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UK'sBrexitcampaignhasslenderleadoverrival'In'camp,sayopinionpolls
Reuters|Jun22,2016,11.03PMIST
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Highlights
1.TNS,amarketresearchfirm,said43percentofrespondentswouldvotetoleave,while41percentwouldvotetoremain
2.AnothersurveypublishedbypollingfirmOpiniumputsupportfor"Leave"at45percentand"Remain"at44percent.

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/uk/UKsBrexitcampaignhasslenderleadoverrivalIncampsayopinionpolls/articleshow/52873945.cms?

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UK'sBrexitcampaignhasslenderleadoverrival'In'camp,sayopinionpollsTimesofIndia

Voteleavecampaign.(Reutersphoto)
LONDON:ThecampaignforBritaintoleavetheEuropeanUnionhasaslenderleadovertherival
BACKGROUND X
'Britsdon'tquit',CameronsaysinrareTVappealagainstBrexit

BritishPrimeMinisterDavidCameronappealspeopletovotetoremainintheEuropeanUnionoutside10DowningStreetinLondon(APphoto)

Highlights
1.DavidCameronmadeadramaticappealtovoterstobackstayingintheEuropeanUnion
2.BritonsvoteonThursdayonwhethertoquitthe28nationbloc
3.IfBritainvotestoleave,Cameronwouldfacepressuretoresign
LONDON:BritishPrimeMinisterDavidCameronmadeadramaticappealtovotersacrossthegenerationgaponTuesdaytoback
stayingintheEuropeanUnion
twodaysbeforeacliffhangerreferendumthatwillshapethefutureoftheWest.
BritonsvoteonThursdayonwhethertoquitthe28nationblocamidwarningsfromworldleaders,investorsandcompaniesthatadecisiontoleavewoulddiminishthe
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UK'sBrexitcampaignhasslenderleadoverrival'In'camp,sayopinionpollsTimesofIndia

formerimperialpower'sinfluence,unleashturmoilonmarketsandsendshockwavesthroughEuropeandthewiderWesternworld.
InararetelevisedaddressoutsidehisDowningStreetoffice,Cameronhammeredhomehismessagethat
leavingtheEUwouldjeopardiseBritain'seconomy
anditsnationalsecurity,withfewerjobs,feweralliesandhigherprices.
"Britsdon'tquit,"hesaid,usingtheofficialbackdroptomakeadirectpitchtooldervotersconsideredmoreeuroscepticandmorelikelytovote.
"Itwilljustbeyouinthatpollingbooth.Justyou,takingadecisionthatwillaffectyourfuture,yourchildren'sfuture,yourgrandchildren'sfuture."
TheConservativeprimeminister'slastminuteinterventioncameasanopinionpollshowedsupportforremainingintheEUshrinking.TheSurvationpollputthe"In"
campjustonepercentagepointaheadofthecampaignforasocalledBrexit,wellwithinthemarginoferror.
OpponentssaidthehastilyarrangedappearancesuggestedCameron,whopromisedthereferendumin2013underpressurefromlawmakersinhisConservativeParty,and
the"In"campaignwereveryworriedabouttheoutcome.
"Cameronispanicked,it'soutofhishandsnow,"ArronBanks,amultimillionaireinsurancetycoonwhoisfundingoneoftheLeavecampaigns,saidonTwitter.
RaoulRuparel,codirectorofOpenEurope,athinktank,saidCameronwantedtoprojectasolemn,statesmanlikeimage.
"Becauseitwascalledoffthecuffitlookspanicked,butallpeoplewillseefromthenewsaretheclipswhichshowhimlookingverymeasuredandrelaxed,"Ruparel
said.
Aseachsidesoughttoplayitslasttrumpcards,theproEU"BritainStrongerinEurope"campaignissuedafinalposterofadoorleadingintoadarkvoidwiththeslogan:
"Leaveandthere'snogoingback."
IfBritainvotestoleave,Cameronwouldfacepressuretoresign,thoughhehassaidhewillcontinueasleader.
Starsandmarkets
FormerEnglandsoccercaptainDavidBeckham,ahugelypopularpublicfigure,addedhisvoicetoRemain'slistofcelebritysupporters."Forourchildrenandtheir
childrenweshouldbefacingtheproblemsoftheworldtogetherandnotalone,"hesaid.
Leavecampaignerssteppeduptheirrelentlessfocusonwhattheycalluncontrolledimmigration,sayingCameronhadbeenwarnedfouryearsagohisgoalofreducingnet
arrivalswasimpossibleduetoEUrules.
TheantiEUUKIndependencePartyissuedapostershowingatrafficjamwiththemessage"Theschooloverrun"andsayingnearlyoneinfourofBritain'sprimary
schoolswerefulloroversubscribed.
Alreadyshakenbydifferencesovermigrationandthefutureoftheeurozone,theEUwouldloseitssecondlargesteconomy,oneofitstoptwomilitarypowersandbyfar
itsrichestfinancialcentre.
GeorgeSoros,thebillionairewhobetagainstthepoundin1992,wroteintheGuardiannewspaperthatavotetoleavewouldtriggerabigger,moredisruptivedevaluation
thanthefallonBlackWednesday,whenmarketpressureforcedsterlingoutoftheEuropeanExchangeRateMechanism.
Inthelatestwarningofpotentialeconomicdamage,twosourcesfamiliarwiththecompany'sthinkingtoldReutersthatBritain'sbiggestcarmaker,JaguarLandRover,
estimatesitsannualprofitcouldbecutby1billionpounds($1.47billion)bytheendofthedecadeifBritainleavestheEU.
SpeakingbeforetheUSSenate'sBankingCommittee,FederalReserveChairJanetYellensaidaBrexitwouldunleasharushtosafetythatwouldpushupthedollarand
safehavencurrencies.
Sterling,whichclimbedtoa51/2monthhighearlieronTuesdayonopinionpollssuggestingthemoodofthepublicwasswingingbehindthe"In"camp,fellbackafter
morepollsandsurveysshowedthevotewasonaknifeedge.
Pollsandodds
AnearlierORBsurveyfortheDailyTelegraphputsupportforRemainat53percent,up5percentagepointsonthepreviousone,withsupportforLeaveon46percent,
downthreepoints.
"AllthesignsofORB'slatestandfinalpollpointtoareferendumthatwilltrulycomedowntothewire,"saidLyntonCrosby,apoliticalstrategistwhoadvisedtheruling
ConservativePartyatthelastnationalelectionin2015.
CampaigningwassuspendedforthreedaysafterthemurderofproEUlawmakerJoCox,whowasshotandstabbedtodeathinherconstituencyinnorthernEnglandlast
Thursday.
SomeLeavecampaignersaccusetheRemaincampofexploitingherdeathaspartofwhattheyportrayasacampaignofscaremongeringbytheestablishmentathome
andabroad.
Turnoutislikelytobekeytotheresult,andtheORBpollfoundthatRemainsupporters,whohadbeenregardedasbeingmoreapathetic,wereincreasinglymotivatedto
vote.
AfterCox'smurder,pollsindicatedsentimenthadswungbacktothe"In"campaignafteramajorshifttowardsLeave.
AccordingtoBetfairbettingodds,theimpliedprobabilityofaBritishvotetoremainintheEUis76percent,butanalystsinthefinancialmarketsweremorecautious.
"Wewillgointothevotewithouthighconfidenceinpredictingtheoutturnineitherdirection,"JPMorganresearcherMalcolmBarrsaidinanotetoclients.
The"Out"campaignsaysitistheantiestablishmentchoice,anditsmessagethatEUmembershiphashandedpoliticalcontroltoBrusselsandfuelledmassimmigration
appearstohavestruckachordwithmanyBritons.
WhileRemaincancountonwellknownfacesfromsportandentertainmentforbacking,theLeavecamphasoutstrippeditsrivalintermsofdonations.Thecampaigns
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UK'sBrexitcampaignhasslenderleadoverrival'In'camp,sayopinionpollsTimesofIndia

forBritaintoquittheEUreceived16millionpounds($23.5million)indonationsbetweenFeb.1andJune9,while"In"campaignsreceived12millionpounds.

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'In'camp,accordingtoopinionpolls.
AccordingtoaTNSpollpublishedonWednesday,thedaybeforethecountry'sEUmembershipreferendum,the'Leave'camphastwopointleadovertherival"In"camp.
But,thisisdownfromasevenpointleadlastweek,
TNS,amarketresearchfirm,said43percentofrespondentswouldvotetoleave,while41percentwouldvotetoremain.Sixteenpercentwereundecidedordidn't
intendtovote.
Thepollwasconductedonlineandinterviewed2,320adultsbetweenJune16and22.
"ItshouldbenotedthatintheScottishIndependenceReferendumandthe1995QuebecIndependenceReferendumtherewasalateswingtothestatusquoanditis
possiblethatthesamewillhappenhere,"LukeTaylor,headofsocialandpoliticalattitudesatTNSUKsaidinastatement.
"Clearly,witharaceascloseasthis,theturnoutlevelamongdifferentdemographicgroupswillbecriticalindeterminingtheresult."
RecommendedByColombia
ATNSpollpublishedonJune14found47percentoflikelyvoterswouldopttoleavetheEUaheadof40percentwhowantedtostay.
EarlieronWednesday,apollbyanotherresearchfirm,Opinium,gavethe"Out"campaonepointleaveover"In,"causingsterlingtofallagainstthedollarandtheeuro.

TopComment
EveniftheLEAVEcampaignemergeaswinners,TheHouseofLordshastherighttooverrulethevote.Ofcourse,iftheREMAINlobbywins,itsunlikelytodo
anything.STAYintheEUismychoice,wh...ReadMorecaesar.appleton
SeeAllComments

AddComment

TheOpiniumsurveyofaround3,000people,conductedbetweenJune20and22,putsupportfor"Leave"at45percentand"Remain"at44percent.
Opinium'spreviouspoll,publishedonSaturday,hadputthetwocampslevelat44percenteach,basedonpollingbetweenJune14and17.
StayupdatedonthegowithTimesofIndiaNewsApp.Clickheretodownloaditforyourdevice.
RELATED
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Britain'seconomyslowstonearstallspeedbeforeEUreferendum
EUreferendum:Britainentersfinaldayofcampaigning
UK'Remain'camp'sleadnarrowsbeforeEUreferendum:Opinium
EnglishfarmerracespigstopredictEUreferendumvote
UKMPshotdead,EUreferendumcampaignssuspended

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EveniftheLEAVEcampaignemergeaswinners,TheHouseofLordshastherighttooverrulethevote.Ofcourse,iftheREMAINlobbywins,itsunlikelytodo
anything.STAYintheEUismychoice,whichIwillbevotingfortomorrow
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