Ngµy Sè LĐ luong tg tđ toc do phat trien

1/1/1998 260 lien hoan dinh goc binh quan lien hoan dinh goc binh quan
2/1/1998 264 4 4 1.015385 1.015385
3/1/1998 271 7 11 1.026515 1.042308
4/1/1998 271 0 11 1 1.042308
5/1/1998 269 -2 9 0.99262 1.034615 1
6/1/1998 280 11 20 1.040892 1.076923
7/1/1998 285 5 25 1.017857 1.096154
8/1/1998 290 5 30 1.017544 1.115385
9/1/1998 280 -10 20 0.965517 1.076923
10/1/1998 295 15 35 1.053571 1.134615
11/1/1998 282 -13 22 0.955932 1.084615
12/1/1998 285 3 25 1.010638 1.096154
1/1/1999 280 -5 20 0.982456 1.076923
2/1/1999 285 5 25 1.017857 1.096154
3/1/1999 280 -5 20 0.982456 1.076923
4/1/1999 290 10 30 1.035714 1.115385
5/1/1999 292 2 32 1.006897 1.123077
6/1/1999 290 -2 30 0.993151 1.115385
7/1/1999 295 5 35 1.017241 1.134615
8/1/1999 295 0 35 1 1.134615
9/1/1999 235 -60 -25 0.79661 0.903846
10/1/1999 235 0 -25 1 0.903846
11/1/1999 232 -3 -28 0.987234 0.892308
12/1/1999 238 6 -22 1.025862 0.915385
1/1/2000 242 4 -18 1.016807 0.930769
2/1/2000 245 3 -15 1.012397 0.942308
3/1/2000 245 0 -15 1 0.942308
4/1/2000 248 3 -12 1.012245 0.953846
5/1/2000 250 2 -10 1.008065 0.961538
6/1/2000 252 2 -8 1.008 0.969231
7/1/2000 250 -2 -10 0.992063 0.961538
8/1/2000 255 5 -5 1.02 0.980769
9/1/2000 255 0 -5 1 0.980769
10/1/2000 258 3 -2 1.011765 0.992308
11/1/2000 250 -8 -10 0.968992 0.961538
12/1/2000 260 10 0 0 1.04 1

350

300
f(x) = − 0.0344465940
250
R² = 0.3032698790162
 350

300
f(x) = − 0.0344465940
250
R² = 0.3032698790162
200

lao dong
150

100

50

0
6/19/1997 1/5/1998 7/24/1998 2/9/199
th
 toc do tang
lien hoan dinh goc binh quan
0.015385 0.015385 1/1/2001 260 260
0.026515 0.042308 2/1/2001 260 260
0 0.042308 3/1/2001 260 260
-0.00738 0.034615 4/1/2001 260 260
0.040892 0.076923 5/1/2001 260 260
0.017857 0.096154 0 6/1/2001 260 260
0.017544 0.115385 7/1/2001 260 260
-0.034483 0.076923 8/1/2001 260 260
0.053571 0.134615 9/1/2001 260 260
-0.044068 0.084615 10/1/2001 260 260
0.010638 0.096154 11/1/2001 260 260
-0.017544 0.076923 12/1/2001 260 260
0.017857 0.096154
-0.017544 0.076923 SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.035714 0.115385
0.006897 0.123077 Regression Statistics
-0.006849 0.115385 Multiple R 0.5506994
0.017241 0.134615 R Square 0.3032699
0 0.134615 Adjusted R 0.2827778
-0.20339 -0.096154 Standard E 16.994746
0 -0.096154 Observatio 36
-0.012766 -0.107692
0.025862 -0.084615 ANOVA
0.016807 -0.069231 df SS MS F Significance F
0.012397 -0.057692 Regression 1 4274.378340651 4274.3783 14.79938 0.000501
0 -0.057692 Residual 34 9819.927214905 288.82139
0.012245 -0.046154 Total 35 14094.30555556
0.008065 -0.038462
0.008 -0.030769 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
-0.007937 -0.038462 Intercept 1517.7293 325.2967907235 4.6656757 4.64E-05 856.6467
0.02 -0.019231 Ngµy -0.0344466 0.00895415241 -3.8469966 0.000501 -0.052644
0 -0.019231
0.011765 -0.007692
-0.031008 -0.038462
0.04 0
Chart Title

f(x) = − 0.034446594028798 x + 1517.72932419059

R² = 0.303269879016201
 Chart Title

f(x) = − 0.034446594028798 x + 1517.72932419059

R² = 0.303269879016201

lao dong
Linear (lao dong)

5/1998 7/24/1998 2/9/1999 8/28/1999 3/15/2000 10/1/2000 4/19/2001

thoi gian
Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
2178.812 856.6467 2178.812
-0.01625 -0.052644 -0.01625
N¨m Tæng §Çu t­n­ tang x năm;y tg sp
s¶n íc ngoµi truong
phÈm
1985 50000 5000 SUMMARY OUTPUT
1986 51000 5020 2
1987 52100 5120 2.15686275 Regression Statistics
1988 52000 5210 -0.1919386 Multiple R 0.98432
1989 54000 5340 3.84615385 R Square 0.968886
1990 55450 5420 2.68518519 Adjusted R Square 0.964997
1991 56300 5440 1.53291253 Standard Error 700.5031
1992 57000 5600 1.24333925 Observations 10
1993 60000 5700 5.26315789
1994 61000 6100 1.66666667 ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 1.22E+08
Residual 8 3925636
Total 9 1.26E+08

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept -2366879 153436.1
X Variable 1 1217.273 77.12285

x tg sp;y dau tu nc ngoai

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.968538
R Square 0.938066
Adjusted R Square 0.930324
Standard Error 988.3228
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 1.18E+08
Residual 8 7814255
Total 9 1.26E+08

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept -2551.02 5227.159
X Variable 1 10.64616 0.967156

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.968538
R Square 0.938066
Adjusted R Square 0.930324
Standard Error 89.91302
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 979575.2
Residual 8 64674.8
Total 9 1044250

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept 558.9133 440.2561
X Variable 1 0.088113 0.008005
 MS F Significance F
1.22E+08 249.12060581 2.6E-07
490704.5

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
-15.42583 3.101103E-07 -2720703 -2013055 -2720703 -2013055
15.78355 2.595065E-07 1039.427 1395.118 1039.427 1395.118

MS F Significance F
1.18E+08 121.16931598 4.13E-06
976781.9

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
-0.488032 0.6386214525 -14604.87 9502.83 -14604.87 9502.83
11.00769 4.126992E-06 8.415892 12.87642 8.415892 12.87642
 MS F Significance F
979575.2 121.16931598 4.13E-06
8084.35

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
1.269519 0.2399394603 -456.319 1574.146 -456.319 1574.146
11.00769 4.126992E-06 0.069654 0.106572 0.069654 0.106572
N¨m T¨ng tr­ L¹m
ëng(%) ph¸t(%)

1980 -1.4 25.2 SUMMARY OUTPUT

1981 2.3 69.9
1982 8.8 95.4 Regression Statistics
1983 7.2 49.5 Multiple R 0.375371
1984 8.3 64.9 R Square 0.140903
1985 5.7 91.6 Adjusted R Sq 0.08363
1986 3.4 487.2 Standard Error 2.83681
1987 4 316.7 Observations 17
1988 5.2 310.9
1989 8 76.3 ANOVA
1990 5.1 67.4 df SS MS F
1991 6 67.6 Regression 1 19.79846 19.79846 2.460203
1992 8.62 17.5 Residual 15 120.7123 8.04749
1993 7.99 5.2 Total 16 140.5108
1994 8.8 14.4
1995 9.54 12.7 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
1996 9.38 4.5 Intercept 7.14785 0.878923 8.132507 7.03E-07
L¹m ph¸t(%) -0.008207 0.005233 -1.568503 0.137614
Significance F
0.137614

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
5.274469 9.021231 5.274469 9.021231
-0.01936 0.002946 -0.01936 0.002946
Thêi Tiªu thô Thu
gian nhËp
1992 7389 8000
1993 8169 9000
1994 8831 9500
1995 8652 9500
1996 8788 9800
1997 9616 11000
1998 10953 12000
1999 11186 13000
2001 12758 15000
2002 13869 16000
x y
12 2
10 1.8 SUMMARY OUTPUT
11 1.8
8 1.5 Regression Statistics
15 2.2 Multiple R 0.963151
14 2.6 R Square 0.92766
17 3 Adjusted R 0.918617
16 3 Standard E 0.191228
20 3.5 Observatio 10
18 3
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3.751456 3.751456 102.5885 7.72E-06
Residual 8 0.292544 0.036568
Total 9 4.044

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 0.053018 0.243302 0.217908 0.832956 -0.508039 0.614074
x 0.16929 0.016714 10.1286 7.72E-06 0.130747 0.207832

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted y Residuals
1 2.084492 -0.084492
2 1.745913 0.054087
3 1.915202 -0.115202
4 1.407334 0.092666
5 2.592361 -0.392361
6 2.423071 0.176929
7 2.93094 0.06906
8 2.76165 0.23835
9 3.438808 0.061192
10 3.100229 -0.100229
 x Line Fit Plot
4 4
3.5 3.5
3 3
2.5 2.5

y 2 2 y
Predicted y
1.5 1.5
1 1
0.5 0.5
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-0.508039 0.614074 0 0
0.130747 0.207832 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
x

2.364624
2.306004
312 250000 lợi nhuận giá thành
287 245000 540000 450
267 280000 520000 520
315 264000 541000 550
259 255000 532000 555
273 265000 530000 525
302 275000 560000 540
283 254000 547000 560
321 260000 559000 575
270000 592000 580
288.811356869417
288.811356869417
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.609811059
R Square 0.371869528
Adjusted R Square -0.005008755
Standard Error 21459.01741
Observations 9

ANOVA
df
Regression 3
Residual 5
Total 8

Coefficients
Intercept 322917.3294
giá thành 204.2142228
chi phí qlys 3321.121514
cp bán hàng 481.8369199

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted l?i nhu?n

1 524892.8888
2 545931.6685
3 541199.9353
4 542852.5681
5 546421.0986
6 540410.5691
7 545909.3221
8 565588.4904
9 567793.4591
chi phí qlys cp bán hàng
30.2 20.3
32.1 21.2
28.7 22.1
28.6 24.1
31.2 26.3
28.7 24.7
29.3 23.5
34.1 24.9
34.5 24.6

Xgiá
Variable
thành 1Line
Line
600000
X
chi
Varia
phí

l?i nhu?n
550000
500000 600000

l?i nhu?n
450000 550000
500000 600000

Y
440 460
400 450
480 500
500520550
540

Y nhu?n
580000
550000
450000
giáX thành
Variable 1
560000
500000
28 2929 30303
540000
450000

l?i
SS MS F Significance F chi Xphí
520000Va
1363108414.99 454369472 0.98671 0.469687 500000
2302447140.57 460489428 480000
3665555555.56

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

132232.014555 2.44205105 0.058506 -16995.89 662830.5 -16995.89 662830.5
252.185638546 0.80977737 0.454864 -444.0496 852.478 -444.0496 852.478
3425.37269275 0.96956501 0.376794 -5484.079 12126.32 -5484.079 12126.32
4994.79440211 0.09646782 0.926896 -12357.69 13321.36 -12357.69 13321.36

Residuals
15107.1111687
-25931.6685332
-199.935296348
-10852.5680987
-16421.0985757
19589.43094
1090.67787908
-6588.49042001
24206.5409362
 Xgiá
Variable
thành 1Line
LineFit
FitPlot
Plot
00000
X
chi
Variable
phí qlys2 Line Fit Plot
50000
600000 l?i nhu?n
Y
00000 cp
X Variable
bán hàng3 Line
Line Fit
Fit
Predicted
Predicted
l?i nhu?nY Plot
Plot
l?i nhu?n

50000 550000
600000 l?i nhu?n
Y
500000
Y

440 460
400 450
480 500
500520550
540 560
600580 600
Predicted
Predicted
l?i nhu?nY
Y nhu?n

580000
550000
450000
giáX thành
Variable 1 l?i nhu?n
Y
560000
500000
28 2929 303031 31
32 33
32 343335 34 35
540000 Predicted
Predicted
l?i nhu?n
Y
450000
l?i

chi Xphí
520000Variable
qlys 2
500000 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
480000 cp bán hàng
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Gi¸ b¸n 65.2 72.6 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.9

Doanh 96.02 103.01 118.78 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84

thu

b 1.887542 y=-35.4829 + 1.887542x

a -35.48288