDP, inflation and interest rates.

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    The document presents a decision tree and rules for predicting economic outcomes. The decision tree shows the relationships between various economic indicators and outcomes. It is then converted to a set of rules in a knowledge base. The rules predict stock market movement based on combinations of values for economic indicators like recovery, imports, exports, GDP, inflation and interest rates.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    1 views2 pages

    Decision Tree

    Uploaded by

    Alwendi
    The document presents a decision tree and rules for predicting economic outcomes. The decision tree shows the relationships between various economic indicators and outcomes. It is then converted to a set of rules in a knowledge base. The rules predict stock market movement based on combinations of values for economic indicators like recovery, imports, exports, GDP, inflation and interest rates.

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    of 2

    Decision Tree

    RE
    C

    REC RECOVERY
    INF - INFLATION
    IMP - IMPORTS
    ECO ECONOMY
    ITR INTEREST RATES

    Rise

    GNP GROSS NATIONAL: PRODUCT


    GDP GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
    EXP EXPORTS
    CRD CURRENT DOLLAR RATES
    STK STOCK MARKET

    GNP

    Rise
    IMP

    Rise

    EXP
    Rise
    Fall

    GDP --UP
    CRD

    GDP --DOWN

    IMP
    Rise

    ECO --DOWN

    ECO --UP

    Fall

    STK --DOWN

    EXP

    Rise
    STK -- UP
    IMP

    ECO --DOWN

    Rise

    Fall
    Fall

    ITR
    Fall

    CRD

    STK -- UP

    Rise
    CRD

    INF

    STK --DOWN

    STK --UP
    Rise

    Rise

    INT

    Fall

    STK -- UP
    Rise

    ITR
    Fall
    Fall

    STK --DOWN

    STK -- UP

    Converting Decision Tree to Rules


    The rules in the knowledge base are built using the decision tree.
    Variable
    Full Description
    Abbreviatio
    n
    GDP
    GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
    GNP
    GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
    REC
    RECOVERY
    IMP
    IMPORTS
    EXP
    EXPORTS
    ECO
    ECONOMY
    INF
    INFLATION
    CRD
    CURRENT DOLLARS
    ITR
    INTEREST RATES
    STK
    STOCK MARKET
    Rule 1
    IF REC = "RISE" &
    STK=DOWN

    IMP = "FALL" & EXP = FALL

    Rule 2
    IF REC = "RISE" & GNP = "RISE" & EXP = "RISE"
    STK=UP
    Rule 3
    IF REC = "RISE" & GNP = "FALL" & IMP = "FALL"
    STK=DOWN
    Rule 4
    IF REC = "RISE" & GNP = "RISE" & CRD = "RISE"
    STK=UP
    Rule 5
    IF REC = "RISE" & GNP = "RISE" & CRD = "FALL"
    STK=DOWN
    Rule 6
    IF REC = "RISE" & IMP = "FALL"
    STK=DOWN
    Rule 7
    IF REC = "FALL" & IMP = "FALL"
    STK=DOWN
    Rule 8
    IF INF = "FALL" & CRD = "RISE"
    STK=UP
    Rule 9
    IF INF = "FALL" & CRD = "FALL"
    STK=DOWN

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