NEW FRONTIERS OF SOCIAL POLICY

Social Dimensions
of Climate Change
Equity and Vulnerability in a
Warming World

Robin Mearns and Andrew Norton, Editors

THE WORLD BANK

Washington, DC
 CONTENTS

Foreword xi
About the Editors xiii
About the Authors xv
Acknowledgments xxi
Abbreviations xxiv

Chapter 1. Equity and Vulnerability in a Warming World:

Introduction and Overview 1
Robin Mearns and Andrew Norton

PART I. UNDERSTANDING VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE

Chapter 2. Vulnerability Does Not Fall from the Sky:

Toward Multiscale, Pro-Poor Climate Policy 47
Jesse Ribot

Chapter 3. Implications of Climate Change for Armed Conflict 75

Halvard Buhaug, Nils Fetter Gleditsch,
and Ole Magnus Theisen

Chapter 4. Climate Change and Migration:

Emerging Patterns" in the Developing World 103
Clionadh Raleigh and Lisa Jordan

Chapter 5. The Gender Dimensions of Poverty

and Climate Change Adaptation 133
Justina Demetriades and Emily Esplen
 CONTENTS

Chapter 6. The Role of Indigenous Knowledge

in Crafting Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies
for Climate Change in Latin America 145
Jakob Kronik and Dorte Verner

PART II. SOCIAL JUSTICE AND CLIMATE ACTION

"v __
Chapter 7. Local Institutions and Adaptation to Climate Change 173
Arun Agrawal

Chapter 8. Climate Change for Agrarian Societies in Drylands:

Implications and Future Pathways 199
Simon Anderson, John Morton, and Camilla Toulmin

Chapter 9. Toward Pro-Poor Adaptation to Climate Change in the

Urban Centers of Low- and Middle-Income Countries 231
Caroline Moser and David Satterthwaite

Chapter 10. Social Policies for Adaptation to Climate Change 259

Rasmus Heltberg, Paul Bennett Siegel,
and Steen Lau Jorgensen

Chapter 11. Seeing People through the Trees and the Carbon:
Mitigating and Adapting to Climate Change without
Undermining Rights and Livelihoods 277
Andy White, Jeffrey Hatcher, Arvind Khare,
Megan Liddle, Augusta Molnar,
and William D. Sunderlin

Index „ 303

FIGURES
1.1. Development-Adaptation Continuum 31
2.1. Impact Analysis 52
2.2. Vulnerability Analysis 52
3.1. Frequency and Severity of Armed Conflict, 1946-2007 79
3.2. Intrastate Armed Conflicts, 1989-2007 80
3.3. Trends in Global Warming and Armed Conflict, 1946-2007 80