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Uk Trading & Value Indicator 20120105
Uk Trading & Value Indicator 20120105
Value
Indicator
05 January 2012
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Contents
Market Pictures - Indices ......................................................................... 5
FTSE 100 ................................................................................................ 5
FTSE 250 ................................................................................................ 6
FTSE All Share Index ................................................................................ 7
FTSE AIM All Share .................................................................................. 8
Market Pictures Interest Rates............................................................ 10
UK Bank Lending Rates........................................................................... 10
Eurozone Lending Rates.......................................................................... 11
US Federal Funds Rate ........................................................................... 12
Market Pictures Exchange Rates ......................................................... 13
Market Pictures - Oil............................................................................... 15
Over Valued 16
Aerospace & Defence
...............................................
Automobiles & Parts
Banks
................................................
...............................................................
Beverages
..........................................................
Chemicals
..........................................................
................................
...............................
..........................................
.................................................
.....................................
.......................................................
................................................................
......................................
............................
..........................................................
....................................................
Life Assurance
....................................................
............................................
................................................................
.............................................................
................................
...................................
........................................
....................................................
Telecommunication Services
Transport
............................
......................................
..........................................................
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 17
Under Valued 17
Over Valued 17
Under Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Under Valued 18
Over Valued 19
Over Valued 19
Under Valued 19
Over Valued 19
Over Valued 20
Under Valued 20
Under Valued 20
Fair Value 20
Under Valued 21
Under Valued 21
Over Valued 21
Under Valued 22
Under Valued 22
Under Valued 23
Over Valued 23
Utilities
.............................................................
DISCLAIMER............................................................................................. 24
Page 2 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide
that will identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an
increasingly time critical and information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box,
typically, before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an
investment are the two primary drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key
factors that influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters,
these have been established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut
through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental
factors as well as the daily pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters
(analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage,
the trading indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in
identifying good trading points as well as some 74% accurate for overall trend
correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40
stocks analysed.
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
Page 3 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Prices.
On a daily basis, Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not
only the Profit & Loss Account but also the Balance Sheet and Cashflow
Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his
investment research for the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment
valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate cross-border analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the
Target as realistically valid as possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Price delivery is not only a
function of market levels but a management teams ability to establish and
maintain a value generating operating environment set against a constantly
changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start
with a modest range of some 6 10 valuation measures and remove those that
are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis approach is the opposite we use
as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target prices may appear strange or
extreme. However, subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them
as starting points to challenge their established or perceived valuation opinion of
a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist
investors from falling in love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by
management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and
investment systems active position monitoring is critical for maximised
investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction
with, and not separate from subscribers existing investment systems as well as
discussing investment options with their financial advisers.
Page 4 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
PE
FTSE 100
FTSE 100 PE
5Y Hi
6,732.4
5Y Hi
18.2
18.2
3Y Hi
6,091.3
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
6,091.3
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
5,668.5
1Y Lo
14.1
10.2
1Y Lo
4,944.4
7.9
3Y Lo
3,512.1
3Y Lo
7.0
5Y Lo
3,512.1
5Y Lo
7.0
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
10
% change
1M
2.1; 3M
15
20
% change
14.6; 12M
-5.7
1M
3.1; 3M
30.1; 12M
Yield
RSI
FTSE 100 DY
-17.2
6.2
5Y Hi
Hi
74.8
6.0
3Y Hi
3.9
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
3.5
1Y Lo
2.9
3Y Lo
2.9
5Y Lo
2.9
69.2
Lo
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
11.1
7.0
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-2.5; 3M
Page 5 of 25
-10.0; 12M
20.1
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
PE
FTSE 250
FTSE 250 PE
5Y Hi
12,220.2
5Y Hi
27.8
3Y Hi
12,167.8
3Y Hi
27.8
1Y Hi
12,167.8
1Y Hi
Last Close
10,273.8
Last Close
3Y Lo 7.1
5,769.8
3Y Lo
5Y Lo 7.1
5,491.5
5Y Lo
500
15.5
1Y Lo 7.1
9,425.9
1Y Lo
19.5
5500
10500
15500
10
% change
1M
-0.3; 3M
15
20
25
30
% change
9.0; 12M
-12.4
1M
104.2; 3M
12.2; 12M
Yield
RSI
FTSE 250 DY
5Y Hi
-20.0
5.7
Hi
72.5
5.1
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
3.3
Last Close
3.1
1Y Lo
2.2
3Y Lo
2.2
Last Close
64.6
Lo
5Y Lo
7.9
1.9
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
1.0; 3M
Page 6 of 25
-2.9; 12M
40.4
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
3,479.0
5Y Hi
19.5
19.5
3Y Hi
3,160.9
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
3,160.9
1Y Hi
Last Close
2,906.4
1Y Lo
14.6
10.8
Last Close
1Y Lo
2,557.8
8.5
3Y Lo
1,781.6
3Y Lo
7.4
5Y Lo
1,781.6
5Y Lo
7.4
500
1500
2500
3500
4500
10
% change
1M
1.8; 3M
15
20
25
% change
13.6; 12M
-6.8
1M
11.8; 3M
27.6; 12M
Yield
RSI
5Y Hi
-18.0
6.1
Hi
3Y Hi
74.8
5.8
1Y Hi
3.8
Last Close
3.5
1Y Lo
2.8
3Y Lo
2.8
5Y Lo
2.7
Last Close
68.7
Lo
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
10.4
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-2.0; 3M
Page 7 of 25
-8.7; 12M
21.8
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
1,236.6
5Y1,439.5
Hi
3Y Hi
968.3
3Y1,240.8
Hi
1Y Hi
968.3
1Y 211.5
Hi
Last Close
703.3
1Y Lo
98.0
Last Close
657.8
3Y Lo 373.8
5Y Lo 373.8
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
-250000
203,906.0-
1Y Lo
203,906.0-
3Y Lo
203,906.0-
5Y Lo
-200000
% change
1M
0.0; 3M
-150000
-100000
-50000
50000
% change
6.9; 12M
-25.3
Yield
RSI
5Y Hi
2.1
3Y Hi
2.1
Hi
73.6
0.8
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
0.7
1Y Lo
0.5
3Y Lo
0.5
69.9
Lo 6.9
5Y Lo 0.4
0.2
0.7
1.2
1.7
2.2
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-1.4; 3M
Page 8 of 25
-11.1; 12M
33.3
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
1,565.2
5Y Hi
146.3
146.3
3Y Hi
1,363.6
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
1,363.6
1Y Hi18.4
Last Close
14.6
Last Close
1,277.3
1Y Lo
13.4
1Y Lo
1,099.2
3Y Lo
676.5
3Y Lo
13.4
5Y Lo
676.5
5Y Lo
13.4
400
900
1400
10
1900
60
% change
1M
2.7; 3M
110
160
% change
13.6; 12M
0.6
1M
1.5; 3M
3.9; 12M
Yield
RSI
-17.0
3.4
5Y Hi
Hi
73.6
3.2
3Y Hi
2.4
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
2.2
1Y Lo
1.8
3Y Lo
1.8
5Y Lo
1.8
64.5
Lo
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
11.2
4.5
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
0.5; 3M
Page 9 of 25
-3.5; 12M
18.7
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
5.75
3Y Hi
2.00
1Y Hi 0.50
Last Close 0.50
1Y Lo 0.50
3Y Lo 0.50
5Y Lo 0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
% change
1M
0.0; 3M
0.0; 12M
0.0
UK Lending PE
50.0
1Y Lo
200.0
Last Close
200.0
1Y Hi
200.0
3Y Hi
200.0
5Y Hi
200.0
10
Page 10 of 25
60
110
160
210
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
5.25
3Y Hi
3.00
1Y Hi
2.25
Last Close
1.75
1Y Lo
1.75
3Y Lo
1.75
5Y Lo
1.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
% change
1M
-12.5; 3M
-22.2; 12M
0.0
Eurozone Lending PE
19.0
3Y Lo
33.3
1Y Lo
44.4
Last Close
57.1
1Y Hi
57.1
3Y Hi
57.1
5Y Hi
57.1
10
Page 11 of 25
20
30
40
50
60
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
5.41
3Y Hi0.25
1Y Hi
0.19
Last Close
0.07
1Y 0.04
Lo
3Y 0.04
Lo
5Y 0.04
Lo
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
% change
1M
-12.5; 3M
0.0; 12M
-61.1
US Lending PE
400.0
1Y Lo
526.3
1,428.6
Last Close
1Y Hi
2,500.0
3Y Hi
2,500.0
5Y Hi
2,500.0
10
Page 12 of 25
510
1010
1510
2010
2510
3010
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
US$/
5Y Hi
2.11
3Y Hi
1.70
1Y Hi
1.67
Last Close
1.56
1Y Lo
1.53
3Y Lo
1.37
5Y Lo
1.37
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
% change
1M
-0.1; 3M
1.3; 12M
0.1
EURO/
5Y Hi
1.53
3Y Hi
1.24
1Y Hi
1.21
Last Close
1.21
1Y Lo
3Y Lo
1.11
1.06
5Y Lo1.02
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
% change
1M
Page 13 of 25
3.9; 3M
4.2; 12M
3.3
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
US$/EURO
5Y Hi
1.60
3Y Hi
1.51
1Y Hi
1.48
Last Close
1.29
1Y Lo
1.29
3Y Lo
1.19
5Y Lo
1.19
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
1.70
% change
1M
-3.4; 3M
-3.0; 12M
-2.7
YEN/
5Y Hi
250.1
3Y Hi
162.5
1Y Hi
139.4
Last Close
119.8
1Y Lo
117.1
3Y Lo
117.1
5Y Lo
117.1
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
220.0
240.0
260.0
% change
1M
Page 14 of 25
-1.7; 3M
1.4; 12M
-6.4
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
145.6
3Y Hi
126.6
1Y Hi
126.6
Last Close
113.9
1Y Lo
94.3
3Y Lo
39.1
5Y Lo
34.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
% change
1M
3.73; 3M
9.38; 12M
21.45
Page 15 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
286.60
401.60
183.80
356.90
750.00
938.50
1465.00
359.50
12M Lo
248.10
368.80
165.90
305.00
552.19
869.50
1305.00
243.50
12M Hi
361.10
736.50
236.50
397.60
757.00
1429.00
1830.00
512.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
190.70
299.90
50.50
7.75
12M Lo
157.00
268.60
47.00
6.80
12M Hi
245.00
425.40
72.75
19.71
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
188.35
500.00
26.60
20.76
1442.00
12M Lo
138.85
463.50
21.84
17.34
1169.50
12M Hi
333.55
730.90
69.61
49.00
1769.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Price
1243.00
1412.00
2310.00
12M Lo
1031.00
1112.00
1979.00
12M Hi
1395.00
1428.00
2354.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 16 of 25
Target
151
267
60
8
Beta
1.93
1.40
1.34
1.08
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Target
57
841
143
-29
1297
Beta
1.81
1.12
1.72
1.23
1.69
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Target
1246
1273
2733
Beta
0.42
0.55
0.97
Over Valued
Chemicals
Stock
CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VICTREX
YULE CATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Over Valued
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Beta
0.63
0.53
0.94
1.34
1.09
0.71
0.59
0.80
Over Valued
Banks
Stock
BARCLAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.
STANDARD CHARTERED
Target
585
448
228
320
579
958
1150
356
Over Valued
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Price
1825.00
136.50
1911.00
1124.00
172.20
112.50
12M Lo
1456.00
107.50
1523.00
1025.00
148.00
110.00
12M Hi
2081.00
187.40
2119.00
1590.00
253.00
158.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Target
1486
139
1587
1060
279
182
Beta
1.06
1.06
1.43
1.20
1.25
1.01
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
276.70
91.30
696.50
1226.00
424.90
309.60
41.25
192.00
473.00
278.25
1409.00
40.00
89.75
618.50
472.20
116.00
85.65
37.00
824.50
2127.00
12M Lo
214.60
67.50
540.50
884.50
326.50
281.00
35.50
180.00
307.50
239.25
1097.00
38.00
83.25
510.00
374.00
103.50
76.95
28.71
715.00
1404.00
12M Hi
357.30
119.00
776.50
1360.00
499.60
403.20
128.00
265.00
530.00
698.50
1458.00
76.75
124.50
730.00
518.50
137.60
153.50
43.31
1127.00
2261.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Price
690.00
542.50
103.75
217.50
150.00
993.00
1046.00
1310.00
0.17
138.00
248.00
12M Lo
516.00
434.30
86.75
180.90
127.90
600.50
800.00
1039.00
0.14
120.50
207.50
12M Hi
847.00
705.00
146.00
364.30
207.00
1010.00
1886.00
1679.00
0.34
208.00
295.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 17 of 25
Beta
0.85
1.39
1.00
0.69
1.07
1.10
0.84
0.58
1.02
1.26
1.05
1.04
1.35
0.88
1.05
0.95
1.56
1.48
1.85
1.41
LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Target
383
543
132
325
155
688
1602
1026
0
208
109
Beta
0.73
1.15
1.30
1.51
2.20
0.97
1.22
1.37
0.65
1.55
1.13
Over Valued
Target
268
54
613
1203
186
430
180
695
507
353
2829
54
60
1290
578
77
-4
12
966
1581
Under Valued
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Buy
Sell
Price
71.25
277.90
267.50
530.50
403.40
339.10
253.00
791.50
8.25
273.80
1946.00
176.00
170.75
1890.00
556.25
2100.00
12M Lo
62.50
225.60
250.50
395.80
280.00
306.30
235.00
636.50
7.37
224.00
1501.00
132.60
150.00
1649.00
488.00
1375.00
12M Hi
138.00
397.70
358.00
724.50
422.50
429.60
393.50
1119.00
12.00
357.10
1979.00
190.60
333.50
2063.00
661.75
2218.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Buy
Sell
Target
279
330
481
715
263
343
545
1275
7
316
1670
173
156
2108
681
752
Beta
1.31
1.56
0.96
2.26
1.39
0.74
1.36
1.40
0.85
1.73
1.01
1.75
1.03
0.84
1.51
1.41
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Under Valued
Price
519.00
321.70
305.50
405.50
18.75
12M Lo
445.00
262.70
263.50
356.25
18.50
12M Hi
550.50
328.00
391.50
436.65
100.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
1105.00
745.50
334.70
256.90
5.75
246.00
709.50
2156.00
12M Lo
940.00
588.50
318.80
223.50
3.29
233.25
520.00
1793.00
12M Hi
1150.00
882.00
410.40
296.90
35.12
356.50
720.50
2189.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
19.63
1.13
233.90
1219.00
494.90
11.00
9.70
3.52
41.00
6.93
301.60
5.60
608.00
66.65
248.80
308.80
34.75
160.00
2656.00
658.00
26.50
12M Lo
16.00
0.75
227.00
1030.00
375.00
7.50
9.36
2.20
37.50
6.20
269.50
5.20
570.00
60.20
217.00
301.80
23.75
127.30
1868.00
572.50
21.50
12M Hi
25.25
42.25
311.20
1600.00
835.50
28.00
23.73
10.72
134.00
73.25
440.00
52.70
1030.00
164.00
287.10
402.20
40.00
598.00
2810.00
830.00
84.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
542.00
43.50
626.00
12M Lo
498.00
36.50
521.00
12M Hi
590.00
59.00
742.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 18 of 25
Target
529
702
340
409
-5
496
387
1785
Beta
0.59
0.58
0.96
0.31
1.43
0.38
0.65
0.63
LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Target
22
68
183
408
142
7
22
0
80
130
299
974
922
219
219
278
18
265
1572
353
19
Beta
0.73
0.27
0.50
1.34
0.98
0.64
1.40
0.96
0.91
0.91
0.62
0.86
0.46
1.27
0.98
0.73
1.02
0.51
0.81
0.52
1.30
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Target
488
40
637
Beta
0.39
0.70
0.39
Under Valued
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Over Valued
Health
Stock
CONSORT MEDICAL
CORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
Beta
0.54
0.50
0.65
0.81
0.80
Over Valued
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BLACKS LEISURE
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
CLINTON CARDS
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
GAME GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELECTRICALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Target
427
366
551
432
23
Over Valued
LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Price
37.75
450.00
262.38
133.00
12M Lo
21.75
342.50
233.25
105.00
12M Hi
40.00
470.00
354.00
150.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Target
33
413
337
139
Beta
0.47
0.34
0.91
0.70
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
594.50
187.90
21.00
556.00
45.50
118.10
125.25
12M Lo
459.60
154.10
14.50
296.90
43.88
105.80
96.00
12M Hi
651.00
447.00
62.00
564.50
102.75
160.00
312.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
877.50
322.40
135.50
398.60
380.30
680.00
108.20
337.25
12M Lo
787.00
270.60
109.60
334.00
340.50
576.00
99.60
285.00
12M Hi
1754.00
427.00
139.20
421.40
424.70
764.50
143.50
410.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
37.63
2147.00
27.25
165.80
695.00
488.90
134.50
1169.00
403.70
236.30
168.00
10.00
131.60
288.00
424.00
1579.00
202.50
92.05
12M Lo
26.00
1742.00
26.75
136.70
590.00
410.00
114.00
955.00
371.20
215.60
100.60
9.14
109.50
254.90
380.50
1409.00
168.60
84.60
12M Hi
42.75
3153.00
121.70
271.90
752.00
518.00
155.30
1435.00
600.50
361.00
214.70
15.70
153.70
335.00
468.30
1887.00
244.10
112.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 19 of 25
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Target
358
2317
1210
65
2298
1826
971
2211
Beta
0.50
0.45
0.51
0.32
0.49
0.32
0.45
0.49
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Target
17
3666
87
582
726
732
237
858
515
97
135
-168
195
341
707
1829
305
170
Beta
0.76
1.13
1.69
0.95
0.45
0.87
0.99
1.29
1.39
1.02
1.29
1.28
0.97
0.88
0.75
1.04
0.93
1.24
Over Valued
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
CHESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLACE
Beta
0.77
1.13
0.59
0.96
1.19
1.01
1.02
Under Valued
Target
1227
4943
-180
1068
2268
1144
19
Over Valued
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
CATLIN GROUP
HISCOX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANCE GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Price
309.00
182.50
105.30
139.10
643.50
329.00
12M Lo
275.30
161.75
89.80
98.05
509.00
272.50
12M Hi
477.90
264.00
123.80
144.80
777.00
376.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Target
435
177
83
160
316
121
Beta
1.22
0.60
1.65
1.62
1.72
0.79
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
141.30
97.75
730.00
33.13
403.90
650.00
364.50
200.00
71.05
6.30
1229.00
51.25
272.00
27.36
82.63
81.25
48.75
488.70
84.50
679.00
5.20
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.50
32.75
343.40
522.50
313.90
157.70
51.65
4.11
983.00
39.50
132.75
26.21
81.00
68.50
37.50
416.00
82.50
578.00
3.35
12M Hi
159.08
138.00
850.00
73.00
594.50
736.00
461.10
258.20
93.45
12.75
1234.00
67.00
276.13
41.49
168.00
108.50
93.00
725.00
183.00
846.50
14.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
2471.50
270.00
1269.00
1975.00
1014.00
6935.00
3342.00
29.75
1032.50
12M Lo
2138.50
237.90
900.50
1667.00
941.00
4425.00
2712.50
28.50
928.00
764.00
12M Hi
3437.00
369.25
1586.00
2631.50
1940.00
7555.00
4712.00
55.25
2518.00
1550.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
1429.50
473.45
266.80
11.75
765.50
139.50
120.00
376.90
2370.00
2467.00
298.30
1408.00
655.00
12M Lo
1144.00
363.20
257.80
9.00
530.00
128.00
95.25
310.00
1883.50
1890.50
278.00
945.50
469.90
12M Hi
1564.50
509.00
469.70
14.75
817.00
335.10
297.00
535.00
2380.00
2477.00
400.00
1493.00
715.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 20 of 25
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Target
6326
359
1064
4522
826
1836
5214
-74
5276
1171
Beta
1.74
0.92
1.38
1.40
1.90
0.30
1.41
1.05
2.05
1.76
Price
115.00
347.00
3265.00
LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Target
1880
1231
329
23
920
360
625
518
6293
6356
195
454
753
Beta
0.70
1.06
1.34
0.87
1.31
1.35
1.12
1.34
0.94
0.95
0.50
1.07
1.34
Fair Value
Beta
1.30
0.48
0.64
1.00
1.08
1.04
1.50
1.39
1.49
1.45
0.70
0.86
0.37
0.52
0.77
1.31
1.58
1.28
0.86
1.27
1.32
Under Valued
Target
84
117
627
-53
533
615
298
143
74
56
1006
82
138
24
102
208
438
1543
102
770
41
Under Valued
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURCES
RIO TINTO
UK COAL
VEDANTA RESOURCES
XSTRATA
LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
12M Lo
110.75
308.70
3015.00
12M Hi
174.76
404.00
3578.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Target
111
359
3156
Beta
0.85
0.80
0.32
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Under Valued
Price
3.38
3034.50
331.30
514.00
1483.00
3.40
7.93
2169.00
34.00
20.38
12M Lo
3.13
2543.50
210.10
433.00
1127.50
2.91
6.40
1561.00
31.50
18.75
12M Hi
5.68
3194.00
331.30
536.50
1484.50
7.20
9.75
2243.00
66.13
50.00
ST Rec
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
24.00
93.75
1491.00
343.70
238.25
20.50
70.30
393.80
236.20
161.62
65.25
1564.00
293.00
12M Lo
21.50
57.75
1298.00
324.70
225.00
15.00
58.95
239.40
214.90
154.75
41.50
1444.00
231.70
12M Hi
27.00
95.00
1799.00
490.00
535.00
23.00
147.20
426.20
420.20
290.00
175.00
2109.00
302.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 21 of 25
Beta
0.92
0.46
0.72
0.32
0.49
0.60
0.89
0.64
0.71
0.81
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Neutral
Target
42
53
851
795
242
15
162
383
334
400
326
1484
278
Beta
0.73
0.82
1.44
1.07
1.05
0.91
1.33
0.71
1.29
0.85
0.39
0.79
0.65
Over Valued
Target
10
10817
121
971
1454
-2
-2
1407
285
-20
Under Valued
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Price
218.40
141.90
9737.50
266.50
127.50
629.50
63.85
1.89
103.20
344.90
240.70
340.10
810.00
127.10
1081.00
1315.00
1084.00
12M Lo
167.80
113.70
8800.00
240.00
115.63
590.00
56.05
1.36
95.05
311.60
197.90
318.40
756.50
123.60
977.00
1183.00
970.00
12M Hi
240.00
185.40
10950.00
350.00
165.00
888.50
92.90
17.38
173.10
570.50
360.30
538.00
1076.00
311.00
1257.00
1922.00
1554.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Target
91
131
16218
271
193
305
82
3
88
289
240
224
675
169
1149
1533
1533
Beta
1.07
0.70
0.87
0.94
0.70
0.80
0.91
0.64
1.41
1.08
1.62
1.53
1.15
1.27
0.73
1.30
1.29
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Under Valued
Support Services
Stock
ACAL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS
COMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELECTROCOMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MICHAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUCHEL GROUP
OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RICARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERCO GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP
Price
173.00
2026.00
934.00
223.30
729.00
342.50
888.50
221.50
645.00
28.50
613.00
440.20
890.50
829.50
359.10
207.20
399.90
272.60
66.75
309.40
319.30
2063.00
26.63
31.38
525.00
353.40
258.00
5.00
138.50
555.00
193.10
89.10
64.70
364.60
384.00
161.75
366.00
180.50
490.00
97.15
20.00
45.75
38.00
217.50
52.50
205.00
12M Lo
169.50
1394.48
740.50
99.40
542.00
230.00
676.50
192.25
611.50
23.75
512.50
402.70
667.00
648.50
263.50
182.20
250.00
219.90
58.85
218.50
231.75
1715.00
25.50
27.75
425.00
323.00
195.90
5.00
112.50
327.25
144.50
64.00
58.20
299.80
292.00
158.25
231.50
156.60
458.00
90.80
18.50
36.25
36.25
191.00
48.38
160.00
12M Hi
367.50
2063.00
1251.00
230.20
737.00
345.00
888.50
335.00
786.50
37.00
616.00
568.00
936.00
854.50
414.25
294.90
399.90
291.00
132.40
532.00
341.25
2148.00
36.00
45.50
550.00
567.00
258.10
154.75
166.50
570.00
308.80
119.00
104.90
400.00
410.00
347.00
384.80
253.00
618.50
130.90
34.00
51.00
52.88
253.75
1237.51
385.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 22 of 25
Target
318
1175
1197
113
648
1008
940
509
656
89
683
651
986
920
301
348
402
361
133
441
740
1523
63
52
1143
413
377
-271
263
693
331
66
48
487
510
329
413
275
628
151
-8
-274
58
541
-8456
535
Beta
0.93
1.18
1.01
1.50
0.56
0.70
0.55
0.28
0.42
0.72
0.75
1.03
#NA
0.22
0.98
0.99
1.13
0.60
0.95
0.67
1.40
0.86
1.16
0.67
1.44
1.33
0.60
0.84
0.36
0.76
1.18
1.39
1.29
0.87
0.83
1.18
0.81
1.55
0.57
1.44
1.27
0.54
0.86
0.89
0.77
0.92
Under Valued
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Price
198.00
38.13
421.50
70.25
741.00
180.00
12M Lo
161.00
31.25
389.30
57.50
433.00
155.05
12M Hi
204.10
51.20
719.50
84.00
802.00
182.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Target
263
139
360
85
493
188
Beta
0.92
0.65
0.52
1.27
0.06
0.65
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
Under Valued
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
CLARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGECOACH GROUP
WINCANTON
Price
178.90
300.00
1120.00
392.40
341.90
510.00
1380.00
225.50
195.40
268.80
68.25
12M Lo
156.00
282.00
1015.00
301.00
301.80
440.50
1190.00
201.60
191.80
199.97
56.00
12M Hi
240.80
550.00
1355.00
474.00
406.30
574.00
1598.00
270.20
346.70
272.41
163.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 23 of 25
Target
169
660
1541
380
428
342
1787
188
364
208
167
Beta
1.40
0.90
0.81
0.76
1.10
0.83
0.97
1.30
1.34
0.90
0.86
Over Valued
Utilities
Stock
CENTRICA
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Price
297.00
630.00
726.00
1537.00
620.50
12M Lo
278.80
530.00
584.50
1368.00
543.50
12M Hi
345.80
649.50
737.50
1600.00
637.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Target
320
604
604
604
604
Beta
0.50
0.57
0.63
0.47
0.60
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
05 January 2012
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Intellisys
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05 January 2012
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