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 Number Ten

! There is a scientific
consensus that human
activities are very
likely to affect global
climate
Number Nine

! There is some chance

that, due to the
uncertainties of
complex models and
the assumptions used
to drive them, the
consensus is wrong.
 Number Eight
! Ignoring the potential
implications of climate
change is taking a big
risk with a valuable
asset.
’ The Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) recommends that
we avoid ³dangerous
human interference´ with
global climate systems.
 Number Seven

! In order to avoid
dangerous
interference, IPCC
estimates that we
need to hold global
emissions about
steady.
Number Six

! Since the developing

world would still like
to develop, the
developed world must
make substantial
emissions reductions.
’ IPCC says 70-80
percent of current levels
must be reduced by
2040-2050.
 Important Data

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 Number Five

! The Kyoto Protocol

will result in only
modest emission
reductions
’ The US has not yet
ratified this treaty
Number Four

! We have 30-40 years

to transform
industrialized society
’ ÿeducing emissions by
70-80 percent is a
substantial challenge
US Greenhouse Emissions


À 
À 







À


À


US CO2 Emissions

% & ' (
$

Ñ Ñ
$
US Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions



+


 $
$

*
 6
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$  $



 $
 Number Three

! We already have
technologies that can
help us on the way
’ Efficiency
’ ÿenewable Energy

’ Coal-gasification with
carbon sequestration
 Number Two

! The behavioral
challenges are much
more daunting than
the technological ones.
 Number One

! Climate change isn¶t

likely to affect our
generation.
! We need to make
changes for
subsequent
generations.