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    Tamluk

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    The document analyzes election results data from previous assembly elections in Tamluk, West Bengal to predict the results of the 2009 election. It shows voting percentages and margins from 2004 and 2006. Based on a formula applied to the past data, it predicts that in 2009, the Trinamool Congress (TMC) will get 47.72% of votes, followed by the Left Front with 45.18% and Congress with 3.44%. It indicates that TMC alone or in alliance with Congress could win most of these seats, while some results will be too close to call.

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    Tamluk

    Uploaded by

    api-3816754
    13 views4 pages
    The document analyzes election results data from previous assembly elections in Tamluk, West Bengal to predict the results of the 2009 election. It shows voting percentages and margins from 2004 and 2006. Based on a formula applied to the past data, it predicts that in 2009, the Trinamool Congress (TMC) will get 47.72% of votes, followed by the Left Front with 45.18% and Congress with 3.44%. It indicates that TMC alone or in alliance with Congress could win most of these seats, while some results will be too close to call.

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    The document analyzes election results data from previous assembly elections in Tamluk, West Bengal to predict the results of the 2009 election. It shows voting percentages and margins from 2004 and 2006. Based on a formula applied to the past data, it predicts that in 2009, the Trinamool Congress (TMC) will get 47.72% of votes, followed by the Left Front with 45.18% and Congress with 3.44%. It indicates that TMC alone or in alliance with Congress could win most of these seats, while some results will be too close to call.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    Download as xls, pdf, or txt
    13 views4 pages

    Tamluk

    Uploaded by

    api-3816754
    The document analyzes election results data from previous assembly elections in Tamluk, West Bengal to predict the results of the 2009 election. It shows voting percentages and margins from 2004 and 2006. Based on a formula applied to the past data, it predicts that in 2009, the Trinamool Congress (TMC) will get 47.72% of votes, followed by the Left Front with 45.18% and Congress with 3.44%. It indicates that TMC alone or in alliance with Congress could win most of these seats, while some results will be too close to call.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 4

    Tamluk

    Assembly election 2006 Loksabha Election 2004

    Left Front TMC* Cong BJP* Left Front TMC* Cong

    Panskura (east) 72437 62443 3034 3390 67100 55343 6190


    Tamluk 73655 60744 6183 2475 67691 63192 5590
    Moyna 70024 54922 10331 4290 69669 56067 5684
    Mahishadal 65345 59293 4114 3200 59506 55674 5314
    Sutahata 107323 66302 6924 4197 99981 72638 5137
    Nandigram 69082 60681 4941 3685 68122 58879 3357
    Narghat 74767 62871 3798 3542 72204 61295 3490

    TOTAL 532633 427256 39325 24779 504273 423088 34762

    Mean Percentage of votes for each Party ( till 2006 )


    Left Front 49.03%
    TMC* 41.67%
    Cong 3.63%
    BJP* 2.55%

    Applying Suitable Formula Prediction for 2009 ( Assembly-constituency wise Anal

    Total Votes* Left Front TMC Cong

    Pnaskura( east ) 152663 67919 75186 4817


    Tamluk 157388 68191 78471 6143
    Moyna 149440 69595 64826 7970
    Mahishadal 143236 59489 72902 4718
    Haldia 200307 100387 87155 6348
    Nandigram 148408 61851 76366 4338
    Nandakumar 156596 73180 73878 3822

    TOTAL 1108038 500612 528784 38156

    Margin : 28,172 Votes Probable Percentage of votes for each Party ( 2009 )

    Left Front 45.18%


    TMC* 47.72%
    Cong 3.44%
    BJP* 2.34%
    It is almost certain that TMC+Cong could manage to win these seats , otherw

    Red Area :P

    TMC alone is capable of winning those

    Very Marginal , Anything can happen ( Difference is less than 1% of tota

    It is marginal for TMC-Cong alliance

    * Approximate Value

    1.10.2008 Status : End


    End of
    ofLaxman-
    Laxman-Zamanaa
    Zamanaa ??
    ?

    In 2004 Laxman Seth [ CPI(M) ] won by 57,380 Votes


    ha Election 2004 Assembly Election 2001

    BJP* Left Front TMC* Cong* BJP

    3470 62499 60193 4612 3668


    2580 62184 63743 5887 2821
    4612 66292 52832 8008 4852
    3340 52220 55404 4714 3728
    4201 84845 75678 6031 4344
    3560 67544 55391 4149 4701
    3600 67396 61125 3644 3886

    25363 462980 424366 37045 28000

    Party ( till 2006 )

    nstituency wise Analysis)

    BJP

    3541
    2583
    4449 After De-limitation
    3418
    4417
    3853
    3715

    25976

    ty ( 2009 ) Swing (%)

    -3.85%
    6.05%
    -0.19%
    -0.21%
    o win these seats , otherwise these are for the LF

    ce is less than 1% of total number of votes)

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