Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP

2000 23 TBD AL 39 129 122 12 35 7 0 4 14 0 0 5 18 0.287 0.318

2001 24 TBD AL 111 434 411 42 102 25 1 8 45 1 3 23 72 0.248 0.288
2002 25 TBD AL 113 494 454 67 142 25 0 23 59 4 1 37 55 0.313 0.364
2003 26 TBD AL 162 706 636 91 198 47 3 34 107 2 3 53 80 0.311 0.367
2004 27 TBD AL 157 667 600 92 178 27 2 29 104 5 1 56 74 0.297 0.36
2005 28 TBD AL 154 636 575 70 150 26 2 22 92 8 7 49 88 0.261 0.321
2006 29 TOT MLB 131 517 454 57 121 25 2 21 66 0 0 50 64 0.267 0.344
2007 30 BAL AL 151 603 550 68 154 34 5 15 72 1 1 48 87 0.28 0.337
2008 31 BAL AL 154 661 598 96 182 48 2 32 108 4 0 53 89 0.304 0.36
2009 32 TOT AL 150 597 536 59 129 30 1 15 85 0 6 51 87 0.241 0.31

2010 33 SFG NL 157 668 569 100 165 35 5 26 86 7 0 83 91 0.29 0.385

Career 7226 1806 384 26 265 609 956
668 581 152 35 5 21 83 91 0.262 0.358

0.060

0.050

0.040

0.030
Column AE

0.020

0.010

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
 SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards HR/PA 2B/PA 3B/PA

0.443 0.76 91 54 6 1 0 1 15 0.031 0.054 -

0.372 0.66 74 153 18 0 0 0 2 5D3 0.018 0.058 0.002
0.52 0.884 135 236 17 1 0 2 7 D35 0.047 0.051 -
0.555 0.922 145 353 19 8 0 9 17 9D3/5 MVP-24 0.048 0.067 0.004
0.493 0.853 124 296 9 6 0 5 6 53D/79 0.043 0.040 0.003
0.428 0.749 98 246 12 5 0 7 13 9D3/5 0.035 0.041 0.003
0.469 0.813 108 213 11 7 0 6 6 59/3D 0.041 0.048 0.004
0.442 0.778 103 243 13 1 0 4 2 D35 0.025 0.056 0.008
0.552 0.912 137 330 9 3 0 7 7 D53 MVP-16,SS 0.048 0.073 0.003
0.384 0.694 81 206 15 5 0 5 7 3D 0.025 0.050 0.002
0.506 0.891 138 288 17 9 0 7 5 379 0.039 0.052 0.007
0.037 0.053 0.004
0.448 0.805 4 0.031 0.053 0.007
0.035
0.035
0.037
0.036
0.035
0.034
0.034
0.033
0.033
0.030
0.35
Column AE 0.031
0.3 0.027
0.028
0.25 0.028
0.2

0.15 Column AI

0.1

0.05

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
BIP Babip Hbip

101 0.306931 31
331 0.283988 94
378 0.314815 119
531 0.308851 164
502 0.296813 149
472 0.271186 128
375 0.266667 100
452 0.307522 139
484 0.309917 150
439 0.259681 114
459 0.302832 139
5396 0.285582 1541
459 0.285582 131

1.060404
Huff's problem is Consistency.
You keep on talking about career average performance. The fact is Huff doesn’t perform to his career
averages reliably.
Here are his career HR/PA:
 0.031 
 0.018 
 0.047 
 0.048 
 0.043 
 0.035 
 0.041 
 0.025 
 0.048 
 0.025 
 0.039
That’s a lot of volatility. For fun, I decided to project out 2011 stats assuming the EXACT same walk rate,
career HBP rate, career 2b-rate, 2010-3b (at&t!) rate.
Here’s his performance:
Using career HR/PA (.035): 
    .263/.359/.460 (.819 OPS)
Using 2010 HR/PA (.039):
    .269/.364/.480 (.844 OPS)
Using 2007/2009 HR/PA (.025): 
    .253/.350/.418 (.769 OPS)
This tells me his upside is to match his career numbers: .819 OPS +/- .030 (due to BAbip), and his downside
is .750 OPS +/- .030 from age-related decline.
I don’t see him repeating his 2010 .891, with both HR/PA and BAbip 10% above career averages.
his career

me walk rate,

nd his downside

ages.