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Solar Power Satellites

August 1981

NTIS order #PB82-108846


Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 81-600129

For sale by the Superintendent of Documents,


U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402
Foreword
The energy difficulties the Nation has faced over the past decade have given
rise to an increased awareness of the potential long-term, inexhaustible, or
renewable energy technologies. This assessment responds to a request by the House
Committee on Science and Technology for an evaluation of the energy potential of
one of the most ambitious and long-term of these technologies, the solar power
satellite (SPS).
In assessing SPS, OTA has taken into account the preliminary nature of SPS
technology by comparing four alternative SPS systems across a broad range of
issues: their technical characteristics, long-term energy supply potential, interna-
tional and military implications, environmental impacts, and institutional effects.
The SPS options are also compared to potentially competitive future energy
technologies in order to identify how choices among them might be made. In addi-
tion, OTA developed a set of Federal research and funding options to address the
central questions and uncertainties identified in the report.
We were greatly aided by the advice of the SPS advisory panel, as well as by the
participants in three specialized workshops: one on alternative SPS systems, one on
public opinion, and another on competing energy supply technologies. The contri-
butions of a number of contractors, who provided important analyses, and of
numerous individuals who gave generously of their time and knowledge, are
gratefully appreciated.

Director

...
Ill
Solar Power Satellites Advisory Panel
John P. Schaefer, Chairman
University of Arizona
Paul Craig Jerry Grey John J. Sheehan
University of California American Institute of Aeronautics United Steelworkers of America
and Astronautics Graham SiegeI
S. David Freeman
Tennessee Valley Authority Grant Hansen Tennessee Valley Authority
SDC Corp.
Eilene Galloway Robert Uhrig
Consultant Russell Hensley Florida Power & Light
Aetna Life & Casualty Frank von Hippel
Karl Gawell
Solar Energy Research Institute Maureen Lamb Princeton University
Consultant Charles Warren
Peter G laser
Arthur D. Little, Inc. J. C. Randolph Attorney
University of Indiana

Workshop on Technical Options


John W. Freeman, Jr., Chairman Joe G. Foreman John D. G. Rather
Rice University Naval Research Laboratories The B.D.M. Corp.
Kenneth Billman Jerry Grey Fred Sterzer
Electric Power Research Institute American Institute of Aeronautics RCA Laboratories
Hubert P. Davis and Astronautics Frank von Hippel
Eagle Engineering Abraham Hertz berg Princeton University
Henry M. Foley University of Washington Gordon Woodcock
Colurnbia University Boeing Aerospace Co

Workshop on SPS Public Opinion Issues


Ken Bossong Leonard David Skip Laitner
Citizens Energy Project National Space Institute Community Action Research Croup
Ben Bova Chris E If ring of Iowa, Inc.
OMNI Office of Technology Assessment Maureen Lamb
Clifflyn Bromling Joe Foreman Consultant
Bromling and Associates Naval Research Laboratories Jenifer Robinson
Mike Casper Jerry Grey Office of Technology Assessment
Carlton College American Institute of Aeronautics Louis Slesin
Earl Cook and Astronautics Natural Resources Defense
Texas A&M Council, Inc.

Workshop on Energy Context of Solar Power Satellites

Clark Bullard, Chairman Peter Drummond William Metz


University of Illinois McDonnel-Douglas Astronautics Consultant
Charles Baker Lessly Goudarzi David Morris
Argonne National Laboratory International Energy Associates, Institute for Local Self Reliance
Piet Bos Limited James Moyer
Electric Power Research Institute Kenneth Hub Southern California Edison
Glen Brandvold Argonne National Laboratory Larry Ruff
Sandia National Laboratory Jerry Karaganis Brook haven National Laboratory
Clifflyn Bromling Edison Electric Institute Frank von Hippel
Bromling & Associates John Lamarsh Princeton University
Paul Craig Polytechnic Institute of New York Gordon Woodcock
University of California Kenneth Ling Boeing Aerospace Co.
Applied Solar Energy Corp.

iv
Solar Power Satellites Project Staff

Lionel S. Johns, Assistant Director, OTA


Energy, Materials, and International Security Division

Richard E. Rowberg, Energy Program Manager

David Claridge, Project Director (until January 1980)


Ray A. Williamson, Project Director (from January 1980)
Stefi Weisburd Adam Wasserman

Administrative Staff
Marian Grochowski Lisa Jacobson Lillian Quigg
Edna Saunders Yvonne White

Contributors
Clifflyn Bromling Alan Crane
Arlene Maclin William Metz

Contractors and Consultants


Eric Drexler International Energy Associates, Ltd.
John Furber David Morris
Mark Gersovitz Institute for Local Self Reliance
Princeton University Barry Smernoff
Jerry Grey Smernoff & Associates

OTA Publishing Staff

John C. Holmes, Publishing Officer


John Bergling Kathie S. Boss Debra M. Datcher Joe Henson
Acknowledgments
OTA thanks the following people who took time to provide information or to review part or all of the
study.
Martin Abromavage, Argonne National Laboratory Ernest L. Morrison, National Telecommunications
Edwin Beatrice, Letterman Army Institute of and Information Administration
Research Fred Osborne, Sunsat Energy Council
Richard Beverly and William Brown, Raytheon Steven Plotkin, Office of Technology Assessment
Tom Bull, Office of Technology Assessment John Richardson, National Academy of Sciences
Daniel F. Cahill, U.S. Environmental Protection Michael Riches, U.S. Department of Energy
Agency Donald Rote, Argonne National Laboratory
Don Calahan, National Aeronautics and Space Charles Rush, National Telecommunications and
Administration Information Administration
Stephen Cheston, Georgetown University Richard Santopietro, U.S. Department of Energy
Stephen Cleary, Mfedical College of Virginia Carl Schwenk, National Aeronautics and Space
P. Czerski, National Research Institute of Mother Administration
and Child, Poland Richard Setlow, Brookhaven National Laboratory
Steven Doyle, Office of Technology Assessment Charlotte Silverman, U.S. Public Health Service
Lewis Duncan, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory David Sliney, U.S. Army Environment/ Hygiene
William Erickson, University of Mary/and Agency
Harold A. Feiveson, Woodrow Wilson School, Marcia Smith, Congressional/ Research Service
Princeton University Gerald Stokes, Pacific Northwest Laboratory
Zorach Glaser, Bureau of Radiological Health A.R. Thompson, National Radio Astronomy
Anita Harlan, L-5 Society Observatory
John Hooper, Sierra Club Kosta Tsipas, Massachusetts Institute’ of
Wayne Jones, Lockheed Corp. Technology
Don Justesen, Veterans Administration Paul Tyler, Armed Forces Radiological Research
Fred Koomanoff, U.S. Department of Energy Institute
John Logsdon, George Washington University A.R. Valentine, Argonne National Laboratory
Simon V. Manson, National Aeronautics and Peter Vajk, Science Applications, Inc.
Space Administration Margaret White, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory
Richard Marsten, Office of Technology John Zinn, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory
Assessment
Contents
Chapter Page
1. Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
2. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
3. Issues and Find ngs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
4. Policy Options. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
5. Alternative Systems
for SPS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
6. SPS inContext. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
7. The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145
8. Environment and Health. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179
9. Institutional Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227

A. Alternatives to the Reference System Subsystems . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . 265


B. Decentralized Photo voltaic Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ................269
c. Global Energy Demand Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ...271
D. Environment and Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .......275
E. Examples of international Cooperation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .........289

Acronyms, Abbreviations, and Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ....293


Chapter 1
Contents
Page
Current Status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Energy Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...................... 5
International and Military Imp ications. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Systems and Costs. . . . . . . . . . .................................... 7
Public Issues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Environment and Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Space Context. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................... 14

LIST OF TABLES
Page
Characterization of Four Alternative SPS Systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Summaryof SPS Environmental Impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
The solar power satellite (SPS) concepts en- ● Mirror transmission. Orbiting mirrors
vision using the constant availability of sun- would reflect sunlight directly to central
light in space to generate baseload electricity locations on Earth. Terrestrial solar re-
on Earth. Orbiting satellites would collect ceivers would convert the resulting 24-
solar energy and beam it to Earth where it hour illumination to electricity.
would be converted to electricity. Three major
Since SPS would be a major future energy
alternative systems have been suggested.
system with diverse potential impacts and im-
● Microwave transmission. Solar radiation placations, this assessment of SPS technology
would be collected in space and con- is interdisciplinary. It includes the study of SPS
verted to microwaves. Microwave energy interactions with society, the environment, the
would be beamed to a receiving antenna economy, and other energy systems. in addi-
on Earth where it would be converted to tion, because space is an international realm
electricity. and energy is a global need, this assessment
Laser transmission. Solar radiation would also undertakes a broad look at the interna-
be collected in space and converted to in- tional aspects of SPS.
frared laser radiation. The lasers would
beam power to an Earth receiver.

CURRENT STATUS

Too little is currently known about the techni- designate an agency to track generic research
cal, economic, and environmental aspects of SPS which is applicable to SPS, to review trends in
to make a sound decision whether to proceed electricity demand, and to monitor the prog-
with its development and deployment. I n addi- ress of other electric supply technologies. Such
tion, without further research an SPS demon- a mechanism could provide the basis for peri-
stration or systems-engineering verification odic assessment of whether to begin an SPS re-
program would be a high-risk venture. An SPS search program. Information relevant to SPS
research program could ultimately assure an ade- could be derived from other research pro-
quate information base for these decisions. How- grams, microwave bioeffects, space transpor-
ever, the urgency of any proposed research ef- tation, laser, and photovoltaic development
fort depends strongly on the perception of fu- appear to be the most critical technical issues.
ture electricity demand, the variety and cost of However, it is unlikely that such “generic”
supply, and the estimated speed with which research programs by themselves would ade-
the major technical and environmental uncer- quately answer all of the high-priority ques-
tainties associated with the SPS concept can tions on which SPS development decisions de-
be resolved. For instance, if future demand pend
growth is expected to be low it may not be nec-
If a dedicated SPS research effort is started
essary to initiate a specific SPS research pro-
now, the level of effort chosen would, to a
gram at this time, especially if more conven-
large degree, determine the time it takes to ob-
tional electric-generating technologies remain
tain the information needed for a development
acceptable. If this is not the case or if demand
decision. An effort set at $5 million to $10
growth is expected to be high, SPS might be
milIion per year could be sufficient to gather
needed early in the 21st century, and a timely
the minimum necessary information while min-
start of a research effort would be justified.
imizing the risk of insufficient or untimely in-
Should it be decided not to start a dedicated formation. A $20 million to $30 million per
SPS research effort now, it may be desirable to year effort could gain the maximum necessary
3
4 ● Solar Power Satellites

Photo credit: National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Microwave concept

Photo credit: Painting by Frank G. Ellis, Lockheed Missiles and Space Co.

Laser concept

Photo credit: National Aeronaut/es and Space Administration search program is instituted, it should investi-
gate those areas most critical to SPS eco-
nomic, technical, and environmental feasibil-
ity Particular attention should be given to
studying and comparing the various technical
alternatives; but the feasibility of SPS also ulti-
mately depends on its social, political, and institu-
tional viability. Thus, a research program should
continue to explore these aspects of SPS devel-
Mirrored concept
opment and deployment as well. The following
SOURCE: K. W. Billman, “Space Orbiting Light Augmentation Reflector Energy
are the major stages such a program wouId
System: A Look at Alternative Systems,” SPS Program Review, have to go through:
June 1979.

SPS Program Steps


information at the earliest possible time. It
Concept feasibility stages Development stages
reduces the risk of not generating enough in- Basic research Systems engineering
formation in time to make an adequate devel- Component testing Demonstration satellite
opment decision. Whatever the level, if a re- Concept definition Deployment
Ch. 1—Summary ● 5

ENERGY CONTEXT
Even if it were needed and work began now, satisfy the entire domestic electricity require-
a commercial SPS is unlikely to be available ment for demands totaling 20 Qe (2.5 times
before 2005-15 because of the many uncertain- current level) or less in 2030. If demand is
ties and the long Ieadtime needed for testing and higher than 20 Qe, then presumably one or
demonstration. Therefore, SPS could not be ex- more of the following, SPS, breeders, and/or
pected to constitute a significant part of elec- fusion will be needed. Electricity demand will
tricity supply before 2015-25. By that time, the be strongly affected by the degree that effi-
United States will be importing very little cient technologies for using electricity can be
foreign oil. Consequently, SPS cannot reduce our developed. Such technologies can have the ef-
dependence on imported oil in this century. fect of lowering the overall cost of electricity
However, if efficient electric vehicles or other compared to competing energy forms.
electric end-use technologies are developed by
If generation from coal on a large scale
about 2010, electricity from SPS or other
proves to be unacceptable, domestic electrical
sources could substitute for synthetic liquid
consumption of 8 Qe or less could still be met
fuels generated from coal or biomass.
by nuclear, geothermal, and terrestrial solar
Along with other electric generating technol- (central pIant and onsite) technology. For de-
ogies, SPS has the potential to supply several mands up to about 20 Qe, SPS could compete
hundred gigawatts of baseload electrical with terrestrial solar, breeders, and/or fusion
power to the U.S. grid by the mid-21st century. for a share of the centralized baseload market.
However, the ultimate need for SPS and its If electricity demand exceeds 20 Qe, it will be
rate of development wiII depend on the rate of difficult to satisfy that demand without vig-
increase in demand for electricity, and the orous development of al I renewable or inex-
ability of other energy supply options to meet haustible forms of generating capacity. For
ultimate demand more competitively. S P S these higher demand levels, SPS, breeders, and
would be needed most if coal and/or convent- fusion could all share in supplying U.S. elec-
ional nuclear options are constrained and if de- tricity needs. A 30 Qe (3.8 times current con-
mand for electricity is high. sumption) total demand wouId create a market
potential for up to 6 Qe of SPS-delivered ener-
An aggressive terrestrial solar and conserva-
gy (225,000-Mw-installed generating capacity
tion program that could lead to an electricity
at 90-percent capacity factor). *
demand level of only 8 Quads electric (Qe)* in
2030 (equal to current consumption) would Upper Range of Possible SPS Use* *
make the development of SPS and other large Electric demand SPS capacity (CW]
new centralized generating technologies less in 2030 (Qe] With coal Without coal
75 0 0-30
urgent in the United States. In any event, coal 20.0 0-60 100-200
could continue to fuel the greatest share of 30.0 100-200 100-200
U.S. electrical needs well into the 21st century,
provided no barriers to its use become evident.
Coal, conventional nuclear, terrestrial solar in *Current U.S. generating capacity is about 600,000 MW. Cur-
its many forms, and geothermal usage could rent demand represents about 45 percent of this capacity oper-
ating 100 percent of the time,
**Coal is used as the swingfuel for our analysis because it has
*A Quad is equal to 1 quadrillion Btu. It is equivalent to the the largest resource base of any of the current forms of central-
energy contained in 500,000 barrels of oil per day for 1 year, and ized, electric generating technologies It is expected that conven-
is also approximately the electric energy produced by a 33,500- tional nuclear would be available but its smaller resource base
MW generator running without interruption for a year As used in would prevent it from having the large effect on generation-mix
this report, Quads electric (Qe) of demand refer to the energy choices that coal does It is assumed that breeders, which would
equivalent of electricity at point of use Primary energy input at greatly extend the nuclear fission resource base, would be com-
the generating source of electricity IS somewhat more than three parable to SPS and fusion in terms of its rate of market penetra-
times these figures tion (ie, 5 to 10 GW/yr)
6 ● Solar Power Satellties

SPS is designed to provide baseload electric- small increments as needed to meet demand
ity. By contrast, except for ocean thermal ener- increases on a local scale.
gy conversion, terrestrial solar electrical gen-
Even if inexpensive storage is not available, on-
eration is intermittent. Because our energy
site generating technologies could compete in-
future will require a mix of baseload and inter-
directly with SPS. Total need for baseload
mittent generating technologies, without stor-
power will decrease if a significant portion of
age capability, terrestrial solar would not com-
total electrical demand can be met by a com-
pete directly with SPS. However, the devel-
bination of dispersed technologies such as
opment of inexpensive storage, if achieved,
solar photovoltaics, wind, and biomass at costs
could enable terrestrial solar electricity genera-
that are competitive with centrally generated
tion in all its forms-wind, solar thermal, and
electricity. Low demand for centrally gener-
solar photovoltaics–to assume some share of
ated electricity would consequently reduce
baseload capacity.* These technologies are less
the need to introduce new, large-scale elec-
complex, have fewer uncertainties, and are
trical technologies such as SPS, except as
considerably nearer to commercial realization
replacement capacity.
than SPS. Furthermore, they have the flexibili-
ty to be introduced into the electrical grid in As an energy option for the first half of the 21st
century, the potential electrical output and
*The percentage share of baseload capacity which would be uncertainties of SPS are comparable to fusion.
feasible for these technologies to assume would depend on their These energy options will proceed along dif-
geographical location and the time of year (see ch 6)
ferent development paths. Except for a laser
system, the basic SPS technologies have been
proven technically feasible. Research would
be needed to develop low-noise microwave
tubes; high-efficiency, low-mass photovoltaics;
efficient continuous-wave lasers; low-mass
mirrors; and space construction and transpor-
tation capabilities. Although the fusion com-
munity is confident that fusion is feasible,
“energy breakeven, ” the production of more
energy than is put into the fusion process, has

Photo credit: EPA-Documerica—Gene Daniels


Photo credit: Texas Power & Light
Trojan nuclear powerplant on the Columbia River
near Prescott, Wash., 1972 Martin Lake electric generating plant in east Texas
Ch. l—Summary ● 7

not been achieved. For both SPS and fusion, an cost is high. For fusion, much of the manufac-
economic generating plant would still have to turing infrastructure for the balance of plant,
be developed and demonstrated. i.e., other than the fusion device itself, is in
place. Most of the supportive infrastructure
Both energy options are designed to pro- for SPS, including the industrial plants and the
duce baseload central station power in units transportation system, would have to be de-
from 500 to 5,000 MW. For both, development veloped.

INTERNATIONAL AND MILITARY IMPLICATIONS


There could be important economic and politi- with the Soviet Union could spur a U.S. com-
cal advantages to developing SPS as a multi- mitment to SPS.
national rather than a unilateral system. These in-
clude cooperation in establishing legal and The development of fleets of launch and trans-
regulatory norms, shared risk in financing the fer vehicles (for SPS), as well as facilities for living
R&D and construction costs, improved pros- and working in space, would enhance this Na-
pects for global marketing, and forestalling tion’s military space capabilities. Such equip-
fears of economic domination and military ment would give the possessor a large break-
use. Although a multinational effort would out potential for rapid deployment of person-
face inevitable organizational and political nel and hardware in time of crisis, though for
difficulties, the strong potential interest of nonemergency situations the military would
energy-poor, non-U. S. participants in increased prefer to use vehicles designed specifically for
electrical supplies could help make a multina- military purposes. SPS itself could be used for
tional venture more feasible than a unilateral military purposes, such as electronic warfare or
one by the United States. GIobal electricity de- providing energy to military units, but is tech-
mand may quadruple by 2030, and will be es- nically unsuited to constitute an efficient
pecially strong in developing countries. West- weapon. Weapons-use of SPS would be prohib-
ern Europe and Japan wouId be likely partners ited by current bilateral and multilateral
for a joint project. Depending on the size and treaties. The satellite portion of SPS is vulner-
expense of the system used, a number of the able to various methods of attack and interfer-
more rapidly developing but less developed ence but the likelihood of its being attacked is
countries might also be interested in partici- only SIightly greater than for major terrestrial
pating at lower levels of involvement. energy systems. The military effects of SPS will
depend largely on the institutional framework
The Soviet Union is carrying on an aggres- within which it is developed; international in-
sive space program that may give them an in- volvement would tend to reduce the potential
dependent capacity to develop SPS, but little for use of SPS by the military sector,
is known about their long-range space or
energy plans. Real or perceived competition

SYSTEMS AND COSTS


The optimum SPS system has not been iden- oped to provide a basis for review and analysis
tified. A National Aeronautics and Space Ad- but was not intended to represent the best
ministration/Department of Energy (NASA/ possible system. An optimum system should be
DOE) microwave reference system* was devel- able to deliver power in smaller units (about
1,000 MW or less), use smaller terrestrial
receivers, and cost less to develop than the
*See chs 3 and 5 for a description of the reference system reference system. Alternative systems may use
lasers or mirrors to transmit solar energy from costs for most improvements to the reference
space to Earth. Variants of the reference sys- design, or for alternative systems, are less cer-
tem or other completely different systems may tain due to the less developed state of nonref-
offer certain improvements; each will need full erence technology. Preliminary studies in-
study before choosing a system for develop- dicate that the total reference system costs are
ment. likely to be significantly higher. On the other
hand, alternative systems may well be cheaper
Current overall cost estimates for the SPS and than the reference system. The total costs
its major components are highly uncertain. The estimated by NASA include major elements,
assessments of up-front costs range from $40 such as space transportation and photovoltaic
billion to $100 billion. The most detailed esti- cells, whose development is likely to proceed
mates have been made by NASA for the refer- regardless of SPS; these costs should not be
ence design. These call for a 22-year invest- charged solely to SPS. With the possible excep-
ment of $102.4 bilIion (1977 dolIars) (including tion of fusion, the up-front costs for SPS would
transportation and factory investment costs) to be significantly higher than competing base-
produce the first 5-GW satellite, with each ad- Ioad electric generating systems. Apportioning
ditional satellite costing $11.3 billion. The the various investment costs and management
Characterization of Four Alternative SPS Systems

Scale
Satellite size 55 km2 18 km2 5 km2 50 km2
Number of satellites 60 (300 GW total) Not projected Not projected 916 (810 GW total)
Power/satellite 5,000 MW 1,500 MW 500 Mw 135,000 MW
Mass 5 x104 tonnes/satellite; 0.1 kW/kg Less mass than reference/O. 1 kW/kg Less mass than reference/O.05 kW/kg 2 x 105 tonnes mirror system 2 kW/kg
Land use rectenna site 174 km2 (including buffer) 50 km2 0.6 km2 1,000 km2
x 60=10,440 km2
2
k m 1,000 MW
35 33 1.2 7.4
Energy Electricity Electricity Electricity, onsite generation. Electricity, light
Fairly centralized Less centralized Less centralized Highly centralized
23 mW/cm2 Gaussian distribution Unknown Unknown (10 mW/cm2 at edge) 1.15 kW/m2 (1 Sun)
Atmosphere
Transmission Ionosphere heating might affect telecommunications Tropospheric heating might modify weather over smaller area; problems with clouds?
Effluents Possible effects include alteration of magnetosphere (AR+), increased water content; LEO orbit, smaller size, smaller launch vehicles
formation of noctilucent clouds; ionosphere depletion
Electromagnetic
Interference RFI from direct coupling, spurious noise, and harmonics, Impacts on communications, If visible light IS used there may be problems Problem for optical astronomy, optical reflec-
satellites etc from 245 GHz Problem for radio astronomers (GEO obscures portion of for optical astronomy if Infrared IS used may hens and Interference from beam change
sky always) optical reflections from satellites and LEO stations WiII change the night sky Increase airglow optical reflection from LEO night sky in vicinity of sites
satellite.
Bioeffects Microwave bioeffects midbeam could cause thermal heating, unknown effects of long Direct beam ocular and skin damage ocular Psychological and physiological effects of 24-
term exposure to low-level microwaves Ecosystem alteratlon? Birds avoid/attracted damage from reflections? Other effects? Birds hour illumination not known. Possible ocular
to beam? flying through will burn up? If visible WiII hazard if viewed with binoculars? Ecosystem
birds avoid? Ecosystem alterations? alteration
National security
weapons potential GEO gives a good vantage point over hemisphere Direct weapon: as ABM, antisatellite, aimed at Indirect: night illumination psychological–
terrestrial targets possible weather modification
–Provides a lot of power m space platform for surveillance, jamming–
Indirect: power killer
satellite, planes space platform
–Requires development of large space fleet with/military potential– Laser defend self, best, LEO more accessible
Vulnerability Satellites may need self defense system to protect against attack Less ground sites; a lot of mirrors-redun-
Size and distance strong defenses– dancy; individual mirrors fragile; ground sites
still produce power in absence of space
system

International Will require radio frequency allocation and orbit assignment LEO more accessible to U S S R and high-latitude countries, smaller parcels of energy make
Smaller parcels of energy make system more system more flexible
flexible
Meet environmental and health standards?
a
smaller SOLARES systems, e g , IO GW/site would be possible and probably more desirable
b
$l02 billilon–NASA estimate+ncludes Investment Costs
Estimates byArgonneNational Laboratory, Office of Technology Assessment, u.s. Congress
c

SOURCE Office of Technology Assessment.


10 . Solar Power Satellites

responsibilities between the public and private ticipants, would be an essential part of SPS de-
sectors, and among potential international par- velopment.

PUBLIC ISSUES
Public opinion about SPS is currently not Reference System —Rectenna/
well-formed. Discussion of SPS has been lim- Washington, D. C., Overlay
ited to a small number of public interest
groups and professional societies. In general,
those in favor of SPS also support a vigorous U.S.
space program, whereas many of those who op-
pose SPS fear that it would drain resources from
small-scale, terrestrial solar technologies. Assum-
ing acceptance of a decision to deploy SPS,
public discussion is likely to be most intense at
the siting stage of its development. Key issues
that may enter into public thinking include
environment and health risks, land-use, mili-
tary implications, and costs. Centralization in
the decisionmaking process and in the owner-
ship and control of SPS may also be important.
From the standpoint of public perceptions, the
siting of land-based receivers could be an
obstacle to the deployment of SPS unless:
● the public is actively involved in the siting
process;
● health and environment uncertainties are

diminished; and
• local residents are justly compensated for SOURCE: Off Ice of Technology Assessment.
the use of their land.
Offshore siting of receivers could minimize
potential public resistance to SPS siting.

ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH


Many of the environmental impacts associated non ionizing radiation, electromagnetic inter-
with SPS are comparable in nature and magnitude ference with other systems and astronomy, and
to those resulting from other large-scale terres- radiation exposure for space workers. More re-
trial energy technologies. A possible exception search in these areas would be required before
is coal, particularly if CO2 concerns are proven decisions about the deployment or devel-
justified. While these effects have not been opment of SPS could be made. Little informa-
quantified adequately, it is thought that con- tion is currently available on the environ-
ventional corrective measures could be pre- mental impacts of SPS designs other than the
scribed to minimize their impacts. However, reference system. Clearly, environmental
several health and environmental effects, which assessments of the alternative systems will be
are unique to SPS and whose severity and likeli- needed if choices are to be made between SPS
hood are highly uncertain, have also been iden- designs.
tified. These include effects on the upper at-
mosphere from launch effluents and power Too little is known about the biological effects
transmission, health hazards associated with of long-term exposure to low-level microwave
Ch. 1—Summary . 11

Photo credit: National Aeronautics and Space Administration

An artist’s concept of an offshore antenna that would receive microwave energy beamed from
a large space solar power collector in geosynchronous orbit

radiation to assess the health risks associated tional standards. Even more stringent micro-
with SPS microwave systems. The information wave standards couId increase land require-
that is available is incomplete and not directly ments and system cost or alter system design
relevant to SPS. Further research is critically and feasibility. In Iight of the widespread pro-
needed in order to set human-health exposure liferation of electromagnetic devices and the
limits. Currently, no microwave population ex- current controversy surrounding the use of
posure standard exists in the United States. microwave technologies, it is clear that in-
The recommended limit for occupational ex- creased understanding of the effects of micro-
posure is set at 10 mW/cm 2 in the United waves on living things is vitally needed even if
States, 1,000 times less stringent than the pres- SPS is never deployed.
ent U.S.S.R. occupational standard. Public ex-
clusion boundaries around the reference de- Exposure of space workers to ionizing radiation
sign have been established at one one-hun- is a potentially serious problem for SPS systems
dredth of U.S. occupational guidelines. It is an- that operate in geosynchronous orbit (CEO). Re-
ticipated that future maximum permissible cent estimates indicate that the radiation dose
U.S. occupational standards will be lower by a of SPS reference system personnel in CEO
factor of 2-Io; population standards, if estab- would exceed current limits set for astronauts
lished, may well be lower than the occupa- and could result in a measurable increase in
12 Ž Solar Power Satellites

Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts


System component Occupational health
characteristics Environmental
— impact Public health and safety and safety
Power transmission
Microwave — bIonospheric heating could — bEffects of Iow-level —Higher risk than for .
disrupt telecommunications. chronic exposure to micro- public; protective
Maximum tolerable power waves are unknown. clothing required for
density is not known. — Psychological effects of terrestrial worker.
Effects in the upper microwave beam as weapon. —Accidental exposure to
ionosphere are not known —Adverse aesthetic effects high-intensity beam in
—Tropospheric heating could on appearance of night sky. space potentially severe
result in minor weather but no data.
modification.
— bEcosystem: microwave bio-
effects (on plants, animals,
and airborne biota) largely
unknown; reflected light
b
effects unknown.
— Potential interference with
satellite communications,
terrestrial communications,
radar, radio, and optical
astronomy.

Lasers —Tropospheric heating could —Ocular hazard? —Ocular and safety


modify weather and spread — Psychological effects of hazard?
the beam. laser as weapon are
— Ecosystem: beam may possible.
incinerate birds and —Adverse aesthetic effects
vegetation. on appearance of night
— b Potential interference sky are possible.
with optical astronomy,
some interference with
radio astronomy.

Mirrors — bTropospheric heating —Ocular hazard? —Ocular hazard?


could modify weather. —Psychological effect of
—Ecosystem: effect of 24- 24-hr sunlight.
— Adverse aesthictic effects
b
hr light on growing
cycles of plants and cir- on appearance of night
cadian rhythms of animals. sky are possible.
— b potential interference
with optical astronomy.

Transportation and
space operation
Launch and recovery —Ground cloud might pollute —Noise (sonic boom) may —bSpace worker’s hazards:
air and water and cause exceed EPA guidelines. ionizing radiation
possible weather modi- –Ground cloud might affect (potentially severe)
HLLV fication; acid rain air quality; acid rain weightlessness, life
PLV probably negligible. probably negligible. support failure, long
COTV — b Water vapor and other —Accidents-catastrophic stay in space,
POTV launch effluents could explosion near launch construction accidents
deplete ionosphere and site, vehicle crash, toxic psychological stress,
enhance airglow. Result- materials. acceleration.
ant disruption of com- —Terrestrial worker’s
munications and satellite hazards: noise, trans-
surveillance potentially portation accidents.
important, but uncertain.
— b possible formation of
noctilucent clouds in
stratosphere and meso-
sphere; effects on climate
are not known.
Ch. 1—Summary ● 13

Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts—Continued


System component Occupational health
characteristics Environmental impact Public health and safety and safety
— bEmission of water vapor
could alter natural
hydrogen cycle; extent and
implications are not well-
known.
b
— Effect of COTV argon ions
on magnetosphere and
plasma-sphere could be
great but unknown.
—Depletion of ozone layer
by effluents expected to
be minor but uncertain.
—Noise.

Terrestrial activities
Mining — Land disturbance —Toxic material exposure. —Occupational air and
(stripmining, etc.). —Measurable increase of water pollution.
—Measurable increase of air and water pollution. —Toxic materials exposure.
air and water pollution. — Land-use disturbance. —Noise.
—Solid waste generation
—Strain on production
capacity of gallium
arsenide, sapphire, silicon,
graphite fiber, tungsten,
and mercury.

Manufacturing —Measurable increase of — Measurable increase of —Toxic materials exposure.
air and water pollution. air and water pollution. —Noise.
—Solid wastes. —Solid wastes.
—Exposure to toxic
materials.

Construction —Measurable land — Measurable land —Noise.


disturbance. disturbance. —Measurable local
—Measurable local increase —Measurable local increase increase of air and water
of air and water pollution. of air and water pollution. pollution.
—Accidents.

Receiving antenna — bLand use and siting— — bLand use—reduced — Waste heat.
—Waste heat and surface property value, aesthetics,
roughness could modify vulnerability y (less land
weather. for solid-state, laser
options; more for reference
and mirrors).

High-voltage — bLand use and siting— — b Exposure to high intensity — Exposure to high
b

transmission lines — bEcosystem: bioeffects of EM fields—effects intensity EM fields—


(not unique to SPS) powerlines uncertain. uncertain. effects uncertain.
a
impacts based on SPS systems as currently defined and do not account for offshore receivers or possible mitigating system modifications.
b
Research priority.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.
14 Ž Solar Power Satellites

cancer incidence. However, there are a large a severe drawback for the microwave option.
number of uncertainties associated with quan- Satellite communications and optical and
tifying the health risks of exposure to ionizing radio astronomy would be seriously affected.
radiation. More research would be required to The effects on radio and optical astronomy
reduce these uncertainties and to identify and would be the most difficult to ameliorate. The
evaluate system designs and shielding tech- minimum allowable spacing between geosyn-
niques that would minimize risks at an accept- chronous power satellites and geosynchronous
able cost. In addition, acceptable SPS radia- communications satellites is not well-known.
tion limits would have to be determined. If The optical interference effects of either the
CEO SPS systems are to be considered, an mirror or laser transmission options would be
assessment of the health risks associated with of great concern to ground-based astronomers.
space radiation is a top priority. Any of the SPS options would alter the ap-
pearance of the nighttime sky. Some may find .
The potential for interference with other users
this esthetialIy objectionable.
of the electromagnetic spectrum could constitute

SPACE CONTEXT
The hardware, experienced personnel, and in- attention to SPS. An SPS research and develop-
dustrial infrastructure generated by an SPS project ment program would be in accord with current
would significantly increase U.S. space capabil- space policy that calIs for peaceful develop-
ities and, in conjunction with other major ment of commercial and scientific space
space programs, could lay the groundwork for capab i I i t i es
the industrialization, mining, and perhaps the
settlement of space. NASA is likely to play a Given the current absence of long-term pro-
major role, especialIy in the initial stages of de- gram goals for the U.S. civilian space program,
velopment. Non-SPS programs could be aided it is difficult to predict the effects of an SPS
by accelerated development of transportation project on NASA plans or on private-sector ca-
and other systems; on the other hand, they pabilities These effects will need to be care-
could be harmed by the diversion of funds and fully considered.
Chapter 2
INTRODUCTION
Chapter 2
INTRODUCTION

As the United States and the world have be- ferent degrees of technical feasibility. In addi-
gun to face the realities of living with a limited tion, they would affect the environment and
supply of oil and gas, and the political uncer- political and financial institutions in different
tainties that accompany impending scarcity, ways.
the search for reliable, safe means of using the
The first serious discussion of the SPS con-
radiant energy of the Sun has intensified. Solar
cept appeared in 1968. ’ 2 During the next few
radiation is already used in many parts of the
years several companies conducted prelimi-
Nation for direct space heating and for heating
nary analyses with some support from the Ad-
water. It can also produce electricity by photo-
vanced Programs Off ice of the National Aero-
voltaic and thermoelectric conversion. How-
nautics and Space Administration (NASA). 3
ever, nearly all terrestrial solar collectors and
In May 1973, the Subcommittee on Space
converters suffer from the drawbacks of the
Science and Applications of the House Science
day-night cycle. On Earth, sunlight is only
and Astronautics Committee heId the first con-
available during daylight hours, but energy is
gressional hearings on the concept.4 Following
consumed around the clock. In the absence of
those hearings, NASA began a series of experi-
inexpensive storage, nighttime and cloud cov-
ments in microwave transmission of power at
er limit the potential of terrestrial solar tech-
the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. In 1975, NASA
nologies (with the exception of ocean thermal
created an SPS study office at the Johnson
energy conversion) to supply the amounts of
Space Center that performed several addi-
energy required for use in homes, businesses,
tional systems studies. A number of papers
and industries. By placing the solar collectors
were published, s culminating in an extensive
in space where sunlight is intense and con-
report that established most of the basis for
stant, and then “beaming” energy to Earth, the
the Department of Energy’s (DOE) reference
solar power satellite (SPS) seeks to assure a
system design. 6
baseload supply of electricity for terrestrial
consumers. In the beginning it had been assumed that
NASA would be the Federal agency with prime
Several radically different versions of SPS
responsibility for satellite power stations.
have been proposed, most of which will be de-
However, the Solar Energy Act of 1974 clearly
scribed and analyzed in this report. In the most
placed the responsibility for all solar energy
extensively studied version, a large satellite
R&D aimed at terrestrial use under the jurisdic-
would be placed in the geosynchronous orbit
1
so that it remains directly above a fixed point P E Claser, “The Future of Power From the Sun, ” lntersocie-
on the Earth’s Equator. Solar photovoltaic ty Energy Conversion Engineering Conference (l ECEC), IEEE pub-
lication 68C-21 -Energy, 1968, pp. 98-103,
panels aboard the satellite would collect the 2 P E Glaser, “Power From the Sun: Its Future,” Science 162,
Sun’s radiant energy and convert it to elec- NOV 22, 1968, pp. 857-886,

tricity. Devices would then convert the elec- ‘P E Claser, O. E, Maynard, J. Mockovciak, and E, L, Ralph,
“Feasibility Study of a Satellite Solar Power Station,” Arthur D.
tricity to microwave radiation and transmit it Little Inc , NASA CR-2357 (contract No. NAS 3-16804), February
to Earth where it would be collected, recon- 1974.
verted to electricity, and delivered to the elec- “’Power From the Sun via Satellite, ” hearings before the
Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications and Subcom-
tric power grid. An alternative concept envi- mittee on Energy of the Committee on Science and Astronautics,
sions using large orbiting reflectors to reflect U S House of Representatives, May 7, 22, 24,1973.
solar radiation to the ground, creating im- 5Wlll lam J. Richard, “Geosynchronous Satellite Solar Power,”
ch, 8 of So/ar Energy for Earth: An A /AA Assessment, H. J. Kill ian,
mense solar farms where sunlight would be G L Dugger, and J. Grey (eds.), AlAA, Apr. 21, 1975, pp. 59-71.
available around the clock. Laser beams have (Also see abridged version in Astronautics and Aeronautics,
also been proposed for the energy transmission November 1975, pp. 46-52.)
“’ln(tlal Technical, Environmental, and Economic Evaluation
medium. These concepts may have significant- of space solar Power Concepts, ” report No. j SC-11568, VOIS. I
ly different economic prospects, as well as dif- and II, NASA, Aug. 31, 1976.

17
18 ● Solar Power Satellites

tion of the Energy Research and Development another round of hearings, ’2 and eventually
Administration (ERDA). ERDA set up a Task passed by the full House. No Senate bill was in-
Group on Satellite Power Stations, and in No- troduced. A similar bill,13 reintroduced in 1979,
vember 1976 recommended two options for was passed by the House on November 16,
conducting a joint ERDA/NASA 3-year SPS 1979, but again died in the Senate.
concept development and evaluation pro-
The DOE/NASA Concept Development and
gram, one costing $12 million and one $19 mil- 14
Evaluation Programwas established to iden-
lion. ’ ERDA elected to pursue a median
tify and evaluate the possible technical, en-
course, and proposed a 3-year, $15.5 million ef-
vironmental, social, institutional, and econom-
fort which began in fiscal year 1977, the SPS
ic aspects of the SPS concept. It has generated
Concept Development and Evaluation Pro-
a broad range of reports that reflect this in-
gram.
tent. 5 In order to have a fixed technical basis
ERDA’s efforts were given impetus by two for the study, DOE and NASA developed two
congressional hearings, one held in January versions of a “reference” satellite power sta-
1976 by the Subcommittee on Aerospace Tech- tion system, based on extensive studies under-
nology and National Needs of the Senate taken by two NASA contractors. 16 17 Although
Aeronautical and Space Sciences Committee 8 the reference system represented the best
and one held in February 1976 by two subcom- choice based on the information available at
mittees of the House Committee on Science the time, it was not intended to be the last
and Technology.9 word in systems definition; the multitude of
other options that have been proposed since
When DOE was created in 1977, it estab-
also need to be evaluated before ultimately
lished a special Satellite Power System project
settling on a “baseline” system design.
office in the Office of Energy Research to com-
plete the Concept Development and Evalua- OTA was requested by the House Commit-
tion Program. Its final report was released on tee on Science and Technology to pursue an
December 1, 1980.’0 independent study to “assess the potential of
The SPS research, development, and demon- the SPS system as an alternative source of
energy.’” 8 Hence, this study primarily ad-
stration bill, ’ which was introduced in the
dresses the benefits and drawbacks of SPS as
House of Representatives on January 30, 1978,
an energy system. It also identifies the key
reflected a desire by a number of Members of
Congress to accelerate the evaluation of SPS
and to introduce a more ambitious technology “’Solar Power Satellite, ” hearings before the Subcommittee
verification effort. It was reported out by the on Space Science and Applications and the Subcommittee on
Science and Technology Committee after Advanced Energy Technologies and Energy Conservation Re-
search, Development, and Demonstration of the Committee on
Sc[ence and Technology, U.S. House of Representatives, Apr
7
Robert A. Summers (chairman), “Final Report of the ERDA 12-14, 1978 (No, 68), CPO stock No. 28-155-0, 1978,
Task Croup on Satellite Power Station,” report No. ERDA-76/l 48, ‘ ‘Ronnie Flippo, “Solar Power Satellite Research, Develop-
November 1976. ment, and Evaluation Program Act of 1979, ” H R. 2335, Feb. 22,
“’Solar Power for Satellites, ” hearings before the Subcommit- 1979
tee on Aerospace Technology and National Needs of the Com- “’’Satellite Power System Concept Development and Evalua-
mittee on Aeronautical and Space Sciences, U S. Senate, J an, 19, tion Program Reference System Report,” U S. Department of
21,1976, GPO stock No, 66-608-0, 1976 Energy report No DOE/E R-0023r October 1978.
“’Solar Satellite Power System Concepts,” hearings before the ‘sSee the extensive set of references in note 10
Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications and the Sub- “C Woodcock, “Solar Power Satellite System Definition
committee on Energy Research, Development, and Demonstra- Study, ” Boeing Aerospace Co., Johnson Space Center (contract
tion of the Committee on Science and Technology, U.S. House of No NAS 9-151 96), pt. 1, report No. DI 80-22876, December 1977,
Representatives, Feb. 20,1976 (No 67) pt 111, report No D18024071, March 1978
‘“Satellite Power Systems Concept Development and Evalua- “C Hanley, “Satellite Power System (SPS) Concept Defini-
tion Program, “Program Assessment Report Statement of Find- tion, ” Rockwell International Corp., Marshall Space Flight Cen-
ings, ” DOE/E R-0085, November 1980, ter, (contract No. NAS 8-32475), report No. SD78-AP-0023, April
“Ronnie Flippo, “Solar Power Satellite Research, Develop- 1978
ment, and Demonstration Program Act of 1978, ” H .R 10601, J an. “Letter of request to OTA from the House Committee on
30,1978. SC Ience and Technology, Aug 8,1978
Ch. 2—Introduction ● 79

uncertainties of the various SPS concepts and range of viewpoints from participants
related needs for R&D. who have a sense of the issues, the politi-
cal players, and public attitudes involved.
Although SPS would be an energy system it
The energy context of SPS. SPS will suc-
is unique in being a major space system as
ceed or fail in competition with other en-
well. It would therefore require a large new
ergy supply options and in the context of
commitment to the development of space
national and global demand for electric-
technology. Hence, this report also addresses
ity. This workshop developed criteria for
the relationship of an SPS program to other
choosing between technologies and com-
space programs.
pared the major future alternative renew-
OTA has divided the assessment into four able or inexhaustible sources of baseload
major areas: 1) SPS technical alternatives and electrical power. Participants discussed
economics, 2) issues arising in the public de- the many factors that wouId affect future
bate, 3) institutional and international ques- electricity demand and compared breeder
tions, and 4) the programmatic context, i.e., reactors, fusion, terrestrial solar thermal,
the place of SPS within our national energy and solar photovoltaic baseload options.
and space programs. A number of working They also discussed the potential role of
papers were written to provide data for these dispersed photovoltaic systems in meeting
areas. OTA also convened three workshops to part of the Nation’s electrical needs.
refine and amplify the data presented in sev-
Because the SPS concept would use a com-
eral of the working papers: 1) SPS Technical
plex future technology about which there are
Options and Costs, 2) SPS Public Opinion
many uncertainties, this assessment is funda-
Issues, and 3) The Energy Context of SPS.
mentalIy different from an assessment of cur-
● • SPS technical options and costs. The ma- rent technology. While it is thought to be tech-
jor task of the workshop was to assess the nically feasible, many of the details are un-
DOE/NASA reference system from a tech- certain; economic projections or possible en-
nical perspective and to study alterna- vironmental effects based on them are also un-
tives. It discussed the key uncertainties of certain, sometimes by more than an order of
each major system or subsystem that has magnitude. Hence at this point OTA must be
been suggested in SPS literature and satisfied with identifying the key uncertainties
chose four generic systems for further of SPS and, where applicable, suggesting alter-
evaluation in later workshops: 1) the ref- nate strategies for resolving them. The study
erence system, 2) a solid-state variant of also analyzes the major institutional and inter-
the reference system, 3) a laser system, national issues that accompany decisions
and 4) a mirror system. about SPS, i.e., how it may affect national
● SPS public opinion issues. Participants security, the international energy market, the
with experience in analyzing and respond- utilities industry, and how an SPS project
ing to a variety of public interests and might be financed and managed. Although a
concerns met to identify the major issues definitive treatment of any of these issues
that could affect the public perceptions must wait for the future, this report attempts
of SPS. The workshop was not an exercise to lay the foundation for further consideration
in public participation. Rather, it sought a of SPS.
Chapter 3
ISSUES AND FINDINGS
Contents
Page Page

Technical Options .. .... . . . . . . . , . . . 23 Terrestrial Communications and


Microwave Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Electronic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Laser Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Effect on Terrestrial Astronomy
Reflected Sunlight . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 and Aeronomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
SPS Scale . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Space Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
SPS and the Energy Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
SPS ls Not Likely To Be Commercially
LIST OF TABLES
Available Before 2005-15 . . . . . . . . . . 3 0
SPS Would Not Reduce U.S. TableNo. Page
Dependence on lmported Oil . . . . . . . 32 l, Characterization of Four Alternative SPS
Potential Scale of Electrical Power. ,... 32 Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Electricity Demand Would Affect the 2. Major lssues Arising in SPS Debate . . . . . . . . 42
Need for Solar Power Satellites. . . . . . 32 3. Summary of SPS Environrnental Impacts. . . . 43
Comparison to Other Renewable 4. SPS Systerns Land Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Utilities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Nontechnical Considerations . . . . . . . . . 35 LIST OF F GURES
Ownership and Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
Figure No. Page
International implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1 The Reference System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
2 The Solid-State Variant of the Reference
National Security Implications. . . . . . . . . . 38
System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Public Issues... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 3 The Laser Concept . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
4 The Mirror Concept (SOLARES) . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Environment and Health. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
5. Reference System Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Electromagnetic Compatibility . . . . . . . . . 48 6. The Number of Geosynchronous
The Public . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Satellites as a Function of Time . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Space Communications . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 7. The SPS Brightness Profile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
TECHNICAL OPTIONS
What technical options might be available high voltage. It would then be either rectified
for SPS?* to dc and delivered directly to a dc transmis-
sion network in the terrestrial utility grid or
A number of technical options for the solar
used as conventional ac power. The rectenna
power satellite (SPS) have been proposed. Be-
covers a ground area of 102 km 2 and would re-
cause SPS is a developing technology, the spe-
quire an “exclusion area” around it of an addi-
cific design parameters of each of these ap-
tional 72 km2 to protect against exposure to
proaches are evolving rapidly as research con-
low-level microwaves. The beam density at the
tinues. Hence no single option is completely
center of the rectenna is 23 milliwatts per
defined, nor are there detailed systems studies
square centimeter (mW/cm 2). The beam is
of any designs other than the National Aero-
shaped in such a way that at the edge of the ex-
nautics and Space Administration/Department
clusion area it reaches 0.1 mW/cm2.
of Energy (NASA/DOE) “reference system”
that uses microwaves for transmitting energy For the given set of design assumptions for
from space to Earth. The reference design is the reference system, i.e., beam density, taper,
the basis for the NASA/DOE environmental, so- and frequency, the maximum power per trans-
cietal, and comparative assessments. The two mitter-receiver combination would be 5,000
other major SPS variants depend on laser trans- MW. Except for a small seasonal variation in
mission of power from space and on reflected output due to the variation of the Sun’s dis-
sunlight. tance from the Earth, and short periods of
shadowing by the Earth near the time of the
Microwave Transmission spring and fall equinoxes, each reference sys-
tem satellite could be expected to deliver the
The Reference System Design maximum amount of power to the grid approx-
imately 90 percent of the time. This power
The reference system satellite conceptual
design consists of a 55 square kilometer level was selected by NASA/DOE for the ref-
( k m2)** flat array of photovoltaic solar cells erence system in the belief that it would pro-
located in the geostationary orbit 35,800 km vide energy at the lowest cost. 1 n subsequent
above the Earth’s Equator (fig. 1). The cells discussions it is used to consider the impact of
convert solar energy into direct-current (de) the reference system design on utilities and
electricity that is conducted to a 1-km diame- their systems; however, the power level could
be set at any value permitted by the design
ter microwave transmitting antenna mounted
at one end of the photovoltaic array. Micro- constraints.
wave transmitting tubes (klystrons) convert the The reference system, which was developed
electrical current to radio-frequency power at to provide a base for further studies and is now
2.45 gigaHertz (GHZ), and transmit it to Earth. several years old, is far from an optimum
A ground antenna receives the electromag- microwave system and could be substantially
netic radiation and rectifies it back to direct improved. In addition, alternative concepts
current; hence its designation “rectenna.” The that depend on laser transmission or passive
direct-current (de) power can be inverted to reflection of sunlight each offer certain
alternating-current (ac) and “stepped up” to specific benefits over the microwave designs.
Because none of these alternatives are as well
*See ch. 5. defined as the reference system, they are
**Equivalent to about 13,600 acres discussed here in more general terms.

23
24 . Solar Power Satellites

Figure 1 .—The Reference System

Array
structure

Solar cell array

Transmitting antenna subarray

DC-RF
power amps

Antenna waveguides

SOURCE: C. C. Kraft, “The Solar Power Satellite Concept,” NASA publication No. JSCp14898, July 1979.

The Solid-State Variant Laser Transmission


Using solid-state devices that convert elec- Lasers constitute an obvious alternative to
tricity from the satellite’s solar array directly microwaves for the transmission of power over
to microwave power would be a possible alter- long distances. Compared with microwaves,
native to the reference system’s klystrons. lasers have a much smaller beam diameter;
Such devices might have a longer working life- since the aperture area of both transmitting
time and require less mass in orbit; when cou- and receiving antennas decreases as the square
pled with photovoltaic cells in a “sandwich” of the wavelength, light from an infrared
design, they would also allow for a much larger wavelength laser can be transmitted and re-
transmitting antenna (the entire surface area ceived by apertures over 100 times smaller in
of the solar cells would, in effect, be the anten- diameter than a microwave beam. This re-
na), smaller earthside antennas, and lower duces the size and mass of the space segment
power delivered to Earth per satellite (i.e., and the area of the ground segment. Perhaps
about 1,000 MW per rectenna). In combina- even more important, the great reduction in
tion, these effects would make it possible to aperture area permits consideration of fun-
position rectennas closer to the cities, which damentally different systems. For example:
would be the major users of SPS generated
● It would become possible to use low Sun-
power, than would the reference system
synchronous rather than high geostation-
design.
ary orbits for the massive space power
Solid-state devices are now in the very early conversion subsystem (a Sun-synchronous
stages of being evaluated for SPS application. orbit is a near-polar low Earth orbit that
It is still unclear whether they would be able to keeps the satellite in full sunlight all the
reach the efficiency and cost goals that would time while the Earth rotates beneath it).
be necessary for SPS. The primary laser would then beam its
Ch.3— Issues and Findings ● 25

Figure 2.—The Solid-State Variation of the Reference System

Reflected sunlight
cell

Solid-state
amplifier
panel

Solar array/microwave antenna


sandwich panels
SOURCE: G. M. Hanley, et al., “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept Definition Study First Performance report No. SS D 79-0163, NASA MSFC
contract No. NAS8-32475, Oct. 10, 1979.

power up to low-mass laser mirror relays ● The potentially small size of the receiving
in geostationary orbit for reflection down station would make it possible to employ
to the Earth receiver. This arrangement, multiple locations close to the points of
while complex, would considerably re- use, thereby simplifying the entire ground
duce the cost of transportation, since the distribution and transmission system.
bulk of the system would be in low Earth ● Laser power transmission would avoid the

orbit rather than in geostationary orbit. It problem of microwave biological effects


also could be built with smalIer trans- and would reduce overall interference
portation vehicles than the reference sys- with other users of the electromagnetic
tem’s planned heavy lift launch vehicle spectrum.
(HLLV).
A laser SPS would suffer from three impor-
● A laser system might be able to operate
tant disadvantages:
efficiently and economically on a smaller
scale (100 to 1,000 MW). Thus, it would ● Absorption of laser radiation. Infrared r a -
offer the flexibility of power demand diation is subject to severe degradation or
matching on the ground, making possible absorption by clouds. A baseload system,
higher degrees of redundancy and a unlike the microwave option, would re-
smaller and therefore less costly system quire considerable storage capacity to
demonstration project. make up for interruptions. Multiple re-

83-316 0 - 81 - 3
26 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 3.—The Laser Concept (One Possible Version)


1Solar power satellite Relay unit(s)

Ground site

Synchronous r e l a y s

Occulted
power Sun
satellites
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 27

ceivers at different locations to achieve reach the efficiencies and reliability necessary
some redundancy are also possible, but for an SPS.
expensive (seeUtilities, ch. 9).
● Efficiency. Current high-power, continu- Reflected Sunlight
ous-wave lasers are only capable of very Instead of placing the solar energy conver-
low overall power conversion efficiencies
sion system in orbit, large orbiting mirrors
(less than 25 percent). Converting the
could be used to reflect sunlight to ground-
beam back into electricity is also ineffi-
based solar conversion systems. Thus, the sys-
cient, though progress in this area has tern’s space segment could be much simpler
been rapid. The relatively undeveloped and therefore cheaper and more reliable.
status of laser generation and conversion
means that considerable basic and ap- One such system would consist of a number
plied research would be needed to deter- of roughly circular plane mirrors in various
mine the feasibility of a laser SPS. nonintersecting Earth orbits, each of which
directs sunlight to the collectors of a number
● Health and safety hazard. The beam inten-
of ground-based solar-electric powerplants as
sity would be great enough to constitute a
it passes over them. Conversion from sunlight
health and safety hazard. Preventive
measures could include a tall perimeter to electricity would occur on the surface of the
wall, and/or a warning and defocusing Earth.
system. In one approach, (the so-called “SOLARES
baseline” concept) about 916 mirrors, each 50
Several types of continuous wave lasers cur- k m2 in area, would be required for a global
rently exist. Of these, the most highly devel- power system projected to produce a total of
oped and most appropriate laser for SPS would 810 gigawatts (GW) (more than three times cur-
be the electric discharge laser (EDL). At pres- rent U S. production) from six individual sites.
ent, EDL models have achieved only modest This is not necessarily the optimum SOLARES
power levels and relatively low efficiencies system. It was selected here to demonstrate
when operated in a continuous mode. the magnitude of power that might be
achieved with such a system. However, a num-
Another future option that has been consid- ber of different mirror sizes, orbits, and ground
ered is the solar-pumped laser. In this device, station sizes are possible. A more feasible op-
concentrated sunlight is used directly as the tion would be a lower orbit system (2,100 km)
exciting agent for the laser gases. Although a to supply 10 to 13 GW per terrestrial site. One
solar-pumped laser has been built and oper- of the principal features of the SOLARES con-
ated successfully at NASA Langley, it would re- cept is that it could be used for either solar-
quire considerable basic research, develop- thermal or solar photovoltaic terrestrial plants.
ment, and testing before it could be a realistic The fact that energy conversion would take
prospect for SPS. place on the surface of the Earth keeps the
mass in orbit small, thereby reducing trans-
Free electron lasers (FELs) offer another
portation costs.
possible means of transmitting power from
space. These new devices are powered by a However, a major disadvantage of such a
beam of high-energy electrons which oscillate mirror system would be that the entire system
in a magnetic field in such a way that they would require an extremely large contiguous
radiate energy in a single direction. Although land area for the terrestrial segment (see table
the FEL has been demonstrated experimental- 4, p. 47). As with the laser designs, transmission
Iy, it is too early to predict whether it would through the atmosphere would be subject to
28 • Solar Power Satellites

Figure 4.–The Mirror Concept (SOLARES)

Photo credit National Aeronautics and Space Administration

SOURCE: K. W. Billman, “Space Orbiting Light Augmentation Reflector Energy System: A Look at Alternative Systems,”
SPS Program Review, June 1979.

reduction or elimination by cloud cover. It trical power to the United States or to other
would also illuminate much of the night sky countries. However, its very scale is seen by
(see issue on electromagnetic interference) as many as a serious drawback to deployment.
seen by observers within a 150-km radius of the The utilities here and abroad would find it
groundsite center. hard to accommodate power in 5,000 MW
blocks (see Utilities, ch. 9), and the space
transportation system needed to build and
SPS Scale maintain such a massive system would be very
expensive. Thus, it is of considerable interest
As presently conceived, the reference sys- to investigate ways in which the scale of the
tem is a large-scale project that has the poten- various components, and of the system itself,
tial of delivering hundreds of gigawatts of elec- couId be reduced to a more manageable size.
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 29

The laser system would offer the potential The most detailed cost estimates have been
for the most substantial reductions, both in made by NASA for the reference system (fig. 5):
overall system size and in the size of the first $102.4 billion to achieve the first complete
demonstration project. This reduction in scale reference system satellite, and $11.3 billion to
might also bring with it a concomitant reduc- construct each satellite thereafter.
tion of costs. There are also a number of possi-
These estimates included the costs of the en-
ble ways in which to reduce the physical scale
tire transportation system, the costs of estab-
of portions of the microwave system. How-
lishing the launch sites and construction facil-
ever, economies of scale tend to drive micro-
ities in low-Earth and geosynchronous orbits,
wave systems to sizes of 1,000 MW output or
as well as all of the component development
more.
SPS would require a massive industrial infra- Figure 5.—Reference System Costs
a

structure for space transportation and con- (dollars in billions)


struction and for related terrestrial construc-
tion, comparable in scale to that developed for
existing ground-based coal and nuclear sys-
tems.
● Space transportation. The reference sys-
tem assumes the construction and use of a
large third-generation, shuttle-type trans-
portation system. Construction of a single
reference system satellite (silicon photo-
voltaics) would require approximately 190
flights of an HLLV. However, launch vehi-
cles somewhat larger than the current
shuttle, but smaller than the HLLV, are ca-
pable of operating with less load per flight
but with many more flights and might be
more economical. I n addition, an inter-
mediate size vehicle would be more ap-
propriate for other uses in space. No other
currently planned space project envisions
using vehicles the size of an HLLV.
● Space construction. SPS would require
construction bases in low Earth orbit and,
for some designs, at geostationary orbit. It
might be possible to achieve substantial
cost reductions by constructing the satel-
lites in low Earth orbit and transporting
them to geostationary orbit, rather than
by constructing them in geostationary or-
bit.

costs
Although the costs of many SPS components
have been estimated by a number of different a
NASA estimates— 1977 dollars.
agencies, it is not yet possible to establish
them with any reasonable level of confidence. SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
30 ● Solar Power Satellites

costs. However, they do not include interest on transmitter of the reference system; however,
the invested capital or the potential use of SPS some of the development cost could con-
facilities for other space or terrestrial projects. ceivably be borne by other laser applications,
According to one possible development sce- e.g., directed energy weapons or inertial fu-
nario generated by NASA (see fig. 24, p. 93), in- sion. The cost of a laser demonstration satel-
cluding interest of 10 percent per year more lite might well be less than the reference sys-
than doubles the development cost of SPS. tem demonstrator. Because of the relatively
low mass and ease of construction and opera-
By using a smaller capacity transportation
tion of a SOLARES system, it may prove to be
system (assuming more flights per satellite),
much more attractive than other alternatives.
and apportioning the development costs of
Cost estimates suggest that if the cost of ter-
generic space technology among all the space
restrial photovoltaics can reach the goals im-
programs that benefit from it, it might well be
plied by reference system estimates, the costs
possible to deploy a single reference satellite
of a total SOLARES system would be less than
for $40 billion to $50 billion, or roughly one-
the reference system. More exact costs for the
half of the above estimate.
SPS await further information on the details of
Other systems might cost more or less than the preferred system. Whatever system might
the reference system, depending on the state be chosen, it is clear that the startup costs
of development of the alternative technol- would be in the tens of billions. How much of
ogies (see table 1). For example, since lasers this cost would have to be borne by the U.S.
would need considerable development before taxpayer depends on the breadth and depth of
they would be suitable for use in a laser- industrial and international interest in the de-
powered SPS, they would be likely to be more velopment of SPS (see ch. 7).
expensive to develop than the microwave

SPS AND THE ENERGY FUTURE


How could SPS flt into the U.S. energy future SPS Is Not Likely To Be Commercially
(2000-30)?* Available Before 2005-15
SPS will ultimately be accepted or rejected
Experience with other new electric generat-
in the full context of future electrical demand
ing technologies indicates that new technol-
and supply technologies. It would compete
ogies take from 30 to 45 years to become a
with other renewable or inexhaustible energy
significant source of electrical capacity in the
sources such as hydro, wind, terrestrial solar,
utility grid. SPS is unlikely to constitute a ma-
ocean thermal energy conversion, fusion, fis-
jor exception to this rule of thumb. If a deci-
sion breeder, and geothermal. Their tech-
sion to develop SPS were made, some 15 to 25
nologies are all quite different; some serve a
years of development, engineering, and dem-
demand for baseload, some for peaking or
onstration would be needed to reach a com-
intermediate needs. Together, they would con-
mercial SPS. However, because of the many
stitute a mix of technologies designed to sup-
uncertainties surrounding SPS, it is not yet
ply the full range of electrical needs for the
possible to make a development decision. If,
United States. SPS must be considered in light
after considerable further research a decision
of its potential contribution to this mix, as well
is made in the next decade to proceed with
as of future electrical demand.
SPS, then it could be commercially available in
the period between 2005 and 2015. Several
*See ch. 6, Energy section. years of operational testing beyond that would
Table 1.—Characterization of Four Alternative SPS Systems

Information matrix Reference design Solid state Laser system SOLARES (“baseline”)a
costs
R&D $400 million More R&D needed than reference system More R&D needed than reference system Relatively simple technical lower cost
Demonstration $102 billion DDT&E (one sateilite) b
Smaller, demonstration with shuttle? $44billion, demonstration with shuttle?
Construction $11,5 billion/satellite Unit cost lower, smaller rectenna $3 billion satellite (0,5 GW) $1,300 billion for 810 GW total system
Operation $200 million/yr-5GW Greater reliability, long lifetime 25 million/yr-satellite (0.5GW) Higher ground conversion cost
Dollars/kW $2,900 -19,000/kWc $1 ,800 -3,000/kW (probably low) $6,000/kW probably low) $1,500/kW (probably low)
Scale
Satellite size 55 km2 18 km2 5 km2 50 km2
Number of satellites 60 (300 GW total) Not projected Not projected 916 (810 GW total)
Power/satellite 5,000 MW 1,500 MW 500 MW 135,000 MW
Mass 5 X104 tonnes/satellite, O 1 kW/kg Less mass than reference/O 1 kW/kg Less mass than reference/O .05 kW/kg
5
2 x 10 tonnes mirror system 2 kW/kg
Land use rectenna site 174 km2 (including buffer) 50 km2 0.6 km
2
1,000 km
2

x 60=10,440 km 2
2
km 1,000 MW 35 33 1,2 7.4
Energy Electricity Electricity Electricity, onsite generation. Electricity, light
Fairly centralized Less centralized Less centralized Highly centralized
23 mW/cm2 Gaussian distribution Unknown Unknown (10 mW/cm2 at edge) 1.15 kW/m 2 (1 Sun)
Atmosphere
Transmission Ionosphere heating might affect telecommunications Tropospheric heating might modify weather over smaller area; problems with clouds?
Effluents Possible effects include alteration of magnetosphere (AR+); increased water content; LEO orbit, smaller size; smaller launch vehicles
formation of noctilucent clouds; ionosphere depletion
Electromagnetic
interference RFI from direct coupling, spurious noise, and harmonics: impacts on communications, If visible light IS used there may be problems Problem for optical astronomy, optical reflec-
satellites etc from 245 GHz Problem for radio astronomers (GEO obscures portion of for optical astronomy; if Infrared IS used may tions and interference from beam; change
sky always) optical reflections from satellites and LEO stations WiII change the night sky Increase airglow optical reflection from LEO night sky in vicin of sites
satellite
Bioeffects Microwave bioeffects midbeam could cause thermal heating unknown effects of long- Direct beam ocular and skin damage ocular Psychological and physiological effects of 24-
term exposure to low-level microwaves, Ecosystem alteration? Birds avoid/attracted damage from reflections? Other effects? Birds hour illumination not known Possible ocular
to beam? flying through WiII burn up? If visible will hazard if viewed with binoculars? Ecosystem
birds avoid? Ecosystem alterations? alteration
National security
weapons potential GEO gives a good vantage point over hemisphere Direct weapon: as ABM, antisatellite, aimed at Indirect: night illumination psychological–
terrestrial targets possible weather modification
–Provides a lot of power in space platform for surveillance, jamming–
Indirect: power killer
satellite, planes space platform
–Requires developement of Iarge space fleet with/militarv potential– Laser defend self, best, LEO more accessible
Vulnerability Satellites may need self defense system to protect against attack Less ground sites; a lot of mirrors-redun-
Size and distance strong defenses– dancy; individual mirrors fragile; ground sites
still produce power in absence of space
system
International Will require radio frequency allocation and orbit assignment LEO more accessible to U.S.S.R. and high-lahtude countries, smaller parcels of energy make
Smaller parcels of energy make system more system more fiexible
flexible
Meet environmental and health standards?
asmaller saLAREs systems, e g 10 GW/sde would be possible and probably more desirable
b$loz bllllon–NASA estimate–mcludes Investment costs
cEst(mates by Argonne National Laboratory, Office of Technology Assessment, U S Con9ress

SOURCE Offlceof Technology Assessment


32 ● Solar Power Satellites

be needed before utilities developed enough Potential Scale of Electrical Power


confidence in SPS to invest in it for their use
(see ch. 9). The reference system is designed to deliver 5
GW (5,000 MW) of power to each rectenna. If a
60-satellite U.S. fleet were completed, the SPS
SPS Would Not Reduce U.S.
couId deliver a total of 300 GW, an amount
Dependence on Imported Oil nearly one-half the current total U.S. generat-
Currently the biggest energy problem fac- ing capacity. Converted to energy at a capac-
ing the Nation is dependence on unreliable ity factor of 90 percent, a 60-satellite system
sources for imported oil. This dependence will would produce about 8 Qe/yr, more electrical
persist for the next two decades, since our energy than we currently consume from all
domestic supplies will continue to decline. We supply sources (7.5 Qe). An international fleet
now produce about 10 million barrels per day of satelIites could achieve a much greater ca-
(bbl/d) of petroleum liquids and this will likely pacity than this by placing more satellites in
fall to 4 million to 7 million bbl/d by 2000. The geostationary orbit. A SOLARES-type system
supply of abundant domestic energy resources could achieve an even greater generating
such as coal, solar, uranium, and natural gas capacity on an international scale.
can increase but not enough to offset the de-
cline in oil. Over this period our best opportu- other proposals, such as the laser system
nity for reducing dependence on imports will and variants of the microwave system might be
be conservation, which has the potential of economical in somewhat smaller unit sizes
cutting current dependence by more than 50 (500 to 1,000 MW). Precisely how much total
percent. However, the real problem will be the energy they might supply is less clear, how-
substantial reduction in availability of world ever. For example, a laser system supplying
oil for export to the United States. The total power in 1,000 MW units would need 300 such
amount of oil available is not likely to exceed satellites and ground receivers in order to
the current level of 52 million bbl/d and may equal the capacity of a 60-satellite reference
be as much as 15 percent below this level. Fur- system.
ther, overall world demand will likely be higher
because of increased needs by less developed
countries (LDCS), including oil producing coun- Electricity Demand Would Affect the
tries. As a result, the United States will find it Need for Solar Power Satellites
necessary to reduce imported oil dependence
considerably by 2000. This reduction will be The level of electricity demand in the United
even more marked past 2000, when we can ex- States and the world will greatly affect the
pect synthetic fuels from all sources to make a time that new centralized electric generating
substantial contribution. Since the SPS will not technologies, such as SPS, might be needed.
be able to make a significant contribution un- The demand for electricity could vary con-
til well past 2000, it cannot be expected to sub- siderably over the next several decades. For
stitute for foreign oil. However, the satellite the United States, current forecasts show a
could eventually begin to substitute for coal- range in possible electrical demand from less
fired powerplants since coal, too, is a finite than today’s level of 7.5 Qe end-use to more
fuel, and regardless of the outcome of the CO, than 30 Qe by 2030. The demand level will be a
controversy, use of it for electric production major determinant of the rate at which new
will eventually (though probably not for the electric generating technologies need to be
next 100 years) be reduced and reserved for introduced. At the lowest levels, all of our
nonenergy needs, i.e., for plastics, synthetic baseload capacity could easily be supplied by
fiber, etc. hydro and coal or nuclear for well into the 21st
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 33

century provided C0 2 buildup does not pre- Comparison to Other


clude increased coal use. At high demand Renewable Options
levels, however, it is unlikely that any one
Ultimately the United States and the world
technology could provide all the needed base-
will choose or reject SPS as an energy supply
Ioad capacity and several possibilities would
option on the basis of comparative costs as
be needed. In this case, development of SPS
well as environmental and social impacts. OTA
may be attractive, even assuming successful
has generated a number of criteria for the
development of fusion or breeder reactors.
choice of energy technologies and compared
SPS with other renewable or inexhaustible op-
An emerging factor that will strongly affect tions (fusion, nuclear breeder, terrestrial solar
electricity demand is the success in developing thermal, and solar photovoltaic) on the basis
demand technologies that use electricity very of those criteria (see table 16, p. 11 6). What
efficiently. It is likely over the next several emerges from such comparisons is that if the
decades that the price of electricity will come research, development, demonstration, and
close enough to other forms of energy (syn- testing (RDD&T) costs and the estimated cost
thetic fuels, direct solar, etc.) that the relative per installed kilowatt can be lowered sig-
efficiencies of the end-use equipment will de- nificantly, SPS could compete with the alter-
termine which energy form is the cheapest. natives on an economic basis. SOLARES, for
Therefore, electricity demand could grow con- instance, might already be economical com-
siderably if such things as very efficient space pared to conventional nuclear. SPS technical
and water heat pumps, electrochemical indus- uncertainties are much higher than for the
trial processes, and high-capacity storage bat- breeder, but lower than for fusion. Social costs
teries are developed. If these are not forth- are extremely difficult to determine, but if
coming and the conventional ways of using en- research demonstrated the microwave and
ergy–direct combustion of liquid and gaseous Ionizing radiation hazards to be low, SPS couId
fuels–continue to be most prevalent, then substitute low-risk environmental hazards for
electricity demand in the United States wilI not the high risks of coal or nuclear as well as con-
increase rapidly if at al 1. Therefore, the even- tribute to an expanded space program. It
tual need for solar power satellites and other wouId take longer to commercialize than ter-
central electric technologies would be deter- restrial solar or breeder, but less than fusion. I n
mined as much by the development of effi- competition with other technologies, overall
cient electric demand technologies as by its demand for electricity, and the timing of the
economics relative to other electric energy commercial introduction of SPS vis-a-vis other
technologies. options wilI be crucial.

UTILITIES
Would SPS be acceptable to the utilities?* and available as their designers suggest they
could be (90 percent or more), the utilities
The major factors that would affect the util- would welcome them for baseload generation,
ities’ decision about SPS technology are cost, assuming their size and costs were also appro-
reliability, unfamiliarity with space systems, priate. The laser system might be of interest to
and institutional questions. Only demonstra- the utilities if it could be used to repower exist-
tion, and successful experience with an opera- ing thermal facilities. The suggested unit size
tional SPS over several years, would assure the of the laser system (500 to 1,000 MW) would fit
utilities that it is a viable technology for their welI into the present size mix of terrestrial
use. If the microwave systems were as reliable powerplants. A mirror system with its highly
*See ch 9, The Irnpl;cat;ons for the Utility /ndustry section centralized, energy producing facility (10 to
34 ● Solar Power Satellites

100 GW) would be too large for the present 21 and September 21) when the Earth’s
size mix, but would offer the potential for shadow falls across the satellite, a refer-
some flexibility in energy production. Direct ence system satellite would suffer power
electricity and hydrogen generation are both interruption. A number of satellites would
possible in a SOLARES-type energy park. How- be eclipsed at one time. The rate at which
ever, because the SPS would be an integral the eclipsing occurs would cause the SPS
part of the utility grid, it would impose certain power to fall at a rate of about 20 percent
constraints on grid dispatch management. The per minute, much faster than the utility
physical requirements of the rest of the utility grids are expected to be able to respond.
grid would in turn impose constraints on the This could be alleviated by shutting the
design of SPS. Integrating SPS into the grid in- satellite down slowly in advance of the
volves several difficult system problems. shadow, with a consequent extra small
loss of SPS power for the period, or by
Microwave Transmission. —
including buffer storage as suggested
● Stability. Because a microwave SPS is an
above. If daily load curves maintain their
electronic system, not a mechanical one,
current shape, the eclipse would occur
any power fluctuations due to beam-
near the daily minimum (local midnight),
pointing errors or to large-scale compo-
necessitating less backup capacity than
nent failure would be rapid (the order of a
wouId otherwise be the case.
second or less). The rest of the grid would
In principle, SPS could be designed to
only be able to respond relatively slowly
follow the daily load, but because of its
(minutes), creating difficulties in control-
high capital costs it would be uneco-
ling the frequency of current and overall
nomical to do so. It is designed to deliver
power levels in the grid. The importance
continuous, baseload power. Hence the
of this difficulty is directly dependent on
burden of following any shifts in load
the size of the SPS contribution. The
would be placed on conventional terres-
smaller the output from a satellite-
trial intermediate load units in the utility
rectenna combination, the easier it will be
system.
to control. Some, if not all of this draw- ● Microwave beam positional errors. The
back of the microwave system could be
beam could be centered on the rectenna
alleviated by including short-term battery
by means of a pilot beam directed to-
storage to act as a buffer between the SPS
wards the satellite antenna from the
rectenna output and the grid. The stability
center of the rectenna. Because the signal
of the grid would not then depend on the
would take about 0.2 seconds to sense a
stability of the microwave mode of trans-
position error and correct the pointing of
mission. However, buffer storage would
the beam, the antenna output would be
increase system costs. The optimum
subject to a potential frequency variation
amount of storage that might be needed
of about 5Hz (5 cycles/see). Power varia-
has not been determined, but cost esti-
tions of tens of megawatts from this
mates range from 0.5 to 5 percent of the
source could make utility grid manage
total system costs.
ment extremely difficult. Weather fronts
Load following and variations of SPS pow-
could adversely affect the position of the
er. The rectenna output would vary sea-
beam, but the resultant power variation
sonally depending on the distance of the
would be slow. Again, buffer storage
Earth from the Sun. The amount of the
could be used to alleviate these dif-
variation, and the rate at which SPS power
ficulties.
changes, would in principle pose no tech-
nical problem for the grid. Because the difficulties posed by each of
Because any satellite that lies in a geo- the above factors increase with size, the
stationary orbit experiences eclipses (1 to utilities might not find the single 5,000-MW
72 minutes) around the equinoxes (March unit proposed by the reference system accept-
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 35

able even in the future. Although nuclear, fu- parks capable of producing more than 100
sion, or coal energy parks having about 5,000 GW. Smaller parks of 10 GW might also
MW total capacity have been proposed, they be possible. Even the relatively smaller
would be composed of several smaller units, parks would necessitate major changes in
each of which are only about 1,000-MW capac- current utility operation and load man-
ity. In addition, in planning for overall system agement. Among other changes, such
reliability, utilities generally use the criterion parks would necessitate building an exten-
that no single unit in the system can account sive new network of major transmission
for more than 10 to 15 percent of the total lines to distribute electrical power from
system. Thus, in order to place a 5,000-MW remote receiving areas to end-users.
unit in the grid, the grid should have a total
In principle, all of the technical problems
system capacity of 33,000 to 50,000 MW. At
for the different systems are resolvable at
current rates of electrical growth (3.2 percent
some cost. However, they would require con-
per year), only the Tennessee Valley Authority
siderable further study and testing as well as a
(TVA), the country’s largest utility, will have a
close look at the system economics.
grid large enough to accommodate a 5,000-
MW SPS in 2000. TVA currently has a capacity
of 23,000 MW, but it has stopped construction Nontechnical Considerations
on several new powerplants because of slower
In addition to the technical difficulties that
demand growth. A national power grid might
SPS can be expected to face, there are a
alleviate the problem of utility grids being too
number of potential institutional barriers to
small to accommodate a 5,000-MW SPS.
SPS acceptance by U.S. utilities:
Laser Transmission.— From the utilities’ per- ● SP5 as a space system. The current utility
spective, the most serious difficulty facing
management and regulatory infrastruc-
laser transmission is absorption by clouds.
ture is much more receptive to the ter-
Although in a few locations in the country it restrial renewable or inexhaustible op-
appears to be technically possible to switch
tions— breeder reactor and fusion for
from a cloud covered area to one that is cloud-
baseload, and solar thermal and solar
free, utilities would have little incentive to
photovoltaic for intermediate and peak-
construct the extra facilities to accommodate ing loads.
such switching unless the economic benefits ● Regulatory framework. Utilities are cur-
were commensurate with the expense of the
rently regulated on a State or local basis.
extra facilities. In general, the various sites are
SPS could be expected to hasten the move
unlikely to be all in the same service area, fur-
towards greater centralization of the reg-
ther complicating the ability of the utility to
ulatory process (i.e. Federal level). A
follow the load.
SOLARES-type SPS, because of its large
Mirror Reflection. — centralized energy parks, would make a
● Reflection of sunlight from space suffers high degree of centralization mandatory.
from the same disadvantage as that of the However, other SPS modes may also lead
laser option: the reflected beam could to more centralized regulation, particu-
easily be degraded or occluded by cloud larly if the SPS were constructed and man-
cover. it has been suggested that the addi- aged by a federally chartered monopoly
tional radiant energy might be enough to (see Ownership and Finance) or Govern-
dissipate clouds, but this might have ment agency.
detrimental environmental effects and Nuclear powerplants are currently regu-
alter weather patterns over a wide region lated at the Federal and State level for
around the energy park. health, safety, and environmental im-
● As conceived in the “baseline” case, the pacts. However, their effect on the rate
mirror system would require large energy structure is regulated at the State and
36 . Solar Power Satellites

local level. An SPS corporation might lead to international law that requires national
to Federal involvement in setting rates for governments to bear the responsibility for
power as well as regulating SPS technol- space activities, even when carried out by
ogy. The utilities and local regulatory nongovernmental entities, some degree of
agencies could be expected to resist any Federal supervision and involvement will
pressures toward greater Federal involve- be required in any case.
ment in what has traditionally been their R&D and operating phases. Raising private
province. capital would be especially difficult dur-
ing the research, development, and dem-
Ownership and Finance onstration phase. A successful prototype
demonstration would probably be nec-
Electric utilities currently face a serious essary to attract private investment. If SPS
problem raising the capital necessary to install is judged to be a feasible energy option,
new generating capacity. Because of this, and prototype development is likely to require
because they lack launch and space construc- Federal funding, perhaps via taxes, similar
tion capability, they are unlikely to own or to the Interstate Highway System trust
operate the space segment of an SPS system fund, or through “Space Bonds.” After
directly; they could more easily be responsible that, it is likely that Government loans or
for the ground receivers. This raises the ques- guarantees would be required, at a mini-
tion of how domestic SPSs would be financed mum. At some stage the technology could
and managed. be turned over to the private sector. In-
stances of such practices have included
The central issues are: 1 ) the degree and kind
nuclear reactors, first developed for mili-
of government involvement; and 2) how to dif-
tary use in submarines; and telecommuni-
ferentiate between the R&D and construction/
cations technology, funded by NASA and
operation phases.
then turned over to Comsat and commer-
● Government involvement. The arguments cial carriers. Clarification of current pat-
for Government financing and ownership ent provisions for NASA and other Gov-
wouId be that the high fronnt-end costs and ernment research contracts would facili-
high-risk long pay-back times inhibit pri- tate such transfers. Upcoming examples
vate sector investment, and that lack of that should be examined for their appli-
competition would necessitate Govern- cability to SPS are the Space Shuttle,
ment ownership. Certain aspects of TVA which has been developed by NASA but
or NASA could provide possible guidance may eventually be turned over to private
for SPS ownership and operation. enterprise, due to restrictions on NASA
On the other hand, it can be argued that operation of commercial ventures; the
direct Government involvement is con- newly established U.S. Synfuels Corp.,
trary to American preference for private which is intended to provide money for a
enterprise, that centralized control would variety of private synthetic fuels ventures;
lead to inefficiencies, and that U.S. Gov- and the European Space Agency’s (ESA)
ernment ownership would make military Ariane launcher, which will be operated
participation far more likely. Further- by a private consortium called Ariane-
more, it is feared that Government invest- space. Private joint ventures, such as
ment in SPS would drain resources from Satellite Business Systems or the Alaska
other energy technologies that need pipeline consortium, are another possible
Federal support. A Government-chartered way to establish a “Solarsat” Corp. for the
but privately owned and operated com- construction and operating phases.
pany similar to Comsat, or a regulated A combination of the suggested mod-
private monopoly such as AT&T, might be els, involving different degrees of Govern-
preferred. Since the United States is party ment and private financing, may be more
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 37

feasible than any of the specific models the ability of an SPS organization to at-
mentioned. Providing for a smooth transi- tract foreign capital and to involve for-
tion between public and private invest- eign participants at early stages of devel-
ment phases would be an important con- opment. (See International Implications.)
cern. A critical consideration should be

INTERNATIONAL IMPLICATIONS
What are the international implications of stant or rise only SIightly over the next 30 years.
solar power satellites?* On a global scale, this might indicate a rise less
Development and construction of an SPS than that predicted by IIASA. Meeting this de-
system would necessarily involve a number of mand will be particularly difficult in energy-
international dimensions. At a minimum, cur- scarce areas such as Western Europe, Japan,
rent and future international treaties and and much of Latin America, Africa, and South
agreements, especially those dealing with the Asia. Countries in these regions will be
allocation of the electromagnetic spectrum, especially interested in SPS development.
would require consultation with foreign states Noneconomic Impact. -The noneconomic
and multinational organizations. Beyond this, effects of SPS would influence the decisions of
there may be good reasons to consider an ac- the major space powers, the United States and
tive multilateral regime to regulate, build, the U.S.S.R. The prestige of such a major space
and/or operate the SPS. and energy accomplishment would be consid-
International organizations, multinational erable. The military advantages of high-capac-
corporations, and domestic interest groups will ity launch vehicles and a large energy-produc-
all be involved in SPS decisions. However, due ing platform in high orbit would be significant,
to the SPS’s cost, benefits, and military/foreign even if SPS were not used for direct military
policy impacts, which would directly affect purposes.
the vital national interests of other nations in- The United States and the U.S.S.R. both
volved, such decisions will ultimately be made have extensive conventional energy sources–
at the national level by political leaders. oil, coal, oil shale, and uranium. Thus, neither
Economic lmpact.– If successful, the SPS country can be expected to develop an SPS
promises to deliver significant amounts of unilaterally unless unpredictable obstacles to
electricity y. Estimates of future global elec- the use of coal and/or nuclear power develop.
tricity demand by the International Institute SPS is therefore likely to be pursued in con-
for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) indicate junction with foreign partners who contribute
that, even with low rates of economic growth, capital and expertise and buy completed satel-
electricity usage will increase by a factor of 4 lites. Both Western Europe and Japan, who
over the next 50 years. Regional variations in have extensive space programs and a history of
growth rates will be considerable, with cooperation with the United States, would be
developed countries increasing at a much probable partners. Soviet secrecy and military
slower rate than developing ones. Recent domination of their space program makes in-
studies for the United States that take into ac- ternational cooperation on their part unlikely.
count marked reductions in usage rates, such International Cooperation.– Experience with
as the National Academy of Sciences’ Energy multilateral organizations suggests that estab-
in Transition 1985-2010 indicate that demand
in the developed countries may remain con- I The global estimates cited in Energy in Transition, however,
are similar to I IASA’S; a rise of three to five times in electricity
consumption by 2010. See Energy in Transition, National
*See ch. 7. Academy of Sciences, 1979, p. 626.
38 . Solar Power Satellites

Iishing and running a successful international development may be difficult or politically im-
venture would be difficult. Reconciling the dif- possible; the precedent set by the uncom-
ferent interests of the participants regarding pleted Law of the Sea negotiations should be
overall system design, decision making, and carefulIy considered.
allocation of contracts and financial returns
Military Impact. – The military uses of an SPS,
would be time-consuming and might compro-
especially for directed-energy weaponry,
mise timely and efficient results. The example
would be restricted by the 1972 Anti-Ballistic
of Intelsat suggests the importance of strong
Missile (ABM) Treaty and by provisions in the
national support by interested parties, of
1967 Treaty on Principles Governing the Ac-
independent corporate management, and a
tivities of States in the Exploration and Use of
profit-incentive. However, it is unlikely that an
Outer Space banning weapons of “mass
agency modeled on Intel sat could be dupli-
destruction” in orbit. Although SPS would not
cated today for SPS. In particular, the role of
lend itself to efficient use as a weapons-
LDCs would be greater and could be disruptive
system, * objections to the SPS on military
unless North-South conflicts can be kept from
grounds, and demands for inspection and/or
dominating day-to-day decisions. Strong
redesign to preclude military uses, can be ex-
leadership by the United States and the Orga-
pected. Multilateral development would alle-
nization of Economic Cooperative Devel-
viate many such problems.
opment partners would be required to main-
tain an effective program. Foreign Interests.—To date, space agencies
and private firms in foreign countries such as
International Law.– International law cur-
England, France, West Germany, and Japan,
rently requires allocation of satellite frequen-
cies and geostationary positions by the inter- along with ESA, have expressed interest in SPS.
Most foreign studies have focused on regional
national Telecommunication Union (ITU). If
applications; technical and operational studies
SPS were to interfere with global communica-
tions, this could be a major obstacle to gaining have been done almost exclusively in the
ITU approval. ownership and control of the United States. Soviet interest has been ex-
pressed for several years, with several tech-
geostationary orbit has not been completely
resolved, and attempts by equatorial states to nical papers published, but no details are
known. Third World interest has been informal
claim sovereignty over it could hamper devel-
and cautiously favorable. Future discussion at
opment of any geostationary SPS. The propos-
ed Moon Treaty, which calIs for an interna- the United Nation’s Committee on the Peace-
ful Uses of Outer Space and other interna-
tional regime based on the principle of the
tional bodies will be forthcoming. Any further
Common Heritage of Mankind, provides a
precedent for international control over space U.S.-sponsored study of SPSs must take into
resources, and may affect plans to construct account international participation in SPS
development, and demand for SPS power, in
SPS from lunar materials. In each of these
order to evaluate properly the feasibility of
cases it can be expected that future LDCs will
SPS programs.
seek to gain leverage over any SPS regime by
controlling access to space. Accommodating ——.
LDC interests in a manner compatible with SPS ‘See ch 7, Military Uses of SPS section

NATIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS


What are the national security implications The military importance of SPS would derive
of SPS?* from its very large size, its geostationary or-
bital position (for certain designs), and its abili-
ty to provide tremendous amounts of power.
*For extended discussion see ch, 7 Aside from the important result of reducing
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 39

the user state’s dependence on imported The use of nuclear weapons outside of a ma-
energy, SPS would be strategically significant jor nuclear exchange would carry great dan-
as a target, as the catalyst for new space gers of escalation. Any attack, nuclear or con-
transportation and construction capabilities, ventional, would depend on perceptions of
and as a possible weapons-system. whether SPS is considered part of national ter-
ritory and how leaders would react to such a
Vulnerability. –A full-scale SPS system
provocation. The analogy to ships on the high
wouId constitute a high-value target for enemy
sea suggests that an SPS in orbit might be con-
action. Whether an SPS would in fact be
sidered fair game even short of full-scale war.
targeted in the event of hostilities will depend
Attacks on SPS would also be affected by
above all on how crucial it is to a country’s
whether the SPS was manned; destroying an
electrical supply. Can SPS power be made up
unmanned craft might be undertaken as a rela-
from other sources? Is the attacker vulnerable
tively unprovocative demonstration of will. At
to a counter-attack in kind? Best estimates are
present, neither the United States nor the
that an SPS system would be unlikely to con-
U.S.S.R. has the ability to attack objects in
stitute more than 10 to 20 percent of total
geosynchronous orbit, but both are working on
generating capacity, in the countries that use
various antisatellite devices and there appear
SPS, over the next 50 years. Holding SPS to this
to be no insurmountable obstacles to their
percent would make it possible to replace SPS
development.
power from conventional reserve capacity.
However, usage could be much higher in spe- Defense of space craft is possible through:
cific regions or industries. A widespread na- 1) maneuverability, 2) hardening, and 3) anti-
tional grid could alleviate the threat of SPS missile defenses.
outages. In general, SPS would be no more
The SPS would be too large and fragile to
VuInerable than other major energy systems.
evade attack. Hardening against explosives or
SPSs could be attacked in a number of ways: EMP bursts would add significantly to weight
1) by ground-launched missiles carrying nu- and costs, and could not be effective against a
clear or conventional warheads, 2) by orbiting determined attack. Stationing missile or satel-
antisatellite platforms, 3) by ground- or space- lite defenses on a geostationary SPS, whether
based directed-energy weapons, 4) by strewing directed-energy weapons or antimissile mis-
debris in the satellite’s path, and 5) by inter- siles, would be feasible due to the power
fering with or redirecting the SPS’s energy generated by the SPS and its position at the top
transmission beam. of a 35,800-km “gravity well”. However, such
weapons would have unavoidable offensive
The large size of most SPS options would
capabilities and would therefore invite attack.
make it difficuIt for conventional explosives to
Defense of civilian SPSs could probably be
do serious damage. Lasers would likely be
best done by independent military forces, on
more effective. Strewing debris in geosyn-
the ground or in space, rather than by turning
chronous orbit would destroy a reference
the SPS itself into a space-fortress.
system SPS, but also affect many other targets,
including friendly and neutral spacecraft. Receiving antennas or (for the mirror-
Beam interference would be less damaging system) PV ‘parks’ would make unattractive
and would require special preparation to pro- targets due to their large size and redundancy;
tect against. Nuclear weapons could damage they would certainly be no more vulnerable
SPSs by direct blast, and also by the electro- than other generating facilities. It should be
magnetic pulse (EMP) effect, which might noted that the SOLARES system could con-
overload the satellite’s electrical systems — a tinue to produce power, albeit at approximate-
large (1 megaton or more) nuclear explosion ly one-fifth rated capacity, by operating on
could damage a photovoltaic SPS at ranges up ambient sunlight even if the space mirror
to hundreds of kilometers. system were destroyed.
40 . Solar Power Satellites

Military Uses. –The military usefulness of an Such provisions might be needed even if SPS
SPS stems from: 1) the launchers and other fa- would not be militarily useful, but was never-
cilities used to construct the satellite portion; theless perceived to be a military or political
2) the energy beams used by the SPS to trans- threat.
mit power; and 3) its strategic orbital location.
Using an SPS directly against targets on the
HLLVS or other transportation and construc- ground would ease tracking requirements.
tion systems would be perhaps the most direct High-energy lasers (H EL) or particle-beams
military benefit of SPS. These could be used by could conceivably be used to destroy quickly
the military to build large space platforms for tactical targets such as ships, planes, or oil
communications, surveillance, or weaponry. refineries without jeopardizing one’s own per-
Such activities might be disguised by being sonnel or risking the use of nuclear weapons.
carried out during SPS construction, but it is However, SPS lasers used for energy transmis-
unlikely that they could escape detection by sion would probably not make effective
interested parties. Development of such sys- weapons without considerable modification.
tems would be most important, and destabiliz- SPS could also be used to supply electrical
ing, in providing a “break-out” capacity for power to military units in remote areas, and
rapid emergency deployment of military satel- perhaps even directly to ships or planes.
lites by fleets of SPS construction vehicles.
Laser beams built as part of SPS, or more SPS could serve as a platform for certain
militarily efficient weapons placed on the SPS surveillance and communications needs. Be-
but not used in transmitting electricity, could cause of its power, it might be especially
be used as strategic weapons. In recent years suited for conducting jamming and electronic
both the United States and the U.S.S.R. have warfare operations.
undertaken large programs to develop di-
rected-energy weapons for use against satel- SPS platforms, because of their size and
lites and/or international ballistic missiles facilities, would be likely to serve as multipur-
(ICBMs). However, a geostationary SPS is pose space bases similar to major seaports. If
35,800 kilometers distant from low-flying military units used SPS for resupply or rest and
ICBMs. This distance complicates tracking and recreation, it might be difficult to separate
requires very high beam intensities. Much military from civilian uses, or to convince out-
greater effectiveness can be achieved by side observers that SPS was not a military
weapons placed in lower orbits. However, a threat.
geostationary SPS could play a role in supply-
Any such direct uses of SPS would be deter-
ing power to remotely located directed-energy
mined by the way in which future SPSs are
platforms. A laser SPS in low Sun-synchronous
built and managed. Construction by an inde-
orbit, of course, would represent a much
pendent multinational enterprise would re-
greater military potential than one in geosyn-
duce any state’s ability to use an SPS for mili-
chronous orbit.
tary purposes; conversely, unilateral devel-
Use of SPS, even indirectly, for ABM pur- opment would enhance it. Use of SPSs as
poses is currently prohibited by the 1972 ABM weapons platforms by future superpowers
Treaty. A militarily effective SPS would be a would invite considerable foreign criticism,
major factor in strategic planning and would especially if such attempts interfered with
likely be a subject of arms-control negotiations their electricity-generation function. A sudden
between interested states. Provisions for direct diversion of SPS power to the military in time
inspection, or design specifications to reduce of crisis could lead to domestic and/or foreign
an SPS’s military usefulness, could be negoti- electricity shortages, resulting in legal or
ated to reduce the various threats it poses. diplomatic protests.
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 41

PUBLIC ISSUES
The SPS debate: what are the issues arising in plex, and that it poses greater environmental
the public arena?* and military risks while precluding local deci-
sionmaking. Many opponents also maintain
While public awareness of SPS is growing,
that all future energy demand can be easily
most discussion has been confined to a small
met with existing and future terrestrial energy
number of public interest groups and profes-
technologies; there is little need to develop
sional societies. In general, many of the in-
SPS, especially in view of the formidable costs
dividuals and groups who support the develop-
to initiate the technology and the highly uncer-
ment of SPS also advocate a vigorous space
tain cost of the product. The Citizen’s Energy
program. The L-5 Society has been a particu-
Project (CEP) has been an active lobbyist
larly vocal SPS supporter and views the
against Government funding of SPS and has
satelIite system as an important stepping-stone
coordinated the Coalition Against Satellite
in the colonization of space, a goal to which
Power Systems, a network of solar and environ-
the society is dedicated. The SUNSAT Energy mental organizations. Objections to SPS have
Council, a group formed to promote interest in
also been raised by individuals in the profes-
SPS, believes that it is one of the most promis- sional astronomy and space science com-
ing options available for meeting future global
munities who see SPS as a threat to the funding
energy and resource needs. Professional asso-
and practice of their respective sciences. In the
ciations such as the American Institute of future, it is conceivable that antinuclear, anti-
Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) and the
military and tax groups could also join the op-
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engi-
position.
neers (1 E E E), have supported continued re-
search and evaluation of the concept. Public opinion about SPS can be influenced
by a multitude of factors; concerns articulated
Many opponents of SPS are concerned that
today may not be as important in the future. In
it wouId drain resources from the development
addition, in much of the current public discus-
of terrestrial solar technologies. The Solar Lob-
sion, SPS is treated as a U.S. system alone. If
by and other public interest groups argue that
SPS were to be developed on an international
compared to these ground-based solar options,
basis, the flavor of present opinion could
SPS is inordinately large, expensive, and com-
change. Currently, debate about SPS focuses
on the question of R&D funding. This and
‘See ch 9, Issues Arising in the Public Arena section other issues are highlighted in table 2.

ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH


How would SPS affect human health and the effects which are poorly understood at pres-
environment?* ent. The resolution of the uncertainties
associated with these effects is critical to the
As an energy system operating both in space
assessment of the environmental acceptability
and on Earth, SPS involves some rather diverse
of SPS. More research is needed to understand
and unique environmental issues (see table 3).
and quantify these impacts and to investigate
While one advantage of SPS is that it would
modified system designs that would minimize
avoid many of the environmental risks typi-
environmental risks. At present, there are three
cally related to conventional energy options
major areas of concern.
such as nuclear and coal, it would also
generate some unconventional environmental 1. Bioeffects of Electromagnetic Radiation.—
The effects of exposure to SPS power trans-
*See ch. 8. mission and high-voltage transmission lines

83-316 0 - 81 - 4
42 . Solar Power Satellites

Table 2.—Major Issues Arising in SPS Debatea


Pro
R&D funding
. SPS is a promising energy option ● SPS is a very high-risk, unattractive technology
. The Nation should keep as many energy options open as ● Other more viable and preferable energy options exist to meet our
possible future energy demand
● An SPS R&D program is the only means of evaluating the merit ● SPS would drain resources from other programs, especially ter-
of SPS relative to other energy technologies restrial solar technologies and the space sciences
● SPS R&D will yield spinoffs to other programs No matter what the result of R&D, bureaucratic inertia will carry a
Government program too far
cost
● SPS is likely to be cost competitive in the energy market ● SPS is unlikely to be cost competitive without Government subsidy
. Cost to taxpayer is for R&D onIy and accounts for smalI portion ● Like the nuclear industry, SPS would probably require ongoing
of total cost; private sector and/or other nations will invest in pro- Government commitment
duction and maintenance ● Projected costs are probably underestimated considerably
. SPS will produce economic spinoffs ● The amount of energy supplied by SPS does not justify the cost

Environment, health and safety


● SPS is potentialIy less harsh on the environment than other ● SPS risks to humans and the environment are potentially greater
energy technologies, especially coal than those associated with terrestrial solar technologies
● Major concerns include: health hazards of power transmission and
high-voltage transmission lines, land use, electromagnetic inter-
ference, upper atmosphere effects, and “skylab syndrome”
Space
● Space is the optimum place to harvest sunlight and other ● SPS is an aerospace boondoggle; there are better routes to space
resources industrialization and exploration than SPS
● SPS could be an important component or focus for a space ● SPS is an energy system and should not be justified on the basis
program of its applicability to space projects
. SPS could lay the groundwork for space industrialization and/or
colonization
. SPS would produce spinoffs from R&D and hardware to other
space and terrestrial programs
International considerations
● One of the most attractive characteristics of SPS is its potential ● SPS could represent a form of U.S. of industrial nations’ “energy
for international cooperation and ownership imperialism”; it is not suitable for LDCs
. SPS can contribute significantly to the global energy supply ● Ownership of SPS by multinational corporations would centralize
. SPS is one of the few options for Europe and Japan and is well- power
-suited to meet the energy and resource needs of developing
nations
● An international SPS wouId reduce concerns about adverse

military implications

Military implications
● The vulnerability of SPS is comparable to other energy systems ● Spinoffs to the military from R&D and hardware would be signifi-
●SPS has poor weapons potential cant and undesirable
• As a civilian program, SPS would create little military spinoffs ● Vulnerability and weapons potential are of concern

Centralization and scale


● Future energy needs include large as well as small-scale supply ● SPS would augment and necessitate a centralized infrastructure
technologies; urban centers and industry especially cannot be and reduce local control, ownership, and participation in decision-
powered by small-scale systems alone making
. SPS would fit easily into an already centralized grid ● The incremental risk of investing in SPS development is unaccept-
ably high
Future energy demand
● Future electricity demand will be much higher than today ● Future electricity demand could be comparable to or only slightly
● High energy consumption is required for economic growth higher than today’s with conservation
● SPS as one of a number of future electricity sources can con-
● The standard of living can be maintained with a lower rate of
tribute significantly to energy needs energy consumption
. Even if domestic demand for SPS is low, there is a global need
● There is little need for SPS; demand can be met easily by existing
for SPS technologies and conservation
● By investing in SPS development, we are guaranteeing high energy
consumption, because the costs of development would be so great
arguments mainly focus on the SPS reference sYstem
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 43

Table 3.—Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts


System component Occupational health
characteristics Environmental impact Public health and safety and safety
Power transmission
Microwave — bIonospheric heating could — b Effects of Iow-level —Higher risk than for
disrupt telecommunications. chronic exposure to micro- public; protective
Maximum tolerable power waves are unknown. clothing required for
density is not known. — Psychological effects of terrestrial worker.
Effects in the upper microwave beam as weapon. —Accidental exposure to
ionosphere are not known. —Adverse aesthetic effects high-intensity beam in
—Tropospheric heating could on appearance of night sky. space potentially severe
result in minor weather but no data.
b
modification.
— Ecosystem: microwave bio-
effects (on plants, animals,
and airborne biota) largely
unknown; reflected light
effects unknown.
b
— potential interference with
satellite communications,
terrestrial communications,
radar, radio, and optical
astronomy.

Lasers —Tropospheric heating could —Ocular hazard? —Ocular and safety


modify weather and spread —Psychological effects of hazard?
the beam. laser as weapon are
—Ecosystem: beam may possible.
incinerate birds and —Adverse aesthetic effects
vegetation.
b
on appearance of night
— potential interference sky are possible.
with optical astronomy,
some interference with
radio astronomy.

Mirrors — bTropospheric heating —Ocular hazard? —Ocular hazard?


could modify weather. —Psychological effect of
—Ecosystem: effect of 24- 24-hr sunlight.
hr Iight on growing. — A d v e r s e esthetic e f f e c t s
b a

cycles of plants and cir- on appearance of night


cadian rhythms of animals. sky are possible.
— b potential interference
wit h optical astronomy.

Transportation and
space operation
Launch and recovery —Ground cloud might pollute —Noise (sonic boom) may
b
— Space worker’s hazards:
air and water and cause exceed EPA guidelines. ionizing radiation
possible weather modi- —Ground cloud might affect (potentially severe)
HLLV fication; acid rain air quality; acid rain weightlessness, life
PLV probably negligible. probably negligible. support failure, long
COTV — bWater vapor and other —Accidents-catastrophic stay in space,
POTV launch effluents could explosion near launch construction accidents
deplete ionosphere and site, vehicle crash, toxic psychological stress,
enhance airglow. Result- materials. acceleration.
ant disruption of com- —Terrestrial worker’s
munications and satellite hazards: noise, trans-
surveillance potentialy portation accidents.
important, but uncertain.
— possible f o r m a t i o n o f
b

noctilucent clouds in
stratosphere and meso-
sphere; effects on climate
are not known.
44 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 3.—Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts—Continued

System component Occupational health


characteristics Environmental impact Public health and safety and safety
— bEmission of water vapor
could alter natural
hydrogen cycle; extent and
implications are not well-
known.
b
— Effect of COTV argon ions
on magnetosphere and
plasma-sphere could be
great but unknown.
—Depletion of ozone layer
by effluents expected to
be minor but uncertain.
—Noise.

Terrestrial activities
Mining —Land disturbance —Toxic material exposure. —Occupational air and
(stripmining, etc.). — Measurable increase of water pollution.
—Measurable increase of air and water pollution. —Toxic materials exposure.
air and water pollution. — Land-use disturbance. —Noise.
—Solid waste generation.
—Strain on production
capacity of gallium
arsenide, sapphire, silicon,
graphite fiber, tungsten,
and mercury.

Manufacturing —Measurable increase of —Measurable increase of —Toxic materials exposure.


air and water pollution. air and water pollution. —Noise.
—Solid wastes. —Solid wastes.
—Exposure to toxic
materials.

Construction —Measurable Iand —Measurable land —Noise.


disturbance. disturbance. —Measurable local
—Measurable local increase —Measurable local increase increase of air and water
of air and water pollution. of air and water pollution. pollution.
—Accidents.

Receiving antenna — bLand use and siting. — Land


b
use—reduced — Waste heat.
—Waste heat and surface property value, aesthetics,
roughness could modify vulnerability (less land
weather. for solid-state, laser
opt ions; more for reference
and mirrors).

High-voltage — bLand use and siting. b


— Exposure to high intensity — b Exposure to high
transmission lines — bEcosystem: bioeffects Of EM fields—effects intensity EM fields—
(not unique to SPS) powerlines uncertain. uncertain. effects uncertain.
almpacts based on SPS systems as currently defined ancl do not account for offshore receivers or poss!ble miti9atin9 sYstem modifications.
bResearch priority.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 45

(HVTL) on humans, animals, and plants are exposure limits. Research is needed to deter-
highly uncertain. The existing data base is in- mine more precisely the expected dose rates,
complete, often contradictory and not directly the types and energies of ionizing particles,
applicable to SPS. While the thermal effects of and the effectiveness rate of various types and
microwave radiation (i. e., heating) are well- thicknesses of shielding. The results will deter-
understood, research is critically needed to mine the number of spaceworkers, the dura-
study the consequences of chronic exposure to tion of the stay, the mass needed in orbit (for
low-level microwaves such as might be ex- shielding), and space suit and system designs.
perienced by workers or the public outside of All of these impacts may strongly affect SPS
the receiver site. The biological systems that costs and feasibility.
may be most susceptible to microwaves
include the immunological, hematological For SPS systems other than the microwave
(blood), reproductive, and central nervous sys- designs, very little assessment of the health
tems. The DOE SPS assessment has sponsored and safety effects has been conducted. The
three studies of the effects of low-level micro- power density of a focused laser system beam
waves on bees, birds, and small mammals. No could be sufficiently great to incinerate some
significant effects have been observed, but the biological matter. Outside the beam, scattered
experiments are far from complete. More re- laser light could constitute an ocular and skin
search is vitally needed to expand the experi- hazard. More study would be needed to quan-
mental and clinical data base, and to improve tify risks, define possible safety measures and
theories which may facilitate the extrapolation explore the effects of long-term exposure to
from animal studies to assessments of human low-level laser light.
health hazards. The light delivered to Earth by the mirror
It appears that the United States will estab- system, even in combination with the ambient
lish a microwave standard in the near future daylight, would never exceed that in the desert
that is more stringent than the present occupa- at high noon. The health impacts that might be
tional 10.0 mW/cm2 voluntary guideline (the adverse include psychological and physiologi-
new occupational standard at 2.45 GHz will cal effects of 24 hour per day sunlight and
probably be 5.0 mW/cm2), thereby approach- possible ocular damage from viewing the mir-
ing the standards in other countries (e. g., rors, expecialIy through binoculars.
2
Canada: population —1.0 mW/cm , occupa-
2 2. Effects on the Upper Atmosphere.– Atmos-
tional —5.0 mW/cm ; U. S. S. R.: population—
pheric effects result from two sources: heating
0.001 mW/cm2, occupational —0.01 mW/cm2).
by the power transmission beam and the emis-
This does not have an immediate impact on
sion of launch vehicle effluents. While the
SPS Iand use for the reference system, since it
most significant effect of the laser and mirror
is designed to produce less than 1.0 mW/cm 2 at
systems is probably weather modification due
the rectenna boundary and less than 0.1 mW/
to tropospheric heating, ionospheric heating is
cm 2 outside the rectenna boundary. Neverthe-
most important for the microwave systems
less, establishing population standards that are
operating at 2.45 GHz. Of most concern is
more stringent couId mean more land for each
disruption of telecommunications and surveil-
buffer zone and could affect system design
lance systems from perturbations of the iono-
(power density and beam taper) as well as
sphere. Experiments indicate that the effects
public opinion.
on telecommunications of heating the lower
With respect to spaceworkers, exposure to ionosphere are negligible for the systems
ionizing radiation (including that from the tested. As a result, a few researchers have sug-
radiation belts, galactic cosmic rays, and solar gested that microwave power densities of up
flares) would be a health hazard unless steps to 40 to 50 mW/cm2, or two times the level
are taken in future planning to minimize dose. assumed for the reference design, could be
Studies are needed to determine acceptable used before significant heating would occur.
46 ● Solar Power Satellites

The largest uncertainty is related to heating and quantify the above impacts under S P S
and nonlinear interactions in the upper iono- conditions. In addition mitigating steps such as
sphere. To investigate the heating effects in trajectory control, alternate space vehicle
this region, more powerful heating facilities design, and the mining of lunar materials need
would be required. to be assessed. Atmospheric studies would
play a major role in the choice of frequency
The atmospheric effects resulting from the
for power transmission.
emission of rocket effluents from SPS space
vehicles are of concern because of the un-
precedented magnitude and frequency of the 3. Land Use and Receiver Siting.– Receiver
projected SPS launches. In the magnetosphere, siting could be a major issue for each of the
construction of the SPS reference system as land-based SPS systems. Offshore siting and
presently designed would lead to a dramatic multiple use siting might each alleviate some
increase in the naturally occurring abundance of the difficulties associated with dedicated
of argon ions (from the electric propulsion land-based receivers, but require further study.
system proposed for orbital transfer) and There are two components to the siting issue:
hydrogen atoms. While several possible effects technical and political. Tradeoffs must be
have been identified, including enhanced air- made between a number of technical criteria:
glow and Van Allen belt radiation, and altered 1) finding geographically and meteorologically
atmospheric electricity and weather, the likeli- suitable areas; 2) finding sparsely populated
hood and severity of these effects are highly areas; 3) keeping down the cost of power trans-
uncertain. mission lines and transportation to the con-
struction site; 4) siting as close to the Equator
The injection of water vapor at lower alti- as possible (for GEO systems) so as to keep the
tudes would significantly increase the water north-south dimension of the receiver rea-
content relative to natural levels. One possible sonably small; 5) coordinating receiver sites
consequence is an increase in the upward flux with utility grids and the regional need for
of hydrogen atoms through the thermosphere. electricity; 6) the cost of land; and 7) ensuring
Another consequence of increasing the con- that the receivers are sited away from critical
centration of water in the upper atmosphere and sensitive facilities that might suffer from
might be the formation of noctilucent clouds electromagnetic interference from SPS, e.g.,
in the mesosphere. While global climatic ef- military, communications, and nuclear power
fects of these clouds appear unlikely, uncer- installations. In addition, for the reference and
tainties remain. SOLARES systems, as presently designed, large
The injection of rocket exhaust, particularly contiguous plots of land would have to be
water vapor, into the ionosphere could lead to located and totally dedicated to one use (table
the depletion of large areas of the ionosphere. 4). The laser options might require less land
These “ionospheric holes” could degrade tele- area per site, but a greater number of sites to
communication systems that rely on the iono- deliver the comparable amount of power.
sphere. While the uncertainties are greatest for
the lower ionosphere, experiments are needed It is clear that the choice of frequency,
to test more adequately telecommunications ionospheric heating limits, and radiation
impacts and to improve our theoretical under- standards could have an impact on the land re-
standing of chemical-electrical interactions quirements. Further study is needed to under-
throughout the ionosphere. stand fully the environmental and economic
In the troposphere, ground clouds generated impacts of a receiver system on candidate sites
during liftoff could modify local weather and and to determine if enough sites can be
located to satisfy the technical requirements.
air quality on a short-term basis.
In addition the plausibility of multiple uses
Additional experiments and improved at- (e.g., agriculture or aquiculture), offshore
mospheric theory are needed to understand siting (especially for land-scarce areas such as
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 47

Table 4.—SPS Systems Land Use


Number of sites Total land area(km2 )
SPS system k m2 /site km2/1,OOOMW for 300,000 MW for 300,000 MW m2/MW-yr
Reference . . . . . . . . . . . 174 35.0 60 10,400 1,233 b
Solid statec . . . . . . . . . . . 50 33.0 180 9,000 1,163 b
Laser Id. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0 1.2 600 360 42-51e
Laser lId. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 80.0 600 24,000 2,819-3,382 e
Mirror I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,000 -29 2,200 261-313 e
Mirror Ilf. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 9.6 30 2,880 338-406 e
For comparison
Washington. . . . . . . . . . . 174.0
New York City. . . . . . . . . 950.0
Chicago. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 518.0
aR~~t~nna at 34. latitude ~over~ a 117 km, e(lipitical area, Mi~r~~ave power density at edge of rectenna is 1.(J mw/cm2, If an exclusion boundary is set at 0.1 mW/Cm , 2

then the total land per site is approximately 174 km . J. B. Blackburn, Sate//ire Power System
2
(SPS) Mapping of Exc/usion Areas for Rectenna Sites, DOE/NASA Report
HCP/R-4024-10, October 1978 does not include land for mining or fuel transport.
bThe values for the reference and solid-state designs assume a 30-year lifetime and a caPacitY factor of 0.9
cThe solid-state sandwich design is described in G. M. Hanley et al., “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept Definition Study, ” First Performance Review, Rockwell in-
ternational Report No. SSD79-0163, NASA MSFC Contract NAS8-32475, October 10, 1979.
dLaser 1 and Laser II are two laser systems considered by DOE Both deliver the same amount of power but the beam of Laser I is more narrow (and hence rllore intenSe)
than that of Laser Il. See C. Bain, Potential of Laser for SPS Power Transmission, October 1978, Department of Energy, HCPIR-4024-07.
eThe values for the laser and mirror systems assume a 30-year lifetime and CapaCitY factors of 0.75-0.9.
fMirror I system parameters are defined by SOLARES “baseline system” and Mirror II system for low (1 ,100 km) orbit
gThe SOLARES baseline system is designed to deliver 81O GW to 6 sites; 2 SOLARES basellne sites actually provide 270 GW.

the Northeast United States, Europe, and tion strategies or for which mitigation is
Japan) and possible receiver siting in other na- too costly to make SPS competitive; and
tions, with their particular environmental con- 2, they have a great bearing on the system
straints, need to be explored. design, e.g., choice of frequency, power
level and distribution may be determined
The regional political problems may be
by the results of bioeffect and atmos-
more severe than the technical ones, especial-
pheric studies and these may in turn con-
ly in light of past controversies over the siting
trol hardware design, cost, and land use.
of powerplants, powerlines, and military radar
and other facilities. While the construction If an SPS program is pursued, the assessment
and operation of receivers might be welcomed of environmental risks should receive the
by some communities on the basis of eco- highest research priority. Some studies such as
nomic benefit, others might oppose nearby re- bioeffects research may require substantial
ceiver siting for a number of reasons, in- time to complete; the resolution of environ-
cluding: environmental, health and safety mental uncertainties could affect the develop-
risks; fear that the receiver would be a target ment schedule of SPS. Much of the environ-
for nuclear attack; fear of decreased land mental research needed in the assessment of
values; preference for an alternate use of the SPS is applicable to other studies and would be
land; objection to the receiver’s visibility; and valuable whether or not an SPS program is
for rural Americans, resistance to the intrusion undertaken. Conversely, many of the en-
of urban life. vironmental questions associated with SPS are
also being addressed in other “generic” re-
It is essential that many of the environmen-
search programs such as those investigating
tal uncertainties be diminished and that the
microwave bioeffects and upper atmosphere
effects are shown to be, at worst, comparable
physics. The delineation of which environmen-
to those of alternate inexhaustible energy
tal risks are most important would, to a large
sources, before commitment to the develop-
extent, depend on the specific design concepts
ment of SPS because:
that showed the greatest promise.
1. environmental effects may be identified
for which there are no acceptable mitiga-
48 • Solar Power Satellites

ELECTROMAGNETIC COMPATIBILITY
How would SPS affect other users of the munication. Some also use the spectrum for
electromagnetic spectrum?* remote sensing. All would be affected in some
way by SPS.
Whether SPS were to be eventually de-
ployed as a microwave, laser, or mirror system, Geosynchronous Satellites.– These would be
it would affect some portion of the elec- most strongly affected by the microwave sys-
tromagnetic spectrum. Other users of the spec- tems. They could be expected to experience
trum would be concerned about the nature of microwave interference from noise at the fun-
potential detrimental effects, whether they are damental SPS frequency (e.g., 2.45 Ghz for the
amenable to amelioration and, if so, what the reference design), spurious emission in nearby
costs would be. A microwave system would be bands, harmonics of the fundamental SPS fre-
the most problematic because communica- quency, and from so-called intermodulation
tions of all sorts share this general portion of products. All radio frequency transmitters gen-
the spectrum. In addition, a wide range of erate such noise and receivers are designed to
other electronic devices (e. g., sensors, com- filter out unwanted effects. However, the
puters) are susceptible to microwave inter- magnitude of the power level at the central
ference. frequency and in harmonic frequencies for a
microwave SPS is so great that the possibility
The Public of degrading the performance of satellite
receivers and transmitters from these spurious
Deploying SPS would markedly change the effects is high.
visual appearance of the night sky. A set of
reference system satellites equally spaced In addition to the direct effects from micro-
along the Equator would appear as a set of wave power transmissions, geosynchronous
bright stationary “stars” whose total effect for satellites could also experience “multipath in-
observers on longitudes near the middle of the terference” from geostationary power satel-
set and for all latitudes along these longitude lites due to their sheer size. In this effect, mi-
lines would equal the Moon at about quarter crowave signals traveling in a straight line be-
phase. Nonstationary satellites such as an LEO tween CEO communications satellites would
deployed laser or mirror system would create experience interference from the same signal
the effect of bright moving “stars.” The effect reflected from the surface of the power
of such satelIites on the night sky has not been satelIite.
calculated. However, it could be expected to The sum of all these effects would result in a
equal the overall effect of the 60-satellite set limit on the distance that a geosynchronous
of reference satelIites. satellite must have from the SPS in order to
Some observers might well enjoy the sight of operate effectively. The minimum necessary
manmade “stars” added to the night sky. spacing would depend directly on the physical
Many, especially those in countries who failed design of the satellite, the wave length at
to benefit from the generated power, might which it operated, and the type of transmission
strongly resent the intrusion on the celestial device used (i.e., klystron, magnetron, solid-
landscape. state device).
Since a microwave SPS would have to share
Space Communications the limited resource of the geostationary orbit
with other satellites, the value of the minimum
All artificial Earth satellites use some por-
spacing has emerged as one of the most crit-
tion of the electromagnetic spectrum for com- ical issues facing a geostationary SPS. How-
ever, in the absence of a specific design, it is
‘See ch. 8 impossible to characterize the exact form and
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 49

nature of the interference. Additional informa- At present the minimum spacing for domestic
tion is essential to calculate the minimum re- geostationary satellites is 40 in the 4/6 GHz
quired spacing. In addition, even if the design band and 30 in the 12/14 HGz band. At these
parameters were known accurately, the theory spacings, a maximum of 90 4/6 GHz band satel-
of phased arrays is insufficiently developed to- lites and 120 12/14 GHz band satellites could
day to predict the minimum distance. Esti- theoretically coexist at geostationary alti-
mates of the minimum necessary spacing tudes, in the absence of SPS. Current research
range from 1/2 to 10. The lower limit would
0
activity in the 20/30 GHz band is likely to lead
probably be acceptable. However, a minimum to much greater capacity and smaller spacings
spacing much greater than 10 would result in for that band by the time an SPS might be
too few available geostationary slots to allow deployed. But even with these and other un-
both types of users to share the orbit unless predictable advances in communications tech-
many communications functions could be ac- nology in space and on the ground, competi-
commodated on a few large space platforms. tion for geostationary orbit slots is likely to be
high.
At present, some 80 satellites share the
geostationary orbit worldwide, and by 1990
The laser and mirror systems in low-Earth or-
that number is expected to increase signifi-
bit are unlikely to interfere with geosynchro-
cantly (fig. 6). Even though improvements in
nous satellites except in the relatively improb-
technology will lead to a reduction in the total
able event that one of the mirrors passes pre-
number of satellites necessary to carry the
cisely between the geosynchronous satellite
same volume of communications services,
and its ground station, and even that interrup-
total service is expected to rise dramatically. tion would be for so short a time as to pose no
serious problem.

Other Satellites. – In addition to geosynchro-


Figure 6.—The Number of Geosynchronous nous satellites operating at the same altitude
Satellites as a Function of Time as the CEO SPS, there are numerous military
and civilian satellites in various low-Earth or-
bits that might pass through an SPS microwave
beam. Such satellites could in principle pro-
tect themselves from adverse interference
from the SPS beam by shutting down uplink
communications for that period, and improv-
ing shielding for data and attitude sensors,
computer modules, and control functions.
Whether this action would be feasible depends
on the particular mission the satelIite is to per-
form. For some remote sensing satellites, a
shutdown could mean loss of significant data.
It would not be feasible for the SPS to shut
down for the few seconds of satellite passage.
It might also be possible for many satellites to
fIy orbits that will not intersect the SPS beam.

The laser and mirror systems might interfere


1980 1985 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
with nongeosynchronous satellites by causing
Year reflected sunlight to blind their optical sensors
or by passing through communications beams.
SOURCE: W. L. Morgan, Comsat Technical Review, 10 vol. 1,1980. Of the two systems, the mirror system would
50 ● Solar Power Satellites

cause the most problems because of the size Effect on Terrestrial Astronomy
of the mirrors and their orbital speed. To date, and Aeronomy
no one has calculated the possible adverse ef-
fects due to this cause. None of the proposed SPS systems benefit
astronomical research except insofar as they
Deep Space Communications. – Because would indirectly provide a transportation
deep space probes generally travel in the plane system and construction capabilities for plac-
of the solar system (known as the ecliptic), ing large astronomical facilities in space. The
they would be especially affected by a geosta- detrimental effects would vary depending on
tionary microwave SPS. A microwave SPS the system chosen. The impacts of a micro-
would effectively prevent ground communica- wave system are likely to be severe for both
tion with the probe when the latter happens to optical and radio astronomy. An infrared laser
lie near the part of the ecliptic that crosses the system is likely to have fewer detrimental ef-
Equator. This interference is especially serious fects on both forms of astronomy, and the mir-
for deep space vehicles because it is essential ror system would have its most serious effect
to be able to communicate with them at any on optical astronomy.
time for the purposes of orbit control and for
timely retrieval of stored data. Optical Astronomy.– Diffuse reflections
from the reference system satellites would
It would be possible to avoid such inter-
cause each to be as bright as the brightest
ference by establishing a communications
phase of the planet Venus, and produce a dif-
base for deep space probes in orbit. As we
fuse halo of light around it. Because the
penetrate deeper into space, this may be ad-
satellites appear to remain stationary along
visable for other reasons. If not, such a com-
the celestial Equator, a system of 15 to 60
munications station would effectively add to
satellites would meld together to block obser-
the cost of the SPS.
vation of very faint objects along and near the
Equator for telescopes located on Earth be-
Terrestrial Communications and tween the longitude limits of the satellites (fig.
Electronic Systems 7). Some major non-U. S. telescopes would be
affected as well. Telescopes in orbit, such as
Both civilian and military terrestrial com-
the U.S. Space Telescope scheduled to be
munications, radar, sensors, and computer
launched in 1984, will travel in nonequatorial
components would suffer from a number of
orbits and therefore would not be affected
possible effects of a microwave beam. Direct
significantly by a reference SPS except to
interference can occur from the central fre-
require increased pointing and control com-
quency or the harmonics. In addition, scat-
plexity on the Space Telescope.
tered and reflected radiation at these frequen-
cies from the rectenna, and rectenna emissions The effect of diffuse reflections from an
could cause additional interference problems LEO-based laser SPS could be expected to be
for terrestrial receivers. At the very least, much less of a problem for observations of ob-
rectennas would have to be located far enough jects near the Equator because the laser por-
from critical sites such as airports, nuclear tion of the satellite system would be constant-
powerplants, and military bases to render ly in motion. Thus, no part of the sky would be
potential interference as small as possible. In permanently blocked from view. The relay
addition, equipment would have to be rede- satellites located in geostationary orbit would
signed to permit far better rejection of un- subtend a very small angle as seen from the
wanted signals than is now necessary. This ap- surface of the Earth. Though they would be
pears to be feasible given enough time and visible as small points of light, they would be
funds for the electronics industry to respond. considerably fainter than the geostationary
Ch. 3—Issues and Findings ● 51

Figure 7.—The SPS Brightness Profile moving patches of diffuse light that would
completely disrupt the observation of faint ob-
jects that lie in the direction of the satellite
paths. Thus, astronomers would need to re-
main outside a 30()-km diameter circle sur-
rounding the site in order to avoid this
problem.
Radio Astronomy. – Radio astronomy would
suffer two major adverse affects from micro-
wave systems: 1 ) electromagnetic interference
from the main SPS beam, from harmonics,
from scattered or reflected SPS signals, and
from reradiated energy from rectennas; and 2)
additional sources of thermal noise radiation
–40° –20° 0° 200 40“ 60“ 80“ in the sky that have the effect of lowering the
Declination signal-to-noise ratio of the radio receivers.
Studies by terrestrial radiotelescopes of faint
Note: This figure shows the predicted brightness of the sky as a result of a
60-satellite SPS system along the meridian at local midnight for Kitt Peak radio objects near the Equator would be im-
National Observatory at the vernal equinox. The calculation of this profile
is based on an assumed 4 percent diffuse albedo possible. Neither the laser nor the mirror
SOURCE: Workshop on SPS Effects on Optical and Radio Astronomy,
systems would contribute to the first effect;
DOE/Conf 7905143, P. A. Ekstron and G M Stokes (eds.). however, they would raise the effective
temperature of the sky background. Low-level
measurements such as scientists now routinely
satellites of the reference system and would
conduct to measure the amount of back-
not interfere with optical observations. How-
ever, large moving satellites would present op- ground radiation from the primordial explo-
sion of the universe would thus be impossible
tical astronomy with another observational
from terrestrial bases. Thermal microwave
obstacle. Scattered Iight from them would vary
radiation from the satellites would exceed
in intensity as the satellite passes near a
present standards for radio interference at
celestial object of interest, making calibration
nearly all wavelengths.
of the nearby background light very difficult.
The laser satellite would interfere with infrared Space basing of radio telescopes, especially
astronomy studies involving wavelengths near on the far side of the Moon, would eliminate
the transmission wavelength of the beam. Pho- the impact of SPS and other terrestrial sources
tometry and spectrometry experiments would of electromagnetic interference. However,
be severely compromised during any brief or- such proposals, though attractive from the
bital period when the relay satellite passed standpoint of potential interference, are
within a few degrees of an observing tele- unlikely to be attractive to astronomers for
scope. many decades because of their high cost and
the relative inaccessibility of the equipment.
The mirror system, which would involve a
number of large, highly reflective moving mir- Optical Aeronomy. –Much of our knowledge
rors in low Earth orbit, would have very serious of the upper atmosphere is gained by night-
effects on optical astronomy. While the time observations of faint, diffuse light. Some
precise effect has not been calculated, it of the observations that are made today must
would render a large area (a circle of radius be carried out in the dark of the Moon. The
150 km) around the ground stations unaccept- presence of satellites equal in brightness to a
able for telescopic viewing. Because of diffuse quarter Moon would effectively end some
reflections from the atmospheric dust and studies of the faint airglow and aurora. Other
aerosols that are up to 3 km above the ground observations would be severely limited in
station, the individual mirrors would create scope.
52 . SoLar Power Satellites

SPACE PROGRAM
How would development of the SPS affect administration stated that: “it is neither feasi-
our civilian space program?* ble nor necessary at this time to commit the
United States to a high-challenge space engi-
If pursued, an SPS program would be the
neering initiative comparable to Apollo. ” In
largest and most ambitious space program
the absence of a long-term goal such as SPS,
ever undertaken. SPS development could pro-
some have predicted that future space efforts
vide: 1 ) new capabilities for future space ven-
wouId lag, or become overwhelmingly military
tures; 2) spinoffs for civilian and military use,
in nature. On the other hand, there is concern
in space as well as other areas; 3) a political
that an SPS commitment would draw re-
and programmatic focus for the civilian space
sources from or otherwise interfere with other
program; and 4) potential furtherance of U.S.
space activities, leading to an unbalanced ef-
domestic and foreign policy goals.
fort. In addition, for SPS as well as other less
An SPS program would require the develop- expensive programs, the annual appropriations
ment of a high-capacity space transportation procedure for NASA often results in budgetary
system, the construction of large space struc- and programmatic uncertainty; development
tures, and perhaps the deployment of manned of SPS would require long-term financial plan-
space bases. I n addition, an extensive indus- ning and long-term commitment to the project.
trial infrastructure would be needed to support
In addition to its use as a source of electrical
these activities. The hardware, knowledge, and
power, the SPS should be judged by whether it
facilities generated by such a program would
is in accord with national interests as reflected
significantly increase our overall space capa-
in national space policy. The NASA Act of
bilities and lay the groundwork for future in-
1958 (as amended), states that space activities
dustrialization, mining and, perhaps, the col-
should be for peaceful purposes, and can be
onization of space.
undertaken in cooperation with other coun-
Direct technological spinoffs can be ex- tries, to further the “general welfare and
pected in the development of improved large security” of the United States. In 1978 the
space platforms, energy transmission devices, Carter administration, in its October “Fact
ground illuminating systems, high-efficiency Sheet on U.S. Civil Space Policy,” reaffirmed
solar celIs, and Iife-support systems. these goals while emphasizing the practical
and commercial benefits of the civil space pro-
Conversely, SPS development will benefit
gram. A civilian-run SPS program open to inter-
from prior developments in space technology,
national participation would further current
most notably in space transportation and
space policy goals.
systems for automated construction of space
structures. Involvement by NASA in SPS operation
might require a change of NASA’s current
An important consideration is the extent to
charter, which restricts the direct operation of
which an SPS program wouId serve as the
commercial ventures. Currently, DOE has
focus and driving-force for the space program
prime responsibility for solar energy research,
as a whole. In the 1960’s, the U.S. civilian ef-
while NASA is responsible for the U.S. civilian
fort was centered on Apollo; in the 1970’s on
space program. An SPS program would require
the Space Shuttle. However, in 1978, the Carter
extensive cooperation between the two agen-
cies; if this caused difficulties, a separate
agency or some other organizational alter-
*For extended discussion see ch. 6 native might prove preferable.
Chapter 4
POLICY OPTIONS
Chapter 4
POLICY OPTIONS

Because the solar power satellite (SPS) is a decade. The Nation must also decide when to
new energy concept, much of this assessment proceed with a research program and at what
has Ied across previously uncharted territory. pace.
SPS has potential for supplying a portion of
Figure 8 represents a series of possible deci-
U.S. electrical needs, but current knowledge
sion points for SPS. If research on SPS finds no
about SPS, whether technical, environmental,
impediments to continued pursuit of SPS, the
or sociopolitical is still too tentative or uncer-
first in the series of development decisions
tain to decide whether SPS would be a wise in-
couId occur sometime between 1990 and 2000.
vestment of the Nation’s resources. Further
By that time, the factors that relate to energy
research and study, based on the findings of
demand and supply and space transportation
this and other assessments, ’ 2 would be needed
will be much clearer than they are today. The
in order to formulate such a decision properly.
United States will have had about 10 years of
The kind and pace of a research program, if
experience with the space shuttle and with ini-
one is to be conducted, will be determined by
tial testing of space platform components.
perceptions of when development decisions
Planning and perhaps testing will have begun
need to be made.
for a second-generation space transportation
Decisions about SPS development involve system. The resuIts of the Nation’s long-term
an important tradeoff. I n time, more can be energy conservation efforts will be felt and
learned about the context within which SPS assessed, and electricity demand projections
would operate. Furthermore, in view of this for 2000 and afterwards will be better defined
study’s analysis of future U.S. electricity de- than currently possible. Further, a decision
mand and the availability of alternate energy about the breeder may have been made and
sources (see ch. 6), domestic need is not likely the potential of the fusion, energy storage, and
to be high enough for SPS before 2015-25. terrestrial solar technologies may be more cer-
Therefore, development and deployment deci- tain.
sions do not have to be made before the
The results of continued tracking of the in-
1990’s. However, action should be taken in a
ternational, institutional, and public opinion
timely manner. Since the development of a
factors relevant to SPS will also contribute to
major energy and space system may take more
the decision. In particular, the international
than 20 years, a decision about whether to
community’s future energy needs and supply
develop SPS will probably need to be made
potential will be better known, as well as its
before the end of the century. The develop-
willingness to cooperate in a multinational
ment of SPS may need to be started as early as
development program.
1990, if high-growth projections for electricity
seem plausible at the time. If an SPS develop- Finally, the results of research related to SPS
ment program is eventually initiated, the Na- wilI be available and can be used to support or
tion must also decide whether it wishes to pur- reject a decision whether to proceed with SPS
sue SPS as a unilateral or as an international development. Some of the needed research is
venture. The tasks before the United States in generic in nature, and will be done in other
this decade are to determine how much and programs whether or not SPS is developed.
what kinds of information are needed in order Among others, these include most of the Na-
to make a sound decision sometime in the next tional Aeronautics and Space Administration’s
(NASA) activities in space transportation,
‘Program Assessment Report Statement of Findings, SPS C o n - space structures, photovoltaics, materials and
cept Development and Evaluation Program, DO E/E R-0085, humans in space, as well as the Department of
November 1980.
‘National Research Council Report of the Committee on Satel- Defense’s (DOD) and the Department of
lite Power Systems, June 1981 Energy’s (DOE) laser programs. To some extent

55
56 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 8.—SPS Program Phases and Decision Points

Program level
(funding)

Demonstration

Systems ......
engineering,
space testing

Research,
component
testing

CDEP

No program
DP 1 DP 2 DP 3 DP 4 Time
● DP 1 DP 2
● ● DP3 ● DP 4
— No program — No program —No program — No SPS
— Research — Research —Research — Research
. Initiate development — Continue systems — Systems
engineering engineering
— Demonstration — New demonstration
— Deployment
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.

they also include work done in the terrestrial eventually require a research program spe-
photovoltaics (DOE) and microwave bioeffects cifically funded for SPS.
(the Food and Drug Administration, the En-
vironmental Protection Agency, etc.) pro- In order to make an informed decision about
grams. However, many needs are directly the SPS, information about three different
related to SPS technology and therefore will types of factors will be needed:
Ch. 4—Policy Options ● 57

1. Contextual, independent factors. These Sometime in the next decade, the contextual
are factors that are independent of SPS framework for the future of SPS may be known
but which will markedly affect the need well enough to make an informed decision
for SPS or the ability to conduct the proj- about the need for SPS. As time goes on, a nar-
ect: rowing of future projections will occur and
● Future U.S. and global electricity de- knowledge of these factors will be integrated
mand. If demand is relatively low, the into the overall decision about SPS.
need for a new, capital-intensive energy
system will be low as well. If future de- 2. Contextual, semi-independent factors.
mand is very high, there could be a These are the factors that arise largely
commensurate need for SPS. Conserva- from the public perceptions and interna-
tion, increased end-use efficiencies, and tional and institutional framework of SPS.
the expansion of dispersed electrical Though they are markedly diverse in con-
generation could all affect overall de- tent, they have the unifying feature that
mand for centralized electricity. they will each affect an SPS research pro-
● Cost, kind, and availability of alter- gram only slightly but an SPS develop-
native electricity sources. If other po- ment program rather strongly. They will
tential future electric energy sources need to be tracked, studied, and evalu-
turn out to be more expensive than a ated as any SPS research program pro-
projected SPS, then SPS may be desira- gresses. They also possess the character-
ble even if electricity demand is rela- istic that there is no point at which one
tively low. On the other hand, the devel- can say that enough is known about them.
opment of other technologies might Rather, a development decision must take
preclude the need for SPS. The status of them into account as factors that must be
breeder and fusion technologies, the considered in Iight of what is known about
cost of terrestrial solar and the ad- them at the time.
visability of expanding the use of coal ● International interest and involvement
will all affect the need for SPS. in SPS. The worldwide community will
● U.S. and global space capabilities. A
be interested in SPS for its potential to
rapidly expanding space program with provide energy. They will also be con-
extensive experience and capabilities cerned about the effects it may have on
would make an SPS program much the use of the geostationary orbit, mili-
more feasible than would a low-level tary and national prestige implications,
program. The experience with the shut- how it may affect communications, and
tle and other space vehicles will shed how it may affect the appearance and
light on space transportation capabili- use of the night sky. They may also be
ties and costs. interested in joining with the United
Although an SPS research program is not States in multinational development of
likely to be affected by these factors, they will SPS. Hence, it will also be important to
have a great effect on an SPS development explore possible modes and means of
decision. Each of the factors needs to be international cooperation.
tracked, studied, and continually reevaluated ● Institutional framework. A main con-
for its impact on an SPS decision. Projections cern of any SPS program would be to
of these factors 10 to 20 years in the future will continue to study the institutional
have to be made as well, and amended as more structures that now exist in the utilities
information becomes available. Because these industry, the financial community, and
factors are of universal interest, such studies Government, and to identify the major
need not be funded by a specific SPS program; factors that could influence the course
they will be investigated by other energy and of SPS development and affect its
space programs. feasibility.

83-316 0 - 81 - 5
58 ● Solar Power Satellites

● Public opinion issues Public percep- — space charge effects, and


tions and public involvement are im- – photovoltaic design and testing.
portant components of any publicly ● Space construction and space transpor-

funded program. Dissemination of in- tation:


formation and sharing of research — evaluate best transportation scheme
results would be essential to the SPS for demonstration and
program, even in the research phase. It — evaluate best construction scheme.
would also be important to continue to
information from all three sorts of factors
solicit responses from segments of the
will set the framework and determine the ap-
public that would be especially af-
propriate time for development decisions. It is
fected, either positively or negatively,
important to emphasize that a decision not to
by SPS development.
develop SPS depends on the same information
3.Technical factors specific to SPS. Knowl-
as a decision to proceed with SPS. If further
edge about these factors can be gathered
research finds no major technological impedi-
or generated by deliberate effort. Answers
ment to proceeding with SPS and the combina-
to specific questions in this group will
tion of supply alternatives and demand needs
have an immediate effect on SPS develop-
indicate that it would be prudent to proceed
ment decisions. The kind, quantity, and
with the next stage, the program could enter
quality of the information as well as the
the engineering verification phase where var-
time at which it can be available are part-
ious systems are tested and a demonstration
ly dependent on the level of funding. Four
system chosen. This would set the stage for the
general categories of this sort of informa-
next decision point.
tion are evident:
● Environment and human health:
[f it were possible to make a decision to pro-
— microwave and laser bioeffects, ceed with the project early in the process (i. e.,
–high energy particle and ionizing ra- during the research phase) the various phases
diation effects on humans in space, could overlap considerably. For instance, the
— ionospheric effects due to micro- early stages of demonstration could begin
wave transmission, before the engineering verification phase is
– land-use impacts, entirely complete. Some economic benefits
—offshore rectenna environmental ef- might accrue from such a procedure. However,
fects, because of the very high front-end costs for
– launch vehicle exhaust effects on at- SPS, any proposal to proceed with develop-
mosphere, and ment will need to be scrutinized very carefully
—weather modification from mirror to be sure it is cost effective. That will
systems. necessitate more time and study in the veri-
● General system studies: fication stage than might be true for a less
—alternate systems (identify which costly technology, making it less likely that the
areas need further research, and pos- various phases will overlap.
sible testing of components),
— component and system costs, and SPS research could proceed at different
—comparison of alternate systems. rates and along different lines, depending on
● Component testing and evacuation: the level of funding that is made available. The
–Klystrons/magnetrons/solid-state de- following presents two different policy op-
vices, tions. One is characterized by zero funding for
– high-powered, continuous-wave la- specific SPS research; the other by a sliding
sers (EDL, solar pumped, FE L), scale of funding. They do not exclude one
— SIip ring designs, another, i.e., pursuing one option today would
–deployable, large-area, lightweight not necessariIy exclude changing to a different
space structures, option as time proceeds and information
Ch. 4—Policy Options ● 59

grows. For example, it could be considered sary. in addition, appropriating no specific


prudent to begin with no specific funding for funding for SPS carries with it the risk of
SPS and proceed to allocate a few million discouraging future international cooperation,
dollars per year after a few years. Conversely, or of allowing other countries to take the lead
a vigorous funding pace may produce results in SPS development. A final problem with op-
quickly enough so that from the standpoint of tion A is that the agency designated to track
those factors that are amenable to research, a SPS may find it very difficult to allocate its
development decision could be made before financial resources for SPS without some spe-
1990. But because the independent factors are cific allocation in its budget (even though
unlikely to be known well enough before 199o, small).
research funding might then be reduced to a What could be learned from such an option?
lower level to keep the program going pending
Other Federal and non-Federal programs are
a decision based on the independent factors.
currently exploring issues that are related to
Option A: SPS development. By tracking this generic re-
No specific funding for an SPS program. search, information of great value to the de-
velopment decision could be gathered and
Although it would be nearly impossible to
analyzed.
pursue an SPS program without specifically
allocating funding for it, this option would not ● Microwave bioeffects.The proliferation of
necessarily mean terminating all interest in microwave devices at various frequencies
SPS. A zero level option could be followed by makes research into this important area
designating an agency (e.g., NASA or DOE) to mandatory whether there is an SPS program
track generic research that is applicable to or not. FDA, EPA, and DOD are studying
SPS, as well as monitoring and coordinating in- microwave bioeffects.
ternational interest in SPS. One possibility is to ● Photovoltaics DOE maintains a strong ter-
set up a high-level advisory committee to serve restrial photovoltaics program. Together
this latter function. As in the other option, with private industry and university projects,
periodic reevaluation of the potential of SPS this program is studying some aspects of
would also be needed, in this case to decide photovoltaics that are of great interest to
whether specific funding should be instituted SPS. However, because terrestrial photovol-
or the program terminated altogether. taic systems have vastly different needs and
constraints than space photovoltaic sys-
The rationale behind option A is to keep SPS
tems, additional research would probably be
alive as part of our arsenal of possible energy
needed for SPS.
supply options without making a serious com- ● Space-related activities. NASA, DOD, and
mitment at this time. It has the advantages
the European Space Agency (ESA) are pursu-
that the risk of premature funding is greatly
ing programs in space transportation, space
reduced, as well as the upfront costs. The
structures, humans in space, and space pho-
longer the country can wait before funding a
tovoltaics by designing and building the
program directed towards SPS research, the
shuttle, advanced expendable launch vehi-
more likely it is that other programs will have
cles, space lab, a 25 kW space power supply,
generated helpful data for SPS. etc.
On the other hand, there is little margin for ● Laser programs. High-powered, continuous-
error in such an approach. If, under option A, wave lasers are currently in an early stage of
inadequate information is generated, the SPS development. Some of the research on high
option might be neglected or foreclosed at a energy pulsed lasers being pursued by the
time of future decision; or, if the independent DOD for weapons applications and by DOE
factors indicate a strong need for SPS, then an for fusion studies will be relevant to the SPS
expensive crash program of research to resolve laser concept. Universities and other re-
the questions specific to SPS may be neces- search labs are studying high-powered, con-
60 • Solar Power Satellites

tinuous-wave lasers. This research would be since they are the most important in determin-
directly applicable to a laser SPS. ing the feasibility of SPS. However, they could
● Alternateve energy sources. The resuIts of also take the longest to resolve. Some compo-
R&D, prototype construction, and operation nent testing and studies of alternative systems
of other electricity sources, including solar could receive high priority. The amount of
thermal, breeders, ocean thermal energy funding which would be made available would
conversion, and fusion, will be of great im- depend on an evaluation of previous research
portance in determining future need for SPS. findings and the state of projected supply and
demand for electricity in the 21st century.
However, many issues directly pertinent to
SPS cannot be answered by generic research It may be prudent to start at a low level of
programs. For instance, while microwave bio- funding and later accelerate research that is
effects experiments are being performed in specific to SPS as well as make greater funding
generic research programs, the number of available for SPS related generic studies.
studies on low-level, long-term exposure to SPS Another possibility is to actively solicit fund-
frequency microwaves is small. To gain infor- ing for projects of joint international-U. S. in-
mation directly relevant to SPS, some specific terest, perhaps by offering to match foreign
SPS funding will be needed. funding for research projects undertaken out-
side the United States, but which are of in-
Option B:
terest to U.S. planners. An accelerated re-
Funding of $5 million to $30 million per
search program ($30 million per year) could in-
year.
clude some component testing in space as welI
This option is designed to gather the neces- as at the Earth’s surface. It could also include
sary information before a development deci- at least one shuttle mission (post 1985) and
sion is needed. It minimizes the risks of not some space-related experiments on other shut-
gaining the sufficient and timely information tle flights. It would seek to answer the major
necessary for a rational decision. environmental and health and safety questions
before 1990 and also conduct extensive sys-
This program would, like option A, make as
tems studies. If these concerns are seen to pose
much use as possible of generic research. It
no impediments, accelerated funding would
would extend the generic research into areas
provide the quickest way of entering a devel-
specific to SPS by making small amounts of
opment phase.
funding available for expanding generic pro-
grams essential to the SPS development deci- Making funds available for SPS-specific re-
sion. It would also initiate research that is not search should ensure that enough information
being done in generic programs and explore is eventually available in order to make a ra-
ways in which to pursue some of this research tional development decision. This approach
jointly with other nations. In addition, it would also has the advantage that it could provide
track and study the various semi-independent for extensive international cooperation early
factors (international, institutional, and public in the research phase before seeking more ex-
opinion) which would also have a profound ef- tensive financial and managerial cooperation
fect on SPS decisions. It would actively seek in any subsequent development or construc-
and encourage international cooperation in tion phase. This would spread the decision to
SPS research. proceed or drop SPS development to other
countries as well.
Table 5 summarizes the most important re-
search and study needs and gives a very rough However, a higher level of spending ($30
estimate of what it would cost to do each item. million or so per year), here and abroad, would
The starred items are ones that could be pur- make it more likely that an entrenched SPS
sued in the context of a few million dollars of constituency would form, giving the program
funding per year. The most critical issues re- momentum and making it harder to stop; more
late to the environmental and health area, information may not make a program easier to
Ch. 4—Policy Options ● 61

terminate. Under such conditions, our under- transmitting power will develop too early and
standing of SPS technology may outstrip our close out SPS options which are uncertain in
knowledge of future electricity demand. It is the near term but which may have more long-
also possible that support for a given mode of run potential.

Table 5.—Summary of Research and Study Needs

Expansion of generic research Estimated Estimated


Research/study area to SPS-specific needs cost — SPS-dedicated projects costs
Environmental and human health
● Microwave bioeffects $5 million to Quantify SPS risks. $2 million
$10 million Epidemiological microwave
studies.
● Laboratory studies of long-term
exposure to low-level
microwaves at 2.45 GHz.
Determine possible nonthermal
effects, and dose-response
relationships, establish
extrapolation laws.
● Ionospheric studies ● Study of ionospheric scaling — ‘Ionospheric equivalent $10 million
laws. heating. Upgrade Arecibo
facility. Study SPS
equivalent heating in
upper atmosphere. Test
scaling laws and effects
on representative tele-
communication systems.
● Atmospheric studies ● Track and augment observa- $2 million ● Experiments to test $1 million
tions of the atmospheric effects of SPS
effects of launch effluents effluents on mag-
from the shuttle, other ex- netosphere and to
pendable launch vehicles and increase understanding of
high altitude rockets. that region.
Quantify and study SPS
effects on the hydrogen
cycle, and formation of
noctilucent clouds.
Refine and test ground $0.3 million to ● Study effect on local
cloud models. Study $5 million climate of SOLARES-type
meteorological and air system using an array of
quality impacts. ground heaters or a solar
pond.
Determine the nature and $0.5 million *Studies of possible
effect of ionospheric de- weather modification,
pletion, especially in beam scattering
lower ionosphere. Utilize and spreading.
other rocket launches and Identify transportation
observe the effects on scenarios that
representative telecom- minimize impacts.
munication systems.
● Ionizing radiation ● Track and augment existing $2 million to
studies of effects of ionizing $3 million
radiation on humans.
Study shielding methods.
● Space ● Track and augment existing $0.2 million
programs examining the risks
and protection measures for
humans in space.
● Electromagnetic ● Study potential electromag- $2 million ● Investigate antenna $1 million
interference netic interference and design patterns of klystron,
mitigating techniques. Improve magnetron, solid-
theory of phased array. state devices (see below),
their noise levels, and
out-of-band harmonics.
62 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 5.—Summary of Research and Study Needs—Continued


Expansion of generic research Estimated Estimated
Research/study area to SPS-specific needs cost SPS-dedicated projects costs
• Environmental Offshore receiver studies $0.5 million
impacts of Land use studies $2 million
receiver siting
General system studies
● Laser system ● Develop a “reference” $0.5 million to
laser system $1 million
● Mirror system *Develop a “reference” $0.5 million to
mirror system $1 million
● Alternative microwave *Develop alternative
microwave systems
*Perform a true compar- $1 million
ative study between SPS
alternatives using com-
mon technology and cost
basis.
Component testing and
evaluation
● Microwave ● Continue solid-state device $3 million to Develop solid-state $2 million to
transmission improvement, study noise, $6 million phased array $10 million
interference problems Study alternative micro- $.3 million to
● Test intermediate power $2 million wave devices, such as $1 million
magnetron, high-power klystron photoklystron
● Solar thermal $1 million
conversion
. Photovoltaics ● Extend research to low mass, $2 million ● Adapt optimum $2 million
thin film cells for space photovoltaics for SPS,
i.e., low mass, high
efficiency, radiation
resistant
● Lasers ● Improve efficiency of EDL $3million to ● Build solar pumped $1 million to
lasers, develop cooling mech- $10 million lasers $3 million
anisms for space lasers
● Laser optics $0.1 million to
(feasibility studies) $0.3 million
. Mechanical ● Study means of $0.3 million
components constructing slip ring
and rotating joint
*SOLARES mirror materials
structures
● Mirror Develop prototype mirror $0.5 million
design for shuttle launch
of a single SOLARES
mirror
‘Research priority.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.
Chapter 5
ALTERNATIVE SYSTEMS FOR SPS
Contents
Page

Microwave Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 LIST OF FIGURES


The Reference System.. . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
Figure No. Page
Laser Transmission.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 9 Solar Power Satellite Reference
Laser Generators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 System. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
Laser Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 10 Satellite Power System Efficiency
Laser-Power Conversion at Earth . . . . . . 82 Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
The Laser-Based System . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 11 Major Reference System Program
Elements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
Mirror Reflection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
12 The Retrodirective Concept . . . . . . . . . 69
The Mirror System. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88
13 Power Density at Rectenna as a
Space Transportation and Construction Function of Distance From the
Alternatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Beam Centerline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . 89 14 Peak Power Density Levels as a
Space Construction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Function of Range From Rectenna . . . . 70
15 SPS Space Transportation Scenario . . . 73
SPA Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
16 The Solid-State Variant of the Reference
Reference System Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
System. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
Alternative Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 17 lndirect Optically Pumped CO/CO 2
The Solid-StateSystem . . . . . . . . . . . 96 Mixing Laser . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
The Laser System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 18 The CATALAC Free Electron Laser
The Mirror System. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Concepts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
1 9 Optics and Beam Characteristics of
Two Types of Laser Power Trans-
LIST OF TABLES
mission System (LTPS) Concepts. . . . . . 82
Table No. Page 20. The Laser Concept. . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . 84
6. Projections for Laser Energy Converters 2 1 Components of the Laser Concept . . . . 84
in 1981-90 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 22. The Mirror Concept (SOLARES) . . . . . . 87
7. 500 MWe Space Laser Power System. . . 85 23. Reference System Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
8. Laser Power Station Specification. . . . . 85 24 How Cost Could Be Allowed. . . . . . 93
9. SOLARES Baseline Systerm . . . . . . . . 88 25 Elements and Costs, in 1977 Dollars, for
10. Research— $370 Million . . . . . . . . . . 93 the Baseline SOLARES System . . . . . . . 97
11. Engineering– $8 Billion . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 26 Sensitivity of the SOLARES Mirror
12. Demonstration– $23 Billion . . . . . . . 93 System to Variations in System
13. SPS lnvestment– $57.9 Billion . . . . . . . 94 Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
Chapter 5

ALTERNATIVE SYSTEMS FOR SPS

A variety of systems have been proposed for tutional, and public acceptance issues in the
collecting, transmitting, and converting solar chapters that follow.
power from space. Each system has its advan-
tages and disadvantages, its benefits and draw- In order to estimate reliably and fully the
backs. Each alternative system would use one range of costs and potential technical uncer-
of three transmission modes — microwave, tainties for a given solar power satellite (SPS)
laser, or optical reflector–to transmit power option, it would be necessary to subject it to
to Earth where it is collected and converted to the same detailed analysis that the reference
electricity or some other highly useful form of system has undergone during the last 5 years.
energy. Each system would use numerous sub- Unfortunately, this analysis has not been ac-
systems to collect and convert energy in space complished for the alternative systems. Hence,
or on the ground. This chapter wiII character- detailed comparisons between systems will not
ize the alternative systems and subsystems and be possible. At this stage it is possible only to
discuss their potential for generating power compare the major features of each technol-
from space. It will also describe four repre- ogy and note the uncertainties that should be
sentative systems that serve as the technical addressed as conceptual development of the
basis for discussion of the environmental, insti- various alternatives continues.

MICROWAVE TRANSMISSION
Because the atmosphere is highly transpar- and Space Administration (DOE/NASA) as a
ent to microwaves, they constitute an obvious basis for study. It consists of a large planar
candidate for the SPS transmission mode. In array of photovoltaic celIs located in the geo-
addition, microwave technology also is well- synchronous orbit 35,800 km above the Earth’s
known and is used today in a number of space Equator (fig. 9). The cells convert solar energy
and terrestrial communications and radar ap- into direct-current (de) electricity that is
plications. Microwave power transmission was conducted at high voltage to a phased-array
first demonstrated experimentally in 1964, ’ microwave transmitting antenna mounted at
and tested in 1974.2 3 one end of the photovoltaic array. Klystron
amplifiers convert the dc electricity to high-
4 56
The Reference System voltage radio-frequency power that is then
radiated to Earth by slotted waveguides. A
The reference system was selected by the receiving antenna (rectenna) on the ground
Department of Energy/National Aeronautics reconverts the electromagnetic radiation into
electric current and rectifies it into dc. After
1). F Degenford, M D. Sirkis, and PV H Steir, “Ttle Reflecting
Beam Waveguide, ” I E EE T r a n s a c t i o n s 0 1 M i c r o w a v e T h e o r y being converted to high-voltage, low alter-
Technology MIT-72, July 1964, pp 445-453 nating current (ac), the power can then be
‘Richard M Dickinson, “Evaluation of a Microwave High- either delivered directly to the conventional ac
Power Reception-Conversion Array for Wireless Power Transmis-
sion, ” Jet Propulsion Laboratory Technical Memorandum No grid or converted back to dc at high voltage
33-741, Sept 1, 1975 and delivered to a dc transmission network.
~R i chard M Dick InsOn, “Microwave Power Transmitting
Phased Array Antenna Research Project Summary Report, ” Jet The amount of power delivered to the grid
Propulsion Laboratory publication No 78-28, Dec 15, 1978 by each reference system rectenna has been
‘Department of Energy, “Satellite Power System Concept De-
velopment and Evaluation Program Reference System Report, ”
report No. DOE/E R-0023, October 1978 bR O Piiand, “SPS Cost Methodology and Sensitivities, ” The
‘C. C. Kraft, “The Solar Power Satellite Concept, ” NASA pub- F/na/ Proceedings of theS o l a r Power Satellite Program Review,
lication No JSC-14898, July 1979 DOE/NASA Conf-800491, July 1980.

65
66 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 9.—Solar Power Satellite Reference System

Solar power satellite reference system

Solar cell arr

Transmitt

ty

SOURCE: C. C. Kraft, “The Solar Power Satellite Concept,” NASA publication No. JSC-14898, July 1979

set at 5 gigawatts (GW)—or 5,000 megawatts The system is designed to deliver baseload,
(MW). The microwave transmission frequency i.e., continuous 24-hour power to the electric
was chosen to be 2.45 gigahertz (GHz). Max- grid. However, some variations in delivered
imum microwave power density at the center power would occur. A seasonal fluctuation in
of the rectenna (on Earth) was set at 23 output due to the variation of the Sun’s dis-
milliwatts per square centimeter (mW/cm2), tance from Earth would cause variations in
and the maximum power density at the edge of both incident insolation and photovoltaic cell
the rectenna was set at 1 mW/cm2 (one-tenth temperature, the latter producing a conse-
the current U.S. recommended occupational quent change in efficiency. In addition, around
limit). The reference design assumes that all the spring and fall equinoxes the Earth’s
materials would be obtained from Earth, and shadow would occult the SPS, resulting in a
that the system lifetime would be 30 years with short period each night for about 6 weeks at
no residual salvage value. local midnight (about 75 minutes maximum, at
the equinoxes) where no solar radiation im-
The area of the satellite’s photovoltaic array
pinges on the satellite and therefore no power
would be approximately 55 square kilometers
could be delivered to the grid (see ch. 9 for a
(km 2); the diameter of the transmitting antenna
discussion of this effect).
1 km. The total in-orbit mass of the complete
system, including a 25-percent contingency
factor, would be either 51,000 or 34,000 metric Subsystem Description
tons (tonnes), depending on whether silicon or ENERGY COLLECTION AND CONVERSION
gallium arsenide photovoltaic cells would be Two photovoltaic concepts were considered
used. for the DOE/NASA reference system. One uses
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS . 67

Figure 10.-Satellite Power System Efficiency Chain

57.81 GW 11.58 GW 10.50 GW 9.46 GW

Ga

Ga 63.18 GW
71.77 GW
(Solar)
10.79 GW 10.29 GW 9.79 GW
70.81 GW
Si
Si
62.34 GW

Ga 9.08 GW
8.50 GW 8.50 GW 8.18 GW 6.96 GW 6.72 GW

Si

9.08 GW
6.58 GW 5.79 GW 5.15 GW

overall efficiency = 6.970/. Ga MPTS efficiency = 63.00/.


7.06% Si
Abbreviation: “Ga” indicates the gallium-alum aluminum-arsenide option, “Si” the silicon option.

SOURCE: Department of Energy, “Satellite Power System Concept Development and Evaluation Program: Reference System Report,” DOE report No.
DOE/ER-0023, October 1978.

single crystal silicon converters that would cells: low mass per unit area, resistance to ther-
receive sunlight directly; the other uses mal and radiation degradation, and higher effi-
gallium-arsenide (GaAs) photovoltaic cells il- ciency. They have the disadvantages of rela-
luminated directly and by mirrors in a 2:1 con- tively high cost, the limited production availa-
centration ratio. bility of gallium, and a smaller technology
base than for silicon cells. Because of these
Silicon cells, currently used in all solar
latter characteristics, these cells would be
powered spacecraft, have the advantages of
used in a 2:1 concentration ratio in the refer-
an extensive manufacturing base, abundant re-
ence system, trading the relatively expensive
source materials, and lower cost per cell, as
cells for less expensive Iightweight reflectors
well as an R&D program in DOE aimed at ma-
to concentrate sunlight on the cells.
jor cost reduction for terrestrial cells. How-
ever, silicon cells in space suffer degradation
The structure that supports the solar cells
from radiation effects and from high-operating
would be an open-truss framework made of
temperatures, and hence would probably re-
graphite-fiber reinforced thermoplastic com-
quire periodic annealing of the array surface
posite (fig. 9). Because the solar array must be
(possibly by laser or electron beam techniques)
oriented toward the Sun and the transmitting
or the development of silicon cells less af-
antenna toward the Earth, a massive rotary
fected by ionizing radiation.
joint is essential in order to provide the nec-
Gallium-aluminum arsenide photovoltaic essary mechanical coupling. Sliprings about
cells have several advantages over silicon 400 m in diameter would be used in conjunc-
68 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 11 .—Major Reference System Program Elements


GEO

COTV

construction
depot

Space
freighter

SOURCE: R. O. Piland, Cost Methodology and Sensitivities,” The Final Proceedings of the Solar Power Satellite Program
Review, DOE/NASA 1980.

tion with the rotary joint in order to transfer reference system, these design considerations
electric power from the array to the antenna. resulted in a l-km diameter antenna. It would
be constructed of 7,220 subarrays each con-
POWER TRANSMISSION AND DELlVERY taining from four to thirty-six 70-kW klystron
The power transmission and delivery system power amplifiers connected to slotted wave-
for the reference system design is common to guides for transmitting power to Earth. KIys-
both photovoltaic options. It is composed of trons were chosen because their technology
three major elements: the transmitting anten- and operating characteristics at low power
na, the rectenna, and the substation. levels are well-known. However, they require a
cooling system (probably heat pipes). Klystrons
The selection of the microwave transmission
of 70-kW continuous power rating have not
frequency was based on tradeoffs between at-
been built and tested at this frequency, so their
mospheric attenuation and interactions with
characteristics are not known in detail.
the ionosphere as well as the sizes of the
antenna and rectenna. The optimal frequen- Each of the more than 100,000 klystrons in
cies were found to be between 1.5 and 4 GHz. the antenna must be properly adjusted or
The reference frequency was selected to be “phased” to provide a uniform power beam
2.45 GHz, which lies in the center of the inter- and to point it. This adjustment is especially
national Industrial, Scientific, and Medical critical at the very high, gross power level of
(ISM) band of 2.4 to 2.5 GHz. the SPS beam. Were the antenna a totally rigid
The size of the antenna is determined by the array of amplifiers precisely fixed in space, the
transmission frequency, the amount of heat it adjustment could be accomplished once and
is feasible to dissipate at the antenna, the for all just after the antenna is fabricated in
theoretical limits of ionospheric heating, and space. However, because it would be desirable
the maximum power densities chosen at for the antenna to be relatively flexible it
ground level, i.e., at the rectenna. 7 For the would be necessary to use an active system of
phase control, a so-called “adaptive electronic
‘Raytheon Corp., “Microwave Power Transmission System
Studies,” report No, ER75-4368, contract No NAS3-I 7835, De-
control” in which a pilot beam, installed in the
cember 1975. center of the rectenna and pointed toward the
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 69

satellite, establishes a phase reference or beam to very low power (0.003 mW/cm2). The
standard clock against which the individual transmission system would therefore require
klystrons compare and adjust their phases (fig. continual ground-based guidance to keep it
12).8 operating as a coherent beam. By incor-
porating relatively well-known anti jamming
An important safety feature inherent in this
techniques in the pilot-beam generator, de-
system is that loss of the pilot beam from the
liberate or accidental diversion or misuse of
rectenna would eliminate all pointing and
the SPS beam could be prevented.
phase control. Without the pilot beam, the
klystron subarrays would immediately lose The parameters of the microwave beam are
synchronization with one another and al I focus of critical importance in assessing the en-
would be lost, resulting in the spreading of the vironmental impacts of the SPS. The peak
power density at the transmitting antenna is
‘William C Brown, “Solar Power Satellites Microwaves Deliv- calculated to be 21 kW/m2. By the time the
er the Power, ” Spectrum, June 1979, pp 36-42. beam reached the upper atmosphere it would
have spread considerably and the intensity
reduced to 23 mW/cm2, a power Iimit that was
Figure 12.—The Retrodirective Concept set because theoretical studies suggested that
at higher power densities, nonlinear instabil-
ities could appear in the F layer of the iono-
sphere (200 to 300 km) as a result of the inter-
actions between the beam and the electrically
charged particles in this region. Recent ex-
perimental studies indicate that the limit in the
lower ionosphere might be able to be set much
higher, ’ thereby making it possible to decrease
the size of the antenna and/or rectenna signifi-
cantIy.
With these design constraints, a theoretical
beam power distribution was conceived result-
ing in the radiation pattern at the rectenna
shown in figure 13, on which are noted the
present U.S. recommendations for public ex-
posure (10 mW/cm2) and the current U.S.S.R.
occupational guideline (0.01 mW/cm2).
The off-center peaks in figure 13 are called
In the retrodirective-array concept, a pilot beam from the “sidelobes;” the level of intensity shown is a
center of the rectenna establishes a phase front at the consequence of the 1-km antenna aperture
transmitting antenna. Central logic elements in each of the (which is optimized to minimize orbital mass)
antenna’s 7,220 subarrays compare the pilot beam’s phase
front with an internal reference, or clock phase. The phase and the projected cumulative antenna errors.
difference is conjugated and used as a reference to control The first sidelobe would have a peak intensity
the phase of the outgoing signal. This concept enables the of 0.08 mW/cm2, less than one-hundredth the
transmitted beam to be centered precisely on the rectenna
and to have a high degree of phase uniformity. If this phase-
current U.S. occupational exposure recom-
control system fails, the beam would automatically be mendation, about 8 km from the beam center-
defocused, dropping the power density to 0.003 mW/cm2 , line; the intensity at the edge of the reference
an intensity acceptable by current standards. This feature
has been referred to as the “fail-safe” aspect of the
system rectenna (5 km from the beam center-
microwave transmission system. line) would be 1 mW/cm2–one-tenth the U.S.
occupational exposure guideline.
SOURCE: William C. Brown, “Solar Power Satellites: Microwaves Deliver the ‘w Cordon, and L M Duncan, Impacts on the Upper
Power,” Spectrum, June 1979, pp. 36-42. A t m o s p h e r e , ” Astronautics and Aeronautics, July/August 1 9 8 0
70 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 14.—Peak Power Density Levels as a


Function of Range From Rectenna

USA standard
10

1.0

10

10

10

0.01
o 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000
Radius from boresight (km)
0.005
I I I I I I 1 I I 1 I I
o 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Radius from boresight (miles)
0.001 Grating lobe spikes occur every 245 km for the 18-m sub-
0 5,000 1 0 , 0 0 0 15,000 20,000 arrays used on simulations although only two grating lobes
are shown. The SPS 10-m subarrays have grating lobes
Ground radius, m every 440 km.

SOURCE: Department of Energy, “Satellite Power System Concept Develop- SOURCE: Department of Energy, “Satellite Power System Concept Develop-
ment and Evaluation Program: Reference System Report,” DOE ment and Evaluation Program: Reference System Report,” DOE
report No. DOE/ER-0023, October 1978. report No. DOE/ER-0023, October 1978.

In addition to the relatively strong sidelobes, The rectenna design is quite insensitive both
the finite size of the antenna subarrays and to the angular incidence of the microwave
their projected misalinements would produce beam (within 100, and to variations in phase or
much weaker “grating lobes, ” which for the amplitude caused by the atmosphere. Hence,
reference system would occur at 440-km inter- rectennas would be interchangeable; the same
vals from the rectenna. The integrated intensi- satellite could power different rectennas, as
ty of these grating lobes, even for hundreds of long as they were equipped with the appropri-
operational SPSs, would be well below even ate pilot beam needed for phase control of the
the U.S.S.R. public-exposure guideline, as transmitting antenna. The reference rectenna
shown in figure 14. would be composed of billions of dipole an-
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS Ž 71

tennas placed above a transparent wire grid. sideration of the transportation options. The
The microwave energy received by each dipole basis for all projected Earth-to-low-orbit
would pass through a rectifier circuit that transportation concepts is the current U.S.
would convert it to dc power at high current space shuttle, scheduled to become the opera-
and low voltage. Several more conversions tional mainstay of the U.S. (and much of the
would be necessary to condition the power for world’s) space program.
the grid. The received power would first be
Of the many possible shuttle derivatives and
converted to ac and then transformed to high-
other new transportation prospects, 12 NASA
voltage low-current 60-cycle ac power and
selected four different types of vehicles to sup-
then either fed into ac transmission lines for
ply the four basic transportation functions:
delivery to the users or reconverted to high-
voltage dc for transmission, a relatively new ● carrying cargo between Earth and low-
transmission technology. Earth orbit (LEO),
● carrying personnel between Earth and
Estimates of overall rectenna conversion ef-
LEO,
ficiency run from about 80 to 92 percent, and ● transferring cargo between LEO and the
the extreme simplicity and repetitive-element
geosynchronous orbit (CEO), and
construction of the electrical components ● transferring personnel between LEO and
would facilitate mass production at extremely
CEO.
low unit cost. Reliability of the rectenna
should be extremely high, because each com- The designs of these four vehicles, called re-
ponent would be ultrareliable and could oper- spectively, the heavy-lift launch vehicle
ate redundantly. Hence replacement would be (HLLV), the personnel launch vehicle (PLV), the
necessary only after a large number of individ- cargo orbital transfer vehicle (COTV), and the
ual failures. personnel orbital transfer vehicle (POTV), are
based on existing technology, although all
None of the substation equipment involves
would require considerable development be-
technological advances beyond those that are
fore reaching operational status. 13 14 15 16
projected through normal development by the
electric utility industry. The major concern Both the HLLV and the PLV would utilize
that has been expressed is the large scale of fully reusable flyback boosters similar to those
the minimum individual power unit. Current originally considered by NASA in early shuttle
grid control systems are quite adequate to han- designs in the late 1960’s. Both boosters would
dle near-instantaneous switching of single employ methane-oxygen rocket engines for
power units as high as 1,300 MW. Single unit (vertical) takeoff and airbreathing (turbofan)
variations of 5,000 MW could present major engines for flyback to base for horizontal land-
control difficulties to the utilities as they cur- ings. The HLLV orbiter would use oxygen-
rently operate 10 11 (see ch. 9 for a detailed
“Robert Salkeld, Donald W Patterson, and Jerry Grey (eds ),
description of utilities interface problems).
‘Space Transportation Systems, 1980-2000, ” VOI 2, AlAA Aero-
ipace Assessment Series, A IAA, New York, 1978
SPACE CONSTRUCTION ‘‘G Woodcock, “Solar Power Satellite System Definition
The mass and physical size of the space seg- Study, ” Boeing Aerospace Co., Johnson Space Center contract
No NAS9-I 5196, pt 1, report No D180-20689, June 1977; pt 11,
ment needed for an operational 5-GW satellite report No D180-22876, December 1977, pt I I 1, report No
power station are larger by several orders of D180-24071, March 1978
magnitude than any space system heretofore “C Hanley, “Satellite Power System (SPS) Concept Defini-
tion, ” Rockwell International Corp., Marshall Space Flight Cen-
launched and therefore require careful con- ter, contract No NAS8-32475, report No SD78-AP-0023, April
1 ’378
15
‘“J. G. Bohn, J. W. Patmore, and H W Faininger, “Satellite Gordon R Woodcock, “Future Space Transportation Sys-
Power Systems: Utility Impact Study,” EPRI AP-1 548 TPS 79-752, tems Analysis Study, ” Johnson Space Center contract No.
September 1980. NAS9-I 4323, Boeing Aerospace Co. report No DI 80-20242-1
11 p j, Donalek, a n d J. L. WhYsong, “Utility Interface Require- (three volumes), Dec. 31,1976
ments for a Solar Power System, ” Harza Engineering Co , “Donald P, Hearth (Study Director), “A Forecast of Space
DO E/E R-0032, September 1978 Technology 1980-2000,” NASA SP-387, January 1976.
72 . Solar Power Satellites

hydrogen rockets essentially identical to those area would serve as the transfer point for all
of the current space shuttle, and then glide materials and personnel both up to CEO and
back to base much like the shuttle does. Un- back down to Earth. Alternative strategies
like the shuttle, it would be fully reusable; it have been considered, some of which will be
would have no disposable external propellant discussed later.
tank.
The principal factor that governs the cost
The PLV orbiter would be very much like the and effectiveness of in-space construction is
current space shuttle, but would employ a pas- generally accepted to be the productivity of
senger-carrying module in the payload bay. the construction crew and cost, and require-
Like the shuttle, it would also use a disposable ments for shielding. The replacement of some
external propellant tank, but a somewhat crew by automated equipment is therefore a
smaller one. It couId carry 75 passengers, plus major consideration in alI construction strate-
the normal shuttle crew. gies or scenarios, e.g., effort has already been
devoted to automatic beam-building sys-
A fleet of COTV, all reusable, would make
tems. 17 The use of teleoperators and robot ma-
the round trip from LEO to CEO, carrying the
nipulators for assembly of large structures has
cargo payloads up to CEO and returning
also been considered. The current growth of
empty to LEO for reuse. They would be pro-
technology in these areas is extremely rapid, ’8
pelled by efficient but slow electrostatic
and incorporation of such techniques would
engines. Using low-thrust electric propulsion
almost certainly benefit all aspects of SPS con-
would require very long trip times, of the order
struction. Despite the wide range of construc-
of 4 to 6 months. The bases for selecting this
tion options, estimated personnel require-
propulsion option were essentially minimum
ments for them are approximately the same:
cost and ready availability of the argon pro-
750 & 200. 19
pellant and other materials. Such long trip
times, although suitable for cargo, are clearly GROUND-BASED CONSTRUCTION ,
not acceptable for personnel, so a high-thrust
Building the rectenna, although a very large
propulsion approach was chosen for the
and relatively unique structure, nevertheless
POTV. The design utilizes a basic oxygen-
would involve far fewer uncertainties than
hydrogen propulsion stage now undergoing
constructing the space segment. A detailed
research evaluation at NASA as part of its Ad-
analysis 20 of both the basic structure and
vanced Space Engine program. It employs
construction aspects concluded that the pri-
essentially the same level of “technology as
mary structural material should be galvanized
that used in the current space shuttIe main
or weathering steel rather than aluminum
engine. It could carry up to 160 people from
(which is more scarce and requires a higher
LEO to CEO and back, or 98 tonnes (480 man-
energy cost to produce).
months) of consumables from LEO to CEO.
Because it would be impractical to launch a SYSTEM OPERATION
full-sized power satellite by single launch vehi- An active control system would be needed
cle, a strategy for constructing the satellite in both to keep the satellite in the proper orbit
Earth orbit would be necessary. The basic
‘Denls j Powell and Lee Brewing, “Automated Fabrication of
space construction strategy selected for the
Large Space Structures, ” Astronautics and Aeronautics, October
reference system is to launch all materials, 1978, pp 24-29
components, and people to staging areas in ‘ 8 Antal K Bejczy, “Advanced Teleoperators,” Astronautics
LEO (fig. 15). The COTVs, because of their and Aeronautics, May 1979, pp. 20-31
“W H Wales, “SPS Program Review Transportation Perspec-
large solar arrays, would be assembled in LEO tive, ” I n The Final Proceedings of the Solar Power Satellite Pro-
as well. The main construction base would be gram /?ev/ew, DOE/NASA Conf-800491, July 1980
‘O’’ Feaslbil ity Study for Various Approaches to the Structural
located in CEO, although not necessarily at
Design and Arrangement of the Ground Rectenna for the Pro-
the eventual geostationary-orbit location of posed Satellite, ” NASA contract No. NAS-I 5280, Bovay Engi-
the operational SPS. Hence the LEO staging neers, In{ , M a y 1 9 7 7
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 73

Figure 15.—SPS Space Transportation Scenario

SOURCE: W. H. Wales, “SPS Program Review Transportation Perspective,” in The Final Proceedings of the Solar Power Satellite Proqram Review, D O E / N A S A
-
Conf-800491, July 1980.

(stationed above the rectenna) and to maintain costs, partly because of the predictability of
the solar array’s orientation to the Sun. The the space environment as compared, for exam-
mass of the necessary control system is esti- ple, with the uncertain environment in which
mated at 200 tonnes; its average electric power aircraft structures must be designed to oper-
consumption would be 34 MW. ate, and partly because of the extensive body
of applicable design, testing, and operational
Because of its low coefficient of thermal ex-
experience with high-performance aerospace
pansion and relative stiffness, a graphite com-
structures. However, questions of dynamic in-
posite structural material was selected for the
stability resulting from Iow-probability occur-
reference system in preference to the alumi-
rences such as major meteor strikes or aggres-
num alloys so widely used in aerospace struc-
sive military action would have to be eval-
tures. Although a complex engineering prob-
uated.
lem and, furthermore, one not readily subject
to testing at an adequate scale prior to deploy- Orientation of the transmitting antenna rela-
ment in space, it does not appear likely that tive to that of the solar array would be main-
dynamic stability would cause any major unex- tained via the large rotary joint. Physical aim-
pected problems in either performance or ing of the antenna itself would be accom-

83-316 0 - 81 - 6
74 ● Solar Power Satellites

plished by gyroscopes, which would feed con- cept, there are many technical uncertainties
trol signals to the mechanical-joint turntable associated with the reference system. This sec-
so that it could follow the antenna pointing re- tion identifies specific issues or problems in
quirements. However, mechanical pointing of the reference system that would be of impor-
the antenna would not have to be performed tance in formulating decisions concerning the
with high accuracy, since the electronic phas- research, evaluation, development, demon-
ing and pointing of the antenna subarrays stration, and deployment of satellite power
would be insensitive to angular deflections of stat ions.
the antenna of upto100. ● Performance. A major issue in the reference
In addition to the equipment for satellite system design is the tremendous scale of the
station keeping and attitude control, it would satellite. The level of 5 GW (net output
be necessary to provide routine maintenance power) is based on scaling assumptions that
of both the space and ground segments. Poten- could be subject to considerable change
tial maintenance problems in the space seg- (e.g., the transmission frequency, the an-
ment, in addition to the expected routine re- tenna and rectenna power densities); multi-
placement of components, include the effects ple rectennas served by a single satellite also
of solar wind, cosmic rays, micrometeoroids, constitute a potential variation.
and impacts by station-generated debris. Aside ● The overall efficiency of the entire system
from the solar wind and cosmic radiation ef-
would be subject to considerable variation
fects on solar cells, which would require active
either up or down, and would be a key factor
annealing of the silicon cells, none of these ef-
in all cost and technology tradeoffs. Al-
fects would appear to introduce significant
though all system elements would involve
maintenance problems or costs, based on ex-
known technology, there is considerable un-
tensive past and current experience with oper-
certainty about how their efficiencies might
ational satellites powered by photovoltaic
add up when assembled together.
celIs.
● Powerplant lifetime, assumed to be 30 years
Repair and replacement of the solar blan-
for the reference system, could actually be
kets and more than 100,000 70-kW klystrons in
greater or less depending on a number of
the transmitting antenna are estimated to re-
economically interrelated factors (e. g., ease
quire a crew of from 5 to 20 people at the
of replacement of damaged components,
geostationary orbit construction base,21 along
sudden technological advances in compo-
with the necessary transportation, support,
nent efficiencies, etc.) This would affect all
and resupply (e. g., station-keeping propellant)
economic projections, even allowing for
services.
high-discount rates.
Maintenance requirements of the rectenna ● The total mass in orbit, one of the critical
and substation are also primarily associated
parameters in assessing costs and launch-
with repair and replacement of their biIIions of
related environmental impacts, depends on
components. Although a certain degree of re-
a number of factors stilI subject to consider-
dundancy is built into the system, a mainte-
able variation. The power CoIlection/conver-
nance crew would still be required to replace
sion system is an obvious factor; the refer-
storm-damaged rectenna sections and routine
ence system’s two photovoltaic options are
failures of both rectenna and substation equip-
indicative of the significance of that trade-
ment.
off. The antenna mass is also important.
Technical Uncertainties of Prospects for revising the reference-system’s
the Reference System 100:1 ratio of rectenna-to-antenna area
could have major impact on the overall sys-
Although most observers accept the basic tem cost and performance. The 25-percent
scientific feasibility of the SPS system con- contingency factor is another major factor
2’ DOE, op cit subject to revision if R&D mature.
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 75

SPS would require an extensive program of Silicon cells are subject to serious degra-
research and testing of the numerous satellite dation by high energy electrons and pro-
and terrestrial components of the system tons in the solar wind released by solar
before planning for a demonstration satellite flares. One study” estimates that the ac-
could be completed. In addition, substantial cumulated particle damage would de-
improvements in components and overall tech- grade the output from the cells by 30-
nology would have to occur before the SPS percent during the 30-year nominal life of
could meet the performance specifications of the satellite. The resulting damage could
the reference system. However, the current be repaired periodically by annealing the
reference system does not constitute a pre- cells by either a laser or an electron beam.
ferred system. It is, perhaps, technically feasi- The beam would sweep across the surface
ble but certainly not an optimum design. It was of the cells and heat them briefly to sev-
chosen by NASA/DOE as a model and a refer- eral hundred degrees centigrade. Very lit-
ence to be used in the assessment process. As tle is known about either process in the
such it has the inherent I imitation that as new laboratory and nothing at ail about how
information becomes available the design be- they would work in space or how much
comes progressively obsolete. energy they would use to anneal the sur-
face of the photovoltaic cells. However,
The following items summarize the major
experiments have shown that annealing
technical uncertainties for the reference sys-
by electron beam is much more efficient
tem and suggest possible ways to alleviate
than laser annealing.23 Because no long-
them.
term studies have been done, the suita-
. Photovoltaic cells. The reference system bility of silicon cells for extended dura-
specifies a silicon solar cell efficiency of tion space applications is in question;
17-percent and a mass of 2 grams per peak however, they have demonstrated ex-
watt (g/Wp). Current space-rated single cellent performance over a period of
crystal silicon cells operate at 12- to 16- about 10 years in operating spacecraft.
percent efficiency. However, they are GaAs cells appear to be a more realistic
about nine times as massive (18 g/Wp) as candidate for a reference-type satellite,
called for in the reference system and though they have received much less at-
they cost about $70/Wp (1980). The refer- tention than the silicon cells. GaAs cells
ence system assumes a cell cost of about reach higher efficiencies and can operate
$0.17/Wp. Although the issue of costs will at higher ambient temperatures than sili-
be addressed in more detail in a separate con cells. Laboratory models of GaAs
section, it is clear that meeting all three cells have reached efficiencies as high as
goals for the silicon cell blanket would 18 percent. 24 Because of their currently
present manufacturers of current cell higher unit cost, the GaAs array would
technology with an extremely difficult probably require refIectors to concentrate
task. Normal advances in cell production the Sun’s rays on the cells and thereby
techniques would readily result in the reduce the required cell area. Aluminized
necessary efficiency increase. However, Kapton has been suggested as a reflective
the burden of achieving a nine times material because of its low thermal coeffi-
reduction in weight along with a reduc- cient of expansion and low mass density.
tion in costs of a factor of 400 makes it
highly unlikely that an SPS could be built 2
*C R Woodcock, “SPS Silicon Reference System,” The Fina/
using single crystal silicon cells. P r o c e e d i n g s of the Solar Power Sate//ite Program Review,
If efficiency-mass-cost goals were met, DOE/NASA Conf-800491, July 1980,
there would still be the problem of cell “B E. Anspaugh, J. A Scott-Monck, R. G. Downing, D W.
Moffett, and T. F Miyahira, “Effects of Electrons & Protons on
lifetime in space and the related problem Ultra Thin Silicon Solar Cells, ” J PL contract No, NAS7-1OO.
of the feasibiIity of annealing the surface. “lbld
76 . Solar Power Satellites

Here, again, whether Kapton and GaAs natives to the klystron may provide better
cells can maintain their integrity over the noise and harmonic control (see section
30-year design lifetime of the satellite is on alternatives below).
unknown. Considerably more study would ● Space transportation. The problems inher-
be needed to determine the feasibility of ent in developing the capability to trans-
this option. port SPS components to LEO and CEO are
● Space charge and plasma effects. Because those of extending a mature technology,
of the high voltages associated with oper- i.e., there is sufficient understanding of
ation of the klystrons, electrical charge the problems to be faced that there is lit-
buildup in the satellite components could tle doubt that the appropriate vehicle
cause arcing and subsequent failure of could be developed. The most important
certain components. question is whether the necessary massive
● Rotary joint/slip rings. Although the basic loads could be transported for sufficiently
technology of building a rotary joint and low costs, i.e., would reusable vehicles
an associated slip ring (for electrical con- prove economic? In this area, much can
tinuity) is well-known, considerable uncer- be learned from experience with the shut-
tainty surrounds their construction and tle
operation on the scale of the reference I n addition to economic concerns, there
satellite in a space environment. Because are additional technical questions relating
it would operate in a gravity-free environ- to environmental effects that would re-
ment, the design demands would be dif- quire study. For instance, can the launch
ferent than they are for terrestrial designs. vehicles fly trajectories that would keep
● Klystrons. Current klystrons last about 10 the effects of ionospheric contamination
years, but these are tubes especially se- to a minimum? Would it be possible to
lected for their long life characteristics substitute other technologies for the
and they operate at much lower power argon ion engine proposed for the refer-
levels than the 70 kW required of refer- ence system (see ch. 8).
ence system klystrons. High-power klys- ● Construction, operations, and mainten-
trons do exist, but they operate in a pulsed
ance. There are unresolved questions
mode, not continuously as the reference
about the productivity of humans and ma-
system klystrons would have to. The an-
chines in the space environment. Some
tenna’s phased array control system
automated equipment has been built and
would need considerable development
tested on Earth, but considerable develop-
and testing. Although pilot beams have
ment would be needed to choose the best
been used in other applications, and the
ratio between automated and human
technology is therefore known, it is
tasks.
unclear whether the power beam would
leave the ionosphere sufficiently unaf-
fected to allow for undisturbed passage of Alternatives to the Reference
the pilot control beam. System Subsystems
Although harmonics and other noise One of OTA’s goals is to explore the possible
produced by the klystron or alternative alternatives to the reference system. Some op-
transmitting device would seem unlikely tions improve specific components of the ref-
to affect the natural environment adverse- erence system. Others would require signifi-
ly, they could cause radio frequency inter- cant redesign of the overall system. This is
ference for communications systems (see because the reference system is composed of a
the discussion of ch. 8). This problem number of interlocking components, some of
might be severe and wouId need extensive which depend heavily on the other elements of
study, but most experiments could be car- the system. Thus, a radical change in one com-
ried out in ground-based testing. Alter- ponent might require numerous other system
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS • 77

changes in order to create the most efficient ● Photoklystron. This device, which is stilI in
overall design. the very early stages of study, both con-
verts the sunlight directly to microwave
A number of alternative subsystems and sys-
power, and transmits it. If successful, it
tems were considered in the process of elect-
could replace both photovoltaic cell and
ing the reference system design. Advances
amplifier.
have been made in some components that
● Offshore rectennas. For highly populated
were previously rejected. In addition, consid-
European and U.S. coastal areas, recten-
eration of some of the above-mentioned tech-
nas mounted in the shallow offshore sea-
nical uncertainties has engendered new de-
beds offer some advantages over long
signs that could alleviate these uncertainties
transmission lines from suitable land-
or resolve some of the technical problems en-
based rectennas.
countered in the reference system.
The following summary lists a number of THE SOLID-STATE SYSTEM
subsystem options that could be considered as
Two system approaches using solid-state
alternatives to the reference system. A more
devices have been considered for the SPS. The
detailed discussion of each can be found in ap-
most direct of these simply replaces the kyls-
pendix A.
trons and slotted waveguides in the reference
Solar thermal power conversion. Either a system by solid-state amplifiers and dipole
Brayton- or Rankine-cycle engine offers antennas maintaining essentially the same
higher efficiency energy conversion than basic configuration as that of the reference
photovoltaics. However, they currently system (fig. 9); the second approach complete-
suffer from limitations on the means for ly revises the satellite configuration by inte-
heat rejection. grating the antenna and solar array in the
Thermionic, magnetohydrodynamic Earth-facing “sandwich” configuration, using a
or wave energy exchanger technologies movable Sun-facing mirror to illuminate the
might eventually find use in combination solar array (fig. 16). A number of alternative
with the Rankine or Brayton cycle. sandwich configurations have been explored
Photovoltaic alternatives. Materials other but at the moment the configuration of figure
than silicon or gallium arsenide may even- 16 seems to be the best.25
tually prove more viable for use in the
Another related subsystem option uses the
SPS. Currently none of the other obvious
multibandgap photovoltaic cells discussed
options meet the projected standards for
earlier, possibly in conjunction with selective
efficiency, low mass, materials availabili-
filtering to reduce solar-cell temperatures.
ty, etc., that would be needed for satellite
When such cells are utilized in the sandwich
use. Different sorts of concentrator sys-
configuration of figure 16, they offer consid-
tems are also of interest, as is the possi-
erable potential mass reduction. A recent pre-
bility of using single cells or a combina-
liminary case study26 compared sandwich-type
tion of cells that respond to a wide por-
systems such as that of figure 16 employing
tion of the solar spectrum. A possible ap-
single-bandgap GaAs photocelIs similar to
proach would be to use a combination of
those of the reference system but having high-
al I these variations.
er concentration ratios (CR) with optimized
Alternative microwave power converters.
multibandgap photovoitaics. Such a configu-
Several devices other than the klystron
ration would result in an approximate W-per-
have been considered for converting elec-
cent increase in power delivered per kilogram.
tricity to microwaves and transmitting
them to Earth including the magnetron,
which offers the principal potential ad- “G M Hanley, et al , “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept
vantage of cost and low noise, and the Deflnitlon Study, ” First performance Review, Rockwell interna-
tional report N O SSD79-01 63, NASA MSFC contract No
solid-state amplifier whose reliability NAS8- )2475, Oct 10, 1979
could be very high and mass low. ~bl bld
78 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 16.—The Solid-State Variant of the Reference System

Sunlight I

Reflected sunlight
Detail of solar cell
blanket panel

Solid-state
amplifier
panel

Microwave /
power to
Earth
/ ’
Solar array/microwave antenna
sandwich panels

SOURCE: G. M. Hanley, et al., “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept Definition Study, “First Performance Review, Rockwell International report
No. SSD-79-0163, NASA MSFC contract No. NAS-8-32475, Oct. 10, 1979.

LASER TRANSMISSION
Lasers constitute an alternative to micro- ● The use of low Sun-synchronous rather
wave transmitters for the transmission of than high geostationary orbits for the mas-
power over long distance.27 They offer the fun- sive space power conversion subsystem
damental advantage that at infrared wave- might be possible. (A Sun-synchronous or-
lengths, energy can be transmitted and re- bit is a near-polar low orbit around the
ceived by apertures over a hundred times Earth that keeps the satellite in full
smaller in diameter than the microwave beam. sunlight all the time while the Earth ro-
This obviously would reduce the size and mass tates beneath it.) In this suggested system,
of the space transmitter and the land-area re- the laser would beam its power up to low-
quirement of the ground receiver. But perhaps mass laser mirror relays in geostationary
even more important, the great reduction in orbit for reflection down to the Earth
aperture area would permit consideration of receiver, an arrangement that might con-
fundamentally different systems. For example: siderably reduce the cost of transporta-
tion, since the bulk of the system mass is
W H power
in LEO rather than in GEO. However, sys-
Satellites: The Laser Option,” A s t r o n a u t i c s a n d A e r o n a u t i c s , tem complexity would be increased due
March 1979, pp. 59,67, to the need for relay satellites.
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 79

● Because the mass of the laser transmitters beam) from about 1 to nearly 50 percent dur-
would not dominate the satellite, as does ing the past decade.
the reference-system microwave transmit-
Of all the currently operating CW lasers,
ter, laser satellites would not benefit near-
only the electric discharge laser (EDL)29 seems
ly so much by large scale as the reference
a feasible alternative for the SPS. The gas dy-
system satellites. The resulting smaller
namic laser (CDL) suffers from very low effi-
systems would improve the flexibility of
ciency if used in the closed cycles necessary
terrestrial power demand matching, pro-
for space (i.e., the gas supply must be circu-
vide high degrees of redundancy, permit a
lated, cooled, and reused). Chemical lasers re-
smaller and therefore less costly system
quire a continuous propellant supply that
demonstration project, and might even
makes them also unsuitable for long-term use
preclude the need for ultimate develop-
in space.
ment of an HLLV.
● The small size of the receiving station High-power density at 50-percent conversion
would make it possible to employ multi- efficiency levels has been achieved for EDLs,
ple locations close to the points of use, but only in the open-cycle mode for short time
thereby simplifying the entire ground dis- periods. The closed-cycle systems needed for
tribution and transmission system. It SPS have yet to be tested, even in the labora-
would also open up the possibility of tory. In theory, they should achieve high effi-
repowering existing powerplants, regard- ciencies in that mode as well, but considerable
less of their size, simply by replacing their improvement in the available technology
steam generating units with laser-heated would be required to reach the necessary
boilers and/or superheaters. goals.
The most important technical disadvantages In addition to using improved designs of cur-
of laser-power transmission are the very low rently operating lasers, several advanced con-
efficiencies of present laser-generation and cepts have been suggested. Of these, the solar-
power-conversion methods, low efficiency of pumped laser and the free electron laser (FEL)
laser transmission through clouds and mois- seem most promising for the long term.
ture, and the relatively undeveloped status of
● Solar-pumped lasers. Figure 17 illustrates
laser power-system technology in general.
the concept of a solar-pumped laser. The
The laser system would consist of three energy contained in sunlight directly ex-
distinct elements: the laser-generation sub- cites a combination of gases confined be-
system, the laser-to-electric power-conversion tween two mirrors, which subsequently
subsystem, and the laser beam itself. “lase” and transmit the captured energy.
It suffers the drawback that because only
Laser Generators a part of the solar spectrum is useful in ex-
citing any given Iasant gas, its conversion
Although the laser has become a well-known efficiency is likely to be fairly low. How-
and widely utilized device in industry, the ever, elimination of the need for a sepa-
high-power continuous-wave (CW) laser gen- rate electric power-generating system,
erators needed for SPS are still in the and the consequent reduction in mass and
advanced-technology or, in many cases, the complexity, could more than compensate
early research phase.28 However, the technol- for this drawback. Further, in comparison
ogy is improving dramatically as exemplified with other laser systems, the solar-
by the growth of laboratory-demonstrated con- pumped laser’s efficiency need be only as
version efficiencies (input power to laser good as the combined power-generating

28j Frank Coney bear, “The Use of Lasers for the Transmission “G W Kelch and W. E. Young, “Closed-Cycle Gasdynamic
of Power, ” in P r o g r e s s in Astronautics, vol. 61, A IAA, N Y , Laser Design Investigation, ” Pratt & Whitney Aircraft, NASA
)ui~ 1978, pp. 279-310 Lewis Research Center report No CR-135530, Jan 1,1970.
80 • Solar Power Satellites

Figure 17. —Indirect Optically Pumped CO/CO Mixing Laser 2

Ps Q SEP

solar n

SOURCE: R. Taussig, P. Cassady, and R. Klosterman, “Solar Driven Lasers for Power Satellite Applications,” in Firra/ Pro
ceedings of SPS Program Review, Department of Energy, p. 267

system and laser generator of other laser Free-Electron Lasers (FEL)


systems (about 7.5-percent for a photo-
An FEL is powered by a beam of high-energy
voltaic-powered carbon monoxide (CO)
electrons oscillating in a magnetic field in such
EDL 30).
a way that they radiate in the forward direc-
Although the information exists to deter- tion (fig. 18). A number of pulses reinforce the
mine the applicabiIity of solar-pumped lasers stored light between the mirrors, generating a
to SPS, adequate studies have not been done. coherent laser beam. The high-energy density
There is as yet little or no realistic basis for the of the relativistic electron beam is theoreti-
mass, efficiency, and cost projections pro- cally capable of producing very high-power
posed by several authors. 31 32 33 34 density lasers, and the emitted frequency is
tunable simply by changing the electron
‘“R. E. Beverly, “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Laser Studies energy.
Technical Report, Vol. 1, Laser Environmental Impact Study,”
Rockwell International SSD-80-0119-I, August 1980 Although efficiencies are theoretically pro-
“W. S. Jones, L. L. Morgan, J. B, Forsyth, and J Skratt, “Laser
Power Conversion System Analysis: Final Report, Vol. I l,” Lock-
jected to be quite high (around 50 percent for
heed Missiles and Space Co., report No LMSC-D673466, NASA the combined FEL and storage ring35), it is not
report No. CR-1 59523, contract No NAS3-21 137, Mar 15, 1979
32
known whether such efficiencies could be
Claud N Bain, “Potential of Laser for SPS Power Transmis-
sion, ” report No R-1 861, PRC Energy Analysls Co , DOE contract
reached in practice. In addition, the system
No. EG-77-C-01-4024, September 1978 mass per unit power output and the ability to
3JJohn D. G. Rather, “New Candidate Lasers for Power Beam-
ing and Discussion of Their Appl icatlons, ” I bid,, pp. 313-332. ‘5John W Freeman, William B. Colson, and Sedgwick Simons,
34
Daryl J. Monson, “Systems Efficiency and Specific Mass Esti- “New Methods for the Conversion of Solar Energy to R. F. and
mates for Direct and Indirect Solar-Pumped Closed-Cycle High- Laser Power, ” in Space Manufacturing ///, Jerry Grey and
Energy Lasers in Space,” ref 105, pp 333-345 Chrlstlne Krop (eds ) (New York AlAA, November 1979).
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 81

Figure 18.—The CATALAC Free Electron Laser Concepts

SOURCE: R. Taussig, P. Cassady, and R. Klosterman, “Solar Driven Lasers for Power Satellite Applications,” in Final Pro-
ceedings of SPS Program Review, Department of Energy. p. 267

scale to the size and power levels of a laser Transmission of the laser beam through the
SPS are impossible to predict reliably at this atmosphere is also affected by a phenomenon
time. 36 called “thermal blooming;” i.e., heating of the
atmosphere that causes it to act Iike a lens and
Laser Transmission distort the laser beam. Scientists are currently
divided on the significance of this issue and
As in the case of microwave transmission, opinions range from assertions that it is a ma-
the fundamental parameter that governs much jor factor 3 8 to suggestions that it could
of laser transmission performance is the fre- be avoided altogether by selecting the trans-
quency (or wavelength). At ultraviolet or visi- mitting wavelengths carefully.39 Considerable
ble wavelengths, absorption losses in the at- classified research is now being carried out on
mosphere are higher than for infrared wave- this effect in connection with laser-weapons
lengths. The wavelength also affects the effi- research. Some of this work might be applica-
ciency of the laser power absorption and con- ble to SPS use, though in general the military
version equipment. lasers are pulsed, not CW systems. The differ-
At the wavelengths of CO or CO, EDLs, (5 to ence could be critical and should be studied
10 microns), the primary mechanism of beam carefulIy.
attenuation is molecular absorption. Scatter- With regard to laser optics, it is important to
ing by molecuIes or by aerosols in clear air is develop components capable of low-loss, high-
relatively unimportant. Attenuation of the power-density transmission and reflection of
beam by aerosols under hazy or cloudy condi- laser light.40 It appears that adequate tech-
tions is quite significant and can completely nology for SPS systems has a high probability
block the beam if the clouds are thick enough. of being available within the next 20 to 30
Although it is apparently possible to burn a years, due primarily to advances being made in
hole through thin clouds,37 the attenuation of current military laser research and technology
energy is appreciable, and because clouds are programs.
seldom stationary, the laser would continually
encounter new water droplets to vaporize.

‘s Beverly, op. cit. “Jones, et al , op cit


37
E. W. Walbridge, “Laser Satellite Power Systems, ” Argonne “Beverly, op. cit
40
National Laboratory report No AN L/ES-92 Baln, op cit
82 Ž Solar Power Satellites

Transmission options for SPS lasers are eral lasers making up the beam, and each
essentially of two types: a narrow, highly con- beam by itself would transmit far too little
centrated beam or a wide, dispersed beam (fig. power to cause any problems. Adaptive optics
19). Advantages of the narrow beam are the systems are being studied for use in military
reduced land area needed and the smalI size of directed energy weapons and look promising.”
the ground power-conversion system; prob- It should be emphasized that the overall sys-
lems include potential environmental and tem constraints might be quite different for
safety impacts of the high-intensity beam, con- the large CW lasers needed for SPS than for
cerns over military uses, and the need for so- pulsed military examples.
phisticated high-temperature receivers and
power-conversion equipment. Advantages of Laser-Power Conversion at Earth
the dispersed beam are its less severe environ-
mental impact, the possible use of low-per- Several approaches are possible for convert-
formance optics, and simplicity of low-power- ing high-energy-density laser radiation to use-
density receiving systems. Disadvantages in- ful electric power. The technology of laser
clude relatively high atmospheric dissipation, energy converters is relatively new, but prog-
larger land area required and the large mass of ress has been rapid. Laboratory models have
Earth receptors. It is probably too early to achieved conversion efficiencies of 30 to- 40
make an informed selection between the two percent and designers project eventual effi-
options, but the narrow-beam approach ap- ciencies of 75 percent for some versions. Table
pears to offer the principal benefit compared 6 summarizes the available technology and
to reference-system microwave transmission. projects future potential efficiencies. 42

A final concern is the ability to point and The Laser-Based System


control the beam to make sure it would always
remain within the designated receiver area and Lockheed 43 has generated one possible laser
to shut it off instantly should it stray. The system (fig. 20) that utilizes power satellites in
adaptive-optics approach to beam control 4’Claud N Bain, “Power From Space by Laser,” in “High-Pow-
(e.g., phased-array) such as would be used for ered Lasers In Space, ” A s t r o n a u t i c s a n d A e r o n a u t i c s , vol. 17,
the microwave beam, appears adequate to March 1979, pp 28-40
provide the necessary pointing accuracy and “(;eorge L e e , “ S t a t u s a n d S u m m a r y o f L a s e r E n e r g y Conver-
sion, ‘ In P r o g r e s s in A s t r o n a u t i c s , VOI 61 Al AA, N Y , July
to ensure safety, since any loss of phasing con- 1978 pp 549-565
trol would cause loss in coherence of the sev- 4’Jones, et al , op clt

Figure 19.—Optics and Beam Characteristics of Two Types of


Laser Power Transmission System (LPTS) Concepts

Optics Optics
m

SOURCE: Claud N. Bain, “Potential of Laser for SPS Power Transmission,” report No. R-l WI,
PRC Energy Analysis Co., DOE contract No. EG-77-C-01-4042, September 1978.
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 83

Table 6.—Projections for Laser Energy Converters in 1981-90


Current 1981-90
Photovoltaics. . . . . . . . . . . . —30% efficiency —45% efficiency
—megawatt power levels —megawatt power levels
—wavelengths below 1 micron —wavelengths below 1 micron
Heat engines . . . . . . . . . . . . —Piston engine: Otto or diesel cycles —Turbine
—50% efficiency —75% efficiency
—1-10 k W —megawatt power levels
—wavelengths near 10.6 microns —wavelengths near 5 microns
Thermionics . . . . . . . . . . . . . —40% efficiency —50% efficiency
—1-10 kW —megawatt power levels
—wavelengths near 10.6 microns —wavelengths near 5 or 10 microns
Photochemical cells . . . . . . —Photoassisted dissociation of water —Photoassisted dissociation of water
—15Y0 efficiency —30% efficiency
—wavelengths near 0.4 microns —wavelengths near 0.6 microns
Optical diodes . . . . . . . . . . . —Evaporated junction arrays — Evaporated junction arrays
—not ready to convert power —50% efficiency
—megawatt power levels
—respond to wavelengths from UV to
over 10 microns

SOURCE: George Lee, “Status and Summary of Laser Energy Conversion, “ in Progress in Astronautics, vol. 61, AlAA, N. Y., July 1978, pp. 549-565.

low Sun-synchronous orbit and relay satellites the significant difference in space basing (i. e.,
(laser mirrors) both in LEO and CEO. One geo- LEO rather than CEO) which it presents com-
stationary relay serves each power satellite. pared to the reference system. Because of the
Based on an analysis of five candidate systems significant uncertainties present in the laser
in three power ranges, Lockheed selected a systems concepts and the relative lack of tech-
CO, EDL powered by a wave energy exchanger nology base for laser devices, the optimum
(EE) binary cycle and a similar binary cycle for laser system would undoubtedly look rather
ground power conversion. different from any system so far devised.
The specific 500 MW system selected is dia- A laser system that used photovoltaic arrays
gramed in figure 21; hardware details of the to collect and convert the Sun’s energy would
power satellite appear in table 7, and the Over- . suffer from the fundamental difficulty that the
all system characteristics are summarized in overalI efficiency of the system wouId be quite
table 8. low compared to projected reference system
efficiency .45 The major limiting factors are the
A major potential advantage of the laser
projected efficiencies of the laser itself (50 per-
system is that it could be demonstrated via a
cent for an EDL), the atmospheric transmis-
subscale 500-kW pilot program using the space
sion (84 to 97 percent), and the conversion effi-
shuttle to deliver the power and relay satellites
ciency of the terrestrial receptor (40 to 75 per-
into LEO orbits.
cent). When multiplied together with the
Other laser systems are possible. For exam- higher efficiency of other system components,
ple, Rockwell 44 has investigated a geosyn- they result in an overall efficiency of 17 to 36
chronous laser SPS powered by photovoltaic percent after photovoltaic conversion of sun-
ceils and using 20 to 24 100-MW CO EDL light to electricity to power the laser. When the
lasers. The CO laser was chosen because it has efficiency of the solar cells (17 percent) is
greater overall efficiency and is lighter than a taken into account, the overalI system efficien-
C 02 laser. cy falls to only 2.8 to 6 percent compared to
the projected reference system efficiency of 7
This study will use the LEO-based C02 laser
percent. Although this decrease would con-
system in its subsequent analysis because of
‘*Beverly, op. cit. 45D0E, op. cit.
Ground site
SOURCE: W. S. Jones, L. L. Morgan, J. B. and J. “Laser Power Conversion Analysis: Final Report, Vol. Lockheed Missiles and Space
Co., report No. NASA report No. CR-159523, contract No. 137, Mar. 15, 1979.

Figure 21 .—Components of the Laser Concept

Synchronous relays

Occulted ,
Power

SOURCE: W. S. Jones, L. L. Morgan, J. B. and J. “Laser Power Conversion System Analysis: Final Report, Vol. 11,” Lockheed Missiles and Space Co.,
report No. NASA report No. CR-159523, contract No. 137, Mar. 15, 1979
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS • 85

Table 7.—500 MWe Space Laser Power System

Power
generation Spacecraft,
EE/binary and structure, Transmitter aperture
Collector Solar cavity cycle conditioning Laser radiators, etc. and optical train
Unit efficiency (%) . . . . . 85 86 73.5 93.1 23 — 98.7
System efficiency (%) . . 85 73.1 53.7 50.0 11.5 — 11.4
Power in (MW). . . . . . . . . 7,913 6,726 5,784 4,251 3,958 — 910
Power out (MW). . . . . . . . 6,726 5,784 4,251 3,958 910 — 899
Orbital weight (kg) . . . . . 242,850 517,750 1,326,330 717,660 1,809,000 128,653 97,811
Spacecraft 4,108 Telescope (2)
89,812
Structure 94,433 Beam reduction
5,379
Radiators 6,032 Phasing array
1,539
Stabilization Optical train 1,181
24,080

Space Atmospheric Ground Thermal Binary Electrical


transmission Space relay transmission receiver cavity cycle generation
Unit efficiency (%) . . . . . 95 99 85 96 98 75.5 98
System efficiency (%) . . 10.8 10.7 9.1 8.7 8.5 6.5 6.3
Power in (MW). , . . . . . . . 899 854 845 718 690 676 510
Power out (MW). . . . . . . . 854 845 718 690 676 510 500
Orbital weight (kg) . . . . . – 105,438 — — — — —
Transmitter 44,703
Receiver 46,729
Optical train 945
Spacecraft 5,900
Radiators 5,762
Structure 1,023
Miscellaneous 376
SOURCE: W. S. Jones, L. L., Morgan, J.B. Forsyth, and J. Skratt, “Laser Power Conversion System Analysis: Final Report, Vol. 11,” Lockheed Missiles and Space Co.,
report No. LMSC-D673466, NASA report No CR-159523, contract No. NAS3-21 137, Mar 15, 1979.

Table 8.—Laser Power Station Specification stitute a potential problem for the laser
system, it must be emphasized that many other
Solar power collected (MW). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,913.0
Collector diameter(m). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,710.0 complex factors (e. g., the smaller terrestrial
Electrical power to laser(MW) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,958.0 receivers, or lower mass in GEO), might com-
Laser power output (MW) (20 lasers
pensate in complex ways for lower efficiency.
at 45.5 MW each). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 910.0
Transmitter, aperture diameter (m). . . . . . . . . . . 31.5 When added up, the combination might make
Secondary mirror diameter (o). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.0 the laser system more acceptable overall than
Transfer mirror size (m) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.0 x 4.2
Mirror reflectivity (%). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
the microwave systems. ’b
99.85
Optics heat rejection (MW) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.8
2
Radiator area (m ). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,656.7
Mirror operating temperature (“C) . . . . . . . . . . . 200.0 “Abraham Hertzberg and Chan-Veng Lau, “A High-Tempera-
ture Ranklne Binary Cycle for Ground and Space Solar AppIica-
SOURCE: W. S. Jones, L. L., Morgan, J. B. Forsyth, and J. Skratt, “Laser Power
Conversion System Analysis: Final Report, Vol. 11,” Lockheed tions, ” m “Radiation Energy Conversion in Space, ” K W,
Missiles and Space Co., report No. LMSC-D673466, NASA report No. Billman (cd,), P r o g r e s s in Astronautics and Aeronautics, vol. 61
CR-159523, contract No. NAS3-21137, Mar 15, 1979. (New York, AlAA, July 1978), pp 172-185.
86 . Solar Power Satellites

MIRROR REFLECTION
Instead of placing the solar energy conver- increasing the orbit altitude and mirror size,
sion system in orbit as in the reference SPS, which increases the size of the illuminated
several authors have suggested using large or- ground circle and thereby permits the use of
biting mirrors to reflect sunlight on a 24-hour larger ground stations.52 The orbiting mirrors
basis to ground-based solar-conversion sys- themselves could probably be quite large (up
tems. 4 7 4 8 4 9 5 0 to 50 km’ each) with very low mass density53
and still maintain their required optical sur-
Typically, this option would use plane mir-
face flatness in the presence of disturbing
rors (fig. 22) in various nonintersecting low-
forces.
altitude Earth orbits, each of which directs
sunlight to the collectors of several ground- A mirror system would offer the following
based solar-electric powerplants as it passes potential advantages:
over them (the so-called “SOL ARE S“ concept). ● The space segment would be simple and
Each mirror would be composed of a thin of low mass. It would consist only of
film reflecting material stretched across a sup- planar reflective thin-film mirrors.
porting structure made up of graphite-rein- ● It would minimize the need for large-scale
forced thermoplastic. As they pass within space operations, since recent designs
range of the terrestrial receiving station, the allow terrestrial fabrication and packag-
mirrors would acquire the Sun and the ground ing with automatic deployment i n space.
station nearly simultaneously. They would ● The system would be modular and highly
maintain pointing accuracy by means of built- redundant, i.e., there would be many iden-
in reaction wheels. tical mirrors capable of mass production.
● The mirrors would operate at low-orbit al-
Two typical “limiting cases” have been iden-
titudes, thus not requiring the CEO trans-
tified from among several alternatives. 51 one
portation system of some other alterna-
wouId use a 1,196-km circular equatorial orbit
tives.
(O 0 latitude) serving 16 equatorial ground sta- ● It would eliminate the need for develop-
tions each generating about 13 CW (baseload,
ing microwave- or laser-transmitting tech-
with minimum storage) and another 6,384-km
nology.
40 ‘-inclination circular orbit serving four 375 ● The mirrors would reflect ordinary sun-
GW ground stations at 300 latitude. Additional
light, thus eliminating many of the poten-
ground stations in each case (to accommodate
tial damaging environmental effects due
demand growth) could be achieved simply by
to laser or microwave transmission.
47
● It could be used for a variety of terrestrial
H e r m a n n Oberth, “Wege zur Raumschiffahrt, ” Oldenburg-
Verlag, Berlin, 1929; also see “Ways to Spaceflight, ” NASA tech-
uses where enhanced 24-hour sunlight
nical translation TT F-662 wouId be useful. SOLARES couId increase
48
Krafft A Ehricke (for example), “Cost Reductions in Energy the solar product fivefold over the same
Supply Through Space Operations, ” paper IAF-A76-24, 27th lrr-
ternationa/ Astrorraut;ca/ Congress, Anaheim, Calif , Oct. 10-16,
system operating on ambient sunlight.
1976. ● Demonstration would be very inexpensive
“K, W. Billman, W, P Gilbreath, and S W Bowen, “introduc- compared to laser or microwave options.
tory Assessment of Orbiting Reflectors for Terrestrial Power Gen-
eration,” NASA TMX-73,230, April 1977
‘“K, W. Billman, W. P. Cilbreath, and S W Bowen, “Orbiting
Mirrors for Terrestrial Energy Supply, ” in “Radiation Energy Con-
version in Space,” K, W, Billman (ed ), Progress in Astronautics ‘2K W Billman, “Space Orbiting Light Augmentation Reflec-
and Aeronautics Series, VOI 61 (New York Al AA, July 1978), pp tor Energy System: A Look at Alternative Systems,” SPS Program
61-80 Review, June 1979.
“K. W. Billman, W. P. Gil breath, and S W. Bowen, “Solar “John M Hedgepeth, “Ult[ ghtweight Structures for Space
Energy Economics Revisited: The Promise and Challenge of Or- Power, ” in “Radiation Energy Conversion in SpaceJ” K W, Bill-
biting Reflector for World Energy Supply,” DOE SPS Program man (ed ), Progress in Astronautics and Aeronautics, vol. 61 (New
Review, June 8,1979. York Al AA, j uly 1978), pp. 126-135.
Ch. S—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 87

Figure 22.–The Mirror Concept (SOLARES)

Photo credit: National Aeronautics and Space Administration

SOURCE: W. Bill man, “Space Orbiting Light Augmentation Reflector -. System: A Look at Alternative Systems,”
Review, June 1979.

On the other hand, mirror systems would ● The mechanisms needed to keep the mir-
possess the following potential disadvantages: rors pointed accurately might be compli-
cated.
● They would require a large number of sat-
ellites each with individual attitude con- ● The mirrors might cause unwanted weath-
trol. Maintenance might be expensive and er modifications around the ground sta-
difficult to accomplish. tions (see below and ch. 8).
88 ● Solar Power Satellites

● Scattered light from the mirrors and the Table 9.—SOLARES Baseline System
light beams in the atmosphere would in- configuration:
terfere with astronomical research (see Space system
4,146km inclined orbit, 45,800km2 total mirror area
ch. 8). Ground system
● The large power production per site (10 to 6 sites with DOE 1986 goal solar cells @ 15% efficiency
135 GW) and necessary centralization of 11 0/0 overall system conversion efficiency, ~~-circle
area = 1.168km2 each, 135 GWe each
the electrical supply from them would not
Impact:
be attractive to the utilities (see ch. 9). Total system would produce 3.24 times current U.S. con-
● The large area of the receiving sites (100 sumption, total area = 84 x 84km (52 x 52 mi )
2 2

to 1,000 km2) would be likely to make Baselined costs (in 1977 dollars)
land-based siting extremely difficult if not Implementation schedule
5-year development, design, test, and evaluation (DDTE)
impossible from a sociopolitical stand- 2-year manufacturing and transport fleet facilities
point (see ch. 9). preparation
6-year space and ground hardware construction
System complete about 1995
The Mirror System Direct costs estimate (billions of dollars)
Facilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... ... ... ... ..$ 47.30
The “baseline” Mark 1 SOLARES 54 design Hardware. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 885.65
(table 9) would require a total mirror area of Total direct . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... ... ... .$932.95
Indirect costs estimate (billions of dollars)
nearly 46,000 km2. If each mirror were 50 km 2, 15% contingency on direct costs ... ... ... ... .. $139.94
about 916 of them would be necessary for a Design, development, test, and evaluation . . . . . . 43.80
global power system that would produce a Interest a :
Facilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23.58
total of 810 GW from six individual sites, or Hardware . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101.26
about twice 1980 U.S. electric generation. It DDTE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41.01
was chosen for comparative purposes because Total indirect. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... .. .$349.59
Total cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... .. . $1,282.54
it demonstrates the potential for large scale
Indirect cost factor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .....1.38
energy output that might be achieved with mir- Installed cost per rated output ($/kWe) b . . ...........1,508
rors. It is by no means the optimum SOLARES Capacity factor(%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .......95
system. A low-orbit version (altitude 2,000 km) 1995 O&M costs:
Fixed ($/kW-y). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........3
with 15 smaller ground stations (10,000 to Variable (mills/kWh). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........2
13,000 MW output) might be more feasible or Levelized capital cost (mills/kWh) C . .................27.2
desirable. One of the principal features of the Levelized O&M cost (mills/kWh) d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.5
Levelized busbar energy cost (mills/kWh) e . . ..........31.6
SOLARES concept is that it could be used for
any energy use where enhanced sunlight would Comparison baseload power systems (CIRCA 1995):
Conventional coal/nuclear mixf
be used to advantage. By using many more Levelized busbar energy cost (mills/kWh)e . . .......45
smaller mirrors, the mass per unit area could Ambient sunlight photovoltaicf g
be minimized, and the total mass in orbit for Levelized busbar energy cost (mills/kWh). . .......115
a4Y@ first year, 8% per annum until positive cash flow after Year 11.
the entire baseline system then becomes about blncludes all direct costs, 157” contingency, interest during implementation at
4X105 tonnes. Thus, the entire SOLARES 8% per annum.
c15% fixed charge rate 30 years at 60/0 annual inflatiOn.
baseline system would require only the same d30 years at 6% annual’ inflation,
e15y& fixed charge rate.
mass in space as eight 5,000 MW reference sys- fsee text; these d. not include their historically eXtenSive R&D costs that are
tem satellites. Included, in SOLARES costing.
91Jses same terrestrial costing algorithm as SOLARES that results in indirect
cost factor of 1.37.
Several Earth-based energy production
SOURCE: K. W. Billman, W. P. Gilbreath, and S. W. Bowen, “Solar Energy -
methods currently under development might Economics Revisited: The Promise and Challenge of Orbiting
Reflector for World Energy Supply,” DOE SPS Program Review,
be used in conjunction with orbital reflector June 8, 1979.
systems: 1 ) photovoltaic arrays of varying sizes
are projected for commercial deployment in plants should become commercially feasible
the late 1980’s, and 2) solar-thermal electric in selected locations about the same time, pos-
sibly also for “repowering” of existing coal- or
54
oil-fired fossil-fuel plants with solar boilers.
Billman, et al., “Solar Energy Economics Revisited. The
Promise and Challenge of Orbiting Reflector for World Energy Much of the economic disadvantage of both
Supply, ” op. cit types of solar-electric powerplants is associ-
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS Ž 89

ated with the energy storage needed to allow of the accelerated evaporation produced by
them to serve as intermediate or baseload the high-intensity solar radiation.
plants. Should these plants prove to be even
If the orbiting mirrors can disperse clouds of
marginally successful, relieving their storage
moisture around the SOLARES ground station,
needs by keeping them I it for 24 hours a day by
what effects may they have on the climate
sunlight from orbiting reflectors would en-
nearby? Large orbiting mirrors have been sug-
hance the attractiveness of these terrestrial op-
gested for use in climate modification, 56 but
tions.
their possible detrimental side effects have not
The various benefits of a mirror system must been studied (see ch. 8). However, even if
be weighed against the percentage of time the reflected sunlight could be shown to have a
ground-based energy production facilities salutary effect on certain regions of the Earth,
would be obscured by clouds, smog, fog, and there is no reason to believe, without further
other atmospheric obstruct ions. However, study, that regions whose weather patterns
there is some evidence” that the concentrated could benefit from enhanced sunlight would
sunlight provided by the orbiting mirrors necesssariIy coincide with the SOLARES
would tend to disperse water-based obscura- ground stations.
tions such as clouds and fog, as a consequence

*’I Bekey and J E Nagle, “Just Over the Horizon in Space,”
“Ibid Astronaut/es and Aeronautics, May 1980.

SPACE TRANSPORTATION AND CONSTRUCTION ALTERNATIVES


Space transportation and construction (with shuttle size vehicles at high launch rates could
the possible exception of SOLARES) are com- be cheaper than developing and using larger
mon to all the options. NASA contractors who launch vehicles (see section on costs). Perhaps
developed the transportation, construction, the most obvious approach is to upgrade the
and assembly plan for the reference system shuttle-based space transportation system to
devoted considerable effort to the process perhaps five times the capability (i.e., total
of winnowing out a host of alternative ap- mass to space in a given time as represented by
proaches. Nevertheless, several other construc- payload size, launch rate, and turn-around) of
tion/assembly schemes have been proposed for the present shuttle.57
various phases of SPS program development.
The need to conduct relatively sizable ex-
If feasible, they would mostly serve the pur-
periments, and possibly prototype or demon-
pose of reducing costs by using technology
stration projects in geostationary orbits rather
developed for other programs or by reconfigur-
than in low-Earth orbits, would pose a serious
ing the reference system scenario. Because
transportation problem. Current space-shuttle
transportation costs are a significant percent-
upper stages, or “orbital transfer vehicles, ” are
age of any systems cost (see section on costs
not capable of carrying large payloads to geo-
below), it would be important to explore these
stationary orbit and are not able to support
alternatives fulIy.
any servicing operations there, since these
units are not reusable.
Transportation
Several innovative approaches have been
Transportation strategy in the early develop- suggested that circumvent the need for devel-
ment phase and engineering verification is to oping new vehicles. One such approach em-
use the shuttle or an upgraded shuttIe to their ploy; an in-orbit propel ant processing facility
maximum capacities. In these, as well as later
demonstration and production phases, using ‘7 Salkeld, et al,, op. cit.

83-316 0 - 81 - 7
90 ● Solar Power Satellites

built into one of the shuttle’s big “throwaway” sion. This concept is far more ambitious than
propellant tanks to convert water into hydro- the in-space propellant processing scheme; fur-
gen and oxygen –the best propellants for high- thermore, it depends on a device that, al-
performance rocket engines. The water re- though tested extensively on Earth in experi-
quired as the feedstock for this process would mental high-speed trains and in the laboratory,
be carried into LEO as an “offload” on every has yet to be demonstrated at the scale and ac-
space shuttle flight whose payload is less than celeration levels required by the orbital trans-
the maximum shuttle capability. The hydrogen fer application. A modest research effort on
and oxygen, after being liquefied and stored in this concept is currently being supported by
the propellant processing facility’s tank, are NASA’s Office of Aeronautics and Space Tech-
then used as the propellants for a reusable low- nology.
thrust “space tug” whose principal component
The production phase of the SPS program
is also a leftover shuttle propellant tank. The
would present a number of opportunities for
tug, which replaces the cargo orbital transfer
transportation alternatives that could not only
vehicle of the reference system, would carry
reduce production costs, but could also miti-
SPS prototype or demonstration hardware up
gate environmental and other impacts. Be-
to CEO. Although such a system is rather com-
cause of the high proportion of total space seg-
pletely defined,58 considerable technology ad-
ment construction costs (both nonrecurring
vancement and development would be re-
and recurring) taken up by transportation,
quired, e.g., for the in-orbit electrolysis and
many of the proposed innovations center on
liquefaction plants, the space-tug-develop-
alternatives to the family of four transporta-
ment, and the system logistics and integration.
tion vehicles selected for the reference system.
Cost estimates have not yet been released.
Nevertheless, this concept represents an in- The most direct approach to transportation
teresting suggestion for eliminating the de- cost reduction would be to improve the HLLV,
velopment of a major new (or upgraded) since it absorbs the bulk of transportation
launch vehicle just for an SPS demonstration, development and operations costs. The most
thereby reducing the “up-front” costs of any likely technological alternative appears to be
sizable SPS prototype or demonstration proj- the use of fully reusable single-stage-to-orbit
ect. (SSTO) vehicles. 62 Very advanced winged
SSTO vehicles that could reduce LEO payload
Another scheme would use an electro-
delivery costs to the order of $1 5/km are pro-
magnetic propulsion device 59 called a “mass
jected as becoming practical in the last decade
driver” to provide orbital transfer thrust in-
of this century, provided sufficient demand
stead of the chemical-rocket-powered space
exists. 63
tug. The mass driver is simply a solar-powered
linear electric motor, which derives its thrust For orbital transfer the personnel and cargo
by accelerating chunks of waste mass (e.g., orbital transfer vehicles selected for the
chopped-up or powdered shuttle propellant reference system probably represent the best
tanks) into space at high exhaust velocities. 60 61 available technology in the two principal op-
Since it uses electricity, its energy could come tions: chemical and electric propulsion.
directly from the Sun via photoelectric conver-
Alternatives for routine high-mass payload
58
Central Dynamics Corp (Convair Dlvlslon), “Utilization of hauling might include solar sails, laser propul-
Shuttle External Tank in Space, ” unpublished presentation, j une
sion, and various forms of electric propulsion
1978.
5~F, Chiiton, B, H ibbs, H. Kolm, G K O’Neill, and J. phil lips, other than the ion (electrostatic) rocket de-
“Electromagnetic Mass Drivers,” in “Space-Based Manufactur- scribed for the reference system, e.g., elec-
ing From Nonterrestrial Material s,” G K C)’Neil I (cd.), Progress in
Astronautics and Aeronautics, vol. 57 (New York AlAA, August 62
Beverly Z. Henry and Charles H Eldred, “Advanced Technol-
1977), pp. 37-61. ogy and Future Earth-Orbit Transportation System s,” in Space
bochllton, et a]., “Mass-Driver Application s,” ibid , PP . 63-94. Manu(actur;ng Facilities //, jerry Grey (ed ) (New York: Al AA,
“Gerard K O’Neill, “The Low (Profile) Road to Space Manu- Sept 1, 1977), pp 43-51
facturing,” Astronautics & Aeronautics, March 1978, pp. 24-32. “lbld
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 91

tromagnetic (plasma) thrusters or the mass teroidal materials could be even more favor-
driver discussed above. None of these options able. The primary drawback is the high “up-
has been studied in enough detail to make front” cost of establishing the necessary min-
choices about them at the present time. ing base on the Moon and the space-based fa-
cility needed to construct and assemble the
Space Construction SPS. Hence, it is not likely that nonterrestrial
materials would be used in the prototype,
As currently designed, the space component demonstration, or even the early phases of SPS
of the reference system would be constructed production. However, if a commitment is
in CEO. However, it may be more cost effec- made to produce a large-scale SPS system in
tive to build the necessary facilities and CEO, the lunar materials supply option could
satellites in LEO and transport them to CEO well be less expensive than the Earth-launched
fully constructed. Such a scenario would re- option (including payback of the initial invest-
duce the number of personnel needed in CEO merit) . 64 It has been argued that by “bootstrap-
as well as lower the total mass that must be ping” the operation (i. e., using nonterrestrial
transported there. material right from the beginning, not only to
Introducing one of the LEO scenarios (i. e., build the SPS but to build all the necessary
laser or mirrors) would open up significant facilities as well), there is no need for any new
changes in the construction and transportation launch-vehicle development (a major element
option for the SPS. Even a change in one major in the “up-front” investment); i.e., the present
component of the reference system satellite space shuttle can provide all the Earth-launch
could alter the ways in which the transporta- space transportation needed to implement an
tion and construction components are con- operational multi-SPS network. 65
figured. For example, if the photovoltaic cells Decisions on the nonterrestrial materials op-
were to be replaced by solar thermal conver- tion clearly hinge on the results of current and
sion systems, it would be attractive to con- projected SPS technology studies and experi-
struct satellites in LEO and transport them to ments. Sufficient research on the two techno-
CEO on their own power because they would logical factors unique to nonterrestrial materi-
suffer less from passage through the Van Allen als development—the mass driver (both for
radiation belts. lunar materials transfer and for in-space pro-
Of all the alternative options for SPS con- pulsion) and lunar materials mining and proc-
struction in the production phase, the prospec- essing capability —should be done so that a
tive use of nonterrestrial materials is perhaps decision to proceed with either the Earth or
the most innovative and, ultimately, capable nonterrestrial materials options could be prop-
of the maximum potential return on invest- erly made. Other study and research require-
ment. ments for the nonterrestrial materials option
include system analyses (including design of
The basic premise of the nonterrestrial ma- an SPS that maximizes the use of lunar materi-
terials option is that the cost, energy and mate- als), more intensive searches for appropriate
rials requirements, and environmental impact Earth-approaching asteroids, and establishing
of lifting the enormous cumulative masses capabilities for the host of space operational
needed to establish and operate a system of functions needed for other space programs.
many satellite power stations off the Earth can
be markedly reduced by utilizing first lunar As is clear from the preceding discussion, it
materials, and eventually materials obtained is difficult to establish a priori alternatives to
from asteroids. The fundamental physical prin- construction, assembly, and transportation,
ciple that supports this premise is that it takes
over 20 times as much energy to launch an ob- “Davld L Akin, “Optimization of Space Manufacturing Sys-
terns, ” in Space Manufacturing ///, Jerry Grey and Christine Krop
ject to geostationary orbit from the Earth as it (eds ) (New York. AlAA, November 1979)
does from the Moon, and the situation for as- b50’Nelll, op cit
92 . Solar Power Satellites

since each of the SPS alternative options essentially developed space shuttle; 3) max-
would call for a different approach. General imizing the common utilization of technology
guidelines can be identified, minimizing and development efforts by other programs
transportation and construction costs during having related requirements (e.g., large com-
the evaluation, development, prototype, and munications antennas and other large space
demonstration phases by: 1) utilizing a phased, structures, spacecraft power generation, con-
step-by-step approach (e. g., ground-based ex- trol and transmission, etc.); and 4) developing
periments, only then followed by dedicated new transportation vehicles and construction
space experiments); 2) maximizing use of the hardware only when economically necessary.

SPS COSTS
Although knowledge of the overall costs of Figure 23.—Reference System Costs
an SPS program will be essential to making a (dollars in billions)a
decision about developing the SPS, current
cost estimates are inadequate. Today’s projec-
tions are based on extrapolations from current
technology and in most cases assume major
advances. Thus, the technical uncertainties of
the concept are too great to provide a firm
basis for economic analyses. Here, as in most
other areas, it is only possible to develop the
foundation for future analysis that would seek
to reduce the current uncertainties.

Reference System Costs

The most detailed cost estimates have been


made by NASA66 for the reference system (fig.
23). According to these estimates, which are
based on detailed hardware specifications and
associated transportation and industrial in-
f restructure, achieving the first complete
reference system satellite will require an in-
vestment of $102.4 billion over a 20-year
period. Figure 24 illustrates one estimate67 of
how the costs could be allocated over time.
Each additional copy of the satellite and asso-
ciated terrestrial facilities would cost $11.3
billion. Expenses are divided into the following
phases:
● Research — $370 million. This phase of SPS
development (table 10) is by far the small-
est, constituting less than 0.4 percent of
the total SPS program. About half of these

bbPiland, op. cit.


a
“Woodcock, “Solar Power Satellite System Definition Study,” NASA estimates—1977 dollars.
op. cit. SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 93

Figure 24.— How Cost Could Be Allocated Table 11 .—Engineering—$8 Billion



Millions Percent
of dollars of total
SPS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 370 5
Test article hardware . . . . . . . . . . . 210 3
LEO base (8 man) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,400 30
Manned orbital transfer vehicle. . . 1,200 15
Shuttle flights. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 870 11
Shuttle booster. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,900 36
Management and integration . . . . 61 1
Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $8,000
NOTE: Percentages do not total 100% due to rounding errors.
SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

Table 12.—Demonstration—$23 Billion


Millions Percent
o of dollars of total
Years Demonstrator:
DDT&E . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $2,700 12
SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Hardware. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,500 11
Pilot production facilities . . . . . . . 400 2
Shuttle DDT&E and fleet . . . . . . . . 3,000 13
Construction:
Table 10.—Research—$37O Million DDT&E . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,100 13
Hardware. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,000 13
Millions Percent Space operations (4 years
of dollars of total operations, construct bases,
and demonstrations) . . . . . . . . . 2,800 12
Power generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 79 21
Personnel orbital transfer vehicle
Power transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 11
(DDT&E and hardware). . . . . . . . 1,700 7
Structures and control. . . . . . . . . . 22 6
Electric orbital transfer vehicle
Space construction . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 7
(DDT&E) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,800 8
Space transportation . . . . . . . . . . . 20 5
Demonstration rectenna . . . . . . . . 1,800 8
System studies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 5
Management and integration . . . . 200 1
Research flight test . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 45
$370 Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $23,000
SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

costs are chargeable to the development ciated rectenna and ground facilities to
of the transportation system. collect and disperse electrical power to
● Engineering–$8 billion. This part of the the grid. The demonstrator requires a sec-
program (table 11) contributes the com- ond generation shuttle and orbital trans-
plex engineering knowledge necessary for fer vehicle to provide the transportation
creating a useful space structure. The capabiIity to GEO.
work includes developing an engineering ● Investment—$57.9 billion. By far the
test article in LEO, capable of generating largest percentage (57 percent) of the non-
1 MW of power. It is the direct precursor recurring costs of the reference system are
to the demonstrator and provides the test- devoted to this phase (table 13). In addi-
ing ground for constructing and using col- tion to providing for the transportation
lector and transmitting subarrays, a rotary and construction capabilities for the
joint and satellite attitude control. space component, it also includes the
● Demonstration –$23 billion. This phase of costs ($7.8 bill ion) for developing the ter-
the reference program (table 12) culmi- restrial factories needed to produce satel-
nates in a 300-MW satellite and the asso- lite components.
94 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 13.—SPS lnvestment—$57.9 Billion alone vary by a factor of 30 ($40 to


$1 ,250/kg).
Millions of Percent
dollars of total
● Photovoltaic cells. GaAs cell cost esti-
Heavy lift launch vehicle . . . . . . . . $16,600 29 mates are extremely optimistic given the
Development. ... ... ... ... .. .$10,500 18% current state of technology. Break-
Fleet (6 boosters, 7 orbiters) ... $ 6,100 11 0 /0
Electric orbital transfer
throughs will be needed to reach the
Vehicle (21 x 284). . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,000 design goals for mass, efficiency, and
Construction bases . . . . . . . . . . . . 17,200 30 costs. Silicon cell cost estimates are less
Development. ... ... ... ... ... $ 4,300 8 %
optimistic but will still require significant
Hardware and launch ... ... .. .$12,900 22%.
SPS development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,200 4 simultaneous reductions in mass and cost
Ground-based factories and an increase in efficiency to achieve
(klystrons, solar cells, etc.) . . . . . 7,800 13
Launch and recovery sites. . . . . . .
the SPS goal (2 g/W, $0.17/Wp, and 17-
7,300 13
Program management and percent efficiency).
integration. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 800 1 ● Slip ring. It is not well enough defined to
Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $57,900 appraise the slip ring components or their
SOURCE: National Aeronautics and Space Administration. operational capabiIity.
● Satellite electrical systems. The degree of
detail is insufficient to judge the credibili-
Though these are the best estimates currently ty of the cost estimates of the subsystem.
available, they suffer from an unavoidable
lack of specific engineering details, as well as Thus, the $102.4 billion estimate of “front
from insufficient manufacturing experience end” costs and the $11.3 billion estimates for
for most of the system components. Moreover, each satellite may be an optimistic estimate of
in some areas, (e. g., klystrons, slip ring, phase SPS costs.
control) current technology is inadequate to On the other hand, if unexpected break-
define solutions to engineering problems. throughs were to occur in space transporta-
Thus, the estimates could eventually turn out tion, rectenna or satellite technology, the costs
to be high or low. The DOE SPS Cost Review 68 of the reference system could be lower than
examined five different elements of the SPS now estimated. Since NASA estimates already
reference design and concluded that the pro- assume some technological breakthroughs
jected costs are “based on optimistic assess- (e.g., in solar cell production, space construc-
ments of future technological and manufac- tion, rectenna construction), they are more
turing capabilities. ” likely to be low than high. In either case, the
● Rectenna support construction. Projected estimates reflect a troublesome feature of the
costs were found to be low by a factor of reference system —the high costs that are nec-
3 to 5. Automated production might essary to demonstrate the feasibility of the SPS
reduce costs to a level more in keeping (about $31 billion). A further $71 billion would
with the reference system estimates, but be needed to build and use a single reference
significant advances over today’s meth- system satellite (investment of $57.9 billion
ods would be needed. and a first satellite costing $13.1 billion).
● Graphite fiber-reinforced thermoplastic. Because the initial costs have a direct bearing
Currently used for golf clubs, fishing rods, on financing the project, they are more fully
and for any other use where low weight discussed in chapter 9.
and high stiffness are required, this is the A number of opportunities exist for reducing
recommended material for the satellite SPS development expenses. Some involve pur-
truss work. The proposed structures are suing alternative concepts; others, revising the
insufficiently defined to specify the costs. reference system. Because the reference sys-
Estimates of future costs for the materials tem is by no means an optimal design, im-
‘*J. H. Crowley and E J. Ziegler, “Satellite Power Sy5tems (SPS) provements could lead to significant cost
Cost Review,” DOE/TIC-11190, MaV 1980 reductions. Common to all potential systems
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 95

would be the division of SPS development into private investment in space is strong for other
the phases outlined above: research, engineer- reasons. Under these combined circumstances,
ing verification, demonstration, and invest- the total risk to the U.S. taxpayer would be
ment, with increasing commitment of re- substantialIy reduced.
sources in each successive phase. For micro-
One interesting option for reducing trans-
wave and laser systems, space transportation
portation costs of a CEO SPS would be to
and construction would constitute a high per-
assemble the satellite in LEO and send it to
centage of the system costs in all phases. It is
CEO under its own power. This might be
in these areas that there would be a high
particularly applicable to the demonstration
potential for reducing overall costs.
phase of the reference program, since it would
The precise costs of an SPS program would avoid the need for premature investment in an
also depend strongly on the nature and scope expensive manned geosynchronous construc-
of national and global interest in space. If tion/assembly facility.
commercial ventures in space grow at a strong
Whatever their potential savings, all of these
enough rate (e. g., for telecommunications sat-
possibilities could only be evaluated after the
ellites, space manufacturing, etc.), the current
proper scale of a demonstration satellite had
shuttle and its related technology would be in-
been determined. This decision, in turn, would
adequate, and pressures would be strong for
depend on considerable terrestrial and space-
developing expanded space capabilities. The
based testing, some of which will take place in
explosive growth of the domestic airline in-
other space programs (see ch. 5).
dustry since the 1930’s has been suggested as
the appropriate model to use to investigate Because the HLLV would be used later on in
this eventuality. 69 the production phase of the reference SPS ab-
sorbs the bulk of transportation costs, it is of
Much of the technology and experience
considerable interest to find less expensive
needed for space construction (manned LEO
ways of transporting mass to space. Some of
and GEO bases, large-scale antennas, studies
the alternative high-capacity transportation
of space productivity, etc. ) and space transpor-
vehicles have been discussed earlier in this
tation (manned and unmanned orbital-transfer
chapter. The heavy Iift launch vehicles achieve
vehicles, shuttIe boosters, HLLVS, etc.) of SPS
their cost reductions by economies of scale. It
would be developed for other programs as
has been suggested that smaller vehicles,
well. Of these, the SPS program should bear
perhaps only slightly larger than the current
only its share. By charging only those costs
space shuttle, could be used instead of the
that are unique to SPS to the SPS program, its
much larger HLLV.71 The smaller vehicles
front end costs would be reduced by a signifi-
would use higher launch frequencies to
cant amount. Seen in this light, the massive
achieve the same or better benefits. According
space capability needed for mounting an SPS
to this proposal, the minimum-cost individual
program would be less of an anomaly (given
payload necessary to launch as many as five
the future evolution of space technology), ’”
reference SPS satellites to orbit is about 50
and SPS would need to shoulder fewer of the
tonnes (compared to the Shuttle’s 30 tonnes).
development costs for this capability.
The prospects for employing routine airline-
There is also the possibility that a percent- Iike launch practices opens a whole new ap-
age of the investment phase could be shoul- proach to the logistics of major space manu-
dered by private investment, thereby reducing facturing enterprises as well as providing
the burden to taxpayers. This would be all the potential cost reductions for SPS.
more likely to happen in a milieu in which

“C, R. Woodcock, “Solar Power Satellites and the Evolution


of Space Technology, “ AIAA Annual Meeting, May 1980. “R. H Miller and D. L. Akin, “Logistics Costs of Solar Power
70
1 bid. Satellites,” Space So/ar Power Review, VOI 1, pp. 191-208,1980.
96 ● Solar Power Satellites

ALTERNATIVE SYSTEMS
Systems other than the reference system The Laser System
might be more or less costly, depending on fac-
tors such as the achievable efficiency, the The largest unknowns for the laser system
mass in orbit, and the state of development of are the efficiency, specific mass and the cost
the alternative technologies that make up of the transmitting lasers themselves. This is
these systems. At present, these alternatives because the technology of high-power CW
are much less defined and their costs accord- lasers is in a relatively primitive state (current
ingly even more uncertain than the reference CW lasers achieve outputs of 20 kw or greater,
system costs. The following discussion summa- operated in a so-called loop move, i.e., the
rizes available cost data and the greatest cost Iasant is recirculated). Space lasers for SPS
uncertainties of the alternative systems. would have to operate at much higher outputs
(megawatts) and at higher efficiencies (i.e., 50
v. 20 percent) for current lasers. Concepts such
The Solid-State System
as the solar pumped laser and the free electron
● The unit cost of the solid-state devices is un- laser are completely untried in a form that
known. However, the semiconductor indus- would be appropriate to SPS. Therefore their
try has considerable experience in producing costs are even more difficult to ascertain. In
large numbers of reliable solid-state com- general it can be said that the cost of the
ponents at low cost, and the learning curve system would be tied to the overall efficiency
for such production is well-known. In princi- of the system and the amount of mass in
ple, it should be possible to make a realistic space, but considerable study and some devel-
prediction of costs when the appropriate de- opment would be needed to make suitably
vice or devices are well characterized. reliable projections.
● Solid-state efficiencies. Present efficiencies ● Transportation. The laser systems that have
are much lower than for the klystron. Cur-
been explored project higher mass in orbit
rent research is aimed at increasing their
than for the reference system, which may
operating efficiency (to reach at least 85 per-
drive the cost of the laser system up. How-
cent).
ever, if a substantial portion of this mass is
● Mass in space. Current estimates of the mass
in LEO rather than in CEO, the overall trans-
per kilowatt of delivered power 72 suggest
portation costs might not exceed the trans-
that the mass in space would be higher than portation costs of the reference system and
that of the reference system making the could turn out to be lower.
transportation costs higher as well.
● Demonstration. Because the laser system is
Since many components of the solid-state intrinsically smaller it should be possible to
system are shared with the reference system mount a demonstration project for consid-
(e.g., the graphite fiber reinforced thermo-
erably less than for the reference system.
plastic support structures, the photovoltaic ar-
rays, the rectenna design, etc.), it would be ● Terrestrial component. The ground stations
possible to generate realistic relative costs if would have to have a certain amount of re-
the above uncertainties are reduced. dundancy in order to accommodate laser
transmission when cloudy weather obscures
one or more receivers. The precise amount
of redundancy would depend on the particu-
7
lar location and would include extra trans-
*G. Hanley, “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept Defini-
tion Study,” vol. 1, Rockwell International SSD-8O-O1O8-I, Oc-
mission lines as well as extra ground
tober 1980. receivers.
Ch. 5—Alternative Systems for SPS ● 97

The Mirror System ducing the same overall output computed on


identical assumptions would cost 115
Figure 25 summarizes mirror system cost m i I Is/k Wehr.
estimates for the SOLARES baseline case 73
based on the DOE 1986 cost goals for photo- Since electricity production from the mirror
voltaic cells. These “up front” cost estimates, system would depend heavily on the use of ter-
which include contingency and interest on the restrial solar photovoltaic or solar thermal
borrowed money, lead to an estimated level- systems, cost variations of either conversion
ized busbar energy cost of 31 mills/kWehr system would have a strong effect on total
compared to 1990 estimated costs of nuclear/ system costs. Figure 26 summarizes the effect
coal mix of 45 mills/kWehr. I n comparison, a of varying several system parameters on the
strictly terrestrial system of photovoltaics pro- cost of electricity delivered to the busbar in
73
the SOLARES system. The three most sensitive
et “Solar Energy Economics Revisited: The
Promise and Challenge of orbiting Reflector for World Energy parameters are solar cell efficiency, solar cell
Supply, ” cit. cost per peak kilowatt and total space cost

Figure 25.—Elements and Costs, in 1977 Dollars, for the Baseline (photovoltaic
conversion, 4,146 km, inclined orbit) SOLARES System

Solar cells

NOTE: Total costs are proportional to the areas of the circles. Interest and contingency constitute 33 percent of the total SOLARES costs.
SOURCE: K. W. Billman, W. P. Gilbreath, and S. W. Bowen, “Space Reflector Technology and Its System Implications” AlAA paper 79-0545,
AIAA 15th Annual Meeting and Technical Display, 1979.
98 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 26.—Sensitivity of the SOLARES Mirror (transport, construction, mirrors in space). A


System to Variations in System Parameters
cost over-run of about 2 times (to $1,000/pk
kWe) could be tolerated before a busbar cost
of 45 milis/kWehr wouId be reached. Similarly,
a space system total cost over-run of a factor
of 4.25 could be tolerated. Finally, because of
the projected high energy production per unit
of mirror mass in space, a twenty-three-fold in-
crease in space transport cost (or $1 ,380/kg)
would still result in a production cost of 45
mills/kWehr. For comparison, the charge for
transporting mass to space by means of the
space shuttle is estimated to be between $84
and $154 (1975 dollars). ”

74
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, “Space
Transportation Reimbursement Guide,” JSC-11-802, May 1980
% Variation of parameters

SOURCE: Ken Billman, W. P. Gilbreath, and S. W. Bower, “Space Reflector


Technology and Its System Implications” AlAA paper 79-0545 AlAA
15th Annual Meeting and Technical Display, 1979,
Chapter 6
SPS IN CONTEXT
Contents
Page Table No. Page
Energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .......101 16. Description of Milestones of Major
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 101 Breeder Programs . ................116
Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .......,101 17. Summary Assessment. . ..........,.125
Determinants of Demand. . ..........102 18. Major Environmental Risks. . ........127
Energy Supply Comparisons . . . . . . . ...104 19. Terrestrial and Space Insolation
Implications. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .131 Compared. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .128
20. Terrestrial Insolation at Different
The Effects of SPS on Civilian Space
Latitudes and Climates . ............129
Poilcy and Programs . . . . . . . . . . . .135
21. Costs of Onsite Photovltaics. . ......131
Space Policy. . . . . .................135
22. Range of Energy Demand in 2030,....132
Current and Projected Space Projects. . .137
23. Upper Range of SPS Use . ..,........135
Institutional Structures. . ............139
indirect Effects and ’’Spinoffs”. . ......139

LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
Figure No. Page
Table No. Page 27 Recent and Projected Solar
14. Criteria for Choice, , . ..............105 Photovoitaic Prices. ., . . . + . . . . . . ...114
15. Characteristics of Five Electrical 28 Levelized Lifecyle Cost of Electricity ..124
Technologies.. . . .................110 29 Quarttified Health Effects. . .........126
Chapter 6
SPS IN CONTEXT

ENERGY
Introduction problems that would result from potential sup-
ply interruptions and to improve the U.S. trade
Because of its long development Ieadtime, deficit. To do this, concentration must be
solar power satellites (SPS) will not be avail- placed on lowering demand growth by increas-
able to any extent before the early part of the ing the efficiency of energy use, and switching
next century and will therefore do very little to to the use of more abundant domestic fuels.
relieve our dependence on imported oil. SPS’s Of the two, improving energy efficiency will be
primary use would be to replace old power- the major new source of energy because of the
plants and meet any new demand for elec- much longer Ieadtime needed to bring on new
tricity. Consequently, the potential value of fuel supplies such as coal and nuclear. Do-
the SPS must be determined in competition mestic oil and natural gas can be developed
with other future electricity sources and in the more quickly, but it is not likely that they will
context of U.S. and global electricity demand. contribute to reducing oil imports since both
This chapter examines this topic in detail by will probably decline in production for the
looking at the future demand for energy, and decade. A recent OTA technical memoran-
electric power in particular, in the United dum’ estimates a 25-to 45-percent drop in U.S.
States, and the various supply options that oil production by 1990. Thte use of nuclear
could compete with the SPS. Global energy de- energy will increase, but at a slower rate than
mand and the SPS in a worldwide context is ex- in the 1970’s. Finally, solar and biomass energy
amined in chapter 7. production will grow rapidly during the 1980’s
but the absolute magnitude will be low com-
Overview pared to oil imports. Therefore, although an in-
crease in the amount of coal, solar, biomass,
The U.S. energy future can be divided into and possibly nuclear energy sources is ex-
three time periods according to the supply op- pected, they will probably not be able to con-
tions that will be available. These periods are tribute enough by themselves to relieve the
roughly the next 10 years (near term), from pressures caused by U.S. dependence on im-
1990 to approximately 2020 (the midterm or ports.
transition period), and beyond 2020 (the long
term). Although these boundaries are not hard Transition Period: Midterm
and fast, they roughly define periods in which
In the period from 1990 to 2020, substantial
particular energy supply forms will dominate.
supply shifts will occur. Although the period
will begin with heavy dependence on coal, oil,
Near Term
and natural gas, it will end with a much greater
In the near term, there will be no significant reliance on renewable and inexhaustible ener-
change from our current reliance on oil, natu- gy resources. U.S. dependence on imported oil
ral gas, and coal. Currently about 92 percent of will almost surely come to an end if for no
our Nation’s energy supply comes from these other reason than that the availability of oil on
fuels. About one-quarter of the total is im- the world market will have dropped substan-
ported (almost all in the form of oil). Because tially. World oil production may drop as much
of finite suppIies, overalI consumption of these as 20 percent by 2000 and fall off sharply
liquid and gaseous fossil fuels must eventually thereafter. The dominant fuels during this
be reduced. However, the most important goal
‘Office of Technology Assessment, U.S. Congress, “World
over the next decade is the reduction of oil im- Petroleum Availability, 1980-2000,” technical memorandum, Oc-
ports in order to avoid the severe economic tober 1980, OTA-T M-E-5

101
102 ● Solar Power Satellites

period are likely to be coal (for synthetic fuels, Determinants of Demand


direct combustion, and electricity generation),
natural gas, and possibly conventional nu- SPS would fit most easily into a high electric
clear. During this period, strong growth of re- growth future. Such a future is contrary to re-
newable and inexhaustible sources such as cent low growth trends. In fact, many conser-
solar and biomass can be expected. Uranium is vation initiatives have been directed at reduc-
a small enough resource that conventional ing the use of electricity because of the high
nuclear must be considered a transition energy energy losses at powerplants. Nevertheless,
source. However, the supply of coal appears to changes in relative fuel prices and gains in the
be substantial enough to play a major role well efficiency of electric generation and use could
into the 22d century. Whether these fuels con- dramatically change the picture.
tribute significantly beyond the midterm de- The energy technology choices the United
pends on the successful resolution of their States and the world will make in moving
short- and long-term environmental and safety through the three periods described above will
questions. be primarily dictated, as always, by relative
costs. Until recently the dominant factor deter-
It is also during this period that SPS and
mining the development of energy tech-
other long-term candidates such as breeder re-
nologies has been the type of resource and its
actors and perhaps fusion may begin to reach
availability. The abundance of oil and natural
commercial status. The transition period will
gas, and the ease with which it could be
be the time when a number of long-term tech-
transported and burned, dictated the de-
nologies will compete with one another for a
velopment of most of the energy-using equip-
role in the future on the basis of economics
ment currently in existence. Some of this
and public acceptance. This competition will
equipment could have been powered more ef-
also depend heavily on the relative economic
ficiently by electricity, but this advantage was
efficiency of different ways of using energy, as
often dwarfed by the cost advantage these
will be discussed below.
fuels had over electricity. However, many ap-
plications such as electric motors can be made
Long Term significantly more efficient, reducing the fixed
In the long term, the United States and the cost penalty.
world will be almost totally fueled by in- In the past few years the relative prices of
exhaustible energy sources. Although rapid these energy forms have changed because of
growth of sources such as the SPS during the
the rapid increase in oil and natural gas prices.
first decades of the century may be seen, it will Current average electricity prices are about
not be until the middle of the next century that twice that of oil and four times that of natural
they could become as commonplace as coal, gas. In 1960, the ratio of electricity to oil and
electric, or even nuclear plants are today. natural gas prices was 7 to 1. Even though the
costs of new powerplants are rising rapidly,
It is not clear which renewable and in-
those of electricity will probably rise more
exhaustible sources will dominate. It may be
slowly than oil and natural gas, primarily
that small-scale, onsite solar systems coupled
because of the relative abundance of coal and
with an extremely energy-efficient economy
uranium. It is even possible that synthetic fuels
will be the ultimate future. It may also be that
from coal and biomass may be more expensive
a mix of technologies such as onsite solar,
than electricity from coal, particularly as
biomass, fusion and/or SPS will be used.
newer, more efficient coal combustion tech-
However, the choice will be made in the transi-
nologies are introduced.
tion period and will be based primarily on the
projected costs of competing supply systems The total cost to the energy user also in-
and demand technologies. cludes the cost of the energy consuming equip-
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 103

ment. Electric powered equipment is often through the use of motors. Electricity is also
cheaper than gas or oil fired counter parts. used for industrial electrochemical processes
This advantage will become increasingly im- such as in aluminum and steel production, for
portant as the prices of oil and gas narrow the specialized induction-heating applications and
gap with the price of electricity. for microwave and infrared furnaces. A small
but crucial amount is used to power the Na-
The implication of these effects is that elec-
tion’s electronic systems. Finally, electricity is
tricity may become the cheapest energy form,
used in the crudest form possible, namely for
when both supply and demand are considered,
direct conversion to heat.
for many applications that could use a multi-
plicity of energy forms. The reason is that the Although these uses are more varied than for
price differential between electricity and the the other major fuels, they account for less
other energy forms (liquid and gaseous fuels, than 12 percent of the total end-use energy de-
direct solar, etc.) will likely be small enough mand in this country. The other 88 plus percent
that it could be overcome by cheaper and is direct combustion to provide direct heat,
more efficient electric end-use technologies. steam and mechanical drive. As indicated, for
Some of these, such as heat pumps for space electricity to penetrate this latter market it will
and water heating, are already in use, while be necessary to make technical advances to
others, such as inexpensive electrochemical give electricity a cost advantage at the end-use
processes and long-life storage batteries, re- that can compensate for its higher cost at the
quire further development, [f such develop- production point.
ment is successful and electricity does become
To do this requires making use of the special
the cheapest energy form for most uses, then
character of electricity as an energy form.
electric demand growth could become quite
Electricity is a high-quality fuel (thermo-
rapid even though total energy demand may
dynamically work that is heat at infinite tem-
grow very slowly or not at all.
perature). Therefore, it can be used for any
If this holds, solar power satellites will have kind of mechanical work or it can be con-
an easier market to penetrate than if the elec- verted to heat at any temperature. The best
tric utilities continue their recent slow growth. known example of the latter property is the
Thus, the fate of SPS rests as much on the abili- heat pump for space heating. This is now being
ty to create energy efficient electrical end-use applied to water heating and certain drying ap-
technologies as it does on the relative eco- plications with a substantial reduction in
nomics of other electric generatin g technol- energy use over electric resistance heating and
ogies. One caveat must be added, however. If apparent cost advantages over solar.
demand technologies for fuels keep pace with
In the industrial area, there is considerable
the efficiency improvements of electric de-
potential for increased use of electricity. For
mand technologies, such dramatic switching
instance, in steel making it can be used for the
may not occur.
plasma-arc process and direct-electrolytic re-
duction of iron. Although these processes have
Electric Demand Technologies been arourd for several years, technical de-
To see if such a future is technically possible velopment is still needed. In a nearer term ap-
a closer look is taken at current and potential plication, the direct reheating of steel by high,
uses of electricity. Because of electricity’s pulsed electric currents could result in a sig-
unique properties it has been used for nificant reduction in fuel use compared to
specialized tasks such as lighting because of direct-fired processes, and also reduce mate-
the high temperature needed to excite the visi- rial loss by eliminating oxide formation that
ble spectrum. Here, electrical energy is con- occurs with direct firing. In other areas ad-
verted to visible electromagnetic radiation as vances have been seen recently in the efficien-
well as to heat. Nearly 60 percent of all elec- cy of electric motors that are now competitive
tricity is used to perform mechanical work with steam drives in many applications such as
104 Ž Solar Power Satellites

mechanical presses for metal forging. A more Conclusion


speculative but very interesting area is the use
It is likely that as technologies using elec-
of laser or microwave radiation to drive in-
tricity are improved or new efficient uses are
dustrial chemical reactions, instead of heat.
found, improvements will be made in using
other future nonelectric energy sources such
In ground transportation the principal prob-
as biomass and direct solar. While all of these
lem is the development of long-lived, light-
developments are many years away, it is this
weight, reliable storage batteries. EIectric
environment in which the SPS will compete.
drive using motors with precise solid-state
The success or failure of these new electric
speed control can be made very efficient, as
has been demonstrated on many of the world’s technologies will have a great deal to do with
determining whether or not a market exists for
railroads. Advances have recently been made
in battery technology but the general feeling is SPS as well as the other large-scale, electric-
generating technologies.
that “ideal” batteries are at least a decade
away.
Energy Supply Comparisons
The industrial sector is presently only 13-
Introduction
percent electrified, while the transportation
sector only uses a negligible amount of elec- Comparisons with other energy technol-
tricity. Thus, these are the markets that elec- ogies, both current and future, are a critical
tricity must penetrate to become the dominant part of assessing a proposed new energy tech-
energy form. However, some new technologies nology. A host of criteria, only some of which
have the potential to reduce industrial de- are readily quantifiable, is available for com-
mands without creating new markets for elec- parison purposes. Costs, environmental im-
tricity. In the chemical industry, for instance, pacts, scale, complexity, versatility, safety,
biogenetic methods of feedstock synthesis and health risks are some of the more impor-
could replace thermochemical methods, re- tant factors of choice that ultimately deter-
ducing fuel usage without substituting elec- mine the relative desirability of a given energy
tricity. About half the present industrial elec- technology. For technologies currently in
tric demand could be offset by cogeneration, a place these factors are generally well known.
technology that is not strictly a demand tech- For future technologies they are more often
nology but which could nevertheless reduce only poorly known. Nevertheless, choices
electricity needed from the grid. I n the trans- among future energy technologies must be
portation sector, battery research as a key to made, either in the R&D phase, or, later, in the
electric vehicles must compete with the effi- marketplace.
ciency improvements possible with high-
mileage advanced vehicles using synthetic or Criteria for Choice
biomass-derived liquid fuels. The buildings Whenever decisions to proceed with or halt
sector is already the most heavily electrified the development of a given technology are
and some electric technologies, such as com- made, it is important to lay out the framework
mon appliances, are nearing saturation. of choice, to develop a set of criteria by which
one may judge the relative benefits and draw-
The achievement of highly efficient, electric
backs of different technologies. In addition to
demand technologies would change not only
providing a basis for choice, such a list can
the balance of fuels now used but also the sec-
also help to identify the essential distinctions
toral usage patterns of electricity, with
between technologies and highlight areas that
dramatic growth in the industrial and transpor-
will need further R&D.
tation sectors, and less in the buildings sector
which has shown the greatest postwar growth Table 14 lists 32 criteria developed in an
in electric demand. OTA workshop that are often used in compar-
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 105

Table 14.—Criteria for Choice solar thermal technologies, terrestrial solar


photovoltaics, advanced fission (the breeder),
Plant description
1. Scale of power output (range in megawatts) and fusion. If the health and safety problems
2. Power output in relation to load profile (baseload, of coal are satisfactorily solved, it could also
intermediate, peaking) be a major electric supply technology in the
3. Versatility (other output besides electricity)
4. Complexity (high, medium, low) and maintenance period that SPS could become available. In ad-
requirements (controllability) dition, there may also be a component of con-
5. Reliability (percent of time available to the grid) ventional nuclear power still operating in the
6. Nominal capacity factor (percent time operating)
7. Material requirements second and third decades of the 21st century
8. Labor requirements (the timeframe after 2010 that is most likely for
9. Land requirements SPS deployment).
10. Construction Ieadtime (years)
11. Lifetime (what are key determinants)
The data that OTA generated for these tech-
costs
12. Opportunity costs of RD&D (dollars and people)
nologies are supplemented by the electrical
13. Net energy ratio supply comparisons which Argonne National
14. Operating costs (cents/kWh) Laboratory made for the Department of
15. Capital costs ($/kW)
Energy (DOE/SPS) assessment program. 3 DOE
16. T&D costs (cents/kWh)
17. “Decommissioning” costs chose to study conventional and advanced
Impacts coal technologies, light water reactors, liquid
18. Institutional (organization and ownership) impacts metal fast breeder reactor (LMFBR) breeders
19. Safety and health risks (magnitude and distribution) fusion, the reference system SPS, and ter-
20. Environmental risks (magnitude and distribution)
21. National security risks of normal or unintended use restrial photovoltaics operating in a peaking
22. Military vulnerability mode. Their data will be discussed along with
Deployment consideration the results that OTA obtained. Coal and con-
23. Time period to commercialization
24. Geographic location; location of plant with respect to
ventional nuclear power will be presented first
load centers to provide a reference for the future energy
25. Compatibility with other technologies and utility grid technologies in the discussions that follow.
Other
26. Probability for success (high, low, medium) THE COAL BENCHMARK
27. Initial demonstration requirements (large or small)
28. Resource constraints (domestic, international) The coal resources of this country are
29. Risks/impacts of RD&D failure (chance it may become almost incomprehensibly large. Even if pro-
prematurely obsolete)
30. Relative uncertainties to be resolved by RD&D (e.g.,
duction were to triple, in that case coal would
sensitivity of efficiency to design parameters) serve about half the present U.S. energy needs,
31. Is it a viable example for rest of world? known recoverable reserves would not be ex-
32. Nature of R&D process (public, private, classified)
hausted until late in the next century. Es-
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment timated additional reserves could take this
production well into the 22d century. Thus, for
ing electrical generating technologies. Most fit
all practical purposes, the supply of coal is in-
into four broad categories: plant description,
exhaustible.
costs, impacts, and deployment considera-
tions. These criteria establish a context for Unlike any other long-term energy source,
evaluating the SPS in relation to other future coal can be exploited with known, proven
energy technologies. technology at costs that are competitive now.
Advanced coal technologies such as com-
Five Future Energy Technologies bined-cycle gasifiers and magnetohydrody-
In the timeframe that the SPS would be most namics, are not vital to coal’s future but could
likely to play a role in the U.S. energy future,
the other energy sources that are likely to ‘M E Samsa, “SPS and Alternative Technologies Cost and
contribute wilI be predominantly the renew- Performance Evaluations, ” T h e F i n a l P r o c e e d i n g s o f t h e S o l a r
Power Sate//;te Program I?ev;ew, CON F-800491 (DOE), 1980.
able and inexhaustible ones. OTA has chosen ‘ P r o g r a m A$$e$sment Report S t a t e m e n t o f F;nd/ngs, SPS C o n -
to study the SPS in comparison to terrestrial cept and E valuation Program, DO F/E R-0085, 1980

83-316 0 - 81 - 8
106 ● Solar Power Satellites

improve the efficiency and economics of coal- bers, but also because the equipment in use
fired electric power. Thus, of all the options has generally shown disappointing reliability.
for large-scale, long-term production of elec- However, current systems appear to be consid-
tricity, coal is the least uncertain technolog- erably better than early designs, so utilities
ically and economically and it is appropriate can, if they are careful, be confident that their
to view it as a benchmark for evaluating the equipment will function reliably and effec-
others, including SPS. tively.
Technological and economic criteria are not The regulatory approach has been to ensure
the only alternatives to consider. Any energy that the impacts are controlled to the point
source must have generally acceptable health where it is clear that known damages are
and environmental impacts. Coal evokes de- sharply reduced. As mentioned above, it ap-
pressing memories of scarred landscapes, suf- pears that this goal has been achieved. As
fering miners and smokey skies. Today, this more information is gained, it is possible that
reputation is no longer deserved. Modern coal control can be loosened without increasing the
mining and combustion techniques, when risk. For instance, new data on the damage
properly applied, have reduced virtually all caused by sulfur oxides and sulfates, and bet-
these objectionable impacts to the point where ter data on the long range transport and chem-
damage is clearly a small fraction of what it ical transformation of these and other pollut-
once was. ants might allow more selectivity in emissions
The actual future of coal, however, is much control. Thus, the costs of controlling impacts
less certain than its potential. Issues arising may be reduced rather than increased in the
when expanded mining and use are considered future. Such a reduction would improve coal’s
can be divided into three categories: interrup- competitiveness with nuclear power or SPS,
tions, control costs, and risks. These will be unless some of the unproven risks are con-
discussed in some detail because if coal does firmed.
not realize its potential, the reasons will prob- There are three major risks to long-term coal
ably be found here. combustion that could limit expansion or
Interruptions are intermittent events that make it much more expensive: public health
prevent scheduled plans from being fulfilled. effects, acid rain, and carbon dioxide (C02).
Strikes by miners and transportation break- Coal combustion pollutants have been linked
downs are obvious examples. Opposition by in- by statistical analyses to tens of thousands of
tervenors that prevent facilities from being deaths per year. These studies are highly con-
built might be included here. These factors troversial and have been neither proven nor
can’t be completely eliminated, but proper disproven. If they are generally accepted, con-
planning can reduce disruption. The major siderable reduction of sulfur and nitrogen
long-term effect is to deter potential users oxides would probably be necessary. This
from turning to coal if they have other options reduction would probably call for greater use
and are concerned about the reliability of the of coal cleaning before combustion, combus-
coal supply. tion modifications and higher efficiency flue-
gas desulfurization systems. Such changes
The cost of controlling coal’s negative im- would be expensive but unavoidable if the
pacts is high. Reclaiming surface mined lands public demands cleaner air because of con-
and reducing the emissions of combustion cerns over health risks.
have received the most attention. For instance,
the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977 have The documentation for damage by acid rain
required the use of the “best available control is better than for public health effects, but is
technology” for limiting emissions of sulfur still not conclusive. Acid rain is evidently
oxides. Utilities have been concerned not only caused by the same pollutants suspected in the
because of the expense of the flue-gas scrub- public health issue, but the scientific under-
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 107

standing of pollutant transport and chemical will be required before enough is known to
conversion is poor. Furthermore, while acidifi- make intelligent decisions about the signifi-
cation of certain lakes and streams is strongly cance of the effects of increased CO 2 in the
suspected, extensive damage to terrestrial eco- atmosphere. The contribution of fossil fuel
systems is only surmised. If this damage is combustion to the CO2 buildup, the results of
proved and found too costly, the remedy this buildup on the heat balance and climate,
would be the same as for public health effects. and the effects of climate changes must all be
However, it must be emphasized that proof of studied extensively. At some point, however, it
damage is insufficient. The pollutants must be may be necessary to limit coal combustion in
traced back to their source in order to know order to limit CO2 emissions since it is highly
where to implement controls. Otherwise inef- unlikely that any practical means of removing
fectual or overly expensive control strategies CO 2 from the flue gases will be devised.
may be implemented.
In summary, as far as we can tell now, coal is
The final risk, excessive CO2 released to the capable of supplying most of the electric
atmosphere, is by far the most intractable. The power this country is likely to need for many
adverse impacts that have been suggested generations. The effects of the release of extra
dwarf those of any other human activities with CO, to the atmosphere are sufficiently in
the possible exception of nuclear war, The C0 2 doubt that other options must be prepared in
produced by burning fossil fuels and clearing case they are required. However, until we
forests accumulates in the atmosphere. Some know that it constitutes a serious problem the
of the CO2 that is produced is absorbed in the development of other options must be justified
oceans, but the dynamics of the CO2 balance on the basis that they will be cheaper or more
are not well-understood. The concentration in
attractive in some other way than properly
the atmosphere is increasing by 5 percent per control led coal.
year since 1958. C0 2 is transparent to most of
the incoming sunlight that warms the Earth. CONVENTIONAL NUCLEAR
Normally much of this is radiated back to
Conventional nuclear plants totaling 55,000
space in the form of infrared radiation, but
MW of power are now operational and another
CO, tends to absorb and block this longer
wavelength radiation. This mechanism, the 106 reactors totaling 118,000 MW are either on
greenhouse effect, is an essential ingredient in order or under construction.5 This is a substan-
maintaining the proper temperature balance tial base for the nuclear technology, but it is
on the Earth. However, if sufficient quantities questionable whether it will be fully realized
of CO2 are added to the atmosphere, addi- or expanded because of public opposition,
licensing problems, financial uncertainties,
tional heat will be trapped to warm the Earth
significantly. and eventualIy resource Iimitations.
A number of studies of atmospheric CO 2 Public opposition has been especially visi-
levels predict that concentration will rise to ble. While public opinion polls still show sup-
two to eight times today’s level in the 21st and port for nuclear energy, this support has been
22d centuries. While there is continuing discus- weakened for several reasons. Low-level radia-
sion about the effects of this buildup, the ma- tion release and other problems with routine
jority of the scientific community agrees that operations contribute to public concern. Pub-
the probability of global warming and other lic support has also eroded because of con-
climate changes is sufficiently high to warrant tinued lack of a suitable site and demonstrated
exceptional attention. 4 Changing climate pat- means for nuclear waste disposal. Further mis-
terns, even if they turned out to be ultimately haps such as the accident at Three Mile Island
beneficial, would cause enormous disruption, could condemn the technology in the eyes of
especially with agriculture. At least 10 years many who now reluctantly accept it. Finally,
4
0ffice of Technology Assessment, U S Congress, The Direct ‘Department of Energy, “U S Central Stations Nuclear Gener-
Use of Coal, OTA-E-86, 1979 ating Units, r’ September 1980
108 ● Solar Power Satellites

the possibility that nuclear energy could con- $2 billion. Not many utilities can raise that
tribute to nuclear weapons proliferation dis- much capital, even when the projected costs
turbs many, though it is debatable whether of power at the busbar are favorable. Even
renunciation of the nuclear option by the now, many plants are being built as joint ven-
United States would materially reduce this tures by several companies. A continuation of
risk. high interest rates could delay many plans for
capital-intensive projects. And after an expen-
Most of these problems, except prolifera-
sive reactor starts operation, the utility bears
tion, can be ameliorated by improved technol-
an additional economic risk due to the possi-
ogy, procedures, and regulations. But if im-
bility of unplanned shutdowns. The Three Mile
provements are not made quickly, public
Island (TMI) accident and the Browns Ferry f ire
opinion could swing against nuclear power in
led to lengthy shutdowns that forced huge ex-
the United States as it has on occasion in other
penditures by the owner utilities, which then
Western democracies (e.g., Sweden and Aus-
had to generate or buy expensive replacement
tria). Even if opponents remain in a minority,
power. The present financial difficulties of the
they can find many opportunities to trouble
owner of Three Mile island, General Public
the industry through legal actions, regulatory
Utilities, illustrate how critical this concern
appeals and ballot initiative. None of these
will be for other utilities.
may kill a particular project, but they could
discourage utility executives from choosing Availability of fuel will eventually be a
the uncertainty and frustration associated with serious constraint if conventional reactors are
nuclear power as long as they have other op- used in the midterm to long-term future, with-
tions such as coal. out a shift to advanced nuclear breeders. The
Committee on Nuclear and Alternative Energy
Utility decisionmakers also have to consider
Systems (CONAES) estimated that enough ura-
licensing and financial uncertainties. At pres-
nium exists in this country to fuel at least
ent, many design criteria for nuclear plants are
400,000 MW for the lifetime of the reactors (40
so poorly defined that it is virtualIy impossible
years). ’ This would allow the construction of
to get a new reactor licensed. ’ This problem
another 227,000 MW of capacity. If ordering of
may be resolved over the next few years, but
new reactors resumes in 1985 and continues at
recent trends have not been reassuring. For in-
the rate of 10 reactors per year, the last one
stance, a review now underway—to determine
wouId be ordered in 2008. Because of retire-
if fundamental changes in reactor designs are
ments, by 2050 nuclear power would be back
necessary to contain melted fuel cores in case
to near its present level. Peak energy output
of severe accidents— is expected to last sev-
under this scenario would be about 5.6 (end
eral years.
use) Quads in 2015. However, discovery rates
Some regulatory rulemaking problems stem for uranium ore and imports and exports of
from a lack of conclusive data. Others appear uranium could change the total availability in
to reflect the Nuclear Regulatory Commis- an unpredictable way.
sion’s lack of a clear picture of what it wants
The greatest single long-term uncertainty
to accomplish and how to do it. Both types of
facing the industry is the future electricity
uncertainties have to be resolved before the
growth rate, just as it is for the SPS. Over the
utilities wiII consider ordering many more reac-
next several decades, moderately high growth
tors.
rates might require much more nuclear power,
Utility companies also face uncertainty con- but as discussed in this chapter, the growth
cerning both the capital available to build rate may be more modest. However, low
plants and the risk of a long-term shutdown. growth need not preclude nuclear, and might
The cost of a new nuclear plant is now close to
‘f nergy In Transition, Committee on Nuclear and Alternative
‘Office of Technology Assessment, U S Congress, Nuclear Energy Systems (CONAES), National Academy of Sciences,
Powerp/ant Standardlzat/on, OTA-E-1 34, April 1981 VVashlngton, D C , 1979
Ch. 6—SPS in Context Ž 109

enhance the attractiveness of nuclear com- it is not restricted for use with a single plant. A
pared to other future central power options, recent study by the National Academy of
such as SPS, that require large deployments to Sciences’ concludes that when wind, photovol-
justify the development cost. taics, or solar thermal is used in a utility
system, “it is typically not desirable to have
Nuclear energy can have a future if its prob-
dedicated storage but wiser to provide the
lems are addressed effectively and decisively.
backup energy from the grid.” Except for a
To some extent this is happening. The accident
small amount of storage to handle short-term
at TM I has revealed weaknesses in reactor
variations of sunlight in solar thermal applica-
plant design and operator training, to which
tions, the conclusion that dedicated storage is
the industry and the NRC are responding with
not appropriate for terrestrial renewable elec-
initiatives such as the Institute for Nuclear
tric technologies is generally well-accepted.
Power Operations and the Nuclear Safety
Analysis Center. As a result of the events in the Currently, electrical generation is fueled
past 2 years, both regulators and utilities seem largely by oil, natural gas, coal, fissionable
more conscious that extreme safety is in every- material, and stored water. For the time period
one’s interest. when the SPS is most likely to find applicabili-
Whether these measures will ensure safety ty, there may not be as great a diversity of
in the future and enhance the industry’s public energy supply technologies connected with the
image without pricing the technology out of utility grid as is now enjoyed; hence terrestrial
reach is still an open question. solar technologies may be used in a different
mode than the one that seems most desirable
FIVE FUTURE TECHNOLOGIES now (i. e., peaking or intermediate). It is also
The following discussion summarizes the desirable to compare all the future electric
salient characteristics of the four central technologies on a common basis. For this
renewable or inexhaustible energy technol- reason, OTA has prepared cost estimates for
ogies that have been chosen for comparison solar thermal and photovoltaics operating in a
with the SPS. While each of these alternatives baseload mode. Because photovoltaics also
is compatible with centralized electricity pro- possess the unique property among these
duction in a utility application, they are not future energy systems of being modular on a
equally applicable for baseload power produc- very small scale, its use in a dispersed mode—
tion. Photovoltaics and solar thermal sources both connected to the electric grid and inde-
vary over the course of a day and the season in pendent of it– will be discussed in a separate
a fashion that makes them well-suited for section. In the future, it would be also worth-
peaking applications. Fusion, the breeder and while to compare SPS to an energy scenario
SPS would work most efficiently producing composed of a number of dispersed solar tech-
constant power 24 hours per day, so they are nologies working in complementary fashion.
naturally suited for baseload power produc- The following discussion will give the major
tion. The applicability of photovoltaics and characteristics, cost sensitivities and uncer-
solar thermal can be broadened to cover in- tainties, factors affecting deployment, and
termediate and possibly baseload applications foreseeable impacts of the different renewable
by the addition of storage capability, but over and inexhaustible energy sources. First, a short
the next 10 to 20 years there may be little summary of each technology will be given, fol-
cause to do so, for two reasons. The first is that lowed by comparisons. Table 15 presents the
the most cost-effective application of solar relevant characteristics of each of the 5 tech-
thermal and photovoltaic systems is likely to nologies in matrix form.
be as fuel savers until all the oil and gas-fired
generating facilities have been retired from
*“Energy Storage for Solar Applications,” Committee on Ad-
utility systems. Second, electric storage is far vanced Energy Storage Systems, National Academy of Sciences,
more versatile and cost effective for a utility if 1981
110 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 15.—Characteristics of Five Electrical Technologies


Criteria Fusion Breeder SPS Solar thermal Photovoltaics
Plant description
Scale of power 500-1,500 MW 500-1,500 MW 1-100 GW (lasers 10 kW to greater 10 kW-100 MW
output smaller) than 100 MW
Power output in Baseload Baseload Base load Peaking, intermediate, Peaking, intermediate,
relation to load baseload (with stor- baseload (with storage
profile age, but expensive at expensive)
high-capacity factor)
Versatility Also large-scale, high- Also large-scale, low- Centralized, limited ver- Also cogeneration, Cogeneration?
temperature process temperature process satility. Some military high-temperature proc- -
heat; synfuels, pro- heat; synfuels; pro- connection and ess heat
duction of fissile duction of fissile relevance to space
materials materials colonies and space
manufacturing
Complexity High Medium High Low Lowest
Reliability Between 0.6 and 0.75 Same as LWR (fuel No good reason to Between 0.6 and 0.9, Greater than 0.9 ( = 1-
cycle reliability?) think it’s worse than Iike other steam time for repair)
steam technologies. plants
Between 0.6 and 0.9
(laser-exception)
Nominal capacity 0.6 to 0.75 Same as LWR Between 0.6 and 0.9 Without storage: 0.2 to Without storage: 0.2 to
factor 0.25. With storage: UP 0.25. With storage: U P
to 0.9 to 0.9. Also depends
on region
Material Design specific, can None Can design around, Plentiful, domestic Plentiful, domestic
requirements design around; stay common material, so- materials; need to materials, like nuclear
away from specialized phisticated process- build manufacturing
alloys ing industry
Labor Like LWR Like LWR Few and skilled for Moderate to large, de- Moderate to large,
requirements space construction, centralized larger decentralized larger
less skilled for receiv-
er construction
Land Same as LWR. Less Same as LWR Comparable to other 5 to 10 acre/MW 10 acre/MW incre-
requirements than 1 acre/MW (in- centralized solar mental addition could
cluding fuel cycle) systems; 6.5 be zero
acres/MW or less
Construction 5 to 12 years? 5 to 12 years (including Similar to other cen- 5 years for 1OO-MW Short; minimum 48
Ieadtime licensing) tralized technologies, plant hours for 7 kW
5 to 12 years
Lifetime Greater than 30 years Greater than 30 years Greater than 30 years; Greater than 30 years Greater than 30 years
(first wall material) (replace steam design like other
generator; systems, but limited
experience
Costs of RD&D $20 Billion to $30 $10 billion to $15 $40 billion to $100 Low $0.5 billion plus $1 billion to $2 billion
billion (?) billion to achieve first $0.5 billion to $1.0
operating satellite billion
Net energy Unknown l-year payback 2- to 20-year payback 1- to 2-year payback 2- to 20-year payback
balance
Operating costs Almost no fuel costs. 1 to 2¢/kWh 0.3 to 1.5¢/kWh; low as 1 to 4 percent of capital 1 percent; $20/kW/yr;
Same as LWR, but percentage of costs; $40 to less for centralized
less confidence delivered cost $60/kW/yr
Capital costs $2,000 to $2,500/kW; $1,500 to $2,000/kW $1,500 to $17,000/kW $1,500 to $3,000/kW $2,000 to $3,000/kW
lower for a 5-GW plant (peak) ($1.60 to
$2.20/PW) (without
storage)
T&D costs Same as any central Same as any central Similar or greater than Centralized—same as Centralized—same as
system system other central systems other systems; decen- other systems; decen-
(reliability). Need to tralized is negligible tralized is negligible
consider outage prob-
lem
Decommission- Minor Minor Push out of orbit. Small Negligible Negligible
ing costs at 4-percent discount
rate over 30 years
Impacts
Institutional im- Similar to present Similar to present Requires new manage- Decentralized— medi- Decentralized— medi-
pacts (owner- institutional structure institutional structure ment organization; in- um to high impacts; urn to high impacts;
ship) ternational involve- centralized— similar centralized— similar
ment possible to present infra- to present infra-
structure structure
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 111

Table 15.—Characteristics of Five Electrical Technologies (continued)

Criteria Fusion Breeder SPS Solar thermal Photovoltaics

Safety and health Safer than PWR Fuel cycle? Same as Microwave bioeffects Small
risks PWR (higher power uncertain; ionizing Low; possible safety
density, lower radiation in GEO hazard with decentral-
pressure) ization in event of fire
Environmental Small for routine opera- Small for routine opera- Upper atmosphere ef- Small Low possible manu-
risks tion tion fects uncertain facturing risk of PV
National security Designs other than Significant weapons Not efficient weapon None, possible benefits None, possible benefits
implications hybrid less significant Proliferation potential but transportation ca- of exporting benign of exporting benign
than breeder - pabilities significant technology are good technology are good
Military Same as any central Same as LWR Slightly greater than Low Low
vuInerability ized powerplant other central power-
plants, depends on
space capability of
other nations
Deployment considerations
Time to commer- 30 years plus (Developed) 15 to 20 Long (greater than 20 Between 5 and 10 years Decentralized—5 years;
cialization years domestic (Iicen- years) centralized— 10 years
sing)
Geographic Ioca- Low population area Low population area Low population, no Decentralized—very Decentralized—very
tion with re- water needed; mixed close; centralized— close; centralized—
spect to load S. W.-less than or S. W.-less than or
centers equal to other sys- equal to other sys-
tems. Geographic de- tems. Geographic de-
pendence high pendence high
Compatibility Good Good Penetration may be Iim- Goes down with higher Goes down with higher
with other tech- ited to 20 percent. percentage penetra- percentage penetra-
nologies and Competes with other tion; negligible prob- tion; negligible
utility grid technology. Nothing lems
obviously unsolvable
Other
Probability for Low to medium High Low to medium High High
commercial
success
Demonstration Large, but not as large Moderate cost for 500 Large cost (0.3 to 1 Small (1OO-MW Small (community sys-
requirements as SPS to 1,000 MW. About $1 GW) aggregate of 2 to 3 tems are medium)
billion demos)
Resource None None Manageable Small Small
constraints
Risks of RD&D High, but for next 10 Technology is here, but High—big program; Negligible Negligible
failure years little risk, $20 public views regarding depends on program
billion waste? size (wait until HLLV
available)
Relative High, complex Small High Small (O&M costs) Cell costs
uncertainties
Is it a viable ex- Yes Proliferation? for de- Yes, if t works Easier to digest in Easier to digest in
ample for the veloped countries small to moderate small chunks; need
rest of the only? chunks manufacturer capac-
world? ity, but good example
Nature of RD&D Magnetic—public; Much public money Public funds for Needs to be demon- Need not be demon-
process inertial —classified spent, remainder RDD&T. Then private strated by Government strated by Govern-
might be private, but capital with private partici- ment, large private
for regulatory uncer- pation; industry will contribution
tainties develop

SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.


112 ● Solar Power Satellites

1. Central Solar Thermal.– Solar thermal its effective capacity factor will be about 23
technology is the oldest of the technologies percent in a location such as the southwestern
under study. It may also be the one that is United States. Addition of a modest amount of
nearest to commercial application, since a storage (sufficient for 3 hours of extended
pilot plant is already under construction in this operation per day) will increase the capacity
country. The concept involves simply collect- factor to about 40 percent and make it possi-
ing concentrated solar radiation to heat a ble for the plant to supply part of the late-
working fluid in a central receiver (boiler), afternoon electric consumption peak that oc-
which in turn drives a turbine to generate elec- curs in many utilities. Because it is desirable to
tricity. It has the versatility to provide either smooth out the effects of short periods of
electricity or process heat (steam) for in- cloud cover, it is likely that the technology will
dustrial applications. incorporate at least a small amount of thermal
storage (up to 1 hour). Solar thermal plants
Two generic systems have been proposed for
could be made to operate in a baseload mode
the solar thermal approach: line-focus and
with the addition of a large amount of storage,
point-focus systems. In the line-focus scheme,
but this increases the system’s conversion loses
the Sun’s radiant heat is reflected and focused
and raises the overall cost per kilowatt in-
by parabolic trough mirrors onto tubes con-
stalled. Solar thermal will, therefore, probably
taining the working fluid. The working fluid is
be better suited for intermediate or peaking
pumped to a central site where it may be used
uses since its daytime availability corresponds
to drive an irrigation pump, produce hot water
closely with the peak of the electricity load
or steam for a factory, or produce a combina-
profile in many areas.
tion of heat and electricity for a small com-
munity. The line-focus approach is also Solar thermal plants will be intermediate in
favored for process heat applications such as scale between today’s coal or nuclear plants
enhanced oil recovery, but is not being ac- and small onsite generators. They can be ex-
tively considered by DOE for central electric pected to be deployed relatively quickly– per-
applications. haps within 5 years for a 100-MW plant.
In the point-focus or “power tower” system, The technical feasibility of solar thermal
a field of reflectors (called “heliostats”) is technology is established. Engineering ques-
focused on a central receiver atop a tower in tions remain about the materials to be used in
the center of the field. Although there are the design of the central receiver. What is at
several designs, a heliostat is basically a flat stake in making the technology commercially
reflective surface mounted on a computer- viable is whether plants can be produced eco-
monitored gimbal that allows it to automati- nomically. The single most important factor is
calIy track the Sun’s course across the sky. The the cost of heliostats, which accounts for
heliostat/power tower approach is being pur- about one-half the cost of solar thermal de-
sued by DOE as a central generating system, signs. Present cost estimates range from $1,000
though not exclusively so. * It can be used for to $3,000/kW of capacity installed.
electrical generation either in a stand-alone
Much of this high cost reflects the cost of
system or as a method for repowering existing
materials. Savings realized from future auto-
fossil-fueled power stations. The place of solar
mated production techniques are built into
thermal in a utility system —whether it serves
these projections. Thus, the economic viability
as a peaking, intermediate, or baseload unit—
of solar thermal technology depends on attain-
depends on the storage capability of the solar
ing heliostat cost goals.
thermal plant. Without any auxiliary storage,
The research, development, and demonstra-
*In 1980, DOE initiated six major studies of the applications of tion (RD&D) costs associated with the solar
the power tower to a variety of industrial heat demands, ranging
from low-quality steam for uranium leaching to high-tem- thermal development are expected to be in the
perature steam for reforming methane to ammonia, range of $0.5 billion to $1 billion. In addition
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 113

to continuing tests and studies to reduce helio- even though costs have dropped and per-
stat costs, R&D for efficient and cost effective formance improved over the past decade
storage methods, improved receiver designs in line with DOE projections. Further cost
and transport fIuids are also needed. reductions to ($95/m2) $0.70/peak watt)
and performance improvement to 13.5-
2. Solar Photovoltaics. This technology is the
percent efficiency are the DOE goals for
newest of the terrestrial solar options under
1986.
study and it is conceptually the simplest, since ● The cadmium sulfide/copper sulfide tech-
it converts sunlight directly to electricity
nology is another approach that is com-
without any working flu ids, boilers or genera-
mercialIy available and holds promise for
tors. Because the essential element—a semi-
improvement. This material can be used
conductor wafer or “cell” — is modular at a
in thin films because of its high ab-
very small size, the technology has a versatility
in scale of deployment that surpasses any sorbance of sunlight, with a reduction in
fabrication costs and materials require-
other option. Photovoltaic (PV) cells have
already proved feasible in small-scale applica- ments. Experimental cells have achieved
tions for both space and terrestrial purposes. efficiencies of 9 percent, with limited
However, central PV systems have not been lifetime. Improved cells have the poten-
tested yet, even in a pilot plant size. Because tial for cost reductions to $10/m 2 at 10-
percent efficiency. A number of other
the technology is so intrinsically modular, the
R&D program is not geared to the demonstra- cadmium sulfide technologies are under
study for thin film and standard cells.
tion of a series of prototype plants but to the
improvement of the cost and performance
● The gallium arsenide technology is
characteristics of the celIs. another alternative that has achieved effi-
ciencies up to 24.5 percent in experimen-
A variety of different semiconductor materi- tal cells. The material can be fabricated in
als is being developed for possible use in cen- thin films (with experimental efficiencies
tral PV systems. When sunlight falls on wafers to 15 percent) and can withstand concen-
of these materials, it produces a direct current trated sunlight at high temperatures. Its
of electricity. The efficiency of this process major disadvantage is that commercial
depends on many semiconductor properties, production is still some time away and
and how well those properties match the wave- costs remain much higher than for single-
length spectrum of sunlight. Typically, the crystal silicon.
materials produce a direct current (DC) voltage ● The polycrstalline and amorphous silicon
level of about 0.5 volts. Some of the more
technologies have the potential for orders
promising PV developments include the four
of magnitude cost reductions compared
technologies discussed below. to the single-crystal silicon technology,
but the experimental cell efficiencies
• The single cell silicon technology is the have so far only reached 9 to 10 percent.
most highly developed, and its introduc- (The probable maximum is estimated to
tion dates back 23 years to the beginning be at least 15 percent for the amorphous
of the National Aeronautics and Space technology in thin film cells.) These tech-
Administration (NASA) space program. Its nologies are not limited to silicon, but are
properties are well understood and cells currently being investigated along with
sold commercially for small-scale applica- other novel materials concepts.
tions routinely achieve efficiencies of 10
to 13 percent; experimental cells have All the technologies discussed above are
achieved 15 percent and the theoretically candidates for use in flat-plate arrays of cells
probable maximum is 20 to 22 percent. that absorb unconcentrated sunlight. Gallium
The single most important barrier to com- arsenide is also an example of a high-effi-
mercial use is the high production cost, ciency material that can be used with a con-
174 ● Solar Power Satellites

centrating system. Concentrating systems in- A central plant might produce 200 MW from 8
volve different tradeoffs and are further from modules. Storage could be added to extend the
commercial viability than flat-plate systems. capacity factor of the plant, at additional
Both line- and point-focus collectors are under system cost. As discussed in the introduction
consideration for PV concentrating systems. to this section, the economic merit of
Costs of concentrating systems can in principle dedicated storage for utility-based PV systems
be low, since the receiving area needs only to has been seriously questioned.
be covered with a thin reflective sheet, but the
The pace of technological breakthroughs in
technology is not developed enough to make
PV technology is impressive. Today single-
project ions yet.
crystal silicon cell arrays cost 15 percent of
Up to half the cost in a flat-plate design ter- what they did in 1974, as can be seen in figure
restrial solar photovoltaic plant today is for 27. It is on further orders-of-magnitude cost
the cells themselves. Other requirements for a reductions that both terrestrial and SPS PV
complete plant are materials for packaging systems depend. Such price reductions are
and supporting arrays of celIs, support struc- common in the semiconductor industry for
tures, cabling to connect the arrays and products with large markets (e.g., digital
modules, and power conditioning equipment watches, hand calculators, and now hand com-
to convert the DC voltage to alternative cur- puters), but they are nearly unheard-of in the
rent compatible with the utility grid. About 300 energy industry. Therefore, planners familiar
cells would be combined into one panel, 30 with conventional thermal and nuclear energy
panels into one array, and 10,000 arrays into technology sometimes find them difficult to
one module supplying 25 MW of peak power. accept. The goals for the DOE PV program are

Figure 27.— Recent and Projected Solar Photovoltaic Prices

30

n
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 115

for array prices of $2.80/peak watt in 1982, and 0.7 percent U-235. Only the U-235 is usable
$0.70 in 1986, and $0.15 to $0.40 in 1990 (all in directly in a conventional reactor. With con-
1980 dollars). At the 1990 level, complete sys- ventional reactors, uranium resources would
tems are expected to cost $1.10 to $1 .80/peak be exhausted relatively rapidly by an expand-
watt. ing nuclear energy base. Breeder reactors on
the other hand, can extract 100 times as much
Although significant breakthroughs have oc-
energy from a ton of uranium ore and thus ex-
curred in the past 5 years, the principal thrust
tend the nuclear energy resource by several
of PV research is still directed toward the iden-
centuries.
tification, selection, and engineering refine-
ment of the cheapest possible semiconductor
In a breeder, the core of the reactor is sur-
materials. A concomitant part of this effort is
rounded by a blanket of the type of uranium
the development of suitable mass-production
not burnable in conventional nuclear plants.
techniques (now being most intensively pur-
This uranium captures neutrons escaping from
sued for single-crystal silicon and cadmium
the chain reaction in the core and is trans-
sulfide) to open the way for mass market
muted into plutonium, a premium v a l u e
penetration. It is upon the outcome of this
nuclear fuel. In this fashion, a breeder
two-pronged effort (development of cells and
“breeds” new fuel that is extracted from the
development of better manufacturing tech-
blanket, converted into fuel rods, and later
niques) that the success of central terrestrial
burned in the same or another reactor. An ad-
PV plants will depend.
vanced breeder will produce about 10 percent
The time-scale for commercial readiness of more fuel than it burns. A different fuel cycle
central terrestrial PV plants could be as short could use thorium in the blanket. Thorium is
as 5 years or as long as 15 years. The balance of an element similar to uranium, but it cannot be
a central PV plant uses familiar building used directly as a fuel. In the blanket, it
materials and readily available power-handling transmutes to U-233 which is a good fuel.
equipment. Once arrays are available, plant
construction Ieadtime should be short. Ac- Breeders may also be distinguished by the
cording to the DOE program, commercial different types of coolants used to carry heat
readiness could occur in the early 1990’s. If the from the core to the generating side of a
RD&D program for PV cells is accelerated this nuclear plant. Because the interconnections
date could be earlier; on the other hand, slip- between the core and the generators are quite
page in the schedule for cell development complex, requiring considerable engineering
could delay commercial introduction. refinement, the choice of coolant defines con-
ceptually different types of breeders as much
Subsequent deployment of central PV sys-
as or more than the choice of fuel. Early in
tems would be paced by the rate of growth of
its program, the United States emphasized
national manufacturing capacity for PV cells.
breeders with liquid metal (usually molten
To achieve substantial penetration of central
sodium) coolants and the reactor concept that
PV in the time period of 1990 to 2010 will re-
evolved —the liquid metal fast breeder or
quire an aggressive program for PV man-
LMFBR– has become the reference system for
ufacturing plants. It is possible that decen-
breeder research in other countries, represent-
tralized PV centralized terrestrial and SPS
ing more than 95 percent of the dolIar effort
energy systems could all be competing for the
devoted worldwide to breeders. Thirteen reac-
output of the PV industry during this period.
tors using the LMFBR concept have been built,
3. Advanced Fission (Breeder Reactor).– Con- the most successful being the French Phenix
ventional reactors use uranium ore very ineffi- reactor, and seven countries with major
ciently because only a small fraction of the breeder programs (table 16) have all empha-
uranium is tapped for energy. Natural uranium sized the LMFBR type. Alternatives are helium
consists of two isotopes 99.3 percent U-238 gas, molten salt coolants, and water.
116 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 16.—Description of Milestones of Major Breeder Programs

Federal Republic
France of Germany Japan
Reactors
Rapsodie (24 MWt) KNK-I (58 MWt) Joyo (100 MWt)
Phenix (250 MWe) KNK-11 (58 MWt) Monju (300 MWe)
Super Phenix (1,200 MWe) SNR-300 (300 MWe)
SNR-2 (nominally 1,600 MWe)

1. 1960—GFK, Karlsruhe project 1. 1967-Joyo conceptual design


begins 2. 1969—Joyo safety evaluation
2. 1964—Design study for 1,000 MWe 3. 1970—Joyo construction begins
LMFBR 4. 1977—Joyo goes critical
3. 1966—SNEAK startup 5. 1968—Monju preliminary design
4. 1975—SNEAK experiments for SNR 6. 1969—Monju conceptual design
300 7. 1973—Monju safety evaluation
5. 1967—INTERATOM F.R.G. and 8. 1978—Monju construction begins
BENELUX cooperation
begins -10. 1986—Demo plant begins
6. 1972—KNK-I goes critical -11.1991 —Demo plant goes critical
7. 1976—KNK-11 goes critical -12. 1988—Commercial plant 1 con-
8. 1969—SNR-300 safety report struction begins
9. 1970—SNR-300 company estab-
lished critical
10. 1971—SNR-300 revised safety report -14.1991 —Commercial plant II con-
11. 1972—SNR-300 sodium fuel pumps struction begins
tested
12. 1973—SNR-300 construction begins critical
13. 1974—SNR-300 steam generators
and IHX test
14. 1975—SNR-300 specification of fuel
and cladding
15. 1980—SNR-300 goes criticala
16. 1974—SNR-2 company established
17. 1976—SNR-2 preliminary designa
18. 1981 —SNR-2 construction beginsa
as~h~d”l~ as of 197& In 1980, the SNR program currently in flux. SNR-301) designed but not yet licensed. SNR-2 not Yet designed. Entire Pro9ram will sli P substantially,
but the new schedule is not known at this time.
SOURCES: France: U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration, The LkfFBR Program In France, ERDA 76-14, March 1976; M. D. Chauvin, “The French
Breeder Reactor Program,” 1976.
Federal Republic of Germarty: U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration, The /_ J14FBR Program in Germany, ERDA 76-15, June 1976.
Jepem Report of Ad Hoc Study Committee organized by Japanese Government Science and Technology Agency, October 1977.
SOURCE: International Energy Associates Limited, 1980.

United Kingdom United States U.S.S.R.


Reactors
DFR (60 MWt) Clementine (25 kWt) BR-5 (10 MWt)
PFR (250 MWe) EBR-1 (1.2 kWt) BOR-60 (60 MWt)
CFR (commercial size) Fermi (200 MWt) BN-350 (1 ,000 MW)
EBR-11 (16.5 MWe) DN-600 (600 MWe)
Clinch River (375 MWe)
Fast Flux Test Facility
(equivalent of 160 MWe)
PLBR (commercial size)
CBR (commercial size)

1. 1953—first nuclear power program 1. 1946—Clementine goes critical 1. 1958—BR-5 goes critical
begins 2. 1951—EBR-1 goes critical 2. 1965—BR-5 operates full core
2. 1964—second nuclear power pro- 3. 1963—Fermi goes critical 3. 1969—BOR-60 goes critical
gram begins 4. 1966—Fermi shuts down 4. 1973—BN-350 goes critical
3. 1963—DFR goes critical 5. 1983 -EBR-II goes critical 5. 1973—BN-600 construction begins
4. 1984-PFR construction begins 6. 1971–SEFOR (U.S. and F. R. G.) 6. 1979—BN-600 goes critical
5. 1972—PFR goes critical goes critical 7. 1975—1,600 MWe reactor design
underway
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 117

Table 16.—Description of Milestones of Major Breeder Programs (continued)

United Kingdom United States -


U.S.S.R.

aThi~ ~a~ the IJ,S, program in 1978, Currently there ,~ no planned pLBR schedule, penal Ing final ~eclsions on CRBR. CRBR iS “in Construction, ” but has been in a hold-
ing pattern for 2 years.
SOURCES: United Kingdom: Prepared by IEAL from compilation of U.K. documents.
United Statas: U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration, .LIquKI k4efa/ Fast Breeder Reactor Program, January 1977; U.S. Energy Research and
Development Administration, The LMFBR Program in France, ERDA 76-14, March 1976; Ford Foundation, Nuc/ear Power Issues and Choices: Report of the
AJuc/ear Energy Po/icy Study Group, 1977. Note on U.S. program: Items 9-15 refer to the program as it stood in April 1977, The plan and schedule has been in
revision since then, but it is not yet available.
U. S. S. R.: United States Nuclear Power Reactor Delegation, “Report of the ~Jnited States Nuclear Power Reactor Delegation Visit to the U. S. S. R,, June 1-13,
1975,” 1975.
SOURCE: International Energy Associates Limited, 1980.

As a source of centrally generated electric- erators) are not extrapolatable to commercial


ity, the breeder has been proven feasible at the size. France, together with the Federal
pilot plant scale and at an intermediate Republic of Germany and Italy, is now build-
scale but awaits demonstration at commercial ing a 1,250-MW reactor incorporating an im-
scale —that is the 1,000-MW size of new con- proved design – Superphenix – at Creys-
ventional reactors. Its operating character- Malville. Due to go critical in 1985, it will be
istics are expected to be similar to a conven- the first commercial prototype breeder.
tional (light water) reactor, except that it will
have higher thermal efficiency and therefore The time until commercialization of the
less thermal pollution. Breeders may also in breeder is 5 to 20 years depending on which
principle be used for industrial process heat. breeder technology (French or U. S.) is meant.
The Russian breeder BNR-600 produces elec- On the face of it, commercial readiness will
tricity and desalinated water. occur in 1985, assureing success of the Super-
phenix. After that, France plans an aggressive
The technology was demonstrated at a pilot
program of breeder deployment, starting a new
plant scale in the United States in 1963, when a
plant every 2 years for the rest of the century. *
10-MW reactor named EBR-II started produc-
The French central utility (EdF) has already
ing electricity in Idaho. Between the 1960’s
ordered the first two of these “commercial”
and 1970’s, technical leadership shifted from
plants. Progress on the U.S. plant comparable
the United States to France. The Phenix which
to the Phenix (the Clinch River breeder) has
has produced electricity for more than 5 years
stalled, and its technology is outmoded in
at Marcoule, France, demonstrated successful
some respects. Some argue this intermediate
scaling from 10 to 250 MW, but suffered some
plant step should be skipped to go to a com-
technical problems that required the plant to
mercial-size or nearly commercial-size plant.
shut down for more than a year. Its breeding ———
rate is considered too slow for commercial use, *A reevaluation of these plans is apparently underway in
and some components (especially steam gen- France following the recent election
118 ● Solar Power Satellites

The Ieadtime for constructing a conventional questions are less important. Unless the
nuclear plant in the United States is 12 years breeder costs are so high that it is uneconomic
and design and construction of a full-scale compared to other options, the major concerns
breeder prototype under the same ground rules are related to light-water reactors. These will
could take 15 years. Thus, U.S. breeder tech- not greatly affect the SPS decision.
nology could be commercialized sometime in
Deployment of the breeder is predicated on
the 1990’s, depending on the development se-
the continued expansion of light-water reac-
quence.
tors. The problems facing the industry are
The major difference between the French complex and difficult as discussed in the sec-
and American technologies is whether the tion on conventional nuclear reactors above. If
reactor vessel uses a “loop” or “pool” method these problems are not resolved, the fission op-
of bathing the core with Iiquid sodium coolant. tion will be foreclosed, at least as a major
The pool method is simpler, has more thermal energy source. Fusion may also be threatened.
inertia, and is considered by the French to be The breeder exacerbates some of these prob-
an added safety factor. The loop method is lems. Proliferation of nuclear weapons will be
more similar to conventional reactor technol- considerably harder to control if breeders are
ogy and has been tested on an intermediate- worldwide articles of commerce. While this
scale U.S. breeder used for fuel development might not have a direct bearing on a utility’s
(the FFTF). Britain and France espouse the pool decisionmaking process, the safeguards imp-
approach; the United States and Japan use the lemented to prevent diversion might be quite
loop method; and the Soviet Union and the onerous, and public opinion could be hostile.
Federal Republic of Germany are testing both. Health and safety issues will be important
because of the plutonium and the operating
In principle, a U.S. utility could order a characteristics of the reactor. Waste disposal
Superphenix reactor now for delivery in the will not be qualitatively different, but the vast-
early 1990’s and in that sense the breeder ly greater potential of breeders to produce
could be said to be commercially available waste make the problem greater, especially if
already. But no utility would invest in a central disposal sites are difficult to find. While these
nuclear plant without reasonable assurance it problems, individually or collectively, need
would be reliable and could be Iicensed in this not be overwhelming, they can all adversely af-
country. The licensability of the French tech- fect a utility’s inclination to order a nuclear
nology is an open question.
pIant. As long as a utility has a choice within a
The RD&D cost of commercializing the reasonable economic range, it is likely to
breeder is uncertain because the national select the less controversial options. Thus,
policy for 1976-80 was to not deploy the while breeders could in principle supply all the
breeder. It is also dependent on the demon- electric power needed in the 21st century, they
stration strategy chosen (i. e., whether to go may in fact supply Iittle or none.
straight to a commercial prototype). Estimates
4. Fusion.– Of the future energy sources
made by the U.S. program managers in 1975 of
considered here as competitors to the SPS, fu-
$10 billion to $15 billion for commercial dem-
sion is the furthest from realization. Fusion
onstration should stilI apply.
consists of nuclear reactions that are created
The obstacles that the breeder program by bringing together light nuclei at speeds
must overcome before commercialization are great enough to exceed their mutual repulsive
not primarily technical. There is little doubt force. The result of this reaction is the creation
that a strong breeder RD&D effort could result of nuclear energy that is carried off by neu-
in a reactor that utilities could order in a few trons and/or charged particles, depending on
decades. The questions are economic and in- the nature of the reactants. In order to create
stitutional and generic to nuclear power. For this reaction it is necessary to: 1 ) raise the
the purposes of this discussion, the economic temperature of the fusion fuel to very high
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 119

levels and, 2) confine the fuel for sufficient Particular difficulties in understanding the
time. The criterion to be met by these two con- behavior of the fusion fuel in its very hot
ditions is that more energy is released by the (plasma) state explain why scientists have had
nuclear reactions than is used to heat and con- so much difficulty making progress in fusion
fine the fuel that is in a wispy, gaseous form research (which began in 1954).
(plasma).
Fusion is unique among future energy tech-
Since the fusion reaction would be rapidly nologies because it has not yet been proven
cooled by the reactor walls, containment by technically feasible—that is to say, no con-
solid materials is not possible. Such an ap- trolled fusion reaction has yet operated in a
proach would quench the plasma. This dif- self-sustaining fashion or produced electricity
ficulty, incidently, would also make a fusion even on a small scale. It has a broad range of
reactor easier to turn off, making it safer than potential applications, e.g., electricity produc-
fission. Two alternate approaches are being tion, high temperature process heat, synthetic
taken: using a magnetic field in one of many fuel production, and fissile fuel production.
possible shapes that have been proposed,
The fusion community can point to a recent
(magnetic fusion); and using a laser or ion
string of successful experiments as evidence
beam to produce a miniexplosion of the fuel in
that fusion is on the verge of a scientific
solid form so that confinement occurs by the
breakthrough. One of the goals is “break-
inertia of the fuel (inertially confined fusion or
even, ” meaning the achievement of positive
ICF). The second approach draws on nuclear
net energy production. DOE expects break-
weapons work for some of its research and is
even to be achieved before 1985, and a recent
partially classified. The discussion to follow
review by the research oversight board of
will center on the magnetic approaches.
D O E9 concluded that fusion was ready to
Among different magnetic confinement con- move from the research stage to the engineer-
cepts—or types of “magnetic bottles” —the ing development stage. Nevertheless, the
leading contender is a toroidal shape called weaker understanding of the principles of con-
the tokamak, after the Russian acronym given trolled fusion compared to other energy tech-
by its inventors. As a reactor, it would be con- nologies means that more emphasis is neces-
siderably more complex than a conventional sarily being placed on basic research. Con-
powerplant. The mixture of deuterium and sequently, the engineering-related considera-
tritium fuel planned for use in first-generation tions that influence commercial readiness and
fusion reactors burns at a very high tempera- acceptability—that is the technical, eco-
ture, 100 million 0 C. The natural current in a nomic, and environmental factors — are more
tokamak system is not sufficient for heating uncertain than for breeders, solar thermal, PV
the fuel that hot, so additional and complex or SPS.
heating systems are required. The fusion core
Despite the high degree of uncertainty,
will be large enough that electrical losses in
much more can be said about the engineering
the magnets would be a significant drain on
features of fusion than was possible a few
the output of the plant, unless superconduct-
years ago, based on a set of thorough and
ing magnets are developed specifically for fu-
detailed engineering studies. Using the toka-
sion applications. Other complexities arise
mak as a reference system, a powerplant is
from the fuel requirements and operating re-
likely to be in the range of 500 to 1,500 MW,
quirements. Any fusion system must breed half
with 1,000 MW being the nominal planning
its fuel (the tritium component), and tokamak
size. A tokamak fusion reactor would operate
systems currently under development must
as a baseload plant, with capacity factors, con-
operate in a pulsed (few hour) mode rather
struction Ieadtimes, plant lifetimes, land,
than a continuous power mode.
labor, and materials requirements similar to
These factors make fusion more complex
than either conventional reactors or breeders. 9ERAB Report (DOE), 1980
120 • Solar Power Satellites

conventional nuclear plants. The high-tech- there is no conceivable possibility of a run-


nology core would constitute a substantially away reaction. But first-generation fusion
larger percentage of the total plant than for plants will use relatively large quantities of
conventional (or breeder) nuclear plants, and tritium, a radioactive gas harmful to humans.
fusion would have some unusual maintenance Advanced fusion fuel cycles would greatly
problems that arise from the character of the reduce the quantity of tritium that must be
fusion reaction itself. Since the nature of the handled. To make fusion safe, the problem of
fusion core must be considered hypothetical handling industrial quantities of tritium with-
until technical feasibility is proven, the eco- out routine small emissions will have to be
nomics of fusion is perhaps the most uncertain solved. There will also be a substantial waste
characteristic at this time. Two different engi- disposal problem, because the “first wall” of
neering studies prepared at the University of the containment chamber for magnetic sys-
Wisconsin 10 and Argonne National Labora- tems will have to be replaced every few years
tory” put the busbar costs at 75 and 44 mills/ due to radiation damage. Since the replace-
kW respectively (in 1980 dollars). able “wall” may be up to 1-m thick, the quanti-
ty of waste could be high, measured in the tens
Because of the special character of fusion,
or hundreds of tons per reactor per year. This
estimates of the timetable to commercial read-
material will be highly radioactive and wilI pre-
iness vary widely. A recent survey of opinion
sent a long-term waste disposal problem,
found the majority of estimates to fall be-
though the radioactivity will not be as long-
tween 2000 and 2025, with some as early as
Iived as conventional fission reactor wastes.
1990 and a few extending to the 22d century or
The amount and lifetime of radioactive
never. 2 It appears unlikely that fusion will be
material can possibly be reduced substantially
commercialized before 2010— the earliest Iike-
by using other materials for the first wall
Iy date for SPS – and the present DOE program
without changing the nature of the fusion reac-
is on a schedule calling for “demonstration” in
tion. Analogous changes for fission reactors
2015, with the dates 1995 or 2000 considered
are not possible since the waste material
possible at increased cost. The DOE program
generated is an inherent part of the fuel ele-
calls for two steps after breakeven in 1985, the
ment. Finally, fusion carries some proliferation
first a fusion engineering demonstration in
risk because the energetic neutrons of the fu-
1990 that produces thermal power but no elec-
sion reaction comprise a high quality source
tricity. Pending success with this plant, a fu-
for producing weapons material. It is con-
sion demonstration plant would be started by
ceivable that unless proper safeguards are
about 2000, that could produce 500 to 1,000
developed, a world full of fusion reactors
MW of electricity. However, more steps are
could be highly proliferation prone. However,
likely to be needed prior to commercializa-
there are many other technologies that are
tion. Fusion research is in such an early phase
available or could be available for the same
vis-a-vis other technologies that it is difficult to
purposes earlier, more readily, and more
determine reliably the path to “commercial”
cheaply than fusion.
fusion.
To a degree, fusion may also inherit the
To be commercialized, fusion must also find public acceptance problems of nuclear fission.
public acceptability. From an environmental, Fusion is a different technology, with fewer in-
health, and safety standpoint, the principle ad- trinsic risks but greatly increased complexity.
vantage of fusion over fission power is that But since it is a nuclear technology, even if it
turns out to be relatively benign compared to
‘ O ’’ NUWMAK A Tokamak Reactor Design Study, ” Fusion En- fission, it may remain associated with conven-
glneerlng Program, Nuclear Engineering Department, University
of Wisconsin UWFDM-330, March 1979
tional nuclear power in the public mind.
1
‘Argonne National Laboratory, Start;re
“’’Chase Delphi Study on Fusion, First Round Results, ” Chase
The greatest uncertainty in the development
Manhattan Bank, September 1979 of fusion remains the physics associated with
Ch. 6—SPS in Context • 121

breakeven. Although many of these uncertain- factors most important for the other central
ties can be resolved by small experiments base load technologies.
costing on the order of $1 million to $10 Scale of Power Output. – Plants must be
million, complete resolution will still require a
designed on a scale that can be readily inte-
few large sophisticated experiments, costing in
grated into the existing grid at the time of de-
excess of $1 billion. It should be noted,
ployment. Using the rule of thumb that no one
however, that the nature of the fusion reactioc
plant should comprise more than 10 to 12 per-
is such that a demonstration reactor wouId re-
cent of the system’s capacity to guarantee in-
quire very little increase in scale or cost from
tegrity of the grid during a plant failure, the
these large experiments. The total cost to de- largest plant that could be presently accom-
velop fusion to the stage of commercial
modated by a single utility in the United States
viability depends significantly on the cost of
would be 2,500 MW, and that only by the Ten-
this “hardware” and is projected by DOE to be nessee Valley Authority. (See ch. 9. for a
$20 billion to $30 billion. If more than two ma- discussion of this issue.) Cooperative agree-
jor steps are needed before a commercial pro- ments among utiIities on the same grid can ex-
totype can be built, the cost will be somewhat pand the maximum acceptable size. Current
higher. baseload plants generate from 500 to 1,300
5. Comparisons of Central Electrics. -Because MW. Both fusion and breeder plants are plan-
each of these future electric technologies is ned to fit closely within this range. Very large
designed for use in a central plant mode, they powerplants (greater than 1,500 MW) were the
are best compared in the context of a utility rule in fusion planning several years ago, but
company’s needs. If each of the different tech- encouraging new research results coupled with
nologies were at the same stage of develop- new interest in smaller powerplants allowed
ment, comparison based on projected power fusion engineering designers to direct efforts
costs would be the most powerful and appro- toward conceptual designs in line with present
priate method of analysis, particularly if all powerplant scales. Larger plants would mean
were close to commercial maturity. But the improved economies of scale for the breeder
five are at quite different states of technical (as it would for fusion), but for utility com-
maturity — so much so that even the defini- patibility reasons (as well as licensability), the
tions used for “commercial” maturity used in projected size of the breeder has also been
the different programs may be qualitatively kept below 1,500 MW.
different. Lacking information that may take 5
Solar thermal and solar PV pIants achieve
to 20 years to acquire, a close look was taken
their economies of scale at much lower out-
at other characteristics, with particular atten-
puts–100 to 200 MW maximum. Both can
tion to properties–such as complexity, health
function economically at still smaller scales.
effects, and safety — which past experience has
Photovoltaics are modular and economic at a
shown to be closely related to both capital and
few kilowatts or less.
operating costs<
Only the reference system SPS appears to
After costs, the most important issue the
have economies of scale that make it imprac-
utilities must consider in deciding to risk
tical at a size that can be accommodated by
capital on a particular investment in a genera-
the present utility systems. Whether it could be
ting technology is the way in which a plant is
accommodated in future utility systems de-
expected to function and its associated im-
pends on the growth of future electric de-
pacts. Can the proposed technology be suc-
mand. Smaller microwave systems or a laser
cessfully integrated in the grid and meet the
system would fit the utility grid more readily.
associated requirements for reliability and
capacity? These issues are discussed for the Reliability and Capacity Factor. – Prior to
SPS in chapter 9. This section will highlight the the demonstration of a technology, both its

83-316 0 - 81 - 9
122 ● Solar Power Satellites

capacity factor and its projected reliability are climate. In the Southwestern United States, the
subject to considerable uncertainty. However, capacity factor of a plant without storage
it is expected that breeders will operate much would be 23 to 25 percent. Storage for a solar
as conventional light water reactors do today, thermal or solar PV plant redistributes the col-
with capacity factors of 60 to 75 percent and lected energy to other times of day, but does
forced outage rates (that is, unplanned shut- not appreciably change the amount of energy
downs) of less than 15 percent. CoIIected per year per acre of plant area.
The steam and electric generation parts of
The SPS would circumvent the 25-percent
fusion plants are expected to be similar to con-
capacity factor limitation of terrestrial solar
ventional reactors and breeders. But the fusion
plants by being exposed in space to direct
core will be much more complex than the
sunlight 24 hours per day all year (except for
nuclear parts of a conventional or breeder
brief, predictable eclipses if located in geosta-
plant. One indication of this is that the fusion
tionary orbit, or unpredictable cloud cover if a
core is expected to represent a much larger
laser or mirror system). The question with SPS
fraction of the plant investment (50 v. 10 per-
is not solar capacity but availability. As with
cent for nuclear). Because of the vast uncer-
fusion, it is impossible to predict just how
tainties surrounding the actual operating
reliable the SPS wouId be. As a system it is very
characteristics of fusion technology, it is im-
complicated, involving a massive transporta-
possible to predict what capacity factors and
tion system, untried satellite technology, and
forced outage rates are likely to be. It is clear
large ground systems. Reliability factors as
that to compete with breeders or light water
high as 95 percent have been predicted for the
reactors, fusion should be just as reliable and
operation of the satellite and rectenna com-
capable as they are.
bined, 13 but they have not taken into account
Solar thermal is a steam technology, with a the entire SPS system, including maintenance
balance of plant that will be similar to, though and repair. Research on transportation and
smaller than, that for a conventional baseload space platforms will provide considerable in-
plant. The solar-thermal part will be chiefly sight into the expected reliability of the
vulnerable to failure of the heliostats or the satelIite.
boiler. The heliostat fields could have tracking
or maintenance problems, the boilers could Complexity. –Given the extreme range of
have materials and integrity problems due to physical requirements for a sustained, con-
the high solar flux. Nevertheless, it is projected trolled fusion reaction, fusion is clearly the
to operate with reliability similar to other most complex technology under considera-
steam technologies —60 to 90 percent. tion, requiring a plasma hotter than the core of
the Sun, powerful large superconducting
Solar PV is the simplest technology, without
magnets bigger than any yet built, and
steam systems or moving parts or (necessarily)
materials problems in a radiation environment
high solar flux, if flat plate systems prove most
more severe than that of the breeder. The
economic. Because it is simple, the reliability
reference system SPS is less complex than fu-
of solar PV is expected to be very high (greater
sion, since it uses more nearly proven technol-
than 90 percent). There may be unsuspected
ogies. Nevertheless, the overall engineering
durability problems with some solar PV cells,
and logistics problems of the SPS could make
however. Although PV are an intrinsically sim-
it an undertaking that approaches the com-
ple technology, it currently has higher material
plexity of fusion when all the technical hurdles
and manufacturing costs than other alter-
are considered. It should be noted, for in-
natives. Both solar thermal and solar PV have
an inherent limitation of plant capacity factor,
due to the daily and yearly variation of am- ‘” SPS/Utlllty Grid Operations, ” sec 14 of Boeing Corp , re-
bient sunlight, which differs with latitude and p o r t No D 180-25461-3
Ch. 6—SPS in Context Ž 123

stance, that the SPS as it is described in the commercial prototype pIant. It is the cost of
reference system could only begin to be lost opportunities in other areas for which the
assembled as a system after major break- money could have been spent. A component
throughs in two other technologies—space of the opportunity cost is the cost of the com-
transportation and PV — are achieved. mercial prototype itself, which is the dem-
onstration cost.
The breeder is considerably less complex
than either the SPS or fusion, but is more com- The busbar cost is the actual cost of produc-
plex than conventional nuclear systems. The ing electricity with a technology when capital
main potential difficulties are the nuclear costs, fuel costs (if any) and operation and
properties of the breeder core, the peculiari- maintenance costs have been considered. For
ties of the liquid metal coolant, and the poten- current technologies, these costs are well-
tial difficulties of the breeder fuel cycle. known and therefore detailed comparisons be-
Although these factors are incremental addi- tween technologies are possible. However,
tions to the complexity of a nuclear pIant, they even for current technologies the task can be
are the driving factors behind the projections difficult–witness the debate over whether
that the breeder will cost 25 to 100 percent coal or conventional nuclear is cheaper. For
more than a light water reactor (LWR). future technologies, the task is much more un-
certain. Therefore, cost estimates of delivered
The solar thermal plant is also a steam
electricity are of Iittle use in deciding between
system that has much of the complexity of
technologies in early development stages. Fur-
other steam systems, such as coal or nuclear,
thermore, technologies reach commercializa-
mitigated by the reduced size of the plant and
tion at different times. Therefore, cost es-
the modularity of the heliostat field. There
timates for one technology are more reliable
may be special problems in having a central
than for another, with the most fully de-
plant boiler at the top of a tall tower, but solar
veloped technologies having the most thor-
thermal plants appear to be less complex than
oughly tested cost data. For example, coal
nuclear, fusion or SPS technologies. Their com-
plant costs are well known, but breeder costs
plexity may be comparable to current base-
are less so, and fusion costs are much less so.
Ioad coal technologies.
Though it is a current technology, the future
Central PV plants have by far the least com- costs of PV for onsite, central, or SPS plants,
plexity of the alternatives discussed here, for depend strongly on the future costs and effi-
two reasons. First, the basic technology is sim- ciencies of PV cells and are consequently un-
ple, modular, and should be manufactured certain as well. A final note on busbar cost es-
cheaply if the experience with mass-produced timates is that as a technology matures, the
semiconductor products holds as expected. projected cost may fall (as has happened with
Second, the additional technology needed for computers) but much more often rises. The
a central plant is electrical rather than me- maturation effect of costs during R&D has
chanical or thermal, and is already proven at been particularly borne out in aerospace and
the appropriate scale. energy technologies.14 15
Costs. –The cheapest acceptable technol- Although busbar cost estimates are useful in
ogies available in any future time period will the research phase to identify cost sensitivities
be the ones deployed, so cost is the most im- and indicate preferred research directions to
portant — and most problematic —factor. Two reduce costs, they become crucial at the
aspects of technology cost will be discussed.
The busbar cost is the cost at which truly com- “U S G e n e r a l A c c o u n t i n g o f f i c e , “ N e e d f o r Improved
mercial versions of the various electric tech- Reporting and Cost Estimating on Major Unmanned Satellite
nologies will produce power. The opportunity l’roject~, ” PSAD-75-190, 1975.
“F W Merrow, S W Chapel, and C Worthing, “A Revtew of
cost is the total cost of RD&D for a technology (-ost E ~tlmatlon in New Technologies Impllcatlons for Energy
from inception through the construction of a I’recess Plants, ” R-2481-DOE, Rand Corp , 1979
124 ● Solar Power Satellites

deployment phase. The DOE prepared cost all cases), and the assumption of baseload
estimates for coal, light water reactors, coal operation for each technology. As noted
gasification systems using combined cycle above, these numbers may be indicative but
systems, LMFBR breeders, peaking terrestrial are Iimited in their use because the uncertainty
PV plants, fusion and the SPS (fig. 28). ” The range represented by the range of costs means
figure indicates the high and low ends of the different things for each different technology.
range of estimates for each technology in Factors that are small contributors to the
2000. It shows that capital costs do indeed in- estimated costs may have uncertainties that
crease with complexity, rising steadily for coal, are substantial (such as nuclear waste disposal
LWR, LMFBR, fusion, and SPS systems. Costs costs) but are difficult to identify and measure.
are also relatively high for the terrestrial PV. Finally, baseload operation is not necessarily
Although it is an unlikely circumstance, the the most attractive operating mode for solar
chart indicates that alI could cost the same in thermal and solar PV though it provides a basis
2000. for comparison.
OTA prepared estimates that considered RD&D Costs. –One of the most difficult
these future electric technologies including fu- tasks in choosing the wisest course for RD&D is
sion (but not combined cycles), in terms of to maintain the proper balance between the
their busbar costs in 2010. The resuIts are given risks and the potential payoffs associated with
in table 17, using common financial consid- a particular line of research. The goal is to
erations, equal capacity factors (65 percent in minimize the risk and maximize the payoff. In
energy research, the risk is associated with the
“ P r o g r a m A s s e s s m e n t R e p o r t s t a t e m e n t o f f i n d i n g s , SPS Con-
cept and Evaluation Program, DOE/E R-0085, 1980
expenditure of RD&D funds for a project that
could conceivably fail. The hoped-for payoff is
Figure 28.—Levelized Lifecycle Cost of Electricity cheap energy. The associated RD&D funds re-
quired to pursue some of the future electric
options under consideration are so great that it
is Iikely that not al I can be pursued at an op-
timum rate. By according priority to some, op-
portunities for payoffs from others will be
foregone.

As the matrix of table 16 makes clear, SPS


wiII have the highest front-end costs by a con-
siderable margin, followed by fusion and the
breeder. The solar thermal and solar PV sys-
tems will have lower RD&D costs, in the range
of $0.5 biIIion to $2 billion.

The costs of the breeder will be large–in


the range of $10 billion to $15 billion—
assuming the United States does not change
Levelized generation cost (1978 mills/kWh)
the present policy of developing domestic
rather than foreign technology. But this figure
is nevertheless comparable to the front end
costs of other centralized energy technologies.
Cumulative RD&D for light water reactors, for
instance, is estimated to have total led $10
billion. Fusion’s costs will be the same or
SOURCE: Program Assessment Report Statement of Findings, SPS Con-
somewhat higher, estimated at $20 billion to
cept and Evaluation Program, DOE/E R-0085, 1980. $30 billion, including a commercial prototype
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 125

Table 17.—Summary Assessment

Prospective
economic-cost Relative Commercial
range a (1 980 $) environmental Engineering/ readiness
Technology (mills per kWh) costs Scientific technical Commercial (year)
Satellite power system . . . . . . . 80-440 Unknown Proven b Unproven — 2005-2015
Solar photovoltaic with storage 65-86 Negligible Proven Proven Unproven Late 1980’s
Solar thermal with storage. . . . 62-89 Negligible Proven Proven ● Unproven Late 1980’s
Breeder reactors . . . . . . . . . . . . 58-73 Substantial Proven Proven Proven 2000
Fusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44-75C Moderate- Unproven — — ?
substantial

LWR-201O . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Moderate- Proven Proven Proven Operational
substantial
LWR-1980 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 — — — — —

aPlant starting in 2010.


bEnvironmental impact still unknown, other aspects generallY accepted.
CN ote this range reflects differences between two studies’ estimates (footnotes 1 Cl and 11 On p 120).
aMassive scale-up of known technologies.
SOURCE: OTA working paper.

plant. Fusion and the breeder may thus com- tal impacts, and operating structure are similar
pete with each other for R&D funds. to current LWR technology. As technologies
used in the centralized mode, the solar tech-
The costs of the SPS will be substantially
nologies will not require different institutional
higher than for any of the other options, at an
attention than do any other peaking or inter-
estimated figure of $40 biIIion to $100 bilIion. 7
mediate plant. As dispersed plants, they are
The high number assumes all space develop-
likely to be subject to a much different regula-
ment and pIant investment costs are allocated
tory regime’ 8 and utility structure that encom-
to the SPS (see ch. 5), while the lower number
passes a much broader technological scope
assumes the total cost but allocates $60 bill ion
than is now the case.
to other space programs that could benefit
from the same technical capability. SPS, however, because it is a space system
requiring very high capital investment, would
The SPS RD&D cost is so high that commit-
likely involve an institutional structure very
ment to it could foreclose fusion or the
unlike those in use today in the utility industry
breeder. As such, a decision at some point in
(see ch. 9). The main point is that the utilities
the future to commit to the SPS would be a
are unlikely to want to invest directly in
decision with potentially far-reaching con-
satellites, or perhaps even rectennas. It will
sequences.
create far fewer regulatory and capital prob-
In fact, the SPS is the first proposed energy lems for the utilities for them to buy power
option whose RD&D costs enter the budgetary from a single SPS corporation and incorporate
range that has previously been limited to very It directly into their grid. A national S P S
high-technology, high-cost national defense monopoly would necessarily be federally, as
programs such as the MX missile system. That welI as internationally regulated (see ch. 7).
system, as proposed, will cost” $34 billion to
National Security Risks. – Both of the nu-
$50 billion. Thus, from a policy point of view,
c I ear technologies u rider consideration
the SPS is qualitatively different from any
(breeders and fusion) can be used to generate
other proposed long-range energy solution.
weapons material and therefore they carry
Institutional Impacts. — Neither fusion nor some risk of increasing nuclear weapons pro-
fission requires much that is new institution- liferation. The terrestrial solar technologies
ally because their size, health and environ men- —.—
“Office of Technology Assessment r U.S. Congress,
“Decentralized Electric Energy Generation Systems,” upcoming
170TA Workshop on Technical OptIons, December 1979 report, fal I 1981
126 • Solar Power Satellites

seem to have purely beneficial national securi- Figure 29. —Quantified Health Effects
ty effects, however. They can be exported and
used around the world for peaceful purposes. 77
Because they would be used in relatively small
Operation and
units, they would be much less vulnerable than
any larger unit and less of a military risk for a
country selling the technology.
10.0
r maintenance, public
Operation and
maintenance, occupational
Construction, mfr.
SPS would have indirect military potential,
largely from the technology that would be
developed for space transportation and space
construction. However, the system itself would
serve as a poor weapon. The question of vul-
nerability of an SPS system to nuclear or other
attack is a different issue. On the whole it is Iit-
tle more vulnerable than any of the larger ter-
restrial electricity options (see ch. 7).
LWR CG/CC LMFBR CTPV SPS MCFusion
Economic Risks of RD&D Failure.— In & cc
general, the risks of failure are tied directly to SOURCE Program Assessment Report Statement of Findings, SPS Concept
the opportunity costs for the different central and Evaluation Program, DOE/ER-0085, 1980.

electric technologies. Therefore, the risks are


higher for fusion and SPS than for any of the SPS and fusion, most of the issues are in this
others. However, the financial risks of failure category. The difficulty of quantifying issues
may be mitigated if some of the RD&D costs for SPS and fusion is a function of the uncer-
are recoverable for other uses. For example, tainties about the final configuration these
the space spinoffs from developing the SPS technologies will take as well as the lack of ex-
could be significant (an upgraded shuttle, perience with them upon which to base esti-
space platform technology, an orbital transfer mates of fatalities. This is an area that needs
vehicle technology, high powered microwave considerable further study, not only for SPS
or laser transmission devices), which would but in every other comparative study of energy
reduce the economic risks. Here, as in the technologies. The major needs are to put all
strictly research phase of an SPS program, it is the data on as common a basis as possible and
very important to be cognizant of other space to quantify risks where they are currently un-
and energy programs that could benefit from quantified (see ch. 8 for a summary of SPS
dollars spent on SPS research and vice versa. health and safety risks).
Safety and Health Risks. –OTA pursued no Environmental Risks. –As with health and
independent study of health and safety risks of safety risks, OTA attempted no independent
the five technologies. This assessment has analysis and has relied on the comparative
therefore relied on the work of Argonne Na- assessment study of Argonne National Labora-
tional Laboratory that was funded by the SPS tory. 20 Table 18 summarizes the most impor-
office of DOE. ’9 The reader is referred to its tant environmental effects for each of the
report for a comprehensive treatment of the technologies under study, plus coal. The nu-
problem (see also app. D). The Argonne study clear technologies have been grouped together
attempted to quantify risks in terms of the because their effects are common to all the
number of fatalities that would occur per year nuclear technologies.
for a specified plant output (see fig. 29). Some
of the issues are unquantifiable, and for the
‘“L J H abegger, J R G a s p e r , a n d C D B r o w n , “ H e a l t h a n d
Saft’tV Pr~~llmlnary Comparative Assessment of t h e SPS a n d
‘(’G R Woodcock, “Solar Power Satellites ~nd the Evolution O t h e r F nt’rgy Alternatlve~, ” DOE report No DOE/E R-0053, April
of Space Technology, ” presented at A I AA Meeting, May 1980 1 98()
Ch. 6—SPS in Context . 127

Table 18.—Major Environmental Risks

Coal Nuclear SPS


Air pollution Catastrophic events Atmospheric changes
Atmospheric changes Land use Bioeffects from microwaves,
(CO 2 , particulate) Thermal discharge waste lasers, reflected light
Esthetic deterioration disposal Electromagnetic disturbance
Land use Land use

SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment

Other factors. – How well would SPS com- jor resemblance to terrestrial technologies is
pete with other baseload electric tech- the fact that it produces electricity. However,
nologies? This question can ultimately be perhaps more important is the fact that
answered only in the context of overall de- breeders could play a significant role in sup-
mand for electricity, considerations that are plying electricity 10 to 20 years before the SPS,
taken up at the end of this chapter. However, if thus giving them an automatic competitive ad-
demand for electricity is such that SPS may be vantage.
needed to supply a portion of that demand,
Although the fusion program has not yet
then the competitive position of SPS vis-a-vis
proven that it is possible to generate more
the other technologies will depend primarily
energy than is fed to the fusion process, the fu-
on its being cost competitive, and presenting
sion community is confident that the produc-
comparable health or environmental hazards
tion of electricity from fusion is a matter of
to the other technologies. Other utility con-
continued R&D. The costs are more uncertain
cerns such as its reliability and rated capacity
than for SPS. However, fusion has a strong
factor have direct and obvious economic im-
followlng inside and outside the fusion com-
pacts that are subsumed in the condition of its
munity. Furthermore, the utilities are already
being cost competitive. It is too early to tell
actively pursuing fusion studies. Therefore, if
whether SPS can compete effectively. What is
fusion’s costs turn out to be competitive with
clear, however, is that factors beyond the
SPS, it too may be chosen over SPS because it
scope of control of an SPS program may deter-
has a strong following and because beyond the
mine more effectively whether SPS is com-
first wall, it is similar to other nuclear options
petitive than the important concerns over
in the way in which it generates electricity.
costs or health and environmental effects. The
However, it may not be capable of making a
effects of reduced coal useage are examined
significant impact on the supply of electricity
below. However, before the United States
untiI welI after SPS, i.e., not until 2030 or later.
needs to decide whether it is prudent to con-
tinue or expand coal burning (c 2000), it must Because several proposed versions of the
make a decision about the use of breeder reac- SPS are designed to use PV cells, a terrestrial
tors (c 1990). If we institute a strong breeder PV system constitutes an obvious comparison
program, then SPS is less likely to be needed to the SPS. The satellite or SOLARES ground
than otherwise, simply because breeders are site would receive continuous sunlight. A ter-
apparently cheaper to build and operate than restrial system, however, receives constantly
the SPS. They have the further competitive ad- varying sunlight. Table 19 compares the peak
vantage that they strongly resemble LWRS, and total annual insolation in space, at a
both in operating characteristics and in health, SOLARES ground station and in Boston and
safety and environmental impacts.21 Thus, util- Phoenix for an optimally tilted flat-plate, non-
ities are more Iikely to purchase breeders than tracking solar collector. Therefore, a terrestrial
to take on a brand new technology whose ma- PV in Phoenix the size of a reference system
“E. P Levine, et al , “Comparative Assessment of Environmen-
rectenna would, in theory, be capable of pro-
tal Welfare Effects of the Satellite Power Sytem and Other ducing as much electricity on a yearly basis as
Energy Alternatives, ” DOE report No DOE/E R-0055, April 1980 the reference satellite. However, the output of
128 Ž Solar Power Satellites

Table 19.—Terrestrial and Space Insolation Compared

Average annual Area needed to produce 1,000 MW


Peak insolation (per insolation (per (per continuous output on Earth
square meter) square meter) (17-percent efficiency cells)
Space. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 kW 11,800 kWh 10 km2
SOLARES GND Station (29° latitude). . . . . . . . . 1.3 kW 9,734 kWh 6 km2
Boston. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8 kW 1,430 kWh 44 km2
Phoenix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 kW 2,410 kWh 26 km2
Equivalent rectenna area for reference
system—35° latitude. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — 28 km2
—.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment,

such a central terrestrial system would be sub- Dispersed modes of generating electricity
ject to short-term and seasonal variations in are first and foremost attractive in remote
output due to fluctuations in insolation regions where the electricity grid has not yet
brought out by cloud cover. This effect is il- penetrated. It is in these areas where windmills
lustrated in table 20 for the Boston and and PV, with storage, are now being installed
Phoenix areas. The daily insolation for the even though their cost is high relative to the
month of December is 28-percent less than for price of grid-supplied electricity.
the average month, resulting in 28- percent less
As experience with these technologies
PV output for the same sized array. Phoenix,
grows, and their price decreases due to deeper
by contrast, experiences average insolation
market penetration and increased commensu-
values only 14 percent lower than the average
rate production, they are likely to penetrate
in July, its month of lowest insolation.
areas that are now served by the utilities. Such
a shift will be aided by the Public Utilities
Decentralized Electrical Generation Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 (PURPA) that
Although technologies that are capable of requires utilities to purchase electricity from
producing electricity in a dispersed mode may renewable-based powerplants at their avoided
not be direct competitors of centralized cost of power. To date, State regulatory com-
technologies, they will compete for a percent- missions have established prices that are equal
age share of overall electricity supply in this to, or higher than, the retail price of electricity.
country and the world. In 1977, the residential If this practice should continue into the mid-
sector of the electrical market constituted 36 1980’s, onsite electrical generating systems will
percent of this Nation’s demand for electricity. not only provide energy for their owner’s use,
If a significant portion of this demand as well but will become income generators as well.
as part of the demand for commercial and in-
This shift will be further aided by the attrac-
dustrial consumption can be met by dispersed
tiveness of modular units that allow a home-
technologies such as solar PV, wind, and
owner or community to become relatively self-
biomass at costs that are competitive with cen-
reliant and independent of large-scale generat-
tralized electricity, then the demand for cen-
ing systems over which they have little control.
trally produced electricity will drop. Low de-
Additionally, onsite systems can be erected
mand for centrally produced electricity will in
rapidly and incrementally, allowing a close
turn reduce the need for new, large-scale
match of supply to local demand. Under such
generating technologies and place them in a
conditions, it can be expected that there would
poor competitive position with respect to be a rapid increase in demand for small-scale
proven technologies. Thus, it is of considerable
systems.
interest to investigate the role that dispersed
electrical technologies may play in the Na- The role of dispersed electrical generating
tion’s energy future. technology in the Nation’s electrical supply is
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 129

Table 20.—Terrestrial Insolation at Different Latitudes and Climates


Boston: Latitude 42.2

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
-
kWh/m 2
3.4 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.0 2.8
kWh/m 2/month 104 104 126 119 135 129 142 137 131 126 90 85

Total insolation per year 1,430 kWh/m2


Average daily insolation: 3.9 kWh/m2

Phoenix: Latitude 33.3

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June -


July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2
kWh/m /day 6.0 7.0 7.4 7.5 6.6 6.2 5.7 6.2 7.0 7.3 6.7 6.0
kWh/m 2/month 184 195 228 225 204 186 178 185 218 227 200 185

Total insolation per year 2,414 kWh/m2
Average daily insolation: 6.6 kWh/m2

SOURCE: Solar Photovoltaics: Applications Seminar, Planning Research Co

the subject of another OTA study that will nected to the utility grid or stand alone.
discuss the full array of dispersed electrical Meeting this cost goal is important for the SPS,
technologies: wind, PV, and biomass. How which in the reference design, is highly sen-
ever, because much of the technology for con- sitive to PV array costs (34 percent of satellite
structing space-rated solar cells will be ap- costs).
plicable to terrestrial applications and vice
versa, this report explores the possible role of The total penetration of PV and other decen-
dispersed PV systems in filling part of this tralized energy technologies into the residen-
country’s electrical needs in the time frame of tial, commercial, and industrial sectors of the
the SPS. energy economy will depend on a number of
Dispersed Photovoltaic Systems. —The most interrelated factors in addition to cost. The
important single characteristic that makes PV following summary indicates the most impor-
of considerable interest for dispersed uses is tant ones.
their relative insensitivity to economies of
scale for generating electricity because PV are ●
Average Available Sunlight. –The best
modular, allowing considerable flexibility in areas for dispersed PV are the same ones
their location. Economies of scale are very im- where centralized applications are most
portant in their production, however. The pres- plausible, i.e., in desert climates such as
ent high cost of PV (about $7/peak watt) is the Southwestern United States. However,
largely due to a very small production capaci- the variation of regional average insola-
ty. About 4.5 MW (peak) of terrestrial capacity tion across the continental United States
were produced globally in 1979, by only a is less than a factor of two. Changes from
dozen manufacturers. Demand exceeds sup- year to year are considerably less. Both ef-
ply, however, even at $7/peak watt and thus fects are smaller than variations in energy
the market will surely expand, especially consumption and price patterns. Thus,
as new manufacturing techniques allowing regional or annual insolation variations
cheaper PV are developed. All indications are are not likely to be a strong determinant
that continued reduction in price in line with of PV penetration. This will be even more
DOE cost goals will accelerate the demand for true in areas where biomass and wind
PV cells for all applications and in particular systems can work in complementary
for dispersed systems that are either con- fashion with PVs.
130 ● Solar Power Satellites

● Storage. – Advances in storage technology they could have the opposite effect on the
could have a significant effect on the mar- use of PVs.
ket penetration of PV systems, particular- ● Cost of Photovoltaics. – Single-crystal
ly for remote and stand-alone applica- silicon cells are highly energy intensive.
tions. It is generally agreed, however, that Thus, the energy cost of producing them is
low-priced storage, if it is ever developed, high, and if energy prices increase, the
is a decade or two away. cost of the cells will be higher than the
● The Use of Centralized Photovoltaic Sys- DOE goals. New production techniques
tems. — Using PV for peaking or inter- for amorphous silicon or other materials,
mediate generating capacity will enhance however, may lead to less energy inten-
the development of low-priced PV cells sive cells, and the problem could be
and the auxillary equipment (mounting avoided.
panels, inverters, etc.) and speed the in- ● Reliability y. –One of the major reasons for
troduction of dispersed PV systems to preferring centralized power generation is
marginal areas (i. e., areas where the cen- the high reliability of electrical service.
trally generated electricity is cheaper than Dispersed systems must be reliable in
onsite generation). order to capture a significant portion of
● Conservation. –Conservation has already the electricity market. The PV themselves
resulted in important reductions in per- are extremely reliable. However, the asso-
capita energy use. In the Washington, ciated equipment is subject to a higher
D. C., area for example, use of electricity is failure rate. Market penetration will
increasing by only 1.4 percent a year, 22 a therefore depend on a highly reliable
sharp contrast to the 7 percent yearly in- product and effective, timely service to
crease in consumption that was common repair failures.
in the mid-1 970’s. Continued price in- ● Institutional Effects. – PURPA regulations
creases for energy will increase the desire wiII enhance the use of dispersed-systems.
to conserve energy and make the total If these regulations are retained and if
needs of a residence, for instance, much they are carried out effectively on the
less. The Virginia Electric Power Co., for local level, then they will be effective in
example, reports that in its service area speeding the introduction of dispersed
all-electric homes, used about 24 MWhr/yr electrical capacity. However, a number of
in the mid-1 970’s, but consumed only 19 negative effects (e. g., low reliability, high
MWhr for 1979,23 a 20-percent drop. De- costs, etc.), could cause such regulations
creases in total consumption make it to be repealed if they are found to work
more likely that PV systems can be sized inefficientIy.
to meet the needs of the residential sec-
In summary, it can be said that the future of
tor<
dispersed electric systems, and PV in par-
● Other Dispersed Sources of Electrical
ticular, is subject to considerable uncertainty.
Power. –The acceptance of wind and bio-
If cost goals are met, and the effect of the
mass for dispersed electrical generation,
other factors is positive overall, then dispersed
or as substitutes for electricity, may en-
electrical systems could make a significant
hance the desire for photovoltaics as indi-
contribution especially in a future in which the
viduals and the utilities become accus-
demand for electricity is relatively low. As
tomed to working with dispersed sources.
table 21 illustrates, the cost per kilowatt-hour
However, if other sources failed to make a
for grid-connected PV systems, though subject
significant impact because they were ex-
to considerable uncertainty, is competitive
pensive or because they didn’t work well,
with baseload systems. By combining several
different kinds of dispersed sources of elec-
?>wfa5h;ngton Post, Mar 25, 1981, P D-9 tricity (e.g., wind, PV, and biomass), the pros-
“Washington Post, June 23,1980, p B-1 pects for dispersed PV sales becomes even
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 131

Table 21.–Costs of Onsite Photovoltaics (1980¢/kWh)

Household Industry
Without storage With storage* Without storage With storage*
Boston Phoenix Boston Phoenix Boston Phoenix Boston Phoenix
Roof replacement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.0¢ 1.8¢ 9.0¢ 7.O¢ — — — —
Flat on roof . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.9¢ 2.3¢ 9.9¢ 7.6¢ — — — —
Columns on roof or ground . . . . . . 8.3¢ 4.9¢ 14.7¢ 10.4¢ 8.O¢ 4.7¢ 18.9¢ 12.9¢
NOTE: These costs were developed assuming photovoltaic arrays costing $35/m2 and 17-percent efficiency in space (18 percent on ground). Further details of the
assumed systems can be found in app. B.
● Assumeda 80-percent capacity backup generator,
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.

stronger than when used alone. As in the case tricity demand scenarios for 2030. The lowest
of the baseload technologies, these figures assumes no change from our present end-use
must be seen as indicative of the range of costs demand for electricity, the highest uses the
that may be attained and should not be used as 1979 Energy Information Administration (E IA)
a basis for comparison at this time. Con- high projection for 2020 extrapolated to 2030,
siderable development wilI be needed to deter- and the mid-level is halfway between. These
mine whether the various cost goals can be futures were chosen as an exercise to illustrate
met. the way various technologies might be used
and the constraints placed on this selection.
Implications OTA does not treat these demand levels as
forecasts of what will occur, but as a plausible
Introduction range of future end-use demand.
The discussions just completed illustrate
that the future of the SPS, assuming it can be The extremes of the three scenarios are
developed technically, depends on a variety of characterized by zero growth in electricity de-
factors. These include the future demand for mand for the low scenario, and an average
electricity and how SPS compares with other growth of 2.8 percent per year for the high
supply technologies. There are two questions scenario from 1980 to 2030. The growth in the
to be answered: 1) is the SPS necessary at all? high scenario is not steady, however, but starts
2) if so, when do we need it? The section on de- at 4.1 percent in the 1980-95 time period, and
mand showed that future electricity needs are declines to 1.9 percent by the end of the sce-
highly uncertain and are dependent on techno- nario in 2030.
logical developments that can profoundly in-
fluence the costs of various end use technol-
The low scenario represents a conservation-
ogies. The section on supply contained discus-
oriented energy strategy, in which the in-
sion of several technologies that would com-
creases in industrial output and residential and
pete, partially or completely, with the SPS to
commercial space are offset by improved effi-
supply electricity for the long term. The sec-
ciency of electricity use for industrial proc-
tion gave criteria for choosing between these
esses and drives, and residential and commer-
technologies and the range of uncertainty
cial heating, air conditioning, lighting, and ap-
about their potential success. From the discus-
pliances. The end-use electricity level in the
sion it is clear that a variety of factors beyond
low scenario, taken from the CONAES sce-
purely technical success will determine which
nario A, assumed electricity demand at a con-
supply technology(ies) wiII emerge.
stant level of 7.4 Quads for 1980 to 2010, and
To see this more clearly, OTA chose three extrapolated the same constant level to 2030.
hypothetical U.S. energy futures in order to ex- That level is very close to the actual end-use
amine possible future supply mixes. They were electrical consumption in 1979 which was 7.6
chosen to span a wide range of possible elec- Quads. The total primary energy consumption
132 ● Solar Power Satellites

in the CONAES scenario A is 74 Quads, com- were chosen to illustrate the way various tech-
pared to actual use in 1979 of 78.9 Quads.24 nologies might be used and the constraints
that might be placed on their selection.
The high scenario represents a major expan-
sion of the use of electricity in all sectors. The To characterize the mix of supply technol-
scenario is taken from the E 1A Series C projec- ogies possible under these scenarios, a number
tion from the Long-Term Energy Analysis Pro- of questions was addressed. Among these
gram. The total primary energy use in this questions were the numbers and kinds of tech-
scenario is 169 Quads. The scenario projects a nologies that would contribute to the supply
major shift in residential fuel use, with elec- mix under the various scenarios, the maximum
tricity supplying 60 percent of all residential reasonable SPS contribution under each sce-
needs and 55 percent of residential heating. nario, the most likely technologies to replace
(Water and space heating alone are projected SPS were it not deployed, and the relative im-
at 8 Quads end-use electricity in 2020.) Elec- plementation rates of the various technologies
tricity is expected to provide 70 percent of the under different demand conditions. The exer-
commercial energy demand in 2020. In this cise carried the simplifying assumption that
project ion, EIA forecasts that the industrial one technology could be substituted for
sector wilI grow faster than any other sector, another These questions cannot be answered
and that industrial use of electricity will triple precisely, but their discussion leads to in-
or quadruple by 2020. Total energy use in the teresting insights into the potential role of SPS.
industrial sector in the scenario is 63 Quads in
2020. Electricity’s share of the industrial Low-Demand Future
energy sector rises from 11 to 20 percent. The For this case, end-use energy demand for
dominant supply technologies in the scenario electricity is selected to be 7.5 Quads (today’s
are coal and nuclear, with coal providing 60 level). A zero electric growth future is likely to
percent, nuclear 33 percent, and hydro and be the result of substantial conservation –
other renewable the remainder. The E 1A sce- probably resulting from high energy prices —
nario was extrapolated to 2030, using the same and the failure to develop end-use technol-
electric growth rate as assumed in 2010 to ogies that use electricity at a lower net cost
2020, namely 1.9 percent. According to the ex- than technologies using liquid or gaseous fuels
trapolation of this scenario, the total energy and direct solar. The principal feature of this
use in 2030 is 196 quads and the total electri- future is that electricity demand can be satis-
city use is 30.2 Quads (end use). fied without SPS, fusion or breeder reactors.
The middle scenario is chosen to be the mid- The supply potential of coal, hydro, ground
point between the high and low scenarios at based solar (including wind) and conventional
each of the decades projected. The end-use nuclear would be more than sufficient to meet
figures for each of these three scenarios are demand Even if coal were to be phased out
given in table 22. due to negative findings about the CO, build-
up, its share could probably be absorbed by
OTA does not suggest these demand levels other sources. Zero growth in electricity de-
as forecasts of what will occur. These futures mand gives the nation considerable time for
24[ner~y jn Trans;tjon, OP c I t developing new technologies.
In this situation utilities would only need to
Table 22.—Range of Energy Demand in 2030 replace retiring plants. Therefore they would
Primary total
have considerable latitude in choosing tech-
End-use electrical
Scenario (Quads) energy (Quads) nologies. Further, a zero growth rate would not
High . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30.2 196 favor large plants because they would add too
Mid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.8 135 much capacity at one time. Therefore, small-
Low . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 74
scale, dispersed technologies may play a major
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment. role in this future. If any of the new tech-
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 133

nologies under discussion are introduced they 2030, this mix may be insufficient. Yearly coal
will have to appear in relatively small in- production could probably not be expanded
crements in order to maintain system reliabili- too much beyond this (tripled) level without
ty. For example, one could expect SPS to pro- straining other sectors of the economy, and by
vide no more than 1 to 2 Quads at any given 2030 the Nation may be near its uranium re-
time to the 7 to 8 Quad total. This would act source limits. Therefore, to ensure supply
strongly against an SPS the size of the ref- beyond 2030 and to replace retiring nuclear
erence system since it would only require 7 to plants, some level of new, centralized tech-
15 units of 5,000 MW at a 90-percent capacity nologies would probably be needed.
factor to supply this much energy. Therefore
deployment of any SPS would depend on an in- If coal and conventional nuclear remain ac-
ternational demand for electricity and/or the ceptable, it is not likely that all three of the
development of much smaller units than the major centralized technologies under develop-
reference system (perhaps on the order of 500 ment would be needed. The contribution they
MW). A similar argument could be made about could make by 2030 would be small because of
fusion and breeder reactors, although current the time needed to bring them on line and the
development plans show the size of eventual fact that they would be starting from a zero
commercial plants to be 1,000 MW or less. base sometime near 2010. A 10-percent con-
tribution to 20 Quads would require anywhere
In summary, a scenario that shows little or from 60,000 to 100,000 GW, depending on
no increase in electricity demand for the next capacity factor. Unlike the low demand future,
several decades does not appear to be attrac- this would allow SPS units of up to 5,000-MW
tive for accelerated SPS development, particu- size to be added if continued growth past 2030
larly of the reference system. At the same time, is expected. A 2 percent per year growth rate
development of other central, baseload supply means about 0.4 Quad/yr added at that time.
options ultimately competing with SPS could This could be supplied by three SPS plants per
also be slowed. The choice among these, if year at the reference design size, in addition to
needed at all, would primarily depend on baseload units to replace retired pIants. This is
which ones could most economically be de- stiII a small enough increment that smaller SPS
veloped in smaller sizes. pIants appear to have an advantage. In addi-
tion, this demand increment is still not too
Middle Demand Future large to rule out its being met by onsite solar,
wind, and centralized solar. All have much
In this case net electricity demand reaches lower energy densities than fusion or breeders,
about 20 Quads in 2030 representing about a 2- however, and eventually their contribution will
percent growth rate per year that is close to be limited by available area. About 25 m2 are
that which the Nation is now experiencing. required to supply a continuous kilowatt of
Although this is about 2.5 times current elec- solar electricity assuming PV conversion effi-
tric energy demand, it too could be met with- ciencies of 20 percent. The entire 0.4 Quad
out using the SPS, fusion or the breeder reac- could be supplied by about 125 mi 2, not an
tor. For example if two-thirds of the 20 Quads unreasonable area.
were produced by coal, it would require a tri-
pling of present yearly production, which is If coal is not acceptable because of C0 2
within the Nation’s capability. Current esti- then there will have to be a substantially larger
mates of domestic uranium reserves are suffi- contribution by the newer technologies. In this
cient to supply another 6 Quads in 2030. In ad- case it is plausible that all three, plus substan-
dition, a major contribution from terrestrial tial ground based solar, would be needed.
solar (wind, onsite PV) can be expected to help Such a replacement could be achieved with
meet increased intermediate and peak load these new technologies but it would be a
demands that coincide with solar peaks (space sizable effort. If coal supplied just half of the
heating and cooling). If growth continues past electricity in the case discussed above, about
134 ● Solar Power Satellites

10 Quads of new electric energy would have to and breeders. Breeders are likely to supply the
be found, requiring 300 to 500 GW. If new bulk of this by 2030, provided they are accept-
plants were on the order of 1,000 MW in size, a able, since they are the closest to commercial
construction rate of 15 to 25 per year would be readiness. Even so, as much as 200 GW of SPS
needed assuming they were first available in could be needed by 2030. The SPS develop-
2010. Under this future of constrained coal, ment would have to be accelerated if it is to
then, there would appear to be sufficient de- meet a goal like this. The same holds true for
mand for al I technologies to be introduced at a fusion, which could also be required to supply
rate that would pay for their development in a around 100 GW by 2030.
reasonable period. Also, it is not Iikely that any
one technology wouId be relied upon to supply The mix of technologies will be determined
the entire 10 Quads at the end of this 20 year substantially by constraints such as environ-
phasing-in period. An even three-way split, for mental concerns, capital, land and water avail-
example, would mean that SPS would supply ability, materials Iimitations and labor require-
about 100 to 150 GW by 2030. ments. For example, limited water would favor
SPS and ground-based solar PV. Limited cap-
High-Demand Scenario ital, however, would favor the least capital-
intensive technologies such as coal and act
This future assumes a final demand for elec- against the SPS. In any event, these constraints
tricity of 30 Quads (about four times the cur- will be very important at this demand level
rent level), meaning a growth rate of about 2.8 because of the large number of powerplants
percent per year. At that rate, about 0.8 needed
Quad/yr would be added in 2030. If one
assumes an increase in net conversion effi- If coal must be phased down or eliminated
ciency from today’s 29 to about 35 percent and then even larger demands will be put on the
an increase in capacity factor from 42 to 55 new technologies. For example, if coal and
percent, then this total demand could be met conventional nuclear couId only meet one-
by an installed generating capacity about third of the demand, an additional 600 GW of
three times today’s figure. Efficiency and capacity would be needed. In this case it is
capacity factor will almost certainly have to probable that an all-out breeder program
increase if a 30-Quad demand is to be met. would be needed. This should not affect the
Total system capacity would be in the range of SPS– in fact, more satellites may be needed–
1,200 to 2,400 GW (1,800 GW at 55-percent but it could actually reduce fusion’s contribu-
capacity factor). tion since it is a competing nuclear technol-
ogy. The terrestrial, onsite solar contribution
To be able to supply this much electric will have to be large in either case but is very
energy, all technologies would probably be unlikely to be able to supply even one-half of
needed. Further, larger plants are likely since a the 30 Quads. Even 20 percent of the demand
demand increment of 0.8 Quad/yr would re- would require a very large deployment of PV
quire about 40,000 to 50,000 MW of new ca- systems — nearly 400 GW of dispersed gen-
pacity per year. Therefore, addition of plants erating capacity.
ranging from 1,000 to 5,000 MW would not
cause any significant short- or long-run over-
capacity problems. Because of the large Conclusion
amount of capacity needed, conventional nu- The size of future electric demand will be
clear and coal will probably be able to supply the major determinant in the amount of SPS
only about two-thirds of the total (i. e., about capacity installed, assuming successful de-
1,200 GW) before they reach the limits dis- velopment and competitive price. Table 23
cussed above. Thus, about 600 GW must be shows estimates of the upper range of SPS
supplied by hydro, ground based solar, geo- capacity available for each future for the case
thermal, and some combination of SPS, fusion of fulI coal development and coal phaseout.
Ch. 6—SPS in Context Ž 135

Table 23.–Upper Range of SPS Use (in GW) struction schedule. The mid scenario, however,
gives somewhat ambiguous results, although
Future (Quads) With coal Without coal
the smaller size SPS systems appear generally
7.5 0 0-30
20.0 0-60 100-200 to be more desirable.
30.0 100-200 100-200
For the first two scenarios it is unlikely that
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment alI three major, centralized supply technol-
ogies will be needed simultaneously, even if
coal cannot be used. Onsite, dispersed solar
In addition to determining the upper range will be able to make up a larger percentage of
of the contribution of SPS the demand level the needed capacity and could eliminate the
and rate of growth will also determine the need for any new centralized technology in the
preferred unit size. For the low scenario, low demand case. In all cases, coal can be the
smaller plants would be preferred since over- dominant source and continue in that role for
capacity problems caused by adding too much several years past 2030. Finally, as the demand
at once would probably more than offset gains for electricity increases, decisions about ca-
made by any economy of scale. For the upper pacity mix will become more and more de-
future, however, for even the largest SPS pro- pendent on physical and labor constraints be-
posed plant size, it is unlikely that too much cause of the sheer size of the capacity re-
can be added at once for any reasonable con- quirements.

THE EFFECTS OF SPS ON CIVILIAN


SPACE POLICY AND PROGRAMS
The effects of SPS development on the U.S. with minor modification and changes of em-
civilian space program would be great, though phasis. The 1958 Act states that “activities in
their precise type and magnitude would de- space should be devoted to peaceful purposes
pend on the kind of SPS built, the overall for the benefit of all mankind,” to promote the
speed of the development program and the “general welfare and security of the United
status of space capabiIities at the time. An SPS States “ The Act specifies that civilian ac-
program would stimulate more rapid develop- tivities shall be directed by NASA, and mili-
ment of space transportation, large-structure tary/defense operations by the Department of
assembly and manned-mission capabilities, Defense. The specific aims of the space pro-
and automated operations. SPS development gram include: expansion of knowledge, im-
would also have a bearing on national space provement of space transportation, “the pres-
policy and institutional structures, both Gov- ervation of the role of the United States as a
ernment and private sector. The following leader in aeronautical and space sciences,”
discussion will examine four areas: 1) space and cooperation with other nations. NASA was
policy, 2) current and future space projects, 3) established to “plan, direct and conduct
institutional structures, and 4) indirect effects aeronautical and space activities. ”25
and “spin offs.”
These general goals and this framework
have been reaffirmed subsequently, most
Space Policy recently in the “Directive on National Space
The Nation’s space policy is a reflection of Policy” and the “White House Fact Sheet on
broad national goals. The principles guiding —
5
‘ ’’Natlonal Aeronautics and Space Act of 1958, as Amended, ”
the U.S. civilian program were first enunciated
in Space Law, Selected Basic flocuments, Senate Committee on
in the 1958 National Aeronautics and Space Commer[ e, Science, and Transportation; U.S. Government Print-
Act, and have been periodically reaffirmed ing Of flee, 1978; pp 499-503
136 ● Solar Power Satellites

U.S. Civil Space Policy,” both issued in 1978. In further the economic goals that have been em-
these documents the Carter administration phasized in recent policy proclamations.
committed the United States to increase scien-
The political end of U.S. preeminence in
tific knowledge, develop useful commercial
space, though no longer stressed as strongly as
and Government applications of space tech-
during the Apollo program, would also be
nology, and “maintain United States leader-
served by commitment to an SPS. (This
ship in space technology. ” Establishing and
assumes that the project would be successful;
maintaining satisfactory relations between the
failure of such a high-visibility effort could be
civil and military programs was recognized as
extremely damaging to U.S. prestige. Interna-
a priority issue, and the National Security tional cooperation might tend to mitigate this
Council was charged with providing coordina-
danger. )
tion for all Federal agencies involved in space.
Cooperation with other nations, including joint The SPS program would not be focused on
programs and the development of a stable increasing basic scientific knowledge, but
legal regime allowing all nations to use outer- much of the research and experimentation re-
space for peaceful purposes, were emphasized quired would provide some scientific gains; in
as important goals. The investment and direct addition, the infrastructure for SPS (e. g., plat-
participation of the private sector in space ac- forms, transportation vehicles) could be used
tivities was addressed in the context of remote- for a multitude of scientific projects in space.
sensing systems. NASA’s responsibilities for There is some danger, though, that focusing
the operation, as opposed to research, de- the national space program on such a major
velopment, and testing, of applications sys- applications project as SPS would divert re-
tems have yet to be clarified.26 sources and attention, at least temporarily,
from scientific missions.
The U.S. civil space program can thus be
said to have an ongoing set of policy goals: The effects of SPS on the U.S. policy frame-
work will depend on how it is financed and
● scientific — increasing knowledge,
managed. Civil-military relations could be
● political — maintaining U.S. preeminence,
altered. Although the SPS is not technically
and
suited to be used as a weapons system, much
● economic–developing useful commer-
of SPS technology and infrastructure, espe-
cial applications.
cialIy the transportation vehicles, would have
It also has a continuing policy framework: military uses (see ch. 4). Furthermore, it is
unlikely that a project with the scope and im-
● separation of civil and military programs
pact of SPS could be approved by Congress
(with various mechanisms for coordinat-
without at least the tacit consent of the De-
ing different efforts),
partment of Defense (DOD). In the foreseeable
● cooperation with foreign countries and
future, DOD requirements for aerospace ex-
agencies, and
pertise and facilities will be great, and SPS may
● separation of NASA R&D and prototype
be seen as a competitor for scarce resources
development programs from commercial
unless direct defense benefits can be realized.
applications (an unclear relationship).
Although an SPS program would not be run by
Would an SPS program alter the basic thrust the military, it might be necessary for the civil
of U.S. policy? I n terms of goals, an SPS pro- and miIitary sectors to be more closely coor-
gram would be primarily an applications effort dinated than has previously been the case.
for commercial purposes, and hence would
Foreign cooperation and joint ventures
might be encouraged not only by the desire to
26
’’ Description of a Presidential Directive on National Space
improve international relations but by more
Policy, j une 20, 1978, ” and “White House Fact Sheet, U.S. Civil direct economic considerations. (see ch. 7).
Space Policy, Oct 11, 1978,” in Space law, pp 558-564. These considerations would be strong enough
Ch. 6—SPS in Context • 137

to provide for a greater degree of shared number of smaller scale operations and scien-
responsibility than in any equivalent U.S. pro- tific missions centered around use of the Shut-
gram to date, unless U.S. military involvement tle and other components of the Space Trans-
proves an insuperable obstacle. International portation System (STS). The lack of a single,
participation might be such that the project clear, overriding project goal for the civilian
could no longer be run as a U.S. venture with space program has been criticized for squan-
limited foreign cooperation, but would be- dering NASA and contractor capabilities, and
come a truly multinational effort with no leaving the United States without a visionary
dominant U.S. role. and profitable use for the new transportation
capabilities under development. This problem
The relation between public and private
will undoubtedly be addressed during the
participants would be a major issue in any SPS
1980’s, but jurisdictional and philosophical
program. Policy in this area has not been clear-
differences, as well as budgetary constraints,
Iy established, though there is precedent for
may make consensus difficuIt to achieve.
detaching applications projects, such as satel-
lite communications and Landsat, from NASA For the next 5 years, NASA plans to concen-
after development is completed. NASA has trate on a number of areas: those most directly
conducted all U.S. civilian launches on a relevant to SPS include:
reimbursable basis; it is unclear what would
1. Transportation and Orbital Operations:
happen if private firms wished to build and/or
Transportation efforts will concentrate on
launch their own vehicles, as has been sug-
meeting shuttle schedules but also in-
gested for the shuttle. If, as is presently the
clude other elements of STS: the inertial
case, a Federal SPS program were managed by
upper stage, for placing payloads in geo-
DOE or some other agency besides NASA, synchronous orbit ( C E O ) ( u n d e r d e v e l -
NASA might be responsible for only a limited
opment by the Air Force); Spacelab, for
part of SPS development and NASA restric- manned and unmanned experimentation
tions and policies might not apply.
(joint program with ESA); development of
orbital transfer vehicles such as an elec-
Current and Projected Space Projects tric orbit transfer vehicle (EOTV); systems
to handle payloads outside of the Shuttle;
SPS would be strongly affected by current
and free-flying platforms. Each of these
space programs and capabilities, and in turn
programs will be important for improving
might also determine what many of those pro-
grams would be. However, since an SPS devel- our capability to move and work in space,
and hence directly relevant to SPS. The
opment decision is unlikely to be made before
key element is the Shuttle, which must
1990, and may not be possible until 2000, (see
work and work well if these projects are to
ch. 4), SPS will not shape NASA projects con-
ducted during the next decade (though it may proceed during the 1980’s. Delays in Shut-
affect long-range planning). tle operations, or in building additional or-
biters, will not only retard these projects
Historically, NASA has devoted the major but also might prevent SPS-specific re-
portion of its resources to a single major proj- search flights as envisioned in one of the
ect, first the Apollo lunar-landing program, policy Options from taking place in the
and then the Space Shuttle. However, there are late 1980’s (see ch. 4).
currently no plans for a similar “centerpiece” 2 I m m e d i a t e A p p l i c a t i o n s : In this area,
project to follow the Shuttle; the White House space processing experiments to be con-
Fact Sheet asserted explicitly that: “it is ducted on Spacelab could be important in
neither feasible nor necessary at this time to determining the proper kinds of materials
commit the United States to a high-challenge for SPS construction, as well as prospects
space engineering initiative comparable to for direct processing of raw materials in
Apollo.” Instead, present plans call for a orbit. Communications and remote-se ns-

83-316 0 - 81 - 10
138 ● Solar Power Satellites

ing development will involve work with tion, and operations, by the end of the 1980’s;
microwave transmission, lasers, and mir- and 4) a permanent facility in GEO, eventually
ror systems, as well as detailed studies of manned, by the late 1990’s. Meeting goals
the upper atmosphere, 27 which will b e wouId involve:
vital in determining the environmental ef- • augmenting the Shuttle’s thrust, perhaps
fects of launch effIuents and energy trans-
via a Iiquid booster;
mission beams. ● developing EOTVs, such as the low-thrust
3. Solar Radiation:The Solar Maximum Mis-
ion-propelled Solar Electric Propulsion
sion (launched February 1980) and the up-
System (SEPS) for service to geosynchro-
coming International Solar Polar Mission,
nous orbit;
scheduled for 1983, will study solar radia- ● equipping the Shuttle and its modules
tion and its effects on the near-Earth
with a 25-kW add-on electrical power sys-
space environment. Such information
tem; and
could be important in designing SPS solar ● carrying-on a ground and space-based ef-
cells and in adding to our knowledge of
fort to fabricate and assemble precision
the effects of radiation on SPS workers:
structures in orbit .29
ionizing radiation in CEO is a potentially
serious obstacle to human effectiveness All of these projects could have direct bear-
and could be decisive in determining the ing on SPS and on any future decision to pro-
optimal “mix” between automated and ceed with SPS development. Some of the
human-controlled operations. longer term aims, such as SEPs, might overlap
4 Humans in Space: The studies of Shuttle with an SPS development program, that would
crew performance as well as specific provide a strong impetus for their completion.
Spacelab experiments will provide a basis
NASA is not the only body with plans for
for determining the long-term effects of
space. DOD goals, though largely classified,
weightlessness and cramped quarters, and
include large platforms, orbital microwave
for designing appropriate equipment to
radars, and space-based lasers. DOD require-
improve manned performance. 28
ments couId drive NASA projects such as Shut-
The above projects are already underway tle thrust augmentation, or lead to separate
and are those for which funding or explicit development of SPS-useful equipment.
planning are in place. NASA has also outlined
Other long-range projects have been sug-
other, longer term plans that would be impor-
gested by many individuals and organizations,
tant to SPS. NASA’s Office of Space Transpor-
in and out of government. In the transporta-
tation Systems’ long-term goals are predicated
tion area, these include very large fully
on the assumption that “the growth of U.S.
reuseable launchers; laser-propulsion; 30 Iight-
civilian space programs in the 1990’s will prob-
sails, to power low-acceleration transfer
ably continue to be moderate and evolu-
vehicles or deep-space missions; 31 and mass-
tionary, rather than rapid or ‘Apollo-like,’ “
drivers to lift material off the lunar surface, or
and that “space projects will increasingly have
as a solar-powered propulsion system for
to demonstrate significant economic return or
space vehicles. 32 Other than the building of
perform essential services to obtain approval.”
full-scale permanent colonies, SPS is the
The specific goals are: 1 ) routine operation of
largest space project proposed to date, in
the STS by the mid-1 980’s; 2) routine operation
of unmanned large low-Earth orbit (LEO) plat-
2’1 b[d Pp 190-205
forms by the mid-1980’s; 3) a permanent ‘ (l A Hertz berg, K Sun, W Jones, “ L a s e r A i r c r a f t , A s t r o n a u t i c s
manned facility in LEO for research, construc- and Aeronautics, March 1979 p 41
“K Eric Drexler, “Spinoffs To and From SPS Technology: A
Preliminary Assessment,” OTA Working Paper, June 1980, p. 9
Z7N~t10nal Aeronautics and space Adm Inistration, ~AsA f’ro- ‘2(, O’NeIll, G Driggers, B. 0’Leary, “New Routes to Man-
gram P/an, F;sca/ Years 1987 Through 7985, 1980, p 107 ufacturing In Space, ” A s t r o n a u t i c s a n d A e r o n a u t i c s , O c t o b e r
*a Ibid, pp 3-5 1980 Pp 4 6 5 1
Ch. 6—SPS in Context ● 139

terms of expense, returns, timeframe, and consuming and wasteful. SPS would require a
amount of people and materials placed in or- much clearer and stronger coordinating mech-
bit; if developed it would be a spur to all forms anism than currently exists for national space
of cheaper space transportation. programs, since not only NASA and DOE but a
number of other departments and agencies
SPS’s effect on space projects would depend
would be involved. 34
to some extent on the type of SPS that would
be developed, the size of each unit, and the Extensive NASA involvement in SPS would
size of the entire system (as well as the scope require clarification of NASA’s appropriate
and type of space program in place at the role in commercial applications ventures, and
time). A geosynchronous microwave SPS simi- perhaps modification of NASA’s charter. Both
lar to the reference design would require ex- underlying policy— i.e., to what extent NASA
tensive transfer vehicle capacity and hence shouId operate applications systems, such as
lead to accelerated development of EOTVs, Landsat and communication satellites—and
chemical-powered personnel vehicles, and specific procedures for turning over patents,
manned GEO construction stations. A laser- technology, and hardware to private industry
SPS in LEO, on the other hand, would require or other Government agencies, have been sub-
relatively little LEO to GEO transfer capacity. ject to continuing controversy. *
A mirror-system might need even less up- It is probable that a separate public or
graded Iift or construction capacity in order to
quasi-governmental body would eventually be
be fully deployed (see ch. 5).
set up, outside of NASA and DOE, to manage
A large SPS system consisting of many satel- an SPS program. Such a decision would be in-
lites would tend to have greater economies of fluenced by, among other things, the desired
scale, leading to the development of more and mix of public and private funding, and the
different sorts of vehicles, and greater mass- degree of international involvement. Possible
production and automation. In-orbit process- forms such a body might take are discussed in
ing of lunar or asteroidal raw materials would chapter 9, Financing Ownership and Control,
also be feasible only if a very large system and in chapter 7.
were built, to justify the front-end costs of
lunar mining and orbital processors. Indirect Effects and “Spinoffs”

Institutional Structures There would be three kinds of indirect ef-


fects of SPS development:
Would an SPS program require a change in ● technology and hardware developed for
current national institutions? The completed
SPS that could have other uses (and that
SPS Concept Development and Evaluation
otherwise would not be developed or
Program 33 was a joint DOE/NASA effort, with
wouId be developed at a much slower
DOE providing most of the management and
pace),
NASA providing technical support. A decision ● uses of the SPS itself other than providing
to have further SPS research, development,
terrestrial baseload electric power (and
and demonstration efforts managed by DOE
that would otherwise not be provided for),
would likely prove awkward, since the bulk of
and
the up-front development costs would be for ● economic/technological changes and ba-
space systems; hence DOE would have to pass
sic shifts of national attitudes
most of its SPS funding to NASA, or attempt to
develop its own contractor relations and in- SPS developed technologies and hardware:
house space capability, which would be time- Most, though not all, of these spinoffs would
relate to space capabilities. We have already
“Satellite Power Systems Concept Development and Evalua- ‘[J( )1 re[)ort o n \ PS .1 nd G o v e r n m e n t dgenc
Ief —In press
tion Program, “Program Assessment Report Statement of Find- *See O T A a s s e s s m e n t , S p a c e Policy and Applications, i n
ings,” November 1980, DO E/E R-0085 preparation
140 ● Solar Power Satellites

seen that NASA’s transportation plans include some of this technology could also be used for
many elements directly useful to SPS, which ground-based solar projects.
SPS development would tend to accelerate or
Space or ground-based industries using SPS-
modify. Although the reference system calls
developed technology or hardware could, at
for heavy-lift launch vehicles able to carry 400
least temporarily, compete with SPS for scarce
tons to LEO, and a 5,000-ton payload EOTV,
resources. A mechanism for allocating prior-
the exact types of vehicles needed cannot yet
ities might have to be established to resolve
be specified. The proper mix between size,
competing claims.
numbers, and types of vehicles depends on
many unknown factors, including the type of Alternative SPS uses; Depending on the elec-
system, its location, and the number of satel- tromagnetic environment (i.e., on the type of
lites to be built. system used and the amount and type of
shielding available), the SPS platform, whether
The combination of improved and cheaper
in (GEO or LEO, could be used as a station for a
transportation, robotics and teleoperation, variety of communication and remote-sensing
possible new construction materials (such as
equipment. A GEO SPS wouId be especially
graphite composites), and human expertise,
useful, due to the relatively small number of
would make possible many commercial space
positions available. Remotely operated optical
activities. Large communications platforms,
astronomy devices could be placed near or on
scientific and industrial research facilities,
SPS as a way of escaping the interference
processing plants for chemical and raw mate-
faced by Earth-based telescopes. Given a large
rials —these are a few possibilities. Past ex-
amount of space traffic associated with in-
perience teaches that commercial exploitation
creasing industrial and military space flights,
follows in the wake of the development of new
the SPS station could become a focal point for
capabilities, and cannot be accurately fore-
local storage, refueling, and rest and relaxation
seen. 35
for crews – a kind of spaceport. Living quarters
Space industrialization could be greatly for maintenance crews and construction
enhanced by the use of extraterrestrial raw workers could be expanded and upgraded into
materials. SPS could lead to lunar or asteroidal occasional (and, initially, very high-cost)
mining by fostering the development of trans- tourist accommodations.
port and robotics capacity, as well as by pro- SPS electricity could be used in orbit, either
viding a major market for processed products
at the satellite itself or at remote sites
such as aluminum, steel, silicon, and oxygen. equipped with receiving antennas, to provide
The most detailed studies have examined min-
power for industrial activities. Processing,
ing the lunar surface, and launching raw
especially of extraterrestrial raw materials,
materials to orbiting processors via an elec-
could require large amounts of electrical
trically powered mass driver. Others have sug-
power that might be more efficiently supplied
gested mining or capturing a small asteroid,
by a central SPS than by building specific elec-
preferably a carbonaceous-chondrite asteroid
trical capacity.
rich in carbon and high-grade iron/nickel ore. 36
Establishing such facilities, which might be Some SPS designs, especially the mirror-
done in the later stages of SPS development, systems, might produce enough power to be
could considerably reduce the costs of used for local climactic modification. This
transporting material to high orbits. would require more precise understanding of
weather systems than is now available. Orbital
On the ground, SPS would require large-
mirrors have also been suggested as a way of
scale automated production of solar cells;
providing nighttime illumination of cities
and/or of cropland to enhance growth. 37

‘5 Woodcock, op cit , p 12
3’Drexler, op. cit , pp 10-11 ‘“Woodcock, op cit
Ch. 6—SPS in Context . 141

Special mirror surfaces that reflect only SPS might prove equally stimulating. Others
specific wavelengths would need to be de- argue that these resources would have been
veloped for such purposes. available anyway, and could have been used in
more efficient ways.
Generic economic and social effects: A suc-
cessful SPS could be instrumental in provoking Arguments about long-term social vitality
an economic upsurge by stimulating new pro- aIso often revolve around the Apollo ex-
duction in the aerospace and energy indus- perience. The optimism and vision that
tries, and new industries altogether in space characterized the “Apollo decade” are con-
fabrication, solar cells, antenna construction, trasted with the pessimism, uncertainty, and
and so on. Specific technical advances neces- sense of limits of the post-Apollo 1970’s. Skep-
sary for SPS and Iikely to provide economic tics, however, argue that Apollo represented a
spinoffs have been mentioned. The likelihood misguided effort to escape from more pressing
of a revolutionary new product, comparable in social and political problems, and that the
effect to the transistor or microchip, resulting space program lost public support when this
from SPS is unpredictable. Estimates of the ag- became apparent39 (see ch. 9). Whether the
gregate economic and technical effects of United States will regain some of its former en-
large research and engineering projects, such thusiasm for large high-technology projects
as Apollo or nuclear reactors, vary enormous- wiII depend partly on the success of current ef-
ly. Some credit a large portion of the U.S. forts, such as the Space Shuttle, and on the
economic vitality and technical leadership in magnitude and type of benefits that such proj-
the 1960’s, especially increases in research, ects offer.
engineering, and project management skilIs, to
Federal investments in the Space program .38
“Klaus Helss, “New Economic Structures for Space In the
‘ 8 Drexler, op clt , pp 8-9 I Ightlei, Astronautics ancf Aeronautics, January 1981, p 17
CHAPTER 7
THE INTERNATIONAL IMPLICATIONS
OF SOLAR POWER SATELLITES
Contents
Page Page

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......145 Use of SPS Launchers and Construction


Facilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .171
Degree and Kind of Global Interest in SPS .146
Military Uses of SPS . ...............172
Economic Interest. . ................146
ownership and Control. . . . ..........173
Noneconomic Interest . .............153
Foreign Interest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .174
Legal Issues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...154
Europe . ........................174
Status of the Geosynchronous Orbit. . . .155
Soviet Union . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .174
Environmental Considerations . . . . . . . .156
Japan . . . . . . . . 175
Military and Arms Control Issues . .. ...156
Third World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .175
Common Heritage and the Moon Treaty. 158
Study Recommendations . ............175
Advantages and Disadvantages of
Multinational SPS. . ..............159
Unilateral Interests. . . . . . . . . ........160
Multilateral Interests . . . . . . . ........162 LIST OF TABLES
Possible Models . ..................163
Table No. Page
National Security implications of Solar 24. Primary Energy Demand. . ..............146
Power Satellites. . ................167 25. End-Use Electricity Demand . ...........147
Vulnerability and Defensibility. . ......168 26. Amount of Global Installed Capacity ., .. ..147
Current Military Programs in Space .. ..170 27. SPS Market in 2020/2025. . ..............151
Chapter 7
THE INTERNATIONAL IMPLICATIONS
OF SOLAR POWER SATELLITES

INTRODUCTION

The development of solar power satellites organizations such as the United Nations and
(SPS) requires consideration from the perspec- its specialized agencies; multilateral groups
tive of its international implications. First, as a such as the Organization for Economic Coop-
space technology SPS would operate in a eration and Development (OECD) and OPEC;
global medium, outside of any national terri- and regional groupings such as the Common
tory, which is subject to international law em- Market and the European Space Agency (ESA).
bodied in existing treaties and agreements. On the substate level there are numerous in-
Secondly, as a major energy project the SPS terests, including those of private companies,
would affect supply and demand for what is by public utilities, and governmental agencies,
far the largest commodity traded on interna- that often conflict and that seek to influence
tional markets, one that is of vital interest to national decisions. Furthermore, the role of the
all countries. Thirdly, because of its tremen- large multinational corporations in interna-
dous cost and technical sophistication an SPS tional relations is in some areas very great and
system could have a strong effect on the econ- often independent of direct government con-
omies of states involved in its construction. trol
And finally, development of an SPS and of the
launchers needed to build and maintain it may However, for the SPS, national decisions and
give its builders significant military and/or interests are likely to predominate. Although
economic leverage over other states. the rise of energy as a major global concern
has led to the formation of numerous interna-
This chapter will look at the SPS primarily tional organizations (such as the International
from a political perspective, because in the Energy Agency) and to intense discussion of
final analysis SPS development will depend on the global dimensions of energy prices and
national efforts, instigated by national leaders, shortages, the overall impact has been to place
paid for– in large part– by public funds. The decisions about energy consumption and pro-
United States is the only country in which duction more and more firmly in the hands of
there is any likelihood that there would be national governments. In general, it seems that
significant private-sector responsibility for SPS the role of the state in furthering peace and
decisions. The importance of national efforts security, stability, prestige, and economic well-
would be especially crucial in the near future being has not been supplanted by other enti-
when SPS projects are in the R&D and proto- ties.
type construction phases.
Forecasting. – B e c a u s e S P S i s a p r o j e c t
Actors. – If SPS is developed, Government
which, if pursued, will not reach fruition for at
involvement would be guaranteed because
least 20 years, assumptions must be made
SPS would affect vital national interests in a
about future political and economic develop-
number of areas, e.g., external security, pres-
ments. Since radical changes are by definition
tige and influence, and economic growth.
unpredictable, these will be unavoidably con-
Energy policy in itself has become a central
servative. In general, it is assumed that the
component of national planning in most coun-
basic political and socioeconomic alinements
tries.
of today’s world are likely to continue. In the
Nonstate actors would be involved as well. past, fundamental realinements of the interna-
On the international level these include global tional political structure have often been the

145
146 ● Solar Power Satellites

result of major wars or of deep-seated altera- creasing skepticism in American and European
tions in political and social expectations, attitudes towards the space program and
neither of which can be confidently predicted. nuclear energy in the Iate 1960’s and early
Even relatively small shifts in public support 1970’s, for instance, has decisively affected
for various programs can have large effects; in- our current space and energy capabilities.

DEGREE AND KIND OF GLOBAL INTEREST IN SPS

National and regional interest in the SPS will recent energy forecasts to be much lower than
stem from an evaluation of the ways an SPS those of only a few years ago. Since OTA
system would affect all the components of na- believes that IIASA’s analysis may tend to
tional interest outlined above. The degree and overestimate future energy demands (see app.
kind of interest shown will vary from nation to C), especially in the advanced industrialized
nation. In deciding what institutional structure countries, the following figures should be used
to use for SPS development, it is crucial to with some caution.
take these various foreign interests into ac-
The IIASA projections for primary energy
count. In this case, interest can be divided —
demand are based on an integrated model in
somewhat arbitrarily— into economic and non-
which supply and demand are matched on a
economic components. The economic interest
global basis (see table 24). (See app. C.)
in SPS would be focused on SPS’s ability to
provide electricity, and hence on the local de- Historically, the rate of growth in electrical
mand for electricity over the time SPS be- demand has been approximately twice as high
comes available. Noneconomic concerns as that of total energy demand. IIASA predicts
would include prestige and national security that it will remain higher, but by a factor of 1.4
interests. instead of 2.0.3

Currently, electricity accounts for an


Economic Interest average of 11 percent of global end-use
A recently completed study by the interna- energy, ranging from 6.5 percent in developing
tional Institute for Applied Systems Analysis countries to 12 percent in the OECD. By 2030,
(IIASA), Energy in a Finite World, 1 provides the IIASA expects this figure to rise to 17 percent
(in both high and low scenarios), with develop-
most up-to-date projections of long-range
future global energy demand. The IIASA study ing countries using 13 percent and OECD 21
uses a global model with several different percent, reflecting an annual increase in usage
scenarios, broken down on a regional basis. of 2.6 percent (low) to 3.4 percent (high). 4
We will present the high and low estimates to
give the entire range of predictions; it should ‘Finite World, op. c it , p. 482.
be noted that the lower estimates are closer to ‘Ibid
those of some recent U.S. studies, such as
Energy in Transition 1985-2010, by the National Table 24.—Primary Energy Demand (Quads)
Academy of Sciences. 2 (See app. C.) In general —
1975 2000 2030
the slowdown in gross national product (GNP)
— Low High Low High
growth over the past several years, and the
OECD. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .146.8 200.3 224.5 266.3 393.4
sharp rises in oil prices in 1979, have caused SU/EE (Soviet Union,
E. Europe) . . . . . . . . . . 55.0 98.9 110.3 149.4 219.1
‘Energy in a Finite Worid, A Global Systems Analysis, Energy Developing . . . . . . . . . . . 37.7 107.0 148.9253.8 453.1
Systems Program Group, International Institute for Applied Sys- Global Total. . . . . . . . . . .239.5406 .2503.7669.5 1,065.6
tems Analysis (Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger Publishing Co,, 1981).
‘Energy in Transition 1985-2070 (Washington, D. C.: National S6URCE: Energy in a Finite World; conversion to Quads done by the Office of
Technology Assessment.
Academy of Sciences, 1979).
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 147

Electricity use is affected by many factors, Soviet Union — up to 55 percent of coal pro-
including changes in end-uses, (such as heat duction in North America by 20306 (see app. C).
pumps or electric cars), saturation of demand,
and the cost and availability of fuel (see ch. 6). Regional Variations
Table 25 shows the IIASA figures for end-use In order to understand how different coun-
electricity demand. tries might view SPS, it is crucial to highlight
Assuming 70-percent load factors and 15- the major regional differences that will affect
percent losses in transmission and distribution, demand for electricity. Foremost among them
IIASA estimates for installed generating ca- is the question of regional or national self-
pacity in 2030 are shown in table 26. sufficiency.

Although the IIASA report is pessimistic SELF-SUFFICIENT AREAS


about the possibility of extensive use of alter-
In the 50-year time-frame considered, it ap-
native energy sources, such as fusion or
pears possible for three major consuming
ground-based solar, by 2030, it points out that
regions — North America, Soviet Union/Eastern
a breakthrough in fusion or solar-cells would
Europe, and China –to achieve energy self-
change the supply and cost of electricity dras-
sufficiency. This would require rapid develop-
tically. Cheap photovoltaics might encourage
ment of indigenous sources of North American
a shift towards a “hydrogen economy, ’’with
oil shale, tar sands, and Western coal; for the
electricity produced in high-insolation desert
Soviet Union, untapped oil, gas and coal re-
areas being “stored” and transported as hydro-
serves in Central and Eastern Siberia; for
gen. 5
China, development of oil and coal deposits
Barring such developments, future baseload and expanded exploration in Western China. In
electrical demand will be met overwhelmingly all three cases very substantial growth in
by coal and nuclear sources (see app. C). IIASA nuclear and/or solar, hydro, and other gen-
also predicts that coal will be used extensively erating sources would also be required. With
for producing liquid fuels, especially in coal- the possible exception of U.S. and Soviet coal,
rich regions such as North America and the none of these regions is likely to export sig-
nificant energy supplies, since indigenous
growth will absorb most new capacity even
‘I bid., p. 163. under optimistic scenarios.

Table 25.–End-Use Electricity Demand (Qe) The costs of achieving regional self-suf-
ficiency would be very high. Development of
1975 2030 North American oil shale and tar sands, for in-
— Low High stance, on a scale sufficient to produce oil and
OECD . . . . . . . . . . . .. 12.5 35.3 50.2 gas in quantities comparable to the large com-
SU/EE . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.9 15.5 25.4
Developing. . . . . . . . .
mercial oilfields of today, will cost hundreds
1.8 23.3 41.3
Global Total . . . . . . . . 18.2 74.1 116.9 of billions of dollars. Such development will
also be “dirty” environmentalIy, involving ex-
SOURCE: .Errergy in a Finite Wor/d, p. 659. These numbers should be taken as
approximations, since they are based on IIASA estimates of the per. tensive surface-mining, and hence expensive to
cent of end-use demand that will be met by electricity. For graphic
presentation, see Energy, p. 481. clean up and to regulate.

In the Soviet Union, currently the world’s


Table 26.—Amount of Global largest oil producer, finding the capital for ma-
Installed Capacity (GWe) jor energy investments during the 1980’s will
be difficult. Inefficiencies in central planning
1975 2000 2030
practices are likely to be magnified as de-
Low High Low High
1,600 3,550 4,390 6,320 9,845
SOURCE: Energy in a Finite World,p. 483. “1 bid , p 669,
148 ● Solar Power Satellites

mands for consumer goods and services in- pean or Japanese shortages. Investment in or
crease. legal control of foreign assets provides little in-
surance against price rises or expropriation,
China’s energy production potential is not
when the local government is so inclined.
well enough known to predict future supplies
with any certainty. Oil, coal, and oil shale are The underdeveloped energy-poor regions
known to be present in large quantities. Cur- vary greatly in their levels of development and
rent modernization plans call for sizable their degree of energy dependence. In virtually
energy investments. all cases oil-price rises have seriously ham-
pered economic growth. 9 In some instances
ENERGY-DEPENDENT AREAS the increases have spurred development of in-
Regions without sufficient local resources digenous sources– nuclear plants in Brazil,
will include Western Europe, Japan, and large Argentina, a n d I n d i a ; b i o m a s s i n B r a z i l ;
portions of the (currently) developing world. numerous small-scale hydro and solar projects
Western Europe and Japan can be expected to suited for decentralized generation. It is in the
invest heavily in nuclear plants, especially fast less developed countries (LDCs) that the great-
breeders. est proportional surge in energy demand and
electrical usage will come over the next 50
Unfortunately neither Western Europe nor
years, rising from 12 percent’” to 31 to 35 per-
Japan is in a good position to exploit alternate
cent of global electrical demand (see app. C).
nonnuclear technologies to alleviate depend-
Decentralized systems can be effective in
ence on imported oil. Except for a relatively
regions without developed utility grids and
small part of Southern Europe, average annual
where demand is for small units for domestic,
insolation is low—only 1,000 kWh/m 2 in Cen-
agricultural, and light industrial use. But the
t r a l E u r o p e , c o m p a r e d t o 2 , 5 0 0 k W h / m2 i n
baseload power needed for extensive growth
Arizona. ’ Hydroelectric resources are limited
and modernization will be expensive and in
and already extensively developed. There are
short supply.
no large wooded areas to provide biomass, and
regional cropland in densely populated regions
ENERGY-EXPORTING AREAS
is scarce.
Current energy-exporters include OPEC
It is likely that Western Europe and Japan members as well as a few non-OPEC oil pro-
will try to develop assured foreign sources for ducers, such as Mexico, Malaysia, and the
future needs. This may take the form of joint Soviet Union. Over the next 50 years, many
development of capital-intensive North Ameri- current oil-surplus states will cease to export,
can energy projects, gaining through partial due to increased domestic consumption and/or
ownership an assured source of supplies. decreased output. The time and rate at which
Foreign interest in U.S. coal, including invest- current oil production in exporting countries
ment in mines and shipping facilities, has ac- will diminish depends on the rate of consump-
celerated since the 1979 rise in oil prices. 8 tion as well as future discoveries. IIASA
However, it is unlikely that national policy in predicts only small increases in exporting
the United States and Canada will permit country production through 2030, with de-
extensive ownership of energy resources by mand increases being met primarily by coal
foreign countries or enterprises, or significant liquefaction a n d u n c o n v e n t i o n a l o i l s . T h e
exports of nonrenewable fuels, even to friendly report emphasizes that: “The ‘energy prob-
countries. Though the size of the capital re- lem,’ viewed with a sufficiently long-term and
quirements may allow for foreign participa- global perspective, is not an energy problem,
tion, it will not be enough to alleviate Euro- strictly speaking, it is an oil problem, or, more
‘K. K. Reinhartz, “An Overview of European SPS Activities, ” —
Firta/ Proceedings of SPS Program Review, Department of Energy, ‘See Energy in the Developing Countries, World Bank, August’
April 1980, p. 79. 1980, pp 3-6
8
See “The Coal Ships,” Washington Post, Oct. 13,1980, p, 1. ‘“I bid , p 44.
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 149

precisely, a liquid fuels problem.’’ 11 A s d e - pared to the cost of mining (because of its
mand grows over the next 50 years, the ability bulk), especially overseas and in areas without
of countries to import such fuels to make up extensive rail Iinks, While oil and gas are
for local shortfalls will dwindle, and prices will suitable for small-scale household use, coal is
rise sharply. expensive to store, and prohibitively dirty to
use (especially in urban areas). And increased
In summary then, the 50-year forecast is for
burning of coal could have disastrous environ-
an increase in demand for energy of some
mental consequences, including acid rain and
three to four times, and an increase in demand
global temperature increases (see ch. 6). IIASA
for electricity of some four to six times with
predicts a 10 to 1.50 C average increase,
rates being somewhat higher in the currently
through 2030, depending on high or low growth
developing regions. These forecasts are based
rates,
on a declining rate of growth in GNP, averag-
ing some 2.7 percent (in the low scenario) to 3.7 Nuclear plants are characterized by widely
percent (high scenario) per year. (Compared to publicized environmental dangers. Even if
a global average of 5 percent from 1960 to these can be resolved, public opposition to
1975.) In general, energy scarcity will cause nuclear power, as well as the rapidly increasing
higher prices, reducing demand and increasing costs of building new nuclear capacity, have
supply. The question is whether future supplies already delayed the production of nuclear
will be so high cost as to force a radical change generators, especially in the United States
in Iiving standards and growth rates. Maintain- (where alternative fuels are more readily
ing a moderate rate of growth in the developed available than in many other countries). Fur-
countries and a somewhat higher growth rate thermore, the spread of nuclear technology,
in the developing world —to provide for popu- especially breeders, into more and more parts
lation increases as well as the prospect of real of the world will almost inevitably make it
increases in living standards —will place de- easier for more states to manufacture nuclear
mands on energy resources that guarantee that weapons. Since uranium is concentrated in
energy costs will consume a larger proportion scarce deposits, largely in North America, the
of national income than in the past. IIASA Soviet Union, and parts of Africa, many areas
predicts an increase of 2.4 to 3.0 times in the will be inclined to depend increasingly on
proportion of gross domestic product (GDP) breeders. The safeguards and restrictions set
spent on energy. Even if IIASA’s projections up by the United States to prevent prolifera-
prove to be on the high side, future energy tion have been only partially successful when
sources can expect to be competitive within a the main reason for building reactors has been
very high-cost ceiIing. prestige-they will be even less effective as
energy needs make nuclear plants essential.
SPS Contribution
For these reasons, SPS may be attractive as
SPS could begin to provide electricity by an alternative to other methods of generating
2010-20 and could be a substantial source of electricity. In addition, unpredictable factors
new power within the selected 50-year period. such as a major nuclear accident or the failure
None of the global projections to date has con- of alternative energy sources could spur inter-
sidered the possible impact of an SPS system est in the SPS. SPS would by no means replace
on future energy scenarios. The rise in elec- coal or nuclear power within the next 50 years,
trical consumption is expected to be met by but could reduce otherwise excessive reliance
large increases in coal-fired generators and on these technologies.
nuclear plants. However, there are serious
problems with both methods. Economic acceptance of an SPS system
would depend on several factors. Overall costs
Coal, like oil, is abundant only in certain of delivered power will be crucial; these must
areas. Unlike oil, it is expensive to ship com- be competitive with other systems. Perhaps
II Fjnjte wor/d, Op. cit., P 653 equally important would be the division of
150 ● Solar Power Satellites

these costs between developers, owners, and building and deploying the satellite portion of
users and the way these are shared between the system is probably beyond the reach of
participating countries. Development of an most of the present LDCs over the next 50
SPS system would require large amounts of years, so that relying on SPS power might be
capital and a high level of technical/engineer- seen as undercutting efforts to develop an in-
ing expertise. There are three distinct areas digenous energy infrastructure. Payments to
with capital and expertise: 1 ) North America; 2) foreign companies for such power would be a
the rest of the OECD countries (i.e., Western drain on scarce foreign exchange reserves com-
Europe and Japan); 3) the Soviet Union and pared to development of local resources,
Eastern Europe. Assuming that extensive co- which cause ripple effects in the economy.
operation between the Soviet Union and other User governments would be sensitive about
countries is unlikely (see p. 161), the two possi- depending on a foreign high-technology energy
ble collaborators have somewhat different in- source, even if costs and other aspects are
terests. North America has the requisite tech- favorable.
nical/industrial capacity in space transporta-
What is the potential global market for SPS?
tion and related areas, but is potentially
To date, only the studies by Maurice Claverie
energy rich, while Europe and Japan have in-
and Alan Dupas have attempted to estimate
creasing expertise in aerospace and face con-
this in any detail. Their recent papers 12 present
tinued large energy shortfalls. If the future in-
a possible methodology for making SPS projec-
terest of these possible participants were es-
tions. Unfortunately, their results are based on
timated, North American interest would rate as
energy demand projections completed in 1976
potentially moderate to high and West Euro-
and 1978 that are now considered to have con-
pean and Japanese (along with some other in-
siderably overestimated future electricity de-
dustrialized areas–South Korea, Taiwan,
mand’ 13 14 (see app. C).
South Africa, Australia) as potentially very
high. In North America, capital and interest in From these projections Claverie and Dupas
SPS would be competing with coal and synfuel estimate the maximum demand for large elec-
development, as well as nuclear energy; in the tric powerplants (LEPP) (see map in app. C),
rest of OECD, primarily with nuclear develop- and calculate SPS demand assuming either 10-
ment. In general, development of technologies percent or 50-percent market penetration by 5
using renewable or inexhaustible fuel sources, gigawatt (CW) SPSs (see table 27).
(such as SPS, but also fusion, ground-based
Even allowing for the high estimates of the
solar, and biomass) would be preferred to
energy projections used, the Claverie-Dupas
depletable ones.
calculations must be considered very rough
upper estimates of future demand; in particu-
The possible cooperative mechanisms for lar, cost comparisons with alternative sources
SPS development and operation will be dis- were not taken into account. Claverie and
cussed later (see Advantages and Disad- Dupas attribute much of SPS’s potential at-
vantages of Multinational SPS, pp. 159-163). It is tractiveness to environmental and political
important here to see that potential SPS users factors rather than strict cost advantages. 15
with limited initial capital and expertise to —
‘*M Claverie a n d A . Dupas, “Preliminary Evaluation of
contribute to an SPS system might need spe-
Ground and Space Solar Electricity Market in 2025,” 29th IAF
cial incentives to participate in buying SPS Congress, October 1978; “The Potential Global Market in 2025
power. A major economic consideration for for Satellite Solar Power Stations, ” May 1979; “Possible
Limitations to SPS Use Due to Distribution of World Population
such SPS users might be the lack of direct and
and World Energy Consumption Centers, ” 31st IAF Congress,
indirect spinoffs f r o m S P S p a r t i c i p a t i o n . September 1980
Ground-based antenna construction would re- ‘ ‘Edison Electric Institute, Economic Growth in the Future
(New York McCraw-Hill, 1976), pp. 215-234
quire large amounts of unskilled labor, but “World Energy Conference, Wor/cf Energy Demand (New York:
would provide few technical or managerial IPC Science and Technology Press, 1978)
posts. The capability to participate directly in ‘5Claverle and Dupas, “Potential Market, ” op cit., p. 4.
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 151

Table 27.–SPS Market in 2020/2025 (G We) range from 5 GW down to 0.5 GW (see ch. 5).
Development of smaller sizes would greatly
10% of New LEPP 50% of New LEPP
improve the market penetration of SPS by miti-
CWEa WECb CWR WEC
gating two serious obstacles: the large size of
OECD. . . . . . . . 135 75 685 365
SU/EE. . . . . . . . 40 260 195 reference rectennas, a n d t h e p r o b l e m s o f
Developing . . . 50 85 430 435 inserting large blocs of power into utility grids.
Global . . . . . . . 275 200 1,375 995
Rectenna size in the 5 GW reference design
*WR - Case Western Reserve.
bWEC. World Energy Conference. is 10 x 13 km at 350 N., including a 2 km buf-
SOURCE: Adapted from Claverie and Dupas, Potential G/oba/ Market, p. 4. fer zone. Reducing the size of the design to 1.5
GW would necessitate a receiving antenna
only 6.5 X 5.5 km, lowering costs and making
Within the limits of this study the Claverie-
siting more feasible. In European demand
Dupas estimates using the IIASA projections
centers, mostly located from 450 to 650 N.,
cannot be duplicated. However, by using
IIASA’S estimates of installed capacity in 2030, rectennas would need to be much larger.
a rough estimate of global demand can be Given Europe’s high population densities,
made. We can assume that 20 percent of ca- many experts have suggested placing recten-
pacity will be reserve, to guard against nas offshore in shallow North Sea waters. 1 7
Similar problems would be faced in the North-
outages, and that of the remaining 80 percent,
65 percent will be baseload. Moreover, if we eastern United States, Japan, Eastern China,
accept Claverie and Dupas’ estimate that 10 and India. Though apparently feasible, placing
percent of world demand will be met by decen- rectennas offshore would add considerably to
tralized sources, then the global estimate of their cost.
the maximum possible demand for installed Even more important, a reduction in size
baseload capacity in 2030 would be: 80 per- would enable SPSs to be used by smaller utility
cent (peakload) x 65 percent (baseload) X 90 grids, since utilities in developed countries do
percent = (approximately) 47 percent of total not generally make use of single generating
installed capacity. 1 6 Using the IIASA estimates units supplying more than 15 percent of the
(tabIe 26) of 6,320 (low scenario) to 9,845 (high) utility’s total capacity, because of the need to
GWe, then we get 2,970 to 4,627 GWe as the ensure against generator failure (see ch. 8).
potential demand for baseload capacity. Conversely SPSs, even in less than 5 GW units,
The amount of new capacity supplied by may be a spur to integration of utility grids in
SPS would depend on the percent met by SPS order to make use of the SPS’s large power in-
as opposed to alternate generating sources. If crements. Currently, there is widespread in-
we assume 10-percent market penetration tegration of national grids in both Eastern and
there would be demand for 295 GWe (low) to Western Europe. Western Europe has an inter-
465 GWe (high); if market penetration were as connected high-voltage network, with routine
high as 50 percent (which is not probable, at commercial exchanges of power, which is co-
least by 2030) there would be demand for 1485 ordinated by organizations such as the “Union
to 2315 GWe. However, it should be noted that pour la Coordination de la Production et du
conventional generators built from 1990-95 on T r a n s p o r t d e l ’ E l e c t r i c i t y . ” 18 In Eastern Eu-
will still be in operation by 2030; since SPS rope, Comecon has established an integrated
would not be available until 2010-15, the new 150-GW grid including all of Eastern Europe
capacity market will be considerably smaller and the Ukraine.
than the total demand.

The number of satellites this demand repre-


‘7P Q Collins, “Potential for Reception of SPS Microwave
sents would depend on their size; estimates Energy at Off-Shore Rectennas in Western Europe,” Fina/
Proceedings, p. 529.
“See: “SPS-The Implications for the Utility Industry,” “Arnaldo M, Angelini, “Power for the 80’s: A Challenge for
working paper for OTA workshop, July 1980, p, 12, Western Europe,” Spectrum, September 1980, p. 44.
152 ● Solar Power Satellites

Successful integration of national grids is Geographical location may also be an im-


possible only where there is an expectation of portant factor to developing countries. If the
long-term stable relations with neighboring SPS were located in geostationary orbit, it
countries. Unfortunately, though LDCs could would cost more to beam power to areas
benefit greatly from regional interconnections, located far north or south of the equator.
such expectations are rare in developing Europe, as we have seen, is at a disadvantage;
regions where integration may be necessary to the Soviet Union is in a similar position.
accommodate large blocs of power, and to Equatorial and tropical states, on the other
share the costs of building expensive recten- hand–most of them LDCs–would be in bet-
nas. Countries and regions with a successful ter positions to build small-size rectennas.
history of cooperation in other areas would be Cheaper power could be an incentive to indus-
most likely to join together for SPS integration trial development and foreign investments.
as well.
In addition, an equatorial position is optimal
In many developing regions, where the bulk for launching payloads into orbit, since the
of the population lives in rural areas, the Earth’s rotational speed at the equator (ap-
feasibility of large centralized power plants is proximately 1,000 mph) is higher than at other
reduced by a lack of costly infrastructure, places on the Earth’s surface. Spaceports for
especially transmission l i n e s a n d e n d - u s e sending up SPS construction material might
capabilities. In such an environment decen- profitably be located near the equator, pro-
tralized generating capacity is preferable to viding benefits for the countries in which they
SPSs or other large plants. It has been sug- are placed in the form of rents, infrastructure
g e s t e d19 that such countries may be able to investments, and training of local administra-
make use of large amounts of electricity for tors and technicians.
producing liquid fuels, such as methanol, di-
Earlier it was assumed that the Soviet Union,
rectly from the basic elements; such fuels can
barring some radical change in its political and
be easily integrated into economies that cur-
social institutions, would not participate in a
rently depend on kerosene or wood for cook-
cooperative SPS venture, except with its East
ing and heating. However, using electricity in
European allies. As a major space power, the
this fashion would not be economically feasi-
Soviet Union has the ability to go it alone,
ble. Methanol can be produced from coal at a
though without a global market for its product
projected cost of $0.50 to $1 .00/gal. But at
the costs would be considerable. The Soviet
5q/kWhr, the cost just to separate from water
Union has a number of economic reasons to
the amount of hydrogen necessary to make a
consider an SPS system, including its increas-
gallon of methanol also lies between $0.50 and
ingly remote and expensive conventional
$1.00. There would be the further expense of
energy resources, and the large investment it
providing the necessary carbon (which could
has put into its space program (currently esti-
be provided from carbon dioxide taken from
mated at some 1.5 to 2 percent of GNP, com-
the atmosphere). However, producing meth-
pared to 0.3 percent in the United States 2 1 ) .
anol from biomass or from coal (in which the
The large distances involved in providing elec-
hydrogen, carbon, and oxygen necessary to
tricity to many areas within the Soviet Union
manufacture methanol are already present)
are an incentive to develop a system in which
would be far more cost effective. A more
power can be sent directly to the area being
reasonable need for SPSs might be for energy-
served, without transmission lines and without
intensive uses such as desalination of sea-
transporting fuel long distances, The Soviet
water or fertiIizer production. 20 These projects
Union has a penchant for big projects, espe-
might be coordinated on a regional basis.
cially when competing with the West. How-
“J. Peter Vajk, Doomsday Has Been Cancelled, Peace Press, ever, currently there is no firm indication that
1978,
Z“”D. Criswell, P. Glaser, R. Mayor, et al., The Role of Space
Technology in the Developing Countries,” Space So/ar Power “Walter A McDougall, “The Scramble for Space,” Wi/son
Review, vol. 1,1980, p. 99. Quarter/y, fall 1980, p. 81.
Ch. 7—The lnternational Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 153

the Soviet Union intends to proceed with an another, as Khrushchev used to claim, they are
SPS. still a vehicle for peaceful competition, and a
way of impressing allies and potential allies
Noneconomic Interest with individual achievements. Because of its
scope and visibility, the SPS would be a major
Any SPS system would have numerous non- symbol of successful efforts in advanced tech-
economic aspects relating to national prestige nology. “Visibility” here is meant literally: 23 a
and security, and different national and re- completed SPS, even in geosynchronous orbit,
gional interests can be expected to conflict. would be easily visible to the naked eye. The
There are three separate “arenas” in which impact of such an effort would be direct and
such confIicts might arise. great. It is unlikely that the Soviets could allow
a U.S. or Western SPS to go unchallenged. If
Within OECD they felt they could not compete successfully,
Although cooperation between the United they would be likely to try to block construc-
States and other OECD allies is probable, there tion by emphasizing environmental dangers or
would likely be a high degree of competition supporting Third World demands for shared
centered around economic interests. Control control over orbital positions. On the other
of any joint program, the division of respon- hand, a Soviet SPS effort would encourage
sibilities between countries, and the apportion- U.S. projects by acting as a spur to public
ment of economic benefits to be gained from opinion and raising fears of Soviet ascendancy.
contracts let during R&D and construction, are
all potential problem areas. In the case of SPS, North-South
the industries involved —aerospace and ener- Many Third World states would be antago-
gy—are high-prestige ones in which many nistic to SPS development, insofar as control
countries wish to develop independent capa- of the system rests with industrialized coun-
bilities. Fear of economic and technological tries, West or East. These states would be con-
dominance by the United States, or of U.S. cerned about increased economic and techni-
failure to follow through on program commit- cal dependence on the “North,” and the
ments, may be a spur to accelerated develop- limited opportunities for meaningful participa-
ment of European or Japanese launch vehicles tion in an SPS system. The SPS could be
and construction facilities. The ESA’s Ariane charged with diverting funds from develop-
expendable launcher program has been largely ment projects and with increasing the gap be-
motivated by worries about such dependence, tween the developed and underdeveloped
especially by France, Ariane’s prime mover. worlds. International forums such as the
Japan has announced plans for a new genera- United Nations and its specialized agencies
tion of launchers, and non-OECD countries could be used as foci for investigations of any
such as Brazil and India have built sounding proposed SPS systems and for discussion of
rockets and satellites. Increased competition legal measures to bloc them or to give the
with the United States can be expected over LDCs various sorts of leverage.
the period of SPS development. 22
Many developing countries have invested
East-West heavily in industries such as steel and oil re-
fining in part because of the prestige value of
Development of an SPS by the Soviet Union such large and advanced sectors. Energy pro-
would have major international consequences. duction is a prominent example–witness
Since Sputnik, each side has reacted to the ac- atomic reactors and hydroelectric projects
tions and statements of the other. Although such as Egypt’s Aswan Dam. The SPS could be
space successes may no longer be seen as resented because it is unavailable to LDCs;
proof of the superiority of one social system to
*’See” Jerry Grey, Enterprise (New York: William Morrow & Co.,
22
1 bid., pp. 71-82. 1979), p 225

83-316 0 - 81 - 11
154 ● Solar Power Satellites

only the receiving antennas could be built on The oil-exporting states are in a special posi-
home territory with local resources. Converse- tion. An SPS would by no means eliminate oil
ly, large amounts of scarce capital might be demand and may prove beneficial by helping
spent trying to buy an SPS (if they are for sale) to reduce pressure on exporters to increase
and the lift capacity to service it in an attempt production to satisfy rising export needs.
to “keep up” with the advanced countries. Countries with large populations and relatively
small reserves, such as Nigeria, Indonesia,
The “South” is by no means monolithic, and, China and Malaysia, may view SPS as insur-
if SPS were built, many states would be poten- ance against the upcoming depletion of their
tial supporters, some because of the benefits oil supplies and may choose to invest some of
o f l e s s e x p e n s i v e electricity a n d o t h e r s their current earnings in the hope of long-term
because of the prospects for future participa- gains. On the other hand, exporting countries,
tion. The most likely supporters of an SPS especially those with long-term reserve poten-
would be energy-poor countries with a rapidly tial such as Saudi Arabia, have no immediate
developing urban-industrial base, such as use for an SPS and may be tempted to side
Brazil, Argentina, Kenya, Turkey, India, and with other LDCs —for political and cultural
South Korea. Any system that reduces Western reasons — in attempts to put pressure on the
imports of OPEC oil reduces pressure on prices West for greater LDC control. Soviet support
and means less expensive supplies for for such measures could cause the SPS to
vulnerable LDC importers. It has been argued become a highly polarized issue in which the
that firm plans for building an SPS would of Soviet bloc and the nonalined states seek con-
themselves put a “cap” on oil price rises by cessions from the West— a not uncommon
sending a signal to exporters that Western im- phenomenon in recent international affairs.
ports will drop in the future. z’

Z4HOuSe committee on science and Technology, SpS Hearings


on Ff. f?. 2335, 96th Cong., March 1979, pp 132-180,

LEGAL ISSUES

The United States and other space-capable The most important and comprehensive of
states are currently bound by a number of the currently applicable agreements, all of
agreements that would affect SPS develop- which have been ratified by the major space
m e n t . 25 Much of existing international law has powers, is the 1967 Treaty on Principles Gov-
been formulated at the United Nations (U. N.) erning the Activities of States in the Exploration
by the Legal Subcommittee of the Commit- and Use of Outer Space, Including the Moon
tee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space and other Celestial Bodies . In 1979, COPOUS
(COPUOS). COPUOS has been in existence agreed on a final version of a new treaty, the
since 1959, when it began with 24 members. It so-called “Moon Treaty, ” which has so far not
now has 47, with membership expanding as been signed by the United States or other ma-
international interest in space matters has in- jor powers. The Moon Treaty applies to the
creased. COPUOS decisions have been made Moon and other celestial bodies, but not to
by consensus rather than by outright voting. 2 6 Earth orbit. In addition to COPUOS, important
decisions on frequency allocations and orbital
25
See Stephen Gorove, SPS lrrternatjona/ Agreements,
DOE/NASA contract No, EG-77-C-01-4024, October 1978; Carl Q. positioning are made by the International
Christol, SPS International Agreements, DOE/NASA contract No Telecommunications Union (ITU), a special-
EG-77-C-01-4024, October 1978.
ized U. N. agency.
2’Eilene G a l l o w a y , “ C o n s e n s u s DeCISiOrlrnaklrlg of
UNCOPUOS,” )ourna/ of Space Law, vol. 7, No. 1
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites . 155

As a new arena of human exploration, legal and Western Europe —as legally and scientif-
norms with respect to outer space have had to ically untenable. Control over the orbit by a
be defined. This has been done through a grad- few states would prevent free and equitable
ual process shaped by actual usage, the exten- access to a crucial position by space-capable
sion of existing law, and the explicit adoption countries.
of common principles and regulations.
T h e e q u a t o r i a l c l a i m m u s t b e SPP - ‘ -- ‘ -
The outstanding international legal issues context of various attempts by tr
that might affect SPS development are: to gain leverage over ec~ -
activities otherwise o -
1. the status of the geosynchronous orbit,
seven Bogota sig~ -
and the source of jurisdiction over the
Ecuador, lnd~~
placement of satellites;
(Brazil
2. provisions against environmental disturb-
ances;
3. the military uses of space and arr-
trol implications; and
4. issues relating to the -“
facilities and ber ‘“
tion of the
kind” p“

‘ is

., torums
..Y of special
geosynchronous use
..pport among many coun-
likely to be discussed further when
~~ considers the definition of outer
Ace next year, 28 and when the ITU convenes
a special administrative radio conference on
‘Y u . . .dl
..~ct ~eiimitation be- orbital use in 1984 or 1985.
i Ider the jurisdiction of the Even if parts of the orbit cannot be appro-
, y ing u n d e r n e a t h t h e a r e a c o n - priated by sovereign states, there is still the
d-and outer space has never been de- problem of allocating positions and of decid-
,led. I n r e c e n t y e a r s a n u m b e r o f s t a t e s ing competing claims to scarce orbital slots.
located on the Equator have claimed jurisdic- The question here is part technical and part
tion over the geosynchronous orbit on the legal: How much space is there, and what con-
grounds that it is not part of “outer space” but stitutes infringement? This is dependent on the
is determined by the Earth’s gravitation, and is state of technology, since “infringement” is
a limited natural resource requiring national not so much a problem of two or more objects
control. In December 1976 eight equatorial trying to occupy the same place as of electro-
countries issued the Bogota Declaration assert- magnetic interference between nearby satel-
ing their position and laying claim to the lites (see ch. 8). SPS satellites would not only
orbital segments lying over their respective ter- be very large but would, especially if using
ritories. microwaves, radiate a great deal of energy at
The equatorial states’ claims have been re- radio frequencies. Each SPS would have to be
jected by the majority of other nations— allocated a position and frequency to mini-
including the Soviet Union, the United States,
‘“See Gorove, SPS Agreements, op. cit., pp. 14-21; and Delbert
27space Law se/ected Basic Documents, 2d cd,, U.S Smith, Space Stations: /nternationa/ Law and Po/icy, Westview
Government Printing Office, 1978, p 26 Pre~s, 1979
156 ● Solar Power Satellites

mize interference with a rapidly growing reallocation clearly has considerable support
number of satellites (see ch. 8). Many spectrum among have-not states. Established users such
users have worried that SPS operation would as the United States remain opposed to a priori
disrupt communications and sensing tasks, assignment of slots and frequencies. Again, the
others that the initial SPSs would use up the ITU debate is part of LDC attempts to gain
available electromagnetic space, preventing leverage. SPS development could be affected
exploitation by latecomers. Since the accept- by attempts of disaffected states to block
able limits vary with the size and type of SPS development by denying frequency alloca-
used, the size and type of future commu- tions, or by making consent contingent on con-
nications satellites, and advances in trans- cessions by states with the most interest in
mission technology, it is impossible to say at SPS. 31
this time how many SPSs could be built with-
out unacceptable interference. Environmental Considerations
Allocation of frequencies and positions has The 1967 treaty states, in article VI 1, that
to date been the province of the ITU, whose each state is “internationally liable for dam-
1973 convention states that stations “must be age” to others caused by its activities in
established and operated in such manner as space. 32 The 1973 “Convention on Interna-
not to cause harmful interference of other tional Liability for Damage Caused by Space
members, or of recognized private operating Objects” amplifies on these responsibilities. 33
agencies, or other duly authorized operating
agencies which carry on radio services, and Hence, SPS developers might face lawsuits
which operate in accordance with the provi- or other forms of grievance if the SPS damaged
sions of the Radio Regulations.” 29 Whether the the global or local environment. The extent of
ITU would have jurisdiction over noncommu- various environmental effects is unknown and
nications satellites such as SPSs is unclear. 30 In in need of further research (see ch. 8). Even if
November 1979, at the ITU’s World Adminis- operation of any one SPS had no effect outside
trative Radio Conference, the United States of the state making use of it, designing a
raised the question of allocating a frequency globally marketable system to meet widely
position for future SPS testing; the proposal varying national standards could add signifi-
was referred to a specialized study group for cantly to costs. The possibility of large Iawsuits
evaluation and future decision. could make insurance expensive or impossible
to procure; large risks in the nuclear industry
Allocation decisions by the ITU have been made it necessary for the Federal Government
characterized by debate over the first-come to provide insurance, and similar provisions
first-served tradition, whereby first users have might have to be made for SPSs.
priority in the use of frequencies and orbital
slots. Newly space-capable states as well as
Military and Arms Control Issues
LDCs and others who intend to develop such
capabilities in the future have urged, since The 1967 treaty commits states “not to place
1971, that all states have “equal rights” to fre- in orbit around the Earth any objects carrying
quencies and positions, and the ITU has called nuclear weapons or any other kinds of
both the radio spectrum and the geostationary weapons of mass destruction” (art. IV) and in
orbit “limited natural resources” that “should general to carry on activities “in the interest of
be most effectively and economically used.” A maintaining international peace and security
number of LDCs have proposed that space be and promoting international cooperation and
reserved for their future use. Since there is no understanding” (art. III).34 The 1977 “Conven-
legal basis for permanent utilization or owner-
ship of positions, the possibility of future 3’ Ibid , pp. 21-33,
Space Law, op. cit., p. 28.
32

zgspace Law, Op. cit., P 87


“Ibid , pp. 49-69.
3oGOrove, op. cit., PP. 27-33.
“lbld , p. 26.
Ch. 7—The International implications of Solar Power Satellites Ž 157

tion on the Prohibition of Military or Any for shuttle construction. In the absence of
Other Hostile Use of EnvironmentaI Modifi- their own SPS program, obstructionist tactics
cation Techniques” prohibits the activities im- by the Soviet Union could be expected.
plied, with “environmental modification tech-
Although unlikely, use of the SPS for
niques” defined as “any technique for chang-
directed-energy weaponry, either directly, or
ing the dynamics, composition or structure of
as a source of energy to be transmitted to
the Earth, including its biota, lithosphere,
remote platforms, or for tracking, would be
hydrosphere and atmosphere.” (art. 11).35 These
regulated by the 1972 Anti- Ballistic-MissiIe
general principles obviously allow for criticism
(ABM) Treaty between the United States and
of some SPS designs as having weather modifi-
the US.S.R. Article V of the treaty states that
cation potential, requiring restrictions or
“each party undertakes not to develop, test, or
redesign to reduce such effects. Whether an
deploy ABM systems or components which are
SPS’s microwave or laser capabilities would
sea-based, air-based, space-based, or mobile
class it as a weapon of “mass destruction” and
land-based.”
hence make it illegal under the 1967 treaty is
unclear, but it is very likely that such charges Use of the SPS for ABM purposes would
would be made in the event of SPS deploy- hence be banned. Since any laser or micro-
ment. Development of an SPS might entail re- wave SPS is potentially capable of being so
negotiation of relevant treaties or special sys- used, the Soviet Union (or the United States if
tem design to minimize its usefulness as a the tables were turned) would undoubtedly in-
weapon. sist on assurances and inspection provisions to
prevent such developments. The ABM treaty
Military satellites for communications and
provides for inspection and verification by
remote sensing are currently used by several
“national-technical means, ” i.e., by remote
countries, and presumably use of the SPS plat-
surveillance. Onsite inspection has historically
form for such purposes would not constitute a
been refused by the Soviet Union, although the
change in accepted practice. The Soviet Union
1967 treaty, and the “Moon Treaty,” include
has tested antisatellite satellites on several oc-
provisions for mutual inspection of lunar and
casions, and the United States and Soviet
celestial facilities. SPSs would need to be
Union have conducted informal talks (cur-
monitored by Earth- and space-based recon-
rently suspended) on limiting antisatellite
naissance means.
weapons. The Soviet Union has complicated
matters by stating that it considers the Space Although the ABM treaty is of “unlimited
Shuttle an antisatellite system, an unaccept- duration” there has been considerable senti-
able proposal for the United States. 36 U.S. Air ment in the United States for its abrogation or
Force involvement in the shuttle program and renegotiation in order to provide a defense for
Department of Defense (DOD) plans for mili- America’s increasingly vulnerable land-based
tary missions provide Soviet negotiators with I C B M S .37 Abandonment or substantial change
their rationale. Insofar as the Soviet Union is in the treaty might allow for development of
making this argument for bargaining purposes directed-energy weapons in conjunction with
in the absence of a similar Soviet system an SPS system. Renewed negotiations may
(similar to Soviet proposals to ban atomic have to take SPS development into account,
weapons in the period when it lacked its own perhaps by specifying SPS designs that make it
and to prohibit satellite reconnaissance in the unusable as a weapons system. An SPS that
early 1960’s) such a charge could also be made used lasers as its energy-transmission medium
against heavy lift launch vehicles (HLLVs) used would be particularly destabilizing and it is
p o s s i b l e t h a t a r m s control considerations
jSAgreernent Governing the Activities of States on the Moon
would prevent such a system from being built.
and Other Ce/estia/ Bodies, pts, 1 and 2, U.S Government Print-
ing Off ice, May 1980, p. 256. -——
“’’Soviets See Shuttle as Killer Satellite, ” Aviation kVeek and “See Carries Lord, “The ABM Question, ” Commentary, May
Space Teclmo/ogy, Apr. 17,1978, p. 17 1980
758 ● Solar Power Satellites

Common Heritage and the Moon Treaty voted for a “declaration of principles” that
prohibited activities “incompatible with the in-
The 1967 treaty states, in article 1, that “The ternational regime to be established.”42 Until
exploration and use of outer space . . . shall be the regime is more clearly defined, it is im-
carried out for the benefit and in the interests possible to tell whether current activities will
of all countries, irrespective of their degree of be incompatible or not. The effect of this
economic or scientific development, and shall climate of uncertainty and of the possibility
be the province of all mankind.” 38 The draft that future regulations may make mining un-
version of the Moon Treaty adds (art. IV). “Due profitable has been to keep sea-bed mining
regard shall be paid to the interests of present consortia —several of which were formed in
and future generations as well as to the need the 1970’s—from proceeding with the large
to promote higher standards of living and con- capital investments needed for commercial ex-
ditions of economic and social progress and ploitation.
development in accordance with the Charter
of the United Nations. ” 3 9 The exact meaning of Article Xl of the draft Moon Treaty provides
these provisions is unclear, beyond a negative for a regime (to be established sometime in the
duty not to interfere with the activities of other future) with the following provisions:
states or to harm their interests. A positive in- 1, The Moon and its natural resources are
terpretation that “would impose on space the common heritage of mankind . . .
powers the obligation either to permit other 5. States parties to this agreement hereby
countries to use the former’s space vehicles or undertake to establish an international
to share the financial benefits of its space ac- regime, including appropriate procedures,
tivities, ”40 has been made by some LDCs but to govern the exploitation of the natural
has not received widespread support. Since resources of the Moon as such exploita-
1958, U.S. policy has been to encourage inter- tion is about to become feasible . . .
national cooperation. U.S. launch capabilities 7. The main purposes of the international
have been available to all countries, on a reim- regime to be established shall include . . .
bursable basis, for peaceful and scientific pur- (d) an equitable sharing by all States
poses. Parties in the benefits derived from
In 1970, A. A. Cocca of Argentina proposed a those resources, whereby the interests
draft treaty in UNCOPUOS which provided and needs of the developing countries,
that the natural resources of the moon and as well as the efforts of those coun-
other celestial bodies be “the common herit- tries which have contributed either
age of mankind.” This terminology was bor- directly or indirectly to the exploration
rowed from similar language used in the Law of the Moon, shall be given special
of the Sea negotiations in 1967 for regulating considerate ion. 43
seabed resources that lie outside of national Moon Treaty opponents have argued that
jurisdiction. the treaty, like the proposed Law of the Sea,
In the course of the Law of the Sea negotia- would delay or prevent commercial invest-
tions (not yet concluded) “common heritage,” ment in space activities, and would in any case
has come to mean common ownership, “by substitute a state-run international body for
mankind as a whole” (art. CXXXVII), 14 w i t h private enterprises. 4 4 Because of the already
commercial exploitation to be regulated by a developed technology for deep-sea mining
yet-to-be-formed “international regime” which (most of it U.S.), the Law of the Sea negotia-
will distribute part of the returns among par- tions have become absorbed in detailed dis-
ticipating countries. In 1970, the United States cussion of the regime to be established, while

3aSpace Law, op. cit., p. 25 —


39 Agreement, Op, Cit., pts. 1 and 2, PP 88 -89 “Agreement, op cit , pt. 3, August 1980, pp. 295-307
‘“Smith, op. cit., p. 92. “Agreement, op cit , pts. 1 and 2, pp 91-92,
“Agreement, op. cit., pts. 1 and 2, p 74 “See ‘ 1-5 Memorandum” in Agreement, op cit., pp. 377-378
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 159

in the Moon Treaty such details have been left heritage” resource requiring explicit allocation
to the time when exploitation of lunar or other by an international body.
celestial resources is “about to become feasi-
In the course of the Moon Treaty negotia-
ble.” The eventual outcome of the Law of the
tions the United States was a consistent sup-
Sea may have an important bearing on the
porter, along with virtually all the Third World
shape of a future outer space regime.
participants, of the common heritage provi-
Since the Moon Treaty would not apply to sions, while their most persistent opponent was
objects in Earth orbit, SPS would not be direct- the Soviet Union. 4 6 The U.S.S.R. did not accede
ly affected. However, the Treaty could have to these provisions until 1979. While the
several indirect effects. First of all, in several United States generally interpreted common
scenarios large-scale SPS construction beyond heritage in such a way as to allow for some de-
an initial demonstration system is economical- gree of private unilateral commercial de-
ly feasible only if the satellites are built from velopment, the Soviet Union expressed fears
lunar or asteroidal material (see ch. 5). Such that the treaty would lead to an unacceptable
prospects would be dependent on a regime suprastate body. The Soviet position was that
such as is envisioned in the Moon Treaty, such a body would infringe on the sovereign
which would have to grant permission to min- rights of states. The Soviets have also opposed
ing companies to extract minerals and build allowing private or nongovernmental bodies to
facilities. engage in space activities. Both the 1967 treaty
(art. Vl) and the proposed Moon treaty (art.
Secondly, it can be argued that solar energy
IXV) provide for state supervision of and re-
is a celestial resource under the jurisdiction of
sponsibility for the activities of nongovern-
the proposed regime, and that SPSs (and other
mental entities. This “state-centric” approach
space-craft) must be granted permission to use
i t .4 5 Though such an argument is unlikely to is typical of Soviet attitudes in international
negotiations.
find general acceptance, it could be used by
interested states to try and gain additional As a result of concerns generated by the Law
leverage. of the Sea negotiations, as well as antitreaty
lobbying by “pro-space” organizations such as
Thirdly, adoption of the Moon Treaty would
the L-5 Society, U.S. support for the draft
provide a powerful precedent that could af-
Moon Treaty has been limited. U.S signature
fect the evolution of a future SPS project. It
has been discussed in the Senate Subcommit-
would legitimize developing countries’ claims
tee on Science, Technology, and Space, and by
to receive benefits on a par with states that
a special interagency committee chaired by
have actually invested in launch or construc-
the State Department. Prospects for U.S. ap-
tion facilities, and give impetus to arguments
proval currently appear to be slight.
that the geostationary orbit is a “common

“Conversation with Eilene Galloway, September 1980, “Agreement, op. cit., pts 1 and 2, pp 27-38

ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF


MULTINATIONAL SPS
No matter what country or organization and regions. However, from the point of -view
were to build an SPS, it is clear that construc- of any national government— and to a lesser
tion would involve some cooperation with and degree of private corporations as well–it
accommodation of the interests of other states would be preferable, other things being equal,
760 ● Solar Power Satellites

to build the SPS as a strictly national venture combination of events, and if cooperation with
and to own and operate the system on a uni- foreign governments or corporations is re-
lateral basis. jected because of fears that it might slow
down the project or otherwise reduce its
Unilateral Interests domestic usefulness, it is possible that a
unilateral effort would be undertaken.
From a corporate viewpoint, it is much
There are several other factors that might in-
easier to do business within a country than to
crease the attractiveness of a unilateral crash
do so across national boundaries. Multina-
project similar to the Manhattan or Apollo pro-
tional ownership or control would complicate
grams. Three requirements for such decisions
decisionmaking, r e d u c e f l e x i b i l i t y , a n d i n -
are: 1 ) a crisis, requiring immediate action,
troduce a multitude of political strains that
which threatens basic national interests; 2) the
any company would prefer to avoid. To the ex-
tent that foreign markets are attractive, the existence of a workable plan to resolve the
company wouId prefer to retain domestic own- crisis; 3) decisive leadership by persons in posi-
ership and to sell completed units abroad, tions to implement such plans. ” In the Man-
minimizing foreign entanglements. hattan and Apollo cases, the crises involved
challenges to national interests that placed a
From the point of view of governments that premium, not only on developing the atomic
might consider investing in SPS, the desire to bomb or the ability to go to the Moon, but on
do so alone would be very strong, for reasons doing so first.
of prestige, security, and economics. At pres-
ent only the United States and the Soviet The SPS would have important economic,
Union could even consider such a unilateral ef- prestige, and security implications. Unilateral
development by the Soviet Union or the
fort. In the longer term, however, it is con-
United States would provide a strong impetus
ceivable that a European consortium or
for the other to do so as well, as long as the
perhaps even a single European state—most
project could also be justified on other
l i k e l y F r a n c e – could also undertake such a
project. So could Japan, with possible cooper- grounds. The strength of this impetus would
depend on the state of future U.S.-Soviet rela-
ation from China, South Korea, and other
regional powers with technical expertise and tions. In the 1950’s nuclear weapons and their
financial resources. delivery systems were seen as vital to the ex-
istence of the state; the space programs of the
Is it likely that the United States or the 1960’s as symbolic of each state’s social and
Soviet Union would build an SPS in the near economic superiority. It is unlikely that the
future? Such a program would be undertaken SPS would be as crucial to East-West competi-
only if there were serious doubt that alter- tion as these earlier technologies, unless the
native energy sources will be available in the SPS or the launchers needed to build it be-
future, or that their costs will be acceptable. come vital elements of military systems. For
This would have to mean that the C0 2 and en- the reasons given in the next section, Nationa/
vironmental problems of large-scale coal use Security Implications of SPS this is possible
were seen to be acute and imminent, or that but unlikely. Hence an equivalent desire to
nuclear reactors were deemed unacceptable build the first system–an SPS “race”- is im-
due to a major accident and public disap- probable.
proval. In addition, alternatives to the SPS
such as fusion, ground-based solar cells, and Within the United States certain interests
would favor unilateral as opposed to multilat-
possible other future technologies, would have
to fail to fill the gap (see ch. 6). In the event of eral development. Businesses likely to benefit
some such crisis SPS studies must be sufficient- from development, such as aerospace indus-
— — .
Iy advanced to provide very high assurance “]ohn 1 ogsdon, The Decision To Go To rhe Moon (Cambridge,
that such a system would work. Given this M,tss Ml T Press, 1970), p 181
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 161

tries or large construction firms, might prefer a such arguments are likely to be less telling
unilateral effort that would provide them with there than in the United States. Although vari-
most or al I of the contracts, as well as the pros- ous Soviet ministries would seek a say in SPS
pect of foreign sales. However, others might development, none has the technical or mana-
fear that a unilateral development would dis- gerial competence to displace the military in
courage foreign buyers. Some utilities and oil such a project. 49
companies might oppose an SPS altogether if
In the United States, the Government spon-
it competes with energy sources in which they
sors two largely separate space programs, a
have already invested. Since unilateral devel-
civilian one run by the National Aeronautics
opment would almost undoubtedly mean a
and Space Administration (NASA), and a mili-
government-dominated and financed project,
tary one run by the Department of Defense.
such businesses would be likely to argue that
Both draw extensively on expertise and ex-
the SPS is unfairly competitive and to demand
perience from a large number of private firms.
compensation.
While an SPS project in the Soviet Union could
In the Soviet Union there is no private sector not help but be dominated by the military, a
and hence no question of public v. private U.S. project, even one run by the Government,
development. Though it is possible that non- could be shared between the military, Gov-
Communist states such as India and France, ernment-civilian, and private sectors. Various
both of whom have engaged in cooperative combinations could be developed to provide a
space projects with the Soviet Union before, desirable mix between public and private, mili-
might participate in small ways, it would be t a r y a n d c i v i l i a n a u t h o r i t i e s .50 In the past,
unprecedented for the Soviet Union to engage Government-sponsored projects that might
in extensive joint planning or operations with provide guidance and precedent for an SPS
nonallied states. Such cooperation in sensitive, program have included the Panama Canal, the
high-technology areas involving space ca- Tennessee Valley Authority, and the Interstate
pabilities, which in the Soviet Union are run by Highway System. (See ch. 9, Financing, Owner-
the armed forces and considered top-secret ship, and Control. ) What is important is the
military programs, is especially unlikely. flexibility available to U.S. planners, a flexibili-
Hence an international SPS program is not a ty not found in the Soviet Union, which, if a
real option for the Soviet Union, given its pres- multinational effort is preferred, makes it
ent political and economic institutions. possible to accommodate international part-
ners on various terms.
Within both the United States and Soviet
Union, the military may argue for a unilateral Both Western Europe and Japan have more
program in order to enhance SPS’s military urgent requirements for reliable energy sup-
usefulness, which would be destroyed if sen- plies than the two current space powers. The
sitive information had to be shared among impetus for SPS development wouId be similar
neutral partners or partners who could not be to that for the United States, but the need is
trusted not to reveal technical or other details more imminent, and the costs of alternatives,
to unfriendly states. In the United States, in the absence of indigenous fossil fuels, are
resistance to military involvement is likely to higher. Could an SPS be built in an acceptable
be strong, partly to avoid foreign charges of period without extensive U.S. assistance
aggressive intent, and also to prevent possible (assuming Soviet assistance is improbable)?
military interference in the project’s efficien-
cy, as with the Space Shuttle.48 However, given “See Soviet Space Programs 1977-7975, vol. 11, ch, 2, “Orga-
the military’s role in the Soviet space program, nization and Administration of the Soviet Space Program, ”
August 1976, pp. 63-82.
‘°For discussions of these issues, see Peter Vajk, 5PS Finan-
“The price for Air Force support of Shuttle funding in Con- c;al/Management Scenarios, D O E / N A S A c o n t r a c t N o . EG-
gress was substantial redesign of the original Shuttle model, low- 7 7 - C - 0 1 - 4 0 2 4 , O c t o b e r 1 9 7 8 , H e r b e r t Kierolff, SPS F;nan-
ering performance and increasing costs See Jerry C rey, Enter- c;al/Management Scenarios, D O E / N A S A c o n t r a c t N o . EG-
prise (New York: William Morrow & Co , 1979), pp. 66-68. 77-C-01 4024, October 1978.
162 ● Solar Power Satellites

The requisite technical and financial base is estimates a 22-year, $102 billion program for
available; strong aerospace industries exist; na- the reference design. 52 (See ch. 5, Costs. ) Al-
tional and multilateral space programs, such though the R&D costs would be much lower
as the European Space Agency (ESA), are in than construction costs, they would be the
place. However, both ESA and Japan lack the hardest to finance, and the ones where interna-
depth of U.S. industry’s aerospace expertise, tional cooperation would be most valuable.
its worldwide tracking and relay networks, and The number of satellites needed for a global
above all experience in and development of system would clearly be much larger than for a
manned space-vehicles. The most sophisti- U.S. system alone. However, the R&D/proto-
cated non-American launch vehicle is ESA’s type costs are essentially the same whether the
Ariane, which is still being test-flown and is system is unilateral or multilateral. Since the
scheduled to begin commercial operations in very long 30-year period of investment before
1982. 5’ The Ariane is a high-quality three-stage payback is the project’s weakest link, it would
expendable booster, but it is far smaller than be desirable to spread these costs between a
the large U.S. Saturn rockets used for the large number of possible investors. And by
Apollo program. And it is far behind the U.S. widening the available pool of capital and ex-
Space Shuttle in capabilities, payloads, and pertise, an international effort would have less
cost effectiveness (at least to LEO). Since the of an inflationary impact on resources, thus
Shuttle itself is too small and expensive for keeping costs down.
full-scale SPS construction, ESA is at least two
However, it should be realized that an inter-
generations of vehicles away from being able
national consortium, whether involving private
to develop an SPS unilaterally. Producing the
firms or government agencies, will tend gen-
requisite lift capabilities in an independent
erally to increase the overall costs. Under the
program would be extremely costly and time-
best of circumstances there are costs associ-
consuming.
ated with doing extensive business across
It is clear that any unilateral SPS program borders, with coordinating efforts in different
depends on a dramatic and unpredictable in- languages and geographic areas, and with bal-
crease in the sense of urgency about medium ancing the divergent national interests of
and long-term energy supplies. Even if such an foreign partners. Without careful management
increase were to occur, such efforts would be and a high degree of cooperation from the
very expensive for any one country or region to states involved, these extra inefficiencies can
undertake, especially since crash programs are eliminate any advantage gained from interna-
necessariIy more expensive than ordinary ones; tionalizing the project. The experience of Euro-
money is traded for time. pean collaborative efforts has been that costs
rise as the large number of participants in-
Multilateral Interests creases the managerial superstructure and
project complexity .53
There are three reasons why interested par-
ties may wish to abandon their preference for
The Global Market
autonomy in favor of an international effort.
These are: 1) to share the high costs and risks; We have previously discussed the SPS’s po-
2) to expand the global market; 3) to forestall tential global market. An international venture
foreign opposition and/or promote interna- may improve the marketing prospects of the
tional cooperation. system. First of all, potential users and buyers
wouId be less concerned about becoming de-
costs pendent on a particular country or corpora-
The exact costs of developing, manufactur- tion, which may infringe on national sov-
.——
ing, and operating a SPS are unknown; N A S A 5
*K Ierolff, op. cit., pp. 4-5
5 JTestlmony of Dr. Wolfgang F i n k , /nternationa/ Space Ac-
“Edward Bassett, “Europe Competes With U.S. Programs, ” tivities, 95th Cong., November 1978, U.S. Government Printing
Aviation Week and Space Technology, Mar 3,1980, p, 89. Office, p 12
Ch. 7—The lnternational Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 163

ereignty. Many states, especially LDCs, are pants would use their leverage for concessions
concerned about such a situation, particularly in unrelated political or economic areas. How-
with regard to U.S. firms. Over the past 15 to ever, mere participation would not forestall
20 years, LDCs have made great efforts to gain opposition. If member interests are not mutu-
indigenous control over local industries and ally compatible, opposition is only moved
resources, often resorting to nationalization from without to within. The best check on in-
and expropriation. The accumulation of finan- ternal obstructionism would be for the major
cial and legal expertise by LDC governments participants to indicate their willingness to go
means that future dealings with foreign firms it alone, if necessary, rather than allow internal
will be more cautious and equitable than in obstacles to destroy the project. Since orga-
the past. Also, it is often politically more feasi- nizations quickly develop their own constit-
ble for a neutral or nonalined state to deal with uencies, w i t h i n a n d w i t h o u t g o v e r n m e n t s ,
an internationally controlled consortium than which have an interest in maintaining the orga-
with a U.S. or Japanese or West European firm, nization, a credible threat to go it alone must
especially when internal opposition to such be backed up by national leaders and by in-
relationships is strong. vestment in the requisite systems.

A consortium that offered direct partici-


pation and ownership to a large number of
Possible Models
states would improve its marketing position Intelsat, Inmarsat
even more. Such participation/ownership, even
if on a small scale, would help to familiarize How might such an organization be con-
members with the organization’s operation structed, and what are the types of problems
and finances, and assure potential buyers that that might be faced? Here it is helpful to look
they were not being deceived. A financial at historical examples of international orga-
stake would provide an incentive to see that nizations in the space and energy fields. We
the system worked efficiently and was suited will look briefly at Intelsat and Inmarsat; at
for the needs of a variety of users. cooperative efforts in nuclear power; and at
the European Space Agency (ESA).
Widespread participation by many countries
with different financial stakes and energy re- Of existing bodies, Intelsat and its near-
quirements would also present a host of prob- relative, Inmarsat, have been mentioned most
lems. Even small investors could be expected often as possible models for an international
to lobby for a proportionate share of the SPS project. Intelsat is attractive because it
benefits, including profits and contracts, and has been efficient and profitable, and because
for a say in policy and management decisions. it has succeeded in including a large number of
Investors with similar interests can be ex- participating states.
pected to band together. Often, small-stake Intelsat was founded in 1964, largely at the
participants with less to lose are willing to use prompting of the United States, to provide in-
any available forum to further ideological or ternational satellite telecommunication serv-
economic interests unrelated to the business at ices. The initial agreement provided for joint
hand. A balance must be struck between the ownership and investment in proportion to the
advantage of open participation and the dan- use of the system by each participating coun-
ger that such participation could undermine try, and for renegotiation in 5 years to take ac-
the organization’s credibiIity and competence. count of experience and new developments. 5 4
At first, Intelsat was dominated by the United
Forestalling Opposition, States through its semipublic participant, Com-
Promoting Cooperation sat; LDC participation was minimal, and the
Because of the importance of the SPS and
“Jonathan Galloway, The Po/;t;cs and Technology of Sate//;te
the size of the financial stake involved, major Communications (Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books, 1972),
SPS participants could expect that nonpartici- p 75
764 ● Solar Power Satellites

Soviet Union and East Bloc countries refused, Above all, Intelsat came into being through
to join, preferring to establish a separate orga- the. dominant interest and investment of a
nization, Intersputnik. The permanent agree- single participant, t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . U . S .
ments reached in 1971 reduced Comsat control determination to institute a global communi-
and made it easier for low-use countries to par- cation satellite system was due in large part to
ticipate. In 1979, Intelsat had 102 members, the Kennedy administration’s desire, at a time
with the U.S. share being 24.8 percent. 55 ( S e e when the Soviet Union seemed superior in
app. E.) manned and unmanned space capabilities, to
achieve a space success before the Soviets that
Inmarsat is designed to provide positioning
would pay off in terms of global prestige and
and maritime services between ships and ship-
the furtherance of U.S. national interests. The
to-shore. Organized similarly to Intelsat, it is
1958 National Aeronautics and Space Act
expected to begin operations in 1981, leasing
which established NASA proclaimed that
its initial satellite services from lntelsat. 5 6 (See
space activities “should be devoted to peace-
app. E.)
ful purposes for the benefit of all mankind.” 5 9
Though Intelsat has functioned relatively In addition to the scientific and commercial
smoothly and has shown a good return on in- benefits, improved international communi-
vested capital, serious disagreements between cation was seen as a foreign policy plus for the
participants have arisen. Many of these dis- United States, that would involve other states
agreements have revolved around the allo- as participants under U.S. leadership. The
cation of procurement and R&D contracts, technology for such activities was well ad-
with member countries competing for pres- vanced and judged to be superior to that of the
tigious and high-value shares. Given the pre- Soviet Union.
dominant position of U.S. aerospace firms,
The centralized management structure thus
much of the pressure has been for equitable
created, combined with U.S. technical leader-
shares for European and Japanese companies.
ship and its status as the largest single user of
However, some participants, especially LDCs
the system, gave Intelsat initial national sup-
and others without indigenous aerospace ca-
port that was vital in allowing it to operate ef-
pabilities, have objected to distributing con-
ficiently and with a minimum of delays. The
tracts on a geographical or political basis,
promise of future renegotiations placated
charging that it drives up costs. 57 Non-U. S. con-
those, such as France, who objected to the ini-
tract shares have risen over time (23 percent of
tial phase of U.S. dominance. By contrast, the
Intelsat 5, the latest model satellite, is foreign
establishment of Inmarsat, despite its close
built), 58 and future use of ESA’S Ariane launch-
adherence to the Intelsat model, took 4 years
er and purchase of European communication
of negotiations and some 9 years before the
satellites may raise this significantly. (See app.
start of actual operations.
E.)
At the outset of Intelsat negotiations in
What do the Intelsat and Inmarsat model
1963, and even at the time of renegotiation in
tell us about a possible “lntersunsat?” The
1969-71, the U.S. position vis-a-vis Europe and
relatively smooth functioning of Intelsat is
the Third World was much stronger than it has
largely a result of its initial organization, which
been since or is likely to be again, not only in
had certain peculiarities not likely to be re-
space technology but in general economic per-
peated in the future.
formance and military strength. This across-
55
Comsat Annual Report 1979, p. 23. the-board preeminence made palatable-a U.S.
“’’Operating Agreement on Inmarsat, ” 1976; in Space Law, position that would today probably not be
p. 445.
Szjoseph N, pelton, G/oba/ c o m m u n i c a t i o n s %’te//jte po/icY: tolerated.
Intelsat, Politics, anci Functionalism (Mt Airy, Md.: Lomond
Books, 1974), p. 76.
‘a’’lntelsat Being Readied for November Launch,” Aviation 5“’National Aeronautics and Space Act,” 1958; in Space Law,
Week and Space Technology, Oct. 27,1980, p 51. p 499
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 165

In the foreseeable future, U.S.-European international political debate. ” 61 The large size
equivalence in technical and economic capa- and importance of SPS contracts would create
bilities and the increased self-confidence of strong pressures for geographical allocation;
the Third World countries, who were effective- here the experience of the North Atlantic
ly excluded from the initial Intelsat arrange- Treaty Organization (NATO) may be more rele-
ments, will make a repeat of the U.S. position vant than that of Intelsat.
impossible. With regard to an SPS, the United
The above is not meant to dismiss Intelsat’s
States would not necessarily be the largest
experience. Valuable lessons from Intelsat are
user, nor would it have a monopoly on engi-
the importance of corporate-style independent
neering expertise. And the political impetus
management; weighted voting by investment
provided by Soviet competition, which was
share and usage; and interim arrangements
vital to the formation of Comsat and Intelsat,
that allow a project to begin work and gain ex-
is likely to be missing or muted.
perience before establishing a permanent
The swift and effective establishment of ln- structure. And the positive example of Intel sat
telsat depended on several other factors. One and the experience gained in its operation will
was the prior existence of international and na- prove helpful in the future.
tional entities dealing with global communica-
tions. Bodies such as the ITU provided tech- Other Models
nical background and legal precedents for
Besides Intelsat, with its distinctive com-
dealing with communication satellites, and na-
bination of state and designated-entity par-
tional telecommunications agencies had long
ticipation, there are other possible models for
experience with short-wave and cable trans-
international cooperation, including: 1) joint-
missions. No such equivalent exists for the SPS.
ventures by privately or Government-owned
The initial costs of Intelsat were compara- multinational corporations, on the model of
tively low; as of 1980 (through 16 years of Aramco, or the recently formed Satellite
operation) a total of somewhat over $1 billion Business Systems, jointly owned by Comsat,
had been invested in R&D and procurement. In IBM, and Aetna Insurance, 2) state-to-state
addition, the basic research had already been agreements coordinating national space pro-
done, and paid for, by the United States; it was grams, such as ESA and its predecessors, ELDO
a proven technology with a predictable mar- and ESRO; 3) international agreements on the
ket. The SPS would be several orders of magni- development and use of atomic power, such as
tude more expensive, would take decades to Euratom; 4) U.S. bilateral arrangements be-
produce, and is far riskier. One consequence tween NASA and foreign agencies or com-
of communication satellites’ low cost—and panies.
the existence of established communication
entities—was that the basic decisions, both at PRIVATE CONSORTIUM
the beginning and later on, were made by ex- Agreements for joint financing and manage-
pert bodies with little public awareness. 6o This ment by nationally based companies can pro-
prevented sharp polarization and allowed vide extensive informal coordination across
negotiators to give and take without risking boundaries and facilitate the raising of capital
outcries at home. SPS negotiations would not on diverse financial markets. (See ch. 9, Financ-
take place in this atmosphere. As one observer ing, Ownership, and Control. ) Two major dif-
notes, “An SPS is not likely to come into being ficulties would face such an attempt. From the
through the nonpolitical activities of technical company’s viewpoint the very high initial in-
agencies . . . Decisions about SPS at the inter- vestments and the uncertain legal and regula-
national level will be made . . . by the political tory constraints would inhibit commitment
leaders of major nation-states in the context of without government guarantees. Many dis-

“john Logsdon, “International Dimensions of Solar Power Sat-


‘OPelton, op. cit., p. 44 ellites Collaboration or Competition?” July 1980, p 3.
166 • Solar Power Satellites

cussants have concluded that public sector fi- The late 1960’s also produced strong pres-
nancing would likely be essential for any SPS sures, as in the United States, for projects with
project. ’z From the state perspective, especial- economic payoffs, rather than abstract re-
ly outside the United States, there would be re- search or prestige programs. After Apollo, the
luctance to rely on private sector development United States began to look for ways to reduce
and control of energy supplies, as well as the costs of its proposed Space Transportation
potential antitrust problems (especially in the System. One way was increased cooperation
United States) caused by a concentration of with Europe. While France remained suspi-
companies. cious that such offers were designed to fore-
stal I independent European programs, Ger-
ESA many welcomed NASA proposals for joint de-
Within Western Europe there have been velopment as a way to gain access to U.S. tech-
ongoing efforts to coordinate national space nology and to use of the Space Shuttle. Hence,
programs so as to compete with the United whiIe France continued to emphasize launcher
States and the Soviet Union. In the early 1960’s development, Germany turned to production
two organizations were founded: ELDO (the of Spacelab for NASA.
European Space Vehicle Launcher Develop-
In 1973, ESRO and ELDO were joined to-
ment Organization), aimed at designing and
gether as the 9-member European Space Agen-
building a European launch vehicle (the
cy. Its major projects to date have been: 1) the
“Europa” rocket); and ESRO, (European Space
Ariane launcher, a $1 billion effort which is 64-
Research Organization) to conduct basic re-
percent French financed and flown from
search. Both groups, and especially ELDO, suf-
France’s spaceport in Guiana, South
fered from a lack of direction and from
America; 65 and 2) Spacelab, an $880 million
divergent national interests. ’3 Allocation of
project, 55-percent German financed, being
contracts was based on the principle of “fair
built in West Germany. Other ESA projects
return;” contributions to the organization were
have included regional remote sensing, mete-
in proportion to each state’s GNP, and con-
orological, and maritime satellites, and a re-
tracts were supposed to be let in similar ratios.
gional communications satellite (L-Sat) being
This produced intense disagreements and
developed under the guidance of Great Bri-
delays, exacerbated by cost increases which
tain. 66
had to be allocated evenly among the par-
ticipants. The formation of ESA has not eliminated
intra-European difficulties and the problem of
In the late 1960’s Europe began to pay in-
coordinating national programs. A report in ln-
creased attention to the so-called “technology
teravia charges that “individual states are tir-
gap” between it and the United States. In 1967,
ing of the paper-passing and consensus-seeking
J. Jacques Servan-Schreiber’s book The Amer-
that is involved in getting programs started and
icean challenge “polemicized the U.S. eco-
keeping them alive within the framework of an
nomic invasion of Europe and aroused a pop-
international civil-service organization.’’” One
ular interest in technology comparable to the
resuIt may be a turn towards commercial alter-
Sputnik aftermath in the United States.’’ 6 4 I n -
natives. With the completion of Ariane a new
terest in joint space efforts increased; the
firm called Arianespace has been formed,
failure of ELDO to produce a reliable Europa
made up of European industries, banks, and
rocket was heavily criticized, with France and
the French National Space Agency, to market
Germany claiming their willingness to produce
the launcher commercially and in competition
it on their own.
‘*See Vajk and Kierolff for further discussion “’’The French Space Effort, ” Interavia, June 1979, p, 508.
‘ 3 See Mihiel Schwarz, “European Policies on Space Science “Edward Bassett, “ESA Planning New Telecommunications
and Technology 1960-1978, ” Research Policy, August 1979, pp. Satellite,” A v;ation Week and Space Technology, Dec 31, 1979,
205-242, p 12
“Henry Nau, Nationa/ Po/itics and /nternat;ona/ Technology “’’European Space Programs: An Industrial Plea for Integrated
(Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1974), p. 55 Effort,ll Interav;a, August 1979, p. 785,
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 167

with the U.S. Space Shuttle. 68 If successful, been especially motivated by noneconomic
Arianespace will provide an example of how considerations. 69
an internationally financed and developed
Development of an SPS should not suffer
spacecraft can be turned over to a commercial
from the extreme obstacles to positive coop-
operating group, which could be a model for
eration faced in the nuclear field: the military
similar development of the SPS. However, all-
uses would be less important, the costs much
in-all the history of European collaboration
higher, and the economic need greater. The in-
provides more “dont's” than “do’s” for a
tense politicization of nuclear development
future SPS effort.
shows an extreme case of the forces that can
come into play during the development of a
NUCLEAR POWER major new technology.
International nuclear cooperation is the
only model that compares with the SPS in its U.S. BILATERAL ARRANGEMENTS
financial and political scope, though the The United States has been very successful
security aspects of nuclear power are largely in establishing useful bilateral arrangements
unique. Like SPS, nuclear power is a baseload with foreign governmental agencies and orga-
electricity source requiring large investments nizations, such as ESA. NASA has been em-
and a high degree of technical competence, powered to enter into exchanges of informa-
with widely perceived environmental dangers. tion and services, in coordination with other
The overall picture of nuclear cooperation parts of Government, such as the State Depart-
shows a field where development and opera- ment. NASA has provided launch services,
tion, though expensive, is not prohibitively so, technical assistance, a n d r e m o t e s e n s i n g
and where considerations of national prestige (Landsat) imagery to a large number of foreign
and security are extraordinarily high. “Have” customers.’” The network of relationships built
countries have had Iittle reason to promote the up over the years could be helpfuI in promot-
spread of nuclear technology, except as a prof- ing a multilateral SPS. Direct bilateral co-
itable export or a form of foreign aid. The ex- operation with major potential partners in
pense of initial development has been justified Europe and Japan might be the best way to ini-
as a military necessity (as in the U.S. submarine tiate foreign cooperation and create a climate
reactor program). Cooperation is largely moti- conducive to the expansion of the enterprise,
vated by the need for agreed-on international especially in the initial less expensive R&D
standards and regulations to prevent accidents stages. Such agreements would take substan-
and inhibit proliferation. Strictly economic or tially less time to negotiate than regional or
energy-supply considerations have played a global ones. ”
small role, except as window-dressing, while
political and competitive needs have been the “June Sabato and Jairam Ramesh, “Atoms for the Third
prime movers. Nuclear development in Third World, ” Bu//et;n of Atomk Scientists, March 1980, p. 39.
‘“Stephen M. Shaffer and Lisa R. Shaffer, “The Politics of in-
World countries, such as Brazil and India, has ternational Cooperation: A Comparison of U.S. Experience in
Space and Security,” Monograph Series in Wor/d Affairs, vol. 17,
“’’New Commercial Organization to Take Ariane Responsibili- book 4, University of Denver, 1980, pp. 15-26.
ty,” Aviation Week and Space Technology Apr. 7,1980, p. 45, “Go rove, op. cit., p. 50,

NATIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS


OF SOLAR POWER SATELLITES
The potential military aspects of an SPS will fears that the satellite will be vulnerable to
be of major concern to the international com- attack, or that it may be used for offensive
munity and to the general public. There are weapons (see ch. 9, Public Opinion). Such con-
168 ● Solar Power Satellites

cerns may be decisive in determining the pace ability to transfer power. However, in many
and scope of SPS development, and the mode countries, especially LDCs, SPS losses might
of financing and ownership that is used. There not be easily replaceable since SPSs, if used,
are three basic aspects to consider: 1) SPS would be likely to provide more than 20 per-
vulnerability and defensibility; 2) the military cent of total capacity on a national basis.
uses of SPS launch vehicles and construction
An attack on SPS would also depend on
facilities; and 3) direct and indirect use of SPS
other factors. If the attacker relies on its own
as a weapons system or in support of military
operations. Of these it is the second, the exten- SPSs, it may fear a response in kind. If the
satellites were owned by a multinational con-
sive capability of new launchers and large
sortium the attacker might be hesitant to of-
space platforms, that will constitute the most
fend neutral or friendly states involved. If they
likely and immediate impact.
were manned— it is unclear whether perma-
nent personnel would be required for SPS — the
Vulnerability and Defensibility attacker might be reluctant to escalate a con-
There are two main segments of any SPS, the fIict by attacking manned bases.
ground receiver and the satellite proper. Since
The unprecedented position of the SPS,
reference-system rectennas or mirror-system
located in orbit outside of national territory,
energy parks would be very large and com-
gives rise to uncertainties as to how an attack
posed of numerous identical and redundant
would be perceived and responded to. If the
components, t h e y w o u l d b e u n a t t r a c t i v e
SPS is seen as analogous to a merchant ship on
targets; the smaller antennas of other designs
the high seas, attacks would be proscribed
would be slightly more vulnerable. The satel-
unless war were declared and outer space were
lite segment would be vulnerable in the ways
proclaimed a war zone. Otherwise, any attack
outlined below, but in general no more so than
would be tantamount to a declaration of war.
other major installations. Its size and distance
In practice, however, experience has shown
would be its best defenses.
that attacks on merchant vessels have not
caused an automatic state-of-war, though they
Would SPS Be Attacked?
have often played a crucial part in bringing
The reasons for attacking a civilian SPS one about.
would be that it is expensive and prestigious,
not easily replaceable, and that it supplies an It is more likely that the SPS, because of its
essential commodity, baseload electricity. In function and/or its stationary position (for cer-
determining whether to target an SPS in the tain designs), would be perceived as similar to
event of hostilities, the crucial consideration a fixed overseas base or port rather than a ship.
would be how much of a nation’s or region’s An attack would then be taken more seriously,
electricity is supplied by SPS. In most especially if lives were lost. It will be impor-
developed countries, utilities maintain a tant for national leaders to clarify what status
reserve of approximately 20 percent of their an SPS would have, particularly in times of
total capacity, i n o r d e r t o g u a r d a g a i n s t crisis. A low priority assigned to SPS could en-
breakdowns and maintenance outages. If SPS courage enemy states to attack it as a way of
supplied no more than the reserve margin, its demonstrating resolve or as part of an escala-
loss could be made up; however, given an SPS tor response short of all-out war.
system consisting of many satelIites particular
regions or industries would be Iikely to receive How Could SPS Be Attacked?
more than 20 percent. Making up for losses There are essentially five ways the satellite
would require an efficient national grid to portion of an SPS could be destroyed or dam-
transfer power to highly affected areas. aged: 1) ground-launched missiles; 2) satellites
Increased use of high voltage transmission or space-launched missiIes; 3) ground or space-
lines and other measures should increase U.S. based directed-energy weapons; 4) orbital
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites Ž 169

debris; 5) disruption or diversion of the energy for lasers or microwaves cannot be presently
transmission beam. predicted.

A missile attack from the ground on a geo- A missile attack with a conventional war-
synchronous SPS would have the disadvantage head might be difficult due to SPS’s very large
of lack of surprise, due to the distances in- size and redundancy. The most vulnerable
volved and the satellite’s position at the top of spot on the reference and other photovoltaic
a 35,000 km gravity well; missiles would take designs would be the rotary joint connecting
up to an hour or more to reach, geosynchro- the antenna to the solar cell array. Laser
nous orbit. An attack from prepositioned geo- transmitters would be more vulnerable due to
synchronous satellites would be faster and less their smaller size, though they would also be
detectable. However, a laser or mirror SPS in easier to harden. Attackers would be tempted
low orbit could be reached from the ground in to use nuclear weapons, either directly on the
a matter of minutes. Lasers or particle beams, satellite, or at a distance. I n space a large (one
which might be used to rapidly deface the megaton or more) nuclear blast at up to 1,000
solar celIs or mirrors rather than to cause struc- km-distance could cause an electrical surge in
tural demage, would have virtually instanta- SPS circuitry (the electromagnetic pulse (EMP)
neous effect. effect) sufficient to damage a photovoltaic
S P S 72 (though it would have no effect on a
Placing debris in SPS’s orbital path, but mov-
mirror-system). Such an attack would be par-
ing in the opposite direction —such as sand
ticularly effective against a large SPS system,
designed to degrade PV cells or mirrors–
as it could destroy a number of satellites
would have the disadvantage of damaging
simultaneously. However, like an orbital debris
other satellites in similar orbits, and of making
attack, it has the problem of damaging all
the orbit permanently unusable in the absence
unhardened satellites indiscriminately within
of methods to ‘sweep’ the contaminated areas
the EMP radius. Furthermore, any use of
clean. The relative ease and simplicity of this
nuclear weapons would constitute a serious
method, however, could make it attractive to
escalation of a crisis and might not be con-
terrorists or other technically unsophisticated
sidered except in the context of a full-scale
groups. Any explosive attack could have
war.
similar drawbacks, although since the result-
ant debris would be traveling in the same
Could the SPS Be Defended?
direction as most other satellites (which move
with the Earth’s rotation) the ensuing damage Defense of orbital platforms can be accom-
would be SIight. plished in three ways: 1) evasion; 2) hardening
against explosive or electronic attack; 3) anti-
If technically feasible, disrupting SPS’s missiIe weaponry.
microwave or laser transmission beam, either
by interfering directly with the beam or its All of the SPS designs being considered
pilot signals, or by changing its position so that would be too large and fragile to evade an
it misses its receiving antenna, would be a incoming attack. SPSs may be equipped with
highly effective way to attack the SPS. Since small station-keeping propulsion units but not
the effects would be temporary and reversible, with large engines for rapid sustained move-
such an attack might be favored in crisis situa- ment.
tions short of all-out war. Disruption using Hardening against explosive or debris attack
metallic chaff would be ineffective against a wouId require rigid and heavy plating. Such ef-
microwave beam, due to its very large area. forts would be prohibitively costly, except
Laser beams could be temporarily deflected by perhaps for a few highly vulnerable areas.
clouds of small particles or by organic com-
pounds that absorb energy at the appropriate ‘*Peter Vajk, “On the Military Implications of Satellite Power
frequency. Electronic interference possibilities System s,” Linco/rI Proceedings, April 1980, pp. 506-507

83-316 0 - 81 - 12
170 ● Solar Power Satellites

Hardening against EMP bursts or electronic such capabilities will remain in the hands of
warfare would require heavier and redundant the larger developed nations (including a
circuitry as well as devices to detect and block number of countries that can be expected to
jamming attacks. I f i n c o r p o r a t e d i n S P S enter this category in the future).
designs from the beginning, these might be
The state of technology obviously bears on
sufficiently inexpensive to justify inclusion.
the question of whether terrorists or criminals
Different designs may differ in their vulner-
could attack an SPS. Politically motivated ter-
ability to such attacks —the photoklystron
rorists are generally strong on dedicated man-
variation, for instance, would be less suscep-
power, not technical expertise. The SPS would
tible to EMP than the reference design.
be a symbolic high-visibility target, but ter-
Antimissile weaponry, whether in the form rorists would be more likely to attack SPS
of missiles or directed-energy devices, could launch-vehicles, which would be vulnerable to
be placed on the SPS to defend against missile simple heat-seeking missiles, than to threaten
and satellite attack. Though potentially highly the SPS directly.
effective against incoming missiles, such
However, a believable threat of direct at-
weapons would be useless against long-dis-
tack by terrorists or small powers could be a
tance nuclear bursts or remote lasers. Further-
spur to defensive measures such as hardening
more, they would have unavoidable offensive
or antimissiIe devices, which wouId not stop an
strategic uses against other satellites and inter-
attack by a major power but might be effective
continental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and
against lesser threats.
would hence invite attack. For these reasons
major defensive systems are unlikely to be Sabotage of the SPS through the construc-
placed on civilian SPSs. Attacks would be tion force, either for political purposes and/or
more effectively deterred by political arrange- for ransom, could not be ruled out. Careful
ments and by the use of separate military screening of construction workers — who
forces. would be few in number— can be expected,
along with supervision while in orbit. The un-
Who Would Attack? avoidable conditions of life and construction
In most instances an attack could only be in space would make it difficult, especially at
carried out by a technically sophisticated na- first, to smuggle explosives or sabotage-
tion with its own launchers and tracking sys- devices into orbit. However, a major expansion
tems. Threats by such a space-capable power into space involving large numbers of person-
against other space-capable powers —say by nel would, in the long run, provide opportuni-
the U.S.S.R. against the United States—are ties for sabotage that probably cannot now be
possible in the context of a major crisis or ac- foreseen.
tual war where the attacker is willing to risk Under current conditions any installation, in
the consequences of its actions. Threats space or on the ground, is vulnerable to long-
against inferior or nonspace-capable states, range missiles, or to dedicated terrorist groups.
such as SPS-using LDCs, might be made at a Reasonable measures to mitigate threats to
much lower crisis threshold. SPS should be undertaken, but the dangers
It is unclear which states will be capable of themselves cannot be eliminated.
projecting military power into space over SPS’S
lifetime. It is possible that technical advances Current Military Programs in Space
will allow even small countries to purchase
off-the-shelf equipment enabling them to at- At present a number of nations use space for
tack an SPS, in the way that sophisticated sur- military purposes. T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s a n d
face-to-air missiles (SAMs) are now widely Soviet Union operate the bulk of military satel-
available to attack airplanes. However, it is lites, but China, France, and a few other coun-
more probable that, over the next 50 years, tries also have military capabilities. The preva-
Ch. 7—The International implications of Solar Power Satellites • 171

lent uses involve satellites in low and high or- than particle beams), most experts say that, if
bits for communications and data transmis- at all feasible, they will not be available until
sion, weather reporting, remote surveillance of the end of the decade.
foreign territory and the high seas, and inter-
ception of foreign communications. The cru- High-energy lasers and particle beams are
cial character of these satellites, especially in desirable because of their speed and accu-
providing information on strategic missile racy–light speed for lasers, an appreciable
fraction of that for particle beams–making
placements and launches, is such that any
future war between superpowers will un- them ideal for attacking fast-moving targets
such as satellites and incoming missiles. They
doubtedly include actions in space to destroy
may be deployed on naval vessels, antiaircraft
or damage enemy satelIites. 73
positions, and in space. Space-based directed-
For these reasons both the United States and energy weapons ‘could theoretically attack
the U.S.S.R. are working to develop antisatel- satellites at great distances — up to a thousand
lite (A-sat) weapons. The Soviets have in the miles — since their beams would not be at-
past tested “killer satellites” c a p a b l e o f tenuated and dispersed by the atmosphere.
rendezvousing with objects in orbit and ex- Most importantly, they could also be used to
ploding on command. ” 75 The United States engage attacking ICBMs, providing an effec-
has not yet tested A-sat weapons in space but tive ABM capability that would radically
is developing a sophisticated orbital intercep- change the strategic nuclear balance. Such
tor designed to be launched from an F-15 uses depend on attaining very accurate aiming
fighter. ” Neither system is capable of reaching and tracking, and extremely high peak-power
geosynchronous satelIites without being capabiIities.
placed on larger boosters, but such develop-
ment is probably only a matter of time.
Use of SPS Launchers and
The United States and U.S.S.R. have held in- Construction Facilities
formal talks in the past on limiting or banning
A-sat weapons; the most recent such discus- The most important military impact of SPS
sion took place in June 1979. These talks have development would likely be military use of
been complicated by Soviet claims that the SPS launchers and construction facilities. In
Space ShuttIe is an A-sat system. The talks are order to build an SPS it would be necessary to
currently “on hold. ” develop a new generation of high-capacity
reusable lift vehicles to carry men and
An outgrowth of A-sat concern has been the
materials from the ground to low orbit. A sec-
rapidly increasing interest, on both sides, in
ond vehicle, such as an EOTV, would probably
laser and particle-beam weapons. ” Although
be used for transportation to geosynchronous
some have predicted that such weapons couId orbit.
be deployed within a few years (especially
lasers, whose technology is more advanced In addition, techniques and devices for con-
structing large platforms and working effec-
tively in space would have to be developed,
73
Clarence Robinson, “Space-Based Systems Stressed,” Avia- along with life support systems and living
tion Week and Space Technology, Mar. 3, 1980, p. 25.
74Soviet Space Programs 1977-1975, VOI 1, staff report for Com- quarters for extended stays in orbit.
mittee on Aeronautical and Space Sciences, 1976, pp. 424-429.
75
Craig Covault, “New Soviet Antisatellite Mission, ” Aviation Improved and cheaper transportation would
Week and Space Technology, Apr. 28,1980, p. 20, allow the military to fly many more missions,
“Craig Covault, “Antisatellite Weapon Design Advances, ”
Aviation Week and Space Technology, June 16, 1980, pp. orbiting more and larger satellites and servic-
243-247 ing these already in place. New construction
77
See articles in Aviation Week and Space Technology of July techniques would enable large platforms for
28, 1980; also Richard Burt, “Experts Believe Laser Weapons
Could Transform Warfare in 80’s, ” New York Times, Feb. 10,
communications, surveiIlance, and/or di-
1980, p. 1. rected-energy uses to be rapidly deployed. The
172 ● Solar Power Satellites

military would have the further option of fly- broad area (see ch. 5, Electromagnetic Com-
ing manned or unmanned missions. patibility).

Without SPS, advanced launch-vehicles and Certain laser designs would be sufficiently
construction devices may not be built or, at powerful and focused to cause some immedi-
best, be done so much less quickly. The mili- ate damage to people and structures, but
tary may hence have a strong interest in par- would not be optimally designed for weapons-
ticipating in their development, as they have use. An SPS would use a continuous laser
with the Space Shuttle. Whether the military rather than the high peak-power pulsed lasers
would actively support the SPS in order to needed for military missions. For such uses, in-
benefit from such developments might depend creased focusing of the beam would be re-
on whether they think SPS funding would quired, as well as appropriate tracking
direct resources away from other military pro- mechanisms. If so equipped, a laser SPS could
grams. be used directly against satellites and ICBMs,
and also against targets on the ground such as
An ongoing SPS construction project with a
ships, planes, and oil refineries. Such uses
high volume of traffic into space could pro-
would be greatly facilitated if a laser SPS were
vide opportunities for the military to disguise
placed in low orbit, with energy relayed to the
operations or incorporate them in normal SPS
ground via geosynchronous mirrors. Since a
activities. Such a possibility would likely cause
sun-synchronous SPS in low-Earth orbit would
any unilateral SPS project to be closely moni-
of necessity pass directly over many different
tored by foreign observers.
countries (including the Soviet Union), it could
The most significant use of a fleet of be seen as potentially more threatening than a
military-capable SPS launchers and crews geosynchronous satellite that remains fixed
would be in providing a “break-out” capability above one spot. A geosynchronous laser might
whereby, in time of crisis, large numbers of have difficulty tracking low-flying ICBMs and
communications and surveillance satellites, satellites, due to its position 35,800 km from
antisatellite weapons, or directed-energy plat- the target.
forms could be placed in orbit on short notice.
This would be similar to the way a national Since the key requirement for directed-
merchant shipping or air cargo fleet is viewed energy weapons is a large power supply, any
as a military asset, and often supported in SPS that generates electricity directly [i.e., any
peacetime because of its strategic signifi- design except the mirror-system) can be used
cance. Fear of such uses might be a spur to the to power such weapons. These weapons could
development of antilauncher weapons, analo- be built into the SPS platform or placed at a
gous to attack submarines or merchant raiders. distance in lower orbits and supplied by lasers
from the SPS. The question is whether rela-
tively small directed-energy weapons can be
Military Uses of SPS designed with autonomous power supplies,
Direct Use of SPS perhaps from nuclear reactors. Since weapons
used against ICBMs must be capable of firing a
The energy transmission beams of the SPS large number of very rapid bursts in order to
could have direct military uses. A microwave
engage a fleet of 1,000 or more missiles, it may
system in geosynchronous orbit would not
be that SPS power, if available, would be the
generate a beam intense enough to cause
most efficient and economical way to supply
direct damage to people or installations; it
future laser or particle-beam platforms.
might be enough to cause minor irritation or
panic if used against populated areas. An in- Direct use of the SPS in this way would of
tense microwave beam might be used to inter- course make attack in time of war inevitable.
fere with short-wave communications over a Extensive defensive armament would have to
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites • 173

be built in; the offensive weaponry could also energy levels are not high enough, in current
be used to defend against missile attacks. designs, to change weather patterns signifi-
cantly (see ch. 8, Environment). Such use would
Any testing, deployment, or use of directed-
be prohibited by the 1980 “Convention on the
energy weapons in space is presently prohib-
Prohibition of Military or any Other Hostile
ited by the 1972 ABM Treaty and other space
Use of Environmental Techniques.”
treaties. A proposed SPS would probably be a
topic of future arms control negotiations to Nighttime illumination could be significant,
clarify and limit its military implications (see especially in cases of guerrilla warfare or ur-
discussion on pp. 156-1 57). ban terrorism where attacking forces rely on
Indirect Military Uses darkness and surprise as equalizers. However,
fragile Solares mirrors could probably not be
In addition to these direct uses, a laser SPS adjusted quickly enough to deal with sudden
could be used to supply power to military military developments; rapid deployment of
units, providing increased mobility to ground mirrors by the military for specific uses would
forces that could dispense with bulky fuel sup- probably be more effective.
plies in remote and roadless areas. Given ade-
quate tracking capability it might even be pos- Ownership and Control
sible to supply mobile units such as ships,
planes, or other satellites equipped with Any of the military uses discussed clearly de-
thermoelectric converters, increasing their pend on who owns, operates, and builds the
range and allowing them to carry more arma- SPS system. If SPSs are unilaterally owned by
ments or cargo. 78 national governments, their military use is far
more likely than if run by private enterprise or
A geosynchronous SPS is at an advanta-
by a multilateral consortium. Fears of military
geous position for numerous communications
involvement could be an incentive to estab-
and positioning uses, military as well as
lishing a multinational regime to operate or
civilian. Its large size would make it easy to
regulate SPSs, and to prohibiting militarily ef-
attach equipment to it; the military’s need for
fective SPS designs.
redundancy makes it convenient to use all
available platforms, as does future crowding A key question would be who has effective
of geosynchronous positions. Operation of a control over SPSs in a time of crisis. If a private
microwave SPS, however, could interfere with SPS consortium, having its own launchers and
communications uses unless switched off. crews, has a monopoly on SPS control and
expertise, then governments might be hard-
SPS’s power and position might make it
pressed to take over SPSs on their own. A
suitable for electronic warfare uses, such as
limited defensive capability would help to
jamming enemy command-and-control links.
deter any national takeovers. However,
This would require the addition of specialized
governments m i g h t s t i p u l a t e t h a t i n a n
equipment.
emergency they be allowed to commandeer
The mirror designs use reflected sunlight SPSs for defense purposes.
rather than energy transmission beams. How-
A nongovernmental owner can be expected
ever, it has been suggested that the reflected
to resist any attempts to use SPSs for military
light could be used for weather modification
functions rather than supplying electricity to
or for nighttime battlefield illumination. The
commercial users. The threat of Iawsuits or
“See Michael Ozeroff, SPS Military Implications, D O E / N A S A diplomatic protests at electricity interruptions
report, October 1978, pp. 13-1 6; also A Hertz berg, K Sun, and
W. Jones, “Laser Aircraft,” Astronautics and Aeronautics, March caused by military preemption might help to
1979, p. 41, deter such actions.
174 ● - Solar Power Satellites

FOREIGN INTEREST

Interest in SPS has been expressed outside of detailed work on the system proper has been
the United States, especially in Europe but also done outside of designs to reduce the size of
in J apan, the Soviet Union, and some develop- rectennas; European participants have relied
ing countries. on U.S. projects for technical information.
Suspension of NASA/ DOE research efforts due
Europe to lack of fiscal year 1982 funding will have an
adverse effect on foreign studies and has led to
● The first significant European study of SPS great disappointment among foreign SPS ex-
was done in 1975 by a German firm under perts. 84 A major difference between U.S. and
contract from West Germany’s space re- European efforts is that while in the United
search organization. States SPS has attracted interest from energy
● In England, the Department of Industry experts and the DOE, European studies have
been the exclusive province of organizations
funded a study, completed in early 1979,
involved in space research .85
that led to a further effort by British
Aerospace to investigate the implications of
SPS for British industry. ” Soviet Union
● In France, the work of Claverie and Dupas The Soviets have initiated no major known
on global demand for SPS has already been studies of SPS, though there have been un-
mentioned. verified claims of a Soviet SPS project. It is im-
possible to tell with certainty what the degree
● The ESA began SPS assessments in 1977,
of interest or expertise is; U.S. experts feel the
publishing a-number of papers in the ESA
Soviets are relying on Western reports and are
Journal of 1978. Ruth and Westphal per-
far from developing the launchers, microwave
formed a study in 1979, 80 w h i c h e x a m i n e d
transmission expertise, and advanced solar
offshore sites for rectenna placement, and in
cells necessary to consider an SPS. 86 R e c e n t
1980 a major report on ground receiving sta-
signs of interest include a paper entitled
tions was published by Hydronamic B.V. of
“Satellite Power Stations” published by scien-
the Netherlands. 81 In 1978, Roy Gibson, then
tists from M.V. Lomonosov State University,
director of ESA, said ESA was “intensely in-
M o s c o w i n D e c e m b e r 1 9 7 7 .8 7 88 At the 30th
terested” in SPS, 82 and ESA has supported a
Congress of the IAF in Munich, September
group within the IAF for SPS investigation.
1979, the Solar Power Bulletin reported that:
In June 1980, an International Symposium
“Although the Soviets were reluctant to dis-
on SPS was held at Toulouse, France, with
close their level of commitment to a solar
representatives from many European coun-
power satellite program, Chief Cosmonaut
tries and agencies. 83
Beregovoy commented ‘that if the United
In general, the European studies have fo- States puts up an SPS first, we will con-
cused on the European requirements for possi- gratulate you, and if ours goes up first, we will
ble contributions to an SPS system. Little expect congratulations from you’. ” 89

“K. K, Reinhartz, “An Overview of European SPS Activities,”


in Firra/ Proceedings of the SPS Program Review, U.S. Department “Conversation with Jerry Grey, of the Al AA, Oct. 15,1980.
of Energy, July 1980, pp. 78-88. “K K Relnhartz, op cit., p 80
80J. Ruth and W. Westphal, “Study on European Aspects of ““Conversations with James Oberg, Johnson Space Center,
SPS,” ESA report No CP(P) 1266. and Charle\ Sheldon I I, Congressional Research Service, Septem-
“A. R. Bresters, “Study on Infrastructure Considerations for ber 1980
Microwave Energy G round Receiving Station,” Hydronamic Proj- “ 5ovlet fpace Programs 1971-/975, VOI 1, staff report, Library
ect, p, 495, November 1980 of ( ongres~, 1976, p 529
‘*In Jerry Grey, “The Internationalization of Space, ” Astro- ““See statement of Peter Claser In House Hearings on SPS, 96th
nautics and Aeronautics, February 1979, p 76 Cong , March 1979, p 218
83
See Peter Glaser, “Highlights of the International Sym- ““5pace \o/ar Power Bu//etin, Sunsat Energy Council, February
posium on Solar Power Satellites,” July 1980, 1980, p 1
Ch. 7—The International Implications of Solar Power Satellites ● 175

Japan and by sessions on SPS at international con-


ferences such as those of the IAF. Reaction has
The Japanese have expressed interest and generally been cautiously optimistic. At the In-
funded studies within the National Space ’De- ternational Symposium in Toulouse, Dr. Mayur
velopment Agency, though no permanent of- of India’s Futurology Commission claimed:
fice for SPS exists. Japanese interest in space “There is no conflict between small scale
exploration and industrialization is strong and technologies and the SPS.” Dr. Chatel, former
includes plans for several new series of Chief of the UN’s Office of Science & Tech-
Launchers. go nology, proposed an international working
party to coordinate national programs and per-
Third World form assessments. ” The SPS has been placed
on the agenda of the upcoming U.N. energy
Information about SPS has been spread to
conference in Nairobi in the summer of 1981.
the Third World by discussions at COPUOS

‘“James Harford, “Japan Showcases Crowing Space Prowess,”


Astronautics and Aeronautics, December 1980, pp. 120-125. l
‘ Glaser, o p c i t

STUDY RECOMMENDATIONS
It is crucial to continue updating long-term development and foreign military space pro-
projections as new information becomes avail- grams, and arms-control negotiations.
able about developments in the space and
U.S. energy and space experts often tend to
energy fields. Close attention should be paid
pay little attention to the foreign implications
to: 1 ) future global electricity demand under
of their programs. Since SPS is a system that
various scenarios and on a detailed regional
may make sense globally but not domesticalIy,
basis; 2) evaluation of the impact that possible
neglect of the international dimension could
external events —wars, oiI embargoes, wide-
lead to an unjustified foregoing of SPS devel-
spread famine— couId have on U.S. and Euro-
opment. In making plans for future R&D pro-
pean energy needs; 3) the feasibility of a
grams, attention should be paid to involving
unilateral SPS System given a global market,
and informing potential partners as well as to
including estimates of profitabiIity; 4) monitor-
considering the ways in which a global system
ing of Law of the Sea negotiations and the re-
might differ, technologicalIy and institution-
sulting international regime with special atten-
alIy, from a domestic one.
tion to the implications for the Moon Treaty
and other space agreements; and 5) weapons
Chapter 8
ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH
Contents
Page

Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ....179 42 M i c r o w a v e E x p o s u r e L i m i t s . .212


43 Research Needs To Help Reduce
Environment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ...182
Uncertainties Concerning Public
Power Transmission Effects on the Health Effects Associated With
Atmosphere and Weather ...182 Exposure to SPS Microwaves Power
Atmosphere . . . . . .183 Densities and Frequency. . .213
Space Vehicle Effects.. . . . ..187 44 SPS Development . . . . .217
Electromagnetic Interference . ......190 Estimated Sound Levels of HLLV
45
Terrestrial Activities. . .......196
launch Noise . . . .220
Receiver Structure: Weather
46 Representative Noise Levels Due to
Modification . . . . . . . . .. ....205 Various Sources . . . . . . . . .220
Health and Ecology . . . . . . . . ........207 47 Community Reaction to HLLV Launch
Terrestrial Effects . . . . . ........207 Noise~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .221
48 Sonic Boom Summary. . .221
ionizing and Nonionizing Radiation
49 Types of Radiation Found in the
Defined. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........209
Different SPS Orbits . . . . . . . . . . . . .223
Space Environment. . . .. ....221

LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
Table No. Page 30. R e g i o n s o f t h e A t m o s p h e r e . . . . . 1 8 3
28. Summary of SPS Environmental 31. Examples of SPS Microwave
Impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .....180 Transmission Effects on the
29. Major SPS Environmental Ionosphere and Telecommunication
Systems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .184
Uncertainties . . . . . . . . . ....,.182
32. Summary of SPS Atmospheric Effects, .188
30 Power Transmission Impacts. . . . . . . .184
3 3. Receptor Site Protection Radius as a
31 SPS Space Transportation Vehicles. ...188
Function of the Perimeter laser Power-
32 Exhaust Products of SPS Space Density Level. . , . . . . . . . . .197
Transportation Vehicles . . . ......189 34. Microwave Power Density at Rectenna
33 S p a c e V e h i c l e I m p a c t s , . . . . . . . 1 8 9 as a Function of Distance From
34 Summary of Electromagnetic Effects. .192 Boresight. . . . . . , . . . , . . .197
35. SPS Systems Land Use. . . . . . ......198 35. Rettenna/Washington, D.C. Overlay. . .198
36. Summary of Land Requirements. .. ...199 36. Offshore Summary Map . . . . . . . . .200
37. Summary of Environmental Impacts of 37. Satellite Power System — Societal
Rectenna Construction and Operation Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .201
38. Regional Generation and
at a Specific Study Site . . . . . 203
Rectenna Allocations . . . . . .202
38. Summary of Materials Assessment 39. The Electromagnetic-Photon Spectrum, 209
Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......205 40. SPS Microwave Power-Density
39, Annual Environmental Effects of SPS. .206 Characteristics at a Rectenna Site. .. ..211
40. Terrestrial Health and Ecological 41. Comparison of Exposure Standards . .. 216
Impacts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......208 42. Program Funding. . . . . . . . . . . .216
41. Characteristics of Exposure to 43. Factors Pertinent to Space Worker
Reference System Microwaves . . . . . . .211 Health and Safety . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 222
Chapter 8
ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH

INTRODUCTION
As a large-scale energy system operating in jeopardizing the economic or technical viabili-
both the space and terrestrial environments, ty of the SPS concept.
the solar power satellite (SPS) is unique. And
The SPS environmental effects and the cost
because it is a new concept, our understanding
of reducing them must be viewed in the con-
and experience of a number of the environ-
text of energy technologies, energy needs,
mental impacts associated with SPS are lim-
other space activities, and the incremental
ited. The great uncertainties surrounding these
effect on human health and the environment.
effects make comparisons between SPS and
Preliminary comparative assessments indicate
other energy technologies especially difficult.
that, in general, those health and environ-
While one advantage of SPS is that it would
mental impacts of the reference system SPS
avoid many of the environmental risks typi-
that can presently be quantified would prob-
cally associated with conventional energy op-
ably be no more severe than for other large-
tions such as coal and nuclear, it also would
sc aIe electricity generating technologies
generate uncommon environmental effects
although the uncertainties for SPS are
that presently cannot be quantified or com-
high). 1 2 3 4 I n fact, when compared to coal,
pared to those of other powerplants. The large
SPS would be an order of magnitude cleaner
uncertainties also tend to provoke public de-
(see app, D). However, if an SPS program is
bate. In light of past controversies over the
pursued, further comparative analysis between
siting of powerplants, transmission Iines and
energy options would be required as more is
other facilities, it is clear that environmental
learned about the unquantifiable impacts that
issues could play a key role in public consid-
could not be incorporated in the present
eration of SPS (see ch. 9).
studies A good portion of this chapter dis-
This chapter will outline the environmental cusses these latter effects for SPS.
and health impacts of SPS that are currently
The discussion in this chapter relies heavily
thought to be most important. It will identify
on the data and analysis generated by the De-
research needs and highlight areas of con-
partment of Energy (DOE) 5 and the National
troversy. As with other aspects of SPS, the en-
Academy of Sciences (NAS). 6 7 The reader is
vironmental effects have been evaluated most
fully for the reference system. Some of this ——-. ——
data is also applicable to the other SPS tech- 11 j H a b e g g e r ,J R Gasper, a n d C D B r o w n , Hea/th and Safe-
tv Pre/lrnlrtary Cor-nparatlve Assessment of the Sate//ite Power
nical options, d i f f e r i n g o n l y i n e x t e n t o r $vstem / SPS) and Other Energy Alternatives, DOE/NASA report
degree, but information on the full range of No DO I IF R-0053, April 1980
their environmental effects is limited. ‘CI t Newsom and T D Wolsko, Pre/irnfnary C o m p a r a t i v e As-
SCJS smen t o t Land Use for Satellite Power Systems and A Iternatl ‘.te
At the current stage of development, SPS en- F /ectrlc t nergy Technologies, DOE/NASA report No
[ )OE I R-0058, April 1980
vironmental studies can play an important role ‘D A Kellermeyer, C/imate and Energy: A Comparative Assess-
in determinin g concept feasibility, technical ment of the SPS and Other Energy A /ternatives, DOE/NASA report
design, and cost. For example, bioeffects re- No DO} F R-0500, January 1980
‘ F P L e v i n e , M J Senew, and R R Clr[llo, C o m p a r a t i v e
search might influence the choice of frequen- Assessment of Environmental Welfare Issues Associated With the
cy which, in turn, couId determine hardware \ate//lte Power System and Alternative Technologies, DOE/NASA
design and Iand use. Thus, many of the effects r e p o r t ho [)OE/E R - 0 0 5 5 , A p r i l 1 9 8 0
5Envlronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate//ite Power System Con-
currently identified might be minimized by ap- cept Development and Evacuation Program, DOE/NASA report
propriate choices of design. However, it is also No DOt /E R-0069, August 1980

possible that one or more risks might be iden- “Comrnlttee o n S a t e l l i t e P o w e r S y s t e m s , N a t i o n a l R e s e a r c h


( ounc!l O p e n Committee Meetings Jan 31-Feb 1, 1980, Apr
tified in the development process that could 910, 1980, j U Iy 1-2, 1980, Oct 1-2, 1980
not be reduced to an acceptable level without ‘(’ H l>odge (rapporteur), Workshop on Mechanisms Under/y-

179
780 ● Solar Power Satellites

referred to the DOE documents for more de- would be required before decisions could be
tailed discussions. While those studies have made regarding the environmental viability of
not identified any environmental reasons not SPS. What is not clear is how long it might take
to continue with SPS development, it is very before our confidence in the resolution of
evident that much more study and research some environmental impacts such as micro-
(continued from p. 179)
wave bioeffects would be high enough to
Ing Effects of Long-Term, Low-Level, 2450 MHY Radiation on make development or deployment decisions.
P e e p / e , o r g a n i z e d by the National Re\ear( h (-ouncil, C o m m i t t e e
o n Satel I Ite P o w e r S y s t e m s , E nvlrontmental Studms floard, N a
As table 28 illustrates, there is a great diver-
tlonal Academy of Sciences, July 17-17, 1980 sity of environmental and health impacts. Of

Table 28.—Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts

System component Occupatlonal health


characteristics Environmental impact Public health
— and safety and safety
Power transmission
Microwave — b lonospheric heating could — bEffects of low-level —Higher risk than for
disrupt telecommunications. chronic exposure to micro- public; protective
Maximum tolerable power waves are unknown clothing required for
density is not known — Psychological effects of terrestrial worker
Effects in the upper microwave beam as weapon —Accidental exposure to
ionosphere are not known —Adverse esthetic effects high-intensity beam in
—Tropospheric heating could on appearance of night sky space potentially severe
result in minor weather but no data
mod if i cat ion
b
— Ecosystem: microwave bio-
effects (on plants, animals,
and airborne biota) largely
unknown; reflected light
effects unknown
b
— potential interference with
satellite communicant ions,
terrestrial communications,
radar, radio, and optical
astronomy

Lasers —Tropospheric heating could —Ocular hazard? —Ocular and safety


modify weather and spread —Psychological effects of hazard?
the beam laser as weapon are
—Ecosystem: beam may possible
incinerate birds and —Adverse esthetic effects
vegetation on appearance of night
— potential i n t e r f e r e n c e
b
sky are possible
with optical astronomy,
some interference with
radio astronomy
——
Mirrors — bTropospheric heating —Ocular hazard? —Ocular hazard?
could modify weather —Psychological effect of
—Ecosystem: effect of 24- 24-hr sunlight
— Adverse esthetic e f f e c t s
b
hr light on growing
cycles of plants and cir- on appearance of night
cadian rhythms of animals sky are possible
— bpotential interference
with optical astronomy
Transportation and
space operation
Launch and recovery —Ground cloud might pollute —Noise (sonic boom) may —bSpace worker’s hazards:
air and water and cause exceed EPA guidelines ionizing radiation
possible weather modi- —Ground cloud might affect (potentially severe)
HLLV fication; acid rain air quality; acid rain weightlessness, life
PLV probably negligible probably negligible support failure, long
b
COTV — Water vapor and other — Accidents-catastrophic stay in space,
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 181

Table 28.—Summary of SPS Environmental Impacts—Continued


—— —
System component Occupational health
characteristics Environmental impact — Public health and safety and safety
POTV launch effluents could explosion near launch construction accidents
deplete ionosphere and site, vehicle crash, toxic psychological stress,
enhance airglow. Result- materials acceleration
ant disruption of com- —Terrestrial worker’s
munications and satellite hazards: noise, trans-
surveillance potentially portation accidents
important, but uncertain
— bpossible formation O f
noctiIucent clouds in
stratosphere and meso-
sphere; effects on climate
are not known
b
— Emission of water vapor
could alter natural
hydrogen cycle; extent and
implications are not well-
known
b
— Effect of COTV argon ions
on magnetosphere and
plasmasphere could be
great but unknown
—Depletion of ozone layer
by effIuents expected to
be minor but uncertain
—Noise
Terrestrial activities
Mining —Land disturbance —Toxic material exposure —Occupational air and
(stripmining, etc.) —Measurable increase of water pollution
—Measurable increase of air and water pollution —Toxic materials exposure
air and water polIution — Land-use disturbance —Noise
—Solid waste generation
—Strain on production
capacity of gallium
arsenide, sapphire, silicon,
graphite fiber, tungsten,
and mercury

Manufacturing —Measurable increase of —Measurable increase of —Toxic materials exposure


air and water pollution air and water pollution —Noise
—Solid wastes —Solid wastes
— Exposure to toxic
materials

Construct ion —Measurable land —Measurable land —Noise
disturbance disturbance —Measurable local
—Measurable local increase —Measurable local increase increase of air and water
of air and water pollution of air and water pollution pollution
——.. —Accidents
Receiving antenna — bLand use and siting— — bLand use— reduced — Waste heat
major impact property value, esthetics,
— Waste heat and surface vulnerability (less land
roughness could modify for solid-state, laser
weather options; more for reference
and mirrors)
High-voltage — bLand use and siting— b
— Exposure to high light intensitity — b Exposure to high
transmission lines major impact EM fields—effects intensity EM fields—
(not unique to SPS) — bEcosystem: bioeffects of uncertain effects uncertain
powerlines uncertain
al mpacts based on sps systems as currently defined and do not account for offshore rece!vers or possible mitigating sYStem rnodificatlons
b
Research priority.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment
182 ● Solar Power Satellites

most concern are: 1) the biological effects of Table 29.—Major SPS Environmental Uncertainties
electromagnetic radiation produced by the Reference and solid-state systems
power transmission and distribution systems; ● Microwave bioeffects -
—Low-level, chronic exposure
2) the atmospheric effects of electromagnetic ● Launch effluent effects
radiation and launch effluents and the re- —Ions in the magnetosphere
sulting impacts on telecommunications and air —Natural hydrogen cycle
—Ionospheric depletion
quality; and 3) the land requirements and siting
—Noctilucent clouds
considerations for ground-based receivers. The ● Microwave heating of the ionosphere
greatest environmental uncertainties are Iisted Effects on telecommunications
● Land use
in table 29.
Laser system
● Laser bioeffects
The first part of the chapter will deal with . Tropospheric heating
the potential environmental impacts resulting ● Launch effluents
from the construction and operation of SPS • Land use
systems. These and other effects will then be Mirror system
● Weather modification
addressed in the second section as they pertain • Land use
to human health and ecosystems. Detailed dis- ● Biological and psychological effects of 24-hr light
cussion of a number of impacts is found in ap- Systems comparisons
pendix D. SOLi~~E Of~c;of Technology Assessment

ENVIRONMENT
One of the consequences of constructing couId deplete portions of the ionosphere, alter
and operating an energy system in space is that the natural hydrogen cycle and magneto-
the extent of the environment that is directly sphere dynamics and modify weather and air
affected by the system is much broader than quality near the launch site. The effects of the
for Earth-based powerplants. For example, power transmission system on the atmospb”
both the transmission of SPS power and the in- are a function of the frequency of the
jection of launch effluents will directly affect For the laser and mirror systems, the mo~
every layer of the atmosphere. The purpose of nificant potential impact is heating of
this section is to discuss the state of knowledge near-Earth atmosphere, which might alter
of the predominant environmental impacts of weather. If the microwave beam were to alt
SPS, especially those that are fairly unconven- the ionosphere, i t c o u I d d i s r u p t t e l e c o m
tional and to outline areas where further re- mu n i cat ions.
search would be needed. Biological effects,
i.e., human health and safety and ecological In order to understand clearly these and the
impacts, are deferred to the second part of the other more conventional environmental im-
chapter. pacts described in this chapter, it is worthwhile
to review the properties and structure of the
The two major environmental concerns at atmosphere as illustrated in figure 30 and dis-
the present time are: 1 ) the effect on the at- cussed in box A.
mosphere of the transportation and power
transmission systems; and 2) electromagnetic
interference with communications systems Power Transmission Effects on
and astronomy. 8 With respect to the former, the Atmosphere and Weather
the effluents emitted from the launch vehicles
Current SPS designs transmit energy to Earth
using microwaves, lasers or reflected light.
8Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, Satellite
Power Systems Concept Development and Evaluation Program, Since the atmospheric effects of power trans-
DOE/NASA report No DO E/E R-0085, November 1980 mission are highly frequency dependent, each
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 183

Figure 30.— Regions of the Atmosphere

Solar radiation excites, disassociates and ionizes atmospheric constit-


uents. The ionosphere in particular is a region of marked abundance of free
electrons and ions. The properties of the ionosphere vary with latitude,
time of day, season and solar activity. When electromagnetic waves enter
the ionospheric plasma, they will be refracted and slowed down. Depend-
ing on the frequency of the incident wave and properties of the ionosphere,
the wave can be totally reflected. It is this phenomena that makes many
radio frequency communication systems possible.

100

10

Regions of the atmosphere

SOURCE: Program Assessment Report, Statement of Satellite Power


Systems Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/NASA
Report, November 1980

of these will be discussed separately. Table 30 mosphere. While attenuation of the micro-
summarizes the impacts of most concern. wave beam by clouds and rain in the tropo-
sphere could cause a slight modification of
Microwaves’ cloud dynamics and precipitation, 9 a b s o r p t i o n

As the beam from a microwave satellite


traveled towards Earth, it would heat the at-

op
784 • Solar Power Satellites

Table 30.—Power Transmission Impacts of microwave energy is most important in the


ionosphere. Of particular concern are the ef-
Microwaves
Upper ionosphere telecommunications effects unknown; fects of ionospheric heating on telecommuni-
experiments and improved theory are needed cation systems that rely on the ionosphere to
Lower ionosphere impacts are thought to be negligible transmit and reflect radio waves. Changes in
for a number of telecommunications systems; scaling
laws must be verified and effects on telecommunication the ionospheric properties due to heating can
systems operating in the 3 MHz to 20 MHz range must be degrade (or in some cases, enhance) the per-
tested formance of telecommunication systems by
The maximum power density for which telecommunica-
tions effects are insignificant is not known and must be absorbing or scattering the radio signals (see
determined fig. 31). Specifically, these effects could result
Tropospheric heating is not thought to be significant in losses, fading, and scintillation of the elec-
Lasers tromagnetic signals. It is also possible that the
● Thermal blooming in the troposphere may degrade the
beam SPS pilot beam itself could be affected by the
● Tropospheric heating may cause increased cloud forma- heated ionospheric layers.
tion, turbulence and weather modification
● Effects on the mesosphere, stratosphere, and ther-
mosphere and continental cloud distribution and albedo In the course of the DOE assessment several
are thought to be inconsequential experiments were conducted to test the extent
Reflected light of heating and the effect on telecommunica-
● Weather modification in vicinity of ground sites is possi- tions in the lower ionosphere. These experi-
ble, but unquantified
. Photochemistry of the ozone layer is not thought to be af- ments demonstrated that while heating does
fected occur the effects are not serious for the tele-
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.

Figure 31 .—Examples of SPS Microwave Transmission Effects on the Ionosphere


and Telecommunication Systems

F-region

ion

SOURCE: Prograrn Assessment Report, Statement of Findngs, Satellite Power Systems Concept Development and Evalua-
tion Program, DOE/NASA Report, DOE/ER-0085, November 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 185

communication systems tested. Some re- tain. In order to test these theories, the ground-
searchers have even suggested that the pro- based heating facilities will have to be up-
posed power density of 23 mW/cm 2 could be graded
doubled without significant impact to tele-
communications in the lower ionosphere. In sum, it appears that effects on telecom-
However, more research is needed in order to munications in the lower ionosphere would
determine the power density threshold in the probably be negligible, but more study of the
lower ionosphere, and for this the power densi- upper ionosphere effects is needed. By making
ty of the existing heating facilities will have to the heating facilities more powerful, the fol-
be increased. Additional study is also required lowing research can be conducted:
to ascertain the effects in the lower ionosphere
on telecommunication systems that operate at ● Lower ionosphere: verify scaling theory;
frequencies greater than 3 MHz (i.e., 3 to 100
and test additional telecommunication
MHz) range. In addition the effects of multiple
systems (e. g., V H F , U H F , s a t e l l i t e - t o -
microwave beams need to be determined.
ground)

Our knowledge of upper ionosphere (F re- ● Upper ionosphere: refine and verify F-
gion) heating is less advanced than in the D & E region scaling laws and ionospheric phys-
regions. Few underdense experiments (i. e., the ics and then test effects on representative
beam travels through the region as opposed to telecommunications systems for SPS
being reflected, which is termed an overdense equivalent heating.
condition) to simulate SPS heating have been
attempted. Recent experiments’ 2 suggest that
ionospheric irregularities can be created when Lasers
the Platteville heater operates in an under-
dense mode and that these irregularities in- The most significant potential environmen-
duce scintillations in very high frequency satel- tal effects associated with the SPS laser system
Iite-to-aircraft and satellite-to-ground trans- appear to be local meteorological changes and
mission links. Further work would be required, beam spreading due to tropospheric heating.
however, to establish whether scintillations
would occur if SPS heated the upper iono- Tropospheric heating would result from
sphere. Presently, t h e t h e o r e t i c a l s c a l i n g
energy absorption by aerosols and molecules
models that would extrapolate these results to
and from the dissipation of receptor waste
SPS conditions in the F-region are very uncer- heat. Attenuation by scattering from mole-
cules and by absorption and scattering from
IOEnvironmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System –
aerosols would be greatest for short wave-
Concept Development and Evaluation Program – Effects of iono- lengths. Thus scattering would be only signifi-
spheric Heating on Telecommunications, DOE/NASA report No cant for visible wavelength lasers, while aero-
DO E/ ER-10003-Tl , August 1980
1‘W E Gordon and L M Duncan, “Reviews of Space S C I-
sol effects become important to infrared lasers
ence — SPS Impacts on the Upper Atmosphere, ” Astronautics and only under hazy or overcast conditions.
A e r o n a u t i c s , VOI 18, No 7,8, July/August 1980, p 46
2
‘ S Basu, A L, J o h n s o n , J A Klobuchar, a n d C M R u s h , “ P r e -
liminary Results of Scintillation Measurements Associated With The absorption of laser energy would lead to
Ionosphere Heating and Possible Implications for the Solar
Power Satellite, ” Ceophysica/ R e s e a r c h L e t t e r s , VOI 7, No 8, a process called “thermal blooming, ” in which
August 1980, pp 609-612 a density gradient acts as a gaseous lens that

83-316 0 - 81 - 13
186 ● Solar Power Satellites

can spread, distort or bend the laser beam. 1 3 ing the water from aerosol droplets. After pass-
The severity of the thermal blooming would be ing through the beam, the cloud fog would
a function of several parameters, including the recondense. Portions of noctilucent clouds in
frequency and intensity of the laser, the wind the mesosphere might also be vaporized. The
velocity, atmospheric density, absorption and possible environmental consequences, such as
altitude. Laser wavelengths that have high at- alteration of the continental cloud distribution
mospheric transmittance would be less likely or albedo, would be slight but research would
to suffer from thermal blooming. Thermal stiII be needed.
blooming could also degrade and spread the
Preliminary analysis indicates that the po-
beam. It is clear that if spreading did occur it
tential impacts in other atmospheric regions
would be less critical for the space-to-Earth
would be negligible. 18 I n t h e s t r a t o s p h e r e ,
SPS beam than for Earth-to-space transmission
ozone would not be affected for wavelengths
(i.e., laser pilot beam) that would be deflected
greater than 1 micron. Possible perturbations
earlier in its path.
of the plasma chemistry by the laser beam in
Tropospheric heating would be likely to in- the mesosphere and thermosphere are be-
duce meteorological alterations. It is unlikely lieved to be small and inconsequential, since
that global climate changes could result since the interactions would be confined to the laser
the absorption of laser energy would be less beam volume; ionospheric heating would also
than the typical natural variations of the at- be negligible. ” However, research would be
mosphere; it would take the deployment of needed in order to validate this conclusion.
200,000 to 400,000 laser systems before the
In the near term, environmental studies
global climate might be affected. ” The poten-
could concentrate on the following areas:
tial local weather effects include changes in
wind patterns, e v a p o r a t i o n o f s e c t i o n s o f Ž Thermal blooming — increase theoretical
ground fogs and clouds and elevated tempera- understanding and refine models; in-
tures. None of these effects are expected to ex- vestigate enhancement of thermal bloom-
ceed those associated with conventional nu- ing by clouds; study transmission and ther-
clear powerplants o f c o m p a r a b l e p o w e r mal blooming as a function of laser fre-
rating. ’5 The most significant potential impact quency, time of year, and receptor al-
would be updrafts above the receptor site, titude and location.
which might induce cloud formations (a prob- ● Induced clouds–study the extent and
lem for the beam) and severe turbulence in the consequences of induced clouding.
lower troposphere. Increased turbulence is not
necessarily an adverse effect; the upward con- Reflected Light
vective air movement would promote vertical
The mirror system would reflect about 0.8
mixing and the dispersal of waste heat. 16 H o w -
k W / m 2 of light to Earth, somewhat less than
ever, the turbulence could present a hazard to
the illumination due to the Sun. 2 0 The primary
aircraft that flew in the affected region. For
atmospheric effect of this additional light
this and other reasons, it has been suggested
would be tropospheric heating. Coupled with
that aircraft be restricted from flying through
the sensible heat release at the energy con-
transmission areas. 7
version site, the weather might be measurably
The laser beam would be capable of boring modified as convection, cloud formation, and
holes through thin clouds and fog by evaporat- —— .—
‘ “ t Li Wa Ibrlclge, La$er %te//lte f>ower ~y$tem~, A r g o n n e N a -
13R E Beverly, Sate//ite Power Systems (SPS) Laser Studies, t Iona I I aboi-atory, AN L E S-92, January 1980
Technical Report–Laser Environmental Impact Study, VOI 1, ‘“llt’k erly, op clt
R o c k w e l l I n t e r n a t i o n a l r e p o r t N o SSD 80-0119-1 “K W ’ BI I I m a n , W P G Ilbreatll, and S W Bowen, “ Solar
“Ibid I nergy 1 c onornlcs Orbltlng Reflector~ t o r World Energy, ” In
‘Slbld I+o;t h’1~ ,]nd $tI// Beautlfu/ A4acro-Fngineerlng Revisited, F P
“[bid D a v i d s o n , et al (eds ) ( B o u l d e r , Colo A m e r i c a n A$soclatlon for
“Ibid. I he A(ivancement o f S c i e n c e , We>tvlew Pre\$, 1980), P P 2~3-3 J9
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 187

rainfall above the site are increased. While no potential photochemistry effects if dichroic
assessment has been made of the magnitude or mirrors were used in space. 25
consequences of this potential impact, the
More detailed study is required before rea-
weather effects of other “heat islands” of the
sonable comparisons can be made between
same scale, such as New York City that re-
the mirror system and the other SPS technical
leases about 0.6 kW/m 2 of heat, can be used
options. Research priorities include:
for comparison. ” Weather impacts on a global
scale are not anticipated since the mirror ● weather modeling and large-scale com-
system would add less than 0.015 percent to putations applicable to large mirror sys-
the normal solar heat input. 22 Large-scale com- tem size,
putations on weather models applicable to the ● the effects of dichroic mirrors on the sys-
mirror system size are needed to quantify the tem’s environmental impacts, and
effects for different locations. Additionally, ● possible ground-based experiments to
the heating effects of the orbiting refiector simulate mirror system heating.
system could be simulated on the ground,
using solar heated ponds or other means Space Vehicle Effects*
without the need for a demonstration satellite
and hence at a relatively low cost and at an There are two major environmental effects
early time. 23 associated with the space transportation seg-
ment of SPS: the injection of rocket exhaust
Once the potential weather impacts are products into the atmosphere (see fig. 32) and
more clearly understood, the system design
noise generated at the launch site (see Health
and economics could be reevaluated to ac-
and Ecology). The severity of these impacts
commodate possible environmental concerns.
would depend on the size and frequency of
For example, one might redesign the system to
launches, as well as the composition of rocket
reflect less Iight to Earth or use heat dispersion
fuels and fIight trajectory.
devices on the ground and in space to reject
the heat into areas that would have the mini- Assessment of the potential SPS effects on
mal impact. Dichroic mirrors in space for ex- the atmosphere is hampered by the unprece-
ample, could selectively reflect to Earth only dented scale of SPS transportation require-
those wavelength bands that would be con- ments as well as an incomplete understanding
verted with highest efficiency at the receiving of the atmosphere. The reference design, for
site. It may also be found that the weather example, requires that a heavy lift launch vehi-
modification induced by the mirror system cle (HLLV), five times larger than the Saturn V,
heat is actually beneficial to the receiving re- be flown one to two times per day for 30
gion by preventing cloud impingement over years.”) The other reference system space vehi-
site. cles and launch schedules are shown in tables
31 and 32.
In addition to tropospheric heating, other
possible environmental impacts have been The effects of SPS exhaust products on the
suggested. The mirror system beam might per- atmosphere are also uncertain because much
turb the photochemistry of the atmosphere, of our theory and experience with the effects
particularly the ozone layer. However, pre- of launch effluents stem from the space shut-
liminary analysis indicates that the effect tle, which uses solid-fuel boosters. Since the
would be negligible. 24 Further study is needed SPS HLLV would be fueled with liquid propel-
to confirm this finding and to investigate the lants, the composition and distribution of the

‘1 Kenneth f31 I I man, E PR 1, Private ( ommun I( atlon


“K BII I m a n , W P G Ilbreath, S W Howen, “ S o l a r t ner,gy Re- - ‘ 1+1 I In)(i n, private ( ommu n 1( at Ion
vlslted W Ith Orbit Ing Ref Iector$, N A 5A, A me\ J(’t’ ,1 1)1) [ ) tor (l(~ta I Is
‘‘f311 I man, private commun Icatlon ‘ / II L ~r(]nm(~n(,]/ ! >~c~~ment for the $ate//Itc P o w e r ‘iy~tem
“BII I man, G Ilbreath, and Bowen, S o l a r E n e r g y F conom I( ~, ‘ ( ( )n( f>p( 1 )fII f]/oprrrcnt ,] nc] F ~ .I /[Ia (Ion Prcj#r,]m, [JOE E R-()()()!),
Op (-It A[lgu\t 1‘)80
188 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 32.—Summary of SPS Atmospheric Effects reference system launch effluents would differ
from that of the shuttle.

The major space vehicle impacts of the ref-


Alteration of erence system are identified in table 33. Pres-
satellite environment
ently, the greatest uncertainties are associated
Alteration of plasmaspheric with four potential effects 27 (treated in more
and magnetospheric
LEO to GEO populations and dynamics detail in app. D):
Orbit transfer
people carrier> chemicals I n the magnetosphere, the emission of

cargo carrier > ions
ions from COTVS and POTVS would sub-
stantially increase the ambient concen-
Ionospheric depletion trations of these particles. Because of our
poor understanding of the complex dy-
namics and composition of this region,
potential impacts can be identified, but
the likelihood and severity of these ef-
fects are highly uncertain. Possible effects
include enhancement of Van AlIen belt ra-
diation and changes in magnetospheric
and plasm aspheric dynamics that could
perturb ionospheric electricity, tropo-
o spheric weather, and satellite c o m m u n i -
cat ions.
SOURCE: Environmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System Concept
Development and Evaluation Program, DOEI/R-0069, August 1980. — — —
‘Pro~r,]m As~e\\ment Report, $tatement o F~ndin,q\, op clt

Table 31 .—SPS Space Transportation Vehicles

Launches b Operating Main exhaust


Name Function Propellants per year altitude (km) products c
Heavy-lift Transport CH4/O2 (stage 1) 375 0-57 C 02 , H2 0
launch vehicle material H 2/02 (stage 2) 375 57-120 H 2 0, H2
(HLLV) between Earth H2 /O 2 (circular- 375 450-500 H 2 0, H2
and LEO ization/deorbit)
Personnel Transport Details not 30 0-500 C 2 , H2 0, H2
launch vehicle personnel available
(PLV) between Earth (probably same
and LEO as HLLV)
Cargo orbit- Transport Argon 30 500-35,800 Ar+ plasma
transfer vehicle materials H 2 / 02 H 2O, H2
(COTV) between LEO
and GEO
Personnel orbit- Transport H 2 / 02 12 500-35,800 H 2O, H2
transfer vehicle personnel
(POTV) between LEO
and GEO
.
%HJOZ: liquid methanelliquid oxygen HJOZ: liquid hydrogenlliquid oxygen.
bAssuming construction of two (silicon option) 5-Gw satelliteslyear.
CCOZ: carbon dioxide HzO: water H,: hydrogen Ar + : argon ion.
SOURCE: Environmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/ER-0069, August 1980,
Ch. 8—Environment and Health Ž 189

Table 32.—Exhaust Products of SPS Space Transportation Vehicles a

Altitude Total
Atmospheric range mass Mass of specific emission products (t)
region (km) Source b
(t) c C0 2 co H 2O H2 Ar +
Troposphere 0-0.5 HLLV, PLV 650- 260 117 260 13 —
0.5-13 HLLV, PLV 2850 1140 513 1140 57 —
Stratosphere 13-50 HLLV, PLV 3027 1210 546 1210 61 —
Mesosphere 50-80 HLLV, PLV 758 199 90 450 19 —
Thermosphere 80-125 HLLV, PLV 2031 — — 1960 71 —
LEO d HLLV, PLV 33 — . 443 1 —
LEO POTV 460 — — 443 11 —
Exosphere GEO d POTV 153 — — 147 6 —
477-GE0 COTV e 985 — — 0 0 985 f
aMass emissions per flight.
bpLV emissions would be ~hemi~all~ similar t. those of the l+LLV, but are not Otherwise determined at ttlls time. The numbers shown are emissions Of the HLLV OIIiy
ct = metric ton = 1000 ‘g.
dLow earth orbit (LEO) is at 477 km; geosynchronous earth orbit (GEO) is at 35,800 km
eln addition t. mass emissions, the argon plasma en~lnes of the COTV would inject a significant amount of energy into this altitude range. Also ar90tl pla.sllla el19illeS
would be used for satellite attitude control and stationkeeping control at GEO; these em Isslons are unknown at present and have not been included.
fAr+ mass for the silicon Photovoltalc cell option For the gallium aluminum arsenide Opt!on, the Ar+ mass Would be 212 t.

SOURCE: Environmental Assessment for theSatell)te Power System Concept Development and Evaluation Program,
DOEIER-0069, August 1980.

Table 33.—Space Vehicle Impacts ● The injection of water vapor in the upper
atmosphere would significantly increase
Troposphere
● Ground cloud nuclei and heat could have a measurable the water content relative to natural lev-
effect on weather els. One possible consequence is an in-
● N O emissions are small compared to typical powerplant,
X
crease in the upward flux of hydrogen
but in conjunction with ambient concentration could ex-
ceed projected EPA standards atoms through the thermosphere. If an
Stratosphere and Mesosphere accumulation of hydrogen results, the
● Emission of water vapor may cause noctilucent clouds
a

dynamics of the thermosphere and ex-


in the mesosphere; climatic effects would probably be
osphere could be affected. Satellite drag
small, but uncertain
a
. Water and N O are not expected to significantly alter
X
could also be increased. Models of the
ozone, but uncertainties remain natural hydrogen cycle are needed to
Ionosphere quantify and simulate the effects of SPS
a
● Formation of large ionospheric hole in F-region from
on global scale.
water and other effluents should not adversely affect HF
telecommunication signals over distances significantly ● The injection of rocket exhaust, particu-
larger than the ionospheric depletion, impacts on other
larly water vapor, into the ionosphere
telecommunications systems are not known; more
studies are needed; long-term depletion around launch could lead to the depletion of large areas
trajectory possible of the ionosphere. These “ionospheric
a
● D&E region effects are poorly understood; impacts on
holes” could degrade telecommunication
telecommunications from depletion of the ionosphere
are possible systems. While the uncertainties are
● Possibility of enhanced airglow and Perturbation of Van greatest for the lower ionosphere, ex-
Allen belts, but likelihood is-unknown’
periments are needed to test more ade-
Thermosphere and Exosphere

a
in water content might alter the natural
Large increase
quately telecommunications impacts and
hydrogen cycle and affect the dynamics of the region to improve the theoretical understanding
Plasmasphere and Magnetosphere of chemical-eIectricaI interact ions
● Argon ions and hydrogen atoms might enhance Van
a

throughout the ionosphere.


Allen belt radiation, generate ionospheric electric cur-
rents that would interfere with public utilities, modify ● Another consequence of increasing the
auroral response to solar activity and affect weather and concentration of water in the upper at-
satellite communications, but probability and severity are
mosphere might be the formation of noc-
unknown
● The effects of the satellite structures are thought to be tilucent clouds in the mesosphere. While
negligible or easily remedied global climatic effects of these clouds are
a
Research priorities. thought unlikely, uncertainties remain,
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment especially with respect to the persistence
790 ● Solar Power Satellites

of the clouds as a function of tempera- cles. 29 While the economics and technical
ture. feasibility of this concept have been eval-
uated, the possible environmental impacts
The transportation system for other SPS op-
have not been studied and require consid-
tions could be substantially different from that
eration
for the reference system. For example, the mir-
ror system and the bulk of the laser system
satellites operate in low-Earth orbit (LEO). The Electromagnetic Interference
magnetospheric effects associated with trans-
Each SPS transmission option, whether
porting materials to geostationary orbit (CEO)
microwave, laser, or mirror, has the potential
would therefore not be a problem for these for affecting other users of the electro-
systems. Environmental impacts are also deter- magnetic spectrum. In general, where such ef-
mined by the frequency of launches, which fects occur they will be detrimental to one user
depends on the size of the vehicle, and the or another, since most systems now depend on
total mass in orbit. For the same size launch the relative purity of the wavelength band they
vehicle and total system power, it appears that
use.
the mirror system, which is the least massive
per kilowatt of the four alternatives, would re- Sharing the same air or ground space is pos-
quire the least number of flights, whereas the sible by operating at different frequencies and
laser system would require the most. at specified power levels. This is most obvious
for radio frequencies, where the frequency
Other transportation scenarios have been band width and power levels at which systems
proposed (see ch. 5). With respect to the
can operate are assigned by national agencies
reference system, some of the environmental working in accord with national and interna-
effects could be mitigated by changing the tional standards. Where potential for inter-
flight trajectory of the HLLV, the rocket fuel of
ference occurs in the radio frequency spec-
the COTV or other transportation characteris-
trum, the power level and antenna character-
tics that present a problem. Laser propulsion, istics of such interference are strictly regulated
for example, has been suggested as an option.
in order to keep it below the available technol-
The tradeoffs associated with these design
ogy’s ability to filter out undesirable effects.
changes would need to be studied as the SPS The principle is to assure that electronic sys-
concept evolved. tems are compatible with one another, i.e.,
As an alternative to the HLLV, it has been that interference from one system does not
argued that economies of scale result from degrade the overall performance of a second.
increasing t h e n u m b e r a n d f r e q u e n c y o f Because of the large amounts of power that
launches of a vehicle much smaller than the
the microwave, laser, or mirror SPS systems
proposed HLLV. 28 However, it is not clear how transmit through the atmosphere, and the ex-
the effects of more launches of a smaller tensive area covered by a full satellite de-
rocket compare to the impacts of fewer flights ployment, potential interference effects would
of a larger one. be much greater than any other system which
A very different approach in the construc- now use the electromagnetic spectrum. They
tion of SPS wouId be the utilization of nonter- would also be commensurately more difficult
restrial materials. This could significantly to ameliorate. Affected parties would include
reduce the amount of terrestrial materials that users of space and terrestrial communications
need to be transported to space, and hence and sensor systems, radar systems, various ter-
reduce the environmental impacts associated restrial control devices, computers, radar and
with the frequent launch of transport vehi- radio telescopes, o p t i c a l t e l e s c o p e s , a n d

‘“D L Aklns, “Optlmlzation o f Space Manufacturing Sy$- .


terns, ” In Space Manufacturing From Non- Terre\ trla/ Materla/\, J ‘‘J (irev, $ate//lte P o w e r $y~tem rechrrlca/ Optlons a n d Eco-
Grey and C Krop (eds ) (New York A l A A , N o v e m b e r 1 9 7 9 ) non)l{ \ c o n t r a c t o r report p r e p a r e d f o r O T A , N o v 1 4 , 1 9 7 9
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 191

microprocessors. SPS systems using micro- compatibility with other spectrum users.
waves for power transmission would generate Receivers also generally include sufficient fil-
the greatest potential interference because tering to prevent degradation by the residual
communications systems and passive receivers undesired signals. However, the magnitude of
of alI sorts share this portion of the spectrum, the power level at the central frequency and in
as well as other electronic equipment (e. g., harmonic frequencies for a microwave SPS
computers, control devices, sensors) that are would be so great that the possibility of de-
susceptible to microwave energy. The refer- grading the performance of CEO and LEO sat-
ence system is designed to transmit at 2.45 ellite receivers is significant. Examples of seri-
GHz, the center of the Industrial, Scientific, ous interference include the 2.50 to 2.69 GHz
and Medical band (ISM). direct broadcast satellite band, the 7.3 to 7.45
GHz space-Earth government frequency slot,’”
This analysis focuses on the affected users
and the S-band National Aeronautics and
on an area-by-area basis. It is based on the
Space Administration (NASA) space communi-
presumed characteristics of the three transmis-
cations channel.
sion options of table 34. However, it should be
emphasized, that the precise characteristics of I n addition to the direct effects from micro-
the transmission beams are as uncertain as wave power transmissions, geostationary com-
other details of the proposed alternative sys- munications satellites may experience “multi-
tems. Not only are the characteristics of the path interference” from geostationary power
systems and their components poorly known, satelIites due to the latter’s sheer size. I n some
the theory is inadequate to extend known data cases, microwave signals traveling in a straight
to other frequencies, angles, or distances. Iine between two communications satellites
Nevertheless, it is possible in most cases to in- wouId experience interference from the same
dicate broadly the sources of potential in- signal reflected from the surface of the power
terference and their effects on other users of satelIite lying between them. Communications
the spectrum. satelIite uplink channels would be degraded by
multi path interference from the SPS vehicle
during orbit periods when the SPS is at a lower
Potential Affected Users of
aItitude than the adjacent communications
the Electromagnetic Spectrum
satelIites.
SPACE COMMUNICATIONS These adverse effects would necessitate a
All artificial Earth satellites use some por- limit on the spacing that a geostationary satel-
tion of the electromagnetic spectrum, either lite must have from a power satellite in order
for communication, remote-sensing or tele- to operate effectively. The minimum necessary
metering data. All would be affected in some spacing would depend directly on the physical
way by the SPS. design of the satellite, the wavelength at which
● Geostationary satellites. These would be it operates, the type of transmission device
most strongly affected by the microwave sys- used (i.e., klystron, magnetron, solid-state
tems. They would experience microwave inter- device), and the satellite antenna sidelobe
ference from the fundamental SPS frequency magnitudes, transmitted power, orbit perturba-
(e.g., 2.45 GHz for the reference design) and tions, and intermodulation product frequency
noise side bands, spurious emissions in nearby distribution and amplitudes.
bands, harmonics of the fundamental SPS fre- Because a microwave SPS as currently con-
quency, and from so-called intermodulation figured must share the geostationary orbit with
products. All radio frequency transmitters gen- other satellites, the value of the minimum
erate harmonics and minor spurious compo-
nents in addition to the desired signals. The “’John R Juroshek, “ T h e SPS I n t e r f e r e n c e Problem – Elec-
tronic S} ~tem Effects and Mltlgatlon Techniques, ” The Final f’ro-
unintentional outputs are fiItered to satisfy na- ceedlng~ ot the 5olar P o w e r Satellite P r o g r a m R e v i e w , C o n f
tional and international regulations about 800491 f[lOE), pp 411-438
192 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 34.—Summary of Electromagnetic Effects

System Spectral region Affected systems Mechanism/effect


Microwave
Microwave
● Power radiation at central Terrestrial Scatter in atmosphere, from
frequency (2.45 GHz or some rectenna
other choice)
LEO satellites Pass through SPS beams
Radio astonomy receivers Scatter from rectennas,
atmosphere
Deep space communications Direct interference
● Harmonics of central frequency GEO satellites Direct interference
Radio astonomy receivers Direct interference
● Spurious noise near central GEO satellites Direct interference
Radio astronomy receivers Scatter from rectennas
● M u I i path interference GEO satellites Two-beam interference
Infrared
● Thermal radiation from Radio astronomy receivers Direct interference (raised
all satellite components background). Satellite
appears as spurious source
Infrared astronomy receivers Satellite appears as
spurious source
All wavelengths
(reflected sunlight)
● Diffuse reflections
● Specular reflections Optical telescopes Sky background increased.
Ž Glints Portions of sky obscured.
Laser
Microwave
● No discernible effect None
Infrared
● Central beam radiation Infrared receivers near
terrestrial receiver
. Thermal radiation from all Radio astonomy receivers Direct interference (raised
components background). Satellite
appears as spurious source
All wavelengths
(reflected sun/ight)
● Diffuse reflections Optical telescopes
● Glints Probably no effect
Mirrors
Microwave
● No discernible effect None
Infrared
● Thermal radiation from all Radio astronomy receivers Direct interference (raised
components background). Satellite
as spurious source
All wavelengths
(reflected radiation)
● Specular reflection to Optical telescopes near General sky brightening
terrestrial station terrestrial station
● Diffuse reflection Optical astronomy Sky background obscured
around satellite
● Glints from structural Effect probably small
components
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment

necessary spacing has emerged as one of the rameters that are needed in order to calculate
most critical issues facing a geostationary SPS. the minimum required spacing. In addition,
However, in the absence of a specific design, it even if the design parameters were known ac-
is impossible to characterize the exact form curately, the theory of phased arrays is insuffi-
and nature of the potential interference pa- ciently developed at present to predict the
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 193

minimum spacing with any accuracy. Es- owing in the path from orbit to terrestrial
timates range from ½ 0 to 10 . 31 The lower Iimit station by the large SPS vehicles, and
would probably be acceptable. However, a receiver interference thresholds that could
minimum spacing much greater than 10 would, be exceeded by the unintentional emissions
result in too few available geostationary slots from the SPS platforms. They use a range of
to allow both types of users to share the orbit optical and microwave sensors, particle
over the continental United States. detectors, computers, and communication
devices. Although the optical sensors are not
In 1980, some 80 civilian satellites shared
damaged by a microwave beam, increased
the geostationary orbit worldwide, and by 1990
device noise can result in microwave inter-
that number is expected to increase substan-
ference in related parts of the satellite. ” A
tially. Even though improvements in technol-
number of shielding and filtering techniques
ogy will lead to a reduction in the total number
are available to ameliorate potential inter-
of satellites necessary to carry the same
ference. These would need to be tested for
volume of telecommunications services, total
specific satellite and deployment scenarios.
service demand is expected to rise dramati-
Such satellites could protect their uplink
cally. At present the minimum spacing for
communications receivers from adverse in-
domestic geostationary satellites is 40 in the
terference by shutting down for that short
6/4 GHz communication band and 30 in the
period (a few seconds) during SPS power
14/12 GHz band. At these spacings, a total of
beam traversal, or it might be feasible for
90 6/4 GHz band satellites and 120 14/12 GHz
the SPS to shut down for the satellite
band satellites could theoretically coexist at
passage. ” For short-term SPS shutdown,
geostationary altitudes, in the absence of SPS.
high-capacity battery storage would have to
Additional satellites could use other frequency
be Included in the ground segment (see ch. 9,
bands without interfering with the above satel-
sec B). This shutdown presents a severe con-
lites, though this would ultimately be limited
trol problem (reduce power, start up again),
by the station-keeping capability of the vari-
as well as serious network load transfer com-
ous satelIites. Multiple use platforms represent
plexities. It may also be possible for some
one possible option to reduce contention over
satellites to fly orbits that would not in-
orbital spaces.
tersect the SPS beam. For example, satellites
The laser and mirror systems in LEO would traveling in an equatorial orbit at altitudes
not interfere substantially with geostationary lower than 1,000 km would not intersect SPS
satellites. Even in the unlikely event that such beams directed to rectennas at 350 latitude
a satellite were to pass precisely between a or greater. Computer and processing/control
geostationary satellite and its ground station, circuit functions can be protected by im-
the time of passage as well as the apparent size proved module shielding and intercon-
of the occluding power satellite would be so nection noise filtering.
small as to cause only a slight diminution of
The laser and mirror systems might interfere
the signal.
with nongeostationary satellites by causing
● Other satellites. In addition to geostationary reflected sunlight to blind their optical sensors
satellites that would operate at the same or by occluding communications beams. Of
altitude as the GEO SPS, there are numerous the two systems, the mirror system would be
remote sensing, communications, and nav-
igation satellites in various LEOs that may
“W H Grant, E 1 M o r r i s o n , J r , and K C Davis, “ T h e EMC
pass through an SPS microwave beam. Pro- Impa[ t of SPS O p e r a t i o n s The
o n I.ow E a r t h O r b i t S a t e l l i t e s , ”
posed high-Earth orbit (HEO) satellites I inal Pro( eeding~ of the Solar Power Satellite Program Review,
Conf -80(M91 (DOF ), pp 411-434
would also be affected because of shad-
‘‘P K ( h a p m a n , “ E ncounter$ B e t w e e n SPS P o w e r Beams and
Satel Iitei In 1 ower Orbits, ” [he F\na/ Proceedings of the Solar
‘1 E Morrison, et al , SPS Effect$ on L[ ~) a n d GE() Sate//ite$, Power \,]te//lte P r o g r a m R e v i e w , C o n f - & 1 0 0 4 9 1 ( D C ) E ) , p p
N T I A p u b l i c a t i o n (In pres$) 4284 W
794 ● Solar Power Satellites

most problematic because of the large size of mit far better rejection of unwanted signals
the mirrors and their orbital speed. To date, no than is now necessary. This appears to be tech-
one has calcuIated the possible adverse effects nically feasible; primary concerns would be
due to this cause. modifications to the shielding of sensitive cir-
cuitry. The initial estimate of the cost of modi-
● Deep space communications. Because deep
fying terrestrial electronic equipment is in the
space probes generally travel in the plane of
range of 0.1 to 5 percent of the unit cost (ap-
the solar system (known as the ecliptic), they
proximately $130 million for the 1980 estimate
would be especially affected by a geosta-
of the inventory of susceptible equipment).
tionary microwave SPS. As seen from the
Earth, the ecliptic crosses the Equator in two The EMC evaluation program determined
places. A microwave SPS would effectively that most terrestrial electronic equipment
prevent ground communication with the would be unacceptably degraded by SPS inter-
probe when the latter happens to lie near the ference for power levels possible within a 50-
part of the ecliptic that crosses the Equator. to 75-km distance of a rectenna site. The most
This interference is especially serious for sensitive equipment, such as high capacity
deep space vehicles because it is essential to satellite terminals and radio astronomy re-
be able to communicate with them at any ceivers would be adversely affected at dis-
time for the purposes of orbit control and tances of 100 to 200 km.
for timely retrieval of stored data. The
Mitigation techniques have been evaluated
susceptibility problem is more serious than
for radars, computers and processors, sensors,
normal satellite communications links be-
and muItichannel terrestrial microwave com-
cause of receiver sensitivities and the low
munications. With the exception of the most
signal-noise ratios i m p o s e d b y t h e l o n g
sensitive receivers, modifying shielding and
distances from Earth station to probe.
grounding procedures and using rejection
It would be possible to avoid such inter- filters in radar and communications receivers
ference by establishing a communications would allow most systems to operate with the
base for deep space probes in orbit. As we SPS interference levels expected at the recten-
penetrate deeper into space, this may be ad- na site boundary. Special mitigation tech-
visable for other reasons. Such a communica- niques for more sensitive systems involving in-
tions station would effectively add to the cost terference cancellation methods have been
of the SPS. considered, but they must be tested to deter-
mine the range of protection possible.
TERRESTRIAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS
AND ELECTRONICS EFFECT ON TERRESTRIAL ASTRONOMY
Both civilian and military terrestrial tele- AND AERONOMY
communications and electronic equipment None of the proposed SPS systems could
wouId suffer from a number of possible effects benefit astronomical research except insofar
of a microwave beam. Direct interference can as they would indirectly provide a trans-
occur from the central frequency and har- portation system f o r p l a c i n g l a r g e a s t r o -
monic emissions. In addition, scattered and nomical facilities in space. Their detrimental
reflected radiation from the rectenna and effects would vary depending on the system
structure intermoduIation products could chosen. The impacts of a microwave system
cause additional interference problems for ter- would likely be severe for both optical and
restrial receivers. At the very least, rectennas
would have to be located far enough from crit- ‘1 Morrl\on, “SPS S u s c e p t i b l e Systems C o s t F a c t o r s – lnvest-
ical sites such as airports, nuclear powerplants, 111 ent 5 u (m m a ry and M It I gat Ion Cost I nc rernent E st I ma tes, ” I n
l)res~
and miIitary bases to render potential inter-
‘P A t kstron and C M Stokes, “Work$hop o n S a t e l l i t e
ference as small as possible. In addition, most I)ower ~y~tem~ (SPS) Effects on Optical and Radio Astronomy, ”
equipment would have to be modified to per- ( ont 7 ’ ) 0 5 1 4 1 (DOE)
Ch. 8—Environment and Health • 195

radio astronomy. An infrared laser system 3 6 sky would be permanently blocked from
would have fewer detrimental effects on both view. The relay satellites located in CEO
forms of astronomy than the reference system. would not be Iikely to interfere with optical
The mirror system would have its most serious observations. However, large moving sat-
effect on optical astronomy. ellites would present optical astronomy with
another observational obstacle. Scattered
● Optical astronorny. For the reference sys-
light from them would vary in intensity as
tem, diffuse reflections from the satellite
the satellite passes near a celestial object of
structures would cause the greatest degra-
interest, making calibration of the nearby
dation for terrestrial telescopes. Because
background radiation very difficult if not
they appear to remain stationary along the
impossible. Photographic exposures of faint
celestial Equator, reflected Iight from a sys-
celestial objects may last from 1 to 3 hours
tem of 15 to 60 satellites would meld to-
and individual photographs cannot be
gether to block observation of faint objects
added effectively. The laser satellite would
over a large portion of the sky near the
interfere with infrared astronomy studies in-
Equator for telescopes located between the
volving wavelengths adjacent to the trans-
longitude limits of the satellites. Some
mission wavelength of the beam.
major foreign, as well as most domestic ob-
The mirror system, which would involve a
servatories would be affected. Observations
number of large, highly reflective moving
of bright objects would be possible, but de-
mirrors in LEO, wouId have very serious
graded in quality. In addition, reflected light
effects on optical astronomy. While the pre-
from the LEO construction base could be ex-
cise effect has not been calculated, it would
pected to interfere with observations of
render a large area around the ground sta-
faint sources in its vicinity. Telescopes in
tions totally unacceptable for telescopic
orbit, such as the U.S. Space Telescope, to
viewing. Because of diffuse reflections from
be launched in 1984, will travel in nonequa-
the atmospheric dust and aerosols above the
torial orbits and therefore would not be
ground station, the individual mirrors would
affected significantly by a reference system
create moving patches of diffuse light that
SPS. The danger of pointing directly at a
would preclude studies of faint objects that
geostationary satellite will increase the com-
lie in the direction of the satellite paths.
plexity of the telescope-pointing mech-
Radio astronomy. Radio astronomy would
anism. Astronomical photometry and spec-
suffer two major adverse affects from micro-
trometry instrumentation, and high res-
wave systems: 1) electromagnetic interfer-
olution telescope tracking systems would be
ence from the main PS beam, from harmon-
degraded if located within 50 to 60 km of a
ics, from scattered or reflected SPS signals,
rectenna site. The EMC evaluation program
and from reradiated energy from rectennas;
indicated the necessity of improving sensor
and 2) increasing the effective temperature
and sensitive circuit shielding, and main-
of sky noise background, which has the ef-
taining a minimum separation distance of 50
fect of lowering the signal-to-noise ratio of
to 60 km between rectenna sites and tele-
the radio receivers. Studies of faint radio ob-
scopes using sensitive electronics to remove
jects near the Equator would be rendered
SPS induced degradation.
impossible. In addition, rectennas would
The effect of diffuse reflections from a
have to be located more than 200 km from
laser SPS in LEO could be expected to cause
radio observatories and in terrain that would
fewer problems for observations of diffuse
shield the observatories from reradiated
objects near the Equator because the laser
microwave energy. Also of concern to radio
collection and transmission satellite would
astronomers is the possibility that expected
be constantly in motion. Thus, no part of the
failures of the klystron or other microwave
emitting devices would resuIt in spurious
‘“C Baln, Potential of Law for 5P$ P o w e r rran$ml$~lon, SPS noise signals that would further disrupt
CDEP, October 1978 radio astronomy reception.
196 ● Solar Power Satellites

Neither the laser nor the mirror systems Terrestrial Activities


would contribute to the first effect. However,
they would raise the effective temperature of The terrestrial environment would be af-
the sky background. Low-level measurements fected by SPS in a number of ways. The con-
such as scientists now routinely conduct, for struction and operation of receivers could
example, to measure the amount of back- alter local weather, land use, and air and water
ground radiation from the primordial explo- quality. The mining, manufacturing, and trans-
sion of the universe would thus be extremely portation associated with SPS could also
difficult if not impossible from terrestrial sta- adversely affect the environment. 37
tions. Many other types of sensitive radio
astronomy observations would be seriously Land Use and Receiver Siting
degraded. Land use and receiver siting are important
The susceptibility of radio astronomy re- issues for SPS, especially from a political
ceivers results from their high sensitivity, and perspective (see ch. 9, Issues Arising in the
the wide range of observing frequencies in the Public Arena).* This is due in part to the
microwave spectral region. Mitigation tech- microwave and mirror system land require-
niques effective for other electronic equip- ments for large contiguous areas for receiving
ment are only marginally useful because of the stations and transmission lines. In siting
sensitivity factor and associated dynamic receivers, tradeoffs wouId have to be made be-
range. A preliminary review of interference tween a number of parameters such as the to-
canceling techniques indicates that this pography and meteorology of the candidate
method has a high probabiIity of providing re- locations, local population density, land and
jection of SPS signals to a level that would transmission line costs, electromagnetic in-
allow rectenna sites to be located within a 100- terference, and electricity demand, as well as
to 150-km range from radio astronomy fa- environmental impacts. The construction and
cilities. Detailed design and testing at a radio operation of SPS receivers wouId have measur-
astronomy receiver is necessary because of the able effects on the ecology, soil, air and water
unique aspects of integrating a canceler func- quality, and weather of the receiver area. 3 8
tion into such complicated and sensitive Since many of these impacts are site-specific,
receivers. an extensive program wouId have to be carried
out in order to locate and assess each pro-
Space basing of radio telescopes, especially posed site.
on the far side of the Moon, would eliminate
the impact of SPS and other terrestrial sources The severity and extent of the environmen-
o f e l e c t r o m a g n e t i c interference. However, tal impacts of SPS ground receivers and trans-
such proposals, though attractive from the mission lines would also depend on which SPS
standpoint of potential interference, are un- system is deployed. For example, as shown in
likely to be attractive to astronomers for many table 7, the baseline mirror system (1) would
decades because of their high cost and relative deliver power to a few, extremely large sites,
inaccessibility. whereas the laser system might be designed to

● Optical aeronomy. Much of our knowledge


of the upper atmosphere is gained by night- “5ate//lte Power S y s t e m , C o n c e p t t3evelopment and Eva/ua-
time observations of faint, diffuse light. tlon P r o g r a m , r e f e r e n c e s y s t e m r e p o r t , D O E / E R - 0 0 2 3 , O c t o b e r
Some of the observations that are made to- 1978
‘The majority of remarks made In this section pertain to land-
day must be carried out in the dark of the based receiver sites a s specif]ed b y t h e t e c h n i c a l s y s t e m s ad-
Moon. The presence of satellites whose in- ciressed In this report It IS Important to note, however t h a t off-
tegrated brightness is equal to a quarter ~hore r e c e p t o r sltlng t h a t m a y alleviate s o m e of the problems
,) ~soc Iated with land-based s Ites IS a I so possible
Moon would effectively end some studies of ‘“ fnbjronmental Assessment for the Satelllte Power System
the faint airglow and aurora. Other observa- ( oncepf lleve/opment and Eva/uatJon Program, DOE’E R-0069,
tions would be severely limited in scope. Augu~t 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 197

generate the same amount of power at a great Figure 34.—Microwave Power Density at Rectenna
number of sites, each of which is two to three as a Function of Distance From Boresight
orders of magnitude smaller than the mirror
sites. Smaller mirror system (1 1) sites are also
2.45 GHz
possible. 50
23 mW/cm2
For safety purposes, buffer zones would be
established around each site. For the laser
design, the infrared power density at the edge 10
of this zone would be 10 mW/cm 2 (see fig. 33).
As shown in figure 34, the microwave power 5
density at the edge of the reference system ex-
clusion boundary would be 0.1 mW/cm 2. If mi-
crowave standards become considerably more
stringent, SPS land requirements could in-
1.0
crease. For example, if the power density at
the edge could not exceed 0.01 mW/cm 2 (the
Soviet standard), then each site would require
almost 1,700 km 2 of land. 39
In addition to land for receivers, about 20 to
8 5 0 k m2 would be needed for launch facil-
ities. 40 This could be made available through
expansion of the Kennedy Space Flight Center

“J B B l a c k b u r n , Power Mapping of
for DOE/NASA Report HCP/
R-4024-10, October 1978

.01

Figure 33.— Receptor Site Protection Radius as a


Function of the Perimeter Laser Power-Density Level .005

10

.001
o 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

Ground radius, m

SOURCE Satellite Power System, Concept Development and Evaluation Pro-


gram, reference system report, DOE/ER-0023, October 1978.

in Florida, although environmental considera-


tions might preclude this option. Transmission
line, mining, and transportation land uses are
not considered in table 35. More analysis is
10’ needed to determine these impacts and to ex-
1 0 - 3 10–
2

10- ‘ 10” 10’ plore tradeoffs between centralized and dis-


Perimeter power density, W/cm2 persed electricity systems with respect to
transmission line siting. In table 36, the SPS ref-
SOURCE: R. E. Beverly, Satellite Power Systems Laser
Report—Laser Environmental vol. erence system is compared to other electricity
Rockwell International report, SSD 80-0119-1. powerplants.
198 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 35. —Rectenna/Washington, D.C. Overlay The taper of the solid-state power-transmission
system makes offshore siting particularly at-
tractive. A few preliminary technical studies
have been conducted,” including an offshore
rectenna siting study, 42 (see fig. 36). However,
little attention has been paid to the environ-
mental ramifications of offshore siting. Areas
of special concern include the effects on
weather and ecosystems from thermal release
and the effects of microwaves on aquatic life
and birds that might be attracted to the
receiver

Land-use problems might also be alleviated


by innovative receiver designs that would per-
mit multiple land use under the receivers, such
as crop agriculture, biomass production and
aquaculture.43 Again, however, until the bio-
logical effects of microwaves and reflected
sun Iight are better understood, the environ-
mental impacts and hence viability of these
Washington , D C ideas are largely unknown.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.

Some of the environmental, societal and in-


.——
4
J Freeman, et al , So/ar P o w e r Sate//ite Of f$frore Rectenna
stitutional problems associated with land-use Stur/y, contract report No NAS 8-33023, prepared for Marshall
and receiver siting might be remedied by siting $pace Flight (-enter, May 1980
‘ ‘i]tellite Power $y\tem [5PS] Rectenna $Itlrrg A vallablllty and
receivers in shallow offshore waters. For some
Ll~~trlhurjon of Nor-n jna//y E/jglb/e Sites, DC) E/E R-10041-TI O, No-
land-scarce areas such as New England and vem ber 19 8 0
Europe, this concept is particularly desirable. ‘ Crey, [Jp c It

Table 35.—SPS Systems Land Use

Number of Total land area


sites for (km z)
SPS system
2
k m /site 2
km /1,000MW 300,000 MW for 300,000 MW m 2/MW-yr a
Reference . . . . . . . . . . . 174.0 35.0 60 10,400.0 1,280
Solid statec . . . . . . . . . . . 50.0 33.0 180 9,000.0 1,230
Laser Id. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6 1.2 600 360.0 44-35 e
Laser Ilf . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40.0 80.0 600 24,000.0 2,960-3,550 e
Mirror If . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,000.0 7.4 - ’29 2,200.0 274-329 e
For comparison
Washington. . . . . . . . . . . 174.0
New York City. . . . . . . . . 950.0
Chicago. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 518.0
a These “nlt~ are presented for ~O~ParlSOn with table 36, The values for the reference and solid-state designs assuf’rle a so-year lif@tirne and a capacity factor Of ().9.
b Rectenna at 34o latitude covers a $jkrn x lskrll (1 ITkrnt) elliptical area, Microwave power density of edge of rectenna is 1.0 mW/cm2. If an exclusion boundary iS Set at
0.1 mW/cm2, then the total land per site is approximately 174 kmz (2 km extra on each side for buffer zone). J. B. Blackburn, Sate//ire Power System (SPS) Mapping of
Exc/usion Areas for Rectenrra Sites, DOE/NASA report No. HCP/R-4024-10, October 1978, Does not include land for mining or fuel transport.
C The solid-state sandwich design is described in J Grey, safe//j~e power sys~em ~ecffr’rjca/ op~lo~s and Economics, contractor report prepared fOr OTA, NCrV, 14, 1979.
d Laser 1 and Laser 11 are two laser systems considered by DOE, Both deliver the same amount of power but the beam of Laser I iS more narrow (and hence more intenSe)
than that of Laser Il. See C. Bain, Potentia/ of Laser for SPS Power Transmission, SPS CDEP, October 1978.
e The values for the laser and mirror systems assume a 30-year lifetime and Capacity faCtOrs of 0.75-09
f Minor system parameters are defined by SOLARES System as described in K. Blllman, W P Gllbreath, S. W. Bowen, “Solar Energy Revisited With Orbiting
Reflectors,” NASA, Ames,
g The SO LARES system is designed to deliver 810 GVV to 6 sites; 2 SOLARES sites actually ~)rovlde 270 GW,
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 199

Table 36.—Summary of Land Requirements

Purpose Construction Plant — Fuel Disposal Transmission


CG/CC
Quantity —a 7.2-150 m21MW-yr 1,800-4,520 5 m21MW-yr 300 m21MW-yr
m2/MW-yr (480 km)b
Duration —c 30 yr 30 yr —c 30 yr
Location —c —c —c —c —c

FBC
Quantity —a 5.2-16.8 m2/MW-yr —c 1.4 m2/MW-yr 300 m2/MW-yr
(assume same as
combined cycle)
Duration —c 30 yr —c —c 30 yr
Location —c —c —c —c —c

L WR
Quantity —a 57-174 m2/MW-yr 31 m2/MW-yr 4 m2/MW-yr 225-1000
m 2/MW-yr
(480-1600 km) b
Duration —c 30-40 yrs 30 yr 1 06 years 30-40 yrs
(20 m2/MW-yr
“permanent”)
Location —c —c —c —c —c

LMFBR
Quantity —a 76-133 m2/MW-yr 5 m2/MW-yr —c 200 m2/MW-yr
(plant life- (80 km)b
time) and
.25 m2/MW-yr
(permanent)
Duration —c 30 yr —c —c 30 yr
Location —c —c —c —c —c
.—
TPV
2
Quantity —a 600-3,800 m /MW-yr neg 1d neg 1d 300-3,000
(depending on cell m2/MW-yr
efficiency and (480-4,800 km)b
capacity factor)
Duration —c 30 yr N Ae N Ae 30 yr
Location —c Southwest NA NA —c

STE
Quantity —a 2,260-6,650 m2/MW-yr neg1 d neg1 d 300-3,000
m2/MW-yr
480-4,800 km)b
Duration —c 30 yr NA NA 30 yr
Location —c Southwest NA NA —c

OTEC
Quantity —a neg1 neg1 d neg1
d
300 m2/MW-yr
(480 km)b
Duration —c N Ae N Ae N A e 30 yr
Location —c N Ae NA NA —c

SPS
Quantity 20-850 km2 1,480 m21MW-yr g neg1 d neg1 d 300-1,000
(launch) (rectenna) f m2/MW-yr
(480-1,600 km)b
Duration 30 yr 30 yr N Ae NA e 30 yr
Location Florida? —c NA NA —c
approximately the Sum of plant and transmission requirements. ‘N A-Not applicable
bDist ance to load center. flncludes buffer zone, rectenna proper OcCIJpleS about 50°1. Of total.
cData lacking; some categories are discussed I n test 9Assuflles 200 krnz per rectenna site.
‘Negligible.
SOURCE: D. E. Newsom and T. D. Wolsko, Prelirnmary Cornparatwe Assessment of Land Use ~Or Satelhte Power Systems and Altemafive E/ecmc Energy Technologies,
DOE/NASA report No. DOE/ER-0058, April 1980.
200 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 36.—Offshore Summary Map

Offshore siting study - dark areas are not eligible for rectenna siting

SOURCE: Satellite Power System of


1OO41-TIO, November 1980.

If SPS is to be deployed on a multinational Atomic Energy Commission lands, and unac-


scale, the siting constraints may be different ceptable topography. Sites were also excluded
from those in the United States. This is espe- if they were found within a specified distance
cialIy true with respect to microwave exposure from military installations, nuclear power-
standards, which in some countries are more plants and other facilities that might suffer
stringent than in the United States (see Health from electromagnetic interference with the
and Ecology, Microwaves). The environmental SPS microwave field.
standards of other nations and their effects on
In figure 37, ineligible grids were marked
SPS siting requirements need to be explored in
with an “x.” In this first exercise 40 percent of
more detail.
the United States remained eligible. After the
A siting study for the continental United application of additional “potential” exclu-
States has been conducted for the reference sion variables that were categorized as having
system to determine if 60 candidate sites can an unknown or adverse, but potentially cor-
be found. ” The United States was divided into rectable impact (e. g., agricultural lands and
grids, each approximately the size of a rec- flyways of migratory waterfowl), 17 percent of
tenna. Grid squares were eliminated from con- the United States remained eligible. In general,
sideration if they violated a set of “absolute” the greatest number of eligible sites was found
exclusion variables that included inland wa- in the West, Southwest, and in the northern
ters, high population density areas, marsh- regions of the Midwest; the least number of eli-
lands, military reservations, habitats of endan- gible sites occurred in the Mid-Atlantic States,
gered species, N a t i o n a l r e c r e a t i o n a r e a s , where 3 to 10 percent of the land was eligible
(31 to 83 grids, depending on the criteria for
B. and B A “Satellite Power System eligibility). The exclusion variables that had
Siting Study, ” in Proceedings of the
Power Program Review, Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA the greatest incremental effect in rendering
report No Conf -800491, July 1 9 8 0 land ineligible included topography, popula-
Ch. 8—Environment and Health • 201

Figure 37.—Satellite Power System—Societal Assessment

SOURCE: Satellite Power Svstem (SPS) and of Nominally Eligible Sites, DOE/ER-
1OO41-TIO, November 1980.

tion and electromagnetic compatibility’ (abso- squares. By imposing the constraint that eligi-
lute variables) as well as private agricultural ble sites had to fall within a 3 x 3 grid pattern,
lands, flyways, and Federal dedicated and pro- the amount of eligible sites dropped dramati-
tected lands (potential variables). cally, especialIy in the Mid-Atlantic region and
the Southeast. A less restrictive requirements
The siting study also revealed an important
of 2 x 2 grid patterns produces a considerably
point about the siting of smaller rectennas.
less drastic result.
Smaller site sizes could increase the likelihood
that sites identified as eligible (in the first The siting results (from the application of
application of absolute exclusion variables) “absolute variables”) were then correlated
would remain so upon closer examination in a with the distribution of projected electrical
“validation” process. However, they would be d e m a n d . 46 Based on one projection of future
unlikely to make previously excluded grid electricity demand, it was concluded that the
squares eligible. Therefore, it was concluded only potential site scarcity would occur in the
that smaller rectenna size (i. e., one-fourth or Mid-Atlantic region (see fig. 38). In most other
one-half the rectenna area) would not make a regions there wouId be about 100 times more
substantial difference in the siting process. 45 eligible grids than “required” sites. Scarcity of
large load centers relative to allocated recten-
The effects of eliminating isolated sites were
nas could be a problem in sections of the Mid-
also considered on the assumption that local
west and West.
variations and the problems associated with
public or private land acquisition would make A prototype environmental assessment was
siting more difficult in areas that did not con- conducted for a rectenna site in the California
tain a large number of adjacent eligible grid desert (Rose Valley, 250-km north of Los

“ A “Relationship of Eligible Areas to Projected


*This was also an important constraint for the siting of off- The Final Proceedings of the Solar Power
D e m a n d , “ in
shore P r o g r a m R e v i e w , Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA report No
“Ibid -800491”, July 1980

83-316 0 - 81 - 14
202 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 38.—RegionaI Generation (2000) and Rectenna Allocations

18.40/o

600

Note: This is based on the EIA Leap Series C (1978) protection of electricity the year 2000 which assumes a 4 10/.
growth rate per year from 1977-1995. See chapter VI or discussion on alternative electricity growth rates
SOURCE. A. of Areas to Projected Elect Demand,” Proceed/rigs
Power Satellite Program Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA No conf -800491, July 1980

Angeles).” The major environmental impacts much larger than the minimum requirements
(excluding microwave effects) and possible be located in the site selection process. In ad-
solutions are summarized in table 37. dition, the study recommends that: 1) rectenna
panels be light and open to allow passage of
The assessment emphasized that large
sunlight and rain; 2) natural characteristics of
amounts of contiguous land area must be com-
the site be considered in the panel and diode/
pletely committed to the project, totally
dipole design, e.g., taking account of possible
displacing existing land use and completely
attraction birds and rodents might have to the
altering the existing natural environment. in-
panels for resting or nesting; and 3) the design
vestigators also noted that after the site
minimize the use of materials.
boundaries are selected, there is no flexibility
in the siting of individual rectenna structures,
Finally, investigators note that the siting of
so that areas particularly sensitive to SPS im-
receivers in the Southwestern United States
pacts could not be avoided. To alleviate ad-
will be especially hampered by land-use con-
verse effects, they recommend that land areas
flicts with other energy sources, archaeological
sites and military programs. In particular it is
ype Environmental Assessment of the Impacts of Siting
pointed out that 15 percent of the California
and Constructing a Satellite Power System Ground Receiv-
ing Station DOE/NASA report No DOE/E R-O072, August Conservation Area is reserved for defense pur-
1980 poses.
Ch. 8—Environment and Health Ž 203

Table 37.—Summary of Environmental Impacts of Rectenna Construction and


Operation at a Specific Study Site

Technical area Rectenna construction Rectenna operation Mitigation


Air quality and climatology . Probable standards . No significant air quality ● Adequate dust suppression
violation for nitrogen impacts. program during construction
oxides, particulate, ● Unknown, but possibly would mitigate particulate
and hydrocarbons. significant microclimateic impacts.
● No climatic impacts. effects at or near ground . Extending construction
surface schedule would reduce
emission peaks for hydro-
carbons and nitrogen oxides.
● Pending further research,

project modifications might


be needed for ground sur-
face microclimate impact

Noise ● Substantially elevated . No significant impact. ● Improved noise control


noise levels, but in technology by construction
areas with low popula- time frame for vehicles,
tion density, equipment, and processes
● Possible impacts on would mitigate impacts.
noise-sensitive ● During construction, noise-
species. sensitive habitats should be
avoided to maximum extent
possible during breeding
and nesting seasons.

Geology and soils ● Geologic impacts less ● Seismicity has potential . Thorough seismic and soils
important than for facility destruction studies required as part of
geologic constraints. or loss of efficiency site-specific engineering.
● Study area very active (alinement v. satellite). ● Careful soiI-stabilization/
● seismically, but within ● Soil productivity impacted age/erosion-control
normal range for for project life: depends programs required.
southern California. on extent and degree of
● Soils impacts signifi- construction—phase and
cant: large disturbed ongoing operations dis-
area, compaction, turbance.
wind/water erosion.
● Soils constraints: di-
versity of soils types
implies variability in
engineering properties
(e.g., shrink/swell
potential, corrosivity
to metals/concrete).

Hydrology and water quality ● Project requirements: . Project requirements minor ● Careful soil stabilization/
2-14 x 106 m 3 unless major revegetation drainage/erosion-
(depends on dust program undertaken. control program required.
suppression methods Revegetation could require ● Ground water withdrawal
used). 27 x 106 m 3 /yr impacts could be
● Meeting project needs for 3 yr, that could alleviated by importing
from groundwater cause water table water from outside
would lower water drawdown. study area.
table 0.2-1.5 m/yr; ● Proper sewage control
would reduce under- program necessary during
flow to adjoining construct ion to prevent
valley, could lower water quality degradation).
water level in nearby
lake; might con-
taminate usable water
through hydraulic con-
nection with unusable
ground water.
204 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 37.—Summary of Environmental Impacts of Rectenna Construction and


Operation at a Specific Study Site-Continued

Technical area Rectenna construction Rectenna operation Mitigation


Flora ● Land disturbance ● Impacts similar to ● Reestablishment of
would completely construction phase. preexisting fIora
modify site’s ● Microclimate changes at problematic; major
floral communities. ground surface a key and difficult revegetation
● Possible indirect issue for severity program required.
impacts on flora from and potential for ● Careful placement of

hydrologic changes, mitigation of floral ancillary facilities necessary


air and water impacts. to minimize impacts
pollutants, and on sensitive habitats.
personnel activities ● Careful planning,
● No endangered design and construction/
species present operations practices
at Rose Valley/ necessary to minimize
Coso; one rare indirect impacts (e.g.,
species present. water quality degradation).
Fauna ● Land disturbance ● Impacts similar to ● Reestablishment of
would completely construction phase. preexisting fauna
modify site faunal ● Impacts closely problematic; closely
communities. related to fIora linked to strategy
● Possible indirect impacts. and success of
impacts on fauna ● Microclimate changes floral mitigation.
from hydrologic at ground surface ● Careful placement of
changes, air and a key issue for ancillary facilities
pollutants, personnel severity and potential needed to minimize
activities, and loss for mitigation of impacts on sensitive
of feeding areas fauna impacts. habitats.
for nearby fauna. ● Careful planning,
Surface water design, construction,
sources for O&M practices, and
migratory water construction scheduling
and land birds needed to avoid
would be lost indirect impacts
(Playas) and and to avoid
jeopardized (Little sensitive habitats
Lake). during breeding and
● One protected species nesting seasons.
(Mohave ground
squirrel) found in Rose
Valley.
Land use ● Total displacement Same as construction ● Major impacts could
of existing site phase not be mitigated.
uses (e. g., It might be possible
farming grazing, to achieve joint
recreation). use of rectenna
● Minor loss of sites but this
mineral resources remains speculative.
(cinder, pumice).
● Minor indirect
(growth-related
impacts.
● Potential land
acquisitior/use
conflicts with Navy
(China Lake NWC),
energy (geothermal),
wilderness,
archaeological
resources, native
American use and
access to cultural
and religious sites.
SOURCE: Prototype Environmental Assessment of the Impacts of Siting and Constructing a Satellite Power System (SPS) Ground Receiving Station (GRS), DOEINASA
report No. DOE/ER-0072, August 1980.
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 205

Receiver Structure: Weather Modification cant than those associated with nuclear plants
of comparable power. 50
Other DOE studies have investigated the po-
tential of the rectenna for modifying local
Resources
weather. They indicate that the surface rough-
ness and albedo of the rectenna structure and The construction and operation of SPS
the waste heat generated by rectenna opera- couId strain supplies of some critical materi-
tion (750 MW per site) would have a small, but als, as shown in table 38. The most serious
detectable impact on regional weather and cli- problems arise for the solar cell materials (e. g.,
m a t e . 4 8 4 9 In particular, rectennas would per- gallium, gallium arsenide, sapphire, and solar
turb the average surface heat exchange by grade silicon) and the graphite fiber used for
about 10 percent. SPS land-use changes could the satellite structure and space construction
alter temperature (on the order of 10 C), cloud facilities of the reference system. 51 It appears
density and rainfall. However, it is important that the silicon SPS systems pose less serious
to note that these effects would be no greater problems than the gallium arsenide option, but
than those attributable to other nonindustrial this may be due to the immature state of gal-
urban activities. For example, the waste heat lium arsenide technology. The most serious re-
generated by typical coal and nuclear plants source strain for the galIium arsenide system is
range from 750 to 6,000 MW. The waste heat gallium; for the silicon option, large amounts
rejected at laser receptor sites, would also pro- of electricity might be needed to produce the
duce weather effects that would be less signifi- cells.
48
Environrnerrta/ Assessment for the Sate//ite Power System
Concept Development and Evaluation Program, op cit.
“Proceedings of the Workshop on Meteorological Effects of Sat- ‘OBasu, Johnson, Klobuchar, and Rush, op clt
ellite Power System Rectenna Operation and Related Microwave “ R R Teeter and W M jamieson, P r e l i m i n a r y Materia/s
Transmission Prob/ems, Aug 23-25, 1978, DOE/NASA report No Assessment for the Sate//ite Power System (SPS), DOE/NASA
Conf -7808114, December 1979 report No DOE/E R-0038, January 1980

Table 38.—Summary of Materials Assessment Results

World Percent
Percent production SPS Net world
supplied as growth percent of percent resource cost
Parameter byproduct rate demand imported consumption $Ikw
Threshold valuea . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 0 % 10% 100/0 50% 200% $50/kw
Gallium. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A A A — — —
Graphite fiber. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — A A — — A
Sapphire. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — A A — — A
Silicon SEG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . – A A — — A
Gallium arsenide. . . . . . . . . . . . — A A — — A
Electricity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — — A —
Arsenic/arsenic trioxide. . . . . . B — — B — —
Kapton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — B B — — —
Oxygen (Iiq) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . – B B — — —
Silica fiber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — B B — — —
Silver. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B — — B — —
Silver ore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — B B —
Glass, borosilicate . . . . . . . . . . — — B — — —
Hydrogen (Iiq) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — B — — — —
Mercury . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — B — —
Mercury ore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — B — —
Methane. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — B — — — —
Petroleum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — — — B
Steel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — — — B
Tungsten . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — B — —

Note: “A” signifies problem of serious concern “B” signifies problem of possible concern.
aparameter Value above Which a potential problem exists. Materials in this table exceeded these values where an “A” or “B” is recorded.
SOURCE: R. R. Teeter and W. M. Jamieson, Prelimlrrary Materials Assessment for ttre Satellite Power System (SPS), DOEINASA report No. DOE/ER-0038, January 1980.
206 ● Solar Power Satellites

Most of the resource constraints identified Mining, Manufacturing, and Transportation


stem from limitations in production capacity
The minerals extraction, materials process-
rather than exhaustion of reserves. SPS could
ing, manufacturing, and transport activities
compete for graphite composite with the auto-
associated with SPS could result in a meas-
mobile industry and, depending on its time of
urable increase in air and water pollution and
introduction, with terrestrial photovoltaic
sol id wastes. 52 For example, the potential envi-
technologies and the electronics industry for
ronmental impacts of mining include water
semiconductor materials. The demand by SPS
pollution from leaching and drainage mod-
for a few materials such as gallium, tungsten,
ifications, air pollution from fugitive dust and
and mercury could also increase U.S. depend-
land disturbance from strip mining, subsidence
e n c e o n f o r e i g n sources. Further analysis
and spoil piles. Manufacturing would produce
wouId be required to determine the severity of
stack emissions, process effluents and solid
the resource limitations identified for the
wastes. In table 39, order-of-magnitude esti-
reference system and possible measures that
mates have been made of some of the environ-
wouId circumvent them.
mental impacts resulting from these reference
While no assessment has been made of the system activities. The incremental domestic
material requirements for any of the other SPS processing of materials required for SPS can
technical options, a few observations can be also serve as a rough guide to increased pollu-
made. The solar celI, graphite, and transporta- tion levels.
tion materials that are problematic for the
While these exercises help identify the
reference design might also be used in the
potential scope and extent of environmental
three other options. The solid-state design calls
impacts, a thorough and quantitative assess-
for silicon or gallium arsenide devices in the
ment is presently lacking. However, it is
transmitting antenna as well as in the solar col-
anticipated that most impacts would be con-
lector. While the solid-state satellites would be
ventional in nature and could probably be
smaller than the reference design, the solid-
minimized by methods currently used in indus-
state material needs per unit energy would be
try 5‘ There is no information on similar effects
greater. Therefore, if the reference design were
to strain supplies of semiconductor materials, ‘ /’rfj[o/ I I)(I I nvlronrrrent,]/ A >je~smerrt ot the /rrrpactj ot fi(lng
,2 n(l ( on\ [ rj 1 f t /nLJ ,] S<l tcI//l te Power \ yj tern / $ P$ / (; ro~in(/ Recel t
the solid-state variant most certainly would tax Ing }t,It IoII (, R ‘i/, DC) E NASA repot-t No DOE E R-()()72, Augu\t
them as well (assuming that both systems de- 1 ()~()

liver the same total amount of power and use I Ibid

the same materials). The laser and mirror sys-


Table 39.—Annual Environmental Effects of SPSa
tems would require slightly less photovoltaic (mining, processing, manufacture,
material per kilowatt of delivered electricity and ground-based construction)
than the reference system. The quality of the
Air pollutants Percent U.S. totalc
photovoltaics material used in the mirror
Particulate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8%
design might be different than the reference Sulfur dioxide. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.04
materials however, since in the mirror system Carbon monoxide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.05
they would be placed on the ground. AII of the Hydrocarbons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.05
Nitrogen dioxide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.005
systems would require graphite for structures,
Nonrecoverable waterd. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.24
and fuels for space transportation. Further
Solid wastee. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.70
analysis is required in order to compare the
Land requirementsf. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.12
material requirements o f t h e a l t e r n a t i v e aBaSed on ~~ earl Ier SPS cJeSlgrl assumes two satellites and rectennas are built
designs to the reference system. Moreover, the
~~%~e~rlnlng, processing and fabrication
effect on SPS material requirements of using C
U. S totals In 1973
dEor ~ropellant manufacture, launch pad COatln9, Coflstructlon.
nonterrestrial materials (lunar soil contains eFrOM dun-tin urn and steel processes.
aluminum, titanium, iron, silicon, and oxygen) fFor ,eCtenna Sites as fraction of tc)td us. kind area
and developing space processing and in- SOURCE Adapted from Env/ronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate///te Power
System Concept Development and Evaluation Program, D O E / E R -
dustrial capacity needs to be investigated. 0069 August 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 207

due to the other SPS technical systems. Studies needed to determine the incremental effect of
should be conducted as the design parameters SPS on the environment relative to other elec-
become more clear. Analysis would also be tricity generating faciIities.

HEALTH AND ECOLOGY


Human health and safety could be affected workers will be discussed. With the exception
by launch and space activities, mining, manu- of power-transmission effects, most of the
facturing, and transport, and the construction health and safety risks described here pertain
and operation of SPS receiving antennas and to the reference system only. There is not
powerlines. These effects and the public enough information on the personnel require-
concern about them are likely to be most ments, industrial activities and environmental
pronounced closest to launch and receiver fa- impacts to treat adequately the other tech-
cilities. Long-term exposure to low-level elec- nical options. It is assumed that many of the
tromagnetic radiation from SPS power trans- effects would be similar to those of the ref-
mission and distribution is a critical issue, erence system, varying only in intensity and
involving potential health effects about which degree. It is important to note that some of the
very Iittle is known. For SPS space workers, ex- impacts identified for the reference system
posure to ionizing radiation is of the utmost could be minimized or avoided by worker
concern. Other important terrestrial impacts training, protection devices, or changes in the
are shown in table 40. While the effects of system design, but the effect of these measures
some SPS activities such as mining and man- on concept feasibility and cost need to be
ufacturing are fairly conventional and could examined in more detail.
be routinely assessed, the uncertainties of
other health and ecological impacts, such as
exposure to microwaves, are great. When ex- Terrestrial Effects
perimental data does exist it is rarely directly
applicable to SPS. Furthermore, extrapolation The primary sources of potential health and
from experimental animal to human health ecological effects are electromagnetic radia-
and safety standards is tenuous and uncertain tion from the power transmission and distribu-
without a good theory on which to base the ex- tion systems and noise and pollution from
trapolation. For other impacts, such as ex- launches, mining, manufacturing, and con-
posure to ionizing radiation, it is not clear if struction (see table 40). The risks to the ter-
existing standards should apply to SPS. More restrial worker are usually greater than to the
stringent standards can strongly influence SPS general public because of the increased fre-
design, cost, and social acceptability. Ecologi- quency, duration, and intensity of occupa-
cal effects of SPS are also extremely uncertain tional exposure to certain hazards (although
as little attention has been paid to this com- occupational exposure could be more easily
plex area. controlled by protective devices). Estimates of
SPS hazards have in many cases been extrapo-
This second part of the chapter will identify lated from other technologies, such as the
the health and ecosystem impacts that pres- space shuttle. Risk analysis would improve as
ently appear most significant. The first section the system design becomes more clear. How-
will address the bioeffects of terrestrial ac- ever, the major uncertainties associated with
tivities on the public, SPS workers and eco- some effects (e. g., electromagnetic radiation)
systems. In the second section, the implica- rest in the state of biophysical knowledge and
tions for the health and safety of SPS space not SPS specifications.
208 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 40.—Terrestrial Health and Ecological Impacts Electromagnetic Radiation


Microwaves Over the last few decades, the development
● Effects of public and ecosystem exposure to low levels
and proliferation of technologies that utilize
uncertain
● Occupational exposure higher; may require protective
electromagnetic radiation has been astound-
clothing ingly rapid and widespread. However, there is
Laser Light a growing concern about the biological conse-
• Hazard to people and other living organisms directly ex- quences of exposure to the radiant energy
posed to beam
● Hazard to slow airplanes, birds, and insects flying these devices employ. Terrestrial life as we
through the beams know it has evolved in response to a very
Reflected light (mirror system) specific spectral distribution, diurnal and
● Ocular effects not expected to be significant; potential
seasonal cycle, and intensity of solar and ter-
hazard with binoculars not known
. Psychological impacts on public, effects on the restrial radiation. It is possible that the alter-
photoperiod of plants and circadian rhythms, and naviga- ation and enhancement of the ambient elec-
tion of wildlife are unknown tromagnetic environment brought about by
Reflected light (from reference system) modern technologies could have a profound
● Plants and animals would probably not be unduely af-

fected, but many effects are uncertain. The human eye impact on b i o l o g i c a l e n t i t i e s a n d h u m a n
could be damaged if SPS reflected light were viewed for health.
too long or with magnifying devices.
High-voltage transmission lines SPS would increase the local levels of non-
● Effects of public and ecosystem exposure to elec- ionizing radiation (see fig. 39) in a few areas of
tromagnetic fields not well demonstrated but still uncer- the spectrum, e.g., microwaves, infrared laser
tain (not unique to SPS)
light, or reflected sunlight from the power-
Noise
● Without preventative measures, construction noise from transmission system .54 The distribution of
certain machinery could exceed occupational standards; power from the receiving site via transmission
no significant public or ecosystem effect is anticipated lines would also increase exposure to very low
● Launch noise and sonic booms couId present problems
for public and ecosystems. Workers would wear heavy frequency or static field radiation at some
protective devices locations. Light reflected from the surfaces of
Air Pollution space structures and vehicles would be visible
• Without preventative measures, construction of recten- from Earth. Space workers involved in the con-
nas couId violate standards for certain emissions such as
hydrocarbons and particulate struction and operation of SPS could also be
● Mining, manufacturing, and transport emissions are ex- exposed to high levels of nonionizing and
pected to be comparable to industrial and energy produc- ionizing radiation in space.
ing processes (except coal)
● Launch effluents are not thought to exceed emissions
standards unless ambient levels are high but studies MICROWAVES
must be refined There is not enough relevant data currently
Ž Effects on ecosystems are unclear
available to assess reliably the biological risks
Water Pollution
● Construction and revegetation could deplete or con- to humans, plants, and animals exposed to SPS
taminate local water, depending on site microwaves. The data base that does exist is in-
● Onsite facilities would be needed to treat polluted water complete, often contradictory and usually not
at launch site
d i r e c t l y a p p l i c a b l e t o S P S .55 I n p a r t i c u l a r ,
Safety
• Risks to public, workers, and ecosystems from the han-
dling and transport of toxic and explosive materials such
P Lorraln a n d D R C o r s o n , E/ectrornagnetic Fie/ds a n d
5 4

as rocket propellants
• Occupational risk of catastrophic explosion or launch ac- Waves (San Francisco W.H Freeman, 1970)
5 sprel;m ,nar y fn v;ronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate//ite power
cident higher than that for public and ecosystems
System [SPS) Revision 1, DOE/NASA report No DOE/E R-0036,
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment. January 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 209

Figure 39.—The Electromagnetic-Photon Spectrum

Bolometer Sparks
Lamps

Thermopile Hot bodies


Magnetron
Klystron
Travelling-wave
Crystal
tube

Electronic Electronic
circuits circuits

AC generators
210 ● Solar Power Satellites

there is a lack of information on the bioeffects wave beam if other protective measures prove
of chronic exposure to microwaves at low- insufficient. Additional research would be re-
power densities. Data is presently lacking on quired to clarify the risks and protective
empirical dose-response relationships at these criteria for short-term exposure. Possible syn-
low levels as well as on the theoretical mech- ergisms between the space environment (e. g.,
anisms of interaction between Iiving organisms ionizing radiation, weightlessness) and micro-
and microwaves. Improved theory would facil- waves must be explored as well as the plausi-
itate extrapolations (which are currently ten- bility of simultaneously shielding microwaves
uous and oversimplified) from experimental and ionizing radiation (see Space Environ-
animal data to the prediction of human bio- ment). It is also imperative that understanding
effects. of the long-term effects improve substantially
(see below) before a reliable occupational
This knowledge is also required for the quan-
safety threshold can be determined. In addi-
tification of SPS microwave risks, without
tion, possible disparities between SPS micro-
which no useful assessment of the SPS micro-
wave levels and occupational standards in this
wave concepts can be made, If an SPS pro-
and other countries (see table 42) should be ad-
gram is pursued, the study of microwave bioef-
dressed, especially if SPS were to be a multi-
fects should receive top priority. Microwave
national system. The effects on system cost
research and future microwave standards
and feasibility of implementing protective
could play a large role in determining the
measures, complying with safety standards,
design and feasibility of SPS systems.
and reducing the risks of long-term effects will
● SPS microwave risks. The SPS reference sys- need to be analyzed.
tem microwave environment is illustrated ’in
Public and ecosystem exposure to SPS mi-
figure 40. Table 41 presents the public, occu-
crowaves is presently of greatest concern. It
pational, and ecosystem exposure levels.
has been estimated that the 60 satellite refer-
Since the power densities emitted by the
ence system would raise the ambient micro-
solid-state system are lower as a function of
wave level in the continental United States to
distance from the rectenna center than the
a m i n i m u m o f 1 0 -4 m W / c m 2 . 5 7A l t h o u g h n o t
reference system, they will not be specifi-
directly comparable, this level is two orders of
calIy addressed here.
magnitude greater than the median population
No quantitative risk assessment for SPS exposure to FM radiowaves. 58 (Ambient micro-
workers has been performed or is currently wave and radio frequency levels are inturn 10 6
possible. Occupational exposures would need times greater than natural levels of solar and
to be controlled by adequate protective cloth- terrestrial radiation.) It therefore appears that
ing and shielding, dosimeters (all of which are the general population and ecosystems would
not presently available), and possibly changes be exposed to levels significantly higher than
in system design.56 The extent of the necessary current background microwave radiation.
protection has yet to be determined. For oc-
The health risks of chronic exposure to
cupational exposure engendering the greatest
microwaves, especially at these low levels (i. e.,
risks, (e. g., space workers and terrestrial per-
sonnel working above the rectenna) it might be
necessary to shut off or defocus the micro- .
“lbld
“R A Tell and E D Mantiply, “Population Exposure to VHF
and U H F Broadcast Radiation in the United States, ” Proc. IEEE,
56prOgram A Ssessment Report, Statement of F;nd;ws, oP c It 68(1 ) 6-12, 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health . 211

Figure 40.—SPS Microwave Power-Density Characteristics at a Rectenna Site

I Power denisity is

rectenna center

0.02 mW/cm2

10 km
13 km
at 35@
0.1 mW/cm2 at rectenna
site exclusion boundary

SOURCE: Enwrorrnrenta/ Assessment for the Sate///te Power System Concept Development and Eva/uat/on Program, DOE/ER-0069,
August 1980

Table 41 .—Characterization of Exposure to Reference System Microwaves



Outside buffer zone —— Between 10-4 mW/cm 2 and 0.1 mw/cm2
Public Airplane flying through beam Less than 23 mW/cm2 (shielding)
Terrestrial workers Rectenna field Up to 23 mW/cm2 (may be higher if reflections
occur)
Space workers Transmitting antenna Up to 2.2 W/cm2
Rectenna field:
Ecosystems (plants, Under Outside buffer Less than 0.1 mW/cm2
wildlife, airborne rectenna
biota) Inside buffer Between 0.1 mW/cm2 and 1.0 mW/cm2

Rectenna field: above Up to 23 mW/cm2


rectenna
SOURCE: Environment/ Assessment for the Sate//ite Power System Concept Development and Eva/uat/on Program, DOE/ER-0069, August 1980.
212 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 42.—Microwave Exposure Limits

Frequency (G Hz) Occupational (mW/cm2) Occupational duration Public (mW/cm2)


a
United States . . . . . . . . . . . 0.01-100 10.0 No limit None
U. S.S.R.b . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3-300 0.01 Workshift 0.001
Canada C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1-300 5.0 8 hours 1.0
Czechoslovakia . . . . . . . . . . 0.3-300 0.01 8 hours 0.0001
Poland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3-300 0.2 10 hours 0.01
Sweden d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3-300 1.0 8 hours 1.0
aThi~ is a ~uid~li”~ ~nlY and is “Ot ~nf~~C.abl~; the ~tarldard~ i“ the united Kingdom, German Federal Republic, Netherlands and France are similar to that Of the U.S.
guideline; ANSI will probably recommend 5 mWlcm2 as a new occupational exposure limit. ANSI and EPA are presently considering a new population limit.
bo,l mwlcmz for rotating antennas.
ccanada is proposing a 1 ITrw/cITIz limit at 10 tdHz to 1 GHz ‘requency.
d5 mwlcm~ at o.01 to 0.3 GHz for 8 hours.
SOURCE: Adapted from L. David, A Study of Federal Microwave Standards, DOEINASA report No. DOEIER-1OO41-O2, August 1980.

less than 1.0 mW/cm2) cannot be analyzed with through the beam. Birds in flight are often near
the current data base. While appreciation for their thermal Iimit and exposure to micro-
the complexities of the interaction between waves might result in thermal overloading. ”
microwaves and biological systems (see app. DOE has initiated three laboratory studies to
D) has grown in recent years, the state of test the effects on bees, birds, and small
knowledge, particularly with respect to low- animals at SPS frequency and power densities.
power microwaves, is immature and incom- (See app. D.) While no significant effects have
plete; hence, no assessment for SPS can be been observed to date, the research is far from
conducted at this time. However, a DOE re- completed.
view of the existing scientific literature iden-
● Research needs. A workshop organized by
tified the biological systems that might be
the National Research Council (NRC) recent-
most susceptible to microwaves. 59 For the pub-
ly identified the principal research priorities
lic and ecosystems outside of the rectenna,
for the bioeffects of exposure to low-level
DOE tentatively concluded that effects on the
SPS microwaves. 63 These are listed in table
reproductive systems would be small; risks to
43. Basically, three kinds of laboratory
special populations (e. g., people taking medi-
studies are needed:
cation, children, older and pregnant people,
etc. ) and effects on behavior would be uncer- 1 animal laboratory experiments to estab-
tain and effects on the immune and blood lish effects empirically as well as dose-
systems appear unlikely. No cancer, devel- response relationships;
opment or growth effects would be expected. 2 studies of mechanisms of interaction at
Again, however, the data base on low level different levels of biological organization
chronic exposure that supports these conclu- (e.g., atoms, molecules, cells, organs); and
sions is incomplete and more research would 3. improvement of dosimetry, instrumenta-
be required to satisfactorily assess potential tion and models.
effects.
While limited resources might dictate that
For ecosystems (and SPS workers) at the these studies be carried out only at the SPS
rectenna site, effects on physiology, behavior, reference system frequency and power densi-
development, reproduction and the thermo- ties, it is clear that research at many fre-
regulatory, immune and blood systems might quencies and power densities would help to
b e p o s s i b l e .60 Of particular concern are the elucidate the fundamental mechanisms of
effects on insects and birds that might fly interaction that allow extrapolations to be
made between frequencies, irradiance and
59A. R. Valentine, “Environmental Assessment Overview,” In
The Final Proceedings of the Solar Power Satellite Program Re- blEnvlronmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System
view, Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA report No Conf -800491, July Concept l)evelopment and Evaluation Program, op cit
1980. ‘Zlbld
‘“I bid “Dodge, op cit
Ch. 8—Environment and Health • 213

Table 43.—Research Needs To Help Reduce Uncertainties Concerning Public Health Effects Associated With
Exposure to SPS Microwave Power Densities and Frequency

Local or general thermal effects Effects on calcium ion efflum in brain tissue
● Long-term experiments at power densities< 0.1 mW/cm2 ● Studies to determine bioeffects using 2450 MHz as the
at whole body, organ, and organelle levels, testing for bio- carrier frequency or studies to determine whether the
logical endpoints such as alteration of enzyme reaction power density “windows” are carrier-frequency depend-
rates and cell membrane confirmational changes. ent.
● Studies of basic physical interactions of electromagnetic ● Studies to establish the interaction mechanism (the in-
fields with molecular components of living tissue, to de- teraction site) of the modulated fields and ELF fields on
velop models of biological effects or phenomena. (For ex- calcium ion efflux.
ample, biophysical experiments are required to deter- ● Studies to determine whether the phenomenon will occur
mine the role of microwaves at SPS frequencies and in- under the modulation and power characteristics ex-
tensities at the molecular level and their action on ionic pected of the SPS microwave beam.
conductivity. Any responses, biological, biochemical, or ● Studies to determine whether the calcium ion efflux
physical, should be investigated from the point of view of phenomenon correlates with Russian and East European
alteration of enzyme reaction rates, and cell membrane findings of neurological/behavioral decrements in people
phase transitions and confirmational changes.) and animals exposed to low levels of microwaves.
● Better dosimetry techniques for calculating and measur- ● Experiments to determine whether other ions—sodium,
ing (such as a probe that could be used within an potassium, magnesium–are similarly affected.
organism to measure in a nonperturbing way) internal Effects on organized structures
field patterns. ● Studies of changes in behavioral responses under
Interactions with drugs or other chemicals simulated SPS conditions, using behavioral tests (such
● Repeat selected experiments showing effects (including as time-based schedules of reinforcement) that are both
the potential of microwaves as a cocarcinogen), using sensitive and reliable measures of such effects.
carefully controlled dosimetry and statistical analysis. ● Studies of long-term effects.
● Develop and test hypotheses to explain effects. ● Neurological and blood-brain barrier experiments at low
● Long-term dose-response experiments at power den- levels.
sities around 0.1 mW/cm 2 and with a larger number of ● D e t e r m i n e t h e n e u r o l o g i c a l a n d physiological
drugs at whole body, organ, and organelle levels. significance of behavioral responses.
Immunological effects
● Molecular level studies on biological relaxation times.
● Repeat selected Russian research at 1 to 500 mW/cm2 ● Consideration of long-term animal experiments at 2,450
levels; repeat selected U.S. work to validate it. MHz to evaluate, if possible, whether there is any trend
● Mechanistic and molecular biological experimentation. toward life shortening in animals.
● Long-term studies, particularly autoimmune response.
——..
SOURCE: C H. Dodge, (rapporteur), Workshop on Mechanisms Under/y/ng Effects of Long-Term Low-Level, 2.450 MHZ Rad/at/on on Peep/e, organized by the National
Research Council, Committee on Satelllte Power Systems, Environmental Studies Board. National Academy of Sciences, July 15.17, 1980

species. It may also be possible that frequen- limited usefulness for exposure to low levels of
cies other than 2.45 GHz would be used for microwaves because the variability of the re-
SPS. If a much different frequency were used, sponse is small and might be masked by other
however, low-level microwave research would effects. It is also not clear how many people
have to be done at that frequency as well, would need to be observed. Nonetheless a
because different frequencies cause different coordinated program of prospective epide-
responses, miology (as opposed to retrospective studies
that rely on medical records many years after
In addition to laboratory experiments, epi-
exposures) and laboratory research is essential
demiological studies are also needed. 64 It has
to bridging the gap between biological effects
been argued that such studies are currently of
observed in a laboratory animal and human
limited usefulness; they are very expensive, dif-
health standards.
ficult to accurately document (i.e., it is dif-
ficult to determine the dose to which individ- Special attention must also be paid to ef-
uals are exposed) and may overlook important fects on ecosystems. To date, nearly all studies
biological endpoints. 65 In addition they have have been conducted in a controlled labora-
“Office of Science and Technology Policy, A Technica/ /7e- tory environment on a relatively few species.
view of the Biological Effects of Non-lonlzlng Radiation, W a s h - Virtually nothing is known about the effects of
ington, D C , May 15, 1978
65paul Tyler, Armed Forces R a d i o l o g i c a l Research Institute,
microwaves on a complete ecosystem and no
private communication, July 30, 1979 studies have been performed that even ap-
214 • Solar Power Satellites

preach the projected time scale of SPS opera- Standards Institute (ANSI) which in 1966
tion (i.e., 30 to 100 years). With respect to SPS, recommended a maximum permissible ex-
it must be determined if animals and airborne posure of 10 mW/cm 2, averaged over any 6-
biota would be attracted to the beam or would minute period (1 O to 100 GHz). 70 This ra-
avoid it. What impact would microwaves have tionale also forms the basis of the current
on the navigational systems of birds and in- U.S. occupational guideline (which in 1975
sects (as well as aquatic life for offshore was ruled advisory rather than a mandatory
rectennas)? What effect would exposure to standard”) as promulgated by the Occupa-
microwaves have on the productivity of plants tional Safety and Health Administration
and their susceptibility to drought? How would (OSHA) which adopted the ANSI recommen-
SPS affect the local food chain? The effects on dation in 1971. Presently, there is no official
micro-organisms, such as bacteria, fungi, and recommendation for general population ex-
algae should be invest igated. 66 posures in this country.

● Microwave standards. The biological con- The reasoning underlying the U.S. guideline
sequences of exposure to low-level micro- is currently in dispute and OSHA and ANSI are
72 73
waves are poorly understood because of considering new r e c o m m e n d a t i o n s . The
inadequate and sporadic support of micro- confIict centers around the assumption that
wave bioeffects research in general and only thermal effects result from exposure to
because the bulk of research performed in microwaves. While it is generally acknowl-
this country has focused on the bioeffects at edged that exposure to microwaves of 10
levels of 10 mW/cm 2 or greater. 67 This em- m W / c m 2 or greater will result in heating, the
phasis stemmed from a belief that the only effects and consequences of exposure to lower
biologically significant damage from ex- power densities are controversial. Experiments
posure to microwaves is due to heating. In documenting behavioral and neural changes
fact, occupational guidelines developed in and the enhancement of calcium efflux from
the 1950’s through the Department of De- brain cells 74 in particular have suggested the
fense and its contractors in response to con- existance of other effects at power densities
cerns about exposure of radar personnel b e l o w 1 . 0 m W / c m2 . These phenomena are
were based on biological injuries (e. g., thought by some to result from direct interac-
cataracts, burns) from acute exposure to tions with the electromagnetic field rather
microwaves on the order of 100 mW/cm 2. It than as an indirect consequence of heating.
was concluded that humans could well tol- Some of the mechanisms that have been postu-
erate exposures to power densities 10 times lated for non ionizing radiation include:
smalIer 68 (i. e., 10 mW/cm 2) without suffering 1. distortion of the shapes of individual
serious or permanent damage. 69 This reason-
molecuIes or rearrangement of a group of
ing was accepted by the American Standards
molecules that might transiently or per-
Association (now the American National
——..
‘“L David, A Study of Federal Microwave Standards, D O E I
““0 P G a n d h i , “ Blohazarcf~ ot M i c r o w a v e Beams F r o m Prc~- NASA report No DO E/E R-10041-02, August 1980
p o s e d Satel Ilte f]ower St~tlon~’, I n 1 ~ea /th /rnp/lcatlon$ of New 7
‘General Accounting Office, Efforts by the Errvironrnenta/ Pro-
f nergy Tccfrno/oKlc\, W N Rom and V [ A r c h e r (eds ) ( A n n A r - tection Agency to Protect the Public From Environmental Non-
bor, MI( h Ann Arbor Scien{ e Publ l~her~ I n( , 1980) Ion\zrng Radiation Exposures, Washington, D C , Mar 29, 1978
“7P T y l e r , “ O v e r v i e w o f Radlatlon Rt’sear( h Past, f’resent a n d ‘ A W (;uy, “Non-l onlzlng Radiation. Doslmetry and lnterac-
Future, ” I n B Io/oHIca / / ffec ( $ 0 f Nom Ion IZ Inx Racf Ia t Ion, P Tyler tlon, ” I n Non-Ionizing Radiation, proceedings of a Toplca I Sym-
(ecf ) (New York Academy of Science\, annal~, VOI 2 4 7 , 1 9 7 5 ) posium, Nov 26-28, 1979, The American Conference of Govern-
““R Bower\, et al , ( ommun~catfon~ for a Mof)I/e $ocrety ( B e v - mental I ndustrlal Hyglenlsts, I nc , 1980
erly H I I Is, Ca I If \age PLI bl I cat Ion\, 1978) ( Bel I [ aboratorles and “‘Z R (;laser, “Basis for the NIOSH Radiofrequency and Mi-
G e n e r a l F Iectrl[ rec ommencfeci () 1 nlW ( m’ and 1 () rnW/cm’ crowave Rad Iatlon Criterl a Document, ” In N o n - I o n i z i n g Radia-
re~pect Ively as maxr m um perm I\\ I ble expofure I Im Its ) tion. proceedings of a Topical Symposium, Nov 26-28, 1979, The
““N H Steneck, H j C o o k , A j Vancfer, a n d C 1 Kane, “ T h e American (-onference of Governmental I ndustrlal Hyglen ists,
Origln$ of U S Safety Standard\ tor Microwave Kadlatlon, ’ Int , 1980
$c/cnce, VOI 208, pp 1230-1237, j une 1 ], 1980 “Dodge, Op clt
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 215

manently alter the function and replica- “microwave sickness” has been isolated as a
tion process of a biological unit;75 distinct occupational disease in the U. S. S. R.”
2. reorientation of dipole molecules in the It has also been argued that the Soviet ex-
microwave field and polarization of mol- posure levels are based on the occurrence of a
ecules that control membrane perme- biological effect whereas the U.S. guideline
abiIity; 76 reflects levels of known biological damage
3. biological electromagnetic interference in (with a safety margin). ” Moreover, it has been
which the microwave field disrupts or en- claimed that the Soviet standard has been set
hances the transfer of biological informa- without regard to the practical feasibility of
tion in the form of electromagnetic meeting such low levels. It is further argued
energy between molecuIes and celIs; 7 7 that in any case the standards are not en-
and forced, especially in the military sector,
4. field receptor interactions where neural although this would be difficult to sub-
tissue acts as a receptor of weak fields. 78 stantiate.
The discussion o f l o w - l e v e l e f f e c t s i s For many years the flow of information be-
hampered by the experimental difficulties of tween East European and Western researchers
isolating the various possible mechanisms. was restricted. Translation problems some-
Most U.S. microwave experts acknowledge the times also contributed to misunderstandings. 83
need for research on low-level effects, but re- This situation has improved considerably, and
main skeptical about their biological signifi- attempts are being made in the United States
cance, especially at the proposed SPS single to replicate many of the low-level experiments
frequency of continuous radiation. performed in other countries (although the
United States still has not sponsored any
The controversy over low-level effects has
clinical studies). Western literature is also
been fueled by the disparity between U.S. and
beginning to acknowledge the possibility of
U.S.S.R. research and exposure standards (see
behavioral response and selective sensitivity
table 14)—the Soviet standard is three orders
of organs to low levels .84 Partly for these
of magnitude lower than the U.S. guideline.
reasons, it is anticipated that new ANSI guide-
Some U.S. authors have attributed the differ-
lines will be established that are more stringent
ent standards to dissimilar research philoso-
than the present exposure levels (see fig. 41). At
phies. 79 F o r e x a m p l e , m i c r o w a v e s t u d i e s
the SPS frequency of 2.45 GH Z , the maximum
thought most valid by U.S. scientists are those
occupational exposure that is now being con-
performed in a controlled laboratory environ-
sidered is 5 mW/cm2. * EPA is also considering
ment, whereas Soviet researchers rely on clin- — .—
ical and “subjective” data as well. 80 In fact, “C H Dodge and Z R Glaser, “Biomedical Aspects of Radio
based on the complaints of radar personnel, Frequency and Microwave Radlatlon A Review of Selected Sovi-
et, East F u ropean, and Western References” I n Bio/ogica/ Effects
“K D Straub, “Molecular Absorption of Non-Ionizing Radia- of E Iectromagnetic Waves: .Se/ected Papers of the USNC/URSl
tion in Biological Systems” In The Ph yslca / Basis of Electromag- Annual/ Meeting, L L Johnson and M Shore (eds ), Boulder,
netic Interactions With Bio/ogica / Systems: Proceedings of a COIO , October 1975, USDHEW, (report No (FDA) 77-8010/8011),
Workshop, University of Maryland, june 15-17, 1 977, L Taylor Washington, D C 1976
and A Cheung (eds ), US DHEW, 1978, report No [FDA) 78-8055, “[1 Mlchaelson, In Symposium on the Bio/ogica/ Effects and
Washington, D C , April 1978 Health /mp/lcations of Microwave Radiation, S Cleary (ed ),
“A S Pressman, E/ectromagnet~c F)e/ds and Life (New Y o r k RI( hn~ond, 1969, USDHEW, report No BRH/DBE 70-2, 1970, pp
Plenum Press, 1970) 76-81
“lbld “‘F’rzemyslaw Czerskl, Department of Genetics, National Re-
“D R Justesen, et al , “Workshop on Radiation: Scientific, sear( h I nstltute of Mother and C h ild (Poland), private commu n i-
Technological, and Soclologlcal Implications of Research and catlon Sept 5, 1979
on Biological Effects of Radio-Frequency E Iectromagnetic Radi- “’C H Dodge and Z R Claser, “Trends In Non-ionizing Elec-
ations, ” In Proceedings of the 1978 Conference on U.S. Technical tromdgnetlc Radlatlon Bioeffects Research and Related Occu-
Po/icy (New York. IEEE, 1979) pational Health Aspects,” Iournal of Microwave Power, VOI 12,
“W C Milroy and S M Michelson, “The Microwave Contro- No ~ 1977, Pp 319-334
versy, ” /nternationa/ journa/ of Envlronmenta/ Studies, VOI 4, p *Thl\ level has been criticized by the National Resources
123, 1973 Defense Councrl as being arbitrary and not found with any
‘“D R J ustesen, Veterans’ Admlnlstratlon, private communi- recognition of possible nonthermal effects, see ch, 9, Pub/ic
cation, J u Iy 16, 1979 /5 $11(?’>
216 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 41 .—Comparison of Exposure Standards Figure 42.— Program Funding

1
10

,00
1

SOURCE: A. W. Guy, “Nonionizing Radiation: Dosimetry and Interaction,” in


NonionizingI?adiationj Proceedings of a Topical Symposium, Nov.
26-28, 1979, The American Conference of Governmental Industrial
Hygienists, Inc., 1980. FY-77 FY-78
$7.6 M $10.1 M
the development of exposure guidelines for SOURCE: Fifth Report on “Program for Contro/ of Electromagnetic Po//ution of
the Environment: The Assessment of Biological Hazards of Nonion-
the general population, although it does not Izmg Electromagnetic Radiation, ” NTIA report No. 79-19, U.S. Depart-
ment of Commerce, March 1979.
have the jurisdictional authority to enforce
standards. It is conceivable that future public
standards could be established at 1.0 mW/cm 2
elude the Department of Health and Human
o r b e l o w .8 5 T h e i m p a c t o f m o r e s t r i n g e n t
Services (the Bureau of Radiological Health/
standards on SPS design and concept viability
Food and Drug Administration, for example,
should be addressed.
sets emission standards for electronic products
Agencies. At present, the study of the bioef- such as microwave ovens); the Department of
fects of nonionizing radiation falls under the Labor (which sets occupational guidelines);
jurisdiction of 13 Federal agencies. 86 The allo- and EPA (which sets environment guidelines
cation of funds (currently about $15 million for other Federal agencies).
per year) is shown in figure 42. The agencies
The Federal effort has been coordinated at
primarily responsible for regulation and the
various times by other Federal agencies, but a
establishment of microwave guidelines 87 i n -
clear, dedicated, well managed and ade-
*’David, op. cit.
quately funded national program in micro-
8bF;fth Report on “program for Contro/ of Electromagnetic po/- wave bioeffects research is currently lacking.
Iution of the Environment: The Assessment of Biological Hazards To some extent, the ineffectiveness of the
of Nonionizing Electromagnetic Radiation, ” NT I A report No
79-19, U.S. Department of Commerce, March 1979.
agencies responsible for the management of
87
David, op cit the Federal program is due to lack of control
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 217

over the allocation of research funds .88 It is not contribute significantly to basic under-
also often the case that within each of the standing. In addition, long-term continuous
research and regulatory agencies, microwave studies are needed and project-specific re-
research receives low priority on the agency’s search is sporadic and unpredictable.
agenda. jurisdictional ambiguities have
Nonetheless, unless the Federal research ef-
caused some agencies to take a limited ap-
fort is consolidated into fewer agencies and
proach to research and protection. Multi-
given greater support, it is likely that an SPS
agency effort has also made public partici-
program would be required to sponsor micro-
pation and education difficult.
wave bioeffects studies as it did in the DOE
Often, the most cohesive and vigorous re- assessment. If the current climate continues,
search and evaluation of microwave bioeffects this research would not only gather informa-
take place in conjunction with one particular tion specifically relevant to SPS, but would
technology such as a radar facility. This is not probably be quite fundamental in nature. If a
always the best arrangement since in the past, microwave SPS program is pursued, the devel-
user agencies with vested interests have often opment of SPS would entail the involvement
been responsible for the assessment of health of the Federal agencies shown in table 4 4 .
and environmental impacts. Moreover, funda- State agencies might also be affected.
mental research is needed in order to elucidate
Conclusion. DOE-sponsored microwave
the mechanisms of interaction; technoiogy-
studies stimulated thinking about the design of
specific research is helpful but usually does
microwave bioeffects experiments, tended to
68
Tyler, op cit clarify research needs and obstacles and con-

Table 44.—SPS Development

SPS development phase Microwave aspect Agency involvement


- — —— . . .—. . .. —- . . . . - .
Basic research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - EPA, HEW/FDA, NASA
E n v i r o n m e n t a l a n d p u b l i c h e a l t h e f f e c t s DOE,
evaluation MPTS technology
Applied research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Conduct experiments and further define DOE, NASA, HEW/FDA, Department of
health and safety risks of MPTS to Labor/OSHA EPA
public, the environment and SPS
workers
Exploratory development . . . . . . . . . . Preliminary standards development HEW/FDA, DO E/EV, EPA, HEW/FDA,
radiation exposure standards Bureau of Radiological Health, Department
occupational health and safety of Labor/OSHA
standards development
Technology development . . . . . . . . . . Final standards for MPTS chosen HEW/FDA, DOE/EV, EPA, DOL/OSHA
occupational health and safety
standards finalization
Engineering development. . . . . . . . . . Preparation of environmental impact Council on Environmental Quality
Demonstration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Guidelines for health and safety Department of Labor/OSHA
(worker) enforcement
Guidelines for public health and safety HEW/FDA-Bureau of Radiological Health,
environmental impact statements EPA, Council on Environmental Quality
Commercialization. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Review guidelines for worker Department of Labor/OSHA
health and safety
Review guidelines for public health HEW/FDA, EPA
and safety
Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Enforcement of guidelines for Department of Labor/OSHA
worker health and safety
Enforcement of regulations for EPA
public health and safety
Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Enforcement of guidelines for worker Department of Labor/OSHA
health and safety
Enforcement of guidelines for public EPA
health and safety
SOURCE: L. David, A Study of Federa/ M/crowave Standards, DOE/NASA report No DOE/ER-10041 .02, August 1980.

83-316 0 - 81 - 15
218 Ž Solar Power Satellites

tributed to an increased study capability. focus the laser beam if a plane did happen to
While the results of these studies are useful, fly through it.
the time and resource constraints of the SPS
The primary risk to the public and nearby
assessment program precluded a thorough re-
ecosystems outside of the direct beam wouId
search agenda; in particular, no studies on
be due to laser light scattered from clouds,
long-term exposure to low levels of micro-
dust and the receptor site. This “spill over” of
waves could be initiated and little more could
laser power (less than 1 percent) would neces-
be done to improve our theoretical under-
sitate establishing a buffer zone surrounded by
standing. In spite of the general acknowl-
an opaque, talI fence. 93 As shown in figure 33,
edgment by the microwave community of the
it has been estimated that a protection radius
need for studies of chronic, low-level exposure,
of 300 to 800 m wouId be required in order to
practically no such studies are underway or
limit public exposure at the perimeter to 10
planned. Clearly, if many of the fundamental
m W/cm a recommended maximum whole-
questions about the bioeffects of microwaves
body irradiance limit. 94 More research would
are to be resolved within the next one or two
be needed to verify this exposure guideline
decades, a more comprehensive, dedicated na-
and to investigate the effects of chronic ex-
tional research program will be needed.
posure to low level laser radiation. For visible
Iaser beams, the risk of ocular damage could
LASER LIGHT
be increased at the receiving site if magnifying
The biological risks associated with the laser
devices were used. Prolonged occupational ex-
system have been assessed only to a very Iim-
posure at infrared power densities greater than
ited degree. The power density of the focused
10 mW/cm2 would be of particular concern,
laser system beam would be sufficiently great
especially for the cornea. Workers at receiving
to incinerate biological matter.”’ Safety meas-
sites wouId probably be required to wear pro-
ures (such as a perimeter fence and pilot beam
tective clothing and eye goggles.
system) would have to be devised in order to
avoid beam wandering and the direct exposure Hazards outside of the site have not been
of the nearby public and ecosystems. Less easy assessed. It is unlikely that wildlife or vegeta-
to protect would be birds and insects flying tion at the receptor site would survive. 95 T h e
through the beam; without some sort of warn- etfects of the low level laser Iight on eco-
ing device they wouId be incinerated. 90 It is not systems outside of the receptor area are not
known if air-borne biota would be aware of the known It is possible that certain infrared sen-
beam, and if so whether they would be at- sitive Insects would be attracted to the laser
tracted to or avoid it. Siting studies should beam, but this requires further study .9’
consider migratory flyways and local bird
The bulk of research on the biological ef-
populations.
fects of lasers is not directly applicable to the
It has been suggested that aircraft be re- infrared lasers that have been suggested for
stricted from the power beam area. 91 While it SPS Most studies have concentrated on the
is not expected that jets and their passengers effects on the eyes and skin of visible and near
would suffer any damage in traversing the infrared lasers in a puIsed mode. The standards
beam due to their high speed and infrared re- that have been promulgated pertain predomi-
flectivity, slower flying, less reflective aircraft nantly to short-term occupational exposure to
could be affected. More important, laser light
specularly reflected from an airplane would
———
present an ocular hazard to the public. 92 A ‘ ‘Beverly, op clt
radar warning system might be devised to de- ‘“[3 H Sllney, K W Vorpahl, a n d D C Wlnburn, “Envlron-
nlenta I H ea Ith Hazards From H lgh-Powered I nfra red Laser De-
“’Beverly, op clt V I <-e $ ‘ ‘ \rch Envlronmenta/ Ffea/th, VOI 30, April 1975, pp
‘OWalbrldge, op clt 174170
9’ Beverly, op clt “‘W~lhrldge, op clt
92
Walbrldge, op clt ““lhl(i
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 219

lasers operating in a controlled indoor environ- fects would occur. Nonetheless, research
ment such as a laboratory or medical facility. should be conducted in this area. The effects
Few studies have examined the effects of of changing the night sky also need to be
chronic exposure at SPS-like power densities studied for ecosystems both near and distant
and under SPS environmental conditions. A from the site. Ecosystems could also be in-
summary of known effects on the skin and directly affected by weather modification in-
eyes is presented in appendix D. duced by the mirror system.

REFLECTED LIGHT FROM THE MIRROR SYSTEM LIGHT REFLECTED FROM REFERENCE SYSTEM
The light reflected by the mirror system to The transportation vehicles, construction
Earth would be visible at night as a general and staging bases, and the satellite structure of
glow at up to 150 km from the receiving site. ” the orbiting satellite systems will reflect
The potential health impact of most concern is sunlight, discernible on Earth. Some specular
ocular damage from either the scattered light reflections from reference system components
or from direct exposure to reflected light as may be exceptionally bright due to their large
the mirror image sweeps across the Earth dur- size, low altitude, and reflectivity. 1 o o M o s t
ing orientation maneuvers. Since the CoIIective specular reflection would be restricted to
intensity of all the mirrors at one site would be small, fast moving spots or “glints” as the
equal to that present in the desert at noon, it structures and vehicles change orientation.
appears that the intensity of Iight would be too The worst cases, which may exceed acceptable
low to be of danger to the observer. One in- limits, occur for reflections from the solar
vestigation revealed that under the worst con- panels of the OTVS while in LEO, and the back
ditions (i.e., staring, no blinking) it would be of the solar panels in CEO. Diffuse reflections,
safe to view the mirrors directly for at least 2.4 brighter than most stellar sources would make
minutes. ” No information is available regard- the LEO OTV staging base visible during the
ing the ocular effect produced when an indi- day It may be possible to reduce most of these
vidual views the mirrors with a binocular or reflections by controlIing the orientation, sur-
telescope. The psychological effects of a “24- face curvatures, solar panel alignment and sur-
hour day” or aIterations of the sky near the face quality of the vehicles and structures.
sites also needs to be studied. Reflection of visible light from the compo-
nents of other SPS technical options may be
The ecological impacts have not been as-
similar to the reference system depending on
sessed. It is known that the polarization, fre-
the orbit and size of transportation vehicles
quency and intensity of light as well as the
and space structures.
percentage of daylight hours influence the
behavior, navigation, and lifecycle of many The effects on the public and ecosystems
species of wildlife and vegetation; many have yet to be evaluated in depth. One study
species have inherent biological clocks or cir- found that the reflections from the reference
cadian rhythms that are triggered by the diur- system would be bright but not dangerous to
n a l a n d s e a s o n a l v a r i a t i o n s o f s u n l i g h t .9 9 the human eye 101 unless viewed for too long or
However, ecosystems in the area surrounding with a magnifying device. Studies would be
the receiver site would be exposed to low further needed to evaluate the ground illu-
levels of incremental sunlight and so it does mination in terms of human exposure limits
not appear Iikely that significant biological ef- and to explore any possible psychological ef-
fects While DOE has tentatively concluded
97 that plants and animals would not be unduly
Billman, private communlcatlon, op clt
‘*M T Hyson, “Sunllght ReflectIons From a Solar Power Satel-
lite or S O L A R E S Mirrors Should Not Harm the Eyes, ” In The Flr-ra/ “’(’D [ Llemohn, D H Tlngey, and B R Sperber, “Character-
Proceeding of the Solar Power .$atellite Program Review, Apr izat lorl of Reflected L Ight From the Space Power System, ” In The
22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA report No Conf -800491, July 1980 Findl Proceed)ngb of the Solar Power Satellite Program Revfew,
“McGraw-Hi/l Encyclopedia of Science and Technology, V O I Apr IL 25, 1980, DO E/NAsA report No Conf -800491, ) uly 1980
10 (New York McGraw-Hill Book Co , 1977) ‘‘“ I+v\on, op cIt
220 • Solar Power Satellites

affected by the reflected light, ecosystem ef- Table 46.—Representative Noise Levels
fects are largely uncertain. More research Due to Various Sources
would be needed to investigate how altera- Source or description of noise - Noise level (db)
tions of the day and night sky could influence Threshold of-pain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120
behavior, navigation, and Iifecycles of wildlife Riveter 95
and vegetation. Elevated train” . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . 90
Busy street traffic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
Ordinary conversation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
Noise Quiet automobile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Quiet radio in home . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Noise is generated during rocket launches Average whisper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
and the construction of receiving stations. Rustle of leaves. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Threshold of hearing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0
With respect to the latter, the highest n o i s e — —. —
levels w o u l d r e s u l t f r o m h e a v y e q u i p m e n t SOURCE Errv/ronrnenfa/ Assessment for tire Satelllte Power System Concepf
Development and Evaluatlorr Program, DO EIER-0069, August 1980
used to prepare the site and build the support
structure. The DOE prototype siting study con-
concluded that launch noise wouId not inter-
cluded that it would be unlikely that signifi-
fere significantly with speech (interruption for
cant noise-related impacts on the public and
2 minutes at 30 km twice a day), but that inter-
most animals located 2 km or more from the
ference with sleep could occur 30 km from the
prototype construction site would occur. ’ 0 2
site Table 47 presents an estimate of the
For some machinery, occupational noise
number of people annoyed by the noise as a
standards would be exceeded. Mitigation
function of distance. Sonic booms would also
measures include ear protection devices, muf-
be generated; pressure levels are shown for
flers for machinery, and special insulation in
HLLVs and PLVs in table 48. The HLLV sonic
factories.
booms would not cause injury but would in-
Very high noise levels would be associated voke gross body movements and might inter-
with launch vehicles during ascent and reentry. fere with sleep. It has been suggested that the
Table 45 presents the estimated noise pro- trajectories of launch vehicles should avoid
duced by the HLLV. Table 46 is exhibited for population areas.
comparison. A preliminary assessment indi-
The effects of noise on wildlife include star-
cates that the OHSA standard of 115 db(A)
tle responses and disruption of diurnal and
would be exceeded within 1,500 m of the
reproductive cycles that could be particularly
launch pad, and the EPA guideline violated
significant in endangered species habitats. It
within 3,000 m. 103 Using the Kennedy Space
has been suggested that wildlife would adapt
Center as a prototype launch site, the study
to the noise, but this is not clear. ’04 While the
noise generated by the space shuttle is not ex-
“)’ Protot ype Envlronmenta/ Assessment of the /mpacts of $Irlrrg
and Construct~ng a Sate//fte Power $ y~rem ( SP$) Ground /7ecelv- pected to be serious, the effects of HLLVs
Irrg Stat Ion (C RS), op c It wouId be greater because of the increased fre-
“’JEnvlronmenta/ Assessment for the \ate//lte Power System — — . .
Concept Development and Eva/uat/on Pro#ram, op clt “ ‘Ibid

Table 45.— Estimated Sound Levels of HLLV Launch Noise


——
Distance from launch pad
.
Sound level and duration 300 m 1,500 m 3,000 m 9,000 m 30,000 m
OASPL a (dB) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 136 130 120 109
A-level b [db(A)] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 114 105 89 72
Duration(s) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 42 54 77 77
= z
aOASPL: overall sound pressure level expressed In decibels (db) above the level corresponding to a reference pressure of 20 pa (pa= Pascal 1 N/m )
bA-ievei: Weighted average sound level over the frequency spectrum In accordance with the Performance of the human ear
SOURCE: Env/ronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate//lte Power System Concept Deve/opmerrf dftd Eva/uat/on Program, DOE/ER-0069, August 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health Ž 221

Table 47.–Community Reaction to HLLV decrease in ozone corresponds to a 2-percent


Launch Noise increase in biological h a r m f u l u l t r a v i o l e t
Percent of people highly
radiation that reaches the Earth, 107 the effects
Distance from launch point (m) annoyed a of SPS on the ozone layer has been studied.
300 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 preliminary analysis concludes that the change
1,500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 in ozone brought about b y S P S l a u n c h e f f l u -
3,000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
9,000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
ents would be negligible, but further study is
30,000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 requ i red. 108
aBa~edon a24.hraverage of thenowe The deployment of SPS would also require
SOURCE Env/ronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate///(e Power System Concept the mining, production, and transport of cer-
Deve/opmentand Eva/uat/on Program DOE/ER-0069, August 1980
tain toxic materials. Some toxic materials such
as hydrocarbons could also be released from
Table 48.—Sonic Boom Summary (Pa) fuel burning in the launch and recovery of
——— space vehicles. Rocket propellants such as liq-
Vehicle Launch Reentry
u id hydrogen are of special concern because
HLLV booster . ‘1 ,200 190
— they are toxic, flammable, and explosive. 109 A
HLLV orbiter . . . . . . . 140
PLV booster. . . . . . . . 770 140 spill of liquid oxygen would adversely affect
PLV orbiter. . . . . . . . . — 70 local ecosystems. However, no information is
SOURCE Env/ronmenfa/ Assessment–for the Sate///te Power System Concept
available to quantify the exposure or risk to
Deve/opmenf and Eva/uat/on Program DOE/ER-0069, August 1980 the public, workers or ecosystems. An incre-
mental increase in the risk of catastrophic ex-
plosions or fire is thought possible, especially
quency and level of noise, due especially to because of the large amount of fuels involved;
sonic booms. the occupational risk, of course, being consid-
Terrestrial workers would be exposed to erably higher than that for the public.
noise levels higher than the general public and Launch and recovery accidents are not likely
wouId require hearing protection. 105 P o s s i b l e to have any more impact on the public than
hearing damage and pyschological effects conventional aircraft accidents, although it
should be studied in Iight of the unprece- has been suggested that flight trajectories
dented frequency and size of launches. avoid populated areas. The noise and shock
waves from a catastrophic explosion of an
Other Risks HLLV could possibly blow out windows and
doors in buildings up to 15 km from the launch
Quantitative studies are needed to deter- pad ‘‘
mine SPS impacts on air and water quality and
the generation of solid wastes. It is currently
assumed that these impacts would be compar-
Space Environment
able to typical industries and powerplants (ex- Many space workers would be needed to
cept coal) and that unusually high risks would construct and maintain an SPS system. The
not be encountered by the public and terres- reference design, for example, requires 18,000
trial workers that could not be minimized or person-years in space; 112 workers would serve
corrected. ‘)() The effects on ecosystems are ten 90-day tours over 5 years. Other SPS de-
less certain. signs may have different personnel require-
DOE has concluded that acid rain from the ments, but they will not be specifically ad-
SPS launch ground cloud would be localized, “)’} Hamer, “Ozone Controversy, ” Editor/a/ Research Reports,
temporary and minimal. Because of the conse- VOI 1, No 11, 1976
quences of ozone depletion, i.e., a l-percent ‘‘“l bl[i
““l bld
‘ “)1 bid
“)’lbld ‘ ‘ ‘ Ibid
“’hlbld ‘‘ ‘Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, op clt
222 • Solar Power Satellites

dressed here. The health effects of the space considered, the health and safety of space per-
environment are potentially serious, but highly sonnel should be a high-priority research task,
uncertain; experience with people in space is
The principal health and safety risks of the
limited to a few highly trained astronauts who
space segment of SPS are illustrated in figure
lived mostly in LEO for a maximum of a few
43. Effects on the general health and safety of
months. 113 NASA’s current ground-based pro-
space workers such as acceleration and
gram as well as future activities with the space
weightlessness are discussed in appendix D.
shuttle and space operations center will yield
information relevant to SPS space worker The most serious potential health risk of the
health and safety. DOE does not consider the space environment is exposure to ionizing radi-
potential health effects an obstacle to con- ation. The types of radiation found in the
tinued planning and development of SPS, 114 different SPS orbits are listed in table 49.
but if this and other space projects are to be Exposure to radiation in CEO and in transit
between LEO and CEO are of most concern
because, under the reference system scenario,
workers spend approximately 91 percent of

Figure 43.— Factors Pertinent to Space Worker Health and Safety

Space structure
charging High voltages
Electric and \ / Construction

Transport ce debris
accidents eoroids

accidents

Construction
accidents
o

Space debris
Life p
failure Transport accidents

transport accidents
acceleration/deceleration

SOURCE Program Assessment Report Statement of Findings Satelltte Power Systems ;oncept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/NASA report No
DOE/E R-0085 November 1980
Ch. 8—Environment and Health ● 223

Table 49.—Types of Radiation Found in the Estimates of the radiation dose for exposed
Different SPS Orbits SPS space workers are uncertain. Few measure-
GEO ments have been made of the radiation fIux in
● Radiation belts G E O . 117 It is also difficult to quantify the radi-
—Electrons—dominant when shielding is less than ation levels at any one time because solar
3gm/cm 2 aluminum
—Bremsstrahlung —produced by electron interactions with storms that significantly increase the levels are
shielding—dominant when shielding is greater than currently impossible to predict. Moreover,
3 gm/cm2 aluminum there is considerable controversy over the
—Protons—low energy—stopped by minimal shielding
● Galactic cosmic rays
models that are used to estimate the amount
—Protons of energy absorbed in the human body as well
—Helium ions as the biological consequences of the ab-
—High-energy, heavy ions
● Solar particle events— i.e., particles accelerated to high sorbed radiation. 118 The most significant long-
energies during a solar f I are term effect of ionizing radiation is cancer.
—Protons Cancer risk depends on a number of factors in-
—Heavy nuclei
cluding the total I-fetime dose-equivalent;
Travel Between Orbits
• Radiation belts dose rate; duration of exposure; and the age,
—Bremsstrahlung radiation produced by electrons sex, and susceptibiIity of the exposed
—Protons person. 9
LEO
. South Atlantic Anomaly DOE has estimated that space workers for
—Protons
the SPS reference design (which includes mod-
—Electrons—low energy—stopped by minimal shielding
est shielding— 3 g/cm 2 aluminum for habitat
SOURCE: Margaret R. White, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, private com-
munication, Feb. 12, 1981 and work stations and 20 to 30 g/cm 2 for the
storm cellar, used during solar particle events)
their time in the higher orbit where the radia- would receive 40 reins per 90-day tour or 400
tion environment is the most severe. 115 In GEO, reins for the planned 10 tours. 120 This estimate
except under the unusual circumstance of a
could be inaccurate (probably too high) by a
large solar flare, the major part of the radia- factor of 5 or 10.2’ However, the biological im-
tion dose in the reference system would be due pacts could actually be higher than this dose
to bremsstrahlung produced by the interaction wouId indicate if HZE bioeffects are taken into
of high-energy electrons with the shielding account and/or a solar particle event occurs. I n
material. The biological effects of this kind of
spite of the large uncertainties, it is almost cer-
radiation are reasonably well understood, and
tain that reference system exposure w o u l d e x -
innovative shielding might reduce this dose.
ceed current Iimits for radiation workers as
However, r a d i a t i o n f r o m t h e h i g h - e n e r g y , recommended by the National Council on Ra-
heavy ions (HZE) in galactic cosmic rays can-
diation Protection and the International Com-
not be stopped by conventional shielding and
mission on Radiological Protection. 122 For
their biological effects are currently very
comparison, the general popuIation receives
poorly understood. F r o m t h e o r e t i c a l c o n -
about 0.1 rem/year on the average; 123 o c c u p a -
siderations and preliminary experiments it ap-
pears that they may be much more effective in ‘ 7M~rgaret R White, L a w r e n c e B e r k e l e y L a b o r a t o r y , p r i v a t e
communlcatlon, Feb 12, 1981
causing biological damage than other types of ‘‘ “Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, op. c It
ionizing particles. Thus, though they con- ‘ “1 1 Lyman, “Hazards to Workers From Ionizing Radiation
tribute a small fraction of the total radiation In the S PS E nvlronment, ” in The Final Proceeding of the Solar
Power $ate//ite Program Review, Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA
dose in the reference system, they are of major
report No Conf -800491, July 1980
concern with regard to the health of space ‘J{)lonlzlng Radiation Risks to Sate//lte P o w e r .Systems (SPS)
w o r k e r s . 116 WorLer>r op clt
‘” Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, op clt
‘ “ionizing Radiation Risks to Satellite Power Systems [SPS) ‘‘Zlbld
Workers, LBL-9866, November 1980, advance copy ‘‘ ‘Committee on the Blologlcal Effects of Ionlzlng Radiation,
1“M R White, Environmental Assessment for the Satellite The F f fects on Populations of Exposure to Low Leve/s of Ionizing
Power System, Non-Microwave Health and Ecological Effects, Racflat/on (BE/R ///), N a t i o n a l A c a d e m y o f Sciences, 1980,
DOE, in press (1981) tvpesc rlpt edltlon
224 ● Solar Power Satellites

tional exposure l i m i t s ( f o r b l o o d t e r m i n g risks associated with the reference system


organs) are 3 reins for 90 days and 5 reins over couId be reduced with additional or innovative
1 y e a r ;1 2 4 a n d t h e N A S m a x i m u m r e c o m - shielding. Analysis is needed to determine if
mended exposure limit (for bone marrow) for better shielding techniques can be devised that
astronauts is 35 reins for 90 days, 75 reins over would not incur a greater weight or cost pen-
l-year period and 400 reins for Iife. 125 If space alty. Studies are also needed to examine to
worker careers were 5 years, with 90 days in what extent additional shielding mass will in-
space alternated with 90 days on Earth, it crementally reduce risks of exposure to most
would be expected that for each 10,000 radiation (because secondary radiation can be
workers in space, between 320 to 2,000 addi- produced as the thickness is increased), 129 or if
tional cancer deaths in excess of normal can- shielding materials can be developed to stop
cer mortality would occur. 126 An issue critical HZE particles.
to SPS design and economics is whether the
DOE has concluded that as presently de-
radiation standards developed for astronauts
signed, the reference system construction
should be applied to SPS workers. 127
scenario is unacceptable. 130 Risks could be
Risks could be reduced in a number of ways. reduced if personnel spent more time in LEO.
For example, the time per tour and the number More study is required to improve the current
of tours per worker could be decreased. Ro- assessment and to explore the impacts on the
bots and teleoperation could be used to re- system Cost and feasibility of modifications of
duce the number of people required in space. the reference system in order to minimize ion-
It is also essential that accurate, quick and izing radiation hazards.
rugged dosimeters be developed that monitor
I n sum, research priorities include:
the real-time radiation flux and energy levels
t o w h i c h e a c h i n d i v i d u a l i s e x p o s e d .128 i n - ● measurements of radiation flux in CEO.
struments would also have to be developed to This can be done with CEO satellites; the
warn personnel in GEO of solar storms or other space shuttle and space operations center
unforeseen high radiation events so that they wilI provide data on LEO;
can move to shelters. Considerable improve- ● study of the bioeffects of HZE particles;
ments in dosimeter technology are needed ● continued study of radiation bioeffects
since present devices are not very accurate and refinement of models;
and take a long time to display radiation ● improvement in dosimetry techniques and
levels. Shielding is also crucial Some of the shielding technology; and
● for SPS, improved analysis of exposure
24
’ W Schimmerling and S Curtis (eds ), Workshop on the Radi- risk, and shielding techniques, considera-
ation Environment of the Satellite Power System (SPS], Sept 15, tion of exposure limits, and assessment of
1978, DOE, Conf -7809164, December 1979
1251b;d the viability of workers in space: tradeoffs
‘2’Whke, Environment/ Assessment for the Sate//ite power between human health, system feasibility,
System, Non-Microwave Health and Ecological Effects, op cit and economics.
‘*’Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, op cit
‘2’ Environmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System 12“ProgrJm Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, op cit
Concept Development and Evacuation Program, op clt ‘ ‘“l bld
Chapter 9
INSTITUTIONAL ISSUES
Contents

Page
Financing, Ownership, and Control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
Space and Energy Sectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
Government-Private Sector Relat ons .., . . . . . . . . . 227
Phases of SPS Development. . . ... . . . . . . . 229
Possible Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .230
The Implications for the Utility Industry . . . . . . 23.5
I n t r o d u c t i o n . . . 235
The Utilities’ Planning Process. . . . . . . . 235
Engineering Implications of the SPS for the Utilities Grid . . . 239
Regulatory Implications of SPS . . . . . . . . 243
General Implications for the SPS . . . . . . . 245
Issues Arising in the Public Arena . . . ... 247
The SPS Debate . . . . . . . . 247
Siting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258

TABLES

Table No. Page


50. Characteristics of the SPS System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236
51. Major Grid Contingencies . . .237
52. Potential for Power Variations From the Reference System SPS . . . .241
53. Major Issues Arising in SPS Debate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250
54. Potential Benefits and Drawbacks of SPS “Technical Options . . . 259

FIG U RE
Figure No, Page
44. Phases of R&D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238
Chapter 9
INSTITUTIONAL ISSUES

FINANCING, OWNERSHIP, AND CONTROL


The questions of who would finance, own, Energy
and control a solar power satelIite (SPS), and to
what extent, are interrelated. As a project that EIectricity is provided by public and private
would involve the Nation’s space and energy utilities, which are regional monopolies reg-
sectors, as well as several Government agen- ulated by State authorities. R&D and construc-
cies, there are numerous issues to be con- tion of generating equipment—turbines, nu-
sidered regarding the proper allocation of risks clear reactors, switching gear— is done by pri-
and responsibilities. The following discussion vate firms, who sell to utilities. The utilities
will examine: 1 ) current policy and structure of operate and maintain equipment, build trans-
the space and energy sectors; 2) the relation mission lines, and market electricity to end-
between Government and private-sector activ- users Due to severe capital constraints and a
ities; 3) the importance of distinguishing be- lack of expertise in space operations, utilities
tween the different phases of SPS develop- are unlikely to own and operate SPS in the way
ment and operation; and 4) possible historical they currently do with other types of power-
and hypothetical models for an SPS project. plants, though they may well be responsible
for the ground-receivers. In the case of SPS,
there is a question as to who would carry out
Space and Energy Sectors these various activities,
Space Although energy production in the United
I n the United States, space capabilities have States has traditionally been handled in a
been primarily instigated and funded by the decentralized manner by private industry, in-
Federal Government (with much of the actual creased sensitivity to the importance of energy
development and construction done by private issues since the 1973 oil embargo has led to
firms under contract to the National Aero- various attempts at formulating a national
nautics and Space Administration (NASA)). energy policy, centered in the newly created
Launchers, launch facilities, and tracking net- Department of Energy (DOE). DOE’s scope and
works are currently Government monopolies responsibilities in areas such as basic research
that may be leased to private companies, and engineering have yet to be determined;
Government agencies, or foreign countries for funding is being provided for projects in
specified purposes. Only certain payloads are photovoltaics, conservation, nuclear power,
built and owned by nongovernmental bodies. synfuels, and other areas. DOE can be ex-
Within the Government, NASA is responsible pected to have a prime role in any SPS project.
for R&D of civilian space-systems that, when
development is completed and the operational Government-Private Sector Relations
stage begins, are turned over to another part of
What would be the degree of Federal in-
Government or to the private sector. Scientific
volvement with the SPS at different stages,
missions, such as deep-space probes, are run
such as R&D, construction, and operation; and
by NASA, as are launch facilities such as Cape
in different areas, especially financing, trans-
Canaveral. Military and intelligence opera-
portation and transmission, and marketing?
tions are largely separate even in the R&D
phases, with control exercised by the Depart- The arguments for Federal involvement cen-
ment of Defense (DOD) or specific intelligence ter around fears that the private sector will not
agencies. be able to undertake an SPS project, because

227
228 ● Solar Power Satellites

of the very high costs and risks, and the long ments. Uncertainty, whether technical, politi-
and uncertain payback period. There is also cal, or economic wilI deter potential investors.
concern that private-sector development, even
The incentives required to spur any private
if economically feasible, might be detrimental
interest would in themselves involve draw-
because of monopoly by a single firm or con-
backs. A company taking a major risk on SPS
sortium, and environmental and international
would expect to be compensated by exclusive
policy considerations requiring public control.
patents and other guarantees, in effect with a
Cost estimates for different SPS scenarios monopoly. Government regulation would have
are very imprecise; the most comprehensive to take risks into account by allowing a very
estimates have been done by NASA for the high rate of return, i.e., allowing the owners to
reference design and calI for a total invest- charge high rates for SPS electricity. A private
ment of $102 billion (1977 dollars) over 22 monopoly charging above-average prices
years for construction of the first 5-GW SPS, could prove to be politically embarrassing.
i.e., before any return on investment (see ch. 5).
An SPS system will require a great deal of
The key questions are whether the private sec-
political support both locally, nationally, and
tor can or would raise these amounts of
internationally: land-use conflicts, monopoly
capital, a n d h o w i n v e s t m e n t c o s t s and
considerations, environmental standards, tax
management responsibilities might be shared
incentives, and radio frequency allocations are
between Government and industry.
a few of the political issues that SPS will need
Though the reference figures are highly ten- to confront. Private development and owner-
tative, the general magnitude of the project ship may be seen as leading to an excessive
and its division into discrete stages are likely concentration of power outside effective pub-
to be similar regardless of what design is used. lic control
None of the alternatives has been examined in
nearly the detail of the reference design, large- Difficulties With Federal Involvement
ly because the technologies are less well-devel- Any large long-term project, public or pri-
oped. The following discussion will focus on vate, dealing with advanced technology may
reference figures but should be applicable to suffer from financial and management prob-
any SPS system of similar magnitude. lems: lack of coordination between parts of
the program; inadequate supervision of con-
Difficulties With Private Involvement tractors; financial and production bottlenecks
A total investment of $40 billion to $100 in specific areas that delay other parts of the
billion over 22 years–with additional much program; inaccurate initial estimates of costs
larger investments to build a complete sys- and completion times, and so on. However,
tem —would be unprecedented for private-sec- Government programs often have special con-
tor financing of a single project. straints that need to be taken into account.
Without a profit motive and the discipline of
Private capital can be raised by borrowing, responsibility to owners and stockholders,
issuing bonds or stocks for sale to the public, there is less incentive to reduce costs. Civil
or from profits. Especially in the first years, service regulations can interfere with hiring
borrowed funds would be available, if at all, and firing and limit salary ranges, decreasing
only at prohibitively high interest rates. Stocks flexibility and making it difficult to retain per-
and bonds would be unlikely to attract large sonnel Annual Government funding produces
investors when profitabiIity Iies some 30 years uncertainties and leaves programs vulnerable
in the future. Both institutional investors and to political pressures and pork-barrel com-
large corporations allocate only a small pro- promises. Government-funded R&D in the pub-
portion of their funds for high-risk long-term lic domain requires special supervision, since
projects; in some cases, such as pension funds, without the incentive of exclusive rights to
there are legal limitations on high-risk invest- patents and processes, firms doing research
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 229

may tend to inflate costs and draw out delivery mercial operation, that internal procedures
scheduIes. 1 Any extensive Government funding and structure are appropriate to private owner-
could divert funds from other space, energy, ship, and that the transition from development
and R&D programs, whose backers might ask to operation proceeds smoothly.
for compensation.
The SPS would consist of a number of dis-
Explicit Federal involvement may increase tinct systems, each of which must be devel-
the probability of military participation in oped separately and simultaneously: e.g.,
some or all SPS activities, complicating most transportation, energy conversion and trans-
forms of international cooperation and mission, orbital construction, and ground sta-
possibly leading to detrimental changes in the tions launchers and solar cells, for instance,
SPS design or operating characteristics. may be useful and profitable regardless of
Finally, a federally financed or owned SPS whether SPS is built or not. Should their
would increase centralized control over an im- development be charged to SPS? If so, their
portant sector of the economy and would lead use and sale might help to offset the risks of
to greater politicization of America’s energy the program as a whole; on the other hand,
industry. their development adds considerably to the
SPS cost. It can be argued that public funding
should be reserved for those parts of the proj-
Phases of SPS Development
ect that private investors will not handle and
Federal v. private investment is not an that segments with near-term commercial ap-
either/or proposition. I n general, Federal in- plications should be left to the private sector.
volvement would be necessary in the early As in any complex program, there is the ques-
stages, and become increasingly less so, tion of internal apportionment of risks and
assuming the system remains technically and benefits. Successful items can help to sub-
financially feasible, as the project becomes sidize less profitable projects, provided funds
operational. The basic problem is how to dif- are transferable from one division to another,
ferentiate between the various and overlap- allowing for risky high-return investments, but
ping stages and ensure adequate management also for Edsels.
and continuity throughout.
In the case of SPS it is essential that each
SPS development can be divided into suc- component be developed on time and to the
cessive stages (as described in ch. 5): research, proper specifications for the system as a whole
engineering, demonstration, and so on. Federal to function. Management must be given suffi-
financing and management of the research cient authority to produce appropriate prod-
and engineering phases might turn into a com- ucts., even if particuIar divisions suffer; say, if
bined Federal-private program as more directly SPS solar cell designs are not optimal for
commercial phases were undertaken. The ground-based users. Major investors in a pri-
question is at what point and to what degree vately funded SPS wiII have their own particu-
private investors will be willing to enter the lar interest–aerospace companies in launch-
project. On the one hand, investors would ers, electronics firms in microwave hardware,
prefer to see as much as possible paid for by utilities in delivered power — that could com-
the Government; but early investors would promise the project’s overall goals. Govern-
have an advantage in setting program pri- ment supervision, whether by partial owner-
orities and establishing a dominant position. ship, reguIatory oversight, or appointment of
Involvement of owners and operators at the d i rectors, may mitigate certain confIicts but is
earliest possible stages would help to ensure no guarantee of smooth saiIing. Federal con-
that the completed system is suited for com- cern for a broadly conceived public interest
may be affected by a desire for continued con-
I Mark Cersovltz, “Report on Certain E conornlc Aspects of the
SPS Energy Program, ” OTA ( ontrdf I No ()} 3-26700, 1980, pp
trol and supervision, or by the interests of par-
1719 ticuIar agencies. For instance, DOD may place
230 ● Solar Power Satellites

emphasis on booster and LEO to CEO trans- operates specific faciIities (on a cost-reim-
port development for its use (see ch. 7), bursable basis) for research and launches.
perhaps affecting launcher design or the allo- ● Advantages. – NASA is already in place, with
cation of program funds. NASA may wish to
22 years of experience. It has well-estab-
emphasize and prolong the R&D phase. An-
lished relationships with private contractors,
nual budget review may increase costs by cre-
other parts of the Government, and foreign.
ating uncertainty and requiring project mana-
companies and Government agencies. It has
gers to spend large amounts of time drawing
the technical and administrative expertise to
up and justifying annual budgets.
evaluate most of the major components of
the SPS, many of which— interorbit transfer
Possible Models vehicles, assembly and construction facil-
ities — are part of current NASA plans.
Perhaps the best way to further examine
possible financing and management scenarios ● Disadvantages. –Annual funding for NASA
is through historical and hypothetical models projects creates difficulties in implementing
that might be applicable to SPS. In each in- long-term plans that are likely to go in and
stance there are several questions to be asked: out of political favor. It also hampers
1) Is it complete: can this model support an agreements with foreign firms and agencies,
SPS program from start to finish, or is it ap- that have had problems in the past when
plicable only to certain phases or components? NASA budget cuts have forced cancellation
2) How are risks apportioned: who pays, and of joint programs. Legislative changes to
who reaps the benefits of a successful project? permit ongoing funding would greatly im-
3] How efficient and flexible is it: can it adapt prove NASA’s position.
to changing economic and technical circum- NASA’s emphasis on R&D and prototype
stances, and can it attract support from a development (NASA’s ability to participate
variety of sources, particularly foreign in- in commercial ventures is unclear and sub-
vestors? ject to restrictions) could create problems in
developing a commercial product such as
Historical Models SPS; NASA might have to relinquish control
NASA after the demonstration phase. There is
often reluctance to complete R&D phases,
NASA is an independent Government
since completion means loss of the project.
agency with a general mandate to engage in
Coordination with eventual users and own-
R&D and testing and to conduct launches for
ers may be underemphasized. Amending
civilian space activities. Although NASA has in
NASA’s charter to allow for beginning-to-
the past centered its efforts on high-visibility
end development and operation would alle-
manned projects, s u c h a s A p o l l o a n d t h e
viate this problem, but might be harmful to
Space Shuttle, it has also conducted major
the agency’s R&D mission.
programs in telecommunications, remote-
The broad scope of NASA activities has
sensing, and the sciences, such as the Viking
meant that, within and without the agency,
and Voyager interplanetary probes.
there have been conflicts over the relative
NASA is funded by general tax revenues ap- priority of scientific v. applications, or
propriated annually by Congress. NASA funds manned v. unmanned missions. The SPS
are overwhelmingly—90 to 95 percent— spent could be criticized for diverting funds and
on outside contracts with private firms, re- attention from competing programs; intra-
search centers, and other Government agen- agency squabbling might interfere with the
cies, foreign as well as domestic. NASA itself project. Excessive concentration on SPS
helps to set priorities and policies, oversees could prevent NASA from accomplishing
and coordinates contractor performance, and other tasks, although many aspects of SPS
Ch. 9—Institutional Issues . 231

development would be applicable to other in having it undertaken by an established


space activities. agency.
Funding all, or even a large part, of the
● Disadvantages. — It is not clear at what point
SPS through general tax revenues would pro-
private financing would become available
duce strong pressure for continued Govern-
on a large scale, and hence how much must
ment control. Since the risks are borne, in-
be spent out of general taxes. The larger the
voluntarily, by the general public, justifica-
public part of the investment, the more
tion in the form of visible public benefits
likely are t h e p u b l i c - i n t e r e s t p r o b l e m s
may have to be provided. These benefits
outlined previously.
couId take the form of electricity-rate reduc-
Financing through bonds does not provide
tions, tax-reductions, or other types of
for the type of accountability available
returns. Turning SPS or SPS technology over
through congressional appropriation, or
to private profitmaking firms may be unac-
through public ownership via the stock mar-
ceptable. Such a prospect could discourage
ket Specific arrangements for public over-
private interest; this difficulty is common to
sight, given the monopoly position of such
all publicly financed ventures.
an entity, would have to be made. Owner-
TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY (TVA) ship of patents and products generated by
public investment would have to be clari-
TVA, the Nation’s largest utility, was estab-
fied, given the possibility of competition be-
lished in 1933 to provide power for a region
tween private firms and the authority in the
that commercial utilities were not willing to
latter stages of development and operation.
develop. Until 1959, TVA received annual
Federal appropriations; since then it has raised HIGHWAY TRUST FUND
capital by issuing bonds, the amount of which
Since 1956 the Federal Government has
is subject to congressional approval, as well as
spent over $7.5 bill ion (in current dollars) to
by charging customers for its services. At that
finance the Interstate Highway System and a
time, TVA was forbidden from expanding its
number of other road and highway programs.
service area, in order to avoid competition
The money for these investments has been
with private utilities. In 1978 TVA’s borrowing
channeled through the Highway Trust Fund,
authority was raised to $30 billion. 2 A T V A -
which receives revenue from taxes on gasoline
type independent authority, initially financed
and diesel fuels, on heavy trucks, and other
by tax revenues and authorized at some point
sources. These funds are not spent by the
to issue self-backed bonds, could be a possible
Federal Government, but apportioned to the
model for SPS development and operation.
States to pay for their share of highway
Ž Advantages. — Initial Federal financing systems.
would allow for pursuit of R&D and proto-
The rationale for Federal financing was that
type development. Adoption of TVA prac-
an improved road-system would aid the Na-
tices, such as the absence of civil service re-
tion’s defenses, as well as improve commerce
quirements, would free the authority from
by decreasing transportation costs. The system
certain Government inefficiencies. Issuing
was planned on a national scale, but takes ad-
bonds would subject the issuer to the finan-
vantage of existing State highway departments
cial judgments of investors and make the
to implement the proposed network. No cen-
risks of the project more palatable, since
tral construction or maintenance firm was
much of the investment would be voluntary
needed 3
rather than by congressional or executive
decision. The concentration of a newly The distinctive feature of the system is its
established authority on a single-project use of specific taxes on a commodity directly
wouId avoid the internal conflicts inherent related to the project. Through the tax on gaso-

“’increasing the TVA Bond Celling, ” hearings before Senate ‘Porter (’ wheeler, Hjghwa y A \\[jtance Programs A Ffl\torlca/
Environment and Publlc Works Committee, Feb 23, 1979 ~~erfpf,( ~lve, Congre$slonal Buclget Of flee, FebrUaw 1978
232 ● Solar Power Satellites

line and diesel fuel, transport users have con- oil by 1992. The corporation is instructed to do
tributed in proportion to their total trans- so by, in decreasing order of preference: 1)
portation expenditure. An additional tax on price guarantees, purchase agreements, or
heavy commercial trucks has ensured that loan guarantees; 2) loans; 3) joint ventures. The
large users, who were responsible for a high corporation’s goal is to faciIitate private-sector
proportion of maintenance costs, would con- synfuel production, and to produce synfuels it-
tribute appropriately. Unlike tolls or direct selt only as a last resort. Initial funding was set
fees for highway usage, revenue could be col- at $20 billion, with total funding of up to $88
lected before the roads themselves were com- billion envisioned. Funds are to be provided
pleted. An analogous tax to finance a fund for from the windfall-profits tax on domestically
SPS might be levied on current domestic and produced oil. 5
commercial electricity consumption (though
A possible SPS corporation would resemble
from a strictly financial point of view the tax
the Synfuels Corp. in being a high-cost energy
need not be directly related to energy con-
production plan with a specific goal and time-
gumption. )
table It would differ in that it would involve
● Advantages. —The use of a designated tax creating a single firm rather than funding nu-
provides more assured and predictable fund- merous private enterprises.
ing than general revenue taxes that need to ● Advantages. — The Synfuels Corp. has the ad-
be reallocated on a yearly basis. By taxing
vantage of a discrete goal and timetable,
electricity consumption the costs would be
with maximum flexibility as to achievement.
borne by the future beneficiaries of SPS. If
The etmphasis on price and loan guarantees
desired, taxes on other forms of energy
to encourage rather than replace conven-
could also be imposed; all energy taxes
tional financing arrangements should re-
would have the added benefit of encourag-
duce the cost, assureing projects are suc-
ing conservation. As private investment was
cessful. Direct Government control will be
found, the tax could be reduced, or revenues
avolded, unless no private ventures what-
couId be spent elsewhere.
ever are forthcoming.
The size of the tax, if levied on electricity
alone, would not have to be large to gener- ● Disadvantages. – It is far too early to tell
ate significant revenue. A tax of 2 mills/kWh whether the Synfuels Corp. will accomplish
would produce over $4 billion per year (at Its goal, or wiII do so without exorbitant
current consumption rates) while raising costs Critics fear that an indiscriminatory
consumer costs by less than 5 percent.4 ‘shotgun“ approach may result in funding
numerous uncompetitive ventures, in the
● Disadvantages. — A tax on electricity may
hope of finding one that works; while the
cause consumers to switch to other forms of
revenue taken from the oil companies in
e n e r g y , h a r m i n g utilities Higher electricity
taxes may prevent the development of addi-
costs will inflate prices of electricity-
tional fuel sources. The promise of “easy”
intensive products, such as alum inure.
Government money and soft loans may dis-
The organizational framework to manage
courage efficient financial and managerial
the SPS will have the same difficulties as
practices.
other Government agencies, especialIy in
While the Synfuels Corp. can pick and
handling the transition to private ownership.
choose from a number of relatively well-
U.S. SYNTHETIC FUELS CORP. developed and predictable projects, the SPS
Corp w o u l d h a v e t o g e n e r a t e i t s o w n
The Synfuels Corp. was established in June
organization. The SPS Corp. couId not, espe-
1980 with a specific mandate to produce the
cially at first, simply be a channel for fund-
equivalent of 2 million barrels per day of crude
ing to private firms, or for loan guarantees.
— -- —----
‘ P e t e r Vajk, SPS FInancIa/, Mandgernent 5( en,]rlo~, DO F c o n - ~ n(’r~~ $~)( (/r/[y A et, Publ IC Law %9,24, 96th Cong , j une )(),
tract No EC77-C-01 -4024, October 1978, p ;6 1 9 H ( ) ill [{
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 233

COMSAT have many of the difficulties already men-


Comsat was founded in 1962 as a federally tioned.
chartered corporation to establish and run
satellite communications (see ch. 7). Comsat PRIVATE JOINT-VENTURES
did not receive direct Federal funding, but was A private SPS project could be undertaken
given the fruits of extensive and continuing either by an established firm, a new company,
NASA research on telecommunications satel- or a joint-venture of existing companies and
lites, 6 as well as the right to use NASA launch financial institutions. For the reasons men-
services on a reimbursable basis (which does tioned (high cost, uncertainty, long period
not reflect R&D costs). The Government re- before payback, and too many eggs in one bas-
tained a measure of control through Comsat’s ket) no single firm, whether new or established,
operating charter and by appointing board i S Iikely to undertake SPS development un-
members, who were initialIy divided between aided
Government, communications common carri-
A joint-venture or consortium is formed
ers, and private investors. Capital was raised
when a single project or enterprise is of in-
by issuing stock, which from the outset was
terest to several parties, no one of which is
well-received by investors. As of 1979, Comsat
wilIing to finance or manage it on its own, as
stock was held overwhelmingly by noncom-
with the Alaskan pipeline. Or, companies may
mon carriers; 3 of 15 Board members were
be legally prevented from exercising sole own-
Presidential appointees, the rest being elected
ership for antitrust reasons, while a single
by stockholders.
system may be technically desirable. For in-
● Advantages. — A Comsat-styled SPS corpora- stance, the Federal Communications Commis-
tion would be independent of direct Govern- sion (FCC) required Comsat and IBM to add a
ment control and free to operate as a pri- third partner (Aetna Insurance) when forming
vate, profitmaking corporation. Government Satellite Business Systems (SBS). In any con-
supervision would be provided without the sortium, partners are Iikely to have a particuIar
need for onerous restrictions. Comsat has interest in the consortium’s success above and
been highly successful internationally via its beyond immediate profitability. In SBS’s case,
participation in lntelsat, and a “Solarsat” IBM Corp. and Aetna intend to be major
corporation might find it easier to engage in customers of the system, and IBM Corp. will
international activities than would a Gov- suppIy operating equipment. 7
ernment agency. Such an organization could
Advantages. — Potential major partners in an

inherit the results of Government-financed
SPS consortium would be: aerospace com-
R&D and engineering with less of a political
panies, oil/energy firms (including possible
outcry than if control were to be turned over
emergent industries in photovoltaics, syn-
to established private firms such as aero-
fuels, or other energy sources); and electric
space or oil companies; Comsat was estab-
utiIities. A consortium that could draw on
lished in large part to prevent AT&T from
the resources of firms in these major indus-
gaining a satelIite communications monopo-
tries would find it easier to borrow money,
ly.
selI stocks and bonds, and use profits for
● Disadvantages. — Issuing common stock SPS investment. According to most esti-
would not suffice to raise capital for the mates, the utility industry alone will be
early development stages. The transition spending hundreds of bilIions of dolIars over
from Government to private funding would the next 30 years to replace old generators
and build new capacity; an SPS project
‘ N A S A c o m m u n i c a t i o n s r e s e a r c h was p h a s e d o u t u n d e r t h e wouId not constitute an unmanageable pro-
N i x o n admlnlstratlon, which l o o k e d to Comsat a n d the private
sector to maintain U S preem Inence In commun Icatlon satel I tte
portion of total industry investment,
technology However, In 1 9 7 8 t h e C a r t e r admlnl~tratlon —.—
reinstated NASA’s leading role In communlcatlon> R&D, largely ( ourt Upholds SPS, ” Avlatlon Week and Space Technology,
to offset foreign government R&D effortj Vldr 1 ( I 1980, p 22

83-316 0 - 81 - 16
234 ● Solar Power Satellites

● Disadvantages. – However, there would still wish to support SPS could sell their stock for
be difficulties in funding the initial phases. immediate returns.
While aerospace and electronics firms
Although such a scenario has the advantage
wouId begin to benefit relatively early in the
of diffusing SPS ownership, it is difficult to see
project, oil/energy companies and utilities
how SPS shares would retain their full value on
(that have the bulk of the resources) will see
the market; if they did, funding via taxes would
returns only towards the end. utilities in par-
not have been necessary in the first place.
ticular, as part of a publically regulated in-
Shareholders would instead be left with deval-
dustry, will find it difficult to set rates so as
ued pieces of paper, unless they are purchased
to raise funds for R&D or speculative pur-
b y t h e G o v e r n m e n t —with tax dollars — to
poses, as opposed to purchase of more es-
maintain a reasonable price. This would
tablished technologies. For instance, the $2
amount to a straightforward Government sub-
billion Great Plains coal gasification project
sidy.
was to be financed by a surcharge on gas
rates charged by consortium members. Al- STAGING COMPANY
though DOE approved the rate hikes, cus-
The staging company is essentially a boot-
tomers — s u c h a s G e n e r a l M o t o r s — a n d
strap operation whereby sufficient revenues
State officials protested against being asked
are generated during the R&D phase to attract
to subsidize synfuels investments. 8 The Fed-
further capital. The firm would invest its initial
eral district court then disallowed DOE’s ac-
funds in existing aerospace and high technol-
tion, effectively blocking the project.
ogy companies, gaining patent rights and new
Consortia are more likely to arise in the in-
technology—via joint ventures—as well as
vestment and operation phases, when indi-
conventional investment returns. The success
vidual members’ interests are more clearly
of the company’s first investments, and its in-
defined, and risks have been reduced. The
creasing expertise, would attract further
very high costs and large size of a full-scale
speculative investors; the staging company is
SPS system, as well as the monopoly dangers
in effect a mutual fund. Eventually, the com-
of a system under the control of single com-
pany would begin to finance SPS R&D directly,
pany, may make inter- or intra-industry con-
concentrating on those aspects with near-term
sortia attractive.
returns. At some point conventional financing
would become available for the investment
Hypothetical Models
and operation phases.
In discussing possible SPS financing sce-
Such an approach is unlikely, unless its first
narios, some writers have proposed completely
investments turn out to be in budding Xeroxes
novel methods with no historical precedent.
or IBMs, to raise the $33 billion estimated to
Foremost among them are the Taxpayer Stock
be necessary for the reference design R&D and
Corp., a new form of Government financing;
prototype phases. In 1978 Christian Basler
and a private approach, the staging company. 9
established International Satellite Industries,
TAXPAYER STOCK CORP. Inc., to test his concept; it failed when neither
New York nor California would allow ISI stock
Under this method, taxpayers would receive
to be sold. 10
shares in a public corporation, financed by
general tax revenues, in proportion to the per-
cent of taxes used to finance SPS. Shareholders Conclusions
could then trade their shares on the market, as It is clear from the review of possible models
with any other corporation. Those who did not that there are many ways to finance the latter
stages of a successful SPS program, but that
‘Robert D Hershey, “Gasification Plant Rising Amid Many
Snags, ” New York Times, Nov 17, 1980, p 1 ‘(’(’ onversatlon with Stephen Cheston, President, Institute for
‘For further discussion see Vajk, op clt , pp 32-40 the \oclal \clence Study of Space, December 1980
Ch. 9—lnstitutiona/issues . 235

the initial phases would in all likelihood have Second, at all phases careful attention must
to depend on some sort of Federal funding. be given to public policy concerns: environ-
Some combination of the suggested methods mental protection, regional interests, and mili-
may prove attractive. tary involvement. Private companies must not
think SPS can be developed in secrecy or with-
In establishing an SPS organization, atten-
out reference to a wide public environment
tion should be paid to several factors. First,
(see ch 8, Issues Arising in the Public Arena).
there should be provisions for stopping the
project if it becomes unfeasible. Large initial Third, early and continuous efforts should
investments wiII create considerable momen- be made to involve and inform potential inter-
tum, which may cause wasteful development national partners to attract investment aid,
to continue unless authority is given to ter- forestall competition, and ensure that the
minate. This is especially true for Government global market for SPS is kept in mind when
enterprises. technical and managerial decisions are made.
A narrow focus on domestic concerns, by Gov-
ernment or industry, may jeopardize SPS un-
necessarily. (see ch. 7, International Implica-
“Gersovitz, p 36 tions).

THE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UTILITY INDUSTRY


Introduction of a new plant render it highly unlikely that the
SPS could become part of utility grids until
The interest of the utilities in the SPS would several years after a commercial prototype
depend on technology related factors such as were built. Although SPS could force some reg-
stability and reliability, as well as those more ulatory changes, there seem to be no strong
directly related to the economics of electricity regulatory barriers to implementing SPS.
generation and distribution (i. e., siting, capital
investment and Government regulation). Each Table 50 summarizes the projected charac-
of these factors would require more study as teristics of the SPS that would be of interest to
more is learned about the various SPS alterna- the electrical utilities.
tives. From what is now known, it appears that
the technical barriers to integrating SPS into The Utilities’ Planning Process
the utility grid are solveable, particularly if the
units of SPS generated power are of the order The Current Situation
of 1,000 MW or less. It is also apparent that for
Because of the recent rapid rise of all energy
the utilities to develop sufficient confidence in
costs and subsequent efforts to conserve, the
SPS, one or more units would have to be tested
utilities find themselves in an uncertain posi-
over time.
tion for the future. In the past, the utilities ex-
More troublesome are the economic risks of perienced fairly steady, high peakload growth
SPS. When considering adding a new pIant, rates, resulting in a correspondingly high rate
utilities must plan far ahead of actual system of growth (7 percent) of generating capacity, a
integration for the associated transmission rate that leads to a doubling of capacity every
lines and other generating capacity (i.e., in- 10 years. Recently, however, average peakload
termediate or peaking plants to supplement growth has fallen sharply. Lower economic
the baseload powerplants). Failure of the SPS growth rates and price-induced conservation
to meet expected implementation deadlines efforts have had a strong effect on consump-
would result in severe economic loss for the tion I n response, the average growth of in-
utiIity. The need for extensive trials and testing stalled generating capacity has also fallen. The
236 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 50.—Characteristics of the SPS Systems

The reference Solid-state sandwich Mirror system


System characteristics system” design” Laser system” (baseline SOLARES)15

Delivered power from each 135 GW (10 GW


satellite (at the busbar) 5,000 MW 1,500 MW 500 MW possible)
Total system of. . . . . ... 300 GW Not projected Not projected 810 GW over 6
Implementation rate ... ... 2 per year for — — 7
30 years
Start of deployment. . . . . . . A.D. 2000 2010-2020 2010-2020 2010-2020 (estimate)
(estimate) (estimate)
Lifetime of each satellite 30 years 30 years 30 years ?
Transmission frequency ... , 2.45 gigahertz 2.45 gigahertz 10 microns (infrared) Reflected sunlight —
(i.e , microwave) I.e., continuous
spectrum
Designed capacity factor ., 90 percent 90 percent 70-80 percent ?
Rectenna size. . . . ... ... 10 km x 13 km at 6.5 x 5.5kw at 35° Iat. 36 meter diameter 39-km diameter
35° Iat. plus 1 km plus 1 km buffer
buffer
Terrestrial conversion mode. Microwave dipole Microwave dipole Thermal conversion Thermal, photovoltaic
antenna-rectifier and antenna-rectifier and conversion
inverters inverters
Major potential causes of Maintenance, Maintenance, ecilpses During any thick cloud During any thick cloud
Of SatelIite? (max 2 ½ h r maintenance
i n t e r r u p t i o n . satelIite eclipses cover, maintenance
near equinoxes)
(max. 21/2 hr
near equinoxes)
1
“’Sa tellite Power System Concept Development and Evalua- (Lockheed Missiles and Space Co , report No LMSC-D67 Mbb,
tion Program Reference System Report DOE report No NA5A report No CR-1 7952 ], contract No NASA ;-211 37, Mar 1 ~,
DOE/E R-0023, October, 1978 1979
13
G. M. Hanley, et al , “Satellite Power Systems (SPS) Concept K W II II I man, W P G I I breath, and S W Bowen, ‘Orbiting
Definition Study, ” First Performance Review, Rockwell Interna- Mirror\ t<)r Terre$trlal E nergv Supply, ” In ‘ Radlatlon F nergv Con-
tional Report No SSD79-0163, NASA MSFC contract No ver~lon in ~pacej Progre\s In A $tronaut~cj & Aeronauflc\ Serle\,
NAS8-32475, Oct. 10, 1979 K W EIII lman (ed ), VOI bl (New York Al AA, July 1978), pp
14
W. S. Jones, L L Morgan, J. B. Forsyth, and J P Skratt, (>1 ~lo
“Laser Power Conversion System Analysis: Final Report, Vol. I l,”
SOURCE Off Ice of Technology Assessment

U.S. total of installed electrical generating tween reserve margins, types of capacity, and
capacity in 1978 and 1979 rose by an average reliability requirements. They are also sharply
rate of 3.1 and 3.2 percent respectively, rates reducing the amount of new capacity, delaying
that cause a doublin g of capacity every 22 Installation of some plants, canceling others,
years. Growth rates in some sections of the Although on average the difference between
country have been zero or negative in the total capacity and average annual load is
same time span. greater than ever before, some industry ex-
As the high growth rate of electricity de- ecutives have expressed concern that these
mand and subsequent expansion of the utility pl,lnned reductions in generating capacity wi II
industry has subsided, the industry has had to Ie,ive the United States seriously deficient if
rethink its posture with respect to adding new the current trend towards lower growth of
capacity, I n addition to the uncertainties of peak demand reverses itself. others, generally
future demand, increasing costs for fuel, more outside the industry, have suggested that in-
stringent environmental standards, public op- creased conservation measures can bring the
position to nuclear powerplants and techno- need tor new generating capacity to zero or
logical changes are also affecting the planning lets, Ieavlng the industry, on the average, in
process. What is perhaps of most concern, the posit ion of simply replacing or refurbishing
however, is the increasing difficulty private outmoded plants
utilities face in raising the large amounts of Planning Process
capital needed for building new capacity or
U S generating capacity in 1980 was about
replacing old, inefficient plants
600 glgclwatts. * The peak load that this capaci-
In response, the utilities are placing more — ——. .—
emphasis on understanding the interaction be- 1 ~ IX< I ,1, i t t (c; w ] or IJOWpr I \ e(\u,1 I ( 01 ,()()() rmegc)w,itt \
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 237

ty is expected to serve is about 410 GW. To After projecting the peak load requirements
meet this load, the generating capability is of the system, utility planners add an amount
composed of about 10 to 15 percent of peak- of generating capacity equal to that which
ing units, 20 to 25 percent of intermediate and might be unavailable because of scheduled
60 to 65 percent of baseload generating units. maintenance. System reliability will then be
A planning reserve margin of 20 to 25 percent achieved if sufficient excess capacity over and
above peak demand is required to allow the above this amount is available to cover one or
utility to continue to serve the customer when more of the sorts of contingencies I isted in
any of the operating units fails and when un- table 51.17 This method tends to treat the
usual load peaks occur. system in gross terms and does not generally
allow for important details of a given system
For a given utility system, the reserve is
such as the variations of peak load throughout
related directly to the expected reliability of
the year or the percentage of time it will be
the total system. Although the exact amount of
t apable of generating given levels of power at
reserve needed is currently debated within the
tlifferent seasons. For this, a more sophist i-
industry, I b the rule of thumb that most utility
( ated analysis would be needed.
systems use to calculate their necessary re-
serve is that they must have no more than one
Planning for New Technologies
generating outage or failure to meet expected
demand in 10 years, a failure that may be as The SPS is one among many new technol-
short as a minute or as long as several hours. I n ogies that the utilities are considering in plan-
practice, this criterion results in some days of ning for the future. These include regiona/
line voltage reductions and a few days of ap- technologies such as ocean thermal energy
peals to customers for conservation, but a very conversion and geothermal; intermediate or
low probability of outage in any one year. peaking technologies such as wind, solar ther-
mal and solar photovoltaic without storage;
A utility is not simply a set of generating
,~nd baseload possibilities such as advanced
plants, transmission lines, and transformers. It
coal, breeder reactors and fusion. I n addition,
is a complicated interactive network in which
~ome utilities are considering grid connected
individual components affect each other
dispersed technologies such as solar thermal,
through an intricate set of feedback loops. A
solar photovoltaics, wind, and fuel cells. Plan-
failure in one part of the system may set off a
ning for such a mixed bag of technologies is a
failure in another part. Adequate reliability is
complicated and time-consuming process. As
ensured by building enough redundancy into
figure 44 illustrates, the time from the initial
the system t o m e e t m o s t c o n t i n g e n c i e s ,
conception of a new technology to actual in-
whether from system failure or from unex-
tegration into the utilities’ grid can be extreme-
pected surges in demand.
ly long– up to 40 years or more. Not only must
The amount of redundancy required for a utility suppliers develop the components of
given system depends heavily on the reliability the individual technology, they must make it
of the equipment in the system and the util- technological Iy and economical Iy attractive to
ities’ experience with them. To calculate the
‘ Ibl(j
necessary reserve, the utilities generally use
several methods, the simplest of which, called
Table 51 .—Major Grid Contingencies
the contingency outage reserve criteria, will
serve to illustrate the most important features 1. Loss of the largest generating unit in the system
of reserve planning. 2. Loss of the two largest generating units in the system
3. A failure in the largest transmission facility in the system
4. A combination of the above
5. An error of a specific magnitude in load projection
“A Kaufman, L T Crane, J r , B M Daly, R J Profozich, and
SOURCE A Kaufman, L T Crane, Jr., B. M. Daly, R J. Profozlch, and S. J.
S j Bodily, “Are the Electrlc Utllltles Gold Plated?” committee Bodily, “Are the Electrlc Utilitles Gold Plated?” colnmlttee print,
print, 96-1 FC 12 Committee on Interstate and Foreign Com- 96-IFC 12. Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, United
merce, United States House of Representatives, 1979 States House of Representatives, 1979.
238 ● Solar Power Satellites

Figure 44.— Phases of R&D ● Reliability. – Plants that are highly capital
intensive must operate at high capacity fac-
I — I tors in order to minimize electricity costs.
Thus, numerous forced or unplanned shut-
1000 downs for a given plant would make its tech-
nology less desirable. In general, a new tech-
nology can be expected to sustain a higher
V) 100 rate of forced or unplanned shutdown than
G a more mature one. Current mature nuclear
s plants and coal plants with scrubbers sustain
10 forced outage rates as low as 15 and 19 per-
cent of their total availability respectively.
1 As the industry gains even more experience,
0 10 20 30 40 it wil I probably be able to reduce this rate
Years even more.
SOURCE: R L Rudman and C. Starr, 1978 “R&D Plannlng for the Electric Utlllty ● Ease of Maintenance. — It is extremely im-
Industry, ” In Energy Techrro/ogy v G o v e r n m e n t I nstltutes, Inc ,
Washington portant to be able to maintain and repair
components of the generating system quick-
Iy and easily. Nuclear and fossil fuel plants
the utilities and, in addition, develop a large currently experience planned outage rates
supportive infrastructure. Thus, the vast bulk of 15 and 10 percent, but utility experts
of the time spent in the long chain of technol- believe that these rates can be reduced by
ogy development is in the phases following several percent. Here again, mature technol-
scientific feasibility— newly conceived tech- ogies fare better than newer ones. However,
nologies are not I ikely to fill near-term supply the percentage of maintenance doesn’t tell
deficiencies. the whole story. The timing of the mainte-
Assuming that an engineering demonstration nance is also important. If it is possible to
of a new technology is successfu 1, its ultimate plan maintenance during periods when elec-
fate would depend on several factors whose in- tricity peak loads are lower, the adverse ef-
fluence can only be seen dimly at the time fect on the utility is thereby reduced.
when scientific feasibility is proved. Com-
RESOURCE AVAILABILITY
parative costs are a prime consideration, but
public acceptance, the complexities of the Here, fossil or other depletable energy
technology, and the ease with which it can be s o u r c e s wil I suffer in competition with re-
integrated into the existing utility infrastruc- newable sources such as wind-, solar-, fusion-,
ture are also important (see ch. 6). The utilities or breeder-generated fissile material. Further,
use some or all of the following criteria to because the Sun or wind are more available in
judge a new technology: 18 some regions of the country than in others, ter-
restrial renewable technologies wil I vary in
ECONOMIC CRITERIA their attractiveness.
● Cost to the User. — Bus bar costs are impor-

tant but an expensive long-distance trans- SYSTEM CAPABILITY AND FLEXIBILITY


mission and distribution system may price a ● Control and Operating Characteristics. — The
technology that is otherwise competitive at more stable a power system, the better.
the busbar out of the market. This problem Short-term transient outages must occur
could apply to any very large, highly cen- under conditions that allow the utility grid
tral ized faci I ity. to accommodate them as a matter of
course.
‘“R L Rudman and C Starr, “R&D Plannlng for the Electrlc
Utility Industry,” In f nergy Techrro/ogy V (Washington, D C ———
Government In$tltute$, I nc , 1 978) “1 bld
Ch. 9—institutional Issues “ 239

● Ability to Tolerate Abnormal Events. –A s y s - Iector would be based in space. Others are
tem that is otherwise acceptable to the characteristic of all large-scale baseload
utilities may fail to be adopted because it is technologies. In this section, we will proceed
easily disturbed, i.e., small perturbations in through each technology, citing the most im-
operating mode lead to wide swings of elec- portant effects each alternative will have on
trical output. the utilities.
● Unit Rating. –Although economies of scale
The Reference System
are very real in generating equipment,
smal Ier capacity units may often be desir- ● 5,000-M W Capacity. – Because of the grid
able, because they are easier to repair and reliability requirements, the large size of the
replace than the large ones. reference system plant would limit the num-
ber of individual utilities or utilities’ systems
● Environment/ Issues. — Environmental im-
that could accommodate it. As a rule of
pacts produce an economic cost that, while
thumb, a utility generally will not purchase a
often impossible to specify, have a strong ef-
single unit that ~wou Id constitute more than
fect on the acceptability of a given tech-
10 to 15 percent of the utility’s total
nology. I n addition, some technologies may
generating capacity. ” In other words, a
have environmental side effects that are
single plant must be no more than one-half
unacceptable no matter what price the uti I i-
of the system’s total reserve capacity of 20
ty is willing to pay (e. g., the potential effects
to 25 percent.
of the addition of large amounts of carbon
If a utility could accommodate a first SPS
dioxide to the atmosphere).
of 5,000 MW, it could accept another pro-
LICENSING vided it met a less stringent application of
the penetration rule. In other words, the sys-
“Licensing . . . is currently the largest single
tem would benefit somewhat by redundancy
issue facing al I new technologies. ”2° The issues
of generating units provided there was a low
that will affect the licensing procedure such as
probability of both failing at once.
siting, health and safety, and environmental
As an example, for a utility to accept a
concerns must be identified and reckoned with
50,000-MW satellite, it must have a system
early in the development of the technology.
capacity of 5,000/0.13 = 38,000 MW. This
They also have a direct effect on the cost of a
exceeds the capacity of any single current
technology.
utility. Assuming current average rates of
Once a generating technology has proven its growth of 3.2 percent for the industry, it
commercial feasibility, it generally takes would exceed the capacity of all utilities
another 20 years or so for it to be used save TVA in the year 2000. It might, of
significantly. The complexity of the tech- course, be possible for a group of several
nology, institutional barriers, market growth utilities with the appropriate total capacity
(housing, industry, etc. ) market initiative and adequate grid interconnections to take
(dispersed v. central use), and system size will on 5,000 MW of power. According to the
all have their effects on the rate at which a rule for reserve capacity, for the group to
given technology will penetrate the total utili- then assume another 5,000 MW, its total
ty market. capacity would have to be large enough for
the two satellites together to constitute 20
Engineering Implications of the SPS percent or less of a system capacity of
for the Utilities Grid 50,000 MW. The exact percentage any given
consortium of utilities would be willing to
T h e SPS w o u l d m a k e n u m e r o u s s p e c i a l
——
demands on the utility grids. Some are related ‘ ~ J Donalek a n d ) L Wtlysong, “lJtillty I n t e r f a c e R e -
to the fact that the primary generator or col- quirements for a Soiar Power System, ” Harza Erlglrleerlrlg CO ,
DOE contract No 31-109-38-4142, report No DO E/E R-0032, Sep-
‘“l bid tember 1978
240 ● Solar Power Satellites

accept would depend on its view of the Short-term variations would be much
probability of two SPS units and another more serious. Around the equinoxes, the
unit or transmission line failing at the same satel I ite wou Id I ie in the Earth’s shadow for a
time (see table 52). short period each night around midnight.
As an additional consideration, it should These “eclipses” of the satellite would vary
also be noted that supplying 5 GW of re- trom a few seconds duration at the start of
serve power from elsewhere in the system the 31-day eclipse period to a fu I I 72 minutes
would put a great strain on the dispatching at the equinox and then decrease again to
capability of the uti I ity. zero. Because the antenna array wou Id re-
qu i re a warmup period of 15 to 60 minutes,
● Lack of Inertia in SPS Power Generation. — outages at the rectenna would vary from 30
The frequency stability of a utility system is to 140 minutes. Because the eclipses would
directly related to the rotating mass or be highly predictable and would occur at
mechanical inertia of its collection of midnight in late March and September when
generators. It is, in effect, analogous to a loads are often low (typically 40 to 60 per-
giant flywheel kept in motion by numerous cent of the peak for summer peaking
small driving elements on its rim. Just as a systems), they wou Id be unlikely to con-
flywheel adjusts only slowly to a sudden stitute a problem for the system’s reserve
removal or addition of individual driving capacity. * H o w e v e r , f o l l o w i n g t h e l o a d
elements, the utility network takes several swing during the shortest eclipses would
seconds to adjust to the loss or gain of place a strain on the ability of the utility to
megawatts of power. A generator added to respond because of the need to replace
the system adds additional mechanical iner- 5,000 MW very rapidly unless storage were
t i a a s w e l l a s p o w e r . B e c a u s e t h e SPS [n place.
reference design wou [d add power but no Without short-term storage, the rate at
additional inertia, i.e., it might come on or which SPS power would decrease during an
go off line virtually instantaneously, it eclipse would undoubtedly pose control
would create surges that would be difficult problems for the grid. As the satellite
for the system to accommodate. In order to entered the Earth’s shadow, it would lose
use SPS-generated power, the utilities would power at the rate of 20 percent per minute,
have to develop new modes of ensuring fre- too fast for the grid to respond. In general,
quency stability and control since the pres- the maximum power fluctuation a grid can
ent operating mode depends implicitly on accommodate is about 5 percent per min-
the mechanical inertia of the system. One ute. However, it would be possible to shut
possibility is to add short-term (15 minutes down the satellite at an acceptable rate
to 1 hour) battery storage capacity to the somewhat ahead of the eclipse.
rectenna. Such an adjustment would add a The satellites and rectennas would require
smal I amount to the cost of SPS power. replacement or maintenance of numerous
components (klystron amplifiers, solid-state
● Variations in SPS. – Rectenna power output amplifiers, laser components, photocells,
wou Id vary seasonal Iy because of the eccen- dipole antennas, etc.) several times a year.
tricity of the Earth’s orbit. As currently Normally the outages associated with
designed, the SPS would deliver 5,000 MW routine maintenance could be scheduled
when the Earth is at maximum distance from during periods of low electricity demand
the Sun. At its closest approach during the and are estimated 22 to constitute a loss of
northern winter, each rectenna will deliver * I he cfelmands on different utility systems vary regionally
about 10 percent more power, or 5,500 MW. Thu\, the truth of this statement must be examined on a reglon-
However, because the variation has a year- by-r(~glon basis
“ I Grev “Satellite Power System Technical Options and Eco-
Iong period, it would be relatively easy to nomics, ‘ OTA working paper, Solar Power Satelllte Assessment,
adjust for it continual Iy. 197’4
Ch. 9—institutional Issues . 241

120 hr/yr of SPS power. Assuming mainte- anism for controlling the position of the
nance could be scheduled during eclipse beam on the rectenna, which would be ac-
periods, the total time the satellite would be complished by a pilot beam directed from
unavailable due to maintenance could be the rectenna to the satellite in space. Be-
considerably less than this. cause of the finite time of travel in space for
Boeing 23 h a s s u m m a r i z e d t h e v a r i o u s an electromagnetic signal, the time between
losses of power to which the referenced SPS sensing a position error at the rectenna and
might be subject (table 52). Conspicuously correction of it at the rectenna would be
missing, however, i s t h e p o s s i b i l i t y o f about 0.2 see, causing an oscillation in
satellite equipment failure. It will be of con- power output at a frequency of 5 Hz. Again,
siderable interest to everyone concerned to the 5,000 MW nominal output would strain
identify as many potential sources of the capabilities of the utility grid to follow
unp/anned SPS shutdown as possible. the resultant load variations if short-term
Other possible variations in the amount of storage capacity were not made a part of the
transmitted power have to do with the mech- SPS system.

2“’SPS/Utillty Grid Operations, ” sec 14 of DI 80-25461-3, Boe-


● Power Reception, Transmission, and Distri-
ing Corp bution. –At the rectenna, the power collec-

Table 52.—PotentiaI for Power Variations From the Reference System SPS

Average Average
duration of Maximum yearly
Frequency of outage per Total power energy Time to
Source of power Range occurrence occurrence outage reduction loss maximum Scheduled
variation percent per year minlyr . hrlyr GW GW hr power loss Yes No
Spacecraft maintenance o-1oo 2 2 X 3,600 120 5 600 6 min x
Eclipse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0-1oo 62 3,376 total 56.26 5 281.3 1 min x
71 maximum
per/occurrence
Eclipse with shutdown
and startup. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,270 87.8 439 1 min x
Wind storm. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75-1oo 0.01 5,260 87.6 1.25 109.5 5 min x
Earthquake. . . . . . . . . . . . 90-100 0.01 1,800 30 0.5 15 10 sec x
F i r e i n rectenna s y s t e m . . . . 80-100 0.01 840 14 1 14 30 min x
Meteorite hit of
spacecraft equipment. 90-100 0.01 1,200 20 0.5 10 100 ms x
Rectenna e q u i p m e n t
failure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91.5-100 1 50 0.833 0.425 0.35 100 ms x
Precipitation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93.3-1oo 50 1 0.833 0.335 0.28 lm x
Pointing error. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94.8-100 5,000 0.6 0.833 0.29 0.24 1s
Ionosphere. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98.5-100 20 10 3.32 0.15 0.24 Is x
Ground control
ecluir)ment f a i l u r e . . . . 95-1oo 5 3 0.25 0.25 0.06 0.3 s x
Aircraf~ shadow. . . . . . . . . . . . . 99.99-1oo 20 20 m 0.3 0.0005 0.0015 1s x
1 m maxi
occurrence
Total without shutdown/startup: 331 hour (3. i’i’Yo) 1,030.8(2.350/~)
without shutdown/startup: 362 hour (4.1 20/. ) 1,188.5(2.71 %)

SOURCE: “SPS/Utiiity Grid Operations”, sec 14, D180-25461-3, Boeing Corp.


242 “ Solar Power Satellites

tion system would be divided up into units capacity of the reference SPS less than its
of 320 MW or less. The loss of any one or maximum capacity, thereby causing it to be
even a combination of several power blocks more expensive.
would present few problems for the grid ● Rectenna Siting. — The land requirements for
because they would be relatively small com-
the SPS reference system are “large (see ch.
pared to 5,000 MW. Transmission would be
8). At 350 latitude the rectenna plus its ex-
over four to five 500 KV lines or eight 345
clusion area would cover an elliptical area
KV lines. The loss of one of the transmission
some 174 km2 in extent. By comparison, the
lines should not affect the stability of the
city of Chicago is 57o km2, and Washington,
system or the operation of the SPS. In the
D. C., 156 km2. Finding available land far
event of decreased load requirements, some
enough from population centers and mili-
excess power could be absorbed by the
tary installations (to make potential electro-
rectenna as heat. Sharp drops in power de-
magnetic interference slight) and near
mand (e. g., an open circuit due, say, to a loss
enough to the load centers to make trans-
of several transmission lines) might cause
mission costs acceptable would not be a
overheating of the rectenna diodes if the
trivial exercise. Rectenna siting would in-
system were unable to dissipate the excess
volve the various regulatory agencies and
power quickly enough. Hence, protective
wou Id have to be addressed by uti I ities very
measures would be required.
early in the overal I planning process.
Maintenance of the dipole antennas and
Utilities in far northern latitudes would
rectifiers in the rectenna might present a ma-
generally find siting more difficult because
jor expense for the utility. Although the
the necessary rectenna area and rectenna
mean time to failure is projected to be 30
exclusion area increases with increasing
years, 24 this would mean that on the aver-
latitude. Some of the most acceptable loca-
age, 7 to 8 diodes (in the rectifier circuit)
tions are in the Southern and Southwestern
could be expected to fail every second, zs
United States where terrestrial photovol-
leading to an overall failure rate of 3 percent
taics and solar thermal devices will also be
per year. Increased quality control of the
most economic to operate. Offshore siting
manufactured components might mitigate
wou Id also be possible, though this option
some of the replacement needs by decreas-
wou Id require extensive study.
ing the failure rate. This procedure, though
more expensive per unit, might be less ex-
The Solid-State Variation
pensive than replacing failed components.
The sol id-state sandwich appears to be more
Operating Capacity Factor. – In order to
economical to build and place in orbit in
maximize capital investment, the SPS, if de-
s m a l l e r u n i t s ( a b o u t 1 . 5 GW),26 mitigating-
veloped, should be operated as close to its
automatical [y problems arising from the con-
“nameplate rating” as possible, i.e., 5,ooO
trol of 5 GW o f p o w e r f r o m t h e r e f e r e n c e
MW. However, during periods of very light
system I n addition, a smaller rectenna would
load (e.g., at night during the spring and fall)
make it possible to place the rectenna closer
even current baseload nuclear and coal
to load centers or in offshore locations.
units must sometimes be run at less than fu II
capacity in order to follow the load swing. Because it is a microwave system, it would
Such factors would make the real operating share the same stability problems that the
reference system wou Id experience.
“R Andryczyk, P Foldes, j Chestek, and B Kaupang “Solar
Power Satelllte Ground Stations, ” IEEE Spectrum, July 1979, Laser System
“Satellite Power Systems Utility Impact Study,” EPRI AP-I 548
TPS 79-752, September 1980 J C Bohn, j W Patmore, H W The laser system would present a different
Falnlnger
‘5A D Kotin, “Satellite Power System (SPS) State and Local
set of challenges and opportunities for the
Regulations as Applied to Satellite Power System Microwave —
Recelvlng Antenna Faclllties, ” DO E-H CPIR-4024-05, 1978 ) h H a n I ev, op c It
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 243

utilities. Because it can generate electricity by used to generate electrical energy — or


employing infrared radiation to heat a boiler, perhaps, hydrogen. How it might be integrated
it could perhaps be used to repower existing into existing uti I ities is unclear. As an electrical
coal, oil, or nuclear facilities. A ground-based system, it would require long transmission
thermal collector would generate steam that lines leading from the energy parks to the
could be used directly to drive a turbine. In ad- p o i n t of end use. However, hydrogen gen-
dition, the scale of the proposed satellite/ erated at the site could be transported by
ground system (100 to 500 MW) would fit exist- vehicles to other destinations.
ing utility capacity quite wel 1. For cases where
This concept appears to require a national
the laser were used for repowering an existing
grid in order to make effective use of the large
facility, no new transmission lines would be
generating capacity of the site (from 10 to 135
needed.
GW). Stability would be much less of a prob-
On the other hand, several intrinsic Imitat- lem for SOLARE S than for the microwave sys-
ions of the proposed laser system would make tem because of the large number of satellites
it difficult for the utilities to integrate it into that would reflect sunlight, the inclusion of
their grid: storage in the system, and because of the in-
dependent blocks of ground-based photovol-
● Weather Limitations. — Although lasers of
talcs or solar thermal plants at the site.
the overall power and power density of
the proposed laser system could burn The SO LARES proposal would be subject to
through light cloud cover, heavy clouds similar problems with clouds as the laser con-
would make it unusable. Thus, it would be cept. However, the additional radiant energy
unsuitable in areas where clouds cover rnlght be great enough to dissipate clouds that
the region for more than a few percent of would form in the region. For this reason, large
the year. It might be possible to use it in mirrors have also been proposed for weather
regions where there are more receiving mod i f I( at ion.27
stations than lasers to support them. Then,
if station A were covered by clouds, for Regulatory Implications of SPS28
example, the laser feeding that station
could be redirected to station B that was Although this area has received only a cur-
under no cloud cover. The resulting extra sory investigation at this time, it is clear that
laser radiation at station B could then be the potential for new forms of financial sup-
used to generate more electrical power at port and management structures for the SPS
that station to compensate for the loss of might engender new regulatory modes. I n gen-
power at station A, assuming that B had eral, the SPS is I ikely to lead to greater cen-
the necessary extra capacity. This arrange- tralization of the Nation’s utility structure,
ment could work wel I for selected parts of leading in turn to a strong need for coordina-
the country, i.e., where the likelihood of tion between neighboring Public Utility Com-
cloud cover forming simultaneously over missions or perhaps to completely new struc-
several stations was smal 1. However, since tures for regulating utilities.
cloudy conditions tend to occur over
large sections of the Nation at one time, Local v. Regional Control
the practicality of this notion would be Utilities have generally entered into a
limited. greater degree of cooperation with utilities in
other States than have their associated
Mirror System regulatory agencies. This state of affairs will
A mirror system would be the most highly
centralized technology of the four alter- ‘ Va)k, op clt
‘“M Cer$ovltz, “Report on Certain Economic Aspects of the
natives. Its proposers envision a few energy SP~ Energy Program, ” OTA Working Paper, SPS Assessment,
parks in which the increased daylight would be 1980
244 ● Solar Power Sate//ites

have to change with increasing use of high- siting a rectenna. A single 5,000-MW rectenna
capacity generating units and greater grid in- could serve a large population, one which is
terconnections. A move toward regional plan- very likely to be distributed across State I ines.
ning and control will likely also come about Coordination of regulatory authority could
because of the current disparity between come from voluntary interstate agreements or
States in siting and other regulations, making it from federally mandated regional planning.
more attractive for utilities to build in States
The current debate about energy parks
where regulations are not as stringent or to
would be instructive in identifying and resolv-
purchase power from utilities that have a
ing some of these issues. Along with this, the
surplus of generating capacity.
trends toward regional izing economic control
In order to regulate their processes, new re- on energy facilities and instituting a national
gional regulatory agencies are likely to be set power grid could provide the institutional
up long before SPS could be part of the utility framework for addressing siting issues for a
grid, leading to greater grid interties. The in- rectenna or SOLARE S energy park.
t r o d u c t i o n o f a n SPS w o u l d u n d o u b t e d l y
hasten the process because the larger the grid, Rate Structure
the more easily outages from a single rectenna
The magnitude of the capital investment
or a laser receiver could be handled. The
that SPS and other future technologies would
intermediate-scale sol id-state system would fit
require wou Id certainly cause some alteration
into this kind of structure easily, but a larger
of the utility rate structure. Just what form
scale SPS such as the reference system or
these alterations might take is currently
SOLARES would necessitate an even more
unclear because they depend heavily on the
widespread system than is now envisioned.
form that the SPS companies would take and
Although the laser system might be used to
how they might be f inanced.
repower inter mediate-s i zed generating
facilities, t h e e v e r p r e s e n t p o s s i b i l i t y o f For example, if the utilities were to own in-
massive cloud cover would require system in- d i v i d u a l SPS plants, they would wish to in-
terties in order to make the most efficient use clude their capital costs during construction
of the available laser satellites. (current work in progress) in the current rate
base. Most States are presently unwilling to
Site Decisions* allow this. However, the extraordinarily high
capital costs of other sorts of new generating
Siting would be a major issue for each one
capacity may make this scheme a necessity.
of the alternative technologies and would also
(In the other hand, if SPS power were to be
require the development of regional coopera-
bought directly from an SPS corporation and
tion. A major question in SPS siting decisions is
sold to the customer, the concern about add-
who would have the control; local, State,
ing capital costs during construction to the
regional, or national entities? Currently, State
rate structure would be eliminated for the util-
or local regulatory boards make the ultimate
ity regulatory agency and shifted to another
decisions concerning plant siting. The Nuclear
sector of the economy (though they would still
Regulatory Commission and the Environmen-
be reflected in busbar costs).
tal Protection Agency review these decisions.
Except for Federal or State land, the planning
SPS Corporations and the Utilities.
for a 174 km’ rectenna would likely involve
several local jurisdictions, one more of whose Currently, the utilities purchase equipment
land use regulations may not be compatible and knowhow from competing corporations
with an SPS rectenna. However, if the need for who build and service generating equipment.
SPS power were great, there might be ade- Because of the scale of investment necessary
quate reason to supercede local regulations in to supply the supportive infrastructure for
building an SPS, the SPS c o r p o r a t i o n m i g h t
*See also chs 8 and 9, pt C wel I evolve as a monopoly, requ i ring
Ch. 9—institutional Issues . 245

monopoly-type regulation on the Federal level. of grid-dispatch that we have already dis-
Whether generating plants or power are sold, it cussed.
is likely that the Federal Government wou Id be ● Reserve Requirements. –The criterion that
heavily involved in the regulation of SPS rates
any two units (e. g., transmission I ine, gener-
and in siting, reliability, and other aspects of
ating plant, etc. ) in a utility system must con-
integrating the SPS into the utilities’ structure.
stitute less than 20 percent of the total sys-
Such a state of affairs would be likely to lead
tem capacity leads to a minimum size for
to a greater degree of centralization of the
any single utility system for a given SPS
electrical industry whether a national power
capacity (see Planning Process). Thus, two
grid were instituted or not.
5,000-MW plants could be accommodated
by a utility system with total capacity of
General Implications for the SPS 33,000 to 50,000 MW or greater. Smaller
Centralization v. Decentralization utilities’ systems could accommodate ap-
p r o p r i a t e l y s m a l l e r SPS p l a n t s . B u t i n
Two opposing forces currently affect the making decisions about whether to proceed
utilities industries— a move towards greater with SPS or not, it is important to estimate
centralization and an opposite trend towards h o w m u c h t o t a l SPS c a p a c i t y t h e U . S .
greater decentralization. On the one hand, utilities grid overall could accommodate.
economies of scale, shared facilities, and the The projected total capacity of the
benefits of regional planning make greater reference system is 300 GW. Could the util-
centralization attractive. On the other, the ities grid in 2030 or 2040 accommodate that
desire of individuals, communities, and many capacity?
companies for a greater degree of energy self- Simply scaling up from the individual util-
reliance for economic or social reasons sug- ity or utility grid, using the 20 percent
gests that the utilities will have to adjust to an criterion, 300 GW total SPS capacity implies
increased demand for grid-integrated dispers- 1,500 CW total electrical capacity in 2030 or
ed systems. 29 The utilities are just beginning to 2040, about 2‘A times current capacity.
address these issues squarely. Market pres- It is clear that under these stringent condi-
sures may make dispersed units increasingly tions, a low electricity demand would pre-
more attractive (see ch. 5, Energy in Context) a t clude development of SPS from the utilities
the same time that the Federal Government point of view. The 20-percent requirement is
supports the development of new central tech- certainly overly stringent, since in effect, it
nologies. The main issue for the utilities to ad- implicitly assumes that the entire SPS fleet
dress is how to accommodate both ends of the wou Id fail at one time (i. e., no reserve power
scale in their planning. would be available from other utilities). On
the other hand, satellites that would be sub-
Market Penetration ject to eclipse (i. e., all those in geostationary
From the point of view of the utilities that orbits) would be eclipsed in groups, not sin-
would either purchase SPS generated power gly. For a few days around the equinoxes, ap-
for distribution in a grid or purchase receiver proximately 18 satellites would be eclipsed
installations to incorporate directly into their at once. * Roughly speaking this means that
own systems, the ultimate total volume of SPS a band of Earth some 1,250-miles wide in
generated power would depend on a number longitude would suffer SPS power outage at
of factors in addition to cost. Even if the one time. Thus, there is a distinct limit to the
busbar cost of SPS electricity was highly com- amount of lost generating capacity that
petitive with other future options, SPS market nearby utilities could supply during the
penetration could be limited by reliability eclipse period. Utilities and their regulatory
requirements and by the technical difficulties commissions would only be I ikely to in-

“D Morris and J Furber, “Decentralized Photovoltalcs” OTA ‘A ~atelllte placed at each degree of longitude corresponds to
Working Paper, SPS Assessment, 1980 15 ~atel I ltes per hour of time
246 ● Solar Power Sate//ites

crease their proportion of SPS beyond the 20 beam-focusing apparatus. In the microwave
percent or so of reserve capacity if they design, a pilot beam sent from the rectenna
were consistently able to draw power from to the satellite antenna would control the
beyond the “shadowed” region, or if the phasing of the beam transmitters. With the
March/September night peaks are low loss of the pilot beam, the SPS power beam
enough to offset this difficulty. In other would quickly defocus, a safety feature that
words, the larger the grid served by SPS the would prevent accidental or intentional
smaller the reserve capacity that would be wandering of the beam. The laser beam
required in any one region. would be controlled in a similar manner. It
For the country as a whole then, a 20-per- would be important to design this apparatus
cent penetration for the reference SPS or to be insensitive to minor perturbations in
any geostationary SPS must be seen as an operating mode, yet sensitive enough to
average limit. Utilities with appropriate maintain its safety qualities. Orientation of
backup could accept more. Others, because the reflecting mirrors of the SOLARES sys-
of their size, location, or special needs tem would be entirely mechanical and
would only accept less than 20 percent. would be controlled by built-in thrusters. Be-
A 20-percent penetration of SPS would cause the mirror system would be highly re-
constitute 120 GW in the low scenario and dundant, the loss of one mirror would not be
about 490 GW in the high one. At a 90-per- catastrophic. It would also be essential to
cent capacity factor, the contribution of design the SPS to be as free as possible from
e l e c t r i c a l e n e r g y f r o m SPS would be 3.2 human error. As the nuclear industry real-
Quads in the low scenario and 13 Quads in izes, designing a technologically complex
the high scenario (44 percent of the total system in which the potential for human er-
electrical energy consumed in both cases). ror is small is a difficult and complex task.
Here again, experience with operating
● Vu/nerabi/ity. –Another aspect of SPS that
systems wculd be essential to utility accept-
the utilities would certainly investigate in
ance.
comparison with other generating options is
its vulnerability to hostile actions~” (see ch.
System Comparison
7), and to unforeseen technical failure.
Of perhaps far more concern to the util- The most acceptable SPS option for the cur-
ities would be any vulnerability to technical rent utilities to pursue may be the solid-state or
failure (especially common mode failure) or a similarly sized microwave. It would provide
to human error. As noted earlier, the utility baseload power with minor weather inter-
grid would experience some difficulties in ference at a scale more in keeping with current
adjusting to planned outages from the ref- uti I ity practice (i e., 1.5 GW). If future utility
erence SPS. Unplanned ones would be far systems develop the capability and the ex-
more difficult to adjust for, though they are perience to handle larger increments of gen-
a common feature of utility operation. The erating capacity, an SPS similar to the
potential for unplanned failure of any of the reference system would be more acceptable,
alternative SPS options would only be fully though siting problems might be very great.
known if a decision is made to proceed with
The laser and mirror concepts, though offer-
one option and a full-scale demonstration
ing some interesting potential, suffer from
were built and tested extensively.
severe weather constraints. The possibility that
Perhaps the most technically sensitive
laser SPS could be used to repower fossil fuel
component of the satellite system is the
plant~ wou Id make it of particular interest in
regions of relatively low cloud cover. One of
the significant drawbacks of the mirror con-
‘“P Vajk, “The Military Impllcatlons of Satellite Power Sys-
tems” NASA/DOE SPS Program Review Meeting, April 1980, Lin-
cept is that it wou Id require the utility and
coln, Nebr overal I energy industry to make a radical
Ch. 9—institutional Issues . 247

change from its current structure because of associated large energy parks could well slow
its very high degree of centralization (10 to 135 its development to beyond 2020.
GW per site). This would be particularly true
for an SPS system operating in other countries Rate of Implemental ion
where the grid system is either nonexistent or
The reference system assumes additions of
very smalI (see ch. 7, International Issues).
10,000 MW per year to the grid. Assuming elec-
tricity demand makes feasible 10,000 MW ad-
Timing of Grid Integration.
ditions to U.S. generating capacity, it is unlike-
If SPS followed the pattern of other new Iy that the rate would begin at that high level.
energy technologies it would take a long time Again, the utilities would want to have con-
to be integrated into the utilities structure. The siderable experience with the first SPS before
reference system scenario 31 suggests that the they would be willing to invest in additional
first SPS could be deliverig power to the grid units. Thus, it is more likely that the annual
in about 20 years time. But nuclear power, rate of implementation would begin at less
which has been used for generating steam for than 5,000 MW on the average and build to
30 years, and became an active option for the higher levels as utilities gain experience and
utilities in 1960 still constitutes only 9 percent (onfidence in SPS.
of the country’s total capacity (54,000 MW). *
Planning for SPS
In the face of this past experience, it seems
more Iikely that the demonstration and testing Acceptance of SPS by the utilities would de-
phases of the SPS would be longer and there- pend on a number of factors, not the least of
fore involve higher costs than can presently be which would be utility involvement in planning
envisioned. The utilities are faced with pro- for SPS. But for the utilities to invest their time
viding reliable power to their customers. Look- and money in such an effort, they would have
ing at SPS from a utilities standpoint, it seems to be convinced that it is worth their while.
highly unlikely that the first SPS would be part Thus, SPS must be considered to be economi-
of the utility grid before 2010. calIy, environmentally, and socially accept-
able compared with the other future energy
This estimate is based on technology similar
options. Much depends on a comparative
to the reference system technology. Develop-
analysis of the available options. And because
ing a laser SPS might take considerably longer
comparative assessment is necessarily a proc-
because we simply have less experience with
ess carried out over many years, the utilities
high-powered lasers. The SOLARES system
must Involve themselves in all phases of that
would be technically easier to build, but the in-
process. A comparative assessment done to-
stitutional and political barriers to creating the
day, though instructive, is as a snapshot com-
pared to a motion picture. As we know more
about each technology in the comparative
““Satellite Power System Concept Development and Evalua-
group, the particular parameters will change,
tion Program Reference System Report, ” op clt
* Nuclear power actual Iy produce~ 13 percent of the electricity leading to a reassessment of the desirability of
sold each technology.

ISSUES ARISING IN THE PUBLIC ARENA


SPS Debate miIitary issues surrounding new technologies,
The supersonic transport, nuclear powerplants,
Public involvement in the development of PAVE PAWS radar facilities and high-voltage
technologies has grown significantly in the last transmission Iines are examples of technol-
two decades. Debate has focused on the en- ogies that have been subject to recent public
vironmental. health and safety. economic and controlversy. Since SPS wouId probably be a
248 ● Solar Power Satellites

federally funded technology (at least in the particular, as important means in overcoming
research, development, and demonstration — terrestrial energy and resource limits. 33 To the
RD&D phases) with long-term and widespread L-5 Society, which has been the most vocal SPS
ramifications, public input in the development lobbyist, the satellite system is “a stepping
process is crucial, especially in the early stone to the stars, ”3 4 an important milestone
stages. Moreover, the potential effectiveness towards the society’s goal, the colonization of
of public resistance to technological systems, space Groups Iike the Aerospace Industries
and the public’s interest in direct participation A s s o c i a t i o n o f A m e r i c a 35 and the SUN SAT
makes public understanding and approval im- Energy Council, a nonprofit corporation
perative for the development of SPS. established to explore the SPS concept, 36 37
believe that SPS is one of the most promising
The assessment of likely public attitudes
options available for meeting future global
towards SPS is difficult, however, because SPS
energy needs in an environmentally and social-
is a future technology. At present, public
Iy acceptable manner. Professional organiza-
awareness of SPS, while growing, is minimal.
tions such as the American Institute of
Even if opinions about SPS were well-formed
A e r o n a u t i c s a n d A s t r o n a u t i c s 38 and the in-
today, it is likely that these attitudes would
stitute of EIectrical and EIectronics Engineers39
change with time. Public thinking could be in-
support continued evaluation of the concept.
fluenced by the other energy and space tech-
nologies, perceived future energy demand and Opponents of SPS characteristically support
general economic and political conditions. 3 2 terrestrial solar and “appropriate” tech-
The state of SPS technology and estimated SPS nologies and are often concerned about envi-
costs couId also be important determinants. In ronmental issues. The Solar Lobby 40 41 and the
addition, the degree of public participation in Environmental Policy Center, 42 for example,
the SPS decisionmaking process could play a fear that an SPS program would drain re-
part in future opinions about the satellite. sources and momentum from small-scale,

Most public discussion on SPS has been con- —


‘‘Iblcf
fined to a small number of public interest and “C Hen$on, A Harlan, and T Bennett, “Concern$ of the L-5
professional organizations. OTA has drawn Society About SPS, ” The Final Proceedings oi the ~olar Power
heavily on the views of these groups because %te//lte Pro~ram Review, Apr ,22-25, 1980, DOE, Cent-800491,
jUIV 1 9 8 0 p 542
they represent selected constituencies that 5
‘ Aerospace I n d u s t r i e s A$soclatlon, S t a t e m e n t s u b m i t t e d f o r
couId play a key role in influencing future the record In So/ar Power ‘5ate//lte, hearings before the Subcom-
public thinking and motivating public action. m Ittee on 5pace Sc Ience and Appl lcatlon~, U S House of Repre-
sentatlve~, Mar 28-30, 1979, pp 241-242
While OTA cannot determine whether or not ‘“P (; Iclwr, “Solar Power Satelllte Development – The Next
the public would ultimately accept SPS, these Steps, Apr 14, 1978, In So/ar Power Sate//lte, hearings before the
interest groups can help identify the issues and Sub( omrnlttee on Space Science and Appl lcatlon~, U S House
ot Reprewntdtlves, Apr 12-14, 1978, No 68, pp 165-178
philosophical debates that may arise in the 1‘I Freeman (ed ) Space .So/ar Power f3u//etln, VOI 1, No 1 and
future. 2, SLJNSA T [ nergy Council, 1980
‘“ So/,?r Power ‘$ate//ltes, AlAA Posltlon Paper, Nov 29, 1978,
prepared by the AlAA Technical Committee on Aerospace Power
Interest Groups Svstem\, ,]nd the AlAA Technical Committee on Space Systems
‘<’H Brown, “Statement on ‘Solar Power Satellite Research,
A small number of public interest and pro- Development, and Evaluation Program Act of 1979,’” In So/ar
fessional organizations have expressed their P~jwer ‘i.~re//lres, hearings before the Subcommittee on Space
views on SPS. In general, many of the indi- S( Ience dnd Appllcatlons, U S House of Representatives, Mar
28- W, 1979, No 15, pp 4-8
viduals and groups that support the develop- “’(’l tlzen \ E n e r g y Project, S o l a r P o w e r Satelllte$ N e w s Up-
ment of SPS also advocate a vigorous space d’]te, Solar Power Satellite Fact Sheet, Coal ltlon Against Satelllte
program. SPS proponents, represented by orga- Power \y\tems S t a t e m e n t ( n e w s l e t t e r s ) , 1 9 8 0
“~ [)(>[ O$S, ‘ Solar Power Satellite, ” Sun T/me\, July 1 9 7 9 , p p
nizations like the OMNI Foundation, view the 4.5
exploitation of space in general, and SPS in “G C)e L o s s , t e s t i m o n y In $o/ar P o w e r Sate//lte, h e a r i n g s
before the Subcommittee on Space Science and Appllcatlons,
“Solar Power Satellite Public (lplnlon l~>ue~ Workshop, A U S House of Representatives, Mar 28-30, 1979, No 15, pp
Summary, Feb 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment 109-114
Ch. 9—Institutional issues ● 249

ground-based, renewable technologies. They noted that in most of the discussion, it is


argue that compared to the terrestrial solar op- assumed that SPS would be a U.S. project (at
tions, SPS is inordinately large, expensive, cen- least in the near term). If the question of SPS
tralized, and complex and that it poses greater were posed in an international context, it is
environmental and military risks. The Citizen’s possible that the flavor of the following
Energy Project has been the most active lob- arguments wouId be altered considerably. Cur-
byist against funding SPS and has coordinated rently, public discussion is focused on the
the Coalition Against Satellite Power Systems, question of R&D funding. It is anticipated that
a network of solar and environmental orga- as public awareness grows, the environmental,
nizations. 43 Objections to SPS also have been health, safety, and cost issues will receive
raised by individuals in the professional more public attention. Questions of centraliza-
astronomy and space science communities tion, military implications and the exploitation
that see SPS as a threat to the funding and of space could also be important.
p r a c t i c e o f t h e i r r e s p e c t i v e d i s c i p l i n e s .4 4 4 5
While there is a wide spectrum of support for R&D PROGRAMS
SPS in the advocates’ community, ranging The primary purpose of an SPS R&D pro-
from cautious support of continued research gram in the near term would be to keep the
to great optimism about the concept viability SPS option open. However, opponents argue
and deployment, almost all opponents object that it makes little sense to investigate this
to Government funding of SPS research, devel- complex, high risk technology when other
opment, and deployment. more viable alternatives exist to meet our
future energy needs. 4 7 In particular, they fear
If the SPS debate continues in the future, it
that SPS would divert funds and valuable
is likely that several other kinds of groups
human resources from the terrestrial solar
would take a stand on SPS. 46 For example, anti-
technologies, which they perceive as more en-
nuclear groups could oppose SPS on many of
vironmentalIy benign, versatile, less expensive
the same grounds that they object to nuclear
to develop, and commercially available sooner
power: centralization, lack of public input,
than SPS. 48 Opponents also argue that a Gov-
and fear of radiation, regardless of kind. Anti-
ernment R&D program for SPS would fall easy
military organizations might also object to SPS
prey to bureaucratic inertia, and that no mat-
if they foresaw military involvement. It is likely
ter what the results of R&D, the program
that community groups would form to oppose
would continue because the investment and
the siting of SPS receivers in their locality if the
attendant bureaucracy would be too great to
environmental and military uncertainties were
stop. 49 Moreover, opponents b e l i e v e t h a t
not adequately resolved or if public participa-
political inertia will be generated from the
tion in the siting process was not solicited.
relatively large amount of money that is
Rural communities and farmers in particular
presently allocated to organizations with a
could also strongly oppose SPS on the grounds
vested interest in SPS as compared to those
that, like highways and high-voltage power-
groups opposed to SPS. In addition, they are
Iines, it would intrude on rural life.
concerned that studies evaluating SPS for the
purpose of making decisions about R&D fund-
Issues
ing do not compare SPS with decentralized
The issues that repeatedly surface in the SPS solar technologies; they argue that without this
debate are shown in table 53. It should be kind of analysis, the public would be unwilling
to make a commitment to SPS funding.
“Citizen’s Energy Project, op. cit.
““’’Solar Threat to Radioastronomy, ” New Scientist, Nov. 23,
1978, p. 590. “K Bossong and S. Denman, “A Critique of Solar Power Satel-
“ sPeter Boyce, Executive Officer of the American Astronomi- lite Technology, “ INSIGHT, March 1980
cal Society, prwate communication 48Cltlzen’s Energy Pro}ect, op. cit
“’Solar Power Satellite: Pubiic Opinion Issues Workshop, A “Solar Power Satellite: Public Opinion Issues Workshop, A
Summary, Feb. 21-22,1980, Office of Technology Assessment ‘$urrtrriary, Feb 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment

-
83-316 0 - 81 17
250 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table 53.—Major Issues Arising in SPS Debate*

Pro Con
R&D funding
● SPS is a promising energy option ● SPS is a very high-risk, unattractive technology
● The Nation should keep as many energy options open ● Other more viable and preferable energy options exist
as possible to meet our future energy demand
Ž An SPS R&D program is the only means of evaluating ● SPS would drain resources from other programs,
the merit of SPS relative to other energy technologies especially terrestrial solar technologies and the space
sciences
● SPS R&D will yield spinoffs to ether programs ● No matter what the result of R&D, bureaucratic inertia
will carry Government programs too far
cost
● SPS is likely to be cost competitive in the energy ● SPS is unlikely to be cost competitive without Govern-
market ment subsidy
● Cost to taxpayer is for R&D only and accounts for small ● Like the nuclear industry, SPS would probably require
portion of total cost; private sector and/or other nations ongoing Government commitment
will invest in production and maintenance ● Projected cost are probably underestimated considerably
● SPS will produce economic spinoffs Ž The amount of energy supplied by SPS does not justify
the cost.
Environment, heath, and safety
● SPS is potentially less harsh on the environment than Ž SPS risks to humans and the environment are poten-
other energy technologies, especially coal tially greater than those associated with terrestrial
solar technologies
. Major concerns include: health hazards of power trans-
mission and high-voltage transmission lines, land-use,
electromagnetic interference, upper atmosphere ef-
fects, and
— ‘(sky lab syndrome”
Space
● Space is the optimum place to harvest sunlight and ● SPS is an aerospace boondoggie; There are better
other resources routes to space industrialization and exploration than
SPS
● SPS could be an important component or focus for a ● SPS is an energy system and should not be justified on

space program the basis of its applicability to space projects


● SPS could lay the ground work for space industrializa-

tion and/or colonization


● SPS would produce spinoffs from R&D and hardware to

other space and terrestrial programs


International considerations
● One of the most attractive characteristics of SPS is its ● SPS could represent a form of U.S. and industrial na-
potential for international cooperation and ownership tions’ “energy imperialism,“ it is not suitable for LDCs
● SPS can contribute significantly to the global energy ● Ownership of SPS by multinational corporations would
supply centralize power
● SPS is one of few options for Europe and Japan and is
well suited to meet the energy and resource needs of
developing nations
● An international SPS would reduce concerns about
adverse military implications
Military Implications
● The vulnerability of SPS is comparable to other energy . Spinoffs to the military from R&D and hardware would
systems be significant and undesirable
● SPS has poor weapons potential . Vulnerability and weapons potential are of concern
● As a civilian program, SPS would create few military
spinoffs
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 251

Table 53.—Major Issues Arising in SPS Debate* —Continued

Pro Con
Centralization and scale
● Future energy needs include large as well as small- • SPS would augment and necessitate a centralized in-
scale supply technologies; urban centers and industry frastructure and reduce local control, ownership, and
especially cannot be powered by small-scale systems participation in decisionmaking
alone
● SPS would fit easily into an already centralized grid ● The incremental risk of investing in SPS development is
unacceptably high
Future energy demand
. Future electricity demand will be much higher than . Future electricity demand could be comparable or only
today slightly higher than today with conservation
. High energy consumption is required for economic ● The standard of living can be maintained with a lower

growth rate of energy consumption


● SPS as one of a number of future electricity sources ● There is little need for SPS; future demand can be met

can contribute significant y to energy needs easily by existing technologies and conservation
● Even if domestic demand for SPS is low, there is a • By investing in SPS development, we are guaranteeing
global need for SPS high energy consumption, because the costs of
development would be so great
a
———.
Arguments mainly focus on the SPS reference system.
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment.

Advocates, on the other hand, view SPS as a spond to claims of bureaucratic inertia by
potentially viable and preferable technology. so citing several cases in which large projects,
They argue that an R&D program is the only such as the SST and the Safeguard ABM sys-
means of evaluating SPS vis-a-vis other energy tem, were halted in spite of the large invest-
technologies. Moreover, if the Nation can af- ment. 54 They argue that at the funding levels
ford to spend up to $1 billion per year on a currently discussed for R&D, the risk of pro-
high-risk technology like fusion, it could cer- gram runaway is very low.
tainly afford SPS
51
research that would be much
less expensive. proponents maintain that SPS COST
research will yield many spinoffs to other Economic issues have played center stage in
technologies and research programs whether the SPS debate. Almost every journal account
or not SPS is ever deployed. 52 53 They also re- of SPS (particularly those critical of the
satellite) has highlighted its cost. 55 56 57 T h e

‘“P. Glaser, “Solar Power From Satellites, ” Physics Today, Feb-


ruary 1977,
“Solar Power Satellite: Public Opinion Issues Workshop, A “Solar Power Satellite: Public Opinion Issues Workshop, A
Summary, Feb. 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment summary, Feb. 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment.
52
P Glaser, “Development of the Satellite Solar Power Sta- “J Marinelli, “The Edsel of The Solar Age,” Environrnenta/Ac-
tion, ” in So/ar Power from Sate//ites, hearings before the Sub- tion, July/August 1979,
committee on Aerospace Technology and National Needs, U S “R Brownstein, “A $1,000,000,000 Energy Boondoggle; Sci-
Senate, Jan 19,21,1976, pp 8-35 ence Fiction Buffs Will Love It, ” Critica/ Mass )ourna/, June 1980.
‘IT A Heppenheimer, Co/onies in S p a c e (City, State: stack- “L Torrey, “A Trap to Harness the Sun,” New scientist, J UIY
pole Books, 1977) 10, 1980
252 ● Solar Power Satellites

predominant questions revolve around R&D cantly increase as SPS is developed. Further-
priorities and capital and opportunity costs. In more, the U.S. taxpayers would be required to
addition, the calculation of costs themselves support this increase and to maintain an ongo-
and cost comparisons between technologies ing commitment to SPS above and beyond the
could be subject to extensive scrutiny and RD&D costs, just as they have for the nuclear
debate. industry. ” The National Taxpayers Union, in
particular, sees SPS as a “giant boondoggle
Proponents argue that the only cost open for
that will allow the aerospace industry to feed
public discussion is the cost of RD&D to the
its voracious appetite from the federal
taxpayer. 5859 The bulk of the SPS investment
trough.” 6 8 Opponents argue that SPS would
would be carried on by the private sector in
n o t a l l e v i a t e u n e m p l o y m e n t substantially
competition with other inexhaustible energy
because it provides unsustainable jobs to the
alternatives. Furthermore, much of the RD&D
aerospace sector alone. 69 Most opponents also
cost could be returned from other space pro-
do not believe that SPS will be cost com-
grams such as nonterrestrial mining and in-
petitive and argue that the amount of energy
dustrialization that build upon the SPS techno-
produced by SPS would not justify its large in-
logical base. ’” Advocates also contend that an
vestment cost. 70
SPS program would produce economic spin-
offs by providing domestic employment and The most critical issue for opponents is the
by stimulating technological . innovation for question of opportunity cost, i.e., the cost of
terrestrial industry. 6 1 Some proponents also not allocating resources for other uses. 71 They
argue that as an international system, SPS argue that a commitment to SPS R&D would
could lead to the expansion of world energy jeopardize rather than stimulate the develop-
and space markets. 62 63 In addition, in a global ment of other energy technologies. Opponents
scenario, the United States would bear a small- also argue that SPS might foreclose oppor-
er portion of the development costs. Finally, tunities for alternate land use, Federal non-
advocates believe that in spite of the large in- energy R&D funding, allocation of radio fre-
vestment costs, SPS would be economically quencies and orbital slots, resource uses and
competitive with other energy technol- jobs.
ogies. 64 65
ENVIRONMENT, HEALTH, AND SAFETY
Opponents argue that the present cost esti-
Opponents contend that the environmental
mates are unrealistically Iow. 66 T h e y e x p e c t
risks and uncertainties of SPS far exceed those
that like other aerospace projects and the
of the terrestrial solar options. 72 They are most
Alaskan pipeline, the cost of SPS would signifi-
concerned about the effects of microwaves on
5’Solar Power Sate//ite: Pub/ic Opinion /ssues Workshop, A
human health, airborne biota and communica-
Summary, Feb. 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment. tions systems. Critics of SPS also argue that it
“K Heiss, testimony in So/ar Power Sate//ite, hearings before would severely strain U.S. supplies of certain
the Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications, U S
House of Representatives, Mar 28-30, 1979, pp 132-158
materials, thereby increasing our reliance on
‘“G. Driggers, letter and statement submitted for the record In foreign sources. 73 In addition, opponents ques-
So/ar Power Sate//ite, hearings before the Subcommittee on
Space Science and Applications, U S House of Representatives, —
pp 407-416 “Solar Power Sate//ite: Pub/fc Opinion Issues Workshop, A
“Glaser, “Solar Power Satellite D e v e l o p m e n t – T h e N e x t Summary, Feb 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment
Steps,” op clt “J Creenbaum, National Taxpayers Union, letter to the
‘ 2 So/ar Power Sate//ite: Pub/ic Opinion Issues Workshop, A Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, expressing
Summary, Feb. 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment views on H R 12505, July 7, 1978
“Heppenheimer, op. cit “Richard Grossman, Envlronmentallsts for Full Employment,
“P. Glaser, “The Earth Benefits of Solar Power Satellites, ” private communication, July 25, 1979
Space Solar Power Review, VOI 1, No 1 &2, 1980 7“Bos\ong and Denman, op clt
‘ 5R. W Taylor, testimony in So/ar Power From Sate//ites, pp 7 ’ 50/ar Power Sate//ite Pub//c Opinion Issues Workshop, A
48-51. Summary, Feb 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment
7
“K, Bossong, S, Denman, So/ar P o w e r Sate//ites or How to ’Citizen’s Energy Project, op clt
Make So/ar Energy Centralized, Expensive and Environmenta//y “] Hooper, Star Gazer’s A/ert, update to “Pie In the Sky”
Unsound, report No. 40, Citizens Energy Project, June 1979 (newsletter), The Wilderness Society
Ch.. 9—institutional Issues ● 253

tion putting Earth resources in space where becoming more important. Opponents, on the
they cannot be recycled or retrieved. ” Oppo- other hand, contend that environmental con-
nents also cite the large amount of land cerns will remain predominant and that the
needed for receiver siting, high-voltage trans- public perception of environmental risks will
mission lines, the effects of launches on air uItimately dictate costs.
and noise quality, the potential for unplanned
Historically, public involvement in techno-
reentry of LEO satellites (“Skylab Syndrome”),
logical controversies has often been spurred
reflected sunlight from the satellites and
by concerns about the environmental risks. En-
potential adverse effects on climate and ozone
vironmental issues couId be very important in
as serious problems. 75
future public thinking about SPS as well. 82 It is
Advocates, on the other hand, maintain that also Iikely that SPS would serve to bring con-
compared to other baseload or large-scale troversies over the impacts of other technol-
energy technologies, SPS would incur less en- ogies to the forefront, most notably the bio-
vironmental risk. 76 77 78 In particular, its effects of microwaves and high voltage trans-
climatic effects would be far less severe than mission Iines (60 cycle). While the public might
those of fossil fuels and its bioeffects would be concerned about all environmental impacts
probably be much less hazardous than those (see table 28), those that most immediately af-
of coal and nuclear. Proponents claim that the fect people’s health and well-being would
principal advantage of SPS as opposed to ter- dominate discussion. Moreover, environmen-
restrial solar and hydroelectric is that it would tal issues would be most focused and
ueless land per unit energy. 79 Most advocates amplified at the siting stages of SPS devel-
are confident that while electromagnetic inter- opment (see Siting section). Public acceptance
ference and some atmospheric effects could of SPS wilI depend strongly on the state of
be a problem, acceptable methods can be knowledge and general understanding of en-
found to mitigate most of the environmental vironmental hazards. It will also depend on the
impacts of SPS. Some proponents also argue institutional management of the knowledge;
that one of the major benefits of SPS is that it who determines the extent and acceptability
transports to space many of the environmental of the public risk may be just as important as
impacts typicalIy associated with the genera- the data itself.
tion of power on Earth. 80 M o r e o v e r , a i r a n d
The most critical environmental issue for the
water pollution and resource strains could be
reference system at present is the biological ef-
alleviated if the Nation mined the Moon or
fect of microwaves, not only because the un-
asteroids. Some advocates have also stressed
certainties are so great, but also because of the
the importance of weighing environmental
existing controversy over microwave bioef-
concerns against the needs for inexpensive
fects in general. As the proliferation of micro-
energy. 81 A few contend that while environ-
wave and radio frequency devices has in-
mental issues have ranked high in the public
creased dramatically, this issue has received
mind, convenience and the cost of energy are
considerable attention in the public arena. A
great many newspaper and journal articles, 8 3
“DeLoss, “Solar Power Satellite, ” op clt as well as television segments on 60 minutes
75
Solar Power Satellite: Public Opinion Issues Workshop, A and 20/20, 84 and Paul Brodeur’s book, The Zap-
Summary, Feb 21-22, 1980, Office of Technology Assessment
“C laser, “Solar Power Satellite D e v e l o p m e n t – T h e N e x t ping of America: Microwaves, Their Deadly
Steps,” op clt Risk and the Cover-Up85 signal growing public
zTHeppenhelmer, oP. c ‘ t
“G. O’Nelll, The High Frontier: Human Co/onies in Space (New
York William Morrow & Co , Inc , 1977) “lbld
7’Glaser, “The Earth Benefits of Solar Power Satellites, ” op “S Schlefelbeln, “The Invlslble Threat, ” Saturday Review,
cit. Sept 15, 1979, pp 16-20
‘“C W Driggers, “SPS Significant Promise Seen, ” The Energy 84
A Bachrach, Satellite Power System [SPS] Public Acceptance,
Consumer, September 1980, pp 39-40 October 1978
“Solar Power Satellite: Public Opinion Issues Workshop, A “Paul Brodeur, The Zapping of America (New York W W Nor-
Summary, Feb. 21-22, 1980, Off Ice of Technology Assessment ton & Co Inc , 1977)

83-316 0 - 81 - 18
254 ● Solar Power Satellites

concern over the increase of “electronic (NRDC) claims that the NIOSH criteria docu-
smog. ” ment that will form the basis of the NIOSH
standard, fails to provide a scientifically and
The press has been particularly suspicious of
medically sound standard; while it admits the
the motives and conclusions of the apparently
existence of many low-level effects, it pro-
small, closed community of microwave re-
poses a thermal standard and fails to ade-
searchers and decisionmakers in the 1950’s and
quately address low-level non-thermal ef-
1960’s. Suggestions of vested interests, con-
fects. 89 NRDC argues that the proposed stand-
spiracy, and coverups stem from the confiden-
ard was arbitrarily chosen, just like its
tial classification of microwave research by
predecessor. N R D C r e c o m m e n d s t h a t t h e
radio frequency users such as the military and
criteria document be recommissioned, that a
the microwave device industry and the lack of
balanced team of experts work with NIOSH
attempts to solicit public input. 86 Whether or
and another review the document and that a
not such motives in fact existed, the public and
temporary emergency standard of 1 mW/cm 2
press, fearful of the word “radiation,” have ex-
for 10 MHz to 300 GHz, be promulgated.
pressed little confidence in “official” claims
that microwaves are as safe as they are pur- In spite of the proliferation of microwave
ported to be. ovens, public resistance to the siting of
technologies that use the radio frequency por-
The political edge of the scientific con-
tion of the electromagnetic spectrum has been
troversy has also been sharpened by several in-
strong and often effective. Local residents
cidents over a 10-year period of microwave ir-
have opposed the construction of broad-
radiation of the U.S. embassy in Moscow. The
casting towers and radar installations, as well
peak power of the modulated field was 18
as high voltage transmission Iines (ELF radia-
m i c r o w a t t , f a r b e l o w t h e U . S . g u i d e l i n e .8 7
tion). (See Siting section.)
Although neither electronic jamming or sur-
veillance seemed to be the purpose of the
SPACE
waves, there was concern about attempted
behavior control and health hazards that led SPS would represent a giant leap in our pres-
to Project Pandora and other studies. These in- ent commitment to space. To some, this space
vestigations tended to conclude that the em- component and its supporting infrastructure
bassy workers did not encounter health haz- wouId be an unnecessary and expensive com-
ards traceable to their exposures. 88 Few follow- m i t m e n t , 9 0 while others enthusiastically em-
up studies have been conducted however, and brace SPS as the first step towards an extrater-
suspicions still exist. Public opinion seems to restrial future for human kind. 91 Others argue
have been influenced by the extensive publici- that a commitment to space is desirable, but
ty these episodes have received. Articles ques- that SPS would be the wrong route to get there.
tioning the ethics and motives of the State It is likely that the discussion of the SPS con-
Department leave the reader feeling that the cept would precipitate extensive debate over
issues were never adequately resolved. national priorities, domestic space policy and
the international and military implications of
Most recently the proposed American Na- space.
tional Standards Institute and National in-
stitute of Occupational Safety and Health Proponents of SPS argue that space is the
(NIOSH) microwave standards have been criti- optimum place to harvest sunlight 92 and other
cized. The Natural Resources Defense Council resources that are needed for an Earth plagued
by overpopulation, resource limitations, and a
threatened environment. M a n y e n v i s i o n a
‘bIbid.
87
Schiefelbein, op. cit. “ ’ L o u I~ Slesln, l e t t e r t o D r A n t h o n y R o b b i n s , NIOSH, from
88A. Lilienfeld, et al , Foreign Service Hea/th Status of Foreign NRDC, j Uiy 11, 1979
9(
Service and Other Employees From Selected Eastern European ’ Cltlzen’s Energy Project, op clt
Posts Fina/ Report, D e p a r t m e n t o f Epldemlology, the John 9’Henson, Harlan, Bennett, op clt
92
Hopkins University, July 31,1978 Brownsteln, op clt
Ch. 9—Institutional issues . 255

future in which the U.S. mines, industrializes space. A growing public interest in space
and colonizes space as a hedge against these utilization or exploration and increased ap-
limits to growth.93 94 95 SPS is one step in this vi- preciation of the pragmatic benefits of space
sion, for it not only would deliver energy to could put SPS in a favorable light. 102 Equitable
Earth but would also spur the development of international agreements about the use of
hardware, management, expertise and energy space could also spur support for SPS. On the
for use by other space activities. In fact, some other hand, ambiguous space agreements, in-
proponents have suggested that without SPS, ternational conflicts, or the escalation of
the space program will atrophy; 96 that SPS space weaponry couId turn public opinion
would give NASA a clear context in which to a w a y f r o m S P S . Negative public thinking
plan other space projects. Some advocates see about space activities and SPS could also stem
SPS, like Apollo, as a way to restore the fron- from the technical failure of a major space
tier spirit by dispelling the gloom associated vehicle or satelIite.
with limits to growth. 97 98
INTERNATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS
Many opponents, on the other hand, call SPS
Beyond its immediate implications as a
an aerospace boondoggle. ” They argue that
space system, there are other international
SPS, as an energy system, should not be justi-
issues associated with SPS. The satelIite system
fied on the basis of its applicability to other
is seen as a possible focus for either global
space pro jets. Moreover, it is argued that it is
cooperation or global conflict by advocates
not necessary to go to space in order to gener-
and opponents alike. ’03 However, opponents
ate technological spinoffs; the Nation can en-
are especially skeptical of the feasibility of a
courage technological competence and inno-
muItinational system; they doubt that interna-
vation in more direct and less expensive
tional cooperation would occur until most of
ways. 100 Some critics of SPS also argue that
the existing conflicts on Earth are resolved.
SPS would serve to escalate and accelerate
SPS opponents are most concerned that SPS
confrontations in space.
would represent U.S. “energy imperialism” by
In the future, public opinion about space dominating the cultural and technical develop-
and SPS in particular will be influenced by the ment of lesser developed countries (LDCs). 104
relative status of space programs in this and Reliance on the industrial nations would im-
other countries. 101 For example, the pursuit of pinge on third world attempts at energy in-
SPS programs in other nations might act as an dependence. Furthermore they argue that SPS
impetus for the United States to participate in wouId do Iittle to alleviate the near term
or develop its own SPS. In light of the ex- energy needs of LDCs, whereas most terrestrial
perience with Skylab, it is clear that the suc- solar technologies could. Opponents also fear
cess or failure of U.S. space projects such as that control of SPS by multinational corpora-
the space shuttle will have a marked effect on tions would accelerate the movement of eco-
public thinking. Grassroots organizations sup- nomic and political power away from individ-
portive of space, and the popularity of science uals and communities. 105
fiction and space-oriented entertainment,
The characteristic of SPS that is most at-
could also play a role in determining attitudes
tractive to some proponents, on the other
toward the exploitation and exploration of
hand, is the potential for multinational
cooperation. 106 107 In fact, a few contend that
“Glaser, “Development of the Satellite Solar Power Station, ”
op cit c t
‘“l bid
94tieppenhreimer, oP ‘ ‘)’1 bid
95
0’ Neill, op. cit ‘)41 bid
9
’Peter Glaser, private communication ‘(’5 Bossong and Denman, “A Critique of Solar Power Satellite
97Glaser, “Solar Power Satellite Development–The Next Technology, ” op cit
Steps, ” op. cit ‘l’G laser, “The Earth Benefits of Solar Power Satellites, ” op
98 Heppenheimer, oP C’t Clt
99
Greenbaum, op cit ‘“7P C laser, “The Solar Power Satellite Research, Develop-
‘OOOfflce of Technology Assessment, op cit ment and Evaluation Program Act of 1979, ” testimony In So/ar
101 Ibid Power Satellite, 1979, pp 215-224
256 Ž Solar Power Satellites

this is the only feasible arrangement for SPS; 108 apparent how the military implications of SPS
a multinational SPS would alleviate many of would be viewed. For example, a perceived
the problems associated with a unilateral SPS, military potential of SPS and its supporting in-
e.g., military implications and high costs. Pro- frastructure might be seen as a real benefit to a
ponents also argue that SPS would enhance public concerned about both national security
the economies and industrial development of and energy needs. 5 Many might even expect a
LDCs by meeting their primary energy needs.109 military presence in space. The laser system
They maintain that electricity from SPS could would probably engender more concern over
be used to produce methanol, transported to military applications than the microwave or
rural areas in labor intensive pipelines for mirror designs. Clearly, future opinion will be
heating, cooking, and small industries. 110 S P S influenced by the state of space weaponry in
might also be used for mariculture to provide this and other nations, future agreements
food. SPS advocates maintain that for oil- and about the use of space, and the state of ter-
sun-poor Japan and Europe, SPS is one of the restrial weapons as well as arms limitations
very few energy options available. Some and the perceived military stature of the
also argue that the deployment of SPS would United States relative to the rest of the world.
slow the proliferation of nuclear technology in
the third world. 2 CENTRALIZATION AND SCALE
Debate over future energy strategies often
MILITARY IMPLICATIONS involves questions of general social values
Military issues are intimately related to rather than a narrow choice of specific tech-
space and international considerations. Pro- nologies. One of the issues fundamental to this
ponents stress that SPS microwave and mirror debate is that of centralization of energy pro-
systems would be ineffective weapons and no duction. The degree of centralization underlies
more vulnerable than a terrestrial power- many of the other issues discussed here in-
p l a n t . ’ While some believe that a military cluding siting, ownership, public participation,
presence in space is unavoidable, it is clear military implications, and the choice between
that there are better ways to achieve military terrestrial solar and SPS.
competence than with SPS. A primary concern
Opponents of large-scale technologies ob-
for opponents is that SPS would provide a
ject to society’s increasing reliance on com-
technological base that would further military
plex technologies and centralized infrastruc-
capabilities and serve to escalate military con-
tures that, they argue, tend to erode the viabili-
f l i c t s . 114 Many opponents feel that, like the
ty of democratic government by concentrating
shuttle, military involvement with SPS is inevi-
economic and political power in the hands of a
table and that because of its vulnerability, SPS
few, and reducing individual and community
would accelerate the need for a military
control over local decisions. 116 Critics of SPS
presence in space. Opponents are also con-
argue that it would augment and necessitate
cerned that because of their highly centralized
centralization by requiring a massive financial-
nature, SPS satellites and receiving stations
m a n a g e m e n t p y r a m i d .117 Utility, energy, and
would be targets for attack from terrorists and
space companies and Federal agencies would
hostile nations.
combine into a simple conglomerate, in which
[t is likely that the military issue will be of small business would play little or no part.
great concern to the public, although it is not They reason that decisions about local energy
‘08 Glaser, private communication, op clt
development, receiver and transmission line
‘09 Heppenheimer, op cit siting and economic and environmental plan-
““D Criswell, P. Glaser, R Mayur, B O’Leary, G O’Neill, and ning would necessarily be made by Federal
J Vajk, “The Role of Space Technology in the Developing Coun-
tries,” Space So/ar Power Review, VOI 1, No 1 & 2, 1980
1l’Bachrach, op clt 1‘ ‘Ibid
1’2Driggers, op cit ‘“Bossong and Denman, “A Critique of Solar Power Satellite
“’Office of Technology Assessment, op clt Technology, ” op cit
1141bld ‘‘ ‘Citizen’s Energy Project, op clt
Ch. 9—Institutional Issues Ž 257

and industrial decision makers at a national or In generaI, advocates of large-scale technol-


p e r h a p s m u l t i n a t i o n a l I e v e l .118 M a n y o p p o - ogies Iike SPS maintain that centralized sys-
nents argue that decentralized solar technol- tems are more reliable and easier to implement
ogies are preferable to SPS because they than dispersed technologies. Centralized
employ a wider range of skilIs, encourage par- powerplants also produce environmental im-
ticipation of small firms, are more directly ac- pacts that are localized and hence directly af-
cessible to the individual consumer and fect fewer people. It is argued that dispersed
equitably allocate their negative environmen- power generation does not reduce centralized
tal impacts to the same people who receive the decisionmaking; in order to be economic these
benefits. In addition, unlike SPS that must be systems will require mass production, stand-
built in large units to be economic, terrestrial ardization, and regulation and an extensive
solar technologies can flexibly accommodate distribution and service network. 124 C e n t r a l -
large or small variations in energy demand. ’ ized technologies, at least, are more conve-
Moreover, unlike SPS, they do not require nient from the user’s perspective. Advocates
large contiguous land areas, a large initial in- also contend that centralized technologies and
vestment, large energy backup units or a na- infrastructures are a better means of ensuring
tional utility grid to ensure adequate reliabili- equity among the Nation’s citizens. 125 For ex-
ty. Dispersed energy technologies are also con- ample, many people, predominantly in the in-
sidered more appropriate for lesser developed ner cities, wilI continue to rely on centralized
nations because they are better matched to delivery systems because they cannot afford
end-use needs, produce relatively small im- the capital costs to do otherwise.
pacts on local culture and environment and
While the public might not couch the prob-
don’t require foreign financing, materials,
lem in terms of “centralization, ” it is clear that
complex infrastructures or hardware. 120 O p -
people will be concerned about technologies
ponents of SPS also view its scale as a severe
and systems that appear to prevent them from
detriment from an energy planning perspective
directly influencing the conditions of their
because the incremental risk of investing in an
own Iives. 1 2 6 Public thinking about SPS will
SPS development program would be unaccept-
then be determined by the extent of public par-
ably high; a case of “too many eggs in one
ticipation in the planning and decisionmaking
b a s k e t .1 2 1
process, experience w i t h c e n t r a l i z e d a n d
Most proponents of SPS argue that the Na- dispersed technologies, attitudes towards
tion’s energy future will be characterized by a energy, space, and utility conglomerates as
mix of centralized and dispersed energy gener- well as the perceived influence and benefits
ating systems, but that only centralized tech- (e g., convenience) of centralized technologies.
nologies like SPS will be able to meet the
needs of industry, large cities, transportation FUTURE ELECTRICITY DEMAND
and fuel production. 122 In addition, the cen- Those in favor of SPS tend to foresee an
tralized nature of SPS facilitates its adoption energy future characterized by high electricity
into the existing electricity infrastructure. 1 2 3 consumption and an expanded power grid. 127
Some organizational centralization may result, Many equate economic well-being to high
but this will occur in the utility and aerospace e n e r g y g r o w t h r a t e s .128 Even if the United
sectors, already strongly centralized, and so it States is not able to absorb all of an SPS
will not cause a significant new concentration
“H Brooks, “Critique of the Concept of Appropriate
of power. Technology”, In Appropriate Technology and Social Values — A
Cr~tlca/ Appraisa/, F Long and A Oleson (eds ) (Cambridge,
‘ “Office of Technology Assessment, op clt M,iss Balllnger Publlshlng C o , 1 9 8 0 )
‘“DeLoss, testimony in So/ar Power Sate//lte, op clt “Offlc P o f T e c h n o l o g y A s s e s s m e n t , o p clt
““Off ice of Technology Assessment, op cit 2’)1 bid
“’DeLoss, “Solar Power Satellite, ” op clt 170fflc e of Technology Assessment, The Energy Context of
“’Office of Technology Assessment, op clt SP} Work ~hop, A Summary, September 1980
‘“R Stobaugh and D Yergin, Energy Future (New York Ran “Off Ice of Technology Assessment, Solar Power Sate//ite
dom House, 1979) Public Op/rrlon Issues Workshop, A Summary, Feb 21-22, 1980
258 ● Solar Power Satellites

system, they argue that on a global scale there Siting


will always be high demand. 129 130 P r o p o n e n t s
Historically, public debate over the in-
also argue that if SPS is able to provide
relatively cheap, environmentally benign and troduction of a technology has been most pro-
plentiful energy, then it will be consumed and nounced at the siting stage. It is during the
demand will be high. ’3’ Some argue that no siting phase that public opposition to a tech-
matter which demand scenario is finally real- nology has been most vocal, organized, and ef-
ized, we need to investigate every possible fective. Citizens have taken direct action
electricity option today, so that we have ade- against the siting of powerplants, airports,
prisons, high-voltage transmission lines and
quate choices in the future.
military facilities by forming local and na-
Most opponents, on the other hand, envision tional groups, publicizing their cause through
an energy future dominated by conservation the media, taking legal action, demonstrating,
and solar technologies. 123 Some believe that and occasionally resorting to civil disobedi-
electricity should play a minor role in our ence and violence. 1 3 7 In general, siting con-
energy supply mix because of its thermo- troversies revolve around issues of environ-
dynamic inefficiency. 133 Furthermore, most op- mental effects, health and safety risks, re-
ponents contend that even if electricity de- duced land values and fair compensation, pri-
mand were to increase somewhat, it could be vate property rights, opportunity costs, vul-
satisfied with existing technologies. 134 T h e y nerabiIity to attack, and public participation in
argue that by developing large-scale energy land-use decisions. 138 It is clear that in the
systems such as SPS, we are guaranteeing high absence of national land-use policies, conflicts
energy use because the investment in their over land-use priorities will escalate as the
development is so great. population grows, and friction between rural
Public attitudes about SPS will depend on and urban America and local communities and
regional or national decision makers will in-
the relative cost and availability of energy, the
advancement and proliferation of electrical crease ‘‘9
end-use technologies, attitudes towards energy For SPS, siting is a major issue. * SPS would
companies and forecasters of electricity de- be particularly prone to siting difficulties
mand, and the sense of energy security as because of its large contiguous land re-
determined by domestic supply v. reliance on quirements, its potential military implications,
foreign sources. 35 and its use of nonionizing electromagnetic
radiation (e. g., microwaves or lasers) in power
SPS Technical Options transmission and distribution. This last factor
How might future public reaction to alter- is most important because of considerable
native SPS systems differ? 136 Table 54 iden- uncertainties associated with the environmen-
tifies some of the relative benefits and draw- tal and health risks of electromagnetic radia-
backs of the proposed SPS systems as they tion as well as possible interference with elec-
might be perceived by the public. tromagnetic systems. These uncertainties and
-—- —
‘“L ( aldwell, L Hayes, and I MacWhlrtey, Citizem and the
/ nvtronment Case Stucfles in Popu/ar Act/on (Broom lngton, Ind
I ndlana University Press, 1975)
‘2’O’Neill, op cit. ‘ “OftIce of Technology Assessment, op clt
‘30Glaser, private communication, op clt ‘ “lbl(l
‘J IOffice of Technology Assessment, The Energy Context of *It ts assumed that SPS receivers would be sited on land Off-
SPS Workshop, Op. clt shore locations are also possible and might alleviate many of the
I J21bld ~PS Ian(j-use problems, but are not specifically addressed here
‘“A B Lovins, “Energy Strategy The Road Not Taken?” - Also not considered here are possible multiple land uses If it can
Foreign Affairs, October 1976 he shown that land can safely and economically be used for
‘ “Office of Technology Assessment, The Energy Context of iltlng 5 PS receivers and other uses (e g , agriculture, pasture
SPS Workshop, op. clt land) simultaneously, then siting on private land might not be a
‘‘sOffIce of Technology Assessment, So/ar Power Sate//ite: problem However, In the absence of detailed assessments on the
Pub/ic Opinion /ssues Workshop, op clt ( osts and environmental Impacts of multiple uses, it IS assumed
‘Jblbid I n th IS section that I and IS dedicated to SPS receivers alone
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 259

Table 54.—Potential Benefits and Drawbacks of SPS Technical Options

Advantages Disadvantages
Laser system
. Does not use microwaves ● Possible weapon
. Of SPS systems, requires less land area per site and ● Health and safety impact of beam wanders
can deliver smaller units of energy ● Weather modification
Mirror system
● Most environmentally benign of SPS systems ● Largest land requirements per site
● Least weapons potential of all SPS systems ● Illumination of night sky
● Least complex to demonstrate, most immediately ● Weather modification
reliable system . May fall out of low-Earth orbit
● Possibly least expensive system
Solid state
. Can deliver smaller units of power than mirror or • Microwave bioeffects
reference system ● Electromagnetic interference

● Land per site is smaller than mirror or reference


system
. Satellites in GEO (in vulnerable to unplanned reentry)
and can be placed over the ocean
● Less weapons potential than lasers
. Fairly well-developed technology
Reference system
● Satellites in GEO (invulnerable to unplanned reentry) . Microwave bioeffects
and can be placed over the ocean • Electromagnetic interference
● Less weapons potential than lasers
● Fairly well-developed technology
SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment

their institutional management have been over the construction of a powerline through
responsible in part for controversies over the 8,000 acres of prime farm land. ’43 After attend-
siting of a great many other technologies that ing public hearings and installing solar and
utilize the radiowave spectrum. Community re- wind devices in their homes to reduce their de-
sistance to the siting of radar installations, pendence on the utilities, some became frus-
broadcasting towers, and high-voltage trans- trated with what they perceived as the un-
mission lines, for example, has been particular- responsiveness and dishonesty of the utilities
ly strong and unexpectedly effective. and finalIy resorted to demonstrations, de-
stroying utiIity towers and equipment.
Citizens groups have actively opposed trans-
mission lines in a number of States including The siting controversies most relevant to the
Oregon, New Hampshire, lowa, and Mon- SPS microwave systems are the disputes over
t a n a . 140 As a result of public action in New the Navy’s Project SEAFARER (Surface ELF*
York, the State Public Service Commission has Antenna for Addressing Remotely-Deployed
expanded the minimum right-of-way for new Receivers), a 25,600-mi 2 u n d e r g r o u n d r a d i o
lines and established an Administrative Re- antenna for communication with nuclear sub-
search Council to study and assess health marines; and the Air Force’s PAVE PAWS (Preci-
risks.”’ The legislatures of a few New York sion Acquisition of Vehicle Entry Phased Array
counties have adopted resolutions opposing Warning System), a radar system.’” When the
the construction of 765 KV lines. ’42 In Min- Navy attempted to locate SEAFARER at differ-
nesota, farmers battled with the public utilities ent times in Wisconsin, Texas, New Mexico,
Nevada, and Michigan, it encountered vehe-
140
’’ The New Opposition to High-Voltage Lines, ” Business
Week, November 1977 14’H Nuwer, “Minnesota Peasant’s Revolt, ” Nation, VOI 227,
‘41A. Marino and R Becker, “H Igh Voltage Lines. Hazard at a Dec 9, 1978
Distance,” Environment, VOI 20, No 9, p 6-15 * E 1 F (extremely low frequency) radio waves
‘“K Davis, “Health and High Voltage, ” Sierra C/Ub 6u//etin, ’ 44P Flrodeur, The Zapping of America, Their Deadly Risk and
JulV 1, August 1978 Cover-[/p (New York W W Norton & Co , 1977)
260 ● Solar Power Satellites

ment local opposition. Residents in these com- cases, communities would prefer to leave a
munities were concerned about the health haz- site overgrown than consent to any kind of
ards of ELF radiation. Ranchers in Texas were development. For SPS as well as other power-
also worried about the effects on livestock. plants, dumps, mines, and military installa-
Opponents raised other issues including vul- tions, siting in remote areas could be a dif-
nerability to nuclear attack, private property ficult task, especially in parts of the country
rights, and decreased land values. 45 Referenda where residents have already mobilized
defeated SEAFARER’s construction in several against other large-scale projects. 151 According
counties in Michigan, and in an unprecedented to another workshop participant, one farmer,
action, the Governor of Michigan rejected the when asked about the SPS proposal, re-
military program. 146 The Governor of Wiscon- sponded, “I’ve had enough. I’m ready to get
sin also accused the Navy of suppressing en- my gun out.” 152
vironmental impact studies that reported
Another factor that emerges from siting con-
possible environmental and health hazards. 147
troversies is that while concerns over the en-
Although the ELF program is still being funded,
vironmental and health risks of a technology
it has yet to find a new site.
are very important to nearby residents, this
Legal action has also been taken against the issue may mask related concerns such as un-
Air Force’s plans to build PAVE PAWS in Cape sightliness and devaluation of local property
Code, Mass., and Yuba City, Calif. 148 Fear of vaIues 153 that may be more important to the
adverse microwave bioeffects, especialIy long- Iocal community. For example, in the Min-
term, low-level effects, sit at the heart of the nesota powerline dispute, the fundamental
controversy. While the Air Force stressed that issue for many of the farmers was the question
health risks were negligible and emphasized of land-use, i.e., farmland v. right-of -way. ’54
the need for national security, local groups However, this issue was channeled into en-
argued that the data did not support the claim vironmental and health concerns that had
that PAVE PAWS will not jeopardize their greater political leverage in the courts and to
h e a l t h . 149 which the utilities and the general public were
more responsive. While the health effects of
Several key observations can be made from
ELF radiation were the most frequently ar-
these disputes. First, farmers, ranchers, and
ticulated concern of communities opposing
rural Americans are becoming an increasingly
SEAFARER, it is clear that to some residents,
active social force working against the intru-
economics really lay at the heart of the con-
sion of urban America on their rural quality of
troversy 155 These people were primarily con-
life. As one OTA workshop participant familiar
cerned that Iand values might decrease if
with powerline siting controversies remarked,
potential buyers worried about the health ef-
“Developers say that high voltage transmission
fects, and might not have opposed the siting if
lines wouldn’t make any more noise than a
they had been justly compensated. Other resi-
highway would and the reaction of people is
dents were most concerned that the presence
‘What do you mean? –That’s why we’re out
of SEAFARER would make their land more
here. We don’t want to be near the high-
vulnerable to military attack; this would
ways’ . . , . (Rural Americans) are sacrificing
threaten their safety and could also reduce the
the kind of life they are out therefor, for the
vaIue of their land. 156
energy excesses of urban America. 150 In many

‘“c Ellis, “Sanguine/SEAFARE R,” Sierra C/ub Bu//etin, VOI 61, ‘‘I blci
No 4, April 1976 ‘)lbld
5
“’Brodeur, op clt ‘1 bld
1 4 7
S Schiefelbein, “The Invisible Threat, ” Saturday Review, ‘“1 bld
Sept 5,1979, pp 16-20 “$joseph Thlel, T e x a s State Department of Health, private
40
‘ Brodeur, op cit cc]mmunlcatlon, Nov 28, 1979
‘4’S. Kaufer, “The Air Pollutlon You Can’t See, ” New Times, ‘“P Boffey, “Project S E A F A R E R Critics Attack National
Mar 6,1978 A( ademy s Review Group,” Science, VOI 192, June 18, 1976, pp
““Office of Technology Assessment, op clt 121 )-1 21 -i
Ch. 9—institutional Issues ● 261

This second observation also points to the had been more open. Public participation
complex interrelationship between environ- should be solicited whenever and wherever
mental and health risks, costs, land and air use, possible, ideally even before the siting stage.
private property rights, esthetics, and public Too often, residents become frustrated and re-
control over local decisions. For SPS, it is clear sentful towards developers and officials who
that the choice of transmission frequency and make inadequate and occasionally dishonest’
power distribution as well as public radiation attempts to involve the public in meaningful
standards could have a great bearing on the decisionmaking. This practice has led the pub-
area of land that would be required as a buffer lic to seek other forums to voice complaints,
zone, the number of people potentially af- thereby delaying decisions and driving up
fected, compensated, and/or relocated, and costs. SPS developers must be well-informed
hence the cost of developing SPS. In addition, about the environmental, economic, and mili-
the size of each SPS unit and its location could tary implications of SPS and shouId arrange for
determine the extent, number and therefore open dissemination and discussion of that in-
cost of transmission lines that would have to formation. In addition, no matter what objec-
be sited. The cost of a proposed energy facility tive research findings are, public perceptions
such as SPS can also be increased if developers of potential hazards are largely influenced by
do not solicit public participation and disputes public confidence (or lack thereof) in “offi-
and court battIes delay construction. Siting cial” interpretation of that data (see Environ-
should therefore be considered as early as ment, Health, and Safety). Whether justified or
possible in the development process; public in- not, the public is considerably more cautious
put is an essential element in the development and fearful of the biological effects of
and design strategy. microwaves and other electromagnetic radia-
tion than are many representatives of Govern-
Finally, it is clear that many of the siting ment and industry. But until the uncertainties
disputes might have been resolved earlier and are resolved to the public’s satisfaction, the
more easily if the channels of communication past cases strongly suggest that local resist-
between developers and the local community ance to SPS receivers could be substantial.
APPENDIXES
Appendix A

ALTERNATIVES TO THE
REFERENCE SYSTEM SUBSYSTEMS

ators of the space-based thermal powerplant


Solar-Thermal Power Conversion
therefore become the key limitation on perform-
The basic operational principle involved in solar- ance, and counteract the beneficial effect of
thermal-electric power systems is identical to that potentially high-cycle efficiency. The most effec-
of virtually al I conventional ground-based power- tive space-based thermal power cycle, then, is gen-
plants, with a solar furnace replacing the fuel-fired eralIy the one that minimizes the radiator mass.
furnace or nuclear reactor normally used to heat
the power-cycle working fluid. The 10-MW dem- The Brayton and Rankine Cycles
onstration plant at Barstow, Calif., is such a solar-
The two “simple” solar-thermal cycles con-
powered thermal cycle. Virtually all components
sidered for SPS are the Brayton and Rankine
of such power systems have been extensively used
cycles—the cycles used on Earth for gas turbines
and/or tested on Earth, and hence solar-thermal
and steam turbines, respectively. In the Brayton cy-
systems for potential space applications in the SPS
cle, a compressor compresses a gaseous working
time frame would enjoy the availability of a large
fluid, that is then heated by solar energy concen-
body of applicable technology, hardware, and ex-
trated into an “absorber” by large, diaphanous
perience. Significant problems are foreseen, how- thin-film solar mirrors having a concentration ratio
ever, in reducing the mass and complexity of space-
of perhaps 2,000-to-l, then discharges its waste
based powerplants to levels that make them com-
heat to a radiator. It then returns to the compressor
petitive with the reference system photovoltaic
and repeats the cycle.
power source.
The Rankine cycle utilizes the same basic energy
The basic rationale for considering thermal
source as the Brayton cycle —typically, a 2,000-to-l
power cycles is their inherently high energy conver-
solar concentrator mirror focused on an absorber
sion efficiency. High-performance thermal cycle
– but employs a condensable liquid, or, frequently,
power generators on Earth routinely attain overall
ordinary steam. The solar energy impinging on the
efficiencies of more than 40 percent, as compared
absorber boils and superheats the steam, which
with the 17-percent projected efficiency for the ref-
then drives a turbine. The steam then condenses in
erence-system photovoltaics, and it is quite prob-
the radiator at constant temperature. The condens-
able that material and component developments
ed water is then pumped back up to high pressure
during the next decade or two could extend overall
and forced into the boiler (absorber) to complete
operational thermal-cycle efficiencies for ter-
the cycle.
restrial units to over 50 percent. Unfortunately,
The Brayton and Rankine cycle options were re-
however, the space environment is such that these
jected for the reference system, despite their
efficiency levels, even with advanced-technology
relatively high efficiencies, because of the high
power-conversion hardware, are extremely difficult radiator mass, the lower projected reliability of
to achieve. The fundamental problem is that of
rotating machinery, and relative complexity of or-
heat rejection; that is, in accordance with the dic-
bital assembly operations as compared with the
tates of the Second Law of thermodynamics, it is
photovoltaic options. However, recent develop-
necessary that any heat engine reject to its environ-
ments in high-temperature heat exchangers and tur-
ment some of the energy it receives (the ubiquitous
bines, 1 and particularly innovative designs of heat-
“thermal pollution” of Earth-based powerplants). pipe and other radiators2 3 now make Brayton-cycle
On Earth, effective heat rejection at the low tem-
turbines more attractive.
peratures needed for high thermal efficiency is
readily accomplished by using vast quantities of “’Review Study of a 13rayton Power System for a Nuclear Electr!c
Jpace( raft, j PL contract 955W08, Garrett-AlResearch report No 31-
cool water or air. In space, on the other hand, all 1288A ()( t 9, 1979
heat rejection must be accomplished solely by ‘Yale C F astman, “A Study of the Appl Icatlon of Advanced Heat Pipe
Technology to Radiators for Nuclear Spacecraft, ” Thermacore, Inc , Lan-
radiation, a process that depends on the fourth
c a~ter Pa E)ec 1, 1975, a I so see Ya Ie C E astm an, ‘‘Advanced Heat P I pes
power of the radiator’s temperature. Hence effi- [n Aero$pace Power System s,’ A IAA paper No 77-501, St I. OUIS, Mo , Mar
cient heat rejection in space can be accomplished I -1, 1977
‘)ohn Hedgepeth and K Knapp, “Preliminary Investlgatlon of a Dust
only at high temperatures, which b y t h e S e c o n d Radiator tor Space Power System s,” Astro Research Corp report No ARC-
Law results in reduced thermal efficiency. The radi- rN 10’14 Mar 1 9 7 8

265
266 ● Solar Power Satellites

Other Thermal Cycles materials cost less than either of the two selected
materials, their efficiencies are low and there is lit-
Other thermal cycles have also been con- tle experience in their production. Other factors
sidered, 4 5 to be used independently or in con- considered by the National Aeronautics and Space
junction with the Brayton or Rankine cycles in Administration before selecting the two reference
a combination. The most Iikely prospects are system options were total system mass, materials
the thermionic6 7 and the magnetohydrodynamic availability, susceptibility to radiation damage,
( M H D )8 c y c l e s or the wave-energy exchang- development status, manufacturing processes, and
er. 9 10 11 12 13 energy payback. Other potential photovoltaic
None of these seems particularly well adapted materials that were rejected due to obvious pro-
for use in an independent mode in space, although blems with one or more of the above factors in-
any one of them may have potential when used in clude selenium and various selenides, cadmium
combination with either the Rankine or Brayton cy- telluride, copper sulfide, gallium phosphide, ir-
cle. The primary consideration for these cycles is idium phosphide, and a number of higher order in-
the tradeoff between high efficiency and high organic compounds.
radiator mass. Principal areas requiring research
and/or additional development are in the high- Concentration
temperature solar collection and absorption por-
tions of all systems and high-performance heat- Another important parameter is the concentra-
rejection devices, as well as extensive testing and tion ratio (CR). The selection of CR = 2 for the
pilot operations to establish the required levels of reference-system gallium arsenide option was
reliability and reductions in cost uncertainties. strongly Influenced by cell temperature considera-
tions. 14 Should cell technology develop that would
Photovoltaic Alternatives retain high efficiency at elevated temperatures,
higher concentrations might prove cost effective,
Alternative Materials since both the mass and the cost of reflector
materials are considerably less than those of
Alternative photocell materials considered be- photocelIs.
fore selecting the reference system options of There is good experimental evidence that the
single-crystal silicon and galIium aluminure-ars- gallium aluminum-arsenide/gal lium-arsenide cells
enide were amorphous silicon, polycrystalline sili- selected for the SPS could utilize much higher con-
con, cadreium suIfide, copper iridium selenide, and centration ratios to gain higher overall efficiency.
polycrystalline gallium arsenide. Although all these There has been considerable development in con-
‘Daniel L Gregory, “Alternative Approaches to Space-Based Power centrating photovoltaic subsystems for terrestrial
Generation, ” /ourrra/ of Energy 1, March-April 1977, pp 85-92 use during the past 2 years, and it is possible that
‘Wllllam P C Ilbreath and Kenneth W Billman, “A Search for Space
Energy Alternatives, ” In “Radlatlon Energy Conversion In Space, ” Prog- passive rather than active cooling may be possible.
res~ In Astronaut/c$ & A e r o n a u t i c s , vo/ 61, Al AA, N Y , ] uly 1978, pp
107-125
‘G O , Fitzpatrick and E j Brltt, “Thermlonlcs and Its Appllcatlon to
Multicolor Photocell Systems
the SPS, ” Ibid, pp 211-221
‘(For example), W Phllllps and J Mondt, “Thermlonlc Energy Conver- Photocells respond to only a part of the avail-
sion Technology Development Program, ” Progress report No 630-36 (for able solar spectrum that impinges on them. It is
June-September 1978), Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Callf , Nov
15, 1978
possible to achieve more efficient utilization of the
‘C V Lau and R Decher, “MHD Conversion of Solar Energy, ” In solar spectrum by: 1 ) manufacturing a single photo-
“Radlatlon Energy Conversion In Space, ” K W Blllman (ed ), Progress In cell from various materials, each responding to a
Astronautics & Aeronautics, vo/ 61, Al AA, N Y , July 1978, pp 186-200
“Robert T Tausslg, Peter H Rose, John F Zumdleck a n d A b r a h a m
different wavelength band; 15 or 2) using separate
Hertz berg, “Energy Exchanger Technology Applied to Laser Heated celIs, each optimized for a different spectral region
Engines, ” Ibid, pp 465-478
1(
and using an optical system to split the incident
’W E Smith and R C Weatherston, “Studies of a Prototype Wave
Superheater Faclllty for Hypersonic Research ‘ report No HF-1056-A-I, light into the corresponding spectral ranges.
contract AFOSR-TR-58-I 58, AD207244, Cornel I Aeronautical Laboratory,
Buffalo, N Y , December 1958 ‘1 W Iame$, a n d R L M o o n , “CaAs Concentrator Solar Cells, ” Pro-
“Abraham Hertzberg and Chan-Veng Lau, ‘A High-Temperature cee(lIrtw 01 /he I T th Photovo/talc Specfa/lsts Conference, 1975,
pp
Ranklne Binary Cycle for Ground and Space Solar Appllcatlons, ” In 40,? 408
“Radiation Energy Conversion in Space, ” K W Blllman (ed ), Progress In Richard j Stlrn, “Overview of Novel Photovoltaic Conversion Tech-
Astronautics & Aeronautics, vo/ 61, Al AA, N Y , July 1978, pp 172-185 niq~i IPS at H Igh I ntenslty Level s,” In “Radlatlon Energy Conversion In
“Arthur T Mattlck, “Absorption of Solar Radlatlon by Alkali Vapors, ” ~pal e K W Blllman (ed ), Progress In Astronautics & Aeronautics, VOI
Ibid, pp 159-171 fl / I Uly 1978 pp 136-151
‘ ‘A jay Palmer, “Radlatlvely Sustained (“eslum Plasmas for Solar E lec- ‘‘ I aan, ] url~~on, “Multlcolar Solar Cel I Power System for Space, ’r Ibid,
trlc Conversion,” Ibid, pp 201-210 pp 1 5/! 158
Appendix A—Alternatives to the Reference System Subsystems ● 267

Although the technology for both approaches is the vacuum-tube devices. Further, their small
known, it is far from having been proved practical, size and potentially low unit cost facilitate con-
and will require considerable research and devel- venient research and development activities.
opment effort before being considered for future The basic problem with solid-state devices is
operational systems. The second approach appears their low-temperature capability, which implies
to be the most promising in principle. However, it low power, coupled with their low-voltage out-
suffers from a lack of basic data on the photovol- put. Additional potential problem areas are un-
taic materials that might be used for it. Despite certain efficiency, current high cost for high-per-
their attractiveness from the standpoint of effi- formance units, and a host of as yet unresolved
ciency, both systems also require either higher transmission, control, and power distribution
mass or concentrator systems, which may require complexities. 20 However, these devices are still
active cooling. Again, vastly more research is in the early stages of being evaluated for the SPS
needed to determine the overall effectiveness of application, and it is Iikely that studies of the ex-
these concepts. tent devoted to vacuum-tube devices during the
past few years can reduce the present uncertain-
Alternative Microwave ties associated with sol id-state power conversion
and transmission.
Power Converters A major area for concern with the solid-state
devices is the paucity of data and experience on
I n addition to the klystron, several other devices
phase control. Although the same generic type of
may be capable of converting satellite electric
retrodirective control is projected as for the
power to microwaves and transmitting them to
reference system, much research, analysis, and
Earth. The solid-state amplifier, based on semicon-
technology advancement will be needed to
ductor technology, could result in a significant and
beneficial change of the entire system. The latter define its phase control capabilities to the
necessary level of confidence.
serves as one of the four systems considered in this
assessment.
Crossed-Field Amplitier. Thls device in the t e r m Photoklystrons
of an “amplitron, ” was originally suggested for
the reference system in place of the klystron The photoklystron combines the principles of a
(linear beam amplifier). Another form of this de- conventional klystron transmitting tube and the
vice, the magnetron, appears to have consider- photoemitter in a single device. Sunlight falling on
able merit, * particularly in reducing the spurious a photoemissive surface generates a current of
noise and harmonics generation of the electrons oscillating in such a way as to emit radio
microwave antenna. I n smaller form (1 kW), this frequency electromagnetic waves. If used on the
is the familiar unit that powers microwave ovens. SPS, the resultant microwaves could be beamed to
The latter devices are reliable and cheap. Earth by using a resonator waveguide.
Whether working devices of the 70-kW capacity Potential advantages of the photoklystron over
needed for the reference system antenna will the photovoltaic array/klystron are that it could in-
prove to be cost effective and possess the re- crease the useful portion of the photoelectric
quired signal characteristics must await design energy spectrum as compared with photovoltaics
and testing, individually and in a phased array. (it may reach efficiencies as high as 50 percent21 as
So/id-State Devices. The principal motivation for compared with 15 to 20 percent for conventional
considering solid-state devices” is their extremely photovoltaics), and that it would greatly simplify
22
high reliability; 17 18 projected failure rates are the entire space segment of the SPS as compared
100 times lower than those of the reference-sys- with the reference system, by (a) eliminating the
tem vacuum-tube klystrons or amplitrons. 19 A solar celI arrays altogether, (b) eliminating the need
secondary advantage of solid-state devices is for on board power distribution, (c) eliminating the
their potential for lower mass per unit area than rotary joint and sliprings, (d) reducing the indi-
vidual klystron power and heat dissipation require-
*W C Brown, Microwave Beamed Power Technology Improvement ments (there would now be many more klystrons
PT-5613 J PL contract 955-104, May 1980
“ G M Hanley et al , “Satelllte Power Systems (SPS) Concept Deflnl- ‘(’lbld
tion Study, ” First Performance Review, Rockwell International report No ‘‘C Ibraeth and Blllman, op c[t
SSD79-0163, NASA MSFC contract NAS8- 12475, Oct 10, 1979 “}ohn W F r e e m a n , Wllllam B Colson and Sedgwick Slmons, “ N e w
n
‘ Gordon R Woodcock, “SolId-State Microwave Power Transmitter Re Method\ for the Conversion of Solar Energy to R F and Laser Power, ” In
view, ” Boeing Aerospace Co DOE SPS Program Review, June 7, 1979 Space ‘danufacturlng 1 I l,’ Jerry Grey and Chrlstlne Krop (eds ) Al AA,
‘Vlbid New York November 1979
268 ● Solar Power Satellites

distributed over a much larger area), thereby in- ated baseload electricity may prove extremely dif-
creasing the lifetime of individual klystrons, (e) ficult, it has been suggested that rectennas be
reducing individual klystron cost, and (f) reducing located in shallow offshore waters. * The costs of
rectenna area requirements, since the transmitting such siting would certainly be higher for a given
antenna is much larger than that of the reference area than for comparable land-based sites, but the
system. system costs might be cheaper overall because of
One suggested system (fig. 10) consists of a large cost reductions in rectenna size. The considerable
elliptical array of photoklystrons, constituting the body of relevant experience that was developed for
collector and antenna. A large mirror (that could offshore airports would be useful for studying this
also be a concentrator) would reflect sunlight to possibility. The land areas that have been con-
the photoklystrons. Note that even though the mir- sidered for offshore airports are comparable to the
ror and antenna must rotate with respect to each needs of SPS rectennas (e. g., 50 to 20 km z).
other to maintain proper Sun-facing and Earth- It may be possible to reduce the necessary area
facing attitudes, as in the SPS reference system, of an offshore rectenna by eliminating most of the
there is no need for a mechanical connection be- buffer zone and “flattening” the power distribution
tween them; in fact, their relative alinement is not of the beam across the rectenna. Though potential-
at all critical. ly costly, the option may be taken very seriously by
Small working models of photoklystrons exist, the European community for whom rectenna siting
but have not yet demonstrated any of the system on land would prove most difficult. It may also find
characteristics needed for a practical and cost- ef- uses along the shores of densely populated areas in
fective SPS. Hence the concept still remains just the United States.
that: a highly interesting and promising prospect
for further intensive study.

Offshore Rectennas
Because siting a rectenna near the coastal pop- ‘Rice Unlverslty, Solar Power Satelllte Offshore Rectenna Study NASA
ulation centers that will have most of SPS-gener- CR 1348, November 1980
Appendix B

DECENTRALIZED PHOTOVOLTAIC MODEL

Estimating the busbar costs for a house or in- Battery lifetime (deep cycles) –2,000
dustrial plant power station, whether connected to Battery initial costs ($/kWh capacity)–$49/kWh
the grid or stand-alone, may involve somewhat dif- Battery O&M cost (¢/kWh discharged) –O.038¢/kWh
ferent assumptions than for a central power sta- Battery total cost (¢/kWh discharged): 4.3¢/kWh
Battery housing and related costs ($/kWh capacity)–
tion. For one thing, the homeowner’s access to cap-
$6.4/kWh
ital is different than that of the utility. In addition, Backup generator, residential –$306/kW
the tax liabilities are different and arise from a dif- Industrial cogenerator steam turbine–$1,446/kW
ferent conceptual framework. Percent backup in system with storage–60 percent
In order to compare most directly the busbar
costs of a decentralized photovoltaic technology
with the centralized terrestrial case and with the Sample Calculation
solar power satellite, OTA has adopted the case of The following equations apply, assuming there
decentralized systems leased by a utility to an in- are no variable O&M costs and no fuel costs.
dividual owner. The choice to calculate the costs Busbar costs (¢/KWh) = Ievelized capital cost/levelized
this way represents neither a preference nor a pre- output + Ievelized fixed O&M/levelized output
diction on the part of OTA for the way in which dis- Levelized capital cost = FCR X initial capital cost
persed photovoltaic systems will be marketed in ($/100m 2) x 100 ¢/$
the future. The costs so calculated are the costs to FCR (fixed charge rate)= CRF (i/N) + T
the utility and do not reflect the price to the con-
sumer. They therefore are directly comparable to CRF (i/N) = capital recovery factor = 1
1-(1 + i) – N
the busbar costs of electricity from the solar power
satelIite. where:
For homeowners who would prefer not to con- I = weighted cost of capital
tinue to rely on a central structure for their power, N = economic life = book life
leasing equipment from a utility may not be an ac- T = Ievelized income taxes =(t/(l-t))(CRF( i/N) -1)
ceptable arrangement. Many, however, will not x P – (TD – 1/N)
wish to accept the relatively high capital invest- TD = tax alIowance for accelerated tax
depreciation**
ment and subsequent maintenance which an in
CRF (i/N) x ((2 x (M – (1/CRF(i/M)))/(M X
stallation requires and wilI prefer leasing to pur-
(M+ 1)X i))
chase. M = tax life
Household and Industrial Photo voltaics: Levelized output = kWh/year/100m2 array
costs and efficiencies Levelized fixed O&M= O&M($/100m2/yr)X1000/$ X
System assumptions: AF(e,i,N)
Array efficiency–18 percent* AF(e,i,N) = CRF(i/N) X (1 – ((1 + e)/(1 + i))N)/(i – e)) X
Degradation – 5 percent first year, stable thereafter (1 + e)
Systems life– 30 years* where e = apparent escalation rate (inflation rate)
Inverterefficiency—90 percent Financial assumptions:
Battery efficiency– 75 percent round trip I = 0 . 1 0
Array cost — $35 m2* t =0.30
Additional installation costs assuming roof replace- e = 0.06
ment — $0.0 N = 30 years for array
Additional installation costs assuming array flat on = 6 years for batteries
roof — $1 3/m 2 M = 20 years
Additional installation costs assuming array on ground – Example–
$80/m 2 A household 100m 2 array mounted on the roof in
Operation and maintenance–1 percent of initial costs Boston generates 22,017 kWh/yr:
per year Cost of array .$3,500
Lightning protection: Lightning protection $ 500
Household – $500 Power conditioning ., ... $ 650
Industry– $0 Structural support ., .. $1,300
Inversion and power conditioning–$82/kW
Total ... ., .$5,950

‘Assumptions of SPS reference system * *A~sume\ sum-of-the-years dlglt~ depredation method

269
83-316 0 - 81 - 19
270 • Solar Power Satellites

O&M costs/year = 1 percent capital costs = $59.56 Busbar costs (¢/kWh) =


FCR = 0.12504 74,450
—— + 1 1 , 2 3 3 = 3.9¢/kWh
Levelized capital cost= 0.125 X 5,956 X 100 22,017 22,017
= 74,450 ¢/l00m2 /year
2
Levelized fixed O&M = 9,705 ¢/100m /year
Appendix C

GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTS

1. IIASA’s predictions were influenced by several factors: 1 ) most of the analysis was done prior to
the 1979 rise in oil prices; 2) there was an optimistic view of the growth of nuclear capacity (to
some 50 to 60 percent of global generating capacity by 2030); 3) participation in the study by
the Soviet Union and other centrally planned economies, who for political reasons projected
very high economic and energy-use growth rates; 4) low expectations for conservation and
alternative energy sources.
2. Predictions of future energy demand are based on estimates of underlying economic and
demographic factors, and of the relation between overall economic and population growth and
energy demand. IIASA’s population and GDP growth rate projections are as follows:
Population projections by region, high and low scenarios (10’ people) (Finite World, p. 429)

Population base
Region year 1975 Projection 2000 2030
I (NA)-North America 237 284 315
II (SU/EE)-Soviet Union/East Europe ........, 363 436 480
Ill (WE/JANZ)-West Europe/Japan, Australia 560 680 767
Iv (LA)- Latin America 319 575 797
v (AF/SEA)-Southern Africa& Asia .......... 1,422 2,528 3,550
VI (ME/NAF)-Middle East/North Africa 133 247 353
Vll (C/CPA)-China/Central Planned Asia 912 1,330 1,714
World . 3,946 6,080 7,976
NOTES: 1975 data are mldyear estlmates from Unlted Nations Monthly Bulletin of Statistics Januar~ 1978

Historical and projected growth rates of GDP, by region, high and low scenarios (percent/yr)
High scenario
Historical Scenario projection
Region 1950-60 1960-75 1975-85 1985-2000 2ooo-15 2075-30
I ( N A ) 3.3 34 43 33 24 20
II ( S U / E E ) . 10.4 65 5.0 40 35 35
Ill (WE/JANZ) 50 52 43 34 25 20
Iv ( L A ) 5.0 61 62 49 37 33
v ( A F / S E A ) . 39 55 58 4.8 38 3.4
VI ( M E / N A f ) 70 98 72 5.9 42 38
Vll (C/CPA) 8.0 61 50 4.0 35 30
World 5.0 50 47 38 30 27
I + Ill (OECD). 4.2 44 4.3 34 2.5 20
IV + V(Developing) 47 6.5 6.3 51 39 35

Low scenario
Historical Scenario projection
Region 1950-60 1960-75 1975-85 1 985-2000 2000-15 2015-30
I ( N A ) 3.3 34 31 20 11 1.0
II (SU/EE). 10.4 65 45 3.5 2.5 20
Ill (WE/JANZ). 50 52 32 2.1 1.5 1.2
Iv ( L A ) 5.0 6.1 47 3.6 30 30
v (AFI/EA) 39 55 48 36 28 24
VI (ME/NAf) 70 9.8 56 4.6 27 21
Vll (C/CPA) 8.0 61 33 3,0 25 20
World 50 50 3.6 27 19 17
I + Ill (OECD) 42 44 3.1 21 13 11
IV + V + VI (Developing) 47 65 5.0 38 29 26

SOURCE Energy In a F/n/te World, A Global $ystems Ana/ys/s, Energy Systems program croup lnt~matlonal In$tltute for Applied svstems Analvsls (Cambridge,
Mass Balllnger Publlshlng Co , 1981) p 431

271
272 ● Solar Power Satellites

3. In general, the IIASA study places great emphasis on the development of nuclear power, and
especially on an explosive growth in fast breeders after 2000. Although a number of countries,
including France, Japan, and the Soviet Union, have announced aggressive plans to install
breeders over the next several decades, it should be remembered that questions still remain as
to breeder reactor safety, reliability and operating costs. (See ch. 6 for a comparison of
breeders and other baseload power sources.) IIASA’s high expectations for breeder develop-
ment are by no means universalIy shared.
Percent of global secondary electrical demand met by nuclear power–llASA


1975 2000 2030
Low High Low High
Conventional reactors 20 271 294 19,2 22.9
Breeders 0.0 044 067 40,6 38,2
Total 20 275 303 498 611
SOURCE Energy in a Finlte World, p 580

4. These higher estimates for the amount of coal used for synfuels depend on a number of
assumptions, including the greatly increased use of nuclear power to replace coal in electricity
generation.
5. The following CONAES study estimates for the U.S. should be compared with the IIASA
estimates for North America (see No. 1, p. 271 for population and economic figures; assume
Canadian population is approximately 10 percent of total),
z
Population in 2070—279 million (Bureau of Census Series I I projection, with no allowance for illegal immigration).
Average growth in GNP, 1980-2010—2 percent per year ]
Primary energy demand (Quads)
CO AfAES4 [United States on/y - 2010)
Low [A] Medium [B] High (C)
70 90 130
IIASA 5 (North America-Canada approximately 10 percent of total)
2000 2030
Low 99 131
H i g h 120 180

Direct comparisons are difficult because of the different time frames and geographical areas
examined. The CONAES A projection, no growth in energy demand over the next 30 years, has
no parallel in the IIASA study. The IIASA low scenario is slightly higher than the CONAES series
B projections; the high scenario is approximately equal to CONAES C. Population estimates are
compatible; however, CONAES’ 2 percent per year average GNP growth rate is much lower
than IIASA’s high scenario. It is approximately equal to the low scenario forecast.
Insofar as the two studies are comparable, CONAES’ estimates are somewhat lower than
IIASA’s, with the more radical CONAES A projection much lower. The difficulty lies in deter-
mining what this might mean on a global scale. Lower estimates for the United States may hold
true for other Western industrialized areas, but cannot be extended to developed centrally
planned economies or to the developing world, where growth rates are expected to be higher
than in the OECD. The CONAES report itself states that: “Even if energy conservation in the
United States accomplishes a great deal domestically, it will be more than offset by demand
growth in countries at the ‘takeoff’ stage of development “ Global energy consumption in 2010
is estimated to be probably three to four times what it is now, with electrical consumption
rising at even faster rates. b
6. The Case Western Reserve and World Energy Conference estimates for future energy and elec-
tricity use are as follows:
‘Energy In Transltlon, 1985-2010 (Washington, D C , National Academy of S, Iences, 1979), p 626
z I bid , p 643
‘Ibid , p 645
‘1 bid , p 668
‘Energy In a Ftnfte VVor/d A G/oba/ Systems Ana/ysls, Energy Systems Progr~m Group, I nternatlona I I nstltute for Appl led Systems Analysis
(Cambridge, Mass Ballinger Publishing Co , 1981), p 44o
‘Energy In Transition, p 626 )
Appendix C—Global Energy Demand Forecasts ● 273

Energy demand (Quads

1975 2000 2025/2020


CWRU WEC C WRU WEC
OECD . . . . ... 146.8 3453 266.2 618,8 395.1
SU/EE . . . . . . . . . . . . 55.0 98.3 126,1 205.7 235.0
Developing, ....,... 37.7 103.0 174.0 296,8 434.2
Global. . . . . . . . . 239.5 5466 566.3 1,121.3 1,064.3
End-use electricity demand (Quads electric) (estimated by Clav. and Dupas from model data)

1975 2000 2025/2020


CWRU WEC CWRU WEC
OECD ., 12,5 55.8 386 106,9 66.1
SU/EE : 3.9 152 216 353 353
D e v e l o p i n g . , 1.8 102 135 40.2 465
G l o b a l , 18,2 812 737 182,4 1479

Compare these figures to the lower IIASA estimates in figure C-1. The worldwide distribution
of LEPP in 2025 for the CWR model is:

Figure C-1 .—Large Electric Powerplants in 2025


160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 340 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 180

20

60
F

E
40
D

c
20
B
A
0
a
b
20
c

d
40
e

f
60

8 Nb per zone

“Preliminary Evaluation of Ground and Space Solar Market in 2025, ” 29th IAF Congress, October 1978
274 ● Solar Power Satellites

7. The World Bank report on Energy in the DevelopingCountries projects energy use and demand
over the next decade. From 1973-78, growth in electricity consumption in developing countries
averaged 8 percent per year, compared to 3.5 percent in developed countries; the Bank es-
timates this will continue through the 1980’s. The Bank reports that in 1980 Oil-Importing De-
veloping Countries (OIDC) invested $18.5 billion in electric power (70 percent for generation, 20
percent for distribution, 10 percent for transmission) out of a total of $24.6 billion invested in
all forms of energy—over 75 percent. This is expected to more than double, to $39.7
bilIion/year, by 1990.
The amount of installed capacity is estimated to be 241 gW in 1980, rising to 523.7 in 1990.
Large increases will be made in gas and nuclear fired generators though absolute levels will re-
main relatively low; hydro power will remain the largest single source, at approximately 40 per-
cent of the total, with oil generation declining rapidly from 37 to 25 percent. ’

‘Energy In the Deve/op/ng Countrle>, World Bank, August 1980, pp 42-49


Appendix D

ENVIRONMENT AND HEALTH

DOE Comparative Environmental sites as opposed to the large contiguous land


Assessment space needed for SPS and CTPV. The nuclear
technologies require the least total land area.
The Department of Energy (DOE) has sponsored ● While each technology would encounter ma-
comparative environmental assessments between terial constraints, none appear insurmount-
the following energy technologies: conventional able. Water requirements are listed in table
coal (CC), coal gasification/combined cycle (CG/ D-2.
CC), light water reactor (LWR), liquid metal fast ● All technologies considered are not energy
breeder reactor (LMFBR), magnetically confined fu- producers when operating fuel requirements
sion (MC F), central station terrestrial photovoltaics are excluded from the calcuIations. Otherwise,
(CTPV), and the reference system solar power satel- only the inexhaustible technologies are net
lite (SPS). An analysis was performed to quantify producers.
and compare the effects of these technologies on
environmental welfare (i. e., effects that are not Microwaves—Ionosphere Interaction
directly related to health and safety such as weath-
er modification, resource depletion and noise), While only a small fraction of the incident
health and safety and resource requirements. Un- microwave energy is absorbed by the ionosphere,
quantifiable health impacts were also identified, the resultant heating at microwave frequencies
but were not ranked (see table D-l). The major con- could significantly alter the thermal budget of the
clusions include:1 ionosphere. In the lower ionosphere (D & E regions)
With respect to effects on the environmental a phenomenon called “enhanced electron heating”
welfare, all of the energy options except for can occur if the microwave heating overwhelms
coal (because of CO2 climatic alterations and the natural cooling mechanisms of the ionosphere.
acid rain) are roughly comparable in magni- The resultant heating can then affect electron-ion
tude, while different in nature. recombination rates, changing ionospheric den-
As shown in figure D-1, it is apparent that the sities, or drive additional interactions. Furthermore,
quantified public and occupational health in the E region it is possible that the microwave
risks of all the technologies except coal are heating could enhance natural density irregulari-
about the same in magnitude, but different in ties called “sporadic E“ that can cause scintilla-
cause. The health effects that were not in- tions or scattering of radio frequency signals par-
cluded in this analysis are Iisted in table D-1. ticularly in the very high frequency (VHF) band,
Land use comparisons indicate that the land e.g., citizen-band and some television bands. z
area required for SPS would be similar to that New experiments and theories were needed to
for CTPV. Coal utilizes slightly less total land understand the effects of an SPS microwave beam
area. This is distributed among many mining traveling through the ionosphere (an example of
.—.
‘Program Assessment Report, Statement of Flndlngs, Satell Ite Power ‘W E Gordon and L M Duncan, “Reviews of Space Science–SPS im-
Systems, Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/E R-0085, pacts on the Upper Atmosphere,” Astronautics arid Aeronautics, july/
November 1980 August 1980, VOI 18, NoS 7,8, p 46

Table D.1 .—Unquantified Health Effects”

Solar technologies (CTPV, SPS) Nuclear technologies (LWR, LMFBR, MCF)


Exposure to cell production emissions and hazardous System failure with public radiation exposure (including waste
materials. disposal).
Chronic low-level microwave exposure to the general and Fuel cycle occupational exposure to chemically toxic materials.
worker populations (SPS).
Exposure to HLLV emissions and possible space vehicle Diversion of fuel or byproduct for military or subversive uses.
accidents (SPS).
Worker exposure to space radiation (SPS). Liquid metal fire (LMFBR, MCF only).
atW unquantified health effects were identified for the coal SYStem used.
SOURCE: Program Assessment Report, Statement of Flnr)vrgs, Satellite Power Systems, Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOEIER-0085, November 1980.

275
276 Ž Solar Power Satellites

LORAN-C), and MF (300 kHz to 3 MHz, AM).3 How-


ever, neither Arecibo nor Platteville is equipped to
generate a beam of SPS frequency and power den-
sity. Instead the experiments were performed at
lower frequencies and power densities and the
results extrapolated to SPS conditions using the
scaling law:
P P
SPS
—— =
HF
f2 f2
SPS HF
where Psps and PHF are the power of the SPS beam
(i.e., 23 mW/cm2) and heating facility beam respec-
tively, and f is the frequency of the beam (i. e., f sps
= 2.45 GHz).4 This extrapolation is thought to be
valid only if the primary heating mechanism is
ohmic (i. e., heating by CoIIisions between ions). This
assumption has been verified over a limited range
of frequencies. By increasing the Platteville and
Arecibo power densities and maximum frequency,
confidence in the sealing theory could be im-
proved. Experiments are also needed to test the ef-
fects of localized ionosphere heating on telecom-
munication systems operating at frequencies above
3 MHz.
In the upper ionosphere (F region), effects on
Table D.2.—Water Requirements for telecommunications and on the SPS pilot beam
Alternative Energy Technologies stem primarily from a phenomenon called “ther-
m a l s e l f f o c u s i n g ” which results when an elec-
Cubic meters tromagnetic wave propagating through the iono-
Technology per gigawatt year
sphere iS focused and defocused as a resuIt of nor-
Conventional coal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77x 106 mal variations in the index of refraction. As the inci-
Light water reactor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37x 10’
Liquid metal fast breeder reactor . . . . . . . . . 32X 1O6 dent wave refracts into regions of lesser density,
Coal gasification/combined cycle. . . . . . . . . 14x 106 the electric field intensity increases. Thermal pres-
Magnetically confined fusion . . . . . . . . . . . . 39x 106 sure generated by ohmic heating drives the plasma
Satellite power system. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . = 1 x 103 from the focused areas, thereby amplifying the ini-
Central station terrestrial photovoltaics . . . = 1 x 104
tial perturbation. Although the heated volume in
SOURCE: Program Assessment Report, Statement of Findings, Satellite Power the D and E regions is confined essentially to that
Systems, Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/
ER-0085. November 1980.
of the beam, the heated particles in the F region
wiII traverse magnetic field Iines so that large-scale
field-alined striations or density irregularities form.
These striations reflect VHF and UHF radiowaves
specularly, causing interference and the abnormal
what is called “underdense” heating) because long-range propagation of the signals.
Less is known about the effects of SPS-type
almost all of the data generated in the past has
focused on the “overdense” case, i.e., where the heating in the F region than the D and E layers. The
ionospheric density is great enough to reflect the in- power scaling law in the upper ionosphere may dif-
fer from that in the lower regions (i.e., the scaling
cident heating frequency.
law for thermal self-focusing instability may follow
Two high frequency (HF) ground-based heating
facilities have been used to simulate SPS heating in a 1/f3 dependence rather than the 1/f2 dependence
valid for ohmic heating). Experimental data is
the lower ionosphere. At Arecibo, Puerto Rico,
ionospheric physics and heating mechanisms have
been studied. The Platteville facility in Colorado Fnv/ronmental Assessment for the Satell/te Power System – Concept
Development and Eva/uatlon Program – Effects of /onospher/c Heat/rig on
has tested the effects on specific radio frequency
Te/ecomm[/n[catlons, DOE/NASA report, DOE/E R 10003-TI, August 1980
navigation and broadcasting systems, namely VLF ‘t nv/ronmenta/ Assessment for the Sate//lte Power System – C o n c e p t
(3 to 30 kHz, OMEGA), LF (30 to 300 kHz, Det eloprrrenf and Eva/uat/on Program, DOE/E R-0069, August 1980
Appendix D—Environmentant Health . 277

needed to improve theory and test the effects on nuclei could have a measurable, although short-
telecommunications. term effect on weather. In particular, under certain
A single SPS would cause the indicated iono- meteorological conditions, heat and moisture
sphere perturbations within a VoIume approximate- could enhance convective activity, and induce
ly equal to the power beam dimensions. For muiti- precipitation. While the frequency and degree of
ple SPS deployments (e.g., the 60 systems defined such effects are uncertain, none of the projected
in the Reference Design) the cumulative effects of weather effects are thought to be serious. Cloud-
the perturbed volumes must be determined. One condensation and ice-forming nuclei would also be
important question obviously concerns the possi- produced in the ground cloud. The effects of the
bility of coupling between adjacent volumes, and latter on weather cannot be reliably estimated at
determining beam separation constraints to elim- this time. The high abundance of the former in the
inate mutual coupling. 5 ground cloud is thought to be meteorologically im-
portant; cloud-condensation nuclei could change
The Effects of Space Vehicle Effluents the frequency and persistence of fog and haziness.
It has been suggested that because of the large size
on the Atmosphere and frequency of HLLV launches, cumulative ef-
SPS reference system rocket exhaust products fects might occur. More research is needed not
would affect every region of the atmosphere. In only for SPS, but of weather and climate phenom-
table D-3, the atmospheric effects of most concern ena in general.
are listed. As part of its assessment, DOE has also Research needs include:
● refine and test ground-cloud formation and
identified possible means of resolving these uncer-
tainties in the event that an SPS program is pur- transport predictive models as well as weather
sued. and climate models,
● update ground-cloud composition as systems

are developed; conduct appropriate observa-


Troposphere 6
tions of rocket launches,
● study effects on local weather of prospective
SPS launch effluents injected into the tropo-
sphere could modify local weather and air quality launch sites including possible cumulative ef-
on a short-term basis. These changes would be due fects, and
● consider NO effects and possible ways to
primarily to the formation and dispersion of a X

launch site ground cloud that consists of exhaust reduce levels given a range of Iikely future
gases, cooling water, and some sand and dust. standard levels and meteorological condi-
While sulfur dioxide, carbon dioxide, and carbon tions; refine and validate theoretical models
monoxide concentrations would not be significant, for simulating NOx dispersion,
nitrogen oxides and water vapor are of concern.
Nitrogen oxides (NO x , especially NO, in the Stratosphere and Mesosphere
ground cloud, might under certain conditions, pre-
sent problems for air quality. The projected ground The upper atmosphere has received considerable
cloud concentrations themselves are not thought public attention in the last decade, largely as a
to violate the short-term national ambient air qual- result of a number of studies examining the effects
ity standards that are expected to be promulgated on the stratospheric ozone layers (which shield the
in the near future, but if ambient concentrations Earth from biologically harmful ultraviolet radia-
are already high, a violation could occur. NOX and tion) of the supersonic transport, fluorocarbons,
SO X in the ground cloud could contribute to an in- and the biological generation of nitrous oxide
crease in localized acid rain but this is expected to etc. 7 8 There is concern that while the potential ef-
be small. fects on climate and terrestrial life of altering the
The ground cloud will also contain about 400 to upper atmosphere couId be serious, our under-
650 tons of water. While having a negligible impact standing of the physics and chemistry of the region
on air quality, water vapor, especially in associa- is Incomplete. For example, it is known that the
tion with launch-generated heat and condensation chemical composition of the upper atmosphere
plays a key role in maintaining the Earth’s thermal
budget and is directly linked to the dynamics, cir-
‘E Morrison, National Telecommunlcatlons and Information Admln-
Istratlon, private communlcatlon, Feb 17, 1981
‘Most of this section IS derived from Ertv/ronrnenta/ Assessment for the The Aero\ol Threat, ” Newsweek, Oct 7, 1974, pp 74-75
Satell/te Power $ystem, Concept Development and tvaluatlon Program, “( I Imatl( Impact Committee, NRC, Fnv/ronmenta/ Impact of $tra(o-
DO E/ ER-0069, August 1980 \phorlr I /IRh/ NAS, Washington, D C 1975
278 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table D-3.—Atmospheric Effects

Known Uncertainty Resolution


Launch vehicles will inject large amounts of The frequency of occurrence of suitable Design and implement appropriate
water vapor and thermal energy into meteorological conditions. The extent of observational programs associated with
localized regions of the planetary boundary injection of cloud condensation and ice- rocket launches and conduct laboratory
layer. The potential for inadvertent weather forming nuclei. The duration and scale of experiments to characterize better nuclei
modification under suitable meteorological the effects of the nuclei and the thermal formed in the combustion of rocket
conditions exists. energy inputs. The importance of propellant. Refine, test, and validate
anticipated small increases in cloud theoretical models suitable for simulating
population, precipitation, haze, and other the effects of rocket launches. Examine the
meteorological effects to the environs of meteorological conditions appropriate to
the launch site. potential launch sites. Evaluate the
importance of changes in those conditions
to the environs of those sites.
Exhaust emissions and reentry products Chemical-electrical interactions in the Design and implement experiments aimed at
from reference system heavy-lift launch ionosphere, the effectiveness of mitigating critical problems. Measure and analyze
vehicles and personnel orbit transfer strategies, and effects on interactions through rocket experiments
vehicles will modify ion densities at high telecommunications. combined with telecommunications tests.
altitudes. In particular, injection of H2O and Apply results to improve theoretical
H 2 in the F-region will cause partial prediction capabilities. Provide guidance for
depletion of the F-region. system operational mitigating strategies
and alternatives.
Ground clouds formed by HLLV launches Exact value of NO 2 air quality standard to be Utilize a range or anticipate probable
will contain relatively high concentrations set. Actual ground-level concentrations of “standard values” for NO2 including the
of NO X that, in combination with effluents NO 2 associated with vehicle launches under existing standard for California. Refine,
from sources in the launch site environs, various ambient meteorological and air test, and validate existing modeling tech-
will exacerbate existing air quality problems quality conditions typical of anticipated niques for simulating formation and
under certain conditions, launch sites. dispersion of NO2 in ground clouds. Utilize
existing and acquire new data related to
rocket launches for this purpose. Prepare a
climatology of expected NO 2 ground-level
concentrations under a range of meteoro-
logical and ambient air quality conditions
typical of anticipated launch sites.
HLLV flights will deposit a large amount of The quantitative increases. Whether the Obtain a better understanding of the natural
water and hydrogen above 80 km. The globally averaged increase in water content hydrogen cycle and develop and implement
globally averaged water content is likely to will be sufficient to alter thermospheric models to simulate the effects of rocket
be increased by amounts ranging from 8 composition or dynamics in a significant propellant exhaust on a global scale.
percent at 80 km to factors of up to 100 or way. Whether the increase will result in a
more above 120 km. The injected water and chronic, global-scale partial depletion of the
hydrogen will increase the natural upward ionosphere of sufficient magnitude to
flux of hydrogen by as much as a factor of degrade telecommunications. Whether the
2. increased hydrogen flux will significantly
increase exospheric density and/or modify
thermospheric properties.

Injection of water vapor from HLLV The scale and persistence of the clouds, Design and implement observational
launches in the altitude range of about 80 especially in view of poorly understood programs to obtain data on the occurrence
to 90 km is likely to result in the formation co m p et i n g cooling and h eating and characteristics of high-altitude clouds
of noctilucent clouds. mechanisms. Whether cumulative effects formed during rocket launches. Improve
could arise and lead to globally significant knowledge of the natural atmosphere near
effects such as changes in climate the mesopause and develop and implement
models to better simulate the effects of
water and hydrogen injection on cloud
formation.
Reference system personnel and cargo orbit Ultimate fate of effluents. Potential impacts Design and implement experiments in the
transfer vehicles would inject substantial such as increased radiation hazards to magnetosphere to obtain data for improving
amounts of mass and energy into the space travelers, auroral modifications, understanding of magnetospheric
magnetosphere and plasmasphere. telecommunications, and terrestrial utility phenomena of interest and provide system
interference, enhanced airglow emissions, design guidance where appropriate.
and changes in weather and climate.
— . — .
SOURCE: Program Assessment Report, Statement of Firrdmgs, Satellite Power Systems Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOEIER-0085, November 1980.

culation and climate of the troposphere, but the els 10 One dimensional models predicting global
mechanisms that couple the two regions are ex- average vertical transport of atmospheric constitu-
tremely complex and not well understood. 9 The ents are used most extensively, although less-refin-
SPS assessment relies mostly on theoretical mod- ed two and three dimensional models are also
‘tncyc/oped/a of ‘ic(ence and Technology VOI 1 (New york McCraw-
HIII Book Co , 1977] “’~u~ra note b
Appendix D—Environment and Health ● 279

available. High-altitude experiments are needed to alter significantly the global climate, but in view of
improve atmospheric theory and the data base for the poor understanding of the coupling between
the SPS assessment. the mesosphere and troposphere, this expectation
The most significant SPS impacts would arise requires further analysis. A large unknown is the ef-
from the injection of rocket effluents, especially fect of the excess water content on temperature
water vapor and reentry NO X directly into the that may affect the likelihood and persistence of
stratosphere and mesosphere. SPS vehicles emit the clouds. 7
CO, into the upper atmosphere but the amount is In the stratosphere, detectable depletion or
extremely small relative to existing levels and to enhancement of the ozone layer from the emission
the quantities generated by the consumption of of water and nitric oxide would be unlikely. While
fossil fuels. The effects of any impurities in the water vapor tends to decrease ozone, nitric oxide
rocket fuel, such as sulfur would be negligible. tends to increase it. The net effect of SPS reference
Thermal energy is also injected by HLLV and PLV system effluents is thought too small (i. e., either a
launches, but the effects are thought to be minor decrease or increase on the order of 0.01 percent)
and transient. relative to the natural fluctuations of the ozone
Increases in water vapor would be of concern concentration. 8 This conclusion requires further
because its natural abundance in the upper at- verification as it is based on one-dimensional
mosphere is very low. The most recent estimates in- models.
dicate that the increase in the globally averaged In addition to the formation of noctilucent
concentration of water vapor due to 400 HLLV clouds and perturbations of the ozone layer, the
flights per year would be about 0.4 percent in the water vapor deposited in the stratosphere and
stratosphere (30 km) and 8 percent in the upper mesosphere might contribute to a chronic partial
mesosphere (80 km). 2 Increases near the latitudes depletion of the ionosphere. However, this is ex-
at which the water vapor was emitted could be pected to be very small in comparison to the local
higher due to a so-called “corridor effect” with in- depletions caused by rocket emissions directly into
creases in water content up to 15 percent above 80 that region. ’9 Climatic effects might occur from
km. ” At 120 km and above, it is estimated that the changes in the chemical composition of the upper
global water content could be increased by a fac- atmosphere, although at present it is not possible
tor of 100 or more. 4 to assess reliably any potential effects. Research
The production of nitric oxide from the reentry priorities for SPS upper atmospheric effects in-
of HLLVS is expected to increase significantly the cIude
naturalIy occurring NO X concentration and to ex-
hibit a pronounced long-term corridor effect in the
● update emissions inventory and estimates of
reentry NOX;
NO X distribution of the mesosphere. 5 Stratospheric ● estimate magnitude of corridor effect and
NO x levels would also be altered due to downward
study possible temperature feedback mecha-
diffusion from the mesosphere, but would be con-
nisms;
fined mostly to the lower stratosphere where their
● identify and augment existing experimental
impact wouId be negligible.
programs to make high-altitude measurements
In the mesosphere, the injection of water could
induce luminous, thin, or “noctilucent” clouds of of water and NOX concentrations, study high-
ice crystals in the vicinity of the rocket exhaust. It altitude water release data;
is estimated that the cloud would expand from a
● assess the possibility and climatic impacts of
noctilucent clouds;
size of 1 to 1,000 km 2 over 24 hours. 16 This finding is ● develop scenarios of SPS impacts on a number
based on theoretical calculations and observations
of different background conditions including
of other rocket launches that deposited far less
future increases of C02;
water into the mesosphere than that which is pro- ● document and verify effects of effluents that
jected for the HLLVS. The clouds are not thought to
are now thought to have a minor impact on the
‘ ‘ Iblcl
upper atmosphere; and
‘‘Iblcl ● determine telecommunicate ions e f f e c t o f
‘ ‘Program A~ses\ment Report, Statement oi Finding>, Satelllte Power chronic, partial depletion of ionosphere (from
Systems Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/NASA
Report, DOE/E R-0085, November 1980 water vapor injected in the stratosphere and
“Environmental A$$es$ment for the $ate//tte Power \y$tem – Concept mesosphere).
Development and Eva/ua tlon Program – A tmo~pherlc E ffect$,
DOE/E R-0090, November 1980 ‘Ibid
‘‘Supra note 9 “$u prc? note 9
“Supra note 6 ‘5u[)r~ note 6
280 ● Solar Power Satellites

Ionosphere ozone layer, air conductivity, and hence climate


could be affected by the effluents but no reliable
The ionosphere is used extensively in telecom- conclusions can be made at this time.
munication systems to propagate and reflect radio The effects of rocket exhaust products are better
waves. The injection and diffusion of SPS launch understood in the F-region, but the impact of SPS
propellants into the ionosphere could alter the den- effluents is still not certain. This region is
sity of the electrons and ions that are responsible dominated by oxygen atoms that recombine more
for the unique properties of the ionosphere, there- slowly with electrons than their molecuIar counter-
by degrading the performance of the telecommuni- parts in the lower ionosphere. Exhaust products
cations systems. Other effects might also occur, such as water, hydrogen and C02 emitted in the F-
such as enhanced airglow and increased electron region become quickly ionized by charge exchange
temperature, but the Iikelihood and consequences reactions with the existing atomicions. 24 These
of these impacts are yet to be determined. 20 molecular ions rapidly recombine with the iono-
A reliable assessment of the effects of launch ef- spheric electrons, thereby causing a region of pro-
fluents on the D-region of the ionosphere cannot be nounced depletion known as an “ionospheric
made at this time. However, two apparently coun- hole.” It has been estimated that for each POTV
teractive effects have been postulated. z’ The emis- launch (which would occur once or twice a month),
sion of water vapor into the D-region is Iikely to an ionospheric hole with an area two to three times
deplete the ionospheric plasma density. This would the size of the continental United States 25 would be
reduce radio wave absorption in the daytime iono- formed and persist for 4 to 16 hours. z’ Each HLLV
sphere and result in propagation anomalies. On the launch (one or two per day) would produce a hole
other hand, NO X , produced by frictional heating about one-tenth the size,27 lasting 4 to 12 hours. It
during reentry, could engender the formation of has been suggested that a long-term low-level
ions in the D-region. It is believed that enough NO X depletion on the order of 10 percent would develop
would be deposited in the region to compensate for in a ring around the launch latitude as a result of
the reduction of the plasma due to water vapor. A multiple launches .28 The probable consequence of
recent lower ionosphere experiment suggests that this depletion ring is a small perturbation of VLF,
anomalies in the propagation of VLF signals were H F, and possibly VHF wave propagation.
due to the effects of rocket effluents. ” While the These findings were based on a number of theo-
experiment was not conclusive, it is clear that de- retical models of the ambient and perturbed F-
tectable effects might occur that warrant further region as well as several observations of rocket
study. effluent-induced ionospheric holes. The models are
As in the D-region, current understanding of the fairly well developed and theoretical mechanisms
launch effluent effects on the E-region is not very are well understood, but care should be taken in
advanced. Rocket propellants would be directly in- scaling up radiowave propagation effects. Further
jected only into the lower E-region because HLLV study is required in order to predict accurately the
engines would be shut off at 124 km.23 Some ef- location, size, movement, and lifetime of the hole
fluents would enter the upper E-region by upward as well as the cumulative effects of multiple
diffusion. Exhaust products emitted above the E- launches. 29 An observation of ionosphere depletion
region in LEO by PLVS, POTVS and HLLV could also inadvertently took place after a 1973 skylab flight
diffuse and settle downwards. The impacts of these that produced a hole 1,000 km in radius. 30 In 1977,
effluents on the E-region, however are very uncer- experiments were conducted to purposefulIy pro-
tain. It is possible that the deposition of ablation duce an ionospheric hole. 31 The experiments,
materials during reentry could augment a radio named Project LAGOPEDO tended to confirm the
signal altering phenomenon called “sporadic E“ in
which regions of greatly enhanced electron con-
“E Bauer, Proceedings of the Workshop on the Mod/ f/cation of the Up-
centration are created. In addition, the coupling
per Atmosphere by the Sate///te Power System (SPS) Propu/slon Eff/uents,
between the ionosphere and magnetosphere, the DO E/NA$A Report Conf -7906180
“Supra note 14
‘OSupra note 9 “Supra note 6
7
“ Ibid ‘ Supra note13
“C Meltz and J A Darold, “VLF OMEGA Observations of the iono- ‘Ulbld
spheric Disturbance produced by an Atlas HEAO-C Launch, ” In Pro- “Supra note 9
ceedings of the Workshop/Symposium on the Prellmlnary Evaluation of ‘“M Mendlllo, C Hawkins, and J Klobuchar, An Ionospheric Tota/
the Ionospheric Disturbances Associated WIIh the HEAO-C Launch, With Electron Content Disturbance Associated With the Launch of NASA
Applfcatlons to the SPS Ertvfronmental Assessment, M Mendlllo and B $k ylab, Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratories, July 1974
Baumgardner (eds ), DOE/NASA report Conf 7911108, August 1980 “ Pongratz, et al , Lagoped~Two F-Region Ionospheric Dep/etion Ex-
2’Supra note 9 perlment~ Los Alamos Scientlflc Laboratory, LA-U R-77-2743
Appendix D—Environment and Health . 281

theory. Recently, DOE took advantage of the Thermosphere and Exosphere


launch of NASA’s High Energy Astrophysical Ob-
servatory (HEAO-C) by an Atlas/Centaur rocket in As discussed above in the Stratosphere and Meso-
order to monitor the resultant large-scale (1 million sphere summary, HLLV flights are predicted to
to 3 million km 2) effIuent-induced ionospheric hole, substantially increase the natural water content
which persisted for approximately 3 hours. 32 The above 80 km. One consequence of this excess
preliminary finding indicates that no severe long- could be an increase and, perhaps, doubling of the
term impacts on HF radio signals occured as a upward flux of hydrogen atoms that result from the
result, but that VLF transmissions (14 KHz) could breakdown of the molecular water vapor as well as
have been affected.33 On the whole, not enough is molecular hydrogen emitted above 56 km by
known about SPS-induced ionospheric holes to HLLVS, PLVS and POTVS.37 While it is fairly certain
make conclusions about their impacts on telecom- that an increase in the hydrogen flux would result,
mu n i cat ions. the consequences of a perturbed hydrogen cycle
In addition to telecommunication effects, other are quite uncertain. The hydrogen escape rate into
potential effects of SPS rocket effluents deposited outer space could increase. Accumulation of
in the F-region have been suggested .34 Enhanced hydrogen above 800 km might also occur, thereby
airglow emissions could affect astronomy, remote possibly altering thermospheric and exospheric
sensing, and surveillance systems. Past observa- dynamics and enhancing satellite drag.
tions have noted enhancements on the order of 10 Research is needed to:
kilorayleighs for certain visible and near infrared . improve understanding of the natural hydro-
emissions. 35 The magnitude and significance of SPS gen cycle and dynamic processes of the ther-
airglow emissions warrants further study. The injec- mosphere and exosphere; and
tion of water vapor in the F-region might also per- ● design models to quantify hydrogen increases

turb the thermal budget of that region. This would and simulate SPS effects on a global scale.
increase the ratio of cooling by radiation and
perhaps alter the Van Allen belts and the amount Plasmasphere and Magnetosphere
of ionizing radiation in space. Also, as noted
previously, the number of hydrogen atoms emitted
SPS reference system effects on the plasma-
sphere and magnetosphere result primarily from
by HLLV launches in the upper thermosphere and
the emission of COTV argon ions and POTV hydro-
exosphere could be comparable to the number
gen atoms as the vehicles move between LEO and
naturally present. This could increase satellite
drag, alter the Van Allen belts, and affect radio GEO. 38 The impacts of these effluents could be
great, because the energies and number of ions and
communications. The water budget of these
regions is not well understood however, and so the atoms injected would be substantial relative to the
ambient values. Unfortunately, the magnetosphere
probability of these effects is not known.
and plasmasphere are poorly understood. While
Research should focus on the following areas:
some potential SPS impacts have been identified as
● improve understanding of D&E region effects;
shown in table D-4, their probability and severity
● refine studies of F-region ionospheric holes in
cannot be assessed since no experimental data rele-
order to predict location, size, movement, and
vant to SPS exists for these regions. I n particular,
lifetime;
● test effects on telecommunications systems
the consequences and the mechanism of interac-
tion between the argon ions and the ambient
using D, E, and F regions; and
● assess airglow effects perhaps with the in-
plasma and geomagnetic field must be explored.
In addition to the exhaust products, the satellites
volvement of the remote sensing and astron-
themselves could also have an impact on the mag-
omy communities. 36
netosphere by obstructing plasma flow, or produc-
ing dust clouds, electromagnetic disturbances,
space debris, visible and infrared radiation, and
high-energy electrons.39 Little emphasis has been
placed on these potential effects, however,
“M Mendlllo and B Baumgardner, Proceedings of the Workshop/Sum- because they are thought to be minor and easily
poslum on the Preliminary Eva/uatlon of the Ionospheric Disturbances
Associated W/th the HEAO-C Launch, W/th Appl{catlons to the SPS Env/-
reinedied.
ronmenta/ Assessment, DOE/NASA Report Conf 7911108, August 1980
“Ibid
“Supra note 9 “Supra note 6
5
‘ Supra note13 ‘“Supra note 9
‘blbld “lbld
282 ● Solar Power Satellites

Table D-4.—Satellite Power System Magnetospheric Effects

Effect Cause Mechanism System/activities impacted


1. Dosage enhancement of O + and Ar + in magneto- Thermal heavy ions suppress —Space equipment
trapped relativistic sphere due to exhaust and ring-current-ion cyclotron —Modification of human
electrons plasmasphere heating turbulence, which keeps space activity
electron dosage in balance
in natural state
2. Artificial ionospheric Ionospheric electric field Beam induced Alfven shocks —Powerline tripping
current induced by argon beam propagate into ionosphere —Pipeline corrosion (probably
unimportant)
3. Modified auroral response Neutrals and heavy ions in Rapid charge-exchange loss —May reduce magnetic storm
to solar activity large quantities of ring-current particles interference with Earth and
space-based systems
4. Artificial airglow 3.5 keV argon ions Direct impact on atmosphere —Interference with optical
from LEO source Earth sensors
5. Plasma density disturbance Plasma injection Plasma instabilities —Signal scintillation for
on small spatial scale space-based communi-
cations

SOURCE: Environmental Assessment for the Satellite Power System, Concept Development and Evaluation
ProgrammAtrnosptrericEffects, DOEIER-0090,
November 1980.

If an SPS program is conducted, it is clear that shown in figure 40, p. 211. Atmospheric scattering
the design of transport vehicles for the outer re- and attenuation due to absorption, in addition to
gions of the atmosphere and the environmental as- losses at the rectenna would reduce the usable
sessment of their impacts in these regions will be power at the rectenna to 5,000 MW. The following
closely linked. Possible methods of reducing ad- radiative effects are the most important for the
verse effects include the use of both chemical and reference system (fig. D-2):
argon ion engines or an alternative propulsion sys- ● Out-of-band radio frequency emissions. The
tem in the COTV, and lunar mining. reference system’s klystrons are estimated to
Near term studies include: radiate energy at the following harmonic fre-
• design and implement experiments in the quencies: 40
magnetosphere and the laboratory to test SPS Power level
effects and increase theoretical understanding Frequency (C HZ) (times 6,720 MW)
245- (central frequency) 1
of magnetospheric phenomena.
490- (second harmonic) -50d B(10-5)
7 35- (third harmonic) -90d B(10-9)
The Electromagnetic Characteristics of 980- (fourth harmonic) -lOOd B(10 1O)
Although it is known that the antenna pat-
the Alternative SPS SatelIites terns for these frequencies would be rather dif-
Microwave Satellites ferent from that of the reference system, cur-
rent antenna theory is inadequate to predict a
The satellite would generate microwave power detailed spatial pattern.
at a frequency of 2.45 GHz or some other central Spurious sideband noise generation from
radio frequency, thermal radiation, and reflected the klystrons outside of the central frequency
sunlight at all solar wavelengths. In addition, it is estimated to be no greater than – 200 d B of
would generate some power at multiples of the the central frequency at a separation of 8 to 10
central frequency (harmonics), and also spurious MHz from the center frequency. Filtering may
noise on either side of the central frequency. be able to reduce this to levels which would
Because the reference system is the only system for not cause appreciable interference in most
which an attempt has been made to characterize a cases This is one constraint in the separation
system completely, this report will use its necessary between an SPS frequency assign-
characteristics as an illustrative model for all ment and the boundaries of the 2.45 GHz In-
microwave systems. ternational Scientific and Medical band. These
The space antenna would radiate a total of 6,720 considerations apply after the klystron tubes
MW of microwave power towards Earth. The refer- have warmed up. Since, on the average the
ence system design calls for the power distribution ——
4
‘C, L) \rndt and L Leopold, “Environmental Conslderatlons for the
over the face of the satelIite antenna to be gaussian MI( rowav(, [learn from a Solar Power Satel I lte, ” I )th /nter\oclety Energy
with a 10-d B taper. The resuIting beam pattern is ( of)kerslrv) I nglneer~ng ( orrferrwce, San Diego, Callf , August 1978
Appendix D—Environment and Health ● 283

Figure D-2.–Overview of Potential SPS Electromagnetic=Compatibiiity impacts

noise & harmonics

SOURCE: Power (SPS), Concept Development and Evaluation Program p. 43,

100,000 klystrons in the antenna can be ex- ways41 42


1) diffuse reflections from the solar
pected to fail at a rate of five per day, out of arrays, the antenna and the underlying struc-
band radiation as they fail and as they warm ture; 2) specular mirror-like reflections from
up after being replaced may be greater than the solar arrays and the antenna; 3) glints or
during their operating period. specular reflections from the underlying struc-
The reflected beam at 2.45 GHz, at the har- ture. Diffuse reflections would cause each
monics, as welI as at other frequencies gener- satellite to appear as bright as the planet
ated by the rectenna structure itself, would Venus at its brightest phase (magnitude – 4.3).
result in a complicated power spectrum which Specular reflections would occur near the
wouId change in time as the rectenna ages. equinoxes just at local sunrise or sunset (i. e.,
The radiation patterns are expected to be 100 on the same meridian as the satelIite) and
or broader and partially directive. A capability wouId cause a 330-km wide spot of Iight sever-
to monitor and locate rectenna intermodula- al times brighter than the full Moon to sweep
tion emissions is required to allow timely
structural repair to assure no interference with 4
‘ P A E and M Stokes (eds ), “Workshop on Power
sensitive terrestrial and aircraft equipment. Effects on Optical and Radio Astronomy, ” CON F-7905143
(DOE ],
Optical and thermal emissions. The reference I “Apparent 1 of Solar Power Satellites, ”
satellites would reflect sunlight in three major Power 1980, pp 175190
284 ● Solar Power Satellites

across the affected area in a few minutes. ● Heat radiation. Because an appreciable
Glints from components of the satellite’s amount of the sunlight which is intercepted by
structure are not expected to be as serious as the laser satellite would be absorbed and re-
the diffuse or specular reflections and in any emitted as heat, the satellite, whether in CEO
event, may be significantly reduced or elimi- or LEO, would be a diffuse infrared radiator
nated by proper structural design. and would radiate some energy at microwave
In addition to reflecting sunlight, the satel- frequencies as well.
lite would also emit thermal radiation of an • Laser beam characteristics. The two major pres-
estimated intensity of 6.3 X 10 6 watts p e r ent laser alternatives operate near 5 microns
square meter at the Earth. The precise wave- (CO laser) or 10 microns (CO 2 laser) infrared
length peak depends on the details of the char- wavelengths. Because the beams are highly
acteristics of the satellite’s components (e.g., directive, they would be only slightly observ-
type of cell, type of antireflection coating, able in the infrared except for receivers placed
etc. ) but would Iikely fall in the 5 to 10 micron very near the laser ground stations. Scattered
band. The thermal radiation is expected to ex- light from the beam would be detectable in
ceed SIightly current interference levels. the lower part of the atmosphere.

Laser Satellites Mirror Satellites


As with the other characteristics of laser systems, Because the mirrors are designed to reflect
the electromagnetic characteristics of the laser sun Iight only, their emissions wouId be only sIightly
satellite are ill defined. However, the following altered from the original solar spectrum (i. e., they
general radiation effects can be expected. Quan- wouIdn’t radiate appreciable infrared or micro-
titative data will be available o n l y a f t e r t h e wave radiation). Those emissions would be large,
systems become more highly defined. however, for the ground base into which the sun-
In general, laser systems would reflect sunlight light is directly reflected (i.e., the equivalent of one
from the laser platform and from the relay mirrors Sun).
in LEO and CEO, if any. I n addition, they wouId ● Terrestrial observers away from the ground

radiate thermal energy, most probably in the 5 to site would see moving patches of light about
10 micron region of the infrared. They would also 0.5 min arc across surrounded by an aureole of
be detectable as a thermal source of microwave scattered Iight. The precise apparent bright-
power. ness of the mirrors wilI depend on a number of
● Reflected sunlight. The brightness of Iaser sat- factors, e.g., the orientation of the mirror with
ellites at CEO or LEO would depend on the respect to the observer, the relative position of
mode of power CoIIection and conversion (e. g., the Sun from both the mirror and the observer,
photovoltaic or direct solar pumped) and the the albedo of the reverse side of the mirrors,
overalI size of the satellite. OpticalIy, the most and the atmospheric conditions above the
important differences are that the LEO satel- ground station. Low-intensity scattered sun-
lite would be brighter and perceived as mov- light from aerosols and dust high in the at-
ing slowly by terrestrial observers. mosphere would be observable at up to 150
Because they would be smaller than the ref- km from the ground station.
erence system satellites, individually they
would also be less bright. However, there will
be more of them. (If laser satellites could be The Interaction Between Biological
made to operate with the same efficiency as Systems and Electromagnetic Waves
the microwave designs, five 1,000-MW or ten
500-MW satellites would be needed to equal Microwave radiation is a form of electromag-
reference system capacity. ) Laser relay mirrors netic energy which is used in numerous commer-
in LEO and GEO would contribute both sta- cial, industrial, military, and medical devices in-
tionary and moving sources of light. However, cluding microwave ovens, radar, diathermy equip-
because of their small size (several meters), ment, and sealing instruments. The microwave
they are not expected to be readily visible band accounts for frequencies ranging from 300
from Earth. MHz to 300 GHz,
Appendix D—Environment and Health ● 285

The extent and consequence of exposure of plete. The existence of frequency windows,
biological systems to microwaves depends on the i.e., effects observed over one specific range
following characteristics of the incident energy, of frequencies is not well-understood.
the biological organism, and surrounding environ- ● Intensity of incident wave. –The energy car-
ment: 43 ried by an electromagnetic wave per unit area
● Frequency of electromagnetic radiation. — T h e and time is called its power density and is
frequency of radiation is the number of com- measured in units of milIiwatts per square cen-
plete oscillations per second of an electromag- timeter (mW/cm2). Heating or thermal effects
netic wave. The energy of the radiation is are generally thought to occur at power den-
directly proportional to the frequency. Al- sities greater than 10 mW/cm2. Effects at much
though the frequency of microwaves is high, it lower power densities have been postulated
is not high enough for the quanta to ionize, but the existence and consequence of “non-
i.e., to eject an electron from a molecule or thermal” phenomena remains in dispute. Pow-
atom; hence microwaves are called “nonioniz- er density windows have been observed ex-
ing. ” The bioeffects of X-rays and other ioniz- perimentally in which bioeffects are noted
ing radiation are known to be more severe only over a specific range of power densities
than those resulting from the nonionizing por- and not above or below.
tion of the spectrum. Recently, the microwave community has
The frequency also determines the depth of adopted the specific absorption rate (SAR) as a
penetration when an electromagnetic wave is measure of the energy absorbed by a biologi-
incident on biological material. I n general, the cal organism. The SAR is expressed in units of
lower the frequency, the greater the depth of milliwatts per gram (mW/gm). It is a function
penetration. For example, infrared waves pen- of the power density and weight of the ir-
etrate no deeper than human skin, whereas mi- radiated organism. While the SAR provides
crowaves (which are lower in frequency) pen- more information about the bioeffects of
etrate through the skin and fat and into human microwaves than it does of the power density
muscle. 44 The relationship between frequency alone, it cannot be used to entirely predict the
or wavelength (frequency is inversely propor- effects of exposure to microwaves. The SAR is
tional to wavelength) and the size of the irradi- averaged over the entire body; it does not con-
ated body is also important. Resonance (i. e., sider energy absorbed differentially in specific
most efficient absorption) will occur when the body parts. It also does not account for possi-
length of an organism measures approximately ble nonthermal effects. Furthermore, it does
half of a wavelength of the incident elec- not measure the “biological effectiveness” of
tromagnetic field. For example, the resonance a microwave, i.e., its ability to induce an effect
frequency at which the absorption rate is max- which is dependent on parameters such as the
imized for the male human body is on the relation between the frequency and size of
order of 70 to 100 MHz, whereas the maximum subject or body part.
absorption rate for rats occurs at 2.45 GHz.45 ● Duration of exposure. – For thermal effects,
Thus, an electromagnetic wave may elicit a the length of exposure may influence the
very different response from organisms of two body’s ability to cool. Heating resulting from
different sizes (assuming that the amount of long duration exposure of high-intensity waves
energy absorbed is the dominant determinant may overwhelm the natural cooling system. At
of a biological response). lower power densities, i.e., “nonthermal”
Understanding of the functional depend- levels, the cumulative or long-term effects are
ence of bioeffects on frequency is not com- not known.
● W a v e f o r m . – It is thought that the biological
‘ ‘For a more detailed discussion of the biophysics of microwave inter- consequences of exposure to continuous wave
actions with blologtcal systems, see S Baranskl and P Czelskl, i310/oglca/
radiation is usually less severe than from that
Effects of Microwaves, Dowden, Hutchlnson and Ross, Inc , Pennsylvania,
1976 which is pulsed or modulated, although basic
“R D Phllllps, et al , Comp//atlon and A$$e$\ment of Microwave BIo- appreciation of the mechanisms of interaction
e f f e c t s A Se/ect/ve Rev/ew of tfre L Iterature on the Blo/og)ca/ L ffectj of
M i c r o w a v e s In Re/at/on to tfre $ate///te Power $y~tem ($P\), final report,
is lacking,
DOE/NASA, May 1978 ● Subject characteristics. – Bioeffects are spe-
“E Berman, “A Review of SPS-Related Microwaves on Reproduction cies-specific, primarily because the factors
and Teratology”, I n The Flna / Proceedings of the $o/ar Power Sate///te Pro-
gram Rev/ew, Apr 22-25, 1980, DOE/NASA report Conf -800491, July
which determine energy absorption such as
1980 size, structure, body, insulation, and heat dis-

83-316 0 - 81 - 20
286 ● Solar Power Satellites

sipation, and adaptive mechanisms vary with SPS-Related Microwave Bioeffects


species. The composition and geometry of bio- Experiments (conducted by DOE, EPA)
logical matter also determine the depth of
penetration and wave characteristics; tissue, In conjunction with the SPS DOE assessment,
muscle, and fat each exhibit different dielec- three studies were initiated and managed by EPA.46
tric and conductive properties. Thus, without • Exposure of bees to 2.45 GHz at 3, 6, 9, 25 and
adequate theories of interaction, extrapola- 50-mW/cm 2. No statistically significant effects
tions from animal studies to human bioeffects on behavior, development, or navigation have
are extremely difficult. The sex, age, and state been observed following short-term exposure.
of health of an irradiated subject may also be Long-term exposures are planned and should
an important factor, since size and suscep- clarify this possible effect. It has also been
tibility to certain kinds of effects may differ proposed that tests of effects on bee naviga-
with respect to these parameters. It also ap- tion be carried out in the absence of sunlight
pears that electromagnetic radiation may act (which may possibly mask microwave induced
synergistically with drugs. The differential ab- effects).
sorption of energy may result in hotspots. This ● Immunology and hematology studies of small
relatively increased energy deposition in cells, mammals exposed for short durations to about
organs or parts of the body relative to its sur- 20 mW/cm2, 2.45 GHz microwaves. No effects
roundings could lead to very specific biologi- have been reported so far.
cal effects after exposure. ● Experiments testing the effects on the behav-
The orientation of the organism with respect ioral and navigational capability of birds sub-
to the electric field component of the wave is jected to acute and chronic exposures of 2.45
also important —the most energy is absorbed GHz fields. Some mortality has resulted from
when the electric field is parallel to the long exposure to 130 to 160 mW/cm 2 microwaves
axis of the body. In animal experiments, phys- and has suggested that species and body ge-
ical restraints or sedation might influence ometry determine tolerance levels. Generally,
study results. Measurement devices such as no statistically significant effects have been
implanted probes could also alter the field detected at power densities of 0.1 to 2 5
distribution. The prediction of bioeffects may mW/cm 2. Some birds chronically exposed to
also be complicated by movement of the sub- 25 mW/cm2 have exhibited an increase of ag-
ject in the field which changes the absorbed gressive behavior, although the number of
energy dosage and may result in modulation birds is statistically insignificant.
of the field.
The effects of whole body irradiation may
Laser Bioeffects
differ from partial body exposure. In addition,
for either whole or partial body irradiation, Lasers are unique among light sources because
smaller body parts could resonate if the fre- of their capacity to deliver an enormous amount of
quency used was in resonance with that part energy to a very small area at a great distance.47
of the body. The primary biological consequence of this proper-
● Environment. –The humidity, temperature, ty is heating. However, nonthermal mechanisms
and air circulation of the surrounding environ-
ment will affect the ability of a heated biologi-
‘“C H Dodge, Rapporteur, Workshop on Mechanisms Underlying Ef-
cal entity to cool. Objects near the elec- fects of Long-Term, Low-Level, 2450 MHz Radlatlon on People, organized
tromagnetic field could also enhance, reflect, by the National Research Council Committee on Satelllte Power Systems,
absorb or distort it. For SPS, the effects of the Environmental Studies Board, National Academy of Sciences, ] uly 15-17,
1980
space environment on the biological response 4
‘E- Kle IrI ‘ Hazards of the Laser,” Hosplta/ Practice, May 1967, pp
to microwaves are not known. 48-5 J
Appendix D—Environment and Health ● 287

have also been suggested. 48 For example, photo- either, but is absorbed by the cornea and lens. Most
chemical reactions are thought to be responsible of the radiation from the C0 2 laser is absorbed in
for damage of biological organisms exposed to the 7 nm tear layer of the cornea. 56 Continuous irra-
ultraviolet lasers.49 High laser power densities may diances of the order of 10 W/cm2 could produce le-
also cause injury from shockwaves or high electric sions within the blink refIex.57 Corneal damage may
field gradients. 50 Biological electromagnetic in- be reversible or repairable but severe damage may
terference effects have also been proposed. 5 1 result in permanent scarring, blurred vision, and
Clearly, the mechanisms of interaction between opacities. 58 The lens is particularly susceptible to
laser light and biological entities are not complete- injury because of its inability to eliminate damaged
ly understood. Like microwaves, little is known celIs. Lenticular damage characterized by cata-
about the cumulative or delayed effects of chronic racts or clouding may occur at irradiance levels
exposure to low levels of laser light.52 In general, that do not produce corneal injury. For example,
the higher the power and the shorter the period, the “glassblowers cataracts” are thought to result from
greater the damage.53 The extent of the effect also chronic exposure to 0.08 to 0.4 W/cm 2 infrared
depends markedly on the characteristics of the ir- radiation. 59 Proposed thermal limits for pulsed C02
radiated biological material. Of primary impor- lasers range from 0.2 to 1.0 W/cm 2, ’0 but this
tance is a tissue’s absorptivity, reflectivity, water recommendation requires further study.
content, and thermal conductivity. Effects on the skin from absorbed radiation may
The organ of the body most sensitive to laser vary from mild erythema (sunburn) to blistering
radiation is the eye. The ocular media of the human and/or charring. 61 The principal mechanisms of in-
eye transmit light with wavelengths between 400 jury by infrared radiation are thermal and are a
and 1,400 nm. 54 There are two transmission peaks in function of tissue reflectance, spectral depth of
the near infrared at 1,100 and 1,300 nm. Light in the penetration, and the size of irradiated area. Since
visible and near infrared spectrum is focused thermal burns are produced at temperatures higher
towards the retina. The refraction of the laser beam than that which causes pain, in most present oc-
by the ocular media amplifies the light intensity by cupational situations the pain can serve as warning.
several orders of magnitude. 55 As a result, in this A definite sensation of warmth is produced from
spectral region the retina can be damaged at radia- C 02 lasers at 0.2 W/cm 2 over an irradiated area
tion levels which are far less than those which pro- only 1-cm diameter, or 0.01 W/cm 2 for full body ex-
duce corneal or skin damage. posure. 62 Heat stress should not be overlooked.
For lasers that emit wavelengths outside of the More research is needed to determine the effects
visible and near infrared range, the ocular effects of chronic or repeated exposures.
are quite different. At ultraviolet wavelengths, for As was the case for exposure to microwaves, the
example, light is absorbed primarily by the cornea, determination of laser thresholds and standards is
which can be injured by photochemical reactions. exacerbated by problems of detection and meas-
Infrared radiation is not focused on the retina urement, instrument sensitivity, dosimetry, inter-
species and interfrequency extrapolation, and lack
‘“V T Tomberg, “Non-Thermal Blologlcal Effects of Laser Beams, ” of complete knowledge of physiological systems,
Nature, VOI 204, Nov 28, 1964, pp 868-870 mechanisms of interaction, and synergistic effects.
“Department of the Alr Force, Ffea/th ~azdrd~ Contro/ for Laser Radla-
tlon, AFOSH Standard 161-10, May 30, 1980 ‘“U \ A r m y E n v i r o n m e n t a l Hyglence A g e n c y , Laser and Opt/ca/
‘[)lbld Haiard~ Course Manua/, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Md , 8th ed , ]anuary
‘‘M Zaret, “Laser Appl Icatlon In the F Ield of Medlclne, ” ZAMP, VOI 16, 1979
1965, pp 178-79 ‘‘D H Sllney, K W Vorpahl, and D C Wlnburn, “Environmental
“M L Wolbarsht a n d D H Sllney, ‘ N e e d e d M o r e D a t a o n Eye Health Hazards From High-Powered Infrared Laser Devices, ” Arch En-
Damage, ” Laser Focus, December 1974, pp 11-13 v/ronmenta/ Hea/tfr, VOI 30, April 1975, pp 174-179
‘‘Supra note 47 ‘“ Supra note 47
9
“W T Ham, et al , “The Eye Problem In Laser Safety, ” Arch En- ‘ Supra note 55
v/ronmenta/ Hea/th, VOI 20, February 1970, pp 1 ;6-160 ““Suprd note 49
“D H Sllney and B C Fresler, “Evaluation of Optical Radlatlon “ Ibid
Hazards, ” App/ied Opt/es, VOI 12, No 1, j anuar~ 1973, pp 1-24 2
‘ Supra note 55
288 ● Solar Power Satellites

Experiments also make clear that the extent of the of recovery following return from space.69 For SPS,
superficial or immediate lesion is no gage of total however, the effects of periodic weightlessness
damage. ’3 over a long time period need to be investigated.
The exposure limit for continuous wave infrared Moreover, ameliorative measures suitable for a
lasers as recommended by ANSI is 100 mW/cm2 for large number of people with broad physiological
exposures over 10 seconds and for smalI spot sizes characteristics must be investigated .’”
on the skin or eyes.64 A whole body irradiance limit Workers would be exposed to electric fields
of 10 mW/cm2 has been suggested .65 It should be generated by the collection and transmission of
stressed that the protection standards for repetitive large amounts of electricity across the solar panel
and chronic exposures and for wavelengths outside and antenna, but effects of electric and magnetic
the visible band are based on a considerable fields on biological systems are not well-under-
amount of extrapolation. Data obtained from non- stood. 71 Research is needed to determine the bio-
Iaser sources, such as bright, small-source lamps effects of magnetic fields generated by satellite
and high luminance extended sources cannot accu- electric currents, as well as to assess the effects of
rately and wholly represent the effects of laser field absence over extended stays in orbit, as CEO
radiation in determining injury thresholds for is largely outside of the Earth’s magnetic field.
ultraviolet and infrared lasers directly. Some space workers could also be exposed to high
levels of microwaves. The effects of microwaves in
General Health and Safety of a space environment deserves special attention. It
SPS Space Workers* is known, for example, that microwaves can work
synergistically with ionizing radiation to increase
The human body’s tolerance to acceleration the biological effectiveness of the latter. ”
depends on the duration and magnitude of the Research would be required to determine bio-
acceleration, the positioning of the body relative to effects and if possible, to develop suitable
the accelerating force, the restraint and support exposure Iimits and protective clothing.
systems of the spacecraft and the time spent in a Psychological impacts must also be assessed,
weightless state. ” Research is needed to quantify especially since there is little information on large,
effects as a function of these parameters and to mixed gender groups working in close confinement
determine the tradeoffs between short duration, for prolonged periods. Studies should also consider
high acceleration and longer duration, lower accel- the effects on workers’ families and friends and
eration effects. Studies should also evaluate the possible mitigation measures such as careful work-
tolerance in the population that may fly in space er selection, recreation faciIities, social manage-
(since variation in individual response levels are ment, etc.
great) and explore possible ways to reduce harmful Space workers could be prone to greater safety
effects. ” risks than their terrestrial counterparts because of
Weightlessness is known to induce a number of the possible awkwardness of working without grav-
physiological responses such as decreased heart ity. 73 Risks also stem from the high-voltage equip-
rate, shifting of fluids to the upper body, decrease ment and handling of toxic materials. There is a
of muscle mass and loss of bone minerals .68 Most danger that spacecraft charging could produce
of the observed effects have been temporary; only electric shocks great enough to injure or kill
bone calcium loss appears to require a long period workers, although this might be avoided by a ju-
dicious choice of spacecraft material. Catastrophic
b
* Supra note 47 CoIIisions with meteoroids or space debris are also
‘“American Natlona/ Standard for the Safe Use of Lasers, ANSI (R) possible, given SPS’s large size. Extravehicular
Z136 1-1979, American National Standard Institute
“D H S1 Iney and D L Cono\,er, “Nonlonlzlng Radlatlon” In /rrdustr/a/
activity may also create hazards.
Errv/ronmenta/ Hea//h, L V Cralley and P R Atkins (eds ) ( N e w Y o r k
Academic Press, 1975), pp 157-172
*See text for discussion of Ionlzlng radlatlon effects —
6bEnvironmen/a/ Assessment for the Sate///te Power ‘5 y$tern Concept L)e- }
‘ ’lbld
ve/opment and Eva/uatJon Program, DOE/E R-0069, August 1980 ‘(’lbld
“lbld 7‘ Jupra note 66
“Program Assessment Report, Statement of F/nd/ng~, Satelllte Power ‘ Baranskl and P Czerskl, L310/oglca/ Effects of M/crowave~, Dowden,
System Concept Development and Evaluation Program, DOE/E R-0085, Hut, hlnson and Ross, Pennsylvania, 1976
November 1980 7
‘\upra note 66
Appendix E

EXAMPLES OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Part 1 Iy by nations, the other by designated agencies


(“signatories”), one per nation; 4) that Intelsat
Intelsat was preceded by the formation of a would be restricted to providing services between
domestic company, Comsat. In 1962 the Federal countries, not within countries; 5) the interim
Government, after extensive debate over the prop- agreements would last 5 years, at which point per-
er degree of Federal involvement, chartered Com- manent arrangements wouId be agreed on.
sat Corp. to provide a commercial communications One immediate result was the refusal of the
satellite system “in conjunction and cooperation Soviet Union and East Europe to participate. The
with other countries . . which wilI serve the com- Soviets used only a miniscule amount of global
munication needs of the United States and other communications traffic, some 1 percent, and
countries, and which wilI contribute to world peace would not join an organization dominated by the
and understanding.’” Comsat was not directly United States and West Europe. They began devel-
owned or run by the Government; it issued shares oping their own domestic system (Molniya), which
of voting public stock (which were immediately later formed the core of their international system,
over-subscribed), with 50 percent of these reserved Intersputnik, covering the Soviet Union, East
for “common carriers” —AT&T, ITT, Western Europe, Cuba, and Mongolia.
Union, and others. The Board of Directors con- When the interim agreements were renegotiated,
sisted of three Presidential appointees, six common from 1969 to 1971, the basic structure was retained.
carrier representatives, and six elected at large. However, a number of changes were made, many
However, although Comsat was not directly fi- of them designed to reduce U.S. dominance and to
nanced by the Government, it received and con- increase the direct role of national governments. 3
tinued to receive the benefit of extensive NASA- Comsat was phased-out as the manager, manage-
sponsored development of communication satel- ment being turned over to a Director General,
lites and launch-vehicles, free of charge–some responsible to a Board of Governors composed (in
several billion dollars worth. (NASA research on 1979) of the 27 largest participants or groups of par-
communications satellites was cut back under the ticipants, representing a total of 83 signatories. A
Nixon administration but reemphasized in the new voting structure was established to prevent de
Carter administration’s October 1978 White House facto U.S. veto power. The minimum participation
Fact Sheet, largely as a result of increased competi- was lowered to 0.05 percent. AlI signatories and
tion from Japan and Western Europe.) states parties were entitled to receive free, tech-
Under its charter, Comsat was allowed to enter nical information generated by Intel sat contracts.
directly into negotiations with foreign entities with Intel sat was allowed to provide services to domes-
the supervision and assistance of the State Depart- tic and regional satellite groups. Net property in
ment. In 1963, a U.S. negotiating team proposed a 1980 is valued at $663 mill ion, with $523 million of
framework for an international telecommunica- that in the space segment proper. Return on invest-
tions satellite organization: lntelsat. In a series of ment in 1979 was better than 14 percent.4
meetings details were agreed on: 1) that Comsat
wouId be the consortium manager 2 and majority Part 2
owner, with an initial 61 percent of the shares; 2)
that ownership and utilization charges, as well as Like Intelsat, Inmarsat is a commercial, profit-
voting, would be in proportion to the use of the making venture with a corporate structure and in-
system by each participant, readjusted on an an- dependent legal personality. Comsat is the U.S. sig-
nual basis, and that membership would be open to natory, holding the largest original share at 17 per-
alI ITU member nations, with a minimum 15-per- cent; Great Britain is second with 12 percent, the
cent share needed for representation and voting; 3) Soviet Union third with 11 percent. ’ Initial cap-
there would be two levels of agreement, one direct- italization was set at $200 milIion.
Because it could participate on a more equitable
“’Communlcatlon> Satellite Act of 19b2, In Space Law, Se/ected Ela$fc basis, the Soviet Union joined Inmarsat; one conse-
Documents, Senate Committee on (’ommerce, Science, and Transport
tlon, Dec 1978, p 523 !R IC hard Col lno, The /rite/sat De flnlt/ve Arrangements (Geneva Euro-
‘Joseph N P e l t o n , G/oba/ Comrnunlcatlons Sate//(te Po/Icy lnte/sat, pean Broadcasting Union, 1973), p 11-12
Po/ItIcs and funct~onallsm (Mt Airy, Md Lomond Books, 1974), p 76 ‘Intel}at Annual Report 1980 Intelsat, Washington, D C , p 21
(p 55) “ Operating Agreement on Inmarsat,” 1976, In Space Law, p 445

289
290 Ž Solar power Satellites

quence was Soviet insistence that nongovernmen- European bids were higher than U.S. ones, it was
tal signatories —e.g., Comsat and Japan’s Kokusai argued that these were necessary to develop com-
Denshin, Ltd.—be guaranteed by their govern- petition for the United States, and that it was unfair
ments. It has been pointed out that the Soviet for U.S. firms to reap all the financial benefits.
Union “is disinclined to enter mixed organizations Over time, U.S. firms began to subcontract exten-
involving states and private enterprise, ” preferring sively abroad in an effort to reduce criticism of U.S.
to deal only with other states. G contract dominance.
In the permanent agreement, procurement pol-
Part 3 icy was established with emphasis on the “best
combination of quality, price and most favorable
The vast majority of Intelsat signatories were delivery time.” However, in the event of equivalent
government communications agencies. Only in a bids “the contract shall be awarded so as to stim-
few instances, such as Comsat for the United ulate in the interests of Intelsat, worldwide com-
States, and Interspazio for Italy, were the signa- petition” (art. 13).8 This loophole gave Intelsat the
tories separate corporate entities designed for com- option of allocating contracts on a geographic
munication satellite operations. One result was a basis as long as it determined that they were
conflict of interest within agencies that were in- roughly equivalent. In recent years, approximately
volved in other communication systems, especialIy 15 percent of the dollar value of Intel sat procure-
underwater cables. Differences of opinion also de- ment contracts has been spent outside the United
veloped between Comsat, which wanted to expand States 9
Intel sat into as many other areas, including domes-
tic communications, as possible; and agencies that Part 4
wanted Intelsat’s scope restricted to international
telephone and television relay. Unlike ESRO, which had its own facilities, ELDO
At the beginning, Comsat, with headquarters in was entirely a coordinating body for separate na-
Washington, D. C., was the managing agency; Amer- tional efforts. The initial planning called for a
ican launchers were used through NASA; and the British first stage, a French second stage, a German
satellites themselves were built by U.S. firms — third stage, and so on. Launches were to take place
(Hughes for Intelsat I, II, IV, and IV-A; TRW for ln- in Woomera, Australia. The major countries had
telsat III; Ford Aerospace for Intel sat V). The initial widely differing interests. France was interested in
agreement was structured in such a way that U.S. an across-the-board capability to compete with the
participation could never be less than 50.6 per- superpowers and demonstrate French independ-
cent. 7 ence and prestige, an aim directly connected with
Initially, participation by lesser developed coun- French military programs in nuclear submarines
in numbers, tensions developed between LDCs, and intermediate range ballistic missiles. France
Europeans, and the United States over the distribu- feared that the United States would not provide
tion of benefits. One issue concerned the relative launch services for French military satellites or for
investment between satelIites and ground stations. programs that promised to compete commercially
Since users were responsible for building their own with the United States.
Earth stations, LDCs and others with fewer re- Germany was more interested in private com-
sources and lower usage urged Intelsat to increase mercial ventures, and was much more willing to
the size and complexity of the satellite component cooperate with the United States. Great Britain,
in order to reduce Earth-station costs. faced by the mid-1960’s with severe financial con-
As European aerospace capabilities matured, straints and enjoying a close relationship with the
members began to lobby for larger shares of In- United States, preferred less expensive programs in
telsat R&D and procurement contracts. Even when telecommunications and remote sensing.

““ Intel sat Organ lzatlon Agreement, ” 1973, In Space Law, p 214


‘Stephen Doyle, “lnmarsat Origins and Structure, ” 1976 “Conversation with ]ohn Donahue, Intelsat procurement office, Oc-
‘Pelton, op cit , p 58 tobel 1980
ACRONYMS, ABBREVIATIONS,
AND GLOSSARY
Acronyms and Abbreviations

AF – audio frequency GEO – geostationary orbit


AlAA – American Institute of Aeronautics and HEAO-C – High Energy Astronomical
Astronautics Observatory-C
ANSI — American National Standards Institute HEL – high-energy laser
A-sat — antisatellite HEW – Department of Health, Education and
Aramco – Arabian-American Oil Co. Welfare
BBB — blood brain barrier HF – high frequency
BRH – Bureau of Radiological Health HFAL – high frequency auditory limit
Btu — British thermal unit HLLV – heavy-lift launch vehicle
bui – brain uptake index HRP – horseradish peroxidase
CB — citizens’ band HVTL – high-voltage” transmission line
CEP – Citizen’s Energy Project Hz — hertz: a unit of frequency equal to
— centimeter one cycle per second
CMEA — Council of Mutual Economic HZE — high-atomic-number, high-energy
Assistance (Comecon) (East Europe, particles
Soviet Union, Cuba) IAF — International Astronautical Federation
CNS – central nervous system ICBM — intercontinental ballistic missile
CONAES – Committee on Nuclear and IEA — International Energy Agency
Alternative Energy Sources (National IEEE — Institute of Electrical and Electronics
Academy of Sciences) Engineers
COPUOS – Committee on Peaceful Uses of Outer ISM — industrial, scientific, and medical
Space (United Nations) ITU — International Telecommunication
COTV — cargo orbital transfer vehicle Union
Comsat – Communications Satellite Corp. kg kilogram
cpm — counts per minute km — kilometer
CW — continuous wave kw kilowatt (103 watts)
dB – decibels laser — light amplification by stimulated
dc – direct current emission of radiation
DOD — Department of Defense LEO – low-Earth orbit
DOE – Department of Energy LMFBR – liquid metal fast breeder reactor
DMSO – dimethyl sulfoxide LORAN – long-range navigation
EDL — electric discharge laser MHz – Megahertz (106 cycles per second)
EEG — electroencephalogram m MPTS — microwave power transmission system
EKG — electrocardiogram MW — megawatt (10’ watts)
ELDO – European Space Vehicle Launcher mW/cm 2 — milliwatts per square centimeter
Development Organization NAS — National Academy of Sciences
ELF — extremely low frequency NASA – National Aeronautics and Space
EMF — electromagnetic fields Administration
EMP — electromagnetic pulse NATO — North Atlantic Treaty Organization
EMR — electromagnetic radiation NBS – National Bureau of Standards
EOTV — electric orbital transfer vehicle NIEMR — nonionizing electromagnetic radiation
EPA — Environmental Protection Agency NIOSH – National Institute of Occupational
ER — evoked response Safety and Health
ESA – European Space Agency NRDC – Natural Resources Defense Council
ESRO – European Space Research OECD – Organization for Economic
Organization Cooperation and Development
FCC — Federal Communications Commission (United States, Canada, Japan, West
FDA — Food and Drug Administration Europe)
FEL — free electron laser OMEGA — generic name for long-range
CDL — gas discharge laser navigation
GNP – Gross National Product OPEC – Organization of Petroleum Exporting
GHz – gigahertz (109 cycles per second) Countries
Gw – gigawatt (109 watts)

293
294 • Solar Power SateLLites

OSHA – Occupational Safety and Health SAM — surface to air missile


Administration SAR — specific absorption rate
OTA – Office of Technology Assessment SEPS — solar electric propulsion system
PLV – personnel launch vehicle SPS — solar power satellite
POTV – personnel orbital transfer vehicle SRBC — sheep red blood cells
prf — pulse repetition frequencies SSTO — single stage to orbit space vehicle
Q – Quad (quadrillion BTUS) STS — space transportation system
Qe – Quad, electric t — metric ton (tonne); 1,000 kg
R&D — research and development TVA – Tennessee Valley Authority
rem – Roentgen equivalent man, the UHF — ultra high frequency
quantity of ionizing radiation whose VER — visually evoked electrocortial
biological effect is equal to that response
produced by one roentgen of X-rays VHF — very high frequency
RFP — radiofrequency radiation WHO — World Health Organization
Glossary

Ablate—to remove by cutting, erosion, melting, heredity and variation by the methods of both
evaporation, or vaporization. cytology and genetics.
Aerosol—a suspension of insoluble particles in a Cytology– a branch of biology dealing with the
gas. structure, function, multiplication, pathology,
Albedo–the fraction of incident light or electro- and Iife history of cells.
magnetic radiation that is reflected by a surface Decible– a unit for expressing the ratio of two
or body. amounts of electric or acoustic signal power
Ambient—the natural condition of an environmen- equal to 10 times the common logarithm of this
tal factor. ratio. A ratio of 10 is 10 dB, a ratio of 100 is 20
Amplitude–the maximum departure of the value dB, a ratio of 1,000 is 30 dB, etc.
of an alternating wave from the average value. Diffuse reflection— reflection of a beam incident on
Artifact— a product of artificial character due to an a surface over a wide range of angles.
extraneous agent. Dosimeter– a device for measuring doses of radio-
Attenuation– a reduction in amplitude of electro- activity.
magnetic energy. Ecliptic–the circle formed by the apparent yearly
Beam width–the angular width of a beam of radia- path of the Sun through the heavens; inclined
tion, measured between the directions in which by approximately 23.50 to the celestial equator.
the power intensity is a specified fraction, usu- Electromagnetic energy– energy in the entire range
alIy one-half, of the maximum. of wavelengths or frequencies of electromag-
Bias current–the electric current applied to a netic radiation extending from gamma rays to
device (e.g., a transistor) to establish a reference the longest radio waves and including visible
level for operation. light.
Biota—the plants and animals of a region. Electron— a subatomic particle with a negative
Brayton cycle— a method of driving a turbine in electrical charge.
which a gas is compressed and heated. The Endocrinology– a science dealing with the endo-
most familiar use is for aircraft gas turbine crine glands, which produce secretions that are
engines. An alternative to the Rankine cycle. distributed in the body by way of the blood-
Bremsstrablung radiation– radiation from charged stream.
particles that are decelerated in a magnetic Energy dose– the quantity of electromagnetic
field. energy (in joules) that is imparted per unit of
British thermal unit-quantity of heat needed t o mass to a biological body.
raise one pound of water one degree Fahrenheit Energy dose rate— the amount of electromagnetic
at or near 39.2 ‘F. energy that is imparted per unit of mass and per
Circadian–pertaining to events that occur at ap- unit of time to a biological body.
proximately 24-hr intervals, such as certain bio- Epidemiology-a branch of medical science that
logical rhythms. deals with the incidence, distribution, and con-
Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)–particles on trol of disease in a population.
which water vapor condenses to form water Extended source—an extended source of radiation
droplets, that in turn form clouds and fogs. that can be resolved into a geometrical image
Convection-circulatory motion that occurs in the in contrast with a point source of radiation, that
atmosphere due to nonuniformity in tempera- cannot be resolved into a geometrical image; a
ture and density, and the action of gravity. source that subtends an angle greater than one
Cortical tissues–tissue from the outer layer of gray arc min.
matter of the brain. Exosphere–the outer fringe region of Earth’s at-
Cosmic ray–atomic nuclei of heterogeneous, ex- mosphere.
tremely penetrating character that enter the Field intensity –the magnitude of the electric field
Earth’s atmosphere from outer space at speeds in volts per meter or the magnitude of the mag-
approaching that of Iight. netic field in amperes per meter.
Coupling–the mechanism by which electromag- Flux–the rate of transfer of particles or energy
netic energy is delivered to a system or device. across a given surface.
CW laser–continuous wave laser, as distinguished Frequency—the number of complete oscillations
from a pulsed laser. A laser emitting for a peri- per second of an electromagnetic wave, meas-
od in excess of 0.25 second. ured in hertz (Hz). One hertz equals one cycle
Cytogenetics– a branch of biology that studies per second.

295
296 ● Solar Power Satellites

Geostationary Earth orbit (GEO)– the equatorial or- Kapton– Iightweight, tough plastic film.
bit at which a satellite takes 24 hr to circle the Klystron— an electron tube used to generate and
Earth so that it is stationary as viewed from amplify microwave current.
Earth; altitude approximately 36,000 km. Laser– a device for generating coherent light radia-
Geosynchronous Earth orbit–the orbit at which a tion.
satelIite takes 24 hr to circle Earth. (The satelIite Low-Earth orbit (LEO) –altitude approximately 500
may or may not appear to be stationary above a km.
point on Earth.) Luminance–brightness on a light source, equal to
Harmonic frequency– a component frequency of an luminous flux per unit solid angle emitted per
electromagnetic wave that is a multiple of the unit area of the source.
fundamental frequency. Magnetron— a magneticalIy control led tube used
Heliostat– a mirror device arranged to follow the to generate and amplify microwave radiation;
Sun as it moves through the sky and to reflect the power sources for microwave ovens.
the Sun’s rays on a stationary collector. Magnetosphere– a region of Earth’s outer atmos-
Hematology-a branch of biology that deals with phere in which electrically charged particles
the blood and blood-forming organs. are trapped and their behavior dominated by
Heavy-lift launch vehicle (HLLV)– a proposed launch Earth’s magnetic field.
vehicle used to transport large masses of ma- Mass driver– an apparatus for accelerating material
terial from Earth to low- Earth orbit. in an electromagnetic field.
Illuminance– irradiance; rate of energy per solid Mesoscale–on or relating to a meteorological phe-
angle measured at a given point. nomenon approximately 1 to 100 km in horizon-
Immunology— a science that deals with disease re- tal extent.
sistance and its causes. Mesosphere– a layer of the atmosphere extending
Intermodulation –the mixing of the components of from the top of the stratosphere to an altitude
a complex wave with each other in a nonlinear of about 80 km.
circuit. The result is that waves are produced at Microwave– a comparatively short electromag-
frequencies related to the sums and differences netic wave, especialIy one between 100 cm and
of the frequencies of the components of the 1 cm in wavelength or, equivalently, between
original waves. 0.3 and 30 GHz ‘in frequency.
Intrabeam viewing– viewing the laser source from Modulation–when a continuous series of waves of
within the beam. The beam may either be direct electromagnetic energy is modified by pulsing,
or specularly refIected. or by varying its amplitude, frequency, or
Ion—an atom or group of atoms that carries a phase, the waves are said, respectively, to be
positive or negative electrical charge as a result pulse-, amplitude-, frequency-, or phase-modu-
of having lost or gained one or more electrons. lated. In order to convey information by radi-
Ionizing radiation– radiation capable of producing ating electromagnetic energy, it must be modu-
ions by adding electrons to, or removing elec- lated,
trons from, an electrically neutral atom, group Morphology-a branch of biology that deals with
of atoms, or molecule. the form and structure of animals and plants.
Ionosphere—the part of Earth’s atmosphere begin- Multibiotic– having or consisting of many plants
ning at an altitude of about 5 km extending and and animals.
outward 500 km or more, containing free elec- Multipath radiation— in contrast with a so-called
trically charged particles by means of which plane wave, that flows in a straight line through
radio waves are reflected great distances space, an area or volume where electromag-
around the Earth. netic waves arrive from different directions
Irradiance (E)– radiant fIux density arriving at given because of reflection or multiple sources is said
surface in units of watts-per-square-centimeter to be the site of multipath radiation.
(W/cm 2); illuminance (as measured by a detec- Neuroendocrine-of, relating to, or being a hormo-
tor). nal substance that influences the activity of
Joule (J)– unit of energy (1 watt-see) under the inter- nerves.
national system. As a thermal unit, 1 joule Neutral particles– molecules, atoms, or subatomic
equals 0.239 calories. Since the calorie is de- particles that are not electrically charged.
fined as the energy required to heat 1 gram of Neutron–an uncharged elementary particle that
water from 40 to 50 C, 4.184 joules is the has a mass nearly equal to that of the proton
equivalent of one calorie.
Glossary ● 297

and is present in all known atomic nuclei except Propagation —the transmission of electromagnetic
the hydrogen nucleus. wave energy from one point to another.
Noctilucent cloud— a luminous thin cloud seen at Proton– an elementary particle that is identical
night at a height of about 80 km. with the nucleus of the hydrogen atom, that
Nonionizing radiation— radiation of too low an ener- along with neutrons is a constituent of all other
gy to expel an electron from a molecule or atomic nuclei, that carries a positive charge nu-
atom. mericalIy equal to the charge of an electron.
Ohmic heating-a heating mechanism in a plasma Pulsed laser– a laser that delivers its energy in short
or other conducting medium. The free electrons pulses, as distinct from a CW laser; a laser
in the medium are accelerated by an applied which emits for less than 0.25s.
electric field and give up kinetic energy by col- Radiation pressure– all propagating electro-
lision with other particles. magnetic waves exert a very sIight pressure on
Phase—the measure of the progression of a peri- an absorbing object.
odic wave in time or space from a chosen in- Rankine cycle– a Iiquid gas cycle used often for
stant or position. steam turbines. A working fluid is heated until it
Phased array– an array of antennas that is aimed as expands and drives a turbine.
a group by adjusting the phase of the signal it Rectenna– a coined term for the SPS reference sys-
sends or receives. tem receiving antenna that also converts the
Photoionization– ionization (as in the ionosphere) microwave power to direct-current electricity.
resulting from CoIIision of a molecule or atom Rectification-the conversion of an alternating cur-
with a proton. rent to direct current.
Photoklystron — a device for directly converting visi- Refraction– a deflection from a straight path under-
ble light to microwave radiation. gone by a wave in passing obliquely from one
Photon— a quantum of radiant energy. medium into another in which its velocity is dif-
Photoperiod – the interval in a 24-hr period during ferent.
which a plant is exposed to Iight, Root-mean-square—for an alternating voltage, cur-
Photovoltaic cell– a cell composed of materials rent, or field quantity: the square root of the
that generate electricity when exposed to light. mean of the square of the quantity during a
Plasma–a collection of charged particles exhibit- complete cycle.
ing some properties of a gas but differing from a Scattered power– power that is reflected or dis-
gas by being a good conductor of electricity persed as the result of an obstruction in the
and by being affected by a magnetic field. path of the primary power flow.
Polarization–the electric (E) and magnetic (H) fields Side lobe— refers to power radiated from an anten-
that comprise a propagating electromagnetic na in a direction other than the desired direc-
wave may be fixed in relation to Earth’s hori- tion of transmission.
zon, or they may rotate. By convention, the vec- Slipring–a metal ring to conduct current in or out
tor of the E field is related to Earth’s horizon: if of a rotating member of a machine.
the two are perpendicular, the wave is said to Solar flare– an explosion on the Sun which gener-
be vertically polarized; if parallel, horizontally ates fast elementary particles.
polarized. When the E and H fields are continu- Solar wind–a stream of particles generated by a
ously rotating with respect to the horizon, the solarfIare.
wave is said to be elIipticalIy polarized. Solid-state amplifier– an amplifier whose operation
Power–the quantity of energy per unit of time that depends on a combination of electrical effects
is generated, transferred, or dissipated. The unit within solids, e.g., a transisterized amplifier for
of power, the watt (W), is defined as one joule electromagnetic waves.
per second (j/s). Specific absorption rate (SAR)–the quantity of elec-
Power density-the quantity of electromagnetic en- tromagnetic energy that is absorbed by a body
ergy that flows through a given area per unit of per unit of mass during each second of time; ex-
time. Formally, power density is specified in pressed formally in watts per kilogram (W/kg);
watts per square meter (W/m2), but by tradition often, informally as milliwatts or watts per
in biological effects studies it is usually ex- gram (m W/g or W/g). “Specific absorption rate”
pressed in milliwatts per square centimeter is being considered by the National Council on
(mW/cm 2). Radiation Protection and Measurements as the
298 • Solar Power Satellites

official nomenclature for expressing the dose Symptomatology– a branch of medical science con-
rate of radio-frequency electromagnetic radia- cerned with symptoms of diseases.
tions. Synonymous with energy dose rate. Teratology-the study of malformation or serious
Specular or regular reflection– a mirror-like reflec- deviations from the normal development of
tion. fetuses.
Spurious power or frequency–electromagnetic en- Thermosphere–the part of Earth’s atmosphere that
ergy produced at frequencies that are not easily begins about 80 km above Earth’s surface, ex-
related to a specified operating frequency. tends to outer space, and is characterized by
Stratosphere– an upper portion of the atmosphere steadily increasing temperature with height.
above approximately 10 km (depending on lati- Troposphere– the portion of the atmosphere below
tude, season, and weather) and in which tem- the stratosphere, which extends outward about
perature changes little with changing attitude 15 km from Earth’s surface, and in which tem-
and clouds of water are rare. perature generally decreases rapidly with
Sun-synchronous orbit– a near polar orbit which altitude.
keeps the satellite in full sunlight all the time Van Allen belt— a belt of intense ionizing radiation
while Earth rotates beneath it. that surrounds Earth in the outer atmosphere.
Susceptibility—the sensitivity of an electromagnetic Wave guide– a device for transmitting and guiding
receiver to undesired electromagnetic waves radio-frequency waves
that may resuIt in interference.

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