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Case Financial Modelling
The inflation rate in India was last reported at 9.3 percent in January of 2011. From 1969 until 2010, the average inflation rate in India was 7.99 percent reaching an historical high of 34.68 percent in September of 1974 and a record low of -11.31 percent in May of 1976. Inflation rate refers to a general rise in prices measured against a standard level of purchasing power. The most well known measures of Inflation are the CPI which measures consumer prices, and the GDP deflator, which measures inflation in the whole of the domestic economy. This page includes: India Inflation Rate chart, historical data and news.
Country Interest Rate 5.50% Growth Rate 8.90% Inflation Rate 9.47% Jobless Rate 8.00% Current Account -16 Exchange Rate 45.3300
India
Feb Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
14.86 14.86 13.33 13.91 13.73 11.25 9.88 9.82 9.70 9.63 8.03 8.70 8.63 9.29 11.89 11.72 11.64 11.49 5.47 7.87 7.81 7.75 7.69 8.33 9.02 9.77 10.45
(Source:http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Economics/InflationCPI.aspx?Symbol=INR)
Country
India
Oct
3.25 6.00
(Source:http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Economics/InterestRate.aspx?Symbol=INR)
DataaboutDifferentcountriesandrelatedindexescanbedownloadedfrom 1. http://www.imf.org/external/index.htm 2. http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/site/home.aspx 3. http://eaindustry.nic.in/ OtherusefuldataonDerivativesandInflationcanbeaccessedfromhere 1. http://www.derivativesindia.com/scripts/infuture/index.asp 2. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/india/indicators/ 3. http://www.rediff.com/getahead/slideshow/slideshow1moneysixfactsyoumustknow aboutinflation/20110218.htm 4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_derivative 5. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflationindexed_bond 6. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflationderivative.asp 7. http://blog.nobletrading.com/2008/10/whatareinflationderivatives.html 8. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation(OnlyEffectsandCausesPart) Apartfromthatyouwillbeprovidedwithrelateddataandmathematicaltoolstouseduringpreparing the solution for the case questions. (Check Events page for Downloading Materials, www.thedimension.org)
CASESTATEMENT
We have presented above the related reports and figures to show that inflation plays an importantroleindecidingfuturedirectionofeconomy.Inflationalsodirectlyaffectsnormalhousehold. Latest trends in India have shown that the inflation rate continues to be unpredictable, it will give immensepressureontheconsumptionofdifferenttypeofitemsespeciallyfooditems.Frompointof consumption,onecansuggesttohedgeoneselffromthisunpredictableinflationrate.RBIistakingsteps intermsofchanginginterestrates.Onewaytodosoistobuyinginflationderivative.Itisaninstrument withaproducerorconsumerpriceindexusedasthebasisforaswaporotherindexratepayment.It transferinflationrisefromonepartytoothercounterparty.Forexample,onecouldevenhedgeoneself frominflationratebybuyinginflationderivative,inflationlinkedgovernmentbond.So,wepresentto youthetaskofhedgingusfromINFLATION!!! Organiser:FinancialModelling,DIMESNION2011