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Introduction To Economic Value Added, EVA: Author: Esa Mäkeläinen 10.3.1998
Introduction To Economic Value Added, EVA: Author: Esa Mäkeläinen 10.3.1998
Added, EVA
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The average return on stock markets
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
Return and owners
15 %
Average return on markets = Minimum return requirement
10 %
5%
The return of
a company
0%
Company
Company
Company
Company
Company
A
E
-5 %
Negative return: Insuffiecien return: Sufficient return: Abnormal return:
the operation is Capital is gradually The operations The operations are
closed down withdrawn from the are continued as enlarged if possible
company (at least the before
periodic result is taken
out)
3
© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The approach of EVA
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The calculation of company´s cost of capital
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
A company´s cost of capital
All the capital employed by the company has the same cost
(WACC)
³ Machinery and equipment
³ Inventories
³ Accounts receivable
³ Cash and bank
³ Other
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The real profit of a company
Turnover (Sales)
– Operating expences (Wages, material, general exp., depr., taxes)
– Capital costs (WACC x invested capital)
Economic Value Added
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The calculation of EVA
EVA is company´s operating profit (after taxes)
subtracted with the total cost of capital
=> minus Taxes =>
Net operating profit 184 MFIM
after taxes Operat. Profit 255 MFIM
- - -
EVA 80 MFIM
OR alternatively:
EVA = (ROI - WACC) x Invested capital
(15,5% - 9,0%) x 1190 MFIM = 80 MFIM
8
© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA vs. other performance measures
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
ROE = 12,5%
RONA = 9,0%
EVA = 0
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 ….
EVA1 EVA2
+ + ...
Market (1+ WACC)
1 (1+ WACC)2
value
premium
The
market
value
of equity The market value of a company =
of a Book value of equity + present value of future EVA
profitable
company Book
value
of Positive EVA builds up a premium
Equity to the market value of equity, since
investors pay for the excess return.
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
(- EVA1) (- EVA2)
Market + + ...
Value (1+ WACC)
1 (1+ WACC)2
Lost
Book
value Market Negative EVA builds up a discount to the
of value market value of equity.
Equity of
Equity When they say that you can lose money
(unprofitable by losing the alternative return, they mean
company)
this…
13
© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
EVA1 EVA2
+ + ...
Market (1+ WACC)
1 (1+ WACC)2
value
premium
The
market
value (- EVA1) (- EVA2)
Market + + ...
of equity
Value (1+ WACC)
1 (1+ WACC)2
of a
Lost
profitable
company Book Book
value value Market
of of value
Equity Equity of
Equity
(unprofitable
company)
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
EVA1 EVA2 EVA3 EVAn
+ + +...+
Market value 3 (1+ WACC)n 0 MFIM
premium (1+WACC) 1 (1+ WACC)2 (1+ WACC)
186 MFIM 28 MFIM 12 MFIM
(Market 44 MFIM /1.41
Value /1.29
60 MFIM
The Added) /1.18
market /1.09
value 19FIM/share 80 MFIM
of equity
of a /1.0
Hypothetical Example: Company
profitable
XXXX produces positive EVA that
company
Book decreases to zero during the
value forecast period. Thus the present
XXXX Oy
of value of EVA is:
690 MFIM
Equity Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Future
69 FIM/share 500 MFIM EVA 80 60 44 28 12 0 0
Discounted EVA 73 51 34 20 8 0 0
50 FIM/share
Sum of disc. EVA 186 MFIM
Equity Book value 500 MFIM
Market Value of Equity 686 MFIM
15
© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
EVA1 EVA2 EVA3 EVA4 40 MFIM
+ + + + ...
3 (1+ WACC)4
Market value (1+WACC)1 (1+ WACC)2 (1+ WACC) /1.68
premium 40 MFIM
423 MFIM 40 MFIM
(Market 40 MFIM /1.41
/1.29
The Value 40 MFIM
Added) /1.18
market /1.09
value 40 MFIM
of equity 42 FIM/share Hypothetical Example: Company
of a /1.0 XXXX produces positive EVA that
profitable stays constant 40 MFIM from here
company to infinity. Thus the present value
of EVA is:
XXXX Oy Book Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Future
923 MFIM value EVA 40 40 40 40 40 40 444
of Discounted EVA 37 34 31 28 26 24 243
92 FIM/share Equity
500 MFIM Sum of disc. EVA 423 MFIM (40/0.09 =444)
Equity Book value 500 MFIM
Market Value of Equity 923 MFIM
50 FIM/share
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
EVA1 EVA2 EVA3 EVA4
+ + + + ... 51 MFIM
3 (1+ WACC)4
(1+WACC)1 (1+ WACC)2 (1+ WACC) /1.68
49 MFIM
Market value 46 MFIM
premium /1.41
The 899 MFIM
(Market /1.29
market 44 MFIM
value Value
of equity Added)
/1.18
of a 42 MFIM
profitable 90 Hypothetical Example: Company
company FIM/share /1.09 XXXX produces positive EVA that
40 MFIM grows steadily 5% a year. Thus the
XXXX Oy present value of EVA is:
1399 MFIM /1.0 Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Future
EVA 40 42 44 46 49 51 1 276
140 FIM/share Book Discounted EVA 37 35 34 33 32 30 698
value
of Sum of disc. EVA
Equity Book value
899
500
MFIM
MFIM (40/(0.09-0.05) =1276)
Equity Market Value of Equity 1 399 MFIM
500 MFIM
50 FIM/share
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and the market value of a company
(summary)
The bigger expected EVA the company has, the bigger is the
market value of the company and the stock price
Especially profitable growth (growth in EVA) gears up stock
prices. Therefore companies like Intel, Microsoft and Nokia
trade many times above their book values.
Stock prices reflect the future EVA expectations. Those
expectations are very uncertain and continuously changing
and thus also stock prices are volatile. Therefore it might be in
short term difficult to see the underlying connection between
EVA (financial performance) and stock prices. Long term
perspective helps in this sence.
The most empirical studies have supported this theoretical
connection between EVA and market value:
Stewart 1990 O´Byrne (1996)
Lehn nad Makhija (1996) Milunovich and Tsuei (1996)
Uyemura, Kanto and Pettit (1996) Grant (1996)
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
EVA and incentive systems
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
Implementing EVA
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.
The summary of EVA theory
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© Esa Mäkeläinen 12.3.1998 E-mail: esa@evanomics.com EVA is a registered trademark of Stern Stewart & Co.