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U.S.

Travel Forecasts
Updated 11/01/2011

U.S. Travel Forecasts


Real GDP ($ Billions)*
Unemployment Rate (%)
Consumer Price Index (CPI)**
Travel Price Index (TPI)**
Total Travel Expenditures in U.S. ($ Billions)
U.S. Residents
International Visitors***
Total International Visitors to the U.S. (Millions)
Overseas Arrivals the U.S. (Millions)
Total Domestic Person-Trips**** (Millions)
Business
Leisure

2007
13,206.4
4.6
207.3
244.0
738.6
641.3
97.4
56.0
23.9
2,004.5
494.3
1,510.2

Real GDP*
Consumer Price Index (CPI)**
Travel Price Index (TPI)**
Total Travel Expenditures in U.S.
U.S. Residents
International Visitors***
Total International Visitors to the U.S.
Overseas Arrivals the U.S.
Total Domestic Person-Trips****
Business
Leisure

2007
1.9%
2.9%
4.5%
6.1%
5.1%
12.9%
9.8%
10.3%
0.2%
-2.8%
1.2%

2008
13,161.9
5.8
215.3
257.7
772.9
662.4
110.4
57.9
25.3
1,964.9
461.1
1,503.8

2009
12,703.1
9.3
214.5
241.5
704.4
610.2
94.2
55.0
23.8
1,900.6
436.5
1,464.2

2010
13,088.0
9.6
218.1
250.8
758.7
655.2
103.5
59.8
26.4
1,965.7
451.5
1,514.2

2011
13,306.1
9.1
224.8
267.6
815.2
704.3
111.0
62.3
27.9
2,004.9
457.9
1,547.0

2012
13,585.4
8.9
230.1
272.9
841.6
725.4
116.2
64.4
29.0
2,035.8
465.7
1,570.0

2013
14,018.9
7.5
235.0
281.9
877.8
756.3
121.5
66.6
30.2
2,072.1
473.9
1,598.2

2014
14,502.9
6.2
239.9
290.4
922.0
791.1
131.0
69.9
31.6
2,114.0
481.3
1,632.7

2008
-0.3%
3.8%
5.6%
4.7%
3.3%
13.5%
3.5%
6.1%
-2.0%
-6.7%
-0.4%

2009
-3.5%
-0.3%
-6.3%
-8.8%
-7.9%
-14.6%
-5.1%
-6.3%
-3.3%
-5.3%
-2.6%

2010
3.0%
1.6%
3.8%
7.7%
7.4%
10.2%
8.8%
11.0%
3.4%
3.4%
3.4%

2011
1.7%
3.1%
6.7%
7.5%
7.5%
7.2%
4.1%
5.9%
2.0%
1.4%
2.2%

2012
2.1%
2.3%
2.0%
3.2%
3.0%
4.7%
3.4%
3.8%
1.5%
1.7%
1.5%

2013
3.2%
2.1%
3.3%
4.3%
4.3%
4.5%
3.5%
4.3%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%

2014
3.5%
2.1%
3.0%
5.0%
4.6%
7.8%
4.9%
4.6%
2.0%
1.6%
2.2%

U.S. Travel Forecasts (Growth)

*Based on chained 2005 dollars.


**1982-84 = 100
***Excludes international visitors' spending on traveling to the U.S. on U.S. flag carriers, and other misc. transportation.
****One person trip of 50 miles or more, one way, away from home or including one or more nights away from home.
Sources: U.S. Travel Association's Travel Forecast Model, BLS, Department of Labor; OTTI, BEA, Department of Commerce.

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