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Lab 2
Lab 2
0.7
5000000
0.6
4000000
0.5 Nt
Total births
3000000 0.4
Total deaths
0.3 ∆Nt
2000000 (∆Nt)/Nt
0.2
1000000
0.1
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
6000000 0.8
0.7
5000000
0.6
4000000
0.5
Total births
3000000 0.4 Total deaths
∆Nt
0.3 (∆Nt)/Nt
2000000
0.2
1000000
0.1
0 0
0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000
Comparison of Exponential and Geometric Models
constants
r= 0.25
R= 0.25
Calculated values
Nt Nt r R 160
Time(t) Exponential Geometric Exponential Geometric
140
0 1 1 0.25 0.25
1 1 1 0.25 0.25 120
2 2 2 0.25 0.25
100
3 2 2 0.25 0.25
4 3 2 0.25 0.25 80
5 3 3 0.25 0.25 60
6 4 4 0.25 0.25
7 6 5 0.25 0.25 40
8 7 6 0.25 0.25 20
9 9 7 0.25 0.25
0
10 12 9 0.25 0.25 0 5 10 15 20
11 16 12 0.25 0.25
12 20 15 0.25 0.25
13 26 18 0.25 0.25
14 33 23 0.25 0.25
15 43 28 0.25 0.25
16 55 36 0.25 0.25
17 70 44 0.25 0.25
18 90 56 0.25 0.25
19 116 69 0.25 0.25
20 148 87
Exponential
Geometric
0 15 20 25