Giac Ngu SV

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18
[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]
Mc Lc
1.
Tng quan v bi nghin cu .......................................................................... 2

1.1. L do chn ti .................................................................................................. 2
1.2. Mc tiu, phm vi v cu hi nghin cu ............................................................ 2
1.3. Phng php nghin cu..................................................................................... 3
2.
Thit lp m hnh hi quy ............................................................................... 3

2.1. Xy dng m hnh tng qut................................................................................ 3
2.1.1.
M hnh tng qut .....................................................................................3
2.1.2.
Gii thch cc bin .....................................................................................3
2.2. Thng k m t kt qu kho st.......................................................................... 4

2.3. M hnh hi quy gc............................................................................................. 8
2.3.1.
Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews ......................8
2.3.2.
Phng trnh hi quy gc..........................................................................9
2.4. Kim nh v khc phc cc bnh ca m hnh................................................... 9
3.
2.4.1.
a cng tuyn.............................................................................................9
2.4.2.
T tng quan ......................................................................................... 10
2.4.3.
Phng sai thay i ................................................................................. 11
Kt qu ........................................................................................................... 16
3.1. M hnh hi quy cui cng sau khi loi b cc bin khng c ngha ............. 16
3.1.1.
Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews .................... 16
3.1.2.
Phng trnh hi quy cui cng.............................................................. 17
3.2. Nhn xt m hnh hi quy cui cng ................................................................. 17

3.3. xut ca nhm .............................................................................................. 18
3.4. Kh khn v thun li trong qu trnh thc hin ti .................................... 19
3.4.1.
Nhng kh khn khi thc hin ti ..................................................... 19
3.4.2.
Nhng thun li khi thc hin ti ...................................................... 20
Trang 1
1. Tng quan v bi nghin cu

1.1.
L do chn ti
Khong mt phn ba thi gian sng ca con ngi c dnh cho gic ng. Ngi
ln mi ngy cn ng t 7-8 ting, tr em c th nhiu hn. Ng l mt qu trnh t
nhin gip c th chng ta thot khi nhng mt nhc, cng thng, v phc hi nng
lng tiu hao trong ngy. Khi bn c mt gic ng ngon lnh v gic th sau khi
thc, bn s cm thy tinh thn thoi mi, d chu, u c tnh to, minh mn v lm
vic c hiu qu.
Mt s cng trnh nghin cu ca cc nh khoa hc M v Nht Bn chng
minh, khi chng ta ng, c th tit ra nhng hormon cn thit c tc dng tng cng
h min dch, t c tc dng chng li s xm nhp ca cc vi khun, virut gy
bnh. Bn cnh , gic ng cng gp phn lm chm qu trnh lo ha v ko di tui
th, xun sc cho con ngi.
Tuy nhin, trong cuc sng tt bt hng ngy, nhiu khi chng ta qun lng i tm
quan trng ca gic ng trc p lc ca cng vic v thi hn.
By nhiu thi, thy c nhiu iu phi bn n khi ni v gic ng
c bit, khi bn l sinh vin, m bo mt sc khe tt l iu kin tin quyt
t c kt qu cao trong vic hc, nh mt nh hin trit tng ni: Mt tinh thn
minh mn ch c trong mt c th trng kin. Vi khi lng bi v ngy cng nhiu
trong mt qu thi gian gii hn, bn ng trc bi ton phi sp xp cn i thi
lng gia cng vic hc tp, gii tr, ngoi kha v lm thm, m vn c th m bo
thi gian ngh ngi th gin.
Vy iu g nh hng n s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy ca bn? V liu
bn nn lm g va c sc khe tt, va c kt qu hc tp nh mong mun?
tm li gii p cho cc cu hi trn, nhm chng ti tin hnh ti nghin cu
SINH VIN V S GI NG TRUNG BNH TRONG MT NGY tm hiu
v phn tch cc yu t nh hng n thi gian ng trung bnh ca sinh vin v a ra
mt s gii php xut.
1.2.
Mc tiu, phm vi v cu hi nghin cu
Thc t cho thy s gi ng trung bnh ca mt sinh vin khng ch b nh

hng bi thi quen sinh hot, m cn do nhiu yu t chi phi khc nh: thi gian
hc tp, hot ng ngoi kha, vic lm thm, im trung bnh ca hc k trc,
vic s dng cc phng tin gii tr Nhm nhin cu r hn nh hng ca cc
yu t ny n gi ng trung bnh ca sinh vin, t rt ra kt lun v c nhng
Trang 2
li khuyn hu ch cho cc bn sinh vin, nhm chng ti tin hnh thc hin
ti ny.
thc hin iu , nhm nghin cu tin hnh kho st by trng i
hc trn a bn Tp. HCM: H Khoa Hc T Nhin, H Khoa Hc X Hi V
Nhn Vn, H S Phm, H Ngoi Thng, H Y Dc, H Kinh T v H
Bch Khoa, vi i tng nghin cu c t ra l: s gi ng trung bnh ca sinh
vin Tp. HCM v cc yu t nh hng.
1.3.
Phng php nghin cu

Thu thp s liu: tin hnh kho st su trng i Hc trn a bn Thnh
Ph H Ch Minh.
X l s liu: tin hnh hi quy vi s tr gip ca Eviews 5.1, MS Excel,
MS Word, MS Access.
Tng hp kt qu v hon chnh bi vit.
2. Thit lp m hnh hi quy

2.1.
Xy dng m hnh tng qut
2.1.1. M hnh tng qut
2.1.2. Gii thch cc bin
Bin ph thuc
Tn
bin
Din gii
Gi tr
n v tnh
S gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy

ca mt sinh vin i hc.
024
Gi/ngy
Bin c lp - nh lng
Tn
bin
X2
X3
Din gii
Thi gian hc
trong ngy
im trung bnh
hc k trc
n v
tnh
Gi tr
Du
k
vng
Gi/
ngy
024
im
010
Ghi ch
Thi gian ng s gim i nu thi
gian dnh cho vic hc tng ln
im trung bnh hc k trc
cng cao th thi gian ng s t li
Bin c lp - nh tnh
Tn
Din gii
Gi tr
Trang 3
Du
Ghi ch
bin
k
vng
D1
Ngnh hc
KH t
nhin
KH x
hi
D2
Gii tnh
Nam
D3
D4
Nm hc
Nm 2
Nm 3
Nm 4
Nm 4
D5
Hot ng ngoi
kha tch cc
Khng
Bnh
thng
Bnh
thng
Ch yn tnh to iu kin cho

mt gic ng su v di
Khng
i lm thm lm gim s gi ng
ngy ca sinh vin
Nhiu
(>=2h/
ngy)
Hu
nh
khng
Hu
nh
khng
Mc s dng cng nhiu th

thi gian ng cng gim xung
Khng
ang gp vn tnh cm c th
lm gim thi gian ng trong
ngy ca sinh vin
D6
Yn tnh
Mi trng sng
D7
D8
D9
D10
D11
2.2.
n o
i lm thm
Mc s dng
cc phng tin
gii tr
t (<2h/
ngy)
ang gp vn
trong chuyn tnh
cm
Ty theo ngnh hc m thi gian

ng s tng hoc gim
Gii tnh c hoc khng nh
hng n thi gian ng ca sinh
vin
S nm hc cng cao th thi gian
ng cng gim
Hot ng ngoi kha cng nhiu
th thi gian ng s gim xung
Thng k m t kt qu kho st
Phiu kho st:
Phiu pht ra
350
Phiu thu v
300
Phiu hp l
260
Thi gian ng trung bnh mt ngy (Y):

Trung bnh
7.37
Cao nht
12
Trang 4
Thp nht
3
Thi gian hc trung bnh mt ngy (X2):

Trung bnh
8.09
Cao nht
15
Thp nht
2
im trung bnh hc k trc (X3):

Trung bnh
7.18
Cao nht
9.16
Trang 5
Thp nht
5
Ngnh hc(D1):
Gii tnh(D2):
Nm hc(D3 + D4):
Hot ng ngoi kha tch cc(D5):
Trang 6
Mi trng sng(D6 + D7):
Lm thm(D8):
Mc s dng cc phng tin gii tr(D9 + D10):
ang gp vn trong chuyn tnh cm(D11):
Trang 7
2.3.
M hnh hi quy gc
2.3.1. Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 10/26/09 Time: 11:56
Sample: 1 260
Included observations: 260
Variable
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
6.813394
X2
-0.176348
X3
1.020990
Prob.
6.673324
0.0000
0.041687 -4.230328
0.0000
0.268163
0.115070
2.330432
0.0206
D1
0.314273
0.207589
1.513918
0.1313
D2
-0.078782
0.194984 -0.404041
0.6865
D3
-0.189468
0.218162 -0.868475
0.3860
D4
-0.141863
0.236057 -0.600971
0.5484
D5
-0.509662
0.179605 -2.837681
0.0049
D6
0.176331
0.192250
0.917200
0.3599
D7
0.120161
0.306373
0.392206
0.6952
D8
-0.343566
0.196673 -1.746891
0.0819
Trang 8
D9
0.236237
0.319614
0.739130
0.4605
D10
0.443201
0.327243
1.354347
0.1769
D11
0.455495
0.218193
2.087576
0.0379
R-squared
0.149199
Mean dependent var
7.367308
Adjusted R-squared
0.104237
S.D. dependent var
1.460777
S.E. of regression
1.382548
Akaike info criterion
3.538076
Sum squared resid
470.2142
Schwarz criterion
3.729805
F-statistic
3.318395
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000110
Log likelihood
-445.9499
Durbin-Watson stat
1.876366
Nhn xt: Mc ph hp ca m hnh so vi thc t l R2=14,92%. Da

vo bng hi quy gc ta thy cc bin X2, X3, D5, D11 c ngha v c p-value
< 0.05. Cc bin cn li khng c ngha thng k v c p_value > 0.05.
2.3.2. Phng trnh hi quy gc
2.4.
Kim nh v khc phc cc bnh ca m hnh
2.4.1. a cng tuyn

X2
X3
D1
D2
X2
1.00
-0.05
0.18
X3
D5
D6
D7
-0.04 -0.02 0.02
0.04
0.00
-0.05 1.00
-0.38 -0.21 -0.14 0.11
0.14
0.02
D1
0.18
-0.38
1.00
0.36
0.04
-0.03
-0.16 -0.05 0.07
D2
-0.04 -0.21
0.36
1.00
0.12
0.05
0.01
D3
-0.02 -0.14
0.04
0.12
1.00
-0.56
D4
0.02
-0.03 0.05
0.11
D3
D4
-0.56 1.00
D10
D11
-0.04 -0.01
-0.21 0.13
0.00
-0.03 -0.07
0.06
-0.05
D9
-0.06 -0.10
-0.05 -0.05 -0.05
-0.03 -0.01
0.10
-0.13 0.02
-0.05 0.02
0.07
0.07
-0.08 0.01
0.12
-0.08 -0.21
0.05
-0.04 -0.02
Trang 9
0.05
D8
0.06
0.02
D5
0.04
0.14
-0.16 0.01
-0.05 0.12
1.00
0.07
-0.04 0.00
0.10
-0.01 0.04
D6
0.00
0.02
-0.05 0.05
0.02
0.06
0.07
1.00
-0.23 -0.05
0.17
-0.13 0.07
D7
-0.04 -0.03
0.07
-0.03 0.07
-0.08
-0.04 -0.23 1.00
0.15
-0.06 0.07
0.07
D8
-0.01 -0.07
-0.05 -0.01 0.02
-0.21
0.00
-0.05 0.15
1.00
-0.12 0.08
0.00
D9
-0.21 0.06
-0.05 0.10
0.05
0.10
0.17
D10
0.13
-0.06
-0.05 -0.13 -0.08 -0.04
-0.01 -0.13 0.07
0.08
-0.82 1.00
D11
0.00
-0.10
-0.05 0.02
0.04
0.00
0.03
0.07
0.01
-0.02
0.07
-0.06 -0.12
0.07
1.00
-0.82 0.03
-0.02
-0.02 1.00
Nhn xt: Cc h s tng quan ca cc bin u nh hn 1 nn m hnh khng b hin

tng a cng tuyn.
2.4.2. T tng quan

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic
0.924922
Prob. F(1,245)
0.337134
Obs*R-squared
0.977859
Prob. Chi-Square(1)
0.322728
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Date: 10/26/09 Time: 22:33
Sample: 1 260
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
0.095797
1.025992
0.093370
0.9257
X2
-0.003524
0.041854
-0.084187
0.9330
X3
-0.009196
0.115484
-0.079631
0.9366
D1
0.009781
0.207870
0.047055
0.9625
D2
-0.011543
0.195383
-0.059080
0.9529
Trang 10
D3
-0.025460
0.219795
-0.115834
0.9079
D4
-0.025426
0.237569
-0.107026
0.9149
D5
0.028538
0.182067
0.156746
0.8756
D6
0.003830
0.192320
0.019917
0.9841
D7
-0.022593
0.307319
-0.073516
0.9415
D8
0.006720
0.196827
0.034143
0.9728
D9
-0.001170
0.319665
-0.003661
0.9971
D10
0.005139
0.327337
0.015699
0.9875
D11
-0.000712
0.218228
-0.003261
0.9974
RESID(-1)
0.063437
0.065962
0.961729
0.3371
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
0.003761
Mean dependent var
-8.26E-16
-0.053167
S.D. dependent var
1.347405
S.E. of regression
1.382759
3.542000
Sum squared resid
468.4458
Schwarz criterion
3.747424
F-statistic
0.066066
Prob(F-statistic)
0.999999
Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat
-445.4600
1.986169
Nhn xt: Ch s P_value = 0.337134 > =0.05 nn m hnh khng b hin

tng t tng quan.
2.4.3. Phng sai thay i

White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic
1.749623
Prob. F(15,244)
Obs*R-squared
25.24948
Prob. Chi-Square(15) 0.046692
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Trang 11
0.042662

Date: 10/26/09 Time: 22:41
Sample: 1 260
Collinear test regressors dropped from specification
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
2.600217
10.17273
0.255607
0.7985
X2
-0.258111
0.454497
-0.567904
0.5706
X2^2
0.002670
0.026416
0.101085
0.9196
X3
0.904745
2.837769
0.318823
0.7501
X3^2
-0.080453
0.199723
-0.402825
0.6874
D1
-1.020375
0.436398
-2.338173
0.0202
D2
0.825213
0.410995
2.007844
0.0458
D3
0.322372
0.459271
0.701921
0.4834
D4
0.519377
0.499879
1.039005
0.2998
D5
-0.519974
0.377411
-1.377740
0.1695
D6
0.190539
0.405155
0.470287
0.6386
D7
0.018719
0.645223
0.029012
0.9769
D8
0.433522
0.413622
1.048112
0.2956
D9
-1.531793
0.673162
-2.275518
0.0237
D10
-0.883092
0.688058
-1.283456
0.2005
D11
-0.499334
0.458578
-1.088874
0.2773
R-squared
0.097113
Mean dependent var
1.808516
Adjusted R-squared
0.041608
S.D. dependent var
2.965260
S.E. of regression
2.902915
5.028872
Sum squared resid
2056.168
Schwarz criterion
5.247991
F-statistic
1.749623
Log likelihood
-637.7533
Trang 12
Durbin-Watson stat
1.889073
Prob(F-statistic)
0.042662
Nhn xt: Ch s P_value = 0.042662 < =0.05 nn m hnh b hin tng

phng sai thay i.
Khc phc hin tng phng sai thay i:
Hi quy vi trng s 1/ABS_RESIDF^3 v thay i mu quan st, ta
c bng kt qu ca m hnh hi quy mi.
Date: 10/26/09 Time: 22:19
Sample: 101 250
Weighting series: 1/ABS_RESIDF^3
White Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Standard Errors & Covariance
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
6.286646
1.145238
5.489381
0.0000
X2
-0.327259
0.039732
-8.236737
0.0000
X3
0.347781
0.118073
2.945466
0.0038
D1
1.005323
0.311224
3.230220
0.0016
D2
0.075915
0.203175
0.373642
0.7093
D3
-0.008112
0.280605
-0.028909
0.9770
D4
-0.145318
0.285337
-0.509287
0.6114
D5
-0.141309
0.221352
-0.638390
0.5243
D6
0.187639
0.223818
0.838355
0.4033
D7
0.196205
0.359112
0.546363
0.5857
D8
-0.197751
0.273491
-0.723061
0.4709
D9
0.056587
0.340026
0.166420
0.8681
Trang 13
D10
0.867128
0.382897
2.264653
0.0251
D11
0.871342
0.269880
3.228628
0.0016
Weighted Statistics
R-squared
0.531766
Mean dependent var
6.992891
Adjusted R-squared
0.487008
S.D. dependent var
3.020781
S.E. of regression
1.206712
3.302362
Sum squared resid
198.0369
Schwarz criterion
3.583354
F-statistic
11.88098
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Log likelihood
-233.6771
Durbin-Watson stat
1.965936
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared
0.203614
Mean dependent var
7.230000
Adjusted R-squared
0.127489
S.D. dependent var
1.495665
S.E. of regression
1.397075
Sum squared resid
265.4475
Durbin-Watson stat
1.979936
Kim tra li hin tng phng sai thay i:
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic
1.112724
Prob. F(28,121)
0.335621
Obs*R-squared
30.71474
Prob. Chi-Square(28)
0.329892
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: WGT_RESID^2
Date: 10/26/09 Time: 22:38
Trang 14
Sample: 101 250

Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
-2.672441
3.095137
-0.863432
0.3896
WGT
10.04248
10.27050
0.977799
0.3301
WGT^2
-3.971989
4.318207
-0.919824
0.3595
X2*WGT
-0.375846
0.553036
-0.679604
0.4981
X2^2*WGT^2
0.037640
0.037576
1.001706
0.3185
X3*WGT
0.054312
0.825165
0.065819
0.9476
X3^2*WGT^2
-0.017277
0.075959
-0.227454
0.8205
D1*WGT
2.665085
4.056724
0.656955
0.5125
D1^2*WGT^2
-4.742081
4.876545
-0.972426
0.3328
D2*WGT
1.204698
1.361911
0.884564
0.3781
D2^2*WGT^2
-0.824691
1.009274
-0.817112
0.4155
D3*WGT
0.324503
1.112913
0.291580
0.7711
D3^2*WGT^2
0.294568
1.121341
0.262692
0.7932
D4*WGT
-0.509009
1.207344
-0.421594
0.6741
D4^2*WGT^2
0.747610
0.891997
0.838130
0.4036
D5*WGT
-1.762533
1.420281
-1.240975
0.2170
D5^2*WGT^2
1.390614
1.140396
1.219414
0.2251
D6*WGT
1.112371
1.039698
1.069898
0.2868
D6^2*WGT^2
-0.770642
0.720932
-1.068952
0.2872
D7*WGT
0.455576
2.681919
0.169870
0.8654
D7^2*WGT^2
-0.133216
2.507441
-0.053128
0.9577
D8*WGT
0.000642
1.317869
0.000487
0.9996
D8^2*WGT^2
1.147418
1.217811
0.942197
0.3480
D9*WGT
-1.553237
2.380004
-0.652620
0.5152
Trang 15
D9^2*WGT^2
0.867588
1.665566
0.520897
0.6034
D10*WGT
1.165521
3.212101
0.362853
0.7173
D10^2*WGT^2
-1.035664
2.607873
-0.397130
0.6920
D11*WGT
-1.605454
0.946946
-1.695402
0.0926
D11^2*WGT^2
1.694572
0.957350
1.770066
0.0792
R-squared
0.204765
Mean dependent var
1.320246
Adjusted R-squared
0.020744
S.D. dependent var
2.061619
S.E. of regression
2.040124
4.435720
Sum squared resid
503.6149
Schwarz criterion
5.017776
F-statistic
1.112724
Prob(F-statistic)
0.335621
Log likelihood
-303.6790
Durbin-Watson stat
2.044273
Nhn xt: Lc ny, ch s P_value = 0.335621 > =0.05 nn m hnh mi

khc phc c hin tng phng sai thay i.
3. Kt qu
3.1.
M hnh hi quy cui cng sau khi loi b cc bin khng c
ngha
3.1.1. Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews
Date: 10/27/09 Time: 23:48
Sample: 101 250
Weighting series: 1/ABS_RESIDF^3
Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
Trang 16
t-Statistic
Prob.
6.215136
0.720617
8.624745
0.0000
X2
-0.326354
0.030879
-10.56888
0.0000
X3
0.349213
0.087164
4.006391
0.0001
D1
1.081294
0.293403
3.685357
0.0003
D10
0.754574
0.182206
4.141331
0.0001
D11
0.901353
0.257858
3.495536
0.0006
Weighted Statistics
R-squared
0.522675
Mean dependent var
6.992891
Adjusted R-squared
0.506101
S.D. dependent var
3.020781
S.E. of regression
1.184042
3.214923
Sum squared resid
201.8816
Schwarz criterion
3.335349
Log likelihood
-235.1192
F-statistic
31.53627
Durbin-Watson stat
1.951207
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared
0.180749
Mean dependent var
7.230000
Adjusted R-squared
0.152303
S.D. dependent var
1.495665
S.E. of regression
1.377066
Sum squared resid
273.0686
Durbin-Watson stat
1.971705
3.1.2. Phng trnh hi quy cui cng
3.2.
Nhn xt m hnh hi quy cui cng
Trang 17
R2 = 0.531766. H s xc nh R2 ca m hnh sau khi khc phc hin tng

phng sai thay i tuy khng cao nhng vn c th chp nhn c. Cc bin c
lp c th gii thch c 53.1766% s thay i ca bin ph thuc Y.
Gii thch ngha ca cc bin c lp:
Tn
bin
Chiu tc
ng n thi
gian ng
trong ngy
X2
Ngc chiu
X3
Cng chiu
D1
Cng chiu
D10
Cng chiu
D11
Cng chiu
3.3.
Din gii
Khi thi gian dnh cho vic hc tp cng nhiu th thi gian
ng s rt ngn li. C th, nu thi gian hc tng ln 1 gi,
th thi gian ng s gim i 0.326354 gi/ngy (trong iu
kin cc yu t khc khng i).
Nu im trung bnh hc k trc tng ln 1 n v th
thi gian ng s tng ln 0.349213 gi.
Nu cc iu kin khc khng i th sinh vin cc ngnh
thuc lnh vc khoa hc t nhin ng nhiu hn sinh vin
cc ngnh thuc lnh vc khoa hc x hi.
Nu s dng cc phng tin gii tr mc thp th thi
gian ng s tng ln 0.754574 gi/ngy.
Thi gian ng s tng ln 0.901353 gi/ngy nu sinh vin
ang gp rc ri trong vn tnh cm. (!?)
xut ca nhm
Tuy khoa hc chng minh tc dng ca gic ng khng ch dng li s

ngh ngi, m n cn gip ko di tui th, v cha tr nhiu bnh tt, th nhng,
trong cuc sng bn bu hng ngy, dng nh vn cha my ai tht s ch tm
n tm quan trng ca vic ng gic cng nh nhng yu t nh hng n
gic ng.
Sau khi tin hnh nghin cu thc t v phn tch m hnh hi quy t s liu
c thu thp t cc bn sinh vin, nhm nghin cu chng ti xin a ra mt s
xut sau :
m bo ng gic, ng gi, ng sm, dy sm v c bit l duy tr tht
u n thi gian ng mi ngy.
Lp ra k hoch r rng, chi tit v thi gian bn dnh cho nhng vic lm hng
ngy v ch dnh mt khong c nh cho gic ng ca bn. Nu bn gp kh
khn trong vic cn bng gia thi gian ng v thi gian dnh cho nhng hot
ng khc bn nn tham kho kin ca ngi ln nh b m, cc sinh vin
lp trn hay cc bn trong lp c mt thi gian biu hp l nht.
Trang 18
Kt qu nghin cu ca chng ti ch ra rng kt qu hc tp ca hc k trc

cng c nh hng n thi gian ng mi ngy ca bn. Vic hc nng cao
kt qu l quan trng, tuy nhin vic ng thi gian m bo sc kho
cng quan trng khng km. V vy, ngoi vic u t cho vic hc, bn cng
nn quan tm nhiu hn n gic ng.
i lm thm gip bn tng thu nhp cng nh trau di kin thc x hi v vn
sng, tuy nhin trc khi quyt nh i lm thm bn nn sp xp thi gian cho
hp l. Thi gian i lm thm i khi cng nh hng n qu thi gian bn
ginh cho vic ng vy nn ng v li ch trc mt m b mc sc kho ca
mnh.
Vic tham gia cc hot ng ca on, hi sinh vin hoc cc cu lc b cng
nh nhng thi gian vui chi gii tr tc ng khng nh ti thi gian ng ca
bn. Tham gia hot ng ngoi kha lm bn thm nng ng v ho ng, tuy
nhin khng nn qu tham cng tic vic m ln lt qua thi gian ng.
Game hay online thu m cng em n nhng tc ng tiu cc cho gic ng
ca bn v nhng hot ng gii tr ny s ngn phn ln thi gian cho gic ng
ng thi cng gy ra cc hiu ng ph nh mt mi, au mt... Nhiu ngi c
thi quen xem tivi trc khi i ng v c rt nhiu nghin cu ch ra rng
vic xem tivi hoc s dng cc phng tin gii tr khc c th l mt hnh thc
tt kch thch gic ng, tuy nhin cn gii hn mc s dng cc phng
tin ny trong mt khong thi gian va phi.
Vn cui cng trong bi nghin cu m bn cn ch : mc d i khi bn
gp kh khn trong vn tnh cm th bn cng khng nn lm xo trn thi
quen sinh hot hng ngy ca mnh, trong c c thi gian dnh cho vic ng.
C c mt gic ng su v di mi m s tip thm sc khe v ngh lc
bn vt qua mi tr ngi trong cuc sng thng nht.
3.4.
Kh khn v thun li trong qu trnh thc hin ti
3.4.1. Nhng kh khn khi thc hin ti

a bn thnh ph H Chnh Minh rt rng vi mt s lng ln cc trng
i hc v cao ng nn nhm ch c th kho st c mt s trng in
hnh nh: H Ngoi Thng, H Kinh T, H Y Dc, H Khoa Hc X
Hi V Nhn Vn, H S Phm, H Bch Khoa. Do , s lng quan st
trong m hnh hi quy cn hn ch.
Kh khn trong vic kho st v s gi ng trong mt ngy v c nhiu yu
t tc ng lm cho s gi ng khng c nh m bin ng hng ngy.
Vic chn cc bin c lp a vo m hnh cn thiu st v ch yu da
trn kin ch quan ca nhm.
Trang 19
Thi gian thc hin tng i ngn trong khi bi v ca nhng mn hc khc
ngy cng nhiu.
Nhng kh khn trn lm cho mc ph hp ca m hnh (h s xc nh
R2) khng cao v c mt s kt qu khng hp l cc bin c lp sau khi tin
hnh hi quy.
3.4.2. Nhng thun li khi thc hin ti

Nhn c s gip tn tnh ca gio vin hng dn v ti liu tham
kho, s dng phn mm my tnh cng nh bi ging trn lp.
S nhit tnh ca cc bn trong nhm khi thc hin ti v s gip tch
cc ca cc bn sinh vin cc trng bn khi c mi in vo phiu
kho st.
KT THC
Trang 20

Giac Ngu SV

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Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Tng quan v bi nghin cu .......................................................................... 2

Thit lp m hnh hi quy ............................................................................... 3

M hnh tng qut .....................................................................................3

Gii thch cc bin .....................................................................................3

2.2. Thng k m t kt qu kho st.......................................................................... 4

Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews ......................8

Phng trnh hi quy gc..........................................................................9

2.4. Kim nh v khc phc cc bnh ca m hnh................................................... 9

T tng quan ......................................................................................... 10

Phng sai thay i ................................................................................. 11

Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews .................... 16

Phng trnh hi quy cui cng.............................................................. 17

3.2. Nhn xt m hnh hi quy cui cng ................................................................. 17

Nhng kh khn khi thc hin ti ..................................................... 19

Nhng thun li khi thc hin ti ...................................................... 20

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

1. Tng quan v bi nghin cu

Mc tiu, phm vi v cu hi nghin cu

Thc t cho thy s gi ng trung bnh ca mt sinh vin khng ch b nh

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Phng php nghin cu

2. Thit lp m hnh hi quy

Xy dng m hnh tng qut

2.1.1. M hnh tng qut

2.1.2. Gii thch cc bin

S gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Ch yn tnh to iu kin cho

Mc s dng cng nhiu th

Ty theo ngnh hc m thi gian

Thi gian ng trung bnh mt ngy (Y):

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Thi gian hc trung bnh mt ngy (X2):

im trung bnh hc k trc (X3):

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Hot ng ngoi kha tch cc(D5):

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Mi trng sng(D6 + D7):

Mc s dng cc phng tin gii tr(D9 + D10):

ang gp vn trong chuyn tnh cm(D11):

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

2.3.1. Bng kt qu sau khi x l d liu vi phn mm Eviews

Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic

Kinh T Lng - K47A - Nhm 18

[Sinh vin v s gi ng trung bnh trong mt ngy]

Mean dependent var

S.D. dependent var

Akaike info criterion

Sum squared resid

Nhn xt: Mc ph hp ca m hnh so vi thc t l R2=14,92%. Da

2.3.2. Phng trnh hi quy gc

Kim nh v khc phc cc bnh ca m hnh

2.4.1. a cng tuyn

-0.04 -0.02 0.02