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Interested Parties
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
June 28, 2016

ROSEN LEADS TARKANIAN BY 6 POINTS IN NEVADAS 3RD CONGRESSIONAL

DISTRICT
Democrat Jacky Rosen leads Republican Danny Tarkanian by
6 points (40% to 34%, with 26% undecided) in a DCCC survey
of likely general election voters conducted in Nevadas third
district on June 18-19, 2016.

50%

ROSEN LEADS BY 6

40%
30%

Tarkanian performs worse than Michael Roberson, who

trailed a hypothetical general election matchup to Rosen by
one point in a March 2016 DCCC poll.

20%
10%

0%

HILLARY CLINTON HAS AN 8-POINT LEAD OVER

DONALD TRUMP

Rosen

Tarkanian

In the presidential contest, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 8 points (43% to
35%).

ROSEN WINS LATINOS AND INDEPENDENTS, CONSOLIDATES DEMOCRATS

Rosen leads with registered Independents by 5 points (32% to 27%) and Hispanic/Latino voters by 37
points (58% to 21%).
Rosen also consolidates 74% of registered Democrats, up from 61% against Michael Roberson in the
March 2016 poll.

TARKANIAN HAS A NET NEGATIVE PROFILE IN THE DISTRICT

Voters in the district hold an unfavorable view of Tarkanian (-13 net, 22% fav to 35% unfav) and his
extreme conservative profile. Tarkanians ties to Trump are also a liability in this district, as 59% of
voters have an unfavorable view of Trump.

A mainly suburban (47.0%) district, Nevadas third congressional district runs along the southern tip of
the state and includes portions of Las Vegas and Henderson. The Citizen Voting Age Population is 12.5%
Asian American/Pacific Islander, 11.8% Hispanic, and 6.9% African American.
These results are based on a survey of 341 likely 2016 general election voters in NV-03 conducted by the
DCCC on June 18-19, 2016. Respondents information came from the voter file and respondents were
interviewed over the phone via either a live or an IVR (robo) survey. The margin of error is +/- 5.3%.