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BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

A PROJECT REPORT ON

DISINVESTMENT IN INDIA A FAILURE STORY


"While the case for economic reforms may take good note of the diagnosis that India has too much government interference in some fields, it ignores the fact that India also has insufficient and ineffective government activity in many other fields, including basic education, health care, social security, land reforms and the promotion of social change. This inertia, too, contributes to the persistence of widespread deprivation, economic stagnation and social inequality

.......Amartya Sen

Submitted To Dr. K. L. Chawla FORE School of Management New Delhi

Submitted By Gaurav Vijay Shah (91080) Harish Mittal Harsh Lakhotia Himani Agarwal Jitesh Kejriwal Karan Soni (91081) (91082) (91083) (91084) (91085)

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story

Acknowledgement
Intuition and concepts constitute ... the elements of all our knowledge, so that neither concepts without an intuition in some way corresponding to them, nor intuition without concepts, can yield knowledge. In a similar way the credit of developing this project goes to many others who helped us in building both our concepts and intuitions. We are indebted to our project guide Dr K. L. Chawla for providing us with a challenging & interesting project. We owe the credit of developing this project to him. Without his guidance realization of this project would not have been possible. We would also like to thank our batch mates for the discussions that we had with them. All these have resulted in the enrichment of our knowledge and their inputs have helped us to incorporate relevant issues into our project.

Regards Gaurav Vijay Shah (91079) Harish Mittal Harsh Lakhotia Himani Agrawal Jitesh Kejriwal Karan Soni (91081) (91082) (91083) (91084) (91085)

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Executive Summary
Privatization, a key component of economic liberalization remained dormant for the nearly the entire first decade of significant economic reforms in India. The usual explanations have been that weak governments could not overcome the many vested interests or that there has been ideological resistance to economic reforms among Indias elites. Indian privatization came out of the shadows, however, when the former Indian President Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam stated, "It is evident that disinvestment in public sector enterprises is no longer a matter of choice but an imperative The prolonged fiscal haemorrhage from the majority of these enterprises cannot be sustained any longer," in his opening address to Parliament in the 2002 budget session. How does one explain both the gradualism during the 1990s and the recent episodic acceleration of privatization in India and what does it reveal both about state capabilities and the strength of societal actors? This report argues that it was not vested interests alone, but institutional structures, in particular those embedded in the judiciary, parliament and Indias financial institutions, that account for the lag between the onset of economic liberalization and privatization and its episodic nature. Changes in the perceived costs of the status quo of state-owned enterprises also played a role in the timing of reforms. Just as the external debt crisis forced the initial round of economic reforms, the growing internal debt problem and the fiscal crisis of the Indian state has increased the opportunity cost of state-owned enterprises (SOEs). The passage of time has also resulted in significant changes in Indian policymakers and citizens attitudes regarding the relative effectiveness of state and markets in commercial activities, as well as their assumptions about the Indian state being a guardian of the public interest.

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Table of Contents
Chapter 1 A background
Objective Relevance of study Methodology Literature review Public sector performance since 1950 by R Nagaraj Disinvestment in India by Sudhir Naib Disinvestment in Privatisation in India, Assessments and options by R Nagaraj Disinvestment in India, I loose and you gain by Pradeep Baijal Brief Introduction

Chapter 2 Public Sector in India


Evolution of Public sector Objective of formation of PSUs Problem of Public sector undertakings Growth in Public sector

Chapter 3 Disinvestment-Definition, Methods and Processes


Definition Indian scenario Types of disinvestment Objectives Disinvestment process Methods adopted in India Legal issues

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Chapter 4 - Disinvestment in India-Policies, procedure and proceeds
Background Timeline Phase 1 (1991 92 to 1995 96) Industrial reforms Rangarajan committee, 1993 Year wise disinvestment Phase 2 (1996 97 to 1997 98) Disinvestment commission, 1996 Review of recommendations given by Disinvestment commission Year wise disinvestment Phase 3 (1998 99 to 2007 08) Year wise disinvestment National investment fund Phase 4 ( 2008 09 to present) Year wise disinvestment The line up for disinvestment National Investment Fund,2005 Summary of disinvestment

Chapter 5- Case studies


Modern food industries (India) Ltd BALCO VSNL Power sector reform in Orissa Divestiture in Maruti Udyog compared to other disinvestments Lagan Jute Machinery Company Limited

Chapter 6 Critical Analysis


Review of Disinvestment in Privatisation Performance of PSUs after Privatisation Problems of Corporate governance Disinvestment Not a great piece of reform Comparative experience PSUs are not that bad Facts Opportunities at present in PSUs Performance of PSUs
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Chapter 7 Suggestions
Bibliography

BACKGROUND

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OBJECTIVE:
1. To Analyze the Disinvestment process in Indian Public Sector. 2. To study the disinvestment done was a Success or a Failure for the Indian Economy.

RELEVANCE OF STUDY:
The report aims to study the evolution of disinvestment in India from the scratch and in thorough detail so as to, not only understand the need and the procedure of the same, but also to be able to critically evaluate the strategy and its several implementations till date. The project enables us to discover and highlight several instances and facts and conclude that the disinvestment was not efficiently conducted. We also conclude that the objectives behind disinvestment, stated by the government way back in 1991have failed miserably. After such an insightful analysis, we are in a position to say that though disinvestment in India had several bounding objectives, it has been a failure story and much has to be done to

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realize the benefits. The group could even come up with some solutions and alterations that can be implemented to help the citizens of India reap the benefits of the strategy of disinvestment to a greater extent.

METHODOLOGY:
The report tries to study and analyze the disinvestment in India from its very scratch. We begin studying the post independence era, understanding the strategy of Public Sector Units used by the government for common good, then pin-pointing the loop holes and the consequent shortcomings of this strategy, thus identifying an emergent need for disinvestment. We further study the objectives of disinvestment and the process followed for the same. A detail study over a timeline of eighteen years is done, dividing this entire span into three phases. This study has helped us to cortically evaluate the disinvestment in several sectors and comment on the current situation i.e. 2008 onwards. Several legendary cases of disinvestment like the MFIL, BALCO, VSNL, Maruti Udyog Ltd., Lagan Jute Mill etc have been developed to sheer details. This has enabled us to study the situation then and comment upon their worthiness. We have gone one step ahead to state several in depth facts and conclude that neither, the disinvestment was not carried out the way it must have been nor have the funds realized been used for the purposes intended.

LITERATURE REVIEW
1. PUBLIC SECTOR PERFORMANCE SINCE 1950, A FRESH LOOK -BY: R. NAGARAJ
The paper elicits that since the mid-1980s, the public sectors share in domestic investment has been nearly halved, but its output share has remained roughly constant at about a quarter of GDP, suggesting a sustained rise in productivity over nearly two decades. The paper defines three major evidences for the improvement in performance. a rise in physical efficiency in electricity generation a fall in public sector employment growth

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an increase in central public sector enterprises profitability (even after excluding the petroleum sector) The author then goes ahead to question why then the public sector finances remained adverse. In electricity, passenger road transport and railways the revenue-cost ratio is less than one, and has declined since the early 1990s. Moreover, over the last 40 years, the public sector price deflator declined by 17 percentage points, relative to the GDP deflator. Hence, the author concludes that correct pricing and collecting user charges are probably key to setting public sector finances right.

2. DISINVESTMENT IN INDIA BY: SUDHIR NAIB


Twelve years after it was started, the liberalization of the Indian economy remains an ideological and operational battleground. There is mainstream national consensus on the need and irreversibility of reforms, but widespread disagreement about its pace and the sharing of its benefits. A basic aspect of the withdrawal of the state from the economic sphere has been the divestment to private parties of the shares (and in some cases control) of public sector enterprises (PSUs) or state-owned enterprises (SOEs)]. This has affected thousands of Indians, and triggered fierce political debates. The book gives a comprehensive roundup of the why and how of SOE privatization. It provides a perspective on the past, present and future of PSU divestment from someone who has studied the process up close. Before the commentary on the Indian experience, the book touches on the historical development of the idea of private enterprise in public works, and the major theoretical positions on the state versus private ownership debate. It provides a comprehensive review of the disinvestment process followed by India and analyses the impact of performance of the disinvested enterprises.

3. DISINVESTMENT NAGARAJ

AND PRIVATIZATION IN

INDIA,

ASSESSMENT AND OPTIONS-

BY: R

The author studies close to 250 public sector enterprises (PSEs) owned and managed by the central government, mostly in industry and services (excluding the commercial banks and financial institutions). The study suggests an alternative institutional arrangement for
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improving PSEs financial performance: mutual stock holding among complementary enterprises tied around a public sector bank to minimise problems of soft budget constraint, dysfunctional legislative and bureaucratic interference, and to encourage close interaction between banks and firms to promote long term economic development.

4. DISINVESTMENT IN INDIA, I LOSE AND YOU GAIN- BY: PRADIP BAIJAL


The process of disinvestment in India has been fraught with challenges and controversies. Disinvestment in India: I lose and You Gain, written by one who has been at the centre of all privatization debates and controversies, brings to light the facts that surround the disinvestment story. It underlines the most compelling rationales behind privatization: relief to the taxpayer and the simultaneous need for funds for infrastructure development and social-sector investment. This book traces privatization cycles across the globe through a historical perspective by looking at the privatization models and processes adopted in different countries. It also includes case studies of companies like BALCO, Maruti, Hindustan Zinc, VSNL, Jessop and CMC, providing an insight into the different aspects of disinvestment. This book discusses the impact of privatization and disinvestment on companies, economies and other stakeholders, and serves to initiate a healthy and wellinformed debate on the basis of facts.

INTRODUCTION
In macroeconomics, especially after the Latin American debt and inflationary crisis in the 1980s, privatization was widely advocated as a quick and sure means of restoring budgetary balance, to revive growth on a sustainable basis. At the micro level, the change in ownership is often advocated to increase domestic competition, hence efficiency; and encourage public participation in domestic stock market all of which is believed to promote popular capitalism that rewards risk taking and private initiative, that is expected to yield superior economic outcomes. Employing about 19 million persons, Public Sector currently contributes about a quarter of Indias measured domestic output. Administrative departments (including defence) account
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for about 2/5th of it, the rest comes from a few departmental enterprises (like railways and postal services), and a large number of varied non-departmental enterprises producing a range of goods and services. These include, close to 250 public sector enterprises (PSEs) owned and managed by the central government, mostly in industry and services (excluding the commercial banks and financial institutions). At the state level, production and distribution of electricity and provision of passenger road transport form the principal activities under public sector, run mostly by autonomous boards and statutory corporations. Though public investment in irrigation would perhaps rank next only to electricity in most states, it is generally viewed as public service, hence counted as part of public administration. Besides, there are about 1,100 state level public enterprises (SLPEs) that are relatively small in size. While the contribution of all these varied publicly owned and managed entities to national development is widely acknowledged, their poor financial return has been a matter of enduring concern especially since the mid-1980s when, for the first time, the central governments revenue account turned negative an imbalance that has persisted ever since. In 1991, a small fraction of the equity in selected central PSEs was sold to raise resources to bridge the fiscal deficit. Though quantitatively modest (as will be seen later), the disinvestment signalled a major departure in Indias economic policy. While there have been instances of sale of publicly owned enterprises as running concerns on pragmatic considerations, it is only in the last decade that such sales (and sale of limited equity) acquired the status of public policy.

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PUBLIC SECTOR IN INDIA

EVOLUTION OF PUBLIC SECTOR:


Prior to Independence, there were few Public Sector Enterprises in the country. These included the Railways, the Posts and Telegraphs, the Port Trusts, the Ordinance Factories, All India Radio, few enterprises like the Government Salt Factories, Quinine Factories, etc. which were departmentally managed.

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Independent India adopted planned economic development policies in a democratic, federal polity. The country was facing problems like inequalities in income and low levels of employment, regional imbalances in economic development and lack of trained manpower. India at that time was predominantly an agrarian economy with a weak industrial base, low level of savings, inadequate investments and infrastructure facilities. In view of this type of socio-economic set up, our visionary leaders drew up a roadmap for the development of Public Sector as an instrument for self-reliant economic growth. This guiding factor led to the passage of Industrial Policy Resolution of 1948 and followed by Industrial Policy Resolution of 1956. The 1948 Resolution envisaged development of core sectors through the public enterprises. Public Sector would correct the regional imbalances and create employment. Industrial Policy Resolution of 1948 laid emphasis on the expansion of production, both agricultural and industrial; and in particular on the production of capital equipment and goods satisfying the basic needs of the people, and of commodities the export of which would increase earnings of foreign exchange. In early years of independence, capital was scarce and the base of entrepreneurship was also not strong enough. Hence, the 1956 Industrial Policy Resolution gave primacy to the role of the State which was directly responsible for industrial development. Consequently the planning process (5 year Plans) was initiated taking into account the needs of the country. The new strategies for the public sector were later outlined in the policy statements in the years 1973, 1977, 1980 and 1991. The year 1991 can be termed as the watershed year, heralding liberalisation of the Indian economy. The public sector provided the required thrust to the economy and developed and nurtured the human resources, the vital ingredient for success of any enterprise; public or private.

OBJECTIVES FOR THE FORMATION OF PSUS


The main objectives for setting up the Public Sector Enterprises as stated in the Industrial Policy Resolution of 1956 were:
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To help in the rapid economic growth and industrialization of the country and create the necessary infrastructure for economic development To earn return on investment and thus generate resources for development To promote redistribution of income and wealth To create employment opportunities; To promote balanced regional development To assist the development of small-scale and ancillary industries To promote import substitutions, save and earn foreign exchange for the economy

PROBLEMS OF PUBLIC SECTOR UNDERTAKINGS


The most important criticism levied against public sector undertakings has been that in relation to the capital employed, the level of profits has been too low. Even the government has criticised the public sector undertakings on this count. Of the various factors responsible for low profits in the public sector undertakings, the following are particularly important: 1. Price policy of the Public Sector undertakings. 2. Underutilization of capacity. 3. Problem related to planning and construction of projects 4. Problems of labour, personnel and management 5. Lack of autonomy

GROWTH IN PUBLIC SECTOR


The investment in public sector enterprises has grown from Rs.29 crore as on 1.4.1951 to Rs.2, 52,554 crore as on 31.3.2000. The details are summarized in the table below:

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Source: http://dpe.nic.in/newpayrevision/Chapter-1-Overview%20&%20Profile_Final.pdf

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DISINVESTMENT: DEFINITION, METHODS, PROCESSES

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DEFINITION:
Disinvestment refers to the action of an organization or the government in selling or liquidating an asset or subsidiary. In simple words, disinvestment is the withdrawal of capital from a country or corporation. Some of the salient features of disinvestment are: Disinvestment involves sale of only part of equity holdings held by the government to private investors. Disinvestment process leads only to dilution of ownership and not transfer of full ownership. While, privatization refers to the transfer of ownership from government to private investors. Disinvestment is called as Partial Privatization.

INDIAN SCENARIO:
A large number of PSUs were set up across sectors, which have played a significant role in terms of job creation, social welfare, and overall economic growth of the nation; they rose to occupy commanding heights in the economy. Over the years, however, many of the PSUs have failed to sustain their growth amidst growing liberalization and globalization of the Indian economy. Loss of monopoly and a protectionist regime, and rising competition from private sector competitors have seen many of the government-owned enterprises lose their market share drastically. In many instances, many of the PSUs have found themselves unable to match up to the technological prowess and efficiency of private sector rivals, although many have blamed lack of autonomy and government interventions for their plight.

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Few factors that have prohibited Indian PSUs from performing upto the standards laid down for them at their incorporation include among others: The first order issue is that of competition policy. When the government hinders competition by blocking entry or FDI, this is deeply damaging. Once competitive conditions are ensured, there are, indeed, benefits from shifting labour and capital to more efficient hands through privatisation, but this is a second order issue.

The difficulties of governments that run businesses are well-known. PSUs face little "market discipline". There is neither a fear of bankruptcy, nor are there incentives for efficiency and growth. The government is unable to obtain efficiency in utilising labour and capital; hence the GDP of the country is lowered to the extent that PSUs control labour and capital.

When an industry has large PSUs, which are able to sell at low prices because capital is free or because losses are reimbursed by periodic bailouts, investment in that entire industry is contaminated. This was the experience of Japan, where the "zombie firms" - loss-making firms that were artificially rescued by the government - contaminated investment in their industries by charging low prices and forcing down the profit rate of the entire industry.

Further, in many areas, the government faces conflicts of interest between a regulatory function and an ownership function. As an example, the Ministry of Petroleum crafts policies which cater for the needs of government as owner, which often diverge from what is best for India.

There is a fundamental loss of credibility when a government regulator faces PSUs in its sector: there is mistrust in the minds of private investors, who demand very high rates of return on equity in return for bearing regulatory risk.

Then the problem of corruption and misappropriations are all well known in India.

Thus, privatization was accepted in Indian context.

TYPES OF DISINVESTMENT
There are various types of disinvestment. Some of them are as follows:

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1. OFFER
FOR SALE TO

PUBLIC

AT FIXED PRICE:

In this type of disinvestment, the

government holds the sale of the equity shares to the public at large at a pre determined price. Examples:-MFIL, BALCO, CMC, HTL, IBP, HZL, PPL, and IPCL.

2. STRATEGIC

SALE:

In this type, significant management rights are transferred to the

investor i.e. majority of equity holdings are divested. Examples: -Offer of 1 million shares of VSNL, listing of ONGC IPO.

3. INTERNATIONAL

OFFERING:

This is essentially targeted at the FII (foreign institutional

investors). Ex:-GDR of VSNL, MTNL etc.

4. ASSET SALE AND WINDING UP: This is normally resorted to in companies that are either
sick or facing closure. This is done by the process of auction or tender. Ex:-Auction of sick PSUs.

OBJECTIVES OF DISINVESTMENT:
Privatization intended to achieve the following:

Releasing large amount of public resources Reducing the public debt Transfer of Commercial Risk Releasing other tangible and intangible resources Expose the privatised companies to market discipline Wider distribution of wealth Effect on the Capital Market Increase in Economic Activity

DISINVESTMENT PROCESS:

METHODS ADOPTED IN INDIA:

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The following are the three methods adopted by the Government of India for disinvesting the Public sector undertakings. There are three broad methods involved, which are used in valuation of shares.

1. NET ASSET METHOD:


This will indicate the net assets of the enterprise as shown in the books of accounts. It shows the historical value of the assets. It is the cost price less depreciation provided so far on assets. It does not reflect the true position of profitability of the firm as it overlooks the value of intangibles such as goodwill, brands, distribution network and customer relationships which are important to determine the intrinsic value of the enterprise. This model is more suitable in case of liquidation than in case of disinvestment.

2. PROFIT EARNING CAPACITY VALUE METHOD:


The profit earning capacity is generally based on the profits actually earned or anticipated. It values a company on the basis of the underlying assets. This method does not consider or project the future cash flow.

3. DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD:


In this method the future incremental cash flows are forecasted and discounted into present value by applying cost of capital rate. The method indicates the intrinsic value of the firm and this method is considered as superior than other methods as it projects future cash flows and the earning potential of the firm, takes into account intangibles such as brand equity, marketing & distribution network, the level of competition likely to be faced in future, risk factors to which enterprises are exposed as well as value of its core assets. Out of these three methods the discounted cash flow method is used widely though it is the most difficult.

LEGAL ISSUES IN THE DISINVESTMENT PROCESS:


Legality of the disinvestment process has been challenged on a variety of grounds that slowed the sale of public assets. However, there were two significant judicial rulings that broadly set the boundaries of the D-P process. These are:
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1. Privatisation is a policy decision, prerogative of the executive branch of the state; courts would not interfere in it. 2. Privatisation of the PSE created by an act of parliament would have to get the

parliamentary approval. While the first ruling gave impetus for strategic sale of many enterprises like Hindustan Zinc, Maruti, and VSNL etc. since 2000, the second ruling stalled the privatisation of the petroleum companies, as government was unsure of getting the laws amended in the parliament.

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DISINVESTMENT PROCEEDS

IN

INDIA- POLICY, PROCEDURE

AND

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The basic objective of starting Public Sector in India was to build infrastructure and rapid economic growth. However, a number of problems such as low productivity, over-manning and other economic compulsions like deterioration of balance of payment position and increasing fiscal deficit led to the adoption of new approach toward the public sector in 1991.

BACKGROUND:
1. LOW PRODUCTIVITY OF INVESTMENT
From 1950-51 to 1980-81, Indias growth rate was roughly constant but savings and investment rate more than doubled. From the table it can be seen that it was because of low productivity that Indias growth was slow. Investment and Savings as a percentage of GDP
Year Investment (Current Prices,% GDP) Investment (Constant 1980-81 prices, %GDP) Domestic Savings (Current Prices, %GDP) 1950-51 10.2 14.7 10.4 1960-61 15.7 18.1 12.7 1970-71 16.6 18.7 15.7 1980-81 22.7 22.7 21.2 1989-90 24.1 21.8 21.7

Source: Disinvestment in India, Sudhir Naib

2. FISCAL SITUATION IN 1980


During 1980s the fiscal situation deteriorated rapidly. This was largely due to an escalation of current expenditure of the government. The table below gives the consolidated Central and state government revenue, expenditure and deficit over the period 1960-61 to 1980-81, divided into five year averages and expressed as percentage of GDP. Consolidated finances of Central and state Government, 1960-61 to 1989-90
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Year 1960-61 to196465 12.7 11.8 0.9 6.6 18.4 5.7 5.3 1965-66 to 1969-70 13.4 12.9 0.5 6.0 18.9 5.5 5.2 1970-71 to 1974 -75 14.6 14.2 0.4 5.1 19.3 4.7 4.2 1975-76 to 197980 17.8 16.3 1.5 6.9 23.2 5.4 4.7 1980-81 to 198485 18.1 18.6 (0.5) 7.5 26.1 8.0 6.8 1985-86 to 198990 20.0 23.0 (2.9) 7.1 30.0 10.0 7.5

Revenue Current Expenditure Current Revenue Balance Capital Expenditure Total Expenditure Fiscal Deficit Primary Fiscal Deficit

Source: Disinvestment in India, Sudhir Naib

3. FISCAL DEFICIT OF THE CENTRAL GOVERNMENT The fiscal deficit of the central govt rose consistently from 4% in mid 1970s to 8% of GDP in 1985-86. Fiscal Deficit of Government 1975-76 to 1990-91
Year 1975-76 1980-81 1981-82 1982-83 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 1988-89 1989-90 1990-91 Fiscal Deficit 4.1 6.2 5.4 6.0 6.3 7.5 8.3 9.0 8.1 7.8 7.8 8.4 Budget Primary Revenue Monetised Deficit Deficit Deficit Deficit 0.5 2.5 1.1 0.0 1.8 4.3 1.5 2.6 0.9 3.4 0.2 2.0 0.9 3.8 0.7 1.9 0.7 4.0 1.2 1.9 1.6 5.0 1.8 2.6 2.0 5.5 2.2 2.4 2.8 5.8 2.7 2.4 1.7 4.7 2.7 2.0 1.4 4.2 2.7 1.6 2.3 3.9 2.6 3.1 2.1 4.4 3.5 2.8 Source: Economic Survey, 1992-93, Government of India

A significant factor was governments non-plan expenditure and an inefficient interest payment system. Again the gulf war of 1990 brought the nation to the brink of international debt. There were huge net outflows of NRI deposits from October 1990 and continued till mid 1991.

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RBI adopted sharp contractionary measures and had taken huge amounts from International Monetary Fund in July, 1990 and January, 1991 amounting to $2.4 billion.

Foreign Exchange Reserves were reduces $ 1 Billion which could support only two weeks imports. Inflation was staring at 14% On July6, 1991 47 tons of gold were transferred from RBI to Bank of England, London. Already 20 tons of gold were sold in International market through State Bank of India.

When India turned to IMF and World Bank for further support, they showed concerns over returns on State owned enterprises and budgetary support provided to them. It was then a decision was taken in July, 1991 to bring about macroeconomic stabilisation and structural reforms of industrial and trade policy.

TIMELINE:
In February, 1991 the Department of Economic Affairs submitted a paper to Cabinet Committee on Political Affairs (CCPA) to approve the government intentions to disinvest up to 20% of its equity in selected public sector undertakings. The disinvestment announcement was made on 4March, 1991 during the interim budget session for 1991-92 under the Chandrashekhar government. The Policy of disinvestment has evolved over the years. This period can be broadly divided into 4 phases.

The first phase being 1991-92 to 1995-96 where partial disinvestment was taken in piecemeal manner. Second Phase 1996-97 to 1997-98, an effort to institutionalize the disinvestment process was undertaken on a firm footing by constituting the Disinvestment Commission.

The third Phase 198-98-99 to 2007-08 where Department of Disinvestment (Now a Ministry) and National investment fund was formed to look after the disinvestment process and the funds generated from it.

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Fourth phase, the Current one where government is planning to sell its stake in NTPCL, SJVNL, RECL and NMDCL.

PHASE 1 (1991-92 TO 1995-96):


Phase one Started when Chandrashekhar government, while presenting the interim budget for the year 1991-92 declared disinvestment up to 20%.The objective was to broad-base equity, improve management, enhance availability of resources for these PSEs and yield resources for exchequer.

INDUSTRIES RESERVED FOR PUBLIC SECTOR PRIOR TO 1991


1. Arms and Ammunition and allied items of defence equipment.

2. Atomic energy. 3. Iron and steel. 4. Heavy castings and forgings of iron and steel. 5. Heavy plant and machinery required for iron and steel production, for mining. 6. Heavy electrical plants. 7. Coal and lignite. 8. Minerals oils. 9. Mining of iron ore, manganese ore, chrome ore, gypsum. 10. Mining and processing copper, lead, zinc, tin. 11. Minerals specified in the Schedule to the Atomic Energy. 12. Aircraft. 13. Air transport. 14. Rail transport. 15. Ship building.
16. Telephones, Telephone cables, Telegraph and Wireless apparatus (excluding radio

receiving sets).
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17. Generation and distribution of electricity. The Industrial Policy Statement of 24th July 1991 stated that the government would divest part of its holdings in selected PSEs, but did not place any cap on the extent of disinvestment. Nor did it restrict disinvestment in favour of any particular class of investors. During this Phase the sole was to generate revenue without following any objective seriously.

INDUSTRIES RESERVED FOR PUBLIC SECTOR AFTER JULY, 1991


1. Arms and Ammunition and allied items of defence equipment, aircraft and warship. 2. Atomic Energy. 3. Coal and Lignite. 4. Mineral Oils. 5. Mining of iron ore, manganese ore, chrome ore, gypsum, sulphur, gold and diamond. 6. Mining of copper, lead, zinc, tin, molybdenum and wolfram.
7. Minerals specified in the schedule to Atomic Energy Order, 1953.

8. Railway Transport.

RANGARAJAN COMMITTEE 1992-1993


The government reconstituted the committee which it formed in February 1992 to institutionalize the disinvestment process. The committee included Dr. C. Rangarajan, the then Member Planning commission as chairman and Dr. Y. Venugopal Reddy as Member Secretary. The committee gave its report on April, 1993. The Highlights of the committee report are as follows: 1. 49% of equity could be divested for industries explicitly reserved for the public sector 2. In exceptional cases the public ownership level could be kept at26%. 3. In all other cases it recommended 100 per cent divestment of Government stake. 4. Holding 51% or more equity by the Government was recommended only for six Schedule industries, namely:

Coal and lignite Mineral oils Arms, ammunition and defence equipment
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Atomic energy Radioactive minerals Railway transport

DISINVESTMENT IN 1991-92:
A steering Committee was formed for selection of PSEs for disinvestments. The Department of Public Enterprises (DPE) coordinated all activities under the Ministry of Industry.
A)

FIRST TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (DECEMBER, 1991):

Out of 244 public enterprises 41 were selected, but 10 were dropped on the grounds of being consultancy firms, negative asset value or they incurred losses in previous financial year. The Remaining 31 were grouped into 3 categories Very Good, Good and Average on the basis of net assets value per share vis-a-vis face value of Rs10 as on March,1991. The total value of equity in each basket was Rs50 million. Bids were invited from 10 financial institutions/ mutual funds which consisted of 825 bundles each consisting of 9 PSEs. A total of 710 bids for 533 bundles were received from 9 mutual funds/ institutions and 406 bundles for a total value of Rs14.2billion were sold. Unit Trust of India was the major purchaser accounting for Rs. 7.75 billion of the sale.
B)

SECOND TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (FEBRUARY, 1992):

In second tranche DPE asked ICICI to evaluate and advice issue price equity of selected PSEs. A List of 16 PSEs was prepared and shares were grouped into 120 bundles as before. The reserve price fixed per bundle was Rs 10.08 crore. Bids were invited from 36 institutions and banks. A total of Rs. 1611 crore were realised with Unit Trust of India again being the major purchaser. The Shares of Metal Scrap Trading Corporation remained unsold. Details of the PSEs Divested in 1991-92
Name of the Enterprise Andrew Yule (AY) Bharat Earth Movers Ltd. (BEML) FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV No. Of Shares(in crore) 0.1015 0.6000 % of Disinvestment 9.60 20.00 Page 28

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Bharat Electronic Limited (BEL) Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) Bongaigaon Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd. (BRPL) Cochin Refineries Ltd. (CRL) Computer Maintenance Corporation (CMC) Dredging Corporation of India Ltd. (DCI) Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd. (FACT) Hindustan Machine Tools Ltd. (HMT) Hindustan Organic Chemicals Ltd. (HOCL) Hindustan Petroleum Corp. Ltd. (HPCL) Hindustan Photo Films Mfg. Co. Ltd. (HPF) Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (HZL) Hindustan Cables Ltd. (HCL) Indian Petrochemical Corp. Ltd. (IPCL) Indian Railway Construction, Co. Ltd. (IRCON) Indian Telephone Industries Ltd. (ITI) Madras Refineries Ltd. (MRL) Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. (MTNL) Minerals & Metals Trading Corp. (MMTC) National Aluminium co. Ltd. (NALCO) National Fertilizers Ltd. Neyveli Lignite Corp. Ltd. (NLC) Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Ltd. (RCFL) Shipping Corp. Of India Ltd. (SCI) State Trading Corp. Of India Ltd. (STC) Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (VSNL) Total FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV 1.6000 4.8952 1.0000 3.9961 0.4219 0.2528 0.0402 0.5232 0.4268 0.9870 1.2768 1.9190 8.0746 0.1669 3.7200 0.0013 1.7538 1.9316 12.0000 0.0334 3.5100 1.1163 7.1791 3.1136 5.2246 0.2393 19.9075 1.2000 87.2125 Page 29 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 10.01 16.69 1.44 1.54 5.43 20.00 20.00 16.05 20.00 3.64 20.00 0.27 20.00 20.00 20.00 0.67 2.72 2.28 5.00 5.64 20.00 7.98 5.00 20.00

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Source: percentage disinvested from Public Enterprises Survey, 1995-96, VOL- I and number of shares disinvested is from Public Accounts Committee 1993-94, 75th report, 10th Lok Sabha.

The Narasimha Rao Government kick started this phase with small lots of disinvestment of shares in 47 companies, a record. A sum of Rs 3,038 Crore was generated against a target of Rs 2,500 Crore making 1991-92 one of only three years in the last 13 when actual disinvestments receipts exceeded the target.

DISINVESTMENT IN 1992-93:
As per the budget of 1992-93 Rs. 3500 crore were to be raised by disinvestment during the year. Out of this Rs. 1000 crore was meant for National Renewal Fund (NRF) which was set up in February, 1992 to protect the interest of workers and provide a social safety net for labour.
A)

FIRST TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (OCTOBER, 1992):

In this phase auctioning of shares on individual PSE basis was done. Tenders were invited for a total of 8 PSEs. The minimum bid limit was set at Rs. 2.5 crore. The minimum reserve price was fixed on the basis of recommendations from merchant bankers like ICICI, IDBI and SBCM (State Bank of Capital Market) The average of their prices was set as the Upset Price. A total of 12.87 crore shares were sold for a value of Rs 681.95 crore with 286 bids being received.

Details of the PSEs Divested in October, 1992


Name of the Enterprise Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) Hindustan Petroleum Corp. Ltd. (HPCL) FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV No. Of Shares Sold(in crore) % of Total number of shares of the PSE

Amount of Sale(in Rs Crore) 169.53 178.10


Page 30

0.2500 0.3192

5.00 5.00

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (HZL) Hindustan Machine Tools Ltd. (HMT) National Aluminium co. Ltd. (NALCO) Neyveli Lignite Corp. Ltd. (NLC) Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (RCFL) Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) Total Source: Public Enterprise Survey, 1995-96, VOL-I
B)

1.0416 0.3928 6.4431 1.4969 0.8685 2.0567 12.8688

2.58 5.00 5.00 1.04 1.57 0.52

44.33 21.98 124.13 35.03 26.36 82.49 681.95

SECOND TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (DECEMBER, 1992):

In November, 1992 the government invited bids for the purchase of 46.27 crore shares of 14 PSEs. The minimum bid limit was reduced to Rs 1 crore from Rs 2.5 crore. The criterion was kept same as in first tranche. A total of 225 bids were received and 31.06 crore shares of 12 PSEs were sold at a total amount of Rs 1183.83 crore. Details of the PSEs Divested in October, 1992
No. Of Shares Sold(in crore) % of Total number of shares of the PSE

Name of the Enterprise

Amount of Sale(in Rs Crore) 161.65 42.18 1.30 153.75 36.47 10.78 118.19 0.72 34.94
Page 31

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd. (BRPL) Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd. (FACT) Hindustan Petroleum Corp. Ltd. (HPCL) Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (HZL) Indian Telephone Industries Ltd. (ITI) National Aluminium co. Ltd. (NALCO) National Fertilizers Ltd. Neyveli Lignite Corp. Ltd. (NLC)

0.2500 1.00 0.05 0.32 1.03 0.10 6.44 0.03 1.73

5.00 5.00 0.15 5.00 2.54 1.14 5.00 0.06 1.20

FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (RCFL) State Trading Corp. Of India Ltd. (STC) Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) Total Source: Public Enterprise Survey, 1995-96, VOL-I
B)

0.15 0.03 19.93 31.06

0.28 0.10 5.00

4.00 2.25 617.60 1183.83

THIRD TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (MARCH, 1993):

Shares of 15 PSEs were offered for sale thorough auction. Out of 192 bids which were received, 57 bids emerged successful on the basis of the reserve prices fixed by the core group based on the recommendations of the merchant bankers. A total amount of Rs 46.73 crore was realised through sale of 1.0096 crore shares of 9 PSEs. PSE Disinvested in March, 1993
No of shares sold (in crore) Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd Hindustan Copper Ltd Hindustan Zinc Ltd Hindustan Machine Tools Ltd Indian Telephone Industries Ltd National Aluminium Company Ltd National Mineral Development Corp. Ltd Neyveli Lignite Corp Ltd Total 0.1117 0.0800 0.3411 0.0300 0.0300 0.0700 0.1023 0.2140 0.0305 1.0096 % of total no of shares of the PSE 0.45 0.40 1.12 0.07 0.34 0.79 0.08 1.59 0.02 Amount of sale (in Rs crore) 8.21 3.22 8.07 0.75 1.41 4.85 1.88 17.88 0.46 46.73

Name of the enterprise

Source: Enterprise-wise details regarding number of shares and amount realised obtained by author from Department of Public Enterprises, Percentages of equity disinvested worked out by author based on paid up equity. Amount realised from divestment in 1992 93 FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV Page 32

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Month Oct 92 Dec 92 Mar 93 Total No of PSE disinvested 8 12 9 16 No of shares sold (in crore) 12.87 31.06 1.01 44.94 Amount realised (in crore) 681.95 1183.83 46.73 1912.51

Thus a total of 1912.51 crore was realised during 1992-93 against the target of Rs 2500 crore.

DISINVESTMENT IN 1993-94:
The target during this fiscal year was kept at Rs 3500 crore but the government could not go in for further sale of shares due to unfavourable stock market conditions through 1993-94.

DISINVESTMENT IN 1994-95:
No divestment of PSE shares took place during 1993-94 due to adverse market conditions. In spite of this an advertisement for sale of shares in some PSEs was released in March 1994. Actual realisation of funds took place from this round of divestment took place in 1994-95. Changes effected in the procedure to encourage divestment are:
A)

Bidding amount was lowered from Rs 1,00,000 to Rs 25,000 or value of 100 shares(whichever higher) Registered FIIs were permitted for auction of PSE shares.

FIRST TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (MARCH APRIL 1994):

Considering the stock market conditions, Government evaluating the recommendations of two merchant bankers Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India, and Industrial Development Bank of India fixed the minimum price to off-load shares of 7 PSE in March 1994.Out of these 7 PSE, only 1 PSE was not sold as no bid had been received. PSE Divested in March/April, 1994

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Name of the enterprise Bharat Electronics Limited Bharat Earth Movers Ltd Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd National Aluminium Company Ltd. No. Of shares sold (in crore) 0.331 0.150 2.692 0.447 7.694 0.003 % of total number of shares of the PSE 4.14 4.07 11.74 7.00 12.82 0.04 Amount of sale (Rs in crore) 47.17 48.27 301.34 563.11 1322.17 0.096

Total 11.317 2282.156 Source: Details of total number of shares sold and amount realised as per Public Enterprises Survey, 1995-96, VOL-I Percentage of equity disinvested worked out by author based on paid-up equity.
B)

SECOND TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (OCTOBER 1994):

Notice inviting tenders was issued in October 1994 for sale of shares in seven PSEs. Shares were not sold for MTNL as there was no bid. Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) and Overseas Corporate Bodies (OCBs) were permitted to bid for the shares for the first time. PSE Divested in October, 1994
No of shares sold (in crore) 1.299 1.443 0.007 0.686 0.372 0.387 % of total no of shares of the PSE 20.00 3.77 0.01 2.00 0.41 1.37 Amount of sale (in crore) 99.71 1028.11 0.28 1051.52 22.66 28.08

Name of the Enterprise Container Corporation of India Indian Oil Corporation National Fertilizers Ltd. Oil and Natural Gas Co Ltd Steel Authority of India Shipping Corporation of India Ltd.

Total 4.194 2230.36 Source: Details of total number of shares sold and amount realised as per Public Enterprise Survey, 1995-96, VOL-I. Percentage of equity disinvested worked out by author based on paid up equity.
C)

THIRD TRANCHE OF DISINVESTMENT (JANUARY 1995):


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In January 1995 shares of 6 PSEs were offered for sale. Out of 556 bids received, 209 were accepted in respect to 5 companies and government decided not to sell shares in VSNL. PSE Divested in January, 1995
Name of the enterprise Engineers India Ltd Gas Authority of India Ltd ITDC Indian Oil Corporation Limited Kudremukh Iron Ore Company Ltd Total No of shares sold (in crore) 0.108 2.853 0.675 0.008 0.616 4.260 % of Total no of shares of the PSE 5.99 3.37 10.00 0.03 0.97 Amount of sale (in Rs crore) 67.526 194.120 51.985 5.538 11.399 330.568

Source: Details of number of shares sold and amount realised as per Public Enterprises Survey, 199596, VOL-I. Percentage disinvested worked out by author on the basis of paid-up equity.

Month March/April 1994 October 1994 January 1995 Total

No of PSEs Disinvested 6 6 5 17

No of shares sold (in crore) 11.317 4.194 4.260 19.771

Amount realised (in crore) 2282.156 2230.360 330.568 4843.084

DISINVESTMENT IN 1995 1996:


Against the target of Rs 7000 crore, the government decided to disinvest from only 4 PSEs MTNL, SAIL, CONCOR and ONGC in October 1995. Details are: PSE Divested in October, 1995
Name of the enterprise No of shares sold (In crore) Amount realised (in crore) Page 35

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Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL) Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) Container Corp of India Ltd (CONCOR) Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd (ONGC) Total Note: All these PSEs were partially disinvested earlier also. Source: Public Enterprises Survey, 1995-96, VOL-I. 0.87 0.44 0.20 0.02 1.53 135.90 13.30 14.12 5.16 168.48

In addition, shares of Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) were disinvested during the year and an amount of Rs 193 crore was realised. Although Public Enterprises Survey does not reflect this amount but Ministry of Finance takes this into account. So the total disinvestment receipts for the year was Rs 362 crore (Rs. 168.48 crore from disinvestment in 4 PSEs plus Rs 193 crore from disinvestment in IDBI).

PHASE II (1996-97 TO 1997-98):


DISINVESTMENT COMMISSION:
The government constituted Public Sector Disinvestment Commission under G. V. Ramakrishna on 23 August, 1996 for a period of 3 years with the objective of preparing an over-all long term disinvestment programme for public sector undertakings. The main terms of reference were: A comprehensive overall long-term disinvestment programme (extent of disinvestment, mode of disinvestment etc.) within 5-10 years for the PSUs referred to it by the Core Group.

To select the financial advisors for specified PSUs to facilitate the disinvestment process. To monitor the progress of disinvestment process and take necessary measures and report periodically to the Government. The core group industries-telecommunications, power, petroleum etc that are capital-intensive and where the market structure could be an oligopoly.

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By December 1997, the commission had given six reports which included recommendations in 34 enterprises. The commission also showed concern about slow progress in implementation of its recommendations and it was particularly critical of governments going ahead with strategic sales leading to joint ventures in some PSEs not referred to the commission. However its power was axed later by the government. Out of 72 companies referred to it the commission gave its recommendations on 58 PSEs and finally the commission lapsed on 30 November, 1999.

REVIEW OF THE RECOMMENDATION GIVEN BY THE DISINVESTMENT COMMISSION:


The disinvestment Commission did not follow an ideological approach. It examined each PSE and classified it as strategic and non-strategic. Strategic units are those engaged in defence and security related production. In such companies the government holding could be maintained at 100%. The non-strategic were classified as core or non-core. The classification of PSE into core and non-core was made by taking into account the structure of the industry, the competitiveness of the market in which it operates its market share and the public purpose served by it. The commission opined that the core group is one which is capital intensive and there is tendency towards oligopolistic market structure. Examples were telecom, power generation and transmission, petroleum exploration and refining industries. The commission recommended disinvestment up to 49% in core area. Non-core areas were those in which private investments had grown considerably and markets were fully contestable. The commission suggested disinvestment up to 74% in non core areas. Classification of Enterprises as Core and Non-Core by Disinvestment Commission
Industry (Core) Petroleum Steel Minerals and metals No 3 1 2 Public Sector Enterprises Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd (ONGC) Oil India Ltd (OIL) Gas Authority of India Ltd (GAIL) Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) National Aluminium Company Ltd (NALCO) National Mineral Development Corp (NMDC) Page 37

FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


Transport services Ind. Dev. And Tech. Consultancy services Coal and Lignite Power Telecommunication Total 2 2 1 2 1 14 Air India (AI) Container Corporation of India Ltd (CONCOR) Rail India Technical and Economic Services Ltd. (RITES) Power Grid Corp of India Ltd (POWERGRID) Neyveli Lignite Corp Ltd (NLC) National Thermal Power Corp (NTPC) National Hydro Electric Power Corp. (NHPC) Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.(MTNL)

Industry (Non-Core) Petroleum Steel

No 2 2

Public Service Enterprises Bongaigaon Refineries and Petro Chemicals Ltd (BRPL) IBP Ltd Sponge Irol India (SIIL) Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd (RINL) Hindustan Zinc Ltd (HZL) Hindustan Copper Ltd (HCL) Bharat Aluminium Co (BALCO) Kudremukh Iron Ore Co Ltd (KIOCL) Manganese Ore India Ltd (MOIL) Pawan Hans Helicopters Ltd (PHL) Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) Engineers India Ltd (EIL) Engineering Projects (I) Ltd (EPIL) Metallurgical and Engg Consultants (India) Ltd. (MECON) Indian Petrochemicals Corp Ltd (IPCL) Hindustan Insecticides (HIL) Hindustan Organic Chemicals Ltd (HOCL) Fertilizers and Chemicals (Travancore) Ltd (FACT) National Fertilizers Ltd (NFL) Madras Fertilizers Ltd (MFL) Pyrites, Phosphates and Chemicals Ltd (PPCL) Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Ltd (RCFL) Paradeep Phosphates Ltd (PPL)

Mineral and Metals

Transportation services

Ind Dev and Tech consultancy services

Chemicals and pharmaceuticals

Fertilizer

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Medium and Light Engineering Heavy Engineering 3 1 Hindustan Teleprinters (HTL) Indian Telephone Industries (ITI) Central Electronics Ltd. (CEL) Bharat Heavy Electronics Ltd (BHEL) Indian Tourism Dvp Corp (ITDC) Hotel Corp of India Ltd (HCIL) Ranchi Ashok, Utkal Ashok Hindustan Latex Ltd (HLL) Modern Food Industries Ltd (MFIL) Hindustan Vegetable Oils Ltd (HVOC) North Eastern Papers (NEPA Ltd) Rehabilitation Industries Corp Ltd (RICL) Electronic Trade and Technology Devp Corp (ET&T) State Trading Corp (STC) Minerals and Metals Trading Corp (MMTC) Projects and Equipments Corp (PEC) Metal Scrap Trading Corp (MSTC) Hindustan Prefab Ltd (HPL) Hindustan Steel Works Construction (HSCL) Mineral Exploration Corp Ltd (MECL)

Tourist Services

Consumer goods

Trading and Marketing Services

Contract and construction services

Total (Non-Core) 44 Grand Total 58 Source: Disinvestment Commission Reports

Disinvestment Modalities Recommended by the Disinvestment Commission Modalities of Disinvestment No of PSEs Name of PSEs

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Involving change in ownership/management Strategic sale 31 HTL, ITI, BALCO, BRPL, KIOCL, MFL, EIL, HPL, IBP, NEPA, HZL, PPCL, NFL, FACT, IPCL, HCL, SCO, HLL, AI, HSCL, STC, MMTC, PPL, MECON, BHEL, Hindustan Insecticides, HOCL, RCFL, RINL, NLC, MOIL

ITDC, MFIL, HCIL, R-Ashok U-Ashok, PHL, SIIL, MSTC Trade sale 8

Involving no change in ownership/management Offer of shares 6 8 4 1 58 GAIL, CONCOR, MTNL, NALCO, NMDC, RITES OIL, ONGC, NTPC, NHPC, POWERGRID, SAIL, CEL, MECL EPIL, ET&T, HVOC, RICL PEC

No change disinvestment deferred Closure/sale of assets Management employee buyout/strategic sale/closure Total

Source: Disinvestment Commission Reports (1 to 13)

DISINVESTMENT IN 1996-97
In 1996-97 a target of Rs. 5000 crore was fixed for mobilization of resources through disinvestment of PSE shares. In order to do this, companies from petroleum and communication sectors were chosen namely IOC and VSNL. But due to unfavourable market conditions the GDR of only VSNL could be issued. In the GDR, 39 lakh shares of VSNL were disinvested resulting in an amount of Rs 380 crore.

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Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


DISINVESTMENT IN 1997-98
The budget for 1997-98 had taken a credit for an amount of Rs 4800 crore to be realised from disinvestment of government held equity in PSEs. This was supposed to be achieved by the disinvestment of MTNL, GAIL, CONCOR and IOC.. A GDR of 40 million shares held by the government in MTNL was offered in international market in November, 1997. A total of Rs. 902 crore was collected but due to highly unfavourable market conditions the GDR issue of GAIL, CONCOR, and IOC was deferred.

PHASE III (1998-99 TO 2007-2008)


This phase marked a paradigm shift in the disinvestment process. First in the 1998 99 budgets BJP government decided to bring down the government shareholding in the PSEs to 26 %to facilitate ownership changes which were recommended by Disinvestment Commission. In 1999 2000 government state that its policy would be to strengthen strategic PSEs privatise non-strategic PSEs through disinvestment and for the first time the term privatisation were used instead of disinvestment. The government later formed the Department of Disinvestment on 10 December 1999. The following criteria were observed for prioritisation for disinvestment: Where disinvestments in PSEs would lead to large revenues to the government Where disinvestment can be implemented with minimum impediments and in relatively shorter time span; and Where continued bleeding of government resources can be stopped earlier.

DIVESTMENT IN 1998 99:


The government decided to disinvest through offer of shares in GAIL, VSNL, CONCOR, IOC and ONGC. The budget for 1998 99 had taken a credit for Rs 5,000 crore to be realised through disinvestment. The details of the various transactions are: PSEs Disinvested in 1998 - 99
Name of the Enterprise Mode of Disinvestment No of shares sold (in crore) Receipts (in crore)

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CONCOR Domestic issue 0.9000 3.0610 GAIL Divested/sold to institutional investors Cross holding by ONGC Cross holding by IOC 221.65 181.78

4.0840 4.0840

245.04 245.04 1208.96 2034.96 450.00 783.68 5371.11

IOC ONGC VSNL Total

Cross holding by ONGC Cross holding by IOC Cross holding by GAIL GDR issue

3.1272 12.5349 2.7719 1.0000 31.5630

Note: All these PSEs were partially disinvested earlier also Source: Public Enterprises Survey, 1998 99, VOL-I gives total amount realised as Rs 5,371 crore. Enterprise-wise details are obtained from Ministry of Disinvestment

DISINVESTMENT IN 1999 -2000:


The budget for 1999 2000 had taken a credit for Rs 10,000 crore to be realised through disinvestment. The government disinvested from Modern Foods India Ltd and did a strategic sale to their strategic partner HLL for Rs 105, 45 crore for a 74 % equity stake. This was the first time government had sold more than 50 % holding. Further government adopted the following ways to raise money through disinvestment: Disinvestment in 1999 -2000
Name of the enterprise GAIL IOC Mode of disinvestment No of shares sold (in crore) GDR issue Cross holding by ONGC 13.5000 0.4212 Receipts (in crore) 945.00 162.79

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ONGC VSNL Modern Food Industries Ltd Total Cross holding by IOC Cross holding by GAIL Domestic Market Strategic sale of 74 % equity 1.1718 0.6548 0.1000 0.0920 15.9398 190.19 106.29 75.00 94.51 1573.78

Note: Other than MFIL, all other enterprises were partially disinvested earlier also. Source: Enterprise wise details obtained from Ministry of Disinvestment.

DISINVESTMENT IN 2000 -2001:


Against a target of 10,000 crore, the government realised Rs 1868.73 crore. The details are: Disinvestment in 2000 2001
Name of the enterprise BALCO BRPL and Chennai Refineries Kochi Refinery Total Mode of Disinvestment Strategic sale of 51% Taken over by IOC Taken over by BPCL Receipts (in crore) 551.50 658.13 659.10 1868.73

Note: Other than BALCO, all other enterprises were partially disinvested earlier also. Source: Ministry of Disinvestment

DISINVESTMENT IN 2001 2002:


Against a target of 12,000 crore, the government realised Rs 3130.94 crore during the year. The highlight of this disinvestment was that strategic sales were affected in CMC, HTL, IBP, VSNL and PPL. The details are: Disinvestment in 2001 2002
Name of the Enterprise CMC HTL Mode of Disinvestment Strategic sale of 51 % Strategic sale of 74 % Receipts (in crore) 152.00 55.00 Page 43

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Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story

IBP VSNL PPL ITDC Total

Strategic sale of 33.58 % Strategic sale of 25 % Strategic sale of 74 % Sale of 8 hotels and long term lease of one hotel

1153.68 1439.00 151.70 179.56 3130.94

Note: Out of these six PSEs, three CMC, VSNL and ITDC were partially disinvested earlier also. Source: Ministry of Disinvestment website

DISINVESTMENT IN 2002 2003:


Target of the government for disinvestment in the year was Rs 12,000 crore. The major highlight was the two-stage sell off in Maruti Udyog Ltd with a Rs 400 crore right issue at a price of Rs 3280 per share of Rs 100 each in which the government renounced whole of its rights share (6,06,585) to Suzuki, for a control premium of Rs 1000 crore. Relative share holding of Suzuki and government after completion of the rights issue was 54.20 % and 45.54 % respectively. The second stage government offloaded its holding in two tranches first where government sold 27.5 % of its equity through IPO in June 2003. The issue was oversubscribed by over 10 times. Later keeping in view the overwhelming response from sale of Maruti, government sold its remaining shares in the privatised companies of VSNL, CMC, IPCL, BALCO and IBP to public through IPOs. Strategic sale of IPCL was also finalised in May 2002. The decision to disinvest IPCL was although taken in December 1998, it took three and half years to finalise the deal. Reliance Petro industries Ltd (Reliance group) was finally inducted as a strategic partner with a 26 % sale in IPCL. The details of the disinvestment during 2002 2003 are:
Disinvestment in 2002 2003 Name of the Enterprise Mode of Disinvestment Strategic sale of 26 % 1.46 % equity disinvested in favour of employees Receipts (in crore) 445.00 6.18 1000.00 Page 44

HZL Maruti Udyog Ltd FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV

Control premium for sell off to Suzuki

Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story

IPCL ITDC MFIL CMC Total

Strategic sale of 26 % Sale of 10 properties Residual sale of 26 % equity 6.06 % equity disinvested in favour of employees

1491.00 272.81 44.08 6.07 3265.17

Note: Other than Maruti Udyog Ltd, other PSEs were partially disinvested earlier. Source: Ministry of Disinvestment reply to Lok Sabha. Unstarred question no. 1351 answered on 26 Feb 2003.

From a summary of the Disinvestment from 1991-92 to 2002-2003 we can know what targets were set by the government and how much was realised. Also the various companies from which the government has disinvested are mentioned.

DISINVESTMENT FROM 2003 2004 TO 2007 - 08:


The government had fixed a high target for the year 2003 04 as 14,500 crore. The strategic sale of JCL, and offer sales of many PSEs like MUL, IBP, IPCL, CMC, DCI, GAIL and ONGC has exceeded the target fixed by the government to a total receipt of Rs 15,547.41 crore. Out of this Rs 12,741.62 crore receipts through sale of minority shareholding in CPSEs. In 2004 05 the target was reduced to Rs 4,000 crore and share sales of NTPC, ONGC spillovers and IPCL shares to employees pushed the total receipts to Rs 2,764.87 crore. In the other 3 years of this phase from 2005 06 till 2007 2008 the government fixed no targets and the total receipts were very less to with the year 2006 07 yielding no receipts at all.

NATIONAL INVESTMENT FUND


On 27th January 2005, the Government had decided to constitute a National Investment Fund (NIF) into which the realisation from sale of minority shareholding of the Government in profitable CPSEs would be channelised. The Fund would be maintained outside the Consolidated Fund of India. The income from the Fund would be used for the following broad investment objectives: -

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(a) Investment in social sector projects which promote education, health care and employment; (b) Capital investment in selected profitable and revivable Public Sector Enterprises that

yield adequate returns in order to enlarge their capital base to finance expansion/ diversification.

SALIENT FEATURES OF NIF:


(i) The proceeds from disinvestment of Central Public Sector Enterprises will be channelised into the National Investment Fund which is to be maintained outside the Consolidated Fund of India. (ii) The corpus of the National Investment Fund will be of a permanent nature. (iii) The Fund will be professionally managed to provide sustainable returns to the Government, without depleting the corpus. Selected Public Sector Mutual Funds will be entrusted with the management of the corpus of the Fund. (iv) 75 per cent of the annual income of the Fund will be used to finance selected social sector schemes, which promote education, health and employment. The residual 25 per cent of the annual income of the Fund will be used to meet the capital investment requirements of profitable and revivable CPSEs that yield adequate returns, in order to enlarge their capital base to finance expansion/diversification.

FUND MANAGERS OF NIF:


The following Public Sector Mutual Funds have been appointed initially as Fund Managers to manage the funds of NIF under the discretionary mode of the Portfolio Management Scheme which is governed by SEBI guidelines. i) UTI Assets Management Company Ltd.
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Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


ii) SBI Funds Management Company (Pvt.) Ltd.

iii) Jeevan Bima Sahayog, Asset Management Company Ltd.

CORPUS OF NIF:
The corpus of the Fund is Rs.1814.45 crore being the proceeds from the disinvestment in Power Grid Corporation and Rural Electrification Corporation. The pay out on NIF was Rs.84.81 crores in the first year. The payout received in the second year was Rs.209.24 crores. Average income of first year was 8.47%. Average income of second year was 10.02%. Thus, the average income was 9.245% against the hurdle rate of 9.25%.

RESTRUCTURING OF NIF:
In view of the deceleration of GDP growth due to global economic downturn coupled with unprecedented drought this summer, we are facing a reduced budgetary resource generation possibility. To ensure that this does not negatively impact the growth of economy; Government has approved (on 5th November, 2009) one-time exemption permitting full utilization of disinvestment proceeds deposited in the National Investment Fund, over this and the next two Financial Years, in meeting the capital expenditure requirements of selected social sector programmes decided by the Planning Commission/Department of Expenditure. The status quo ante will be restored from April 2012.

PHASE IV (Current Scenario)


THE LINE-UP FOR DISINVESTMENT

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It is quite clear that the Government does have divestment of its stakes in PSUs high on its agenda for the near future. Which companies are likely candidates? Heres a line-up: The IPOs that may flag off the divestment process may well be NHPC, RITES and Oil India, which have already filed their respective draft prospectuses with SEBI over the past two years. NHPC: NHPC is the countrys largest hydro power generator, engaged in planning, development and implementation of hydro-electric projects. Based on the offer document, the government stake will come down to 86.3 per cent post-issue. The earnings per share (EPS) for the FY09 is Rs 1.01.

RITES: RITES, under the Ministry of Railways, provides transport infrastructure


consultancy, engineering and project management services. The PSU plans a fresh issue, bundled with an offer for sale that may bring down the Governments stake to 72 per cent. The book value/share and EPS for the year ended FY07 were Rs 133 and Rs 30 respectively.
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OIL India: Oil India is engaged in the exploration, development, production and
transportation of crude oil and natural gas onshore. The company comes under Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. The Centres stake will fall to 89 per cent post-issue. The offer document mentions an EPS of Rs 73.6 for the last financial year. Long on the stake sale shortlist, the following PSUs are possible candidates which may seek listing through an IPO/offer for sale route.

Coal India is among the largest coal-producing companies in the world and is the only unlisted navaratna PSU (except for HAL, which comes under strategic area). CIL had a turnover of Rs 38631 crore in 2007-08. It is expected to hit the IPO market in near future. Telecom major, BSNL and steel maker, RINL (Vizag steel), Cochin Shipyard, Telecommunications Consultants India and Manganese Ore are the other likely candidates that may tap the market. These entities have been on the divestment shortlist for quite a while.

Stake dilution is also possible in listed PSUs with a high proportion of government
holdings. A 5-10 per cent stake sale in these companies will bring huge gains for the government, even without losing the management control. NMDC, BHEL, NTPC, SAIL, Neyveli Lignite, MMTC, RCF are likely follow-on offer candidates. At current market prices, a 5 per cent stake sale in NTPC would fetch the government around Rs 8,864 crore. In case of Neyveli Lignite, SAIL, BHEL, MMTC and NMDC, the receipts would be around Rs 1,168 crore, Rs 3,570 crore, Rs 5,321 crore, Rs 6,800 crore and Rs 8,900 crore respectively.

Public sector banks that have a high proportion of government holdings are ripe for a
dilution of stake, given their capital needs. While the stake dilution in PSBs will not help the government in terms of receipts, as fresh issues may be needed to bolster the banks capital adequacy requirements, it will save the government equity infusion from time to time.

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Central Bank of India (80 per cent), Canara Bank (73 per cent), Indian Bank (80 per
cent) and Bank of Maharashtra (76 per cent) are banks with high government stake. The unlisted United Bank of India is also considering an IPO in the near future.

Proposal under implementation during 2009-10


i)NTPC Limited:-Government on 19th October 2009, approved disinvestment of 5%
equity of the company out of Government shareholding through Public Offering in the domestic market.

ii)SJVN Limited (Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Limited) -Government on 19th


October 2009 approved disinvestment of 10% equity of the company out of Government shareholding through Public Offering in the domestic market.

iii) Rural Electrification Corporation Limited (REC) - Government on 29th


October 2009, approved disinvestment of 5% equity of the company out of Government shareholding in conjunction with the issue of fresh equity of 15% by the company

iv) NMDC Limited - Government on 3rd December 2009,approved disinvestment of


8.38% paid up equity of NMDC Ltd. out of Government shareholding through Public offering in domestic market. Summary of Disinvestment till 1992 2010
Year Target amount (in crore) 1991 92 2,500 Amount realised (in crore) 3038.00 Enterprises disinvested * Methodology

30 (30)

Minority shares sold by auction method in bundles of very good, good, and average companies. Bundling of shares abandoned. Shares sold separately for each company by auction method. Equity of 7 companies sold by open auction but proceeds received in 1994 Page 50

1992 93

2.500

1912.51

16 (2)

1993 94

3.500

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95 1994 95 4,000 4843.08 16 (7) Sale through auction method, in which NRIs and other persons legally permitted to buy, hold or sell equity. Equities of 4 companies auctioned and government piggy-backed in the IDBI fixed price offering for the fifth company. GDR (VSNL) in international market. GDR (MTNL) in international market GDR (VSNL)/ Domestic offerings with the participation of FIIs (CONCOR, GAIL). Cross purchase by 3 oil sector companies i.e., GAIL, ONGC & IOC. GDR (GAIL) in international market, VSNL domestic issue, cross holding in IOC and ONGC, and strategic sale of MFIL. BALCO, KRL (CRL) & MRL through strategic sale/acquisition Strategic sale of CMC, HTL, IBP, VSNL and PPL. Sale of eight hotels and long term lease of one hotel of ITDC. Strategic sale of HZL, IPCL, Maruti Udyog Ltd. Sale of 10 properties of ITDC and residual equity of MFIL. Strategic sale of JCL, call option of HZL, offer for sale of MUL, IBP, IPCL, CMC, DCI, GAIL, and ONGC; sale of share of ICI Ltd. Offer sale of NTPC and spillover of ONGC; sale of shares to IPCL employees. Sale of MUL shares to Indian Public Sector financial institutions and banks and employees.

1995 96

7,000

362.00

4 (-)

1996 97 1997 98 1998 99

5,000 4,800 5,000

380.00 902.00 5371.11

1 (-) 1 (-) 5 (-)

1999 00

10,000

1573.78

5 (1)

2000 01 2001 02

10,000 12,000

1868.73 3130.94

3 (1) 6 (3)

2002 03

12,000

3265.14

5 (1)

2003 - 04

14,500

15,547

10

2004 - 05

4,000

2,764.87

2005 - 06

No target fixed

1,569.68

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2006 - 07 2007 - 08 No target fixed No target fixed No target fixed No target fixed 2,366.94 1 Sale of MUL shares to public sector financial institutions, public sector banks, and Indian mutual funds. (Rs.2012.85

2008-09 2009-2010 Total

4,259.90 --

- NHPC and Rs.2247.05 -

OIL) (60)

37,803.46

Note: *Enterprises disinvested for the first time given in brackets. * Out of Rs.5371.11, Rs. 4184 crore constitute receipts from cross purchase of shares of ONGC, GAIL and IOC. ** Out of Rs.1479.27, Rs.459.27 crore constitutes receipts from cross purchase of shares of ONGC, GAIL and IOC.

CASE STUDIES
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MODERN FOOD INDUSTRIES (INDIA) LIMITED:


Modern Food Industries was incorporated as Modern Bakeries (India) Ltd. in 1965. It had 2042 employees as on31 January, 2000. It went through minor restructuring when its Ujjain plant was closed, the Silchar project was abandoned and the production of Rasika drink was curtailed. The company was referred to Disinvestment Commission in 1996. In February 1997, the Commission recommended 100% sale of the company, treating it in the non-core sector. As per the Disinvestment Commission the major problems at MFIL were underutilization of the production facilities, large work force, low productivity and limited flexibility in decision-making.

PRE DISINVESTMENT SCENARIO:


MFIL: Pre-Disinvestment Performance
Details Sales- Bread Energy food/ Non-Bakery FMG 18 B, GROUP-IV 1995-96 95.0 45.2 1996-97 104.0 62.8 1997-98 103.5 78.0 1998-99 89.0 71.0 1999-2000 78.0 71.0 Page 53

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Operations Total 140.2 166.8 181.5 7.65 160.0 (7.00) 149.0 (48.00) Net Profit/loss 11.52 16.45 Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India

During 1995-96 to 1997-98 MFIL recorded profits as wheat was provided to it at a subsidised rate but once that was withdrawn it started making losses as the increased costs could not be passed on the consumers. Also the high overhead cost of Rs 1.90 per loaf against the industry norm of Rs.0.90 per loaf added to the problem. In September, 1997 the government approved 50% disinvestment of MFIL to strategic partner through competitive global bidding. In October 1998, ANZ investment Bank was appointed as the global advisor for assisting in disinvestment. In January, 1999 the government decided to raise the disinvestment level to 74 % and an advertisement inviting expression of interest from perspective strategic partners was issued in April, 1999.

DISINVESTMENT PROCESS:
In a response to the advertisement 10 parties submitted Expressions of Interest. Out of these, 4 conducted the due diligence of the company, which included visits to Data Room, interaction with the management of the MFIL, and site visits. In October, 1999 post due diligence, 2 parties remained in the field, and on the last day for submission of the financial bid (15.10.99), the only bid received was that from Hindustan Lever Limited (HLL). Finally in January, 2000, the Government approved the selection of HLL as the strategic partner in and the deal was closed on 31.1.2000.

VALUATION OF MFIL:
The 100% value of MFIL by different methodologies is give below: MFIL: Valuation under different Methods
Valuation Discounted Cash Flow Key Assumption As is Where is& Value (in Rs crore) Negligible

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Growth in Market Share Transaction Multiple Balance Sheet Asset Valuation Market Value of Land & Buildings Sales Multiple Net Worth Liquidation Unrestricted use 32.11 78.55 28.51 68.18 109.00

Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India

Sales realization for 74% equity was Rs. 105.45 crore. This corresponds to Rs. 142.50 crore for sale of 100% equity. The agreement with HLL provided for post-closing adjustments difference between net working capital as on 31st, March, 1999 and net working capital on closing date 31st January, 1999 and increase in debt amount on closing date 31st, January, 1999. Due to reduced working capital and increase in debt amount, the government paid back Rs. 10.94 crore. Thu the net realisation was Rs. 94.51 crore for 74% equity.

POST-DISINVESTMENT PROCESS:
MFIL: Post Disinvestment Performance Details Year Sales -Bread Energy Food Total Net Profit / Loss Pre- Disinvestment 1998-1999 89 71 160 (7) 1999-2000 78 71 149 (48) Post-Disinvestment 2000-2001 102 66 168 (20)

Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India

The decline in the sales of Modern Bread, which continued till the beginning of 2000, was arrested. Weekly sales in December 2000 were around 44 lakh SL, which is a 100% increase over the figure of April 2000.

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As on 31.12.2000, HLL has extended secured corporate loans to MFIL to the extent of Rs. 16.5 crore for meeting the requirement of funds for working capital and capital expenditure.HLL has provided a corporate guarantee to MFIL's banker, viz., Punjab National Bank, which has helped the Company in getting the interest rate reduced considerably to the extent of 3-4% of its earlier borrowing cost.

Steps were taken to improve the quality of bread, its packaging and marketing with trade-promotion activities, and to train the manpower in quality control systems. In November, 2002 wages have increased by an average of Rs.1800 per employee. Rs. 30 crore was spent for VRS. Again Rs. 7 crore were infused for safety & hygiene purposes at various manufacturing locations

The Government was also entitled to Put its share of remaining equity of 26 % at Fair Market Value for 2 years from 31st January 01 to 30th January 03. The Government exercised this option and thereby received Rs. 44.07 crore on 28th November 02.

THE FAILURE:
Despite HULs best efforts MFIL continued to make losses, HUL had invested 157 crore in MFILs equity. In 2005, its losses were Rs 15 crore and accumulated losses were Rs 79 crore. At the operating profit level, before interest and depreciation, it did make a profit though of Rs 22 crore compared to a loss of Rs 7 crore in the previous year. Bread sales grew by about 7%. The company suffered as it lost some lucrative government contracts and changed its operational structure. Hence overall sales declined by 35% to Rs 95 crore. However, HUL did enjoy tax benefits as MFIL was a sick industrial unit. The company put MFIL on the block in 2006 but failed to clinch a deal However, HUL still was unsuccessful in turning around the business and due to high employment costs and low margins. As per the company, the culture of MFIL was a complete misfit with its own. The company has committed a mistake while conducting the due diligence process.

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COMPANY PROFILE:
Bharat Aluminium Company Limited, set up in 1965 at Korba in Madhya Pradesh to manufacture aluminium rods and semi-fabricated products, is today the third largest player in the Indian aluminium industry. BALCO has its corporate office in New Delhi. Its main plant and facilities are situated in Korba (Chhattisgarh), which includes bauxite mines, an alumina refinery, a smelter and a fabrication unit, besides a 270 MW power plant which meets a substantial part of the unit's power requirements. It also has another fabrication unit in Bidhanbagh (West Bengal). The refining capacity of BALCO is 2, 00,000 tonnes per year and its smelting capacity is 1, 00,000 tonnes per year. BALCO also curtails a fully built township of over 15,000 acres where over 4,000 families live.

THE DISINVESTMENT DECISION:


The Government of India had 100% stake in BALCO prior to disinvestment. In 1997, the Disinvestment Commission classified BALCO as non-core for the purpose of disinvestment and recommended immediate divestment of 40% of the Government stake to a strategic partner, and reduction of the Government stake to 26% within 2 years through a domestic public offering. It further recommended divestment of the entire remaining stake at an appropriate time thereafter. The Cabinet accepted the recommendation of the Disinvestment Commission for divestment of 40% stake through a strategic sale and further divestment through the capital market. Later, in 1998, the Disinvestment Commission revised its recommendation and advised the Government to consider 51% divestment in favour of a strategic buyer along with transfer of management, which was accepted by the Cabinet. The Government thereupon appointed M/s

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Jardine Fleming as Advisor to assist in the sale of its 51% stake in BALCO to a strategic buyer. This was followed by BALCO's equity being reduced by 50% thereby reducing the subscribed share capital to Rs.244 crore from Rs.488 crore. As a result, the Government received Rs. 244 crore from the capital restructuring of BALCO and another Rs. 31 crore as tax on this amount, prior to disinvestment. The strategic sale process for BALCO started in late 1997, after the first decision of the Government, and finally came to end in 2nd March 2001. The 51% stake was sold to Sterlite Industries, the highest bidder, and fetched the Government Rs. 551.50 crore. The government thus recovered Rs 827.50 crore from this privatization. BALCO: Pre- Disinvestment Performance
Details 1997 - 98

1998 - 99 870.90 68.84 939.80 758.24 181.56 140.64 134.34 76.32 23.00

1999 2000 896.64 70.08 966.72 806.28 160.44 122.01 116.19 55.89 18.00

Sales Other income Total income (1+2) Total expenditure Profit before depreciation, interest & taxes (PBDIT) Profit before interest & taxes (PBIT) Profit before tax (PBT) Profit after tax (PAT) Dividend
Source: Public Enterprises Survey, 1999 2000

848.51 48.10 896.61 714.08 182.53 141.53 134.87 79.84 20.00

VALUATION OF 51% STAKE:


There were three bidders viz the US-based Alcoa and Indian market leader Hindalco and Sterlite. Sterlites financial bid was the highest among the bidders, according to an official release by the government. The company was valued by three different methods:
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Discounted cash flow Comparative valuation Balance sheet and asset valuation
BALCO: Valuation under Different Methods Valuation method Discounted cash flow (DCF) (computers likely earnings in coming years) Comparables (looks at peer group companies) Balance sheet method (looks at net worth from balance sheet) Asset valuation (replacement cost/sale value of assets) Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India. 587.0 to 909.0 597.2 to 681.9 1054.9 to 1072.2 Value (in Rs crore) 651.2 to 994.7

The valuation was applied by the official valuer J P Morgan. The reserve price of Rs 514.40 crore was reached by marking up the valuation, arrived at by using the discounted cash flow (DCF) technique, by 25 per cent, used as the control premium.

SCENARIO POST SALE:


Post sale, a number of doubts have been raised by various quarters on the disinvestment of BALCO, especially with regard to Transparency Valuation Protection of employees interests

No sooner was the BALCO deal announced than it created a furore within and outside Parliament. The opposition raised eyebrows. There was distrust from state government and the workers of BALCO went on a 67 days strike. It seemed as if the Sterlite management had to sweat a lot before it actually got the right over the catch it craved for. This finally came to an end when the new management stroke a deal with the employees. Several new steps were undertaken, some of which are:

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The new management had introduced VRS ie Voluntary Retirement Scheme from 31.07.01 to 16.08.01. 981 applications (151 executives and 830 workers) were received. 694 old VRS applications were pending. A total of 956 applications were accepted mostly where units were lying closed.

In spite of losses of Rs. 200 crore due to the strike, an exgratia payment of Rs. 5000 was made to all employees. Long-term wage agreement for a period of 5 years was entered into/ Workmen get a guaranteed benefit @ 20% of basic pay. An Increase in allowances was also announced: Night shift allowance: Rs.10 to Rs.20 per shift. Canteen allowance: Rs.400 p.m. (instead of subsidised canteen facilities) Education allowance: Rs. 50 to Rs. 75 per month Hostel allowance: Rs.150 to Rs.200 per month Scholarship amount to meritorious children doubled. Leave Travel Assistance of around Rs. 6000 as cash every year. Conveyance allowance: Scooter users Rs. 400 to Rs. 500 pm, Moped users Rs. 240 to Rs. 350 pm, others users Rs. 150 to Rs. 260 pm.

Several new practices introduced. Few were: Job rotation Appraisal system

The new management is proposing an investment of Rs. 6000 crore which will increase production 4 times.

THE REAL PICTURE:


The disinvestment of 51% stake in BALCO by the government of India towards a strategic partner was backed by two justifications:

From a market share of around 17 per cent in 1995-96 in the primary aluminum business, BALCOs share had dropped to 14 per cent in 1998-99. Several reasons were mentioned that were responsible for hindering its growth. They were: Lack of economies of scale

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Old age technology Overstaffing Operational bottlenecks Lack of managerial autonomy Thus, a complete review and restructuring was urgent to enable the company to stand a better chance to stake its claim in the globally competitive Indian aluminium industry. Although there were three bidders, Sterlites financial bid was the highest among the bidders, according to an official release by the government. Intact, government claimed that it was getting a price greater than expected. However, there are certain facts from the other angle that demand attention. The following tries to uncover some of them: Government had no modernisation and expansion under consideration for the aluminium giant: To quote the Disinvestment Commission: "BALCO as a PSU has suffered from procedural bottlenecks and lack of managerial autonomy. The CRM project at Korba has been cleared after eight years with near-doubling of the capital outlay. The company was not able to get clearance from the government for setting up 100% captive power generation. As a result, the company had to depend on high cost power from the State Electricity Board which resulted in avoidable cost increases. The delays and the lack of autonomy have certainly affected its operating profits which would have been much higher had it been able to implement these projects earlier." Thus even the Disinvestment Commission's recommendation that the government should resort to a strategic sale of 40 per cent of BALCO equity can be seen as misplaced. What was required instead was a reorganisation aimed at allowing BALCO the freedom to use its own capacity to mobilise resources to modernise, expand its captive power facility and raise its profitability. In practice, as a prelude to the privatisation process, in March 2000 the subscribed share capital of BALCO was brought down to Rs.244 crore from Rs.488 crore, by

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appropriating part of the Rs.437 crores into the government's account. This was a clear indication that modernisation and expansion was not even under consideration.

BALCO, a profit making PSU, was valued at what is considered a throwaway price:
Cash flows determined by undermining profitability: This also implies that BALCO's profitability has been undermined by the government's own role in stalling modernization and expansion at Korba. Hence, the then profit performance of the unit cannot be the basis on which the future profile of profits could be estimated. However, the tendency for Arun Shourie, the Minister for Disinvestment, to emphasize repeatedly that profits earned by BALCO had fallen from Rs.163 crore in 1996-97 to Rs.25 crore in 2000-01 suggests that this stream of profits has entered into assessments of the future profile of profits that have been discounted to value the worth of the company. This amounts to squeezing the profits of a public sector unit and then using that to undervalue the firm, consciously or otherwise. BALCOs assets were undervalued: It is still being argued that a direct valuation of BALCOs assets was worth around 10 times the value paid by Sterlite. In fact, officials from the power sector have argued that the captive power plant alone would cost more than the sum being paid by Sterlite. According to reports, a senior official held that if Sterlite were to invest in a captive power plant of the kind owned by BALCO, it could cost Rs.1, 215 crore and this figure matters, for the value of the plant at Korba (set up in 1988-89) is still substantial, since a thermal power plant has a lifespan of around 35 years.

BALCO was self-sufficient to fund its projects:


Since BALCO was a profitable and cash-rich public sector corporation with an extremely low debt to equity ratio, it would have been possible for it to finance its proposed modernisation plan (estimated to cost Rs.1, 000 crore) without recourse to
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Disinvestment in India: A Failure Story


budgetary funds. The project was to include the setting up of a cold rolling mill, the expansion of captive power generation and modernisation of existing facilities. This would have allowed the corporation to improve its profitability and increase the dividend it pays to the exchequer.

No transparency in the deal:


The valuation procedure that yielded the undeclared reserve price below which the government was not willing to sell has neither been transparent nor undertaken by qualified valuers capable of valuing the plant and machinery of the company and the bauxite mines that it has on lease. The whole procedure had been gone through in haste. Even though the bids had been invited some time back, the valuation of the firm, the setting of the reserve price and the acceptance of Sterlite's bid were all allegedly done within the span of a month. Leaked evidence of undue haste has accumulated and this further puts a question mark over the government's claims of transparency in the execution of the deal.

TO CONCLUDE:
A combination of inappropriate procedure, undue haste and unwarranted secrecy had created a veritable mess. This was followed by a roar and strike amongst the company workers. There was an opposition from the state government to the extent of throwing an offer to buy the Centres 51 % stake at Rs 5.52 bn. The claims on the lack of transparency are being continued till date. As stated by The Times of India, December 28, 2009, in response to an RTI query filed by advocate Arjun Harkauli, the Central Information Commission (CIC) observed that the tender documents and minutes pertaining to the Rs 551.5-crore divestment of Bharat Aluminium Company (BALCO) in Chhattisgarhs Korba district eight years ago could not be traced by the ministries concerned. BALCO marks the first ever disinvestment deal in the history of India and is stained with several question marks and pointing fingers. The deal certainly did not occur the way it was meant to, did not bring the profits to the extent possible, nor was it intended towards any
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social cause. Corruption and lack of accountability still remain the two worms eating away the Indian economy.

POWER SECTOR REFORM IN ORISSA


Orissa was the first State in the country to embark upon reforms in the power sector. Supported by both the World Bank and DFID, it went in for the full package: unbundling, corporatisation, and privatisation. Let us look at the genesis and the process of the reforms and identify the winners and losers and highlight the lessons learnt.

GENESIS

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Orissa State Electricity Board (OSEB) was established in 1961 to undertake generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the State. Over the years, OSEBs financial health deteriorated due to various factors. crore. The gap between peak demand and supply had reached almost 45 per cent by 1993-94. Though, the consumer strength increased to more than ten lakh, the overall financial performance deteriorated. Table-13.4 below shows the comparative position of OSEB for 1994-95.
Return on Net Fixed Assets OSEB KEB WBSEB MSEB TNEB RSEB PSEB -16.4% -11.83 -12.79 4.74 -0.08 -16.2 -13.3 7% Non Technical Losses 27% Debtors in Sales Months 7.6 6.1 7.0 4.6 1.6 4.2 1.83 Tariff as % of Cost 82.8% 87.8 80.3 99.6 97.2 71.6 74 PLF Customers per Employee 38 153 53 93 99 80 60

It survived due to subsidy from the State

Government; in 1995-96, the State subsidy payable had gone into arrears totaling Rs.369

34.9% 53.1 37.8 56.5 48.3 51.4 52.9

Source: Annual Reports of the respective SEBs.

Due to OSEBs overall pathetic performance, the Government of Orissa commenced, in 1993, an extensive reform programme of the electricity sector. The reform programme was intended at improving the quality of electricity supply and stimulates economic growth in the region.

BROAD OBJECTIVES OF THE REFORM PROGRAMME WERE AS FOLLOWS:

To give the power sector autonomy by keeping it away from governmental control.

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To attract large amounts of private finance into the power sector. To introduce competition in the power sector.

TO

ACHIEVE THE ABOVE OBJECTIVES, THE

ORISSA POWER SECTOR REFORM PROJECT

WAS DESIGNED TO UNDERTAKE THE FOLLOWING:

To establish a separate act (The Orissa Electricity Reform Act) To un-bundle and corporatize OSEB To develop an autonomous power sector regulatory body To privatise the generation and distribution businesses

PROCESS:
The reforms process started with the enactment of The Orissa Electricity Reform Act in 1995. The Act was designed to address the fundamental issues responsible for the poor performance of the power sector in the State. The new legislation was aimed at restructuring the electricity industry, taking measures conducive to increasing the efficiency of generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, opening avenues for private participation, and establishing a Regulatory Commission. The Act allowed for transfer of the assets, liabilities, staff, and statutory obligations of the OSEB to successor companies. Chart-2 below gives a pictorial representation of the change in the structure of the industry.

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Southco Wesco OPGC Gridco OHPC OSEB (Distr.) Cesco Nesco (Distr.) (Distribution) (Transmissio Transmission n) Distribution and

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1st Stage

Source: Annual Reports of the respective SEBs.

2nd Stage

Some of the important steps taken after the enactment of the OER Act are as follows:

UNBUNDLING AND CORPORATISATION:


Electricity business was divided into three separate activities: Generation, Transmission, and Distribution. The business of generating of hydel power was transferred to OHPC. The thermal power stations were transferred to the existing Orissa Power Generation Corporation (OPGC). The transmission and distribution businesses were transferred to Gridco. Though, OHPC and Gridco began operation on I April 1996 as government owned entities, corporatisation agreements were signed with the Orissa Government. Under the agreement, Government reiterated its commitment to distance itself from their operation and management and to give them autonomy as commercial organisations. OHPC continues to be Government Company; Gridco, however, took long strides in the direction of full privatisation.

INSTITUTION STRENGTHENING PROJECT (ISP), PRIVATISATION:

THE

PREPARATORY

STAGE

FOR

To ensure that privatisation leads to efficiency gains, Gridco had to bring changes in the internal environment variables like management, labour relations, and communication and
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reporting. Towards this end, Gridco initiated a comprehensive programme known as ISP to address many of its weaker areas. This programme was undertaken by the consultants. Three important steps taken under ISP were as follows: 1. INTRODUCTION OF COMMERCIAL FUNCTION AT THE FIELD LEVEL OSEB was managed principally by engineers, and it was standard practice for the engineers to undertake commercial, administration, and other non-engineering jobs. The management, thus, had a strong technical bias. One of the major organisational changes introduced during the ISP was therefore to bifurcate the field level activities into Commercial and Engineering. The commercial function comprised of Revenue Management, Accounting, and Customer Management. The engineering function comprised of System Operation, Repairs and Maintenance, and other technical activities. Coupled with the bifurcation, commercial procedures were implemented. This small intervention improved the business environment at the division level. 2. INTRODUCTION OF PROFIT CENTRE ACCOUNTING Gridco was divided into Cost Centres and Profit Centres. Transmission divisions were treated as cost centres and distribution divisions as profit centres. To ensure proper control and reporting system, the entire distribution business was divided as shown below: Chart
G T r a n s m W e s t Z o n e N is s io n o r t h C 4 3 S D E D a s t I r id c o is t r ib u t io n Z o n eS o u t h C D ir c le Z o n e I I C C D e n t r a l ir c le Z o n e

ir c le

I I I

iv is io n s

iv is io n s

iv is io n s

u b d iv is io n s

Each distribution division was managed by a divisional manager (Executive Engineer) who reported to the circle manager (Superintending Engineer). The latter, in turn, reported to the
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Zonal General Manager (Chief Engineer), who reported to the Board of Directors at the corporate office. Each divisional manager was required to attend the monthly performance review meeting chaired by the CMD (Chairman-cum-Managing-Director) of Gridco. During these meetings, a detailed discussion on billing, distribution losses, collection, and other related matters used to take place and an action plan used to be prepared. This was a successful intervention during the pre-privatisation period, which helped in the following: Stressed the commercial aspect of the utility business, Developed interrelationship between technical and finance executives, Enabled the divisional managers to understand the financial implications of the various activities undertaken, Involved the field personnel in various managerial decisions, and Established an authentic database for important business parameters like billing, collection, T&D loss, etc. through a well-developed Management Accounting System. 3. INTRODUCTION OF REVENUE IMPROVEMENT ACTION PROGRAMME (RIAP) This programme focused on the reduction of non-technical losses and concomitant improvement on the financial position of Gridco. One of the major contributions of RIAP was the quantification of the actual T&D losses. On the basis of field studies, the magnitude of nontechnical loss and causes of the different types of losses were established. The energy lost and energy billed in the year 1996-97
Source: Annual Reports of the respective SEBs.
60% 40% 20% 0% B ille d No n - T e c h n ic Te c h n ic a l lo s s e s al lo s s e s
54 %

28 % 18 %

This finding of high T&D losses against the reported 22 per cent figure in various forums and published sources was an eye opener to both the shareholders and the management. The programme established that, though the reduction of technical losses requires huge capital
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investment, the non-technical losses can be reduced without any major investment and capital outflows. Efforts were made to reduce the non-technical losses by managing the revenuecycle efficiently, by understanding each of the following activities and identifying and addressing problem areas.

Energy Delivery

Meter Reading

Bill

Bill Distribution

Collection

Preparation

Credit Control

In the process, even before the privatisation, Gridco improved its performance in the following areas: (1) Regularisation of un-authorised connections, (2) Increase in bills based on actual meter reading, (3) Increase in billing as a percentage of input, (4) Increase in collection as a percentage of billing, and (5) Improvement in customer relationship. However, RIAP could not be extended to all the divisions of Gridco. As a result, the financial and operational performance of most of the divisions could not be improved.

WINNERS AND LOSERS


Reform and privatisation changed the way one looked at electricity, from a universally available product to a commercial one. But, the moot question is, Who gained and who lost? Entities affected by the reform were the Government of Orissa, suppliers of power, investors, consumers, and the electricity sector as a whole. It would be interesting to check how each fared under the restructuring exercise.

GOVERNMENT
Government is major winner in this reform, which allowed it to reduce its exposure to this volatile sector at a time when its financial position was precarious. It realized Rs.159 crore by divesting 51 per cent of its stake in the distribution companies and around Rs.600 crore by divesting its stake in OPGC. It also got Rs.356 crore by selling TTPS (Talcher Thermal Power Station) to NTPC, which was adjusted against erstwhile OSEBs overdue payments to NTPC. But, more important, the Government has already saved more than Rs.1200 till now by stopping subsidy to the electricity sector.

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SUPPLIERS OF POWER
One of the drivers of the reforms was the intention to reduce the financial burden on generators. It was expected that, after reforms, Gridco would make timely payments to OPGC, OHPC, and NTPC. However, it has not happened.

INVESTORS
Table below shows the parties who have acquired stakes in the newly formed distribution companies. New Investor Cesco Wesco Nesco Southco AES BSES BSES BSES Stake acquired 51% 51% 51% 51% Money paid (Rs. in crore) 42.00 88.19 28.80

Source: Based on the Government of Orissa Gazette.

The balance-sheets of Gridco (which remained as a transmission company) and the four distribution companies highlight the benefit that has been extended to the investors. Common size balance sheet of these companies is as follows.
Gridco Cesco Wesco Total Funds Capital and 20% 13 18 Reserves Accumulated Profit -26% 0 0 (- for Loss) Long Term Loans 69% 48% 50% Current Liabilities 37% 40% 33% Total Assets Fixed Assets 61% 60% 67% Current Assets 39% 40% 33% Source: Based on the Government of Orissa Gazette. Nesco 13% 0 50% 37% 63% 37% Southco 13% 0 57% 30% 70% 30%

It is interesting to note that the entire loss of transmission and distribution business was retained in the balance-sheet of Gridco, resulting in a negative book net-worth of Gridco; the distribution companies were not required to share it. Moreover, the capital structure of
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Gridco was also highly leveraged, with long-term loans accounting for 69 per cent of the total sources. The lop-sided balance sheet created liquidity problems for Gridco, which, in turn, affected its suppliers. The generous balance-sheets doled out to distribution companies and the handing over of three companies to one player shows the Governments obsession with completing the privatisation process rather than reforming the sector.

CONSUMERS
Consumers can be divided into three broad categories, namely, LT, HT, and EHT. As the reforms endeavour to reduce the cross-subsidization there is every possibility of the large consumers to benefit from the process. Consumers, irrespective of the category, benefit if the tariff reduces and the service improves. But, the tariff has already been revised four times. And, what is more important, the increase in tariff has far surpassed the rate of inflation, as depicted by Figure-4 below. Moreover, though the overall power available has increased over the years, the quality of service has not improved to the extent it was expected. Since the distribution companies have decided not to make any capital expenditure, the quality of the service that was offered by them has been affected. Consumers clearly have, so far, borne the brunt of the reforms and privatisation.
1.

Source: Based on the Government of Orissa Gazette.

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VIDESH SANCHAR NIGAM LTD.


ABOUT VSNL
In 1947, the Overseas Communication Service (OCS) was established in the Department of Telecommunications (DoT). Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd (VSNL) was created from the OCS as a government owned corporate in 1986. The government felt that corporatization would enable it to raise financial resources, an activity that would not have been possible under the government framework. It was envisaged that this would also enable greater freedom to managers to plan, operate, develop and accelerate the international telecommunication services. In the initial years, VSNL offered voice telephone, telex, telegraph, television, bureaufax etc. Efforts had started to increase Indias connectivity through investments in projects like submarine cables. Compared with 2.69 billion telephone minutes in 2000-1, in 1986-7 the figure was 0.13 billion minutes. Table 1 gives some comparative figures of VSNLs performance over the years. Some Aspects of the Performance of VSNL
Sr. Item No. 1 Telephone Paid Minutes (billions) 2 Internet Access Customers (numbers) 3 Total Revenue ( Rs crore) 4 Net Profit (Rs crore) 5 Dividends(Rs crore) 6 Network Charges (Rs crore) Source: VSNL Annual Reports 1992-3 0.61 0.0 747.6 112.4 24.0 307.6 1996-7 1.38 28,042.0 5,285.3 504.7 28.0 3,604.7 2000-1 2.68 630,970.0 7,965.0 1,778.8 76.0 4,562.0

VSNL TRAFFIC
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In 2001, the world international telephone traffic was 167 billion minutes [ Voice Data, April 18 2002]. India's was 1.6% of this global traffic. In comparison with VSNL, the two largest ILD carriers in the world, WorldCom and AT&T carried 16.8 and 14.3 billion minutes respectively in 2000. When Compared with a worldwide average of 145 outgoing international minutes per person, the figure for India works out to 18. Corresponding figures for developing countries and low income countries are 100 and 155 respectively [www.worldbank.org]. Table 2 compares VSNLs international minutes with that of the world. VSNL during the period averaged a much higher growth rate. International outgoing calls-VSNL and World (billion minutes)
Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 CAGR 1994 to 2000) VSNL 0.742 0.942 1.147 1.384 1.684 1.935 2.245 20.3% World 54.6 61.6 71.7 82.5 93 108.9 132.7 15.9%

Source: VSNL annual reports The ratio of inbound to outbound calls had been 4:1 in 2001. One important reason for this is the discriminatory pricing by VSNL. Another factor is that India is a much poorer than the typical countries to which it connects (U.S., Europe and Gulf), so that inbound calls are bound to be more than outbound calls. For the year 2000-1, the total revenue for VSNL was Rs 6,430.7 crore. The profit after tax stood at Rs 1,778.8 crore. This resulted in earnings per share of Rs 62.41 out of which Rs 50.00 was declared as the dividend per share. VSNL had no debt. Its P/E ratio of each VSNL share was 4.68.It is seen that a large part of the costs is the network and transmission charge. Much of this was charges paid out to the DOT as traffic costs. In this fixed revenue agreement, VSNL paid Rs 2,734 crore to DOT and Rs 1,386 crore to foreign operators during 2000-1 [VSNL Annual Report, 2000-1].

DISINVESTMENT IN VIDESH SANCHAR NIGAM LIMITED


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1. Government had approved sale of 25% equity share holding out of a total government

share holding of 52.97% in Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited (VSNL) on 5.02.2002. The total paid-up capital of VSNL is Rs.285 crore, the Govt. holding being Rs.151crore. Rs.71.25crore of this equity is being sold to M/s Panatone (Tata Group) at a price of Rs. 1439 crore.. 2. Government had decided to disinvest in VSNL in January 2001 and the advertisement for inviting Expression of Interest was issued in February 2001. Several interested parties had submitted their Expression of Interest. After the process of due diligence was completed and the transaction documents frozen, financial bids were invited from the bidders on 1.2.2002. Two bids were received. 3. SBI Capital Markets Ltd. and CSFB were appointed as the advisors at a fee of 0.19% of the transaction value. M/s Crawford Bayley & Co. is the legal advisor and the asset valuer is Price Waterhouse Coopers Ltd. After considering the Advisor's report, the Evaluation Committee/IMG/CGD submitted their recommendations regarding acceptance of the higher bid to the CCD. 4. The Government has in the process of disinvestment in VSNL received approximately Rs. 3689 crore, Rs. 1439 crore as the bid price, Rs. 1887 crore as dividend and Rs. 363 crore as dividend tax (table attached). Thus, the Government has sold its shares at a price of Rs. 202 per share, taken additional amount as dividend, special dividend and dividend tax. Besides the Government has also taken measures to take out surplus, yet very valuable land (value Rs. 778 crore) from VSNL, and also restrict use/sale of land through provisions in transaction documents. 5. The market price of VSNL shares as on 1.2.2002 was Rs.158/-. The Government had earned Rs.10.4 crore per year on 25% of its equity in the last eight years. This year the Government has earned Rs. 3689 crore from sale of VSNL and if this money is kept in the bank it would earn an interest of 368.9 crore, i.e. the Government would gain more than Rs. 350 crore every year. 6. The strategic partner has been provided a call option for the 5th year subject to the condition that the Government would be retaining at least one share and hence one vote

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position to enforce its affirmative vote on assets. In addition, 1.97% share were given to employees, at concessional rates. After partial disinvestments through sale of shares, Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited (VSNL) underwent a strategic sale to the Tata Group in April 2002. Subsequent to the sale, the government holding became 26% and the Tata Group's 45%. The sale was followed by VSNL's decision (taken by its new owners the Tatas) to invest Rs 1,200 crore in Tata Teleservices Limited (TTL), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Tata group. This led to concerns regarding the appropriateness of the decision, since it involved a cash outflow of Rs 1200 crore to a fledging private company in the telecom sector.

REASONS FOR DISINVESTMENT


The Ministry of Disinvestment cited the non availability of funds for critical areas like education, health and social infrastructure because of fiscal burden in the flow of government funds into PSUs, as a strong argument for the disinvestment. There was also a need to stem further outflow of resources into unviable, non-strategic PSUs. The divestment was also expected to reduce the unmanageable public debt.

PRIOR TO DIVESTMENT:
When the privatization process of VSNL began in 1991-2, there was no blueprint for the same. In retrospect, there have been three phases. The offloading of shares to domestic investors; The offloading of shares in the international market; Strategic sale.

In 1991-2, VSNL disinvested equity of the face value of Rs. 12 crore in favour of various financial institutions, mutual funds and banks. As of March 1993, out of a paid up equity capital of Rs 80 crore, the Government of India (GoI) held 85% and financial institutions, banks and the public held another 15%. The shares were listed in the stock exchanges of Mumbai, Kolkata, Delhi and Chennai. As of 1995, the share of the GOI had come down to
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82.02%. This accompanied the transfer of shares from the GOI as a bonus offer. The Indian investors share holding remained around 16.5% in 1999-0 which came down to 9.97% (including the 1.96% held by employees) as on March 31, 2001.

GDR ISSUES
The Global Depository Receipt (GDR) issue for VSNL was the first of its kind by the GOI . It helped VSNL to raise a substantial surplus that was earmarked for investments for its growth. The first GDR issue (listed on the London Stock Exchange) was offered in 1996-97. It fetched US$ 526.6 million in the market. At that time, it was the largest GDR issue from India. The offer was oversubscribed, drawing 662 investors from 28 countries. The second GDR issue was completed in February 1999. It involved a divestment of 10 million shares by the government of India to international investors. Priced at US$ 9.25 it was at a 15% premium on the last closing domestic price of Rs. 682 and a 10% discount to the ten-day average GDR price of US$ 10.275. The government realized US$ 185 million from the sale of 20 million GDRs with each GDR being equivalent to half a share. The organizational problems in VSNL around the time of the second GDR issue could have been one of the factors that led to lower valuations. During the process of the second GDR issue, the VSNL staff had threatened a walkout owing to the pending issue of allotting shares to employees. Due to delays in the government processes, VSNL did not have a chief executive and many other crucial director level posts were vacant. The first GDRs investment promises were not fulfilled and a promised domestic offering had not been made. The sanctions against India also created an environment of high perceived country risk, which lowered VSNL's valuation.

THE VALUATION
The government had fixed a reserve price of Rs 1,218.375 crore for its 25% stake in VSNL. In an effort to bolster the VSNL valuation, the GOI intended to compensate the loss of monopoly through special concessions. The government owned MTNL and BSNL would have to use VSNL as their ILD carrier for two years on the condition that it would offer the most competitive terms in the market. VSNL would also get a free license to provide NLD,
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and a nationwide ISP license. In addition, VSNL possessed prime real estate in Mumbai and Delhi and also cable capacities to facilitate international traffic. One of the major assets was the cash stockpile of Rs 5,182 crore which was considerable even after disbursement of the special dividends. Among the concerns were the loss of monopoly and the uncertainty of the loyalty of BSNL and MTNL to continue to use VSNL for their international traffic, the dipping share prices of VSNL and the falling accounting rates that could lead to lower revenues. One of the major issues involved during the valuation process included the management of real estate owned by VSNL. The disinvestment process stipulated that at least four VSNL surplus properties valued at Rs 778 crore would not be available and were to be disassociated from VSNL after the disinvestment. Even so, real estate value that would accompany VSNL was around Rs 1,200 crore [Economic Times, February 15 2002].

CONCLUSION:
The privatisation of VSNL is seen as leading to public expenditure accountability through a realisation of higher return on the governments asset formation. It also leads to an appreciation of the remaining shares that are held by the government. To the citizen, the process is a step towards the provision of better quality communication services at the most competitive prices. Public flotation of stock might have led to better values for VSNL's stock, had the company been correctly `prepared' for privatisation. Thus, disinvestment of VSNL was clouded with controversies and speculations and this fact further indicates the failure of the disinvestment policy adopted in the case of VSNL, and also highlights the wrong reasons for which the disinvestment of VSNL took place and its ultimate failure to match the required expectation of such a step. This case on VSNL further corroborates to the fact, that the disinvestment policies adopted in India have been a failure so far.

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MARUTI DIVESTITURE IN COMPARISON OTHER DISINVESTMENTS:

WITH

In May 2002, a two-stage sell off began in Maruti Udyog Ltd (MUL) with a Rs 400 crore (4 billion) rights issue at a price of Rs 3,280 per share of Rs 100 each (12,19,512 shares) in which the government renounced whole of its rights share (6,06,585) to Suzuki, for a control premium of Rs 1000 crore. Relative share holding of Suzuki and government after completion of the rights issue was 54.20 % and 45.54 % respectively. The second stage government offloaded its holding in two tranches first where government sold 36 lakh shares out of then existing 65.80 lakh shares in March 2003. After the public offer, governments share had been down to 25%.
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Thereafter in the second tranche, the government sold off its remaining equity by public offer and quit from MUL. The government sold shares at Rs 2300 per share in the first tranche and at Rs 2000 in the second tranche. In other cases of disinvestment, the strategic partner did not have any control before acquiring government equity. But in the case of MUL, even before disinvestment, the share of government was 49.74 % and that of Suzuki was 50%. This was due to Suzuki being technology suppliers. Therefore at the time of disinvestment the government had a minority holding vis-a-vis Suzuki. In an agreement it was decided that only after Suzukis approval could government sell its share to third party. So the disinvestment in Maruti started with certain constraints. In 1982 and 1992 Suzukis shareholding was allowed to be increased from 26 percent to 40 percent and then 50 percent respectively. For this no control premium was paid by Suzuki when the control passed to them. Later after hard negotiation a control premium was agreed upon to be Rs 1000 crore. It started with an initial offer of Rs 170 crore by Suzuki. Similarly Suzuki was not willing to incorporate any underwriting of the public issue by government. Since Maruti Udyog Ltd was not a listed company, the government agreed to determine the fair value of MUL shares through valuation by three independent valuers and then take the average KPMG, Ernst & Young, and S. B. Billimoria were appointed as valuers. The recommended value per share was Rs 3,200 by KPMG, Rs 3142.18 by Ernst & Young, and Rs 3500 by S. B. Billimoria. Thus average came out to be Rs 3280. The fair value of governments stake comes down to Rs 2158 crore but the book value (1000 crore control premium and 1424 additional tranche undertaking) was Rs 2424 crore. So for the government to get maximum receipt it should sell to public in such a manner that they can get a value more than 2424 crore than the initial 2158 crore. The significant aspect of the Maruti divestiture plan is the prima facie decision of the government to exit from Maruti completely by March 2004. Other than hotel properties, Maruti was the first enterprise where government had completely exited.

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The issue was oversubscribed by over 10 times. Later keeping in view the overwhelming response from sale of Maruti, government sold its remaining shares in the privatised companies of VSNL, CMC, IPCL, BALCO and IBP to public through IPOs.

LAGAN JUTE MACHINERY COMPANY LIMITED (LJMC)


Lagan Jute Machinery Company Limited (LJMC) was run by a private company (James Mackie & Co) from 1955 till it was nationalised in 1978. In 1986 it became a wholly owned subsidiary of Bharat Bhari Udyog Nigam Ltd (BBUNL), a centra PSE. The manufacturing
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works of the company are situated near Kolkata. It is engaged in the manufacture and marketing of jute spinning and drawing frames and alswo spare parts for the same. The authorised and paid-up capital as on 31 March 2000 were Rs 4.00 crore (50 million) and Rs 1.05 crore (10.5 million) respectively. The number of employees as on 31 March 2000 was 396.

PRE DISINVESTMENT SCENARIO:


Initially LJMC made marginal profits, but from 1996 97, it started making losses. There was mounting arrears of salaries and high level of inventory. LJMC required investment to modernise and renovate the plant and machinery as most of the machines were installed before 1960. The operational and financial performance of LJMC prior to disinvestment is :
LJMC: Pre Disinvestment Performance

Details

1997 - 98

1998 99

1999 - 2000

2000 2001 (Arp June 2000)

Machinery sold (nos) Exports of spares (in Rs crore) Gross turnover (Rs in crore) Loss ( in Rs crore)

58 0.11

59 0.17

51 0.27

4 0.05

5.77 -1.04

6.47 -0.74

6.32 -0.42

0.60 -1.00

Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India

The government decided in July 1997 to disinvest 74 % of the equity of LJMC. M/s A. F. Ferguson & Co were appointed in May 1998 as advisors to execute the transaction. Accordingly, the advertisements inviting EOTs were issued in January 1999 and financial bids were invited in May 1999. The cabinet approval the disinvestment in December 1999 and execution of the transaction documents and receipt of final payment was effected in May
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2000. Thereafter shares/management control was transferred to the strategic partner M/s Murlidhar Ratanlal Exports Ltd. in June 2000. The disinvestment of 74 % equity stake was effected through sale of 6330 equity shares (face value Rs 1000 per share) at the rate of Rs 4000 per share by BBUNL for Rs 253 lakhs. Also fresh issue of 5680 equity shares (face value Rs 1000 per share) at the rate of Rs 2640 per share was made by LJMC for Rs 150 lakhs. As per the deal, the strategic partner was to provide LJMC interest free loan of Rs 35.36 lakhs to repay the dues to BBUNL in eight quarterly instalments. It was provided in the agreement that all employees of the company on the date of disinvestment would continue in the employment of the company after disinvestment.

POST DISINVESTMENT SCENARIO:


The strategic partner has retained the same senior management team and there has been no retrenchment of workers. The performance of LJMC post privatisation (July September 2000), as compared to pre privatisation period (April June 2000) is:
LJMC: Post Disinvestment Performance Details Pre Disinvestment 1999 2000 Machine sold (nos) Exports of spares Gross turnover Profit/Loss Orders booked 51 0.27 6.32 -0.42 3.17 Apr June 2000 4 0.05 0.60 -1.00 1.20 Post Disinvestment 2000 2001 54 0.48 6.63 0.48 3.87

Source: Ministry of Disinvestment, Government of India.

There was no retrenchment of employees but there was reduction due to resignation/natural separation. However, change in employee service condition was made by rolling back retirement age from 60 to 58 years.

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Critical Analysis

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REVIEW OF DISINVESTMENT AND PRIVATIZATION


Disinvestment was initiated by selling undisclosed bundles of equity shares of selected central PSEs to public investment institutions (like the UTI), which were free to dispose of these shares in the booming secondary stock market. The process however came to an abrupt halt when the market collapsed in the aftermath of Harshad Mehta led scam, as the asking prices plummeted below the reserve prices. Since the stock market remained subdued for much of the 1990s, the disinvestment targets remained largely unmet. The change of government at the Centre in 1996 led to some rethinking about the policy, but not a reversal. A Disinvestment Commission was constituted to advise the government on whether to disinvest in a particular enterprise, its modalities and the utilization of the proceeds. The commission, among other things, recommended (Disinvestment Commission, 1997): Restructuring and reorganization of PSEs before disinvestment, Strengthening of the well-functioning enterprises, and To utilize the disinvestment proceeds to create a fund for restructuring of PSEs. The new government that came to power in 1998 preferred to sell large chunks of equity in selected enterprises to strategic partners a euphemism for transfer of managerial control to private enterprises. A separate ministry was created to speed up the process, as it was widely believed that the operating ministries are often reluctant to part with PSEs for disinvestments as it means loss of power for the concerned ministers and civil servants. The sales were organized through auctions or by inviting bids, bypassing the stock market (which continued to be sluggish), justified on the grounds of better price realization. Notwithstanding the serious discussion on the utilization of disinvestment proceeds, they continued to be used only to bridge the fiscal deficit.

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Strategic sale in many countries have been controversial as it is said to give rise to a lot of corruption, discrediting the policy process. Aware of such pitfalls, efforts were made to be transparent in all the stages of the process: selection of consultants to advice on the sale, invitation of bids, opening of tenders and so on. Between 1999 and 2003, much greater quantum of public assets were sold in this manner, compared to the earlier process, though the realized amounts were consistently less than the targets except in 2003.

Nonetheless, there are series of allegations of corruption and malpractice in many of these deals that have been widely discussed in the press and the parliament. Instances of under pricing of assets, favouring preferred buyers, non-compliance of agreement with respect to employment and retrenchment, and many incomplete contracts with respect to sale of land, and assets have been widely reported. Thus, during the last 13 years Rs. 29,520 crore were realized by sale of equity in selected central government PSEs, (in some cases) relinquishing managerial control as well.

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This formed less than one per cent of central governments cumulative fiscal deficit in this period.

PERFORMANCE OF PSES AFTER DISINVESTMENT & PRIVATIZATION:


In principle, disinvestment is unlikely to affect economic performance since the state continues to be the dominant shareholder, whose conduct is unlikely to be influenced by share prices movements (or return on equity). Privatization can be expected to influence
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economic outcome provided the firm operates in a competitive environment; if not, it would be difficult to attribute changes performance sole or mainly to the change in ownership.

ASSESSING
PROCESS:

THE PRINCIPLES, PREMISES AND PERFORMANCE OF THE DISINVESTMENT

Instead of seeking the reasons for privatization, one could instead ask why a certain firm should remain in public sector. Some would contend that with rapid technological change, natural monopoly, as a powerful argument for public ownership has simply disappeared. Such an argument would surely hold for telecommunications, not but for the rest of public monopolies. Based on studies of privatization of natural monopolies, some important implications that can be carried out are:

Sectors such as railways, however, are harder to regulate after privatization. The regulatory task can be especially difficult in sectors such as highways, or water or sewage, where competition is weak or totally absent, investments are lumpier, externalities are much more important, and pay back periods run 8-10 years or more, thereby increasing uncertainty and risk for contracting parties. Renegotiations are likely to be the rule, brought on by unanticipated developments or simply opportunism on the part of investors or governments.

But in the twentieth century, with the separation of ownership from control in modern industry, there is a serious agency problem regardless of its ownership. The view that the secondary capital market and the market for managers provide adequate discipline on a firms performance is at variance with evidence.

WHAT

IS THE EVIDENCE ON THE EFFICIENCY EFFECTS OF PRIVATIZATION?

IT

IS HIGHLY

MIXED, TO PUT IT MILDLY.

In fact, one of the authors of the study, Pankaj Tandon, in an independent paper was more categorical in rejecting the hypothesis of efficiency gains from privatization in less developed

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countries. If this selective review of evidence is anything to go by, then one should have a modest expectation from whatever privatization that has happened in India. Britain, the cradle of modern capitalism, has witnesses the public policy pendulum swing from nationalization to privatization (or denationalization) many times over, in the 20th century. While the US has a model of private ownership, and control with public regulation, continental Europe and Japan have, by and large, stayed steady with greater public ownership in such industries. Although there have been some privatization in these economies, such attempts have remained relatively modest with limited changes in ownership and control of national assets. Thus, there seems to be no unique model that is universally sound for promoting efficiency of resource use. Perhaps it has a lesson for us: we have to search for a solution suited for our conditions that are broadly consistent with economic reasoning. Before seeking evidence on the effects of the disinvestment in India, perhaps it would be useful to ask how valid the premises of the disinvestment policy were to begin with. It is widely believed, as large and growing share of the fiscal deficit was on account of PSEs financial losses getting rid of them would restore the fiscal back to health. How valid was such a diagnosis? Using a widely accepted a methodology that PSEs financial losses were not the principal cause of the growing fiscal deficit in the 1980s, and in fact PSEs share in the fiscal deficit had steadily declined in the decade. In other words, the government per se was largely responsible for the growing fiscal deficit, not the enterprises owned by it.

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Source :Disinvetment Ministery Report

Updating these estimates for the 1990s using a more refined method, the estimated deficits of the general government confirmed our previous findings. 16 Governments share (in terms of equity and debt) as a proportion of PSEs total fixed investment shows a steady decline since the mid-1970s, suggesting a gradual tightening of their budget constraint. The decline in governments contribution is being met increasingly by a rise in internal resources.

Source :Disinvetment Ministery Report

These long-term trends indicate, contrary to the widely held views, the growing fiscal deficit since the 1980s is not on account of financial losses of the enterprises. The above evidence suggests that the popularly used indicator of net profit as a proportion of total equity does not adequately reflect PSEs financial performance. While such a measure may be useful for a private shareholder, it has many shortcomings to gauge the return on public investment. For many reasons, PSEs tend to be over capitalized. While these enterprises are expected to develop infrastructure on their own using budgetary resources, state government agencies usually vie with each other to provide larger and better infrastructure for private firms, thus reducing their capital cost. Therefore, depreciation charges for PSEs tend to be much larger.

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Capital structure of PSEs is seldom designed to maximize returns for the shareholder, namely the government. Usually PSEs are granted large loans in the initial year; when they are unable to service the loans, these are often converted into equity to reduce their debt repayment burden. Thus, many PSEs have high equity, not by design but by default, adversely affecting the net profitability ratio. Moreover, from an economic viewpoint, capital structure of an enterprise is of secondary importance compared to return on capital employed.

Source :Disinvetment Ministery Report

It is widely believed that PSEs respectable profitability ratio (gross profits to capital employed) is mainly on account of the surpluses of the petroleum sector enterprises whose pricing includes an element of taxation. Interestingly, as shown in Figure, the profitability ratio has improved since the 1980s even excluding the petroleum sector enterprises clear evidence on improvements in PSEs financial performance. But could it be merely due a faster rise in administered prices of PSEs output? This is not so, as evident from the fact that the ratio of deflators of public sector output and GDP has declined since the mid-1980s. Public sector GDP deflator, relative to GDP deflator, 1982-96

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Source :Disinvetment Ministery Report

IF PSES

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE HAS IMPROVED AS SHOWN ABOVE, WHAT THEN

ACCOUNTS FOR THE GROWING DEFICITS?

The problem seems to lay in poor financial returns in electricity boards, road transport corporations and railways, which are probably not adequately reflected in the above measures. For instance, revenue-to-cost ratio in SEBs has remained less than one for much of the 1990s, a decade of much talked about reforms, despite a steady rise in physical efficiency of thermal power plants.

.
Source :Disinvetment Ministery Report

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If the above reasoning and evidence is persuasive, then they suggest that the empirical premises for the ownership reforms were rather thin. While undoubtedly public sectors financial performance needed an improvement, they were not, in the main, on account of the central PSEs that were the targets of the disinvestment. They mainly lay in: (i) The growing expenditure and subsidies of the government. (ii) Poor return on investment in electricity, irrigation and road transport. In all these cases, the real problem is not so much public ownership, but pricing of public utilities and government s inability to collect user charges, for a variety of political and social reasons. To sum up, as the sale of equity has been quantitatively a modest, in relation to the size of public sector in India, it is hard to judge the efficacy of the reform effort. Moreover, it is perhaps too early to be definitive about the outcomes. Analytical bases of the policy reform were fragile to begin with, and comparative experience does not give much optimism for measurable efficiency gains from these changes in ownership of industrial assets. Above all, if the evidence reported is anything to go by, the premises of the D-P policy were rather weak.
In principle, disinvestment without a change in management is unlikely to make much difference to efficiency. It may help raise limited resources from the capital market, mainly reflecting the government monopoly in the industry. But this is a costly source of finance with high transaction costs. Given excess liquidity currently in the financial system it would be cheaper to sell bonds domestically to raise

the required finances.

PROBLEM OF CORPORATE GOVERNANCE:


In the evolution of modern capitalism, with separation of ownership from control as firms grow in size and complexity, agency problem arises: how to ensure that the managers (promoter in Indian parlance) work to maximize return on shareholders capital. Given the

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information asymmetry, managers could pursue their private goal disregarding the shareholders interests. This is at the heart of the problem of modern literature on corporate governance. Various institutional and contractual mechanisms have evolved in the last century to grapple with this problem. In the context of efficiency of resource use in a socialist economy, to solve the problem of how to ensure that managers of public firms maximized efficiency consistent with the goals set by the central planners. However, looking at the microeconomics of firms in a socialist economy, it has been argued that they were unlikely to be efficient because of the soft budget constraint: that is, firms do not go bankrupt or managers do not lose their jobs for their poor performance. Firms can always renegotiate their contracts with the planners to hide their inefficiency. In India public sector firms are often face with multiple objectives, and multiple owners or monitors central government, state governments, legislators, public auditors and so on. Managers may not necessarily maximise profits as they could always highlight a particular achievement to suit their convenience. Managers may be risk averse as they face constitutionally mandated procedural audit by the CAG if an enterprise is majority government owned. Managers efficiency objectives may come in conflict with dysfunctional political interference in operational matters (at the expense of policy issues) to meet narrow political goals. However, at the same time, poor performance by managers does not involve any punishment as they can re-negotiate the output prices, budgetary support, or have access to soft and/or government guaranteed loans; in other wards they do not face a hard budget constraint. Thus, the agency problem is endemic to all economic systems. Moreover, problem of soft budget constraint is not restricted to socialist economies but evident in market economies as well when the firm is question is large and considered of strategic importance for the economy, though perhaps too much lesser extent. Rescue of Chrysler Corporation the third largest automotive firm in the US in the late 1970s and United Airlines after 9/11 in the

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US are clear instances of state support for failing companies. Such support is more common in financial sector, where failure of firms can have significant systemic risk.

DISINVESTMENT IS NOT A GREAT PIECE OF REFORM


Disinvestment is considered desirable for two sets of reasons. One has to do with the money that flows into the governments coffers as a result of the stake sale, augmenting the governments non-borrowed receipts and, thereby, reducing the fiscal deficit. The other set of arguments of disinvestment has to do with efficiency. Disinvestment would bring in shareholders who would, it is hoped, question arbitrary decisions by the government that harm the finances of these public enterprises. Both benefits are exaggerated. Look at the reduction in the governments fiscal deficit brought about by disinvestment. The effect of selling shares to the public is not materially different from the effect of selling government bonds, as far as the quantity of the publics savings mopped up by the government is concerned. In the year in which the disinvestment takes place, the private sector would feel squeezed for funds exactly as it would if the government were to raise the same amount by issuing bonds. The public ends up holding shares, in one case, and bonds, in the other. In either case, the publics savings stand transferred to the government, rather than to the private sector looking for funds to invest. That said, the future effect of selling shares would prove superior, from a budgetary point of view, to the future effect of issuing bonds. By issuing bonds, the government takes on the obligation to pay interest, year after year. By selling shares, the government forgoes dividend receipts on the shares sold. Both widen the fiscal deficit in the subsequent years. However, the interest payment obligation taken on to get one rupee from selling bonds would be significantly higher than the dividend forgone per rupee received from selling shares in public enterprises. This is because these shares would be valued significantly higher, in terms

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of asset price per rupee of income accruing from that asset, than the bonds sold to fill the fiscal gap. What about the efficiency gains at the enterprise level by inducting non-government shareholders into the ownership structure, and possibly onto the board of directors? There is likely to be some additional benefits, given the political culture that treats public enterprises as sources of revenue for the minister (and officials) in charge of the controlling ministry. However, the overall reform project entails improving corporate governance across the board to a level where the running of any company seeks to maximise the returns to shareholders regardless of who the shareholders are, whether the state or private shareholders. If this goal is realised, efficiency arguments for disinvestment would lose steam. More germane is to what end the government keeps some enterprises under its ownership and control. If it wants to own nuclear power companies because of the risks involved, or if it wants to own the Food Corporation of India to ensure food security, the companies in question sub serve public goals outside the calculus of commercial profit and loss. It does not make sense to privatize such public enterprises. Many other public enterprises were set up at a time when the private sector was too weak to create production capacity in areas considered vital for the economys long-term dynamism. Steel, or machine tools, for example. Now, every Punj, Mittal and Jindal makes steel, of the highest quality and lots of it. Is there any strategic goal being served by retaining steel production in the public sector, anymore than is served by keeping hotels and banquet halls in the public sector? Satellite, aero plane and rocket manufacture, in contrast, are still be-yond the Indian private sectors capacity. It might arguably make sense for the government to own enterprises in these sectors. What are strategic sectors would change, with time. The government should ideally exit from areas that are no longer strategic, and use the re-sources to build new strategic capability. However, we dont live in an ideal world. Even if the government continues to own some companies in non-strategic sectors, but these companies are professionally run as commercial
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enterprises, there would be little efficiency loss to the economy as a whole. Therefore, disinvestment is not any key reform.

COMPARATIVE EXPERIENCE:
Experience of the last century shows how different economic systems have sought to solve this problem in a variety of ways with varying degrees of success. The Soviet system was perhaps quite capable of solving the problem in the initial phases of extensive growth with a clear objective of maximization of national output. However the system began to falter, as the economy got more complex, in the phase of intensive growth when objective was to increase productivity of resources. The command economy was unable to resolve the agency and incentive problems at the micro level because of the soft budget constraint. As noted earlier, in the Anglo Saxon economies, the secondary stock market acted as the disciplining device on corporate performance and as market for managers. In principle, stock prices that summarize all publicly available information on the firm performance should provide adequate signals for managers to act optimally. The system is also seems capable of providing risk capital to spur rapid technological progress, as witnessed in the role that venture capital funds played in promoting the Internet revolution. However, given the agency problem, there is enormous scope for abuse of the system, adversely affecting the shareholders interests and possibly hurting economic efficiency in the aggregate. Hostile takeovers and leveraged buyouts have exposed the inefficiency of such a disciplining mechanism. The recent implosion of some of the worlds biggest companies, astronomical rise in managerial remuneration disproportionate to performance of firms, and widespread abuse of stock options by top managements in firms like Enron and Tyco by the turn of the last century have seriously dented the credibility of the stock market based principles of corporate governance.

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PSUS ARE NOT THAT BAD

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SOME FACTS
6 out of Top 10 companies in India are Public Sector Companies. Of the 50 companies which make up the NIFTY, 10 companies are PSUs. In many businesses PSUs are virtual monopolies. Top 18 PSU companies (called Navratnas) total income is equal to 15% of Indias GDP. In 2008, Public Sector Companies paid over 33.5% of their net profits as dividends.

THE OPPORTUNITY AT PRESENT IN PSUS


Strong Fundamentals - Most of the PSU companies are leaders in their category and in many cases have a virtual monopoly in business Most of the PSU companies* are present in sectors, which are core to the India Growth Story. Government focus on Listing of Public Sector Companies and further divestment of stake in existing companies. PSU companies are currently available at reasonable valuations compared to broader markets The expected re-rating of these companies in future in the event of Government divesting stakes in PSU companies, can lead to above average gains over a period of time.

PSUS STRONG FUNDAMENTALS:


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It is only due to the strong fundamentals of the PSUs that they are among the most profitable companies in India. The strong fundamentals of these companies provided a substantially high growth of 19.37% in the past 10 years. Something private companies envy upon. It is only due to the strong fundamentals of the PSUs that they are among the most profitable companies in India. The strong fundamentals of these companies provided a substantially high growth of 19.37% in the past 10 years. Something private companies envy upon.

Source : Bloomberg; Prowess. BSE India ; Data as on 31/08/2009

PSUS MORE RESILIENT IN CASE OF ECONOMIC DOWNTURN


Balance Sheet virtually debt free Ability to show greater resilience in an economic downturn less vulnerable to a slowdown in earnings growth Huge cash on books puts them in an advantageous position when it comes to funding their expansion plans

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Source : Bloomberg; Prowess. BSE India ; Data as on 31/08/2009

PSUS- BELONG MORE TO CORE SECTORS

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Many of the PSU companies belong to sectors, which are core to the India Growth Story These sectors will benefit from the ongoing Government focus on infrastructure and reforms

PSUS:THE DIVESTMENT AGENDA


Pranab Mukherjee, in his budget speech said The average public float in Indian listed companies is less than 15 per cent. Deep non-manipulable markets require larger and

diversified public shareholdings. This requirement should be uniformly applied to the private sector as well as listed public sector companies. I propose to raise, in a phased manner, the

threshold for non-promoter public shareholding for all listed companies. Looking at the growth story of India and the optimism of future growth as well, the govt. of India has already planned and finalized its expansion projects. It has planned to come out in a big way in infrastructure development projects.

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Government could raise more than US$160bn from divestment. To reduce holding as per norms by the Indian Capital Market Regulator. Divestments of around US$4-5 billion (estimate) in FY2010, which would give the Government some flexibility on the fiscal front Privatization of companies could lead to wealth creation.

CANDIDATES FOR DIVESTMENT


In these companies, the average Government shareholding is more than 75%

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Candidates for 2nd round of divestment Source : Bloomberg; Prowess. BSE India ; Data as on 31/08/2009

PSUS FAVOURED BY THE MARKETS


Another point in favor of PSUs is that these companies are among those most liked by the stock markets. It is only due to the confidence in the functionality and stability of the PSUs that a commen investor is willing to invest in these companies and hence is affected by the positive sentiments in the stock market. The recent performance of PSUs is:
Divestment / Stake Sale - Post IPO Performance

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PSUS WEALTH CREATORS


BSE PSU Index which consists of 47 public sector companies have outperformed leading companies, which are represented as part of the Sensex in both short term and long term.

PSUS WEALTH CREATORS & YOU THOUGHT THESE WERE BORING


COMPANIES

Source : Bloomberg; Prowess. BSE India ; Data as on 31/08/2009

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Some of the PSUs have outperformed many big private firms in terms of financial performance in a big way. These companies are among the top profit makers and top gainers in India. They include: BHEL BMEL NTPC CCI

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Source : Bloomberg; Prowess. BSE India ; Data as on 31/08/2009

PSUS CONTRIBUTION TO INDEX PERFORMANCE

A portfolio of these 10 stocks (equal weighted) has outperformed the Nifty in the last 1 year, by generating returns of 24.36% vis--vis Nifty return of 6.89% BSE PSU Index (an aggregate of 47 PSU companies) has appreciated by 24.09% over the last 1 year, as against BSE Sensexs return of 7.52%

PSUS DIVIDENDS IN GOOD TIMES & BAD TIMES

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A SUGGESTION FOR REFORM:


On the basis of the above, if we accept that the real problems facing PSEs are, (i) Dysfunctional political interference (ii) Constitutionally mandated procedural audit (iii) Soft budget constraint Then following measures can be suggested: Reduce the government holding in PSEs to less than 50 per cent by transferring share to mutually complementary firms by creating Japanese style, tied around a public sector bank or financial institution. For instance, interlocking of equity holding among steel, coal and electricity firms or petroleum exploration, refining and petrochemical complexes. Such a measure would eliminate the procedural audit as well as political interference on the day-today operational matters. However, to ensure public accountability managers may be asked to make presentations to the parliamentary sub-committees on efficiency of resource use. At the same time, managers

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should have clearly defined security of tenure for say 3 or 5 years to ensure continuity and to show measurable performance. Harden the budget constraint for PSEs by a clear sunset clause on budgetary support or government guarantee for loans, except for specific public purpose oriented investments. Given that banks provide substantial equity and loans, they would, in principle, have incentive to monitor PSEs performance to retain their reputational capital. However, question would still remain who will monitor the banks? There are no easy answers to it. Given the increasing independence of the Reserve Bank, it is conceivable to device a system to where the central bank and other regulatory authorities are given the responsibility of appointing top managers of banks. Such a scheme of delegated monitoring is in principle is better for efficiency. Such a monitoring could focus on long term corporate goals such as productivity growth market shares, and R&D outcomes. To ensure that PSEs do not abuse their oligopolistic position in the domestic market, reasonably open trade and investment regime could impart the discipline of the world market.

BIBLIOGRAPHY
RESEARCH PAPERS

Disinvestment and Privatisation in India Assessment and OptionsBy: R Nagaraj Disinvestment in India, I lose and you gain...By: Pradip Baijal Public Sector performance since 1950, a fresh look... By: R. Nagaraj PRIVATIZATION IN India: THE IMPERATIVES AND CONSEQUENCES OF GRADUALISM by: Devesh Kapur and Ravi Ramamurti World Economic Forum: India ECONOMIC SUMMIT Indian Economic Reforms: A Stocktaking By: T. N. Srinivasan Planning Commssion Report Disinvestment Commission Report, 1999 Public enterprise Survey Report 1996-1997,2002-2004 Vol-1. Annual Report of VSNL
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Annual Report Released by Govt. Of Orissa Economic Survey, 1991-2008 Disinvestment in India...By Sudhir Naib Business Environment...By Shaikh Saleem

BOOKS

INTERNET

www.divest.nic.in www.india.gov.in/sectors/finance/disinvestment www.ircc.iitb.ac.in www.livemint.com www. economictimes.indiatimes.com www.indiastat.com Department of disinvestment, Ministry of Finance , www.divest.nic.in www.cmie.com www.planningcommission.nic.in http://india.gov.in/sectors/agriculture/index.php

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