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Future Developments and Supply Challenges For The Iron Ore Sector
Future Developments and Supply Challenges For The Iron Ore Sector
Eric Finlayson
Head of Exploration
Forward-looking statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this
presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Rio Tinto’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of
management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Rio Tinto’s products, production forecasts
and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Rio Tinto, or industry results,
to be materially different from
any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Rio Tinto’s present and future business strategies and
the environment in which Rio Tinto will operate in the future. Among the important factors that could cause Rio Tinto’s actual results,
performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual
production during any period, levels of demand and market prices, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of
foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, operational problems, political uncertainty and economic
conditions in relevant areas
of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or regulation and such other
risk factors identified in Rio Tinto's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (the "SEC") or Form 6-Ks furnished to the SEC. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of
such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only
as of the date of this presentation.
Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Rio Tinto plc or Rio Tinto Limited will
necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.
45
40 Aluminium Drivers of global demand growth
World Production (Mt)
35
30
• Increasing population
25
20
• Industrialisation of production
15 • Urbanisation of society
10
5
0
180 2500
160 Copper Iron Ore
World Production (Mt)
120
1500
100
80
1000
60
40 500
20
0 0
2009
Total = 905 Mt
Rest
2000 of
Western World
Total = 448 Mt Europe 5%
9%
Rest of
China
World
16% Japan,
13%
Korea &
Western
Japan, Taiwan
Europe
Korea & 18%
30%
Taiwan China
41% 68%
Cents/DLTU (fob)
domestic Chinese production 150
50
0
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Commodities Week - London 5 October 2010 5
Source: CRU Iron Ore Market Service 2010
No threat of depletion for iron ore
© Allison Pluda
• Technology or incentive price will allow progressive reduction in mineable grades out into the future
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Grade Fe%
Commodities Week - London 5 October 2010 7
Source: Rio Tinto team analysis
Global iron ore production normalised for Fe
content
CIS
2.1% Canada 11.1%
1.7% USA
China
14.7%
India
16.2%
Australia
3.5% South Africa 24.8%
Sweden 1.6%
CIS
3.1% Canada 3.1%
Mauritania 1.1%
India
12.0%
Hope Downs
Nammuldi
200
200
Eastern Range
West Angelas
Marandoo
Million Tonnes/year
160
150 Brockman Yandicoogina
120 Channar
100 35 Years 7 Years
Paraburdoo
80
Tom Price
50 Actual production
40 North Ltd
acquisition
00
1966 19691970
1972 1975 1978 1980
1981 1984 1990 1993
1987 1990 1996 1999 2000
2002 2008
2005 2008
Initial infrastructure investment at Tom Price has created a Pilbara iron ore province
Commodities Week - London 5 October 2010 10
We have continued to grow our resource base to
sustain supply
Rio Tinto Pilbara iron ore reserves* Rio Tinto Pilbara iron ore resources**
3000 16000
14000
2500 R 7%
R 5% 12000 CAG
CAG
2000
10000
1500 8000
6000
1000
4000
500
2000
0 0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
• Exploration continues to expand the Pilbara resource base
• Over 2.8 million metres have been drilled since 2001 to convert resources into recoverable
reserves
• 400,000 metres of drilling is forecast each year from 2010 to 2014
• A large resource base provides options for future growth
*Reported on a 100% basis. 2000-2009 Reserve increase 1033 Mt, CAGR 4.7%;
** Reported on a 100% basis. 2000 -2008 Resource increase 6,906 Mt, CAGR 6.8%.
Perth
Commodities Remote
Week Operations
- London Centre
5 October 2010 12
Technology for improved process efficiency
200 µm
0P Goethite
(P < 0.2%)
1P Goethite
(0.2 – 0.7%)
2P Goethite
(0.7 – 1.5%)
3P Goethite
(> 1.5%) Hematite
• Provision of infrastructure is a major consideration for all iron ore development projects
• Rio Tinto infrastructure is increasingly supported by a dedicated fleet operated by Rio Tinto
Marine. In 2009, Rio Tinto Iron Ore sold 115Mt CFR ex-Pilbara
• A fully integrated supply chain optimises scheduling and shore-based capital efficiency by
minimising berthing gaps and vessel queues
9 Australia 1.50
25 Chile 1.80
71 South Africa 2.37
86 Brazil 2.66
89 India 2.73
105 Russia 2.97
199 Guinea 4.30
• Global demand for the major industrial commodities has doubled roughly every
twenty years. This demand growth is likely to continue.
• Global reserves and resources for these commodities are replaced as fast as they
are mined. Peak metal is not on the horizon.
• Low-cost iron ore production is dominated by high-grade deposits in Australia,
Brazil and India. This is unlikely to change anytime soon.
• Step-change innovation in mining and processing technology will extend the
productive lives of the high-grade iron ore mining districts by converting lower-
grade mineralisation to ore. Greenfield beneficiation plays will struggle to
compete.
• Greenfield exploration in frontier countries offers the promise of rich new high-
grade discoveries. However, the capacity of these countries to support major
production may be undermined by sovereign risk factors.
• Quality of resource is an important criterion for a major mining company like Rio
Tinto. “Low-carbon” ore bodies will become increasingly important as we move
towards a carbon-constrained world.