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Aggregate Demand and Supply in Macro Economic Problems2
Aggregate Demand and Supply in Macro Economic Problems2
Aggregate Demand and Supply in Macro Economic Problems2
Firms
Consumption of
Factor domestically
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Households
The Circular Flow of Income
■ Withdrawals
✜ net saving
✜ net taxes
✜ import expenditure
■ Injections
✜ investment
✜ government expenditure
✜ export expenditure
The circular flow of income
INJECTIONS
Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)
Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)
WITHDRAWALS
The Circular Flow of Income
■ The relationship between injections and
withdrawals
✜ the links between them
The circular flow of income
INJECTIONS
Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)
Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)
WITHDRAWALS
The Circular Flow of Income
INJECTIONS
Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)
Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)
WITHDRAWALS
The Circular Flow of Income
INJECTIONS
Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)
Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)
WITHDRAWALS
Measuring national income
■ GDP: the measure of national income
■ Methods of measuring GDP
✜ the product approach
✜ the income approach
✜ the expenditure approach
The circular flow of national income and expenditure
The circular flow of national income and expenditure
(1) Production
Manufacturing
£153 132 m
Manufacturing
£153 132 m
Manufacturing
£153 132 m 17.5
Percentage of GVA
Hotels and restaurants £29 359m 3.4
Transport and communication £70 252 m 8.0
Compensation of employees
(wages and salaries)
£556 371 m
Operating surplus
(gross profit, rent and interest of firms
government and other institutions)
£238 625 m
Mixed incomes
£60 073 m
Tax less subsidies on production
(other than those on products) plus
statistical discrepancy £19 158m
UK GVA by category of income: 2001
Compensation of employees
(wages and salaries)
£556 371 m
Operating surplus
(gross profit, rent and interest of firms
government and other institutions)
£238 625 m
Mixed incomes
£60 073 m
Tax less subsidies on production
(other than those on products) plus
statistical discrepancy £19 158m
Compensation of employees
(wages and salaries) 63.6
£556 371 m
Percentage of GVA
Operating surplus
(gross profit, rent and interest of firms
government and other institutions) 27.3
£238 625 m
✜ weaknesses
Potential output
National output
Actual
output
O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle
Potential output
National output
3
4
2 Actual
3
output
4
2 1
O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle
Potential output
Trend
National output
output
Actual
output
O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
✜ long-term output trend
✜ the business cycle in practice
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
✜ long-term output trend
✜ the business cycle in practice
✦ the irregularity of the cycle
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
✜ long-term output trend
✜ the business cycle in practice
✦ the irregularity of the cycle
✦ the length of the phases
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
✜ long-term output trend
✜ the business cycle in practice
✦ the irregularity of the cycle
✦ the length of the phases
✦ the magnitude of the phases
Growth and the Business Cycle
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK
8
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK
8 France
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK
8 France
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
8 France
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
8 France
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
8 France USA
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
8 France USA
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
Japan
8 France USA
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
Japan
8 France USA
Annual growth rate (%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Causes of potential growth
✜ increases in the quantity of factors
✦ capital
✦ labour
✦ land and raw materials
✦ the problem of diminishing returns
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK
France
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK
France
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany
France
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany
France
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany
France USA
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany
France USA
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany Japan
France USA
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany Japan
France USA
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany Japan
France USA OECD
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Unemployment rates in selected industrial countries
14 UK Germany Japan
France USA OECD
12
Unemployment (% of workforce)
10
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Standardised unemployment rates in different
sectors of the labour market (2002)
Standardised unemployment rates in different
sectors of the labour market (2002)
Standardised unemployment rates in different
sectors of the labour market (2002)
Standardised unemployment rates in different
sectors of the labour market (2002)
Unemployment
ASL
Average (real) wage rate
We
ADL
O
Qe
No. of workers
Unemployment
■ Unemployment and the labour market
✜ the aggregate demand and supply of labour
✜ equilibrium in the model
✜ disequilibrium unemployment
Disequilibrium unemployment
ASL
Average (real) wage rate
B A
W2
We
ADL
O Q2 Q1
No. of workers
Unemployment
ASL
Average (real) wage rate
e
We
ADL
O
Qe
No. of workers
Equilibrium unemployment
ASL N
Average (real) wage rate
e d
We
ADL
O
Qe Q2
No. of workers
Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL
Average (real) wage rate
e
We
ADL
O
Qe
No. of workers
Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL
Average (real) wage rate
Disequilibrium
unemployment
b a
W2
e
We
ADL
No. of workers
Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment
ASL
N
Average (real) wage rate
Disequilibrium
unemployment
b a c
W2
e
We Equilibrium
unemployment
ADL
No. of workers
Unemployment
■ Disequilibrium unemployment
■ Equilibrium unemployment
✜ frictional (search) unemployment
✜ structural unemployment
✦ changing pattern of demand
✦ technological unemployment
✦ regional unemployment
✜ seasonal unemployment
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
Price level Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
AS
Price level
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
AS
Price level
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
■ The aggregate supply curve
✜ Why aggregate supply curves generally
slope upwards
■ Equilibrium
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AS
Price level
Pe
AD
National output
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply
AS
Price level
Pe
b a
P2
AD
National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
■ Defining inflation
■ The costs of inflation
✜ redistribution
✜ uncertainty
✜ balance of payments
✜ resources used to cope with inflation
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK
22
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK
22 EU 15
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK
22 EU 15
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
22 EU 15
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
22 EU 15
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
22 EU 15 Japan
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
22 EU 15 Japan
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
OECD
22 EU 15 Japan
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation rates in selected industrial countries
26
24 UK USA
OECD
22 EU 15 Japan
Inflation (% increase in retail prices)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
Demand-pull inflation
AS
Price level
P1
AD1
O Q1
National output
Demand-pull inflation
AS
Price level
P1
AD2
AD1
O Q1
National output
Demand-pull inflation
AS
Price level
P2
P1
AD2
AD1
O Q1 Q2
National output
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
✦ wage push
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
✦ wage push
✦ profit push
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
✦ wage push
✦ profit push
✦ import-price push
Cost-push inflation
AS1
Price level
P1
AD
O Q1
National output
Cost-push inflation
AS2
AS1
Price level
P1
AD
O Q1
National output
Cost-push inflation
AS2
AS1
Price level
P2
P1
AD
O Q2 Q1
National output
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
✦ wage push
✦ profit push
✦ import-price push
✜ the interaction of demand-pull and cost-
push inflation
The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS1
Price level
P1
AD1
National output
The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS2
AS1
Price level
P2
P1
AD2
AD1
National output
The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation
AS3 AS
2
AS1
P3
Price level
P2
P1 AD3
AD2
AD1
National output
Inflation
■ Types of inflation
✜ demand pull
✜ cost push
✦ wage push
✦ profit push
✦ import-price push