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Jason Lewis MN02 Survey Memo
Jason Lewis MN02 Survey Memo
TO:
INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM:
SUBJECT:
JASON LEWIS IS THE CLEAR FAVORITE TO WIN THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN MINNESOTA CD 2
DATE:
Summary
WPA conducted a study among n=300, likely Republican primary voters in Minnesota's
2nd Congressional District from May 15-16, 2016. This research revealed that candidate
Jason Lewis has a substantial, clear advantage in the Republican primary contest.
Indeed, Jason Lewis leads the primary field among a host of key measures, and receives a
near majority of the ballot share in this multi-candidate field.
Ballot
Lewis receives ballot support from nearly half of all likely Republican primary voters. More
importantly, Lewis ballot intensity is also strong as those who say they definitely support
Jason Lewis are double the total ballot support for both John Howe and Darlene Miller
combined.
Lewis
Miller
Howe
Total Ballot
46%
6%
13%
Definitely support
28%
3%
6%
Probably Support
12%
2%
5%
Leaning
6%
1%
2%
Image
Lewis' enjoys strong image and awareness measures. His name ID is double that of the
rest of the field, and he has a 32-point advantage in favorability vs. John Howe and a 39point advantage in favorability vs. Darlene Miller.
Name ID
Never Heard of
Total Favorable
Total Unfavorable
Jason Lewis
64%
36%
49%
4%
Darlene Miller
31%
69%
10%
7%
John Howe
32%
68%
17%
5%
Methodology
WPA Research conducted a survey among likely Republican primary voters in Minnesotas
Second Congressional District. The sample for this survey was stratified based on
geography, age, and gender. This methodology allows us to avoid post-survey weighting
which can reduce the reliability of survey results. Respondents were contacted by phone
via a live telephone operator interview May 15-16, 2016. The study has a sample size of
n=303 likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error equal to 5.7% in 95 out of
100 cases. 22% of interviews were conducted via cell phone.
Confidential
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5/18/2016