OPC

WI
PTR
SP
NRI
D
ql (STB/Day)
-0.001644737

1
2
3
4
5
6

Actual Rate
Date
Qo
01/03/03
35
01/04/03
2210
01/05/03
2215
01/06/03
2995
01/07/03
2205
01/08/03
810
01/09/03
800
01/10/03
1212
01/11/03 1731.636
01/12/03 1647.968
01/01/04 1394.234
01/02/04 1867.735
01/03/04 1904.525
01/04/04 1791.385
01/05/04
1692.8
01/06/04 1859.546
01/07/04 1763.052
01/08/04 1907.351
01/09/04 1943.383
01/10/04 1875.169
01/11/04 1835.971
01/12/04 1715.965
01/01/05 1624.121
01/02/05 1601.255
01/03/05 2007.656
01/04/05
2113.76
01/05/05 2103.406
01/06/05 2186.408
01/07/05 2166.176
01/08/05 2071.258
01/09/05
1990.72
01/10/05 2038.692
01/11/05 1858.236
01/12/05 1772.692
01/01/06 1630.531
01/02/06
1721.68
01/03/06 1593.322
01/04/06 1449.883
01/05/06 1435.054
01/06/06 1546.113

b
Di

1
0.064191
Date

01/03/14
01/04/14
01/05/14
01/06/14
01/07/14
01/08/14
01/09/14
01/10/14
01/11/14
01/12/14
01/01/15
01/02/15
01/03/15
01/04/15
01/05/15
01/06/15
01/07/15
01/08/15
01/09/15
01/10/15
01/11/15
01/12/15
01/01/16
01/02/16
01/03/16
01/04/16
01/05/16
01/06/16
01/07/16
01/08/16
01/09/16
01/10/16
01/11/16
01/12/16
01/01/17
01/02/17
01/03/17

0.002112
Qforcase
bopm
bopd
0
241 7.927632
1 226.4631 7.910927
2 213.5801 7.894293
3 202.084 7.877729
4 191.7622 7.861234
5 182.4436 7.844808
6 173.9887 7.82845
7 166.2828 7.812161
8 159.2305 7.795939
9 152.752 7.779785
10 146.7801 7.763697
11 141.2576 7.747676
12 136.1356 7.73172
13 131.372 7.715831
14 126.9305 7.700006
15 122.7795 7.684246
16 118.8914 7.668551
17 115.2421 7.652919
18
111.81 7.637352
19 108.5765 7.621847
20 105.5248 7.606405
21 102.6399 7.591026
22 99.90853 7.575708
23 97.31878 7.560453
24 94.8599 7.545259
25 92.52221 7.530125
26 90.29697 7.515052
27 88.17625 7.50004
28 86.15286 7.485087
29 84.22024 7.470194
30 82.37244 7.45536
31 80.60397 7.440585
32 78.90984 7.425868
33 77.28546 7.411209
34 75.72661 7.396608
35 74.2294 7.382065
36 72.79025 7.367579

01/07/06
01/08/06
01/09/06
01/10/06
01/11/06
01/12/06
01/01/07
01/02/07
01/03/07
01/04/07
01/05/07
01/06/07
01/07/07
01/08/07
01/09/07
01/10/07
01/11/07
01/12/07
01/01/08
01/02/08
01/03/08
01/04/08
01/05/08
01/06/08
01/07/08
01/08/08
01/09/08
01/10/08
01/11/08
01/12/08
01/01/09
01/02/09
01/03/09
01/04/09
01/05/09
01/06/09
01/07/09
01/08/09
01/09/09
01/10/09
01/11/09
01/12/09
01/01/10
01/02/10
01/03/10

1551.567
1235.664
890.4775
2111.723
1972.512
1769.235
1655.045
1460.146
1425.032
1272.681
1145.309
1145
896.5216
833.9004
747.0543
663.2745
583.4618
541.1869
451.7286
399.0881
1519.737
1312.801
1353.038
1265.258
1048.84
908.6643
877.6167
809.6101
610.402
649.6866
660.9893
628.2525
547.766
451.3434
467.5108
460.3879
406.8507
403.7751
401.4984
382.3636
357.9538
347.1882
329.3342
314.4245
299.1814

01/04/17
01/05/17
01/06/17
01/07/17
01/08/17
01/09/17
01/10/17
01/11/17
01/12/17
01/01/18
01/02/18
01/03/18
01/04/18
01/05/18
01/06/18
01/07/18
01/08/18
01/09/18
01/10/18
01/11/18
01/12/18
01/01/19
01/02/19
01/03/19
01/04/19
01/05/19
01/06/19
01/07/19
01/08/19
01/09/19
01/10/19
01/11/19
01/12/19
01/01/20
01/02/20
01/03/20
01/04/20
01/05/20
01/06/20
01/07/20
01/08/20
01/09/20
01/10/20
01/11/20
01/12/20

37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81

71.40583
70.0731
68.7892
67.55151
66.35756
65.20509
64.09197
63.01621
61.97597
60.96951
59.99523
59.05158
58.13717
57.25064
56.39074
55.55629
54.74618
53.95935
53.19482
52.45166
51.72897
51.02592
50.34173
49.67565
49.02696
48.39499
47.77911
47.17871
46.59321
46.02206
45.46475
44.92077
44.38966
43.87096
43.36424
42.86909
42.38512
41.91196
41.44925
40.99664
40.5538
40.12044
39.69624
39.28091
38.87418

7.353149
7.338776
7.324458
7.310197
7.295991
7.28184
7.267744
7.253702
7.239715
7.225781
7.211901
7.198074
7.1843
7.170579
7.15691
7.143293
7.129727
7.116214
7.102751
7.089339
7.075978
7.062666
7.049405
7.036194
7.023032
7.009919
6.996855
6.98384
6.970873
6.957954
6.945083
6.932259
6.919483
6.906753
6.894071
6.881435
6.868845
6.856301
6.843803
6.83135
6.818943
6.80658
6.794263
6.781989
6.76976

01/04/10
01/05/10
01/06/10
01/07/10
01/08/10
01/09/10
01/10/10
01/11/10
01/12/10
01/01/11
01/02/11
01/03/11
01/04/11
01/05/11
01/06/11
01/07/11
01/08/11
01/09/11
01/10/11
01/11/11
01/12/11
01/01/12
01/02/12
01/03/12
01/04/12
01/05/12
01/06/12
01/07/12
01/08/12
01/09/12
01/10/12
01/11/12
01/12/12
01/01/13
01/02/13
01/03/13
01/04/13
01/05/13
01/06/13
01/07/13
01/08/13
01/09/13
01/10/13
01/11/13
01/12/13

282.9709
267.3066
253.5589
241.1176
225.0984
236.134
230.4982
217.0279
204.8845
214.9692
197.2081
208.8499
215.938
212.7813
203.1836
215.2608
207.4028
208.9718
207.4133
198.8783
198.0619
205.1042
236.2404
261.3599
269.0963
251.0645
242.499
241.528
260.3712
273.2512
257.0745
292.1817
274.5568
269.6532
285.207
273.2963
266.4269
245.8713
244
243
243.5
243.28
243.1
223.97
212.85

01/01/21
01/02/21
01/03/21
01/04/21
01/05/21
01/06/21
01/07/21
01/08/21
01/09/21
01/10/21
01/11/21
01/12/21
01/01/22
01/02/22
01/03/22
01/04/22
01/05/22
01/06/22
01/07/22
01/08/22
01/09/22
01/10/22
01/11/22
01/12/22
01/01/23
01/02/23
01/03/23
01/04/23
01/05/23
01/06/23
01/07/23
01/08/23
01/09/23
01/10/23
01/11/23
01/12/23
01/01/24
01/02/24
01/03/24
01/04/24
01/05/24
01/06/24
01/07/24
01/08/24
01/09/24

82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126

38.47579
38.08549
37.70302
37.32816
36.96068
36.60036
36.247
35.9004
35.56037
35.22671
34.89926
34.57784
34.26229
33.95244
33.64815
33.34926
33.05564
32.76714
32.48364
32.205
31.93109
31.66181
31.39703
31.13665
30.88054
30.62862
30.38077
30.1369
29.89692
29.66072
29.42823
29.19936
28.97402
28.75213
28.53361
28.31839
28.10639
27.89755
27.69178
27.48903
27.28922
27.0923
26.8982
26.70686
26.51822

6.757576
6.745434
6.733337
6.721283
6.709271
6.697303
6.685377
6.673494
6.661653
6.649854
6.638096
6.62638
6.614706
6.603072
6.591479
6.579927
6.568415
6.556944
6.545512
6.534121
6.522768
6.511456
6.500182
6.488947
6.477752
6.466594
6.455475
6.444395
6.433352
6.422347
6.411379
6.400449
6.389557
6.378701
6.367882
6.3571
6.346354
6.335644
6.324971
6.314333
6.303731
6.293165
6.282634
6.272138
6.261677

01/01/14
01/02/14
01/03/14

192.63
117.44
241

01/10/24
01/11/24
01/12/24
01/01/25

127
128
129
130

26.33223 6.251251
26.14883 6.24086
25.96797 6.230503
25.78959 6.220181

3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0

Trial Error-Chi Square Test

Waktu

Tanggal
0
1
2
3
4
5

31/07/06
31/08/06
30/09/06
31/10/06
30/11/06
31/12/06

Actual qo
1318.03226
1317.12903
1239.5
1190.96774
1097.73333
1004.64516

b
Di
qo

0b
0.054301 Di
X2
qo
1318.03226
0
1248.37014 3.787167
1182.38988 2.758452
1119.89688 4.510297
1060.70683 1.292498
1004.64516
0

12.34841
b
Di

1
0.064191

0.1
0.055045
X2
1318.03226
0
1247.63017 3.871414
1181.34255 2.863089
1118.90849 4.640715
1060.08489 1.337068
1004.64516
0

12.71229

b
Di
qo

0.2 b
0.0558024575 Di
X2
qo
1318.03226
0
1246.88264 3.9575142819
1180.29255 2.9700451148
1117.92472 4.7724889494
1059.47008 1.3818951326
1004.64516
0

13.0819434787

0.3 b
0.0565738 Di
X2
qo
1318.03226
0
1246.12756 4.0454996
1179.24005 3.0793236
1116.94570 4.9055767
1058.86239 1.4269563
1004.64516
0

13.457356

0.4
0.057359
X2
1318.03226
0
1245.36495 4.135401
1178.18523 3.190925
1115.97158 5.039935
1058.26178 1.472229
1004.64516
0

13.83849

b
Di
qo

0.5 b
0.6 b
0.7 b
0.058159 Di
0.058974 Di
0.059804 Di
X2
qo
X2
qo
X2
qo
1318.03226
0 1318.03226
0
1318.03226
0 1318.03226
1244.59482 4.227249 1243.81719 4.321074
1243.03208 4.416908 1242.23952
1177.12829 3.304848 1176.06941 3.42109
1175.00878 3.539647 1173.94660
1115.00249 5.175522 1114.03857 5.312291
1113.07995
5.4502 1112.12675
1057.66823 1.51769 1057.08171 1.563318
1056.50218 1.609091 1055.92959
1004.64516
0 1004.64516
0
1004.64516
0 1004.64516

14.22531

14.61777

15.01585

0.8 b
0.9 b
1
0.06065 Di
0.061511 Di
0.062388
X2
qo
X2
qo
X2
0 1318.03226
0 1318.03226
0
4.514781 1241.43954 4.614723 1240.63217 4.716764
3.660514 1172.88306 3.783682 1171.81835 3.909144
5.589203 1111.17910 5.729254 1110.23711 5.870309
1.65499 1055.36393 1.700993 1054.80514 1.747081
0 1004.64516
0 1004.64516
0

15.41949

15.82865

16.2433