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Solow SL
Solow SL
Yt = Ct + It + Gt + NXt (2)
Kt +1 = Kt + It dKt (3)
Or
∆Kt = Kt + 1 Kt (4)
= I dKt (5)
Equivalently:
It = sYt (7)
The rental prices of K and L are the same as in the production model (w
and r ).
Start from
Kt +1 = It + (1 d ) Kt (8)
Substitute in
It = sYt
Yt = ĀKtα L1t α
to get
Kt +1 = s ĀKtα L1t α
+ (1 d ) Kt (9)
or
∆Kt = s ĀKtα L1t α
dKt (10)
De…nition
A steady state is an equilibrium in which all (per capita) variables are
constant over time.
Figure 5.1 shows:
1 The Solow model has exactly one steady state K
Actually: K = 0 is another steady state, which we ignore.
2 The economy converges to the steady state for any initial K0 .
3 For the economy to grow, it must be on the transition path to the
steady state.
sY = s ĀK α L1 α
= dK (11)
or
1/(1 α)
k = K /L = [s Ā/d ] (12)
with 1/ (1 α) = 3/2.
y = Y /L (13)
= Ā (K /L)α (14)
α/(1 α)
= Ā [s Ā/d ] (15)
α/(1 α) 1/(1 α)
= [s/d ] Ā (16)
y = Ā k α (17)
y = Ā1/(1 α)
[s/d ]α/(1 α)
(18)
Fact
Capital accumulation is not a source of long-run economic growth.
How does this square with the fact that politicians always talk about
promoting growth through investment?
Fact
In the Solow model, the farther away the economy is from its steady state,
the faster it grows (or shrinks)
The claim: the growth rate of K (∆Kt /Kt ) increases with the gap
between current and steady state capital (K /Kt ).
Proof:
The law of motion for K is
∆Kt Yt
=s d (21)
Kt Kt
Sub in K = (K /K ) K :
∆Kt 1 1
= s Ā (K /K )α (K ) α L1 α
d (23)
Kt
In a broader set of countries, those that are poor initially do not grow
faster.
L. Hendricks () Solow Model September 17, 2009 36 / 51
Empirical Evidence
Fact
The Solow model cannot explain why countries grow at di¤erent rates for
long periods of time.
0.1
0.09
0.08
0.07
Y/ L growth
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Year
0.035
Avg growth over 35 years
0.03
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Y/L relative to steady state
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
K/KSS
0.3 Y/YSS
0.2
0.1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Year
Simulate the Solow model with a saving rate that rises from 10% to
40% (Singapore).
Start the model in steady state: K0 = K .
Show that the growth rate of y stays positive for a long time.
You could now compare that growth path with data for Singapore
and convice yourself that a large share of Singapore’s spectacular
growth since 1960 is indeed due to capital accumulation (as shown by
Alwyn Young).